and you blame who had the cars and we all knew, we know about it and we see. so when there are diapers on the military prisoners eh fall into our hands and into the hands of our ukrainian soldiers in the crimea, at first, there was someone they tried and there was a decree, a decree, otherwise they tried to create anabolism commissions, they suspended these events, on the other hand, they began to activate the creation of so -called so-called dobrobats, and as far as i know, there is a directive from moscow well, it was kadyrov's proposal collect 100,000 e from each subject of the federation for 1,200 volunteers, i.e. 85 subjects of the federation, including this one of draft age, and

leave with their families to three countries, for example , to turkey, europe, there to canada, to america, and those who a so now they offer more to sign contracts for probationary servicemen or those who are mobilized or who have already served, and only those who sign contracts are sent to enroll the ranks of the russian army. there is no current and i think that this will not happen. and i hope that this will not happen, but we constantly appeal to our fellow citizens so that they do not sign any contracts in any way, because yes, there have been such cases when 40 er vika, what kind of plan? well, who was

supposed to mobilize, they themselves signed contracts and provided and whether children who did not inform their er parents, they ended up in the ranks of the russian army on the territory of ukraine and we have information about those who died a- or well, i was not even in such a place died and was destroyed by our liquidated ukrainian armed forces, they now have very little time left, so i will try to ask what the rapid counteroffensive in the kharkiv region showed, which was very unexpected for everyone. e which at the moment seem not very achievable. and i am now talking about the deoccupation of crimea. on the one hand, today we have another threat from the kremlin from piskov, who said that we are there, and here are examples if someone is going

to take crimea, and on the other hand, do we have it ready? uh, do we know what to do in crimea on the second day? and if uh, ukrainian tanks are already there, relatively speaking, what should come after the tanks, and the main question is that crimea was sufficiently pro-russian even before the 14th year, and it is obvious that it is hardly less so now pro-russian, or maybe less, i don't know , because what do we need to do, just a minute, do you have such a plan, at least among the ukrainian tatars, well, in this case, i want to say that, how in certain how are they going to enter the armed forces of ukraine and then in first of all, we are what is needed. and if there is a need to hold such public events, what concerns partisans and partisans or others? i think that this is, first of all, a huge matter for the special services, and

because such people need to be trained, and it is important for us that people are not with meat and meat and people did their work efficiently and in this direction we need to cooperate with the special services of ukraine thank you thank you iskanderbarii the head of the crimean tatar resource center and a member of the mechlis of the crimean tatar people was with us we are moving on and now petro chernyk will appear on your screens - this is a military expert, father peter. good day. glory to ukraine. glory to the heroes. what do you think? so, 400 prisoners of istanbul are going to ukraine to fight. they promise to collect 100,000 e. are the russians, will they manage to mobilize their people against the fact that you are here and fight with the ukrainians, in my opinion, there are reasons for a large

mobilization, that's what it's called, get up agro , a huge country, they don't have at the moment, i think that the window of opportunity they had in may-black exactly then it was necessary to implement it after the ukrainians showed a brilliant level of organization, in my opinion, a brilliant operation against the russian women of kharkiv , they are gradually beginning to understand that the ukrainians are a serious military force. they have resources, shagay, about 8 million people. this is quite a lot of soviet carrots, kalashnikov assault rifles, grenades, grenade launchers, and they have enough old ones tanks, two more t-65s, and even up to t-34 grandpa, if necessary, despite the fact that there is a certain restrained optimism in the part of maintaining

their increase in human combat potential , they still have them well, but these are actually the ones that show even the interception of these er, from the mobilized er, in former er prisoners, they show that they literally give them a week for training, a week that can be learned in a week, er makes a strategic mistake and looks at them the way we look at our soldier on soldier worthlessness on weight of gold and we are trying to prepare it as best as possible to equip it, including reminding that the moscow intralism never treated its soldier respectfully, i emphasize never. for a week, it is enough to remember the skills of working with a kalashnikov assault rifle, or shall we say by the same token that two, i will remind them, they always had a conscription component, she in they have always had, that is, the primary skills have been taught and

cast under spells. what do you think of their philosophy? if, after all, russia announces a general mobilization, what will our answer be? should we then also increase the number of the armed forces of ukraine in a mandatory manner, let's look at the problem very critically and realistically, after all, they are either 144 or 146 million, that 's a lot. after this military migration crisis that they caused us, well, in the best case now in ukraine there are, god forbid, 35 million people. well , we understand that these potentials are not commensurate, if they still resort to general mobilization, that is, we will be forced to strengthen our own mobilization component, there is also an opinion mykola sumhorovsky wrote to the director of the razumkov program center that he still believes that by the end ukraine has seized the strategic

