participation in western weapons, and you yourself said that it is only true. well, what we had in the firefight with kalashnikovs was only five of the wounds in the russian army, it was from uh, it was a bullet wound, and the rest were arta tanks there and something else one more thing, only 5% spherical parameters. and i would also say two motivations that are completely absent in russia: we defend our motherland, no matter how pathetic it sounds, we defend our motherland, and the russians are the ones who defend . they hate it, they just hate it and ours is followed by a babushka, some kind of christening, that 's the whole difference and the fourth motivation, we fight for our families, we saw what they did in bucha, what they did in izyum, what they did in malik, and that's why we will fight because i will fight

only because i'm not even trained, there's something else. i'm ready to fight and die only because my family is not behind my shoulders, that's our difference. they only have two motivations, two and we have five motivations, that's why our army is stronger than theirs, that's why they have a chance there is no and we can only guess with you. and when they are will fall finally, now the autumn rains will come , when the rain is dripping down the neck, like er, like the former soldiers there, i’ll tell you, it’s very uncomfortable, er, er. even the guys are used to siberian frosts, it’s still not comfortable even at -5 at -10, and at the same time, the south wind blows there, there’s a blizzard , it’s very uncomfortable to fight in the tent when it will rain in november, when it will rain very heavily

or in february the dispute is when the russian army will fall and we will still be there all the time to tell them that you are in the ground bayonet in the ground bayonet in the ground eh let's turn your imperialist war into your civil war, this is despite the fact that, by the way, now the ministry of defense has not verbally informed that the act, well, all the orders were made for the tailoring of winter clothes. of course, he was not at winter clothes are in the warehouses, but they are now being sewn, sewn, sewn, sewn. if i am not mistaken, she promised to dress the army there almost at midnight, well , that is, it is happening in our country, in any case, i think that by the month of november, we will definitely have an army, at least those who are there first and second third line they will be hemmed, dressed somewhere, volunteers here, you can here in lviv, i have also seen the assortment on the market, so to speak, well, there is, uh, near me there is a krakow market near where i live, i go there well, when i look, the assortment there is already changing already fleeces it means blouses are already appearing somewhere, and pants are warmer and socks, that is. it seems as if the market is already responding to the

needs of our army, so why are they wearing them? it's honestly a mystery to us for literally seven minutes, a little less. but i'm still discussing the last topic the prospects of this mobilization, now we will watch two videos, we will watch one video, e.e., novosibirsk, how a woman wanted to hug and kiss the guardsmen, as if having well, how about us on the maidan, from the very beginning, they gave flowers to these, e.e. national guards, to the guardsmen, and what did it lead to let's see

. well, a woman came out to persuade her to go to siberia. in siberia, that means they took her away, and in dagestan they started fighting with policemen in dagestan. russia if possible, make it shorter, and then i will show a video of a pro-russian poet who came out to read a verse, anti-putin, anti-war, he was taken away by the police, now, if possible, about

these protests, do these protests have prospects, or will they die down over time, volodymyr well, they have a pen well but you have to understand that the russians well, as long as the capitals petersburg and moscow are not s-, well, they will move until there is a mass movement there, when a million people do not come out on the streets, putin will crush it all, well, they will crush it, the most important thing is that this mobilization is exactly what it was called for uh, to mobilize more or less uh, well, let's say that rebellious people are this. one of the forms of such absorption is to remove them from the street from economic life, uh, in order to gather the real rioters, so to speak, somewhere uh, in a certain center, if not to prison, then to the army, where they will be under the e-e disciplinary statute, mr. viktor, what is your opinion about the prospects of these mobilization protests somewhere in

ryazan, in tambov, there will be no protests, moreover, there will not be any in some villages and regional centers e- well, we are the only place where protest is possible we can see here in novosibirsk, isn't there a protest there, 20 aunts came out and 10 of them were taken away? yes, everything is possible . no, muscovites and not st. petersburgers, but dagestanis are fighting, so it is dagestan, eh, we can expect something from tatarstan in your kartistan, yes. that is, where there is a majority of the ethnic population that is not russian , that is possible there. by the way, according to such approximate estimates, up to 260,000 men are men left russia a few days later the announcement of mobilization is actually a huge number. by the way, but they are supposed to be

