everything depends on how much live fresh meat there will be. and i agree with peter here that any scenarios are possible. if he has enough meat, he will throw it at him from all directions , including the direction occupied by russia belarusians . and i don’t think they will even build a defense line, because it is necessary to keep these troops, it is necessary to supply them there, and after all, they will throw them into the offensive when, uh, there will simply be a flow from the echelon to the front of the echelon to the front on foot , far, far, far ahead, here it will be them the logic of actions, i don't think they will try to take care of everyone there, to supply, to think about it, it's too much for them, and here is the logic, that is, from the

echelon to the battle front, they beat them. it's called effort among them , well, we know what it is from chernobaivka, belohorivka irpin, they pushed so hard and so on, that is, they will throw fresh and fresh forces at the same place go go go go in this way they will try to do like this well, about that that they are will do well, it has been known for a long time, because we remember that even the first aid packages that went to ukraine in january and february, there were exactly such grenade launchers and hmm, there are 40 mm underbarrels, it seems they are called yes, which are exactly for a large number of manpower and calculation. that is this is obvious, so to speak, the tactics of the russian federation. i think that our general staff is ready for that. the fact is that, as they say, two

machine guns are needed, not one. why? because one will overheat. well, that's how we should all react. of people in the kherson zaporizhzhia region, how much will they be able to mobilize there, and how much can i fight in general ? this is also a question. what do you think will happen, mykhailo? well, who stayed there, we don't know what the situation is like, that is, if there are any people left there who have already received russian passports, well, they were definitely here, there are no questions, that is, they are there so that they can hold a referendum, that's all you agreed there 98% voted, you agreed to fight, everyone go

forward and behind you will be the kadyrovs, the wagners will shoot in your back. well, you can be considered in the end, mr. petr. how much do you think they can count on these forces , because, of course, donetsk luhansk is there, did they abandon it ? as the sheep went they will do it they will do it you know i love machiavelli very much he has a very good saying if you want to know how it will be i will study how it was let's recall the korsun-shevchenko operation quite interesting the operation can be understood for a long time but there is one interesting nuance from the surrounding villages from the surrounding territories, thousands of ukrainians were mobilized and the unprepared were thrown to the slaughter, this is a historical fact, they will do it now, it does not matter whether there are russian-speaking people, whether they called them or not, you know, russian imperialism got for which i did not receive and i do not even know for which historical period we are really debunking their most important ideology of the vilicies and

they are ready for the development of this ideology to order the population that seems to support them whether it will be combat-capable yes of course or not whether it will be of high quality yes of course no but date kalashnikov assault rifle four horns two grenades and conditions there and conditionally there rpg-18 disposable there or rpg-22 or rpg- 26 and throw them into battle, this is what they will do without fail, i share the opinion of my colleagues, the experience of the blocking units. they have stalin's infamous order number 227, not a step back. they will still use this tactic, so that's actually my military philosophy the vision of this conflict is not even this civilizational war, this is actually a civilizational war - a war of attrition, an existential war

, and there will not be any middle ground here, either we will defeat them or they will defeat us, we actually have a unique historical chance and not only as my colleague said in the previous 350 years, and probably since the time of yuri the long-armed, to inflict a real defeat on them and break out of this terrible asian geopolitical bosom, and we have no right to miss this historic chance, and if so, then we are prepared exclusively for a cruel and merciless struggle, this is the only way we will win, i agree with you, i absolutely agree with you, the people in these occupied territories can only be advised to flee right now, in order not to fall under the fire of these hail detachments and everything else. every minute, please rate such a thing , the russians have already announced that, in principle, for them now, an important part of this war will be the destruction of the

ukrainian infrastructure, the bombing of the entire civilian population of ukraine, the bombing from this point of view, only one question is of interest. what exactly do we need in order to protect ourselves from this bombing? i am not asking you to say that we do not have and will not have we need as much as possible so that there is no such apocalypse, you know, mr. chernyk, let's give you literally one and a half minutes, one and a half minutes at a time, so very briefly, i will say incredibly briefly, the expansion of the pp system - 104 patriot we hope the point of minutes will come liza maybe we got them and aviation aviation aviation and once again aviation f-16 f15 american swedish creeping french amphibious air force and even

