tv [untitled] September 23, 2022 9:30pm-10:00pm EEST
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and according to him, such a mass burial in izyum is not the only one, let's end our news release, see you next week at 9:00 pm good luck, sincere evening, let's celebrate a cold is already celebrating familiar symptoms try flukold-n4 components of flukol and act in a targeted manner against stinging pain and runny nose flukolden some creatures are not able to choose something else and we in ukraine like to choose everything even if it is insurance on hotline.infance hotline finance insurance of course online letters of the standings
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of teams that both have 9 points karpaty lviv and epicenter kamianets-podilskyi match between the leaders, will karpaty be able to win, leaving their gates impregnable and remain the sole leader of the tournament table, we will find out this saturday, september 24, watch football together with the title sponsor fc karpaty, go to facebook espresso and participate in the draw box with players' autographs live broadcast of the match carpathians lviv epicenter kamianets-podilskyi on the youtube channel espresso pre-match studio starts at 3:30 p.m. the match starts at 4:00 p.m. the russians will destroy military bases in the occupied crimea, this could be the pentagon's response to russia's use of nuclear weapons in ukraine. this is one of the scenarios that
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american generals assume in view of the nuclear blackmail that russian president vladimir putin once again resorted to. is ukraine itself able to significantly reduce the capabilities of the russian military group in the crimea, together with the black sea fleet, what is needed for this and what is the current reality when we talk about the maritime component of our security, both from a military and from an economic point of view, we will talk about all this in our military program with our expert guests. my name is serhii zgorets and i am the director of the information and consulting company defense express, which currently works in tandem with the team of the expresso channel. my interlocutors today are andrii ryzhenko, an expert at the center for defense strategist ex-deputy chief of staff of the naval forces of ukraine and the state of the first rank in the reserve p. andriyu i congratulate you good day, i am glad to see you and also ivan kyrychevskyi
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military expert defense express ivan welcomes you mr. andriyu, i would first of all like to start with the question of the partial mobilization announced in russia, if it is at all partial, will it really affect the increase in the combat capabilities of the russian federation, will it affect the naval component of the black sea fleet in particular? well, first of all, i want to say that mobilization is uh, well, to the extreme, what we are seeing now, it concerns the conscription of a certain number of personnel, different numbers are called from 300,000 to a million people in the russian federation, we understand that most of them are planned for the absolute majority of and for the conduct of hostilities on land, that is, there will be mechanized
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units of the air over the tisantna, hardly any units of special operations villages, maybe the marines and as for the photo, er, there may also be some current incomplete set, but it is small, i don’t think that er, together with this mobilization, there will somehow be a mobilization of the civil fleet of the russian federation in the interests of the introduction of hostilities because well, he is there, i do not see its expediency now, the number of ships, boats and support vessels that are in the black sea fund, it actually remains unchanged, they have certain plans for the construction of new ships, this is the new command of the black sea fleet and admiral sokolov said that they expect about 12 new ships that will be included in the fop, but this well, i think that
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this is not the same energy figure of demobilization, here i think that with regard to the surface forces of the russian well, it will not be aimed at the federation. as for the overall picture, the important thing here is that it requires a very serious financial resource, and resources in general are running out in russia. and we know that this weapon, which was stored in the russian federation, is about two-thirds of it, so they call this figure. so it is already deconserved and used a-a well, i am not talking about some new weapon, this weapon is still s- in fact immediately er with years after the end of the second world war. well, we need younger commanders, we need officers, and we need younger ones. as far as i know, there are also not
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enough of them, but there are already plans for early graduation from military schools, as far as i know, but we understand that these are people without experience. who only sat at desks there for a certain number of years and studied military discipline there, but this is absolutely not enough to conduct hostilities. that is, i think that it is more of a propaganda character uh, this is uh, mobilization and it is very doubtful from the point of view of providing resources, both financial and uh, material and technical resources. thank you , ivan, for your opinion, how will this general mobilization or partial mobilization affect the mood in crimea , because what is the impression is that the residents of crimea did not think that this is how the situation will develop. what are your assessments of the mood in crimea from the point of view of these measures that
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the russian federation is currently actively and excessively actively implementing? well, i think that to begin with, it is worth outlining what is likely the so-called mobilization in the crimea is partially, well, in fact, full-scale. it can refer to a much wider number of services in the black sea fleet, because let's start by recalling the 810th brigade of marines, it was actually defeated, but on paper it did not cease to exist and, according to some data, they have already begun to recruit well, the so-called volunteers for the same contract, after one moment , this air regiment of the naval aviation, which was standing in its tracks, was actually destroyed by a personal missile strike, but also, again, the regiment was not disbanded according to aviation equipment. they will also need to be recruited there, according to where they can be taken , e.g. in the civilian airports of the crimea, which are illegally used by the occupation authorities. that is, in fact, this can take place on a fairly wide scale, in fact, the total mobilization has been announced by the kremlin, but thanks to his data, they have now primarily begun to