allowed in now, they should be released from russia only if they have a certificate from the military commissariat, and friends, for example, the armored personnel carriers are already there, we are strengthening the russian border so that they do not break through if they are not allowed in, that is the latest story such a poet, a russian gangster, he came out to read anti-russian, anti-war poems in moscow. well, they caught him and beat him there. well, i won’t say what was done to him, or maybe children listen there, teenagers don’t have to, but they treated him quite cruelly, too. they beat his friend oleksandr menukov and mocked his beloved oleksandra popova. poets in russia are being beaten more or less. moreover, let's look at this comrade who decided to at least decide to go out in moscow to read anti-war poems, please, by the red kremlin, we are with them the freedom of the black color us in the west was lured by a battalion of mercenary soldiers of the president, we immediately

understood that they will not be defeated, that our enemy will not miss a moment, but the best thing is to fight the dead, than to live under the barrel of a soldier, we were the president. breaking the lead applause, history is written with their own blood, shooting at the president's soldiers, dead heroes don't live forever, and birds fly around the white world, we will fight until the last soldier of the president dies literally for 10 seconds but will there be fragments of autocracy ? because russia is not autarky, it is not the soviet union. it has a very small reserve of strength. i told other poets yevgeny yevtushenko that sometimes a poet in russia is more than a poet. well, we hope that at least there are poets there . they will also have an influence somehow, but in your opinion,

mr. viktor, will there be debris from the self-government, the names of those people who, well, now dare at least for such actions, these are pits yes, they are always there in russia, after all, they are right there with nicholas ii and the second one was herzen, who was next to stalin. he was a solzhenitsyn, so it will be. thank you very much. viktor boborenko , volodymyr sydorko, political scientist, political expert , were with us. thank you very much for joining. thank you for a good conversation. take care and i wish you a good day. me especially feelings for these people well, let them be really good, not that good russians are those who love their country. let them speak and let putin die. take care , be with the press. goodbye. greetings. i am andriy yanitsky. tv channel espresso. today we will talk about economic news. if you watch us on the internet

please comment on this video like it send the link to friends and family like us us secretary of state anthony blinken funds will be directed to support law enforcement officers of criminal justice and civil security. states consider it necessary to save lives and strengthen the capacity of ukrainian partners in law enforcement agencies , the secretary of state noted that preparations for winter are underway, it will be easier for citizens to purchase firewood to heat their homes, the state forest resources agency has simplified the procedure the ministry of reintegration of the temporarily occupied territories informs about this resource anyone who wants to can buy it, you just need to submit an application to the nearest forestry office, indicate how much

firewood you need and pay for it . work is also underway to create an online firewood store. citizens will be able to order online without leaving home. such an online market will work. since october and in russia, the kremlin is looking for money for the war in ukraine and the government of the aggressor country is already reaching into the pockets of its citizens, which decided to raise tariffs for gas, electricity transmission, water and heat supply earlier than planned garbage removal, storage prices for russians will increase by 9% already from december 1, officials of the ministry of economy of russia note that they urgently need money for the development of infrastructure, in particular, for the renewal and heating of water pipes and other facilities in europe, they are also

preparing for the heating season in germany. everyone understands that this winter will be difficult and heat will cost more than usual, with what attitude the germans expect cold weather and how much they will pay this year, our correspondents learned that winter is coming. there is a problem with home heating this year, heating prices in germany have increased significantly, elka shares. if last winter she had to pay 50 euros for heating her two rooms in bavaria, then already in october. this amount will double. i can't say that i panic because we know that cheap russian gas will cost thousands of ukrainian lives, the girl says that she is not very thrifty, unlike most germans, and her apartment has electric heating, not gas . i know that they are worried about this, but apparently

it is not such a big problem in cities, because the apartments are not so big. andreas also uses electric heating. but together with his family, he lives in a house with a low level of energy consumption, although heating prices are rising, this does not upset the husband, he signed a special the contract for heating for the sake of ecology now the services are more expensive for him but the man is happy that he is helping to protect the environment recently he received a letter from the service provider they wrote that the prices will even double, but they also reminded that there is a certain reason for the price increase and we should not just complain about the increase in tariffs, but also think about why this is so and ask ourselves that we really want to submit to russian requirements. julian also has electric heating, he lives in a private house and now i paid 110 € per month now the price will increase by 5% in the future of this organization i am not very

worried about the future heating season because i built a new house two years ago and we receive subsidies from the state temperature in german homes may seem too low to an average ukrainian. i think it is quite normal here for the apartment to be around 17-18 degrees for ecological and also economic reasons. it is very important not to heat your house very much and keep the temperature a little lower, because every degree of heat is very expensive to pay for the zabet heats his house, he will charge more than 500, because the price of gas from russia is very high, and from other countries is even higher than the russian one. igor, who has been living in

