tv [untitled] September 9, 2022 8:00am-8:28am EEST
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of the armed forces of ukraine. congratulations, this is andriy yanivskyi. news of the economy during the war. espresso tv channel . as always, at this feast, we are talking about economic news with you today, september 9, friday. conducts economic and business research, if possible, let's connect mr. oksana right away , ms. oksana good morning and good morning. because today you will present to foreign partners the results of a survey of entrepreneurs, which
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is conducted every month. we conduct quarterly business surveys in order to find out the main economic e-e future economic trends and also what is happening in the real sector of the economy based on the opinion of business circles, it is such well-known the method of conjunctural research in order to better understand what is happening in the economy, first of all, the large-scale invasion of russia into ukraine, many things have changed, including , unfortunately, we have problems in the
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country related to the collection of statistical data, and in principle, in such a situation, it would be observed anywhere, where such actions are taking place, and starting from the month of april, we began to conduct this study a- and not every quarter because it is a very hmm long period of time every month and precisely with the aim of supplementing such a picture of what is happening in the economy, and we do this for the ministry of economy of ukraine and other state bodies in order to help get such a general picture of what is happening in the ukrainian economy now do you already have fresh data for august, or are we talking about july, let's say, let's say for the sake of the viewers, we were the first to present these august results
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partially, but so comprehensively, well , let's do it now. let's make a certain premium yeru on the website on the website at least i didn't see these data from you, er, yes, please tell me what are the main discoveries. maybe you er, you were surprised by the answers of entrepreneurs from various different economic forecasts and so on. by the way, not only us there are several such studies conducted in ukraine . -and this is firstly our respondents and in general we can see
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that we have seen trends regarding a decrease in the pace of economic activity, that is, it was a very positive fact , we noted it from the very first survey economic activity, but not as fast as at the beginning, not so fast, that is, accordingly, we see this, well, a positive trend until the recovery of a-a in the month of august, here, er, we registered such unfortunately, er, a little already, well, mixed- mixed trends, and the optimism of business regarding the future regarding future changes are positive, the business remains optimistic, that is, the share of optimists is greater than the share of pessimists, but our data show that these are the rates
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of recovery that we observed in the economic activity during the summer months, they may stop. why so? about that this process shows that the expectations are related to the next next release and the process shows that it is most important expectations are related to new orders because it is during summer months we observed such very high optimism, which then, in principle , turned into reality the following month - this is about the growth of new orders and employment, as well as just as we approached this issue, this is a large block actually about -e jobs , we remember what it was like before the full-scale russian invasion of our business and they said that there is a lack of manpower, especially there is a lack
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of middle-level professionals, and job sites were actually overflowing with offers jobs and now we know that millions of ukrainians have gone abroad, millions have changed their place of residence, and the situation with er has changed fundamentally. what can we say about employment? well, look, we also have employment. it is always quite conservative , that is already if er and such significant changes er indicate that something is really happening in the business, i.e. let's suppose if er enterprises er business is shorter e.g. output but this is a temporary phenomenon then er it will not have a strong effect on er number of employees well, maybe there will be there are adjustments in working hours, that is, those people who are on forced vacations or reduced working hours, but the number of
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employees does not decrease, and vice versa, when we plan to increase something, but we are not sure. is this a permanent trend, then in principle we will rather increase it the involvement of e-e through e-e temporary workers but this will not have a significant impact on employment, but we just recorded the rates of employment reduction, they were much, much faster, that is, enterprises were shrinking were increasing er let's say so er employment er during the summer months and now we see that er this is exactly this trend it is enough well it has stopped and most of the respondents are almost 80%, they do not plan any changes that is, on the one hand , this is a positive thing, because it is something that we fix according to the order, that is, from the point of view of demand, and it has not yet become such a trend. well, everything has
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stopped. we see that the business has so far taken such a waiting position in relation to the situation on the labor market a-a, in principle , we see a decrease in problems with finding qualified workers compared to the fact that we, er, were er, the last three months, er, now in the month of august, we recorded this, in principle, can mean again this or uh, it is true that these trends, well, let's say that the suspension of recovery a-and they will have um continuation or it can and that is, the enterprise simply does not need a k workforce and accordingly planning i just want to summarize what you said before and related with a reduction in the rate of decline recovery well
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, that means that the decline continues and but no longer at such a fast pace and at the same time employment has stabilized, it is similar to the fact that businesses use such a strategy that at first they feel an increase in demand for their products, growth, recovery, return to some to more peaceful times and only after that they think about the fact that it is necessary to hire a new person in the labor market, that is, it is not going at a fast pace, something is wrong , first the company hires a person, then waits when there will be a job for this person, but on the contrary, in principle, it looks quite logical, and what is stabilizing now, well, these movements indicate that there is already some equilibrium in the market. names of companies or regions but were there any answers that stood out from