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take away the crimean tatars well, as an element objectionable to the occupation authorities, they also began to take away well, the russian language is called vogra, that is, employees of private security companies there well, what do we say, are they somehow not respected in russian society, again, we can still see such interesting elements that the occupation authorities of crimea are trying to use the general kremlin nomenclature for this process of total mobilization to strengthen their position there, as we can assume and this kremlin occupying crimean occupying power seems to understand that the west is popular, therefore it will do everything on the one hand to strengthen its position on the other hand, so that provoke the scale of some kind of indignation. well, let's say that the population is well-ordered. andrii ot and what is the main function and role of the black sea fleet? these functions are provided by the russian aggression and these functions. the capabilities of the fleet have changed during the six months
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of hostilities. so the first task is to control the northwestern part of the black sea . well, if at first the aggression until august 1 was a complete blockade, now they are in control how do they keep control, they keep the forces , including strike missiles that can strike ships. well, if they there for some reason, for example, withdraw from the grain agreement and ships start entering ukrainian ports again, well, without their consent. and i want to remind you that with on august 1, about 200 ships with almost 5 million tons of grain arrived in odesa and the ports near odesa. that is, this is the first task of blockades destroyed and so on, and the execution of this task
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has changed since february 24, from the moment of receiving the navy ukraine against ship missiles, first neptune, then harpoon, now simply fearing to be destroyed, the russians moved to the radius of action of these missiles , in fact, they hid behind the escarpment of the crimean mountains behind the crimean peninsula and there they are now carrying out their second operational task - this is a project - this is force and the projection of force now, what they are doing is striking with missiles. for this, they constantly keep in the sea two to six missile ships, submarines with the number of missiles from science. well, eight to 30 there with more, but now that we are observing that the number of rockets previously launched is very small, they are of
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caliber and in fact once a week or two they use 4.6 calibers there. well, they shoot, but they shoot, but in these areas they can shoot without any restrictions. we know that the caliber is getting smaller, they are trying to restore production there, it is not very successful, but there is such a possibility, especially now it looks threatening , etc. they have moved their submarines, all new class 636.3 to novorossiysk, that is where they are located we know for sure that they are permanently stored, well, the arsenal consists of five weapons, in principle, the caliber is the missile that can contain these weapons, if there is something there, someone will lose his mind and load missiles on a submarine, so it will be difficult to find them, but also they use their
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coastal complexes, first of all, this is the onyx, also for shooting at our coastal areas, but also all the red izhe . we know about the attempt to land on our own, the first time on the 810th, this brigade refused, then there were other problems, but now, they are, but now they are, this is their function, they are constantly preparing for this, but now they are operational. there is no expediency to this. by the way, the last two weeks have recently been observed as 3:5, and large landing ships in project 775 were carrying out combat coordination measures, from one of the battalions of the 810th brigade, which is located this year in the 38th of the second, well, on
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its ointment, as far as there is such an assumption a tactical group was formed just for the battalion and they trained it, but the landing now looks impractical for them because these ships will simply be destroyed by our missiles. frigates 11:35.6 ah because well, it's just modern against a ship's missile, they've reached such a level that anti-aircraft defense from the ship's me well, at least what the russians have, it's not very effective, so the task in principle they remained, but their implementation has undergone very serious changes, we can push us russian photos even further. but for this, we need new
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capabilities so that we can influence russian ships in the sea where they are now. i.e. and of course i want you to tell our viewers how the economy of our country is connected with the use of the effective use of our seaport infrastructure, what is the general picture here, what we can, what we can't, in view of the fact that there is no expert grains of other products. what is the enemy trying to do to us, what are we, what can he do, and what can we do in response? you know, it is worth starting with the image that the launch of this grain corridor has literally become a lifeline for the entire agrarian sector of the economy. it is impossible for the entire economy of ukraine as a whole , because if you look at the data available for about two incomplete months, that is, since august 1, there were really about 2,001 who exported 4.38