initiative all along the front line and he thinks that by the end of the year the russian troops will be scattered and the war will have its own way. conclusion i know that you rarely share optimistic forecasts, however, do you consider such an option, anything can happen, it would be the height of unwiseness to say it won't happen just because it won't happen let's remember the beginning in january, i had very serious discussions with my colleagues, because i belonged to those one percent of people who firmly asserted that there will be a war again, they told me that it will not happen because it will not happen, because it cannot happen, then unequivocally asserting or denying this thesis was not the height of wisdom. however i am not a supporter of such a concept, two words, why if you do not lose the classic war in ukraine, putin will lose his life, their elites will sit on the bench in and

they will not allow this and the russian federation will be on the path of its growth, then let's be sober realize that the people who hold the power there cannot accept such a scenario, they remember very well what happened to sloboda, but not to the foal, they remember very well how sadenko died in the sejm, they remember very well what agony muamarka dafi died in, and this is only now because it is still necessary to remember stalin and iberia and the like. terans who lose die in agony. i would not be surprised that they have already run out of resources and that it can still fall sharply if it is necessary to throw 10 million russians into the war and kill them just to they will do it to keep the power, or can it all crumble in one day, the old man can too. i know such cases, but it would be extremely unwise to bet on such a moment. it is better to prepare for a

protracted war. and if there is a pleasant surprise, then let it be a pleasant surprise. you urge, urge to prepare for the worst so that later it will be more pleasant to read happy news from the front, you know i do not call for brutal realism , i know history too well and i know it too well this is what is called moscow imperialism excuse me please, selfishness and if you carefully analyze how everything is built for them, history probably starts with the founding of moscow in 1947 by this prince yuri dolgorukin and most importantly how they integrated into the asian political system, namely after the tatar-mongol invasion, because they are their heirs, i cannot allow yourself, you know , such groundless optimism, yes, the kharkiv operation is brilliant, one front line beyond 1,300 km

, as it was and is. on the right bank of the dnieper fire control is complete and absolute but we do not have examples of surrendering 1200 e-e i apologize to 123 0005 000 russians but they are fighting like this, the level of motivation is decreasing but they are fighting and they are not going to surrender because of that excuse me and where to get you know constructive optimism. i am a man of facts. so when the facts will start to speak for themselves and we will start advancing every day in the led front, especially on the donetsk bridgehead by 10-15 km, and such dynamics will be maintained for at least 10 days, and the good one a month later, i will be the first to talk about the turning point in

this war, the strategic initiative is 100% on our side, but do not confuse it with the turning point, what is the turning point , what is written, how much more do we have before the turning point, or what else do we need with weapons for this turning point to come, in my opinion, to the real turning point should be no less than 60 seven machines, and that a, that 80, this one gave such a very conditional figure, the figure was preferably 100 machines and aviation complexes f16 f15, even better f-35, although let's say the swedish gripen or the french rafale or even the south korean kay f- 21 unequivocally for support for electronic warfare can turn the tide of this war, is there optimism that such machines will appear in our country? i personally have $100 , $100 million allocated to the training of our pilots as early as june, and there is no

doubt that every dollar has been used for the intended purpose, although reminds that in our system, a pilot prepares for almost 5 years to become an ace in six months, you can teach a person, but what is called an ace is not proved, it is actually very painstaking and difficult work, will such machines appear , i have no doubt, i believe it, the question when on my the view is very late autumn and the question of the number of the voiced numbers is, you know, it is at the level of fantasy, but even 10-12 24 machines of this class are a significant reinforcement for the turning of the front, let's not forget that the strategic line from seversk to kherson actually continues to stand at the point of strategic balance, we showed brilliance in the kharkiv direction, but one won battle does not mean a won war. napoleon once took

moscow, it burned down. in the end, he lost the war, and in the end the battle of konotop in 1659. ivan vyhovsky defeated the muscovites, who in conclusion, the first muscovite-ukrainian war was unfortunately lost, we don't have you to blame for the mistakes, we don't have an existential war, either we them or they us we will win only through patience and common sense, we provided, by the way, i also asked myself the south and the war in korea when the front line was moving from one end to the other of the peninsula and uh, in the end it was fixed somewhere in the middle, uh , could it be that after all, ukraine will have to come to terms with the fact that part of the territory will remain under the control of russia, and uh opportunities for conducting hostilities will be reduced by such a scenario is possible, i apologize

on the ground, brutal realism, many people will not like my words, moreover, at the time of the kharkiv operation, i was on the eastern bridgehead, you know , such a very serious unpleasant sediment crept into me because a huge number of ukrainian media platforms well, they just raised the degree of euphoria for such a strap, they say that the ukrainian flag will fly almost on sakhalin well, this is not serious , the greatest threat of such a scenario is mental unequivocally, separately, we and crimea will be recaptured without fail, but only when this is not a sub-state will begin to disintegrate, i am firmly convinced that it will disintegrate. however, i am not optimistic that this will happen in the coming years, and even that it can live in this regime for several decades and again about this what you say about diplomacy is again a false narrative that we form for ourselves that diplomacy solves something diplomacy is nothing