south korean kf-21 the more the better this is a great point of view mr. mikhail eh you i think so well, in general, i agree, but what else can it add to this picture? i will give a quote from the film the matrix hans manny hans weapons, many weapons are what we need now because there are not only systems here, in fact, the air defense system itself. in general, it is built on the focal principle, that is, it closes large places in peacetime, let's say this. and we are now in such a state that the air defense system has to close almost all the objects that are on the territory of ukraine, because water channels are also important and dams are also important, the system is also important irrigation, there are many things that are important, every bridge is important, every

railway track is important, all this is important for the life support of ukraine, and today we need a lot of weapons, especially the air-drop system, in order to destroy eh, eh, well, we will let's see how it will go further, because if there are systems that destroy aircraft at a long distance, and will we cross this border, when will we destroy the bombers flying on the territory of russia? so, when this border is crossed , then it will be a little easier, but it’s only with other trees, as the generals wrote, in fact, zabrodskyi, we need the same 2,000 er meters that give us the opportunity to hit these planes, so look very briefly at a certain blueberry tree, until there are a few seconds, er, when they fire kharkiv on 40

40 km away. well, that’s a very close distance. what can help in such a situation ? i emphasize once again that the c16-class aviation complexes have appropriate missile weapons that can make it possible to deliver pinpoint strikes on specific launch sites of this type of weapon, that is, aviation is for us . priority well, of course, the long-range missiles are first of all the golden mgm 140 atakamsa, which are suitable for farmers, but let me remind you that our r 360 neptune with a range of 280 km, despite the fact that they are there against ships, they can be finalized in the surface surface and plus good news, for some reason we did not discuss it several missile systems that were once sold to saudi arabia of the grom class are being considered for return to ukraine this is good news this is wonderful petro chernyk military expert mykhailo

prytula military counterintelligence expert e-e i i believe that we have understood what to do next with the mobilization, how to respond to it, how to respond to this war that is now being spread by the moscow authorities and, well, it is clear that more weapons are needed other weapons, stronger weapons, more modern weapons , and we can even dispose of all their meat, nothing, nothing, do not be afraid, we will win, we will meet in a week, the demand for renting housing in kyiv is increasing compared to the period of february 24, reports the team of the bird smartphone application, ukrainians are actively returning and move to the capital, which is why 120% more people started looking for housing, but it is still worth considering that on february 24, the

demand was completely none . it can be assumed that the demand is actually kind of cosmic. but housing prices, as you can see , remain lower than before february 24. for a one-room apartment, on average, they ask for uah 9,000, compared to uah 13,000 on the day of the russian invasion. they want 14,000. the price was 21,600. and three-room apartments are now being offered for 20,200. uah per month, while on february 24 the price tag was more than twice as high as uah 46,000, on average entrepreneurs from kharkiv bake bread in krypnytskyi evacuated due to shelling and now their house in kharkiv is left without they brought all the equipment to

kropyvnytskyi. now the settlers will taste kharkiv-style bread in the regional center. our journalists visited the enterprise and tell how it is happening in kharkiv, despite the full-scale war , entrepreneurs continued to work, and when the city had a problem with products bread was distributed for free well, no matter how fast the oven tries, a small one can't bake a leg either. and here we get a room. everything is already made of glass . bombardments start everywhere nearby and people stand only with their necks bent and everything the epikar tells me is significant. bakeries were left without breadsticks, so as not to sit idly by,

they opened a business and now a second bakery has started working here, offering bread, sausages in dough, pizza and sweet pastries, prices from 15 to 60 uah yuliya same working on a pizza, what is the work on this pizza, together we have to do a lot, a lot, a lot, a bakery worker, iryna, tells what she likes: whole grain italian bread and ham pizza, more about this, taste everything and not get better, what should be done, i don't know how to get up early and found out about it because of military operations in kharkiv, only one out of three families is currently working. after the end of the war , entrepreneurs do not plan to close their businesses in kirovohrad oblast, but they will return to their hometown to live."

in fact, this is the time chosen for renewal of excise taxes is not bad the fact is that we have the last month during the last month, the decrease in the purchase price of petroleum products due to the decrease in world prices and, accordingly, the renewal of excise taxes, it will not be reflected on the shelves of gas stations, that is, the purchase

price has decreased, the tax actually compensates for it. thus i think that we will get out without any price shocks, this applies to all types of fuel , right ? which was before, is there any difference between a car transporter, for example, a diesel diesel fuel, e . i think that well, the maximum that can be liquefied gas there. i think that within the limits of one hryvnia in certain networks there may be an adjustment, some growth there, that is, those who are standing there today at the minimum prices. maybe they will adjust them a little within the limits of one hryvnia. top and if we talk about the budget of ukraine, is there an