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the general trends that were unique? maybe people have learned to attract foreign specialists, which now looks very strange. or maybe they are hiring specialists from other regions and provide them with a move to a new place of residence, it would be interesting to hear about some specific stories and specific creatures, because we are conducting a cash survey, but regarding such strategies, which are used by the business, i really want to say something more businesses actually we're seeing a reduction now more in the large and medium business sector that's it well they're just using that
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strategy sensing as you rightly said sensing the increase in demand for new orders then the company is moving to the point of looking for new employees or increasing employment, but i want to say here that we are recording that everything is happening at a fairly high level of uncertainty, that is, relatively speaking, when it is not clear what will happen and in the economic in economic theory, this is a very important indicator that characterizes the environment. now it is very high in ukraine, and in the medium-term perspective, it is for six months, and in the short-term, it decreased in the summer. it is very significant, and now here in in august, it grew a little bit again, that is, when you don’t know. what in principle? well, something. you are not sure what will happen in the next one or two months. that is, it is now that the small increase in this indicator. i think there are reasons for this well, the slow-down
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optimism that we are currently observing. well, plus the news. i think that in august there were relatively positive news from the fronts. the ukrainian armed forces were recapturing new territories . i think that in the next survey you will also see a positive response to the counteroffensive in the east of the country and the success of the direction . the speed of arrival of new investors also wanted to ask about relocation, we know that many businesses are moving from dangerous regions where hostilities are still ongoing to safer western central regions, were there any questions on this topic that can we say about businessmen, are they ready to
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take massive risks? i will add to your words about the front and victory. this is really true, because we ask, we have such a question about basic expectations . what what helped? this is the end of the war , the occupation of the territory of ukraine is underway. that is, these are two basic expectations, on which such traditional economic expectations are based further, related to the easing of pressure there. ukrainian business, by the way, about the problems with corruption in us, well, they have never been so bright in us, now, uh . finally, the
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business itself already admits that we are not so corrupt, because corruption exists in any country, and when our western partners say that we will not give you money because you have high corruption. -is your assumptions and even if you take international transferability from there, it is about how the citizens themselves feel, and if of course the entire information field is full of news about how corrupt people are caught, then people think that corruption is high now. we understand that corruption is not the worst thing in reality what can be, there may be russian troops, missiles, and if we compare , of course, business first of all needs victory, yes, as for relocation, let's return to this topic, i will not get from us from yours man, what did acacia give? we didn’t ask about it this month. it seems that at
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the beginning of summer, we asked about whether business, how does it react to the revolution, or in general, the enterprises that came to us faced this. there is another story here, because revacation is like pure relocation when you were at point a and you moved to point b, we found literally only a few such businesses, maybe because, well, this survey is appropriate, you respond to those who feel a little better er, and business, which is all after all, the city has changed, the location is in a state of adaptation, but we have such stories when, for example, you had a business that was located in several regions of ukraine, for example, in uzhgorod, rivne, somewhere near kharkov , and different parts there warehouses or some
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kind of production, that is, this is a parallel structure, and this is a horizontal structure, and that’s just uh , we had several such cases when we came across enterprises that said that we had implemented relaxation, but it was easier for us because in we have already moved some of the capacity in the western regions, and we are really talking about the personnel from, for example, kharkiv oblast to transcarpathia, or there from kharkiv oblast to ivano-frankivsk region, that's why to build these business processes here, let's say, in such a case, when your business is located in such a way, and it made some kind of economic sense, or there was a house for sale, it was right there in the east or in the south, and therefore not always in such in case, well, it is completely restored or this is the structure of the business as it was. nevertheless, this is the
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group of businesses which, let's say, was set up like this , which wanted to extract yes from its colleagues from the territory where hostilities are taking place, they rather, even in the first months, i would say you acted not so much in such a rational economic interest as in the interest of such a humanitarian and human interest in order to build people, yes, business also saves people and really thinks about its employees. thank you for the stories, we will watch them on the website of the institute of economic research and political consulting to read the full report of the survey that the institute conducts every month and it is called ukrainian business during the war, there will be an august survey in just a few days . i have some news, the economy of
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ukraine as a result of hostilities is already 37.2% of the real gdp in an annual measure. this was reported by the state statistics committee of the ministry economists expect that this year the economy may fall by 35-40% due to a full-scale war in the national bank, they are more optimistic that the economy will shrink by 33.4%. well, that already looks unreal since it is already 37.