the greatest diplomacy is a tool these are mediators who talk between the centers of power who are these people, diplomats, when we say that there is a diplomatic settlement of the problem - it means that those parties who actually hold the power and decide something among themselves have agreed and left the diplomat with only a technical function, is it all to legalize or legitimize because it is not the same thing or and the first and the second will not be returned in any way, either because of force or the threat of force, that our military force is so great that it will be impractical to allow a military operation to be carried out, and then the diplomats will legally formalize the what will those people who really hold the power agree on? this is exactly how we should look at geopolitics. it is high time for all of us ukrainians to really sober up and understand that the pacific is such,

unfortunately, it is very, very sad to say that in the 21st century it has not taken its rightful place for solving international problems. problems military force has returned to reality such a harsh reality and let's not ignore it thank you mr. peter for your forecasts and for you for your brutal realism and i think that hmm i think that it is to establish and understand why we also need to stand up from time to time, despite the fact that we have certain successes in some directions, but we do not forget who our enemy is and that he will not stand up for a price. france express a p

ivan good day good day mr. peter charnik was just talking about the fact that, in his opinion, without air superiority, ukraine will not be able to develop such a fast and constant crushing offensive well, how do you say that is more than obvious because, really, if it were to be formulated more clearly, on the one hand, western analysts say that the peculiarity of the current war of the russian federation against ukraine is that the parties are not competing to achieve superiority in the air, they are competing to prevent the aviation of the other side from being controlled zone if, ​​on the one hand, we reached such a situation when russian aviation does not risk flying through the combat formations of our air defense systems, and here regardless of what is meant exactly, whether posts with portable anti-aircraft missile systems or stationary air defense positions, is our

aviation there at all, yes, but on the other hand, our air force does not have that many. well, it means that their power and hitting the rear lines of the enemy does not work than let’s say for 40 km, because so far this is the most record-breaking indicator e 40 km into the depth of the enemy's positions when our attack aircraft flew in, again when there were calls to hand over the same to us in 16, in the context of preparing for the contract, in this if there was logic that the f-16 is a universal plane that can at the same time bomb back the enemy and shoot it down at the same time some if the enemy's planes can appear over polempa, and we don't have such opportunities, well, but on the other hand, it means that they are considered, so far, they have such a theoretical character, because, well, come september, and somewhere there soon they will be on combat duty, then these 11 i also heard that the mig-29 is operating there with equipment according to nato standards, which we need to get from slovakia. well,

the question of the political transfer of the f16 to us, but apparently it has not been resolved yet, so far we do not have the tools for that, you know, although to somehow achieve, if not quantitative, then qualitative superiority over the russians, hmm. well, for now, it all remains such a theoretical construction that yes, we need modern aviation in order not to hear the russians more effectively. had reports from the southern command that the russian troops are actually trapped there and what is the future perspective in your opinion in the coming weeks if we are talking specifically about the kharkiv defensive positions in the oskol area will be abandoned because one side is there . let's say the task is basically to move to the other

bank of the oskol river. it looked rather difficult, because the river bank is such a beautiful , so-called natural border for setting up defenses . well, but we already know that yesterday the troops moved to the schools in the kupyansk district, accordingly, the enemy's position in that district is under our fire control. well, as our troops advance in the donetsk direction or even in the svatovo area, they will in addition, the russians will have to leave their positions there with, let's say, putting their belgorod district at risk on the one hand, so on the one hand, they will cling there. these are their positions, since they will have the capabilities of such a set. and the most important thing is morale. well, on the other hand, how is the action there? of good will, another act of good will is not far

away in kharkiv oblast but that well, let's say on the one hand, this is their most modern and most massive tank, and they positioned it as a kind of, you know, budget version of that gun, the pt-14 armata tank, which they still don't have a series of, if you can't say that it's some such an outstanding tank there in terms of the power of the power plant or weapons, because well, the weapon engines are actually identical to those of the 72. there, the main electronics, for example , the fire control electronics, the viburnum system, which theoretically should have been installed also on this or 30 theoretically, on this t-90 m breakthrough tanks should have installed such specific equipment as sensors for the troop control system under the index of its court tese there is a single control system of tactical wine, but if these sensors of this system of its core z were also found on this interesting specimen,

