tv [untitled] September 27, 2022 5:30am-6:01am EEST
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it is possible, you will now say it is russian merit or not russian, because you have to fight with it as a grain association, one of the points was that the internal consumer of fig ro benefited from the fact that the ports were blocked because the flour was cheaper. and now you can periodically see what do they say, stock up on flour because now it is an export and therefore it will now increase in price like buckwheat, how can you give a reasoned answer to this? this is a russian narrative or logic. in most cases, this is a russian native ukraine has always grown more grain than we need for domestic consumption, so we don’t have a shortage of grain and there can’t be a priori ugh, well, this is of course the russian narrative that they use almost every year, arguing with famines, famines and similar things, but in fact, no, ukraine always maintains a reserve that is sufficient every year for the annual consumption of the whole of ukraine stock up because we are promised the destruction of the price just for this season
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, we will see for the next one, let's return to the main highway then - it is by sea as we we export our agricultural products, and russia actually claims to the grain agreement, expressing its dissatisfaction with the way ukrainian grain is exported through the black sea, in particular , the head of the russian foreign ministry, sergey lavrov, at the general assembly , he said that ukraine exports grain to, quote , far from the poorest countries, thus he confirmed the opinion of putin, who previously said that only 3% of ukrainian grain is exported to poor countries, this statement has already been refuted both in ukraine and in europe, while lavrov blames the usa and the eu is facing financial and logistical obstacles in the way of russian exports of fertilizers and grain, while lavrov's lies to putin have been refuted even in the united nations, according to their data, approximately 30% of grain was delivered to low- and middle-income countries in africa, the middle east, and the problem of food
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security is becoming more and more urgent, and the closer to november, when the term of the agreement on the grain expert ends with the possibility of automatic extension, that is why the un should attach additional efforts to extend the grain agreement, mr. denys , the question is, tell us about our grain competition with russia, because on the one hand, our ports are unblocked, on the other hand, this is a constant excuse for manipulation by russia, how much grain do they have, how much grain do we have, and exactly which we are now competing in the markets. why does she constantly shout directly at us about some problems? well, we must understand that military aggression on the territory of ukraine is one of the methods, but there is also an economic war that today russia is openly opening export destinations to where we are. the country exported its grain to the markets of africa, the markets of the middle east, and asia. of course, these are promising opportunities to sell its products, and that is why today it is spreading its voice about the inability of ukraine
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to provide these countries in time. we have always competed with them for the egyptian market with high-quality grain. and today , you saw the recent raids of the minister of foreign affairs of the russian federation, who traveled to african countries and there. it is certain that proposed certain priority conditions for the conclusion of contracts, but we must understand with you that even if russia partially, somewhere in some of our markets, cuts off a little bit in the world, there is no alternative today to knock it out at all so that there is no presence of ukrainian grain , we are a large country that exported about 12% of all grains are about 15% of corn, that is, in one period of time, it is impossible to replace such an export potential in the world, and even if these countries are russia, when it is dumping us, and maybe you can beat it somewhere, if it cannot beat this 12%. for which she then competed to ask something of the potential so that we as a state do not receive this foreign exchange revenue so that we as a state are weaker in military confrontation at this moment in time when we give battle and
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repel this occupier from our borders of course they are interested in worsening the economic situation of our state but again, due to the understanding that even if they enter into some short-term contracts with africa or the middle east or asia, these countries will still need ukrainian food and so or otherwise, the main thing for us is to preserve the opportunity to move along the grain corridor, this is one of the methods of the next such active phase of the struggle - this will be the month of november and you will see more active discussions regarding the termination of the activities of the istanbul ones, but already in september putin's words were heard that this is not effective, this shows that african countries do not observe the grain goes to europe, but this is yet another lie, there is a certificate from the united nations which says that about 30% goes to the poor country of denis, then it remains valid for a little less than two months the istanbul agreement fell. and are there any prospects that it will continue further, because the important point is that the consumption of grain will obviously increase in the winter