expected figure that the budget will be able to attract through the return of excise taxes, we understand that money is in the budget we need to support the army well, we saw the draft budget for 2023 where in fact half of the budget is not financed and this is a deficit, the taxes are partially returned er, they are about one and a half times less than they were before the war. in addition, we see that er, the consumption of oil products has fallen by 40% in srednyi. according to our estimates, next year's budget will receive about uah 31 billion from fuel excise taxes, uh, well, for example, if we return the old tax rates, it would be uah 43 billion, and if we return to the previous consumption volumes, it was more than uah 70 billion, so this once

again indicates that the taxes were returned partially uh, although there was a lot of debate there, uh, i had the impression that they were raised almost three times, in fact, partially, and this indicates that the government also understands that it does not want to create a large tax burden at the moment, although again it can be said that now we need it, and it seems to me the government also needs to talk about the fact that we need to save fuel, save fuel, why, because first of all, this is the largest, er, the largest channel of foreign exchange earnings from the country, and today it is very important for the economy, and secondly, simply by our consumption, we create pressure on the global european the market that is now looking for a way out of the embargo situation, i.e. no one knows how the continent will cope first with the rejection of russian oil, and later, what

is actually more important, is the rejection of huge volumes of russian oil products europe consumes especially russian diesel fuel, so far no one knows what to replace it with, and accordingly, unfortunately, we also have to think about the fact that if there is a shortage in europe, we will be at the end of this queue, that is, european countries will provide for themselves first of all, we will be the final ones. they say in principle we will already provide for it. that is, we will return to this. i wanted more. well, while we have not gone far from the money that we collect in our budget, we should ask what this money will be used for, whether it has a specific purpose. as far as i remember before, excise taxes, for example , were divided between local budgets and the central budget, which allowed the local population to live better. this was the effect of decentralization in itself.

do the rules work now? well, it goes to the central budget. it just dissolves there, or do you still go? in the same road fund on khm infrastructure restoration, i am not ready to say now about that uncoupling, there really is 13 there seems to be a coma and 44% of the excise rate went to local budgets, how it will be now i am not ready to say but i am ready to say that it is directly stipulated by the law that this money goes to a special budget fund for the repair and maintenance of roads, and it was a manifestation of europe, so i wanted to. there was also a debate about where to send it, whether to the general fund of the budget or to road construction we can see that they decided on the road side, because the reasoning there is very simple , everyone sees that with the roads, especially in the occupied ones, which were decapitated there during the military operations , a lot of roads were damaged, bridges were broken, and besides

, no one canceled just the safety of traffic and current repairs are finally on the territory of ukraine, so at least a minimal amount ukraine well, the ministry of infrastructure insisted that at least minimal funds are needed for these purposes. yes, thank you. now let's go back to european affairs. you didn't start talking about it, but let's try to simulate the situation if you submitted and taxes up to the european level, we know that there are higher taxes on fuel, this has affected fuel consumption, and there are ordinary economic uh, just incentives. this is how economic to stimulate the reduction of consumption, many have already thought whether to drive him to the nearest supermarket, or is it still possible to walk and bring these food packages home by hand instead of driving a car. how do you

feel about european taxes? they are high there due to the fact that the incomes of the population are high there, for example, the taxes are the highest, which are uh, they reach one euro per liter, that is, count 40 uah per 1 liter - this is only a tax. today, without taxes, fuel costs uah 50 yes that is, if you add a euro, taxes will be 90. well, after all, we have to find some compromises. and indeed , the tax burden can and does affect consumption. for us, this is very important . again, if there are any vulnerable sections of the population, they can support with targeted subsidies, for example, if we are talking about liquefied gas, it is such a valid energy carrier that is mostly used in transport, but we can see that it has recently been growing in popularity in the household sector, respectively. why

not, it is simply not available in many european countries excise tax and household consumption can be talked about here as well, but we see that anyway, there was a lot of populism in the parliament, in fact, because of it, we lost almost two months on considering this issue, and in terms of money, it is about six billion hryvnias, yes it's really strange, you and i were just talking about these excise taxes two months ago, and it was as if only on the eve of the vote, and only we were explaining to the audience, and of course there are deputies among the audience that there will be no growth, which is compensated by the drop in the price of oil, but we see that they they managed to accept only in the first reading, then what are the deputies so afraid of? do they really think that the return of excise taxes on fuel and the filling of the budget with money that is so needed in ukraine

