neither are cereals, such as wheat, barley, eh, also rapeseed , eh, they have collected. currently, the active harvesting of sunflower, soybeans is being carried out, the sorting of corn is also being gradually included, do you have producers? therefore, to deposit this grain in temporary warehouses, actually , these are peculiar polymer-polymer sleeves that can be laid directly on the field or on the site , this is possible, but the fact is that the financial situation of agricultural producers is still it's quite difficult, in most cases, those that are grain are sold, they go. at the moment, the loss starts to be lower than the cost of cultivation, and this really does not add much certainty to the conduct of the sowing campaign by the judges, but now we also see that there are forecasts and they claim that what is

it all about after all, the area will be reduced for the main winter grain crops, and now the trucks were standing in line to move to deliver, this problem has been solved and that there with poland it was partially solved, that is, there really was a situation when this the yagodin crossing point of the khustskyi roads was actually blocked on the polish side, there was a strike by polish carriers, it is connected with the fact that they, let's say, when they were returning from ukraine already empty-handed and they also had to defend a huge queue together with the rest that's why we partially agreed that empty trucks will pass through separate checkpoints, which until then were processed only for passenger cars, this is in particular ustilug

, hrushiv has been determined, and a couple more checkpoints, too, this should partially relieve the second part of the problem - this is an insufficient number of inspectors to carry out veterinary and sanitary control at the main checkpoints of automobiles from poland, the same yagodin and rava-ruska mostyska, but at these checkpoints there really were not enough veterinary inspectors from poland to cope with the volumes of we have grains, oilseeds and other agricultural products for export, we hope that within the next couple of weeks we will be able to significantly increase our capacity and avoid this queue, we already had such a situation in july then it was still possible to achieve a significant expansion of capacity by almost two times, and now we see that those volumes were not enough, because the flow

of goods is only increasing. well, he agropolitics predicts that this autumn, farmers will reduce the sowing of grain crops by 25-35% and they will sow oil crops, well, in particular, rapeseed and sunflower will press oil. and next year, taras vysotskyi, the deputy minister of a&c, announced the appearance of an oil pipeline, that is, a pipeline through which oil will flow from ukraine to poland from the beginning to and then somewhere further on to europe and this there is no such thing anywhere in the world, we will have ms. kateryna mr. mr. mr. roman, is there any expediency at all? well, when i first read about it, i thought it was some kind of joke, to be honest. but at the border contraband books yes there er-er this is how the ukrainian-slovak

-ukrainian-hungarian borders cross in this way, is there any economic expediency to build such an oil er-er gas burner, not gas zero well, they say that there are difficulties in the conditions of war but we hope that the war will not will it be eternal, will it end or will it be repaid? who will pay for it? what is the estimate? i just have n’t found the estimate for this construction anywhere. kateryna, it’s just the investors, what are the numbers, who will build. that’s what you think, i hope that’s how it should be, but i want to say what exactly do we need innovations, not transport , especially logistics for our agricultural products, you see what russia did, which first took the crimean ports from us, then they cut off all other ports and

what a big problem we have not to grow e agricultural products are to be taken out, and that is why there is a lot of effort now, if only our european partners would help us in organizing such uh, export via alternative routes, now there is a lot of effort in order for the river ports to work well, and so on, so maybe we study the luck of the minister pc mykola sotskyi said that ukraine can export and transport to gdańsk with such a pipeline, and then it can get on a ship and go to the sage for up to two million tons of oil per year. the idea of ​​an oil pipeline is really uh, why i say an idea, because really now, uh, it is only a signed

memorandum, on the basis of which a technical and economic justification of the possibility and feasibility of the actual construction of such a pipeline will be developed, it is obvious that uh, the development of this pipeline will involve the involvement of private investments because we understand that most of our production of the same oil does not take place in state-owned enterprises, but in private enterprises, and they are interested in exporting. will this project be implemented in in what format? well, we'll see. i guess it's still not a closer prospect. on the other hand, any development of logistics and export possibilities, in addition to sea routes, which unfortunately can be blocked again . after all, there are risks of re- blocking. therefore, it is necessary to maintain those routes that have

