this is a different way of thinking of a person. well, it’s completely different than you and i. they are at the front. what can they do? well, what are they good for? well, again, i see the number, the number is exceptional. stormtroopers, well, it's romantic, that is, i'm not saying, er, cannon fodder or stormtrooper. it sounds more beautiful, er, but what is the story of the criminal world? he clearly articulated there, he said that everyone who takes a weapon to hands they will have big problems there places of deprivation of liberty in general, who will show a desire now about what they can do at the front. i am sure that they will be kept and are already kept separately from the russian military, because the criminal environment is worse than rust. it will simply corrode if they are all combined it will erode the discipline in the russian army , that is why they are kept separately by their leaders there

, but they receive instructions from the russian military command and will send them to the worst and most difficult areas of the front where are the mines, you said correctly. where are our positions most strengthened in order to find out where our positions are ? in detail and professional comments ivan stupak, a military expert, we talked about the mobilized and the situation on the fronts, which is a little interesting that there is another kind of russian troops, which is the orthodox of the moscow patriarchate in our country. a branch and they have their orthodoxy... kirill spoke and said that it is not necessary to consider ukrainians as enemies and watching over them is still such a russian, but

if we came out of the same cradle of russia, well, that 's all. that's all, and the russian church and so on. and i look at the narrative of the orthodox church. i wonder what they say in our churches in their branches. what about our people, how are they brainwashing them now, because last week there was such a blogger among them, also in a cassock, some andrey tkachev from lviv, he remembered ukrainian speak the language and speak in ukrainian, he wrote a blog in ukrainian where he also says that america is the devil, an unclean force, and so on, but we have to stick together, because we all have similar traditions, and in general, no one is taking ukrainian away from you the language of ukrainian poets, ukrainian writers, you can leave it all to yourself, but let's still be brothers. we decided from the same crucible. and this is nato, america is all hostile and generally dissolute, that's why they lead an interesting line. i

wonder what they are leading to. 1400 people have been detained in russia, at rallies in 39 russian cities , these protests took place well, let it continue, let it continue. well, if you look at the population of russia, it is such a tiny, tiny fraction of the entire population of that hundred million . again, in the same place, the vast majority of russians live up to the urals , there are 120 million beyond the urals, there are 20 or so. that is, you can imagine a huge territory where one person can live on 1,000 m² somewhere. that's why the whites are like this, here they are, here they are, let them huddle up to the urals, let them do something there, move around small villages, you understand what it means to hide from the military commissars, the urals, there, please, siberia, one rival, yes, and these and the bears

, yes. and where are the whites, i wonder how these eyes are all the news affected the economy of russia, has something changed there, and now we will talk about it ilya ne skadovsky, director of the institute of social and economic transformation well, not only about the russian economy, about ours, too well, but the first thing is what they have there, mr. ilya congratulations good afternoon. tell me a little bit about the fact that one of the most popular requests that appeared yesterday is the question of how to break your arm. what do you see? they don't just have the opportunity to hide somewhere, they also think about how to avoid being drafted into the army if they are found. it's easier to break an arm than, accordingly, to get into the army, joking like that, right away, let them break heads and that would be the case, first of all, there should be a question how to break an arm without pain, yes, there is always a lot of vodka in russia , that's why, in principle, it doesn't hurt, you can do it there

there would be a desire and after they announced the mobilization in my opinion, yes or not and when it was the day before yesterday the information that there will be a speech by putin that they didn't have it, the moscow stock market has already fallen and how is the economy reacting now on so yesterday, the mobilization of protests and the prospect of all this for the russian economy, which are of such high quality, well, first of all, with regard to the moscow stock exchange, it should be understood that after restrictions were introduced regarding work with the same non-residents regarding the possibility of buying and selling shares, then there only the most loyal remained on the stock market, and can you imagine, that is, even the most loyal who, in fact, very much want to continue working on the russian market under those conditions, they even decide to sell everything that is left, that is, in fact, with this decision, russia also knocks out the last

investors who want to keep some russian securities in your wallet. that is, it clearly shows everyone's attitude directly to what is happening in the economy. in addition to this, of course there are objective consequences of this the first solution is, of course, that if it was announced that even no one would escape, they would catch everyone and shove 300,000 of them into the russian army , which means that we have a very strong blow, men of working age will be taken, they will be taken from enterprises that are currently making profits and this will mean that they will not be able to produce the volume of products that they used to produce, first of all, secondly, many russians are now making the decision to actually carry out immigration, they are considering requests, and these have also increased this is a question of kazakhstan, turkmenistan, respectively, asian countries, this is a question and the armies of georgia, turkey