germany for a long time, explains such different heating tariffs due to the fact that the energy market in germany is decentralized for consumers, and therefore it is difficult to monitor the general statistics of price growth for these services. there are a large number of electricity and gas suppliers that the consumer can choose from. all of them have very different conditions. different duration of contracts . usyk households can also change, now the situation is very different, some people still pay old tariffs before crisis ones. someone is already receiving letters stating that prices will rise. so in germany does not have a standard stable price for heating, even within the limits of one small town, the prices for heating the same houses will differ because the owners have signed contracts with different companies olga dudko and from germany for the tv channel espresso russian aggression affects not only germany as a whole, but also the entire world

economy, here are the experts organizations of economic cooperation and development write that the war will cost the planetary gdp two and eight tenths of a trillion dollars, that is how much will be charged the world economy was supposed to grow by 3% this year and by 2.2% next year, but expert economists say that it will not be possible to achieve these forecasts in the near future, and we will talk about energy and the world economy with our guest oleksiy sobolev, director of a state-owned enterprise transparent sales, but today we do not have oleksiy as an official, but as an economist, a data analyst, oleksiy. congratulations. good morning. i have your resume in my hands. i will be very brief . in addition to transparent sales, oleksiy also teaches and

has taught at the kyiv school of economics. he worked in the organization kosti ukraine, which, as i understand it, calculated the costs of reforms. he is the president of ukraine, with its website, it is a community of ukrainian financial analysts . as far as i understand, i was also adviser to the minister of infrastructure and worked as a manager at dragon sat-management investment company, was an auditor of september young, that is, a very large background, i will not be here, four pages of resume, i will not be everything to retell, but i want to say that oleksiy has a lot of experience, and he uses this experience not only for work in transparent sales, but also for the analysis of big data, and today we will talk about two topics on the analysis of military data and data from the front, which oleksiy analyzes and teaches in his on facebook

, under the tags military analyst sofa or military analyst sofa , and the second about the lecture that oleksiy read for all those who were willing, the money from these lectures went to support the armed forces of ukraine, but the titles of these lectures were quite strange, that is, i will not voice them lockup, don't look up, this is the name of a famous film about dystopia, which was released on the e -streaming platform netflix, and the name is such that what is happening at all, why exactly now? and after that you make some assumptions, forecasts and identify trends, what kind of data is this and what can be built on them, well, our genstadt publishes data from exercises from the russians, and they seem to me to be quite

relevant, that is, you can rely on them there are many different estimates and how much data there are. sometimes someone says that the losses are exaggerated. sometimes someone says that the losses are understated, but it is still clear that in terms of technology , they are very true. therefore, there are many trends in the lost technology. there are many photos and videos of how the technology actually explodes in the russians. therefore these data nicely show the situation at the front and if you just take them and trust them, then you can see the trends and then what is the trend? did four actually burn there or at six? yes, but you

can see that every day this number increases, and based on such trends. if these data are correctly collected and analyzed, you can build a weather forecast, because the trend shows that something is increasing every day. you can think, ok, maybe it will continue to increase, then you look at some cycles, yes, and with the help of data, you can find cycles and you can organize, if there was such a cycle 2 months ago, then it can repeat now, uh, this is the analysis - this is a fairly typical financial analysis it’s just that now the data are not the results of the company’s activities, it’s the military losses of russia, that is, your economic knowledge and ability to analyze statistical data. they were needed, and now i understand from your posts on facebook that there was an attack on the front in our country just before the kharkiv counter-offensive of the ukrainians

there were one trend and you observed one trend, and after eh well, maybe there is still not enough data for you to detect any new trends, what exactly happened eh why do you think that something is abnormal you saw it in the figures provided by the ministry of defense of ukraine, yes. i will now briefly tell you about what i found. you can go to oleksiy sobolevska's facebook and see all these releases, and there are such complex diagrams that i decided not to show them like this, but those who like they like to look at charts. well, it will be interesting to you. you can flip through them there and look at these height differences , yes, yes, the graphs show it, that is, the russians give war according to the book, they fight in periods of 50 days, and it looks like a russian attack it looks like this for the first 20 days, they build up

power, you know, they send all the tanks of people to capture something, uh, on the 20th day, somewhere around the peak, and the number of knocked out bmp tanks gradually decreases, and somewhere on the 40th day, they run out of accumulated army to attack and we start a counterattack and er after the 40th day for about two weeks we raise more artillery. from the data and the russians repeated this story four times yes ah four times until we are somewhere on the 30th day of the last time and when they have already passed their peak yes and uh they no longer have enough resources to attack us uh we went on a counterattack, broke through

the front and captured a lot of them, captured their equipment , and now, this week, i had these trends. it's just that if you saw something four times and the graph shows it, well, most likely it will be five, so now it won't be clear the fifth, uh, the fifth. such an attack by the russians. did they really collect, well, collect troops for this, but now we have broken through the front and most likely these troops are somehow blocking these places where we can attack during the entire war , this was the period when we knocked out many hundreds of their guns. and it is very good. artillery is the biggest problem for us. and what we see now is that our second wave of counterattacks began a week ago