already been developed and build new ones, reduce their cost component, because, unfortunately , the costs of delivering to european ports this alternative ways is now very high , $180 to $200 per ton. and actually, why is there a shift in focus from grains to oil crops, because the cost of 1 ton of oil crops or oil itself as already processed is much higher, accordingly, the share of these logistical costs is higher mainly, i just mentioned our other blood of odessa-brod gas pipeline, do you remember in which they invested half a billion hryvnias at the exchange rate of five and that now they pump this gas pipeline with it, we are just afraid that the money will not fly into the grass, the people's general director the ukrainian agrarian business club is represented by mr. roman. thank you, kateryna yaresko, journalist of the cinema project of the

myrotvorets center, was also with us. the portfolio of the national bank of ukraine amounts to uah 604.5 billion, and as of september 13, it is already almost uah 620 billion. this indicates the purchase by the state regulator of bonds in the amount of uah 15 billion, and thus the total amount the financing of the budget in september was plus 30 billion , and at the beginning of the war, plus 315 billion hryvnia . the driver of inflation and it is understandable, just look, when we are talking about

peacetime, this is an absolutely unacceptable thing, when we are talking about war, the situation here is fundamentally different. well, first of all, you need to understand that uh, not a single penny of financial aid, the macrofin that comes from our partners, can be used to finance the war, that is, all that can be financed at the expense of the war at the moment is our taxes and fees that reach the state budget. i will remind you that in august it was somewhere in the order of 95 billion hryvnias somewhere. it’s like that for months, somewhere between 85 and 90. and on average, we spend on war from 100 to 125 billion hryvnias every month, that is, in any case, even when we have good revenues from our partners, even when we have grant money, which then does not have to be given, as was the case in

august, all the same, we have to look for additional funds somewhere to finance military operations . this mechanism actually receives money to the state budget, it is used to finance military operations. so this is an absolutely objective thing, we cannot do without it. thank you, serhii fursam, your assessment is, well again, i completely agree with mr. we would also like to add that the good news is the slowing down of the rate of money printing that we have been observing for the last few months. if we now go to this schedule, it is 30 billion every month, which was advocated by the national bank, which if they exert pressure on the national currency at least until this, indeed, the increase in aid from western partners that we have been observing for about a month has already led, for example, to the fact that in august, our

reserves increased in august, and we received of western aid, about 6 billion, if the needs are four, and by the end of the year, our needs will also completely overlap with these needs, which measures can be financed, on average, by the end of the year, we will receive where 4.3 billion dollars, which was a month ago, yes, the national bank it is being printed , nothing can be done because the army must be financed , it really cannot be financed with the money of our western partners, but now it is not some kind of tragic, catastrophic volume, it is limited and 30 billion per month is controlled and currently no longer exerts such intense pressure on the national currency, what we see in may, but the exchange rate is slowly increasing, creeping up, what to expect, the limit,

whatever you look at, the exchange rate we had one movement. american dollar cash in ukraine, since ukrainians have mostly been buying dollars in recent months, and banks have been selling them to them. they have been bringing them to banks for less than a year, so there must have been a situation when there was simply physical cash there were no dollars in the banks at the beginning of the war - it was simply decided, one plane lands in boryspil, here they brought it and distributed it, now it is a clean logistical problem, and because of these problems , such an artificial and technical deficit of the dollar arose, which provoked certain swings and a certain excitement there. yes , a lot people were running around last week and shouting oh look now there will be another devaluation oh oh catastrophe and so on and so on and so on and so on and so on and so on, this is a purely technical factor . for the first time, it is being formed in the conditions of war, what are the forecasts for

olezhe , well, it is a difficult situation, what could be there? inflation is known to be 30% for next year, in fact, and this year will be 30, actually, the exchange rate at the end of the 23rd year is uah 50 per dollar, in fact, this is a figure in the forecast. and the budget itself is an annual average of uah 42 per dollar , and the budget deficit is drawn 30 billion dollars at the rate of the end of the year is practically somewhere around 1.4.3 million. for example, this is an extremely large deficit. i just want to remind you that in our history, the maximum deficit was during the pandemic, there was 280 billion uah, we said, god, how much we