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period, or are the countries in which we export making stocks somehow planned too? no, they are making stocks and maybe the agreement will continue . that even if the agreement continues and it ends on november 18th, e, in fact, now , agreements with a remote, remote delivery period are no longer contracted, that is, traders do not risk er-er entering into long-term agreements because the fact that this grain agreement will not be extended, that is, in any case, even if the grain corridor is extended. so then, uh, we will still lose some pace in exports due to the sport of capacities . he will recover. sorry, but here is
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an important point. and so that this does not happen, so that there is no subsidence, we can get guarantees right now, the question is actually for everyone to discuss, so that, let's say, during october, we signed a memorandum, an unpopular word in ukraine, but after all, are there certain guarantees that this agreement will continue beyond the istanbul agreement, let's say for another quarter? no, there are no guarantees with the russians , but that's why, in principle, once again, a risk is assumed, and even a risk is assumed in the price, the price of products, the price of transshipment in the port, a risk is assumed that something will happen to the ship, that is, in principle, there is no guarantee. and we will see in november whether the agreement will really be extended or not . it is obvious that the work in this direction continues , we are working directly, too. we are working with istanbul is a joint joint commission. and we have the support of the un and we have the support of turkey. this is obvious, but we do not know the exact position of russia on this memorandum, and it is obvious that they
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will do everything possible to disrupt this memorandum and not continue it, for example, according to the un, if not if the corridor will work, we will get +3-4 million people in the world every year who will, let 's say, starve to death at such a level of hunger that leads to death. these are crazy rates - these are crazy indicators for the world and, of course, for us alone, how to increase the guarantors of food security in the world, it is necessary to make efforts not only to us, but also to other countries, to continue this grain corridor . russia, let's say, transports wheat to africa on the right, it could supply more of it, but in fact it does not supply it due to the fact that it invaded ukraine, what are the processes of the war directly, what are russia's export corridors and exports
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what types of grain did it still throw back, i.e. what does russia itself suffer from or not does russia also offer its grain in russia i am ready to dump i am ready to lose prices or prove that it is better than ukraine yes this is a very interesting question because, in principle it is mainly food wheat and sunflower oil, and this season in russia, an abnormally high harvest is predicted. it is about 100 million e-e tons and, accordingly, e-e, but at the same time, the export forecast is insignificant, 36.5 million e-e due to e-e whole complex factors - these are logistical difficulties, these are difficulties with sea transportation insurance, with freighting, with calculations, with trade, with the situation on the foreign exchange market and with a number of factors, that is, it is still worth considering that some
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part of this russia consumes wheat domestically , and accordingly the reserves can now be estimated at the level of 25-30 million tons, these are the reserves that will be in russia in a year, respectively, the world lacks a significant amount of russian food wheat, and in this case it is worth saying what exactly is russia provokes hunger in poor countries, not by exporting its own wheat, that is, the narratives that it voices in our direction, they graze, it refers to it, it is absolutely clear that the united nations needs to work more effectively in the issue of grain corridors from ukraine, we are about this has already been said, and the president of turkey , a director and a portuguese, said this during his speech at the un general assembly. as a result of the active efforts we made together with the un secretary general, we achieved
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the restoration of the export of ukrainian black grain by sea, we are increasing the volume of these supplies, this agreement on the opening of grain corridors, which is of crucial importance for maintaining the supply of grain , is one of the greatest achievements of the un in recent years denys and at the un level, we can generally promote we will again have to think about how to export grain, and in the winter it can be significantly more difficult if river transport, we do not know how much water areas will work, of course, sometimes due to weather conditions, roads may not work to be passable and, accordingly, everything is worth its weight in gold every day. well, we need to remember that it was the agreement we signed with the united nations and turkey. that is, we from russia did not sign any conditions. for us, of course , the organization of poor nations is key in the negotiations