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wild creatures are not able to choose something else and we in ukraine like to choose all even if it insurance on hotline finance hotline finance insurance of course online how to register as an internally displaced person if you left your home but did not cross the state border of ukraine register as an internally displaced person prepare an identity document confirming ukrainian citizenship or special status in the absence of a passport it is possible to be registered on the basis of a digital document or a certificate from the state migration service of ukraine, the morning shift for you, the smartphone continues on
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the espresso tv channel, it continues for 198 days well, in in principle, i know that i had breakfast, so it's on your nose, give me ayran, it was very tasty. well, good morning to everyone who is having breakfast right now. you see, we are also somewhere in between watching the economic news, uh, something. but we manage to catch something, join us , make coffee, that who is going to work, who has such an opportunity in our current conditions to have a leisurely breakfast and watch the morning morning espresso marathon we are glad to welcome you lesya vasylyuk andriy saichuk and we will actually continue now we will talk a little bit further we talk about what takes place on the fronts on the battlefields although some of them have reports about others honestly karl or charles karl
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or charles charles or karl but the cook will talk about it a little later because the editor is already telling me that we need to move on oleksandr gunko the main thing is the editor of the nova kakhovka city publication mr. alexander joins us. good day, good morning. by the way, are you for chard or for charles later? i agree with you. i also mean the new king of britain for you. what impressed me the most about kakhovka? well, maybe it’s scarier for her, but psychologically it’s probably quite difficult for russians. and actually, that’s the way it is now in nova
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kakhovka, it’s true. yes, when selena turns on, she can know 40 minutes. well, for an hour and a half, it certainly bothers the residents a lot. everything happens at night and when there is a danger that we don't have, the danger can be when, that is, they just psychologically muzzle people with this sound, scary and humiliating. i think that's how people themselves say about it that it's special voters that people were born in order to have a psychological influence, i don't know what's in their head and
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why they do it for a really long time . how do they live now? well, they left. i think there are more than 45,000 residents of the city left. we are already 1,015, so that is less because in the last days when we were still married to the big boy, there were really very few people. they were on the streets, armed and unarmed. by eye, of course, mostly the majority of the people are for ukraine. they are waiting for our armed forces, they are measuring our victory and endure so many
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difficulties that are made by their fate, although we want to emphasize that psychologically the occupation is very difficult when you go to bed every day and wake up in the opinion that the programmers came back later, foreigners are walking there with weapons. what will you do when they can buy you, put you in a basement or handcuff you, document that, during the day and at night , kamazs, btrs, other military equipment are brought you rush to all of the lágvel courthouses, psychologically, there is a lot of pressure on a person, and is the city badly destroyed after the shelling, mainly our zno struck the urban accumulations of
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military equipment and enemy manpower, this is the main industrial zone, where industrial enterprises are located, which, uh, disappeared in some have recently stopped working, but the territory remained, but felt hmm. we were informed that they knocked down a city above the city, a house in the center of the city on druzhba street , and apparently two people died and three people were injured. i want the official official first there is no such thing, she was also previously accepted in front of local clubs, and
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several natural buildings were located there, and this is all that i know about the completely destroyed object. oleksandre also read that the occupiers do not allow any humanitarian aid into the city. when people convince that this is not humanitarian aid for some specific acquaintances, they specially collected some package of what they need. and so the occupiers simply throw everything away at checkpoints everything that the volunteers take to nova ka-kakhovka , respectively, the roadsides are strewn with some kind of baby food and hygiene products, or is it like that, and how is it in general now, what is the current humanitarian situation in the city, how do people get food, is there enough of it, or is it still necessary to somehow get somehow to distribute the
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resource that is available for a longer period of time. that is, you have recently received humanitarian aid. the russian ones came under our supermarket , they came under this russia and it depends on russian products, they are much more expensive, that is, the prices have increased on average from that world, but vegetables and fruits are cheap due to the fact that there is no opportunity to
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