, that is, turkey, that is, in all countries, they are now looking for ways to save themselves according to this mobilization, because they understand that if they are taken away, yesterday there was a very vivid video about how one the woman was crying over her two sons, and that she did not raise these sons for this, that they died there. that is, it is very good for us, in general, the mood in society and what she had, but you have to understand that everyone has now realized this there won't be a walk in three days it will be death that is , you send every every russian mother here to death and what they sing there about no war sorry where were you in february where were you in march so no pity they only think about their pivot the interests are in no case about ending this war, only to save ourselves. and the economy also has another point, that is, the first is

that able-bodied personnel will be removed, and the second is that there will be corresponding migration. i really like it interesting conditions were created for the programmers to remain. they still fled 200,000, and after this decision on partial mobilization, this means because they will think well, ours is to stay and risk the fact that sooner or later they will be taken from you and these people will also flee abroad accordingly , that is they will lose the most intelligent part of the population that earns, therefore, in this context, the losses for the russian economy directly will be very significant. a foreign passport, by the way, i don’t know about these countries with which they, er, don’t have er, well, there are no obstacles to leaving, they can leave with internal passports, they once went to russia, i think neither in finland nor in georgia, they have internal passports for sure they won't come out, even the vozbucs have stopped. well, yes, it is possible to go to belarus, and it is

possible to go to kazakhstan, the truth is that they are not very popular there, and the videos show how unhappy the kazakhs are about the influx that came to them already at the beginning behind there cards banking almost in order to use they already have a negative attitude well, now i think it is even more possible in general kazakhstan is an example of the decision that this is the closing of borders but you can really go there without a foreign passport, that is, the options are basically the same there, partly for the army, and hmm there you need a passport, but you can do it without any visas , in general there are countries where you don’t need any visas , you just need to have this passport. and i would like to ask today, it became known in the morning that in turkey, there are, well, several turkish hotels russian payment cards have stopped being accepted - this is a hotel, the crystal hotel is tetenik, and there is another hotel, well, they are a chain of hotels all over the world, but in turkey, but today it became known

that they stopped accepting russian payment cards in vietnam, where russians like to go to the sea to relax then in if i'm not mistaken, we were talking about whether i would lie to her or kazakhstan, well, in any case, a few more countries will also refuse russian payment cards, how important is it , because russians will come there somewhere, somewhere there to hide from mobilization and suddenly what to pay and they don't accept e-cards and why are there such countries, even those that are not. well, in such positions, you know, democratic values ​​are just there in the western world, all the others. they are also starting to refuse russian cards. why so? well, first of all these are of course secondary sanctions that are applied to those e-banks that accept russian cards, and this is really a warning from the united states of america and the european union, and therefore turkey also makes such a decision that if this international campaign, you have hotels not only in that country, which are also accepted, for example, all

over the world, then you will have problems with carrying out various transactions, this is the first moment, the second moment - this is about why, how will they act, this is the transition to cash cash - this is a risk and this is the withdrawal of funds from the banking system of russia, that is, it is better to take and have the funds than later , even still, you will risk that you will be blocked and possibly even confiscated, it is not known how the situation will develop further for them, this is such a powerful blow, and there is one more option that they used a lot, which i already talked about a little - this is to go to kazakhstan, kazakhstan will receive a kazakh bank card accordingly, when you correctly noted that the kazakh banks do not like it either, and they have limited such an opportunity in other words, you can still continue to use it if you have already received a cossack bank card , but new cards are no longer issued, that's why they also