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for that for these grain deals to work because let's remember that erdoğan, he also reacts to the market depending on the situation and everyone when it is beneficial for him he says one thing when it is not beneficial he says another and he played along at one time in september, putina said that he was really thinking about whether the corridor is working so powerfully and whether poor countries benefit from seeing in themselves the prospects of political development in gas directions, which are important for turkey , so for us, in this context, the un is the key organization for in order to ensure the conditions of movement of the grain corridor, but we also have to talk to you and strengthen what the president does at all international addresses, we need to strengthen sanctions against russia. it is not difficult to lose money that it does not receive through russia's grain, its main funds are received through gas and oil - these are hundreds of billions of dollars that they receive for their budget, that's why they can so calmly sell today and not sell tomorrow yes, but they are now taking care of fertilizers they have a well-developed industry and it is also
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important for them to export it through ukraine, including e. see here again. no one stopped and did not give the opportunity to e. concluded agreements. another question. that a certain coalition has already been formed in the world and understanding that a country like russia is an aggressor, first of all, it is not necessary to conclude agreements, it is not necessary to cooperate with them, that is why russia today is abandoned, they say, because grain agreements are not implemented, there is no export , in fact, export carried out because many people of the companies of the states refuse to cooperate with the aggressor, one of the ways that you mentioned is railway transportation. cargo transportation but at the same time fresh news cargo transportation decreased by 65%, and this is the main finding of ukrzaliznytsia, the main question arises from the sources. i know that then the immediate representatives of the grain association reacted
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negatively to this, what is happening now, please explain exactly the relationship between ukrzaliznytsia and those who still have to use these corridors should be used by ukrainian railways, why at the same time transportation is falling, this is primarily due to the diplomatic blockade of ports. because if our corridors are not extended again, we have to resort to freight transportation by ukrzaliznytsia, and there is such a trap in the form of these tariffs, they are liftable, now they are not liftable, in any case, in the end, all these costs are paid by the agricultural producer, we understand that the agricultural producer simply he will not get enough money, maybe he won’t even get a profit, so it will be a reaction to the next sowing, he won’t have enough money for sowing, and so he will sow less if we talked earlier about the fact that uhm global the world food crisis may be due to the fact that we cannot export through the blocked ports, so today we must say that we are facing a global
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food crisis due to the fact that ukraine will grow less grain, there will simply be nothing to take to those countries, yes, the railway in june and then in august significantly increased the tariff for transportation, motivating it with purely commercial commercial logic, less transportation is needed, more price, then it will come to some zero e-e for transportation, but they are not analyzed, the situation is such that the growth the increase in the cost of the tariff will lead to even less transportation of grain, that is, a drop in volume, because it will simply not be profitable. the logic is simple, the logic is simple, the logistics are simple, and at the same time, of course, no one will suffer. connection with the ukrzaliznytsia, this is probably the structure that is closest to us, because it is, let's say, the biggest problem in ukraine related to grain, namely logistics, it is obvious that tariffs should be reduced they don't plan and it's not so much, of course. and it
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depends not so much on them, but on the government, on the ministry of infrastructure, which approves these tariffs, they are actually the executors of this . they are looking at the situation, well, now if it is about our business card operating on grain, it is also our business card for the whole world, but it comes out inside the country, this situation in our country is not twisted, it plays against the agrarians of course it is playing against the agrarian because this increase in cost is obviously affecting the entire agrarian sector, after all, there is none and it is not foreseen in the near future, and it is very difficult to communicate with the ukrzaliznitsa on this issue because they provide some of their own calculations that no one can ever check and find out, because this is closed commercial information, but they give their calculations, what do they need in order for them to go to zero? these are the tariffs, see which ones you should have in order to go to zero, of course, we offer them, they are significantly
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lower than the others because, for example, if you know there are three classes of cargo transportation and each of the classes has its own cost of transportation, grain is the most expensive. all the same, it is we who occupy 10% of railway transportation, but we bring 20% of their profits and at the same time we still remain so high, that is, instead of lowering us to the level of everyone else, they raise everyone to our level and even a little more cool, this is the same problem that we really faced last year. in the year because then the tariffs also rose, when several times since june 29, these tariffs have increased four times. the application of these tariff increases, that is, there is a certain bias, you know, because at one time ukrzaliznytsia raised tariffs last year