never got out in 90 but the situation is absolutely unique, you have carried out military operations and there is no other option , and er, look, there is a very clear and very similar i would say indicative position of the international monetary fund, which er announced that it is actively looking for financial resources to help ukraine today as far as i know now, he is in the final stage of negotiations on the program of expanded financing for 20 billion dollars from the international monetary fund, and it will be if it will be. and i think that it will be, this is an extremely good indicator for our creditors because the very fact of cooperation with the international monetary fund in those conditions is a marker of extremely high confidence that the financial markets today express to ukraine as pre-sovereign, that is why these figures, in my opinion, are not critical, they reflect the situation

which is in ukraine, by the way, one trillion e-e out of defense expenditures e for security and defense, this figure is voiced by the president. i think that e this figure should cover the telegraphic needs that e-e ukraine expresses regarding the financing of military actions e and yes let's see on the 15th, the numbers will be more specific, then it will be possible to analyze, this is already objective , what is drawn there the day after tomorrow, mr. sergey, your forecasts for the budget we are more well, the budget will be the same as this year, when social welfare is financed from the funds of our army at the expense of taxes well, that is, there is nothing to look for here, especially physically , and the social sphere, of course , is financed this year and will be financed next year, this is done at the expense of our western funds, and by the way, i apologize for two words, i

will add uh, in any case, there will be an indexation of the subsistence minimum in in any case, there will be an indexation of the pension. well, that is, what is laid down in the legislation in ukraine, it will be implemented, it is unlikely that the minimum wage will increase , but its increase is not determined by the legislative level, that is, if the state has financial she does it in such a way that here i completely agree with you in the village that the main expenditure parts will relate to defense and social payments . greetings to all pensioners, i wanted to ask about the nbu discount rate, which remains at the level of 25% per annum, and i will quote my colleague serhiy lyamtsi, what an economic journalist writes about this in the original language, and we know a new record: 228 billion uah are in nbu deposit certificates

death and balances on the accounts of deposit certificates did not fall below uah 150 billion , which means that in six months some banks earned at least uah 17 billion, in fact, more than these billions were created simply out of thin air at the expense of the administrator of the resource named kyryl shevchenko - this is the head of the national bank of ukraine the state pays the military salaries, but they don’t have time to spend. the state pays for the deaths of our people. the money lies in bank accounts for free. they could go to buy goods with the help of which governments they finance the defense of ukraine well, the gzd has too small interest rates, from 12 to 16, so the money does not go to the purchase of private property. they go to deposit certificates on which the nbu pays 23%. this is how the state finances several banks, and the managers of these banks receive bonuses for good results. if you did not know, in july, the banking system of ukraine showed a profit. oleg are you?

agree with this position and well, i heard that the discount rate was supposed to be reduced to at least 20%, but this did not happen. is there really a problem with deposits among those who say that these are mainly two state banks, oschad and private, which have state money banks earn flies and meatballs well, with all due respect, well, to tell the truth, because it is so mixed well, please explain what is purely inedible, sergey, or you or i, let’s make it very difficult to explain the manipulations , because you read the text that is absolutely manipulative and absolutely not a manipulator they are quoted in decent institutions and a decent company , so there is nothing to talk about here, e.e. the discount rate is a tool to fight inflation and that's all , and you don't need to tie it and manipulate the terms before that, certificates that we ordinary people don't understand. that's why it's absolutely

manipulation here it is not necessary, you can talk separately why the discount rate is high, you can yes, you can talk about the banking system separately, but you cannot manipulate the prices, try to explain the text that you have read, let me try, let me try, see where any bank can put the national bank will receive 23% of this money. correct or not, let me try, there are military bonds that sell at 16%, banks can buy them, why should they invest money in these military bonds and give this money to the armed forces, well, conditionally speaking, yes, if you can put it on a deposit certificate in the nbu and receive from the nbu their 23%. well, it seems that there is logic in this in this text. maybe i don't understand something. and if the accounting 17%. and also the certificate would be