say that the basis, that is, sanctions affect by the way, jose borel, head of european diplomacy said that there should be another set of sanctions prepared, and already in the near future. when will they be introduced? and how will this shake the russian economy? i don't know the reasons for these sanctions. there was only one if it will concern oil, but it is very important that the european union does not abandon the fact that it will introduce from december of this year, namely, the refusal to buy russian oil. will refuse to introduce a ban on the purchase of oil, therefore it is very important that this does not

happen, firstly, and secondly, the european union has a sufficiently powerful tool left to hit the economy of russia with the main ones, someone carries out the transportation of russian oil, it is greek tankers to greek well, dykhletskyi, according to shipping, therefore, if and this was discussed at the time, if i am not mistaken in this package, if, uh, a restriction on the transportation of russian oil by european carriers will be implemented, then in fact it will also lose up to 70% of the sea way of selling oil to the same india and china. and this will already mean that he will lose not only 40% of the european market and his income, but also lose somewhere around 20%, i understand that there will be a certain replacement directly and additional to the world market, in other words, the loss of the largest incomes and now, the price of oil is

still high enough, 60% of it comes from the sale of oil. and in general, the income from the sale of energy sources is 90% of the income of the russian federation panela, i will now ask one more question. in our village there was a grandmother who survived the war and always when there was something there, they treated her well and asked. when well, so that they don't eat there well, thank god that they wanted to , so of course we understand that uh, in the war, we don't need to think about any extraneous things, but still, well, the most necessary thing should be, we understand this, so i would like to ask about the most necessary thing, we will enter winter, what is there from the budget of our state the body is now called the budget of victory, although we have not yet allegedly won, and what guarantees do we have from our western partners that when it will be difficult, because we do not know when the enemy will hit there, some things will work, some things will not work, well, they can even beat on the gas pump. we don't know what the situation will be here, so what guarantees do we have now,

at least for this autumn-winter period, from our partners, that we will put up and our economy will withstand, please, i would divide the first moment into two moments - it is financial and economic, and the second point is energy, because the situation is different, the fact that they will continue to help us, the fact that we will be financed by the budget deficit that we have now laid down, i am convinced of this, in particular, for example, in the near future, or rather next month, it will be at the meeting of the international monetary fund i am convinced that the program of the international monetary fund to support ukraine will be significant and will not cover most of the needs that we will have next year, and this is a corresponding positive as well, let's not puzzle me yet, but in principle, the preliminary information that comes from here means that this is exactly the decision that will be made, that is, the financial problem is that we, in principle , provide security, the problem lies in energy issues and not in whether we will be here

now, taking into account the number of enterprises what are the houses that have been destroyed so far? today, in principle, the gas balance is enough to build each house and provide each house with adequate heat and hot water, but there are the following risks: the first the risk is that there will be strikes on critical infrastructure and, accordingly, we will not be able to deliver gas from our western gas storage facilities to the east of the country, and this is a serious challenge, firstly and secondly, if russia stops completely 100% transported this gas , eh, then we also have problems with pressure, so if we talk about how ukrainians should prepare , everyone should always have a plan b, especially those who live in large houses, where you can go accordingly, where you can heat with firewood or with some other alternative fuel and, accordingly, to redo this winter, for this there are serious challenges, it is

necessary to understand that such a plan b should be the same as you had an alarming suitcase e before february 24. that is, it should be. you should think about it now and not think about it then when can this happen thank you very much elena skadovskyi, the director of the institute of socio-economic transformation, was in touch with us. oh, i just wanted to ask out of respect. but you have options. i have already thought about where i will go. it will suddenly be very cold. i will have to warm up somewhere. banal well, listen, i can go in principle, as it happened that the war caught me at my parents' house and not in buch, fortunately i can go to my parents, but the truth is that there is little time to go to work from my parents, and for this you will have to spend the same money on gasoline. therefore i don't know, i'm calling my dad again. maybe he'll watch our topics now and listen to me. they say we should get together and buy some diesel or gasoline generator in case something suddenly disappears. electricity