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they said that in the new year, the 22nd, we will equalize tariffs for everyone, but we see the coefficient raising the tariff for grain transportation, and ore , in fact, the metal remains at a lower level, that is, in fact, the costs of the supply of wagons are the same, but they are transported 15-16% cheaper. isn’t this playing along with the extraction of the family? as if they say that we will equalize in the near future, but when this equalization will take place is unclear, because again, as an agrarian, we then subsidize the transportation of all other goods that are carried out, including on the territory therefore, it is necessary to approach ukraine here. and make up this economic component of transportation in a completely different way, because when the tariffs rose, the price of grain was very low, and there, for example, a ton of barley, which costs uah 3,000, transportation also amounted to uah 3,000. the business asks the question: what is the logic for me? then serhiyevich was engaged then, so
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let's ask him pavel. i think you will not be interested here, because we have representatives of the agricultural and group and you, as an analyst, as an expert, what do you say, why is there really such a difference in tariffs and is it somehow possible to equalize it so that everyone is satisfied and ukrzaliznytsia receives its profits and actually improves the services it provides and farmers can export their position, or does it depend on tariffs only with ukrzaliznytsia? exclusively for those who export grain. well , in this matter, i agree with my colleagues, that is, the pricing of these tariffs is really not completely market-based, and we see that in some points, at the borders, large shipments of iron ore are really passed through to, for example, the izov point on the border with poland. considerable volumes of ore are imported there, and
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accordingly, additional queues of grain wagons are created, that is, it is not only that the grain is expensive , it cleans the queues. well, there is another aspect, that is, in time when the world is short of food, we export ore, yes, it may be profitable to some extent , but still, it is necessary, and yes . to the expert to raise it, yes, that is, the issue of tariffs has not been resolved, and er, but in principle, er, the reform is the reform of many sectors, they will essentially, er, be able to increase the efficiency of the agricultural sector, and i would say that er, the reform in the logistics sector is one of the most important ones here uhu you know, please, it is also important to note here that to a certain extent in favor of ukrzaliznytsia if they do not work to zero , it will not even be about profits, but even just
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profitability, then they will not transport anything, then we will also become it will also be big the problem well, this is a situation in which everyone is dependent on everyone, that is why we say that it is much easier for ukrzaliznytsia to attract international money in order to cover this difference and leave, say, tariffs for carriers at a fairly normal level, because each individual agrarian can be dated. it will be much more difficult, less clear, more opaque and more expensive all the more so that the issue of ukrainian grain as a whole is a global issue, because we guarantee danger and actually save many countries from starvation, but there is a state that provokes famine and it deserves the harshest reaction in the world. president volodymyr zelenskyy called on the international community to hold russia accountable. he said this during a high-level meeting on food security held on the outskirts of the un assembly. he
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stressed that every person in the world should be free from hunger and its threat, and russia wants to make protection against hunger a wrong and a privilege in just 8 months due to the war, the world market received almost 10 million tons less ukrainian agricultural products because of this dozens millions of people are on the brink of starvation or are starving, the president emphasized, stand in solidarity with us in bringing russia to justice, stand in solidarity with us in guaranteeing the right of any person and any country to be protected from hunger, the right to food is a right, not a privilege yes i have to believe that you and i will be able to guarantee this, denise, in the context of the prospects for growing grain in the future, because you may not end the season in the 22nd year, it is absolutely important for us today to support the territory of the temporary occupied and recently liberated kharkiv oblast because
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there is a situation where it is really very expensive for people to transport and sell in the temporarily occupied territories, it is impossible to carry out their economic activities because it is not considered poor conditions when collaborating, therefore it is very important that today the verkhovna rada of ukraine passes a law 76 46 which are submitted the prime minister of ukraine, who says that there is a list of economic activities that can be carried out in the temporarily occupied territories, including the agricultural sector, if you are not a guide for the work of the aggressor, you can carry it out, and this is very important in the context of the fact that these regions are also agricultural, kherson zaporizhia oblast, partly mykolaiv oblast, and when we liberate these territories , the economy will benefit from the agrarian sector, so it is very important today to accept this law and give the opportunity to play sow your family constantly in the company and you can not be a guide to the aggressor and directly carry out agricultural activities as can be divorced these two directions are actually carried out by food provision of your locality where you work