. you can read about it in the news. liman but it is also visible in the data, and this wave of counterattacks a little less powerful than when we broke through near the kharkiv front, but still it is quite noticeable in the data. every day we see more tanks knocked out and more dead russian soldiers. it's good because now it's not what you read there analysts, yes, and you know exactly the data that the initiative of ukraine now says how and where we will fight and this is also here. what i would like to emphasize is that if you do not look at the formations and the military, but look only at the numbers, you can identify some trends and understand what is actually happening at the front, and er, i read from your last post that five days later our second powerful attack began,

overwhelming around the estuary and near kherson, did you mention kherson, er, if it will be in any way similar to the previous one, the peak will happen this week, right on this one, which we are talking about, and you assume that the estuary can be released, and from the trends it seems that this counterattack is about half as powerful as in the kharkiv direction, it was so, that is, everything is confirmed by this this post is from yesterday and a possibility or the day before yesterday, maybe fresh data added something to this forecast. well, today we need to see how it will be and then know exactly what the problems are because this is our second attack, yes , we can’t say what kind of trend it is, but to show, for example, our previous attack. yes, what we attacked for 20 days. that is, let's imagine that we managed to accumulate strength and managed to attack stylishly so

that the losses of the russians were very high. to attack with such power is like washing in front of oneself . that is, let's imagine that our army is as powerful as the russian army. somewhere in june, are there any analysts at the headquarters of the ministry of defense who also look at these russian attacks and found the same trend that they 50 days they have an attack phase and that you have to wait until you are not exhausted and counterattack on the 50th day. i think the data is much more detailed there and they don't look at these appeals and count how many soldiers are present in which places because they understand it better aggregated data along the entire front line, yes, and they look at how many of these soldiers are

in kharkiv and there they calculated that there is enough for the front and there you can break through, so i think that they will also be able to use numbers, then there will be success not only in economic and mathematical sciences we literally have a minute and a half to remember your lectures. we won't be able to say much, but still decipher what was from the lecture that was announced with an abstract title, what is happening at all, why right now, and what will happen what kind of content was there? ukraine was at the center of the parliament for the history of literally the entire planet, almost because the way we lived before that was a lot of trends. yes, they change, and they changed a few years ago, but simply by code and this war everyone thinks that everything will pass now and it will go back to the way it was before, and i found out about it after the war, trying to understand how it was and whether

anyone had ever written about it and read a lot . there are more than 100 hours of different books, and in fact books were written about what we will have a big war again there several dozen years ago and why and how do you need to look at the biography, the economy and the demographic trends and here they show long yes, if you do not have a population or you know that the population will decrease after a certain period , it causes certain processes and this i collected this one inspection was conducted and the next one will be online in a few weeks and then it will be offline in kyiv, then just go to my page there will be an announcement, everyone says that it is very interesting because there is no one to complete such long trends we will definitely talk about the lectures separately, let's have such a separate meeting, i want to say that i heard a one-two-hour lecture and it's just uh-uh such

concentrated wisdom uh-uh, it's clear that oleksiy did n't invent all this himself but he read it in many smart books and i concentrated all this for several hours of lectures, and oleksiy sobolev , the director of the state-owned enterprise transparent sales, was with us, and we talked about how the ability to manage numbers , analyze numbers, and helps to understand what is happening at the front. i am andriy yanitskyi economic news on the espresso tv channel. watch us weekdays at 8:00 a.m. on tuesdays from 11:00 p.m. and when it's convenient for you. watch us on youtube together. days a week from monday to monday seven different spheres of human activity sports culture politics eight presenters espresso

journalists experts opinion leaders in real time about the most relevant events through the prism of war daily author projects on espresso congratulations on the broadcast of the program of the ukrainian service with the voice of america time and the presenter ostap yarosh the pseudo-referendums held by russia will not have legitimacy and what a violation of international law these lands of ukraine , nato secretary general and yanstoutenberg after a conversation with volodymyr zelensky saltborg assured the ukrainian president that allies the panathon steadfastly support ukraine's sovereignty and right to self-defense; moreover, the secretary general of the alliance condemned