today will somehow be perceived incorrectly by the voters, well, that is, it is called ordinary populism, that is, there was a lot, there were 1,500, it seems, 1,100 corrections were made to 5,000 pages of paper, er, someone there offered zero rates again, that is, it is unclear, for what funds , in general, for the state to exist? the lobby groups that started, er, to push some incentives for biofuel into this law, there were also a lot of debates regarding this liquefied gas, but unfortunately, they were not very professional, and that's why they were looking for some kind of compromises so that at least something like i saw it in the end well, it turned out to be such a slightly unusual configuration, but it seems to me that the first well, that first option government when everything was 100, when there would be the

same tax for all motorists well, i think it is fair why does someone today have pay more to the budget than others, that is, today we all have to be on equal terms today we all have to help the country, but again it turns out that someone is more equal than the other well, but we have what we have in principle, the state can always return, does not rule out such a thing option to this question, so let's observe in your blog on facebook, you write that due to such instability , a lot of small players have appeared on the market. in ukraine, what kind of flammable fuel is sold at these mini refineries, is it worth refueling there cheaper , of course, yes, but at the expense of what is

actually cheaper there, complaints about the quality of petroleum products , especially during the last month, are growing like a snowball, and i personally have and a close friend who works as a mechanic in 90% of today's complaints and appeals refers to the quality of fuel, the same confirms it. he was there recently. there was a fairly large study of the quality of gasoline. when they took samples, well, half of them do not respond. the euro-5 standard, and some do not even meet the permitted euro-3 and euro-4 standards, which were temporarily allowed there by the government. well, besides , i am not sure about the health of a modern euro-5 euro-6 car there after meeting with euro-3 fuel this especially applies to diesel cars, which are very capricious and very demanding about the quality of fuel, and

unfortunately we see that first of all, state inspections of quality and tax reporting are prohibited, and so on . experienced in 14-15 years when it also started the war, the government was focused on other issues , there were also these populist decisions regarding the exemption from inspections, and this gave a very tangible and very powerful impetus to the shadow market, that is, taking advantage of the fact that no one controls, no one checks, this led to the fact that in kyiv alone there was there are 300 illegal gas and diesel filling points, while there are only 200 legal filling points. well, then i want to tell you that we see approximately the same thing, mr. sergey. i want to say that usually at such gas stations, the employees say well, you you know, now we no longer export fuel from russia to

belarus, that is, the kremenchug oil refinery is also broken , and therefore we also have european fuel. we also transport there from slovakia or from poland or from wherever. you can, that is, you can either believe or not believe these sellers, that is, they always assure you that they have the same quality and the same quality as in the large chains there, and the gas stations wog or oka say the same fuel, only cheaper because we are smaller. we don’t have these marketing costs are not spent on network support, and we don’t have a small gas station store, which isn’t always profitable. hmmm, it’s true or not. i recently raided one such station. well, no one even told me, for the first time, they didn’t provide documents. they don’t have any. what kind of fuel is that? although this is a legal requirement, and secondly, they

couldn't even issue me a cashier's check because there was no cash register , so the question here is, firstly, what kind of quality it is . -e which gas station is taken which gas station is taken station, they simply will not be properly reflected in the reporting. that is, it is a completely black market, and accordingly, the issue here is not only in terms of quality , but since this black market exists and when there is no reporting, it can sell anything, including fuel, which is also illegal. was released and produced and, accordingly, also without paying taxes. therefore, this entails a very serious such chain of violations, and here the consumer suffers from this and the state because it simply does not receive very huge funds from excise duties and taxes on

fuel is paid by the so-called tax for some kind of roof for the roof, and in this way they finance either the mafia or corruption, so when you buy from such mini refineries, you are supporting the criminal element of our state, let's say, or the corrupt element, which is not good for us at all of our public administration, yes, finally, you mentioned that there may be a deficit in europe, and then there will be a deficit in ukraine, when should we expect this turning point in the next place, whether in december or january? why do we have to prepare literally 30 seconds if possible fit in at this time, the first stage, the first such control point is the fifth of december, when the embargo on the use of russian oil

in europe enters into force, the second date is february 5, when the embargo on oil products comes into effect, so i think that in december, at the beginning of december, there will be the first understanding what is happening and there will be time to prepare , and we see that european traders are already diversifying supply, but again, a very large volume is needed and now the whole market is looking for it p sergey thank you for being with us sergey the leader of the new a-95 group advised to sign up for fuel because in december and january there may be problems with fuel in europe and, accordingly, in ukraine.