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and the region where you work. you receive, you sell, you pay, you pay, in fact, the opportunity for people to receive contributions from the zapadiya, which they rent to you, and in this way, in fact, to keep the economy of this area from that, in fact, it is constantly the aggressor, uh, you don’t sell to the aggressor because they, in fact, to date cannot fulfill these conditions of those who refuse to cooperate, but we say that in the near future these territories will be liberated that is why today it is important to preserve the possibility to preserve not to say that the documents are to be sold, the ukrainian side said that they also support this initiative, so we expect real support for this draft law in the near future, serhii and pavlova, literally in a minute, we have the final word, palo, if i may start with you, hmm in general, then our food security for the next five years is in what condition can we plan so far in the current conditions a-a in general e-e in principle we can
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, that is, we can already produce such a quantity food that satisfies domestic demand, on the other hand, it is also worth considering that our economic situation depends on the foreign currency income, which is also generated by the agricultural sector. that is, it is not enough for us to maintain food security to grow only what we can eat we ourselves need to exceed it several times in order to actively export it, and generally speaking about the food crisis. now it seems that prices have decreased a little compared to what they were two or three months ago. but again, this is related to the harvest of winter crops in the northern hemisphere but again, it is worth considering that the situation can change. that is, we see that a large amount of wheat , it basically depends on how the conflict will develop, that is, records are impressive in russia
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and the harvest in ukraine and accordingly, we can see more periods of growth. you are the head of the ukrainian grain association. there are those members of your association who have given up their business because of the understanding that it is very difficult to run it. i do not take the occupied territories at the moment. met, but it is necessary to understand that we are more export-oriented, our members. therefore, they have a slightly different situation, but obviously, in the future, this will definitely happen, it will become inevitable. who will have this layer of stock already disappear, but in the process of negotiations on it is very important to the grain corridor, it is important to mention also about the opening of other ports, for example, mykolaiv mykolaiv is our biggest sport through which you can export grain and it is also important to open it together with others , namely odesa and, in the same vein, it is very important
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reduce the cost of logistics, reduce the cost of logistics, which currently takes up about 30% of the cost of grain, will definitely bring money for the farmer , accordingly, it will be easier for the farmer to survive and run the next seeding company. analytics of the food research center of food land use e.e. casey and you were with e.e. vadym kolodiychuk and tetyana goncharova more we pass on the word to our colleagues from inter, maybe they will rake in the guns and the tank with me, wheat. on the rope, the cradles went to the war
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and someone will give a kiss in the end and someone will not shed a tear and will wipe it away . maybe someone will lose faith and strength in their life, saving one thing, but not me, how can i get out i will not stop, no matter how much it hurts. for our dear and beloved land, i am happy to take on all the fires from the family. love grows in the family, warmth lives, support and thousands of prayers. the family protects and never leaves .
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family unbreakable, we all dream , family is ukraine for courage, ingenuity and heroism of the battle, lieutenant colonel pavlo razlach, a legendary cyborg who began his combat journey back in 2014, was the third recipient of the order of bohdan khmelnytskyi and became a full knight of this award, lieutenant colonel pavlo razlach, to the heroes of glory, they don't hear me and they just run away from death. it was very scary and the main thing is that you can neither influence nor stop it. we went out with 19 dogs. three of them were disabled. i hope that we saved
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as many as possible. for sure for me everything is definitely related to my life these are my animals these were animals under my responsibility i brought them out documentary film nine lives on wednesday at 21:30 in marathon the only news is my country this is my country it was different this winter strict, magical, and you don't smell of flowers and grew and berinda from the owner, but really bright and colorful, my beautiful tank of my countries, unique and wonderful, they give birth to colorful rainbows, this is dragobrat in the spring
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