16, so did you buy military bonds, well , bonds are an investment, please, yes, yes, that means first of all, look at the human money that is in today's monobanks , that is, at the moment, there are deposit programs that give 18 and 18%. but 23 wait for a minute deposit certificates of the national bank of ukraine this is one of the directions where the bank can place funds in order to pay out the interest that it gives on deposits, we understand that as an alternative to deposit certificates there has always been lending to the business itself, what is the point the point is that for today business is weak, there are huge problems with e.e. let's say reliable borrowers and for banks . today, unfortunately, there are no alternatives except

certificates of deposit of the national bank. in fact, when you and i talk about the interest rate and the refinancing rate, it is e.e., on the one hand, to contain inflation, and on the other side - this is a limitation of the possibility of business lending. because under 30%, and actually such a figure at the moment of loans that interbank can offer, well, hardly anyone will take it, that is, a percentage reduction lowering the discount rate of the national bank makes sense to discuss from the point of view of the attractiveness of lending for business, we have behind us the state program to lower the interest rates for the good sector there 5 7 9 then, in principle, it is not so critical for business, anyone who wants can theoretically take a loan with the help of the state and at the moment there is a 0% discount in the agricultural sector in general. therefore, look at the tone and there are no corruption schemes that

the economic journalist talks about, this is normal normal forms of placement of funds, because the bank in any case, well, it will not work itself to death, after that it attracts money from the market , takes money from people, and it also has to pay them some certain interest. so when we talk about war bonds, they are today significantly below the market and today there is a serious discussion of this rate between the ministry of finance and the national bank of ukraine because the national bank recommends raising interest rates on military bonds, the ministry of finance says this is additional pressure on the state budget secondly, the actual interest rate on post-war bonds cannot be a way of making money, it is a form of support for the armed forces, so the discussion here continues, but to say that this is a corruption scheme, well, no, thank you. well, it is not just a

deposit . your desire to help the armed forces of ukraine and place it there investment investment it is not necessary to make a choice to buy ovdp under 16 or to deposit a certificate in the nbu, of course, and to put money, someone wants to help if the difference is 7%. you income is an economic journalist good for business and he was constantly voicing russian negatives before the war, so i don’t think so , but in fact, please, but in fact, if there are free funds in the bank, where will the banker put them in the obdp deposit, or will he put it on the certificate of deposit of the national bank. if you want, if the banks bought military bonds, then please bid on military bonds at the market level, do not force the bank at 23% inflation, and forecasts for these 30%. to buy state debts at a rate of 15-10%."

raise the rate on the military bond to 30%. and no banker will leave billions in deposits, e-e banks recruited when the refinancing rate was low, in the order of 10%."

this is not a question of the national bank, this is a question of the ministry of finance, and you say my film, i want the state to

pay for it, but he starts discussing with the ministry of finance and the ministry of finance says that i do not want to burden the budget , we will pay off debts at the level of 30%, when the americans give me free and the europeans at 0% for 30 years, and what argument will the ministry of finance use as to why it should pay 30% internally debt, why should the nbu pay 24 for deposit certificates or 23 for bank certificates, because it is a tool for tying up funds in the nbu for a different purpose , look at the nbu for another purpose. the nbu ties up that liquidity with deposit certificates and printed funds that he printed 315 billion uah. he he printed them, he put them into circulation so that those hryvnias would not collapse due to inflation. he has to keep them somewhere , and at the moment he is giving uh 23% on certificates of deposit, tying up

liquidity at the same time, the refinancing rate is 25%. and the essay today is given at 27, that is, the bank cannot take financing and invest it in certificates of deposit. he can invest in 23% what he collected from the market and took from people at 18%. you understand that the ideology is a little different here, and you noted that there were some expectations that the discount rate would now decrease to 20%. there were no such expectations in the market at all. there was no inflation at all. now there was no inflation at all . now there is 30% inflation, so where are we waiting for a 30% decrease? it can be assumed that we talked about the market. an analyst at the dragon-capel company, also an economic expert of the executive director of the economic discussion club. thank you yegor checherinka for a

real discussion, he lit a fire with a hearth. we worked this morning for you. stay, don't go anywhere, some creatures are surprised by the toilet in the house. and we from ukraine can insure cars, even if you are in the toilet, hotline, finance, insurance, of course, online, the war in ukraine is the main topic for ukrainians, victories and losses analysis and forecasts politics and geopolitics serhii rudenko and the guests of his program will talk about all this people who have information and shape

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