disappears. electricity is called up. the boiler and it disappears, and hot water and oops, in principle, it’s gas, so, well, that’s why and who knows it can and will have to hack some friends, there are other boilers, which are pallets. we refuel there, too, you can. in any case, i advise all ukrainians to think. well, there should be a house somewhere in the village. there should be at least some stock of firewood for the first month there for you to come. well, freezing is also that. by the way, you can die from this too, everyone will understand. that's why he said it very well. lady bream that you need to prepare for the personality in winter, woolen socks from the hutsul region will be very trendy. hutsul socks, you know , they are so hairy. kotsky are so cool. actually, i am talking about them. they are warm and beautiful. you can sleep on them, as the hutsuls used to do . it's already that

winter from putin oleksiy the hedgehog is with us analyst of the national institute of strategic week p oleksiy i congratulate you i congratulate you well here we are talking about what we should prepare for in the winter and the most important thing is to live until that winter because putin is not swinging a nuclear club threatens everyone that this is no longer a bluff. and here we are . why should we prepare to go and buy some vitamins? well, i still remember the soviet times when everyone was preparing for a nuclear war. well, you know, preparing for a nuclear war is like preparing for an earthquake and a tsunami. if something happens, will there be much or will it change? i absolutely agree that you have to have your own options for action, there is a suitcase, there is a place to hide, but you understand. if a nuclear bomb explodes in your

yard, then there is nothing, or a meteorite falls or an earthquake, then there is something difficult right under you. to do, but simply the probability of such events is very small. putin brandishes his nuclear weapons, nuclear weapons, well, wonderful weapons, for how long he has been in office, and the danger here is that he personally looks different from his surroundings, what is this? less and less believes all this putin believes that a one-time or demonstrative use of nuclear weapons in general, any use of nuclear weapons fundamentally changes the situation, it is such a magic wand that allows him to win even in a no-win situation because all the others they will be scared and make concessions, this will not

happen, first of all, because a nuclear explosion is not such a terrible thing, and especially if it is in the field, i will tell you if something explodes somewhere in the field, we do not know, we will find out about it from the russian telegram channels, and where they will be to tell that something terrible has happened and who will see within a radius of 10 km the flash in clear weather if there are no clouds, then well, they will see and if you do n't see, you will read that the danger exists because of this psychological devotion to putin, lead ideas of blackmail a-a but hmm, that's it but must be considered after all, the risk is real, or rather real, and the probability of it is still small because putin does not have a red button that allows you to automatically use nuclear weapons. that is, there is no such device that putin would put pressure somewhere or say something, it would fly automatically, no such thing

there is an option, something similar to a nuclear button , but they are just an authenticator of putin's order to use nuclear weapons in a certain scenario, and then whether this order will be used or not, and whether this opportunity is used or not is a big issue the question is because it seems that no one except putin believes in it anymore, but there are risks, it is necessary to talk about it, and it was until putin in november that such sentiments in the russian leadership can maintain that there is a need to have one's own way . nato in europe said that if putin uses nuclear weapons, the united states of america will destroy the black sea fleet of the russian federation, well, again, he is now, well, it’s like the ex-commander, but these are the statements of the general who probably the information was obtained from telegram channels, you have access to more informed sources, eh, in

your opinion, such warnings, first of all, i consider it a warning from the inventor, he is one of the speakers who tells what is on the mind of the state department or the pentagon here such a concentration where in russia it can work or is it still not a symmetrical response to the possible possible use of even tactical nuclear weapons can work what you say it was already heard in the spring well, not really but talk about it it was said when the first stage of putin's warning against the use of nuclear weapons was in the spring , he waved it like that in the spring, and then there were warnings, it is not known which ones precisely because the restraining effect is achieved precisely because of uncertainty, what will be the reaction, and biden said it will be like a collective reaction in the event of the use of nuclear weapons which was transmitted through diplomatic channels, then there were rumors that not only the black sea fleet, but all