our specialists from one gets the key. how can you effectively paralyze the management system? well, of course. and so if from one side it looks like, if the russians start to panic and intervene, then they have no management as such, but here by the enemy troops with the help of electronic warfare means, it will be forced to run later if these sensors from the system are su-ts found on the captured t-90m - this is a much simpler task, plus it says that this trophy tank had a cape system to reduce radar radiation, if this system is not studied, let's say hmm , it will be much easier to find such tanks, because, apparently, this t-90m breakthrough fell into our hands by accident, purely because one of the elite in quotation marks of the crews of the elliptical in quotation marks of the etaman

division eh let's say he ran and threw the car like that, it would be quite possible even if we purposefully looked for this car with the equipment, you wouldn't find it because there are enough and rare electronics there and what about the carpathians well, if we return to topics of the kherson region, the kherson region, how are things going there? this is a ukrainian offensive, we see that in fact the advance is not very fast. however, there is good news that the russians are in fact completely controlled there. well, they are under fire control. how long will they be enough for a long time, and this time frame before the onset of winter cold, well, so far it looks like they will be finished before this time frame well, of course, on the one hand, we can assume that the operation will last a little longer than it was planned well, but with on the other side, the result will then be more devastating for the russians and

yours than planned, because it is one thing if there were several thousand of those groups of russian troops, they would simply physically surrender to kherson, then that is one thing, and if they, this group will be the morale of christians is physically destroyed, you know that. it can be put in order because, of course, for some reason, it is customary to evaluate the success of the troops solely by the mileage of the advance, but right away, let's see who is the first to see how many russians have been destroyed, uh, the enemy's russian equipment has already been destroyed there, a minimum occupiers and over let's say 122 tanks, because it turns out that in general, the armed forces of the kherson region actually destroyed the tanks of the enemy of the bolshevik region. it is telling, again hmm, if until a certain moment our troops were there purely for ammunition depots as the most acute body. now our

troops can afford to spend ammunition on enemy positions, that is, now we can shoot at them for hours, our eyes can now be made at control points the enemy, our troops can now attack the food warehouses , accordingly, you know, do everything to stimulate the russians to think accordingly. terrible, even if it will be stretched in this way, stretched a little in time until november, more precisely, from now on , take the task of destroying the enemy grouping in the kherson bridgehead in the literal physical sense, it will be completed to the end . well, the russians continue to advance on bakhmut, and what do you think of the strategy if theirs does not change, and will this allow them to succeed, what is the importance of bakhmut? well, on the one hand, let's say that there is no reason to believe that their attack on bakhmut will be successful, simply because they have not prepared for

of their previous defeats, which are here. you know here, it is quite worth and valuable to note that, especially after the battle, such a psychological breakdown occurred in them , because until now the russians thought that it was they who could create a barrage of fire so as to delay the advance of our troops. that is, you are only now our troops have enough artillery ammunition to create a barrage of fire for their advance , now they know they have another such psychological factor that broke from the other side, you know, and they now have no choice but to simply try to advance on bakhmut, because the russian army was raised on such offensive concepts, that is, the russians can only advance there. and it turns out that if the russian army is now, in principle, everywhere on the defensive , then how is the enemy's army developing there earlier than i could have imagined, where you kremlin understands the armed forces of the russian federation perfectly, that is why they can attack bakhmut and will do it even if this case is without perspective and these troops, well, their troops are there

they are doing this purely to prevent the collapse of the personnel troops if they become defensive, the personnel army developed very quickly, and actually, what do you think, or are you a supporter of the fact that the war can end by the end of the year, at least in the most active stage? well, i think that such the terminological concept is not defined because, on the one hand, it is true that at the end of november, some active battles there will end because the weather will interfere, but the fighting will physically continue after the new year in 2023. well, yes, for what 2023 year and it turns out that in the spring we still have new aggravated companies waiting for us, that is, about the fact that there is vinnytsia and some political settlements will begin, well, talk about it somehow, according to even more optimistic calculations there, we could take mariupol no earlier than in january, despite the fact that it seems general marchenko stated with a perspective that it

would be possible to take kherson by the beginning of september, and mariupol by the beginning of 2023, unfortunately, we see that the hope for a quick capture of kherson was not fulfilled, according to the battles in mariupol are postponed for a much longer period, that is, the war will obviously continue until 2023 and there is no need to talk about any freezes. the case received another dose of brutal realism. well, only now, not only from petr charnyk, but from ivan kyrychevskii, an expert of defense express . well, at this hour, our air time has also ended, and, well, we will see each other in the next one. hours, we remind you that the broadcast of the farewell ceremony with queen elizabeth ii is in progress, you can

see it on one of the youtube channels of the espresso tv channel, er, 30,000, almost 31,000 people are currently watching what is happening in great britain on our on our youtube channel. i think more are watching and on this, anna eva will pick up our air and tell us what happened in the last hour. thank you, colleagues, i am happy to pick up the espresso air and about the most important thing, stay with us