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million tons of grain on the one hand, well, this is the pace exports are approximately two times slower than during peacetime, which were from the other side for the previous 6 months, that is, starting from march and ending in july, our entire infrastructure system was also able to export a maximum of four million tons of grain , that is, by cars through the western border crossings and by rail through all border crossings are also possible through small ports in the danube region. well, let's say it turned out that even such an extensive transport system could not pass the next large volume of grain able to understand these, somewhere on the border with poland or romania, wagons that arrived there in april are still standing in a queue, that is, how big was the traffic jam there, again, also to understand how about 2 million people passed through the pro-danube ports there tons over the past six months, and in 2021 through those ports. well , statistically few cargoes passed there, literally a couple
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of thousand, accordingly, our infrastructure was not ready for such a challenge, and even more so, no one was preparing for it in the literal sense, i will repeat myself the support of the new corridor turned out to be such a tripartite circle because almost the entire agricultural sector was tied to the possibility of freely exporting grain, grain was freely exported, foreign currency freely arrived . sow winter crops and only 20 farmers will be able to write, respectively, only 25% of the area will be sown and the pressure will be adjusted even for some military realities there in the mykolaiv oblast fields are constantly being shelled and kharkiv region is not suitable for agricultural production in principle now, but let’s say it again. let’s say that even these 20% of farmers will be able to sow only because they export grain there and, accordingly, money goes to
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preparation for sowing. if this grain corridor did not exist, it would not be there. what would be done well, let's say to our agricultural sector to carry out sowing work for winter crops, respectively, it would affect the hypothetical upa or half. we would stop being an export-oriented country, and accordingly, when in we don't have an export-oriented agricultural sector, so the history of the 2000s can repeat itself, when literally billions of hryvnias went to support farmers from the state budget at the exchange rate of 5 hryvnias to the dollar, and it ended with gigantic losses. but now imagine why gigantic losses in agricultural production are also in the background well, a very costly defense that we are forced to endure in the literal sense, we can even draw the conclusion that the launch of the grain corridor for some reason makes it easier for us to such a long-term plan of financing the economy for defense costs, which concerns some of our prospects. well, there is sometimes talk about the option of opening the mykolaiv port, because
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if it were not surprising, it is these and the mykolaiv complex of ports, i.e. mykolaiv directly, the private port of boats and the port of olvia, there were the largest grain storage facilities in ukraine, which it is telling that the chinese state company kofco worked there, but considering the fact that the russians are constantly shelling ochakiv, which is essentially the way out of mykolaiv, then to start transshipment grain from this port so far it seems impossible, it turns out that we must first liberate kherson , drive the russians back to the temporarily occupied crimea , and then we can already talk about resuming the transshipment of grain there. for some reason, this is already an explanation. the black sea fleet remains a nuclear military structure, and if you could explain this p-procedure for an ordinary viewer, how a decision is made when we are talking about tactical nuclear weapons on
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submarines already there, from the decision to its implementation, what are the weak links in this process, and can they, well, in general, how will this happen, based on the established procedures for planning the use of tactical nuclear weapons in the russian federation, well, first of all, i want to say that nuclear weapons can be carried by virtually all ships of the black sea of the missile boat class fleet and above , that is, in fact, any missile a that had now can be located on board an e-e russian ship. it can deliver a nuclear warhead, plus you can add to it more terpels because of 533 mm torpedoes they can also be nuclear options, and of course submarines of the 6306.3 project can
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also carry caliber missiles as well as torpedoes, well, before , for example, there were ships that could even drop underwater charges as well as a nuclear part from helicopters. i think that now they are gone, but this is a threat, well, frankly, there were such systems, but i do not know the procedure itself. well, the order to use it is given by the supreme commander of the russian armed forces, putin, and even without his instructions, nothing has been done will not be. especially since we know that now he gives virtually all tactical orders to his commanders in the combat zone. and this is such a special order. i think that there are
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several designated persons in the decision-making chain. and this is me. this is definitely the commander-in-chief of the armed forces in russia this is apparently the minister of defense of the federation, the chief of the general staff, well, the commander of the district and the commander of the photo are visible. and when the commander receives there a certain document, where there is confirmation by closed means, then it is done before before the start preparation here is the indication and striking, but well, this is such a very complicated procedure. i think that at the very least at the present time, and they refrain from having just nuclear weapons on board, and, well, an example of that is the cruiser slava, even in soviet times or rather moscow, what was it called there for the last 10 years, but
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on this cruiser to the glory of berdyansky, the time is always about nuclear weapons. now, i think there is no such thing, because they also take certain factors into account there, and i think that despite the fact that speculation it is about the application, but they clearly understand the consequences, political and economic, all the consequences. and by the way, it is very positive that the united states of america, great britain, and nato gave their answer quite clearly and unambiguously on this. but, again, the procedure is complex, technical, it is possible. and the lower the level of the use of the military, the more so. well, i think that it will be very like this. if it is a solution, then it will not be very, very not simple, but technically it is possible and it is very dangerous well, our military intelligence speaks