russian fleets on all seas and oceans could be destroyed, well suddenly, well, for a very short time, because the russian fleet is not perfect and outdated, but i think this is not the main thing, it affects a certain part of the military, so that they do not follow orders because they do not understand. if a significant number of the conventional armed forces of russia will be destroyed within a few days or weeks, there are other warnings. i think personally for putin, such a warning was given . for this, it will be a crime of a planetary scale, and on this earth all those who will be tangential to such a decision will lose the right to exist, just as bin laden himself lost the right to exist and the people who fell to him, that is, if even russia

is not declared a country of terrorists these people, on whom such a decision depends, will become terrorists of a planetary scale without any guarantees of their further existence. i think this can affect the spirit of russia, and regarding the destruction of the fleets, there are still other options being discussed, which may be and which are transmitted to russia through military channels, they also exist, but they are more calculated for the rational part of the russian leadership, if we recall the beginning of the full-scale invasion, then some european leaders called, then we spoke with him for a long time, and some europeans urged us to listen to what russia is saying, now the rhetoric is completely different scholz, for example, calls the mobilization in part in russia an act of viche macron, uh, calls this decision by putin a mistake, can

putin do something else that can change this opinion european leaders, has the war already done such and such a turning point that there is no way back for european leaders and more well, there you see them at the table the length of the table with putin, we will not observe such a picture well, i think the attitude towards putin will not change language it can only be about a certain safe transit, a certain safe approach of putin from the authorities . i think he can still agree on this so as not to create a disintegration . well, there is some kind of geopolitical catastrophe . will change and can he do something, well, you know , i was personally a little surprised by his decision to mobilize and referents because, well , most of them are surrounded and the signals

sent with russia said that they are trying to get out of this war and just go out and leave putin, er, to make his departure and hang everything on him, and er, the rest of the russian elite would have come out of this war, but he is doing such unexpected things, they will not give russia anything except additional suffering for many people do not lead to victory, but he does it , er, in this regard, you can say that maybe he will create something else, but it will not affect the loss of russia, well, it will not affect, but he can do it and it will not affect the attitude of the western elites and in general world elites before putin, it has already changed, and after exactly that it is obvious that it has changed not only in the west, it has changed in the east, he is no longer the same person

who looks into his mouth and waits for what he will say or not say, he cannot change anything, but he can do something to do something destructive is possible and er to one must be prepared for these risks and his imagination, as we can see, such an action still works. it can be done. it literally takes a minute and a half to come up with this. i will ask a very short question, but do n’t you think that before the summit of the g20, which is supposed to take place there in november, where is putin it is not known whether he will come or not, maybe by that time the big players will agree on how to live without russia, and russia will think for itself that it will approximately decide the fate of russia by that time, because, well, india, china, everyone is somehow disaffected, no one does not want to sit at the same table with this putin. as they say, i think the summit of the g20 will come and talk about it, but the discussions themselves, how to live without russia and be ready for what can happen there, most of the time, they just started

relatively recently, there are several weeks. i don't think that ready solutions and consensuses have already been built, but at the summit of the g20, certain ideas and decisions about how to live without russia will already be presented, and it should be discussed there, but before this event, i seriously doubt that there will be ready solutions. thank you very much thank you for joining. thank you for your comments and answers to these really important questions. oleksiy ezhyak, an analyst at the national institute of strategic studies , i will say one thing to lesya. in ukraine, special operations forces announced a training course, willingly took down the website with a record e this is reported by the representatives of the special operations forces themselves, they say that due to the large number of applications for participation in the selection for the qualification course of the special operations forces of ukraine there was a technical failure in the work of the soft mil.gov.ua site, where is it in the message, who submitted applications again, write them, i'm just saying to people well,

the deadline for submitting applications is october 16, apply we need cool special forces, every time we say that we are the rest, again we prove that we are different. putin is probably biting his elbows that his citizens are clearly not reaching, but the jackals are running away, that's why. well , that's how we finish our next marathon. now , for your attention, a news release. angelika sezonka is already on the alert and will tell us what happened for that hour thank you, colleagues, for your work. i am happy to announce the return of 215 of our defenders, among whom half of the representatives of the defenders of the defenders of azov became, and the representatives of azov directly were waiting for their return, but the enemy is not sleeping, the enemy is aggressing, and in fact, a lot of shelling is wounded and civilian casualties