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of the probability of using tactical weapons, and here is the commander that the former commander of the us armed forces in europe, general perehodges, says that it is unlikely. but he is the one who said this phrase that if russia uses nuclear weapons against ukraine, the pentagon can destroy russian military bases in crimea, it is not necessary there, it must be there, a nuclear response in this way will significantly reduce the potential of the russians in the occupied territories. or how it would happen from the point of view if the united states destroyed russian military facilities in crimea, with what arsenal, with what capabilities . well, i want to say that the conventional weapons are
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american and western. of the forces of ukraine, he proved it , we now have about 30 himors systems in service, and we see that, well, to what extent they actually work, well, tenfold, let's say tenfold size and combat power exceeds the same number of a-a units. there are old soviet volley fire systems, if we take the 155 mm m-37 gun mount, then we see that in order to achieve a fire effect, there are 10 times fewer shells than the soviet 152 mmh guns, that is, well, there are such systems, and they are. well, for example, the same tamahawk missiles that can fire at coastal
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objects, they shoot, but they are high-precision missiles at your target, they are the same attack missiles with which they shoot from the himers and ml systems, and here they are they are also very accurate, there are a lot of modifications and their range of action is also very, very different, i have different air-based missiles. that is, i think that the modern arsenal will allow this task to be solved, and what objects do you mean on this, now modern means of satellite surveillance allow them to be detected, well, let’s say very quickly, something that was actually impossible 50 years ago, when, by the way, in sevastopol, it was even forbidden to take photos there during, for example, walks, and on a boat there through the sevastopol bay i remember it. for example, now it is
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not even necessary, because the capacity of the satellites is so high. well, they make very high-quality. these are, er, er, surveillance pictures from space. so, there is such an arsenal. in fact, conventional weapons are modern. in terms of their capabilities, they are already approaching, let's say yes, well, let's say even nuclear weapons, but of course they are not like that, and general hodges said in an interview that this conventional weapon will most likely be used but the technology is highly accurate and highly effective and well, then everything will become clear, and ivan. so, when we talk about ukrainian capabilities to destroy enemy targets on the territory of crimea, general luzhnyy, in his well-known material, said
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that we used missile weapons for strikes on crimea in the match, including a nuclear airfield with pods do you have an understanding of what exactly the ukrainian side uses to carry out such strikes, and then on this question, everything is exactly the same, then by forwarding the fuel to andriy reghimko, i think that there are still two options, or let's say so the selection is narrowed down to two options, after all, or a redesigned neton for strikes on ground targets, well, or after all, hmmm, during the war, let’s say that for half a match, they had time to work on the topic of the peregrine operational-tactical complex, because well, if anyway, everything would appear in our arsenal, even if not in the form of visual materials, then in the form of some actual hints. we would, well, from textual hints from official messages.
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andriy, do you have an understanding of why we destroy objects on the territory of the crimea with our own efforts? so when i was watching these explosions with backpacks , there were three very specific explosions, i can definitely say that it was a weapon, there was only one i don't know which type, but i think that sooner or later we will be told about it. i would not, frankly speaking, stand there in the public sphere. well, it's positive that she exists. and she worked very positively. i think that the amount of e-e equipment a significant amount was destroyed there, but by the way, this is the airport now it continues to function. we are going to transfer the equipment there. i know that now they continued to operate. although a lot of equipment was destroyed, it was about weapons. well, i don’t know. well
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, it was modern and it was an accurate weapon, and not something, some kind of experimental samples, yes, mr. andriy . you remain such a supporter of the technological direction of development and the armed forces and you are betting on a technological solution to solve certain military tasks, so i see that for your interview you talked about that it is possible to strike russian objects there in the bay of sevastopol or in other bays at the expense of uh-uh underwater unmanned uh-uh systems weapons in order to quietly destroy all the submarines there in one or another russian bay, well, of course, in order to ensure the two main operational tasks or the northwestern part of the black sea and around the crimea - this is its control - this
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control of the sea area and sydynayev is to allow the enemy to cross the border. i think that ah, what kind of drone is this very, very good. the best option for the navy of ukraine, well, one of the options that can be, uh, received by us very quickly. all the assigned tasks are within that operational zone. i want to remind you that from odessa to sevastopol 150 nautical miles is not much, and it’s just that both underwater and surface drone and drone which is flying, but it covers the distance normally and what is the advantage, for example, of an underwater drone or underwater in that their cost is well
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