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tv   [untitled]    October 7, 2022 9:30pm-10:01pm EEST

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and traditionally more history is always on our website bbc.ua on our social media pages we are again faith on monday at 21:00 take care of yourself vietnamese balm star the first step in the treatment of colds a proven medicine and not a cosmetic mixture we will be healthy ask at pharmacies trust the vietnamese only with proven medicines, maybe the guns and the tank will rake the wheat with me on the rope again and we will cry and mourn, we will have lullabies and we will go to war
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, someone will be the last to kiss soap and someone will cry not one will wave, and maybe some will lose their faith and strength, saving their lives, but not me, i will not stand up, no matter how much it hurts. for our dear and beloved land, i am glad to take on all the lights. we will see their faces in the news, and you will not find their names in they are unknown in the lists of those awarded, but they are countless, they report on enemy positions, they post leaflets and blow up traitors, they bring victory closer, and because of them
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, the earth is burning under the enemy's feet, because this is our land. glory to the ukrainian partisans, congratulations, friends, health and vitaly portnikov, mykola september yes, we will be with you until 11 p.m. but keep in mind that as i wrote at 22:17 minutes and 40 seconds, we can start answering the questions that you came up with and we will try to find an intellectual resource to answer them on the official on the tv
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facebook press page, please also contact vitaliy. he has many supporters on the internet and you can use them and become one of them or one of the supporters of carriers of politicians. the information resistance is in touch with us, let's talk about how the military operations are developing now, mr. kostiantyn, we congratulate you. good health, mrs. kostiantyn. good evening. my first question for you may be strange. you know, the day before yesterday i spoke with these european friends and it looks so funny. the ukrainian command is usually silent, and my friends tell me that all of europe knows about the ukrainian offensive, knows the maps, knows where they are advancing , knows where they are advancing, why and to what extent. headquarters, but i'm sitting here thinking. well, is it right or
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wrong to just keep silent and wait for the final cleansing of some town or village or city, if not to report somehow such restraint, i see and i can understand this restraint on the one hand, on the other hand, i say that in europe they know more than the ukrainians about the ukrainian offensive. what is your point of view, mr. kostyantyn, well, there are two levels, let's put it this way, let's be informed, let's say the first level is the level of professionals who are engaged in the organization , planning, and conduct of hostilities. another level of awareness of the situation directly in the combat zone. that is the general awareness of, let's say , broad sections of the population, including outside observers and experts,
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various commentators who actually produce, let's say , the point of view about the hits the course of the war based on open sources, i.e., according to official reports from maps, from attempts to evaluate, conduct some kind of analysis , uh, well, that is, these are uh, uh, i would say about cubic awareness, and here are the people who really are engaged in the planning and organization of hostilities, of course they will be very, very, very restrained in any dissemination of information. 500,000
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reservists, how serious is it? 500 million, they say. well, where are there so many people? well, how do i know? well, lukashenka can say anything, he can mean anything. look, uh, during the three months of summer, uh. organizational and mobilization department of the belarusian general staff conducted such er, rather er, long trainings with er, meditative nature , that is, they trained there, debugged the mobilization system, er, trained er, regarding er, let’s say, the recruitment of reservists, so here it is there were two real attempts to recruit these reservists in the hominsk and brest regions, so
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both of them, to put it mildly, were not quite successful . putin will be able to put pressure on lukashenko, and not only the russian military will go from the side of the belarusian border, if they go at all, but also the belarusian one, well, in my opinion, it is still a long way off . by side signs, that is, this is such a hint that there is no need to be so afraid. i understood what you said correctly. yes, in order to organize something serious there. well, i mean there are two or three
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battalion tactical groups there that will cope with 7 km polissya, something more serious, for example , like it was in march or february, er, there are 30,000 groups, it was broken, er, to kyiv, so er, we will see it, these signs will be obvious. it ’s just not to hide it. yes, but you can't hide it, but you can. well, i'm a civilian, i don't know. but is it really a danger? because when we talk, as i understand it, about two or three battalions of tactical groups, then it's not a danger, well, it's definitely a nuisance, a big nuisance, but a provocation. let's say it's a provocation. tactical scale from von of course, it will have its own consequences. well, let there be 10 of them, let there be 10 of them, now on a
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permanent basis, uh, seven battalions, in fact, groups of conscription have been deployed. to cross the border there or to attack some objects on ukrainian territory of course there will be consequences of course this will cause a certain reaction of the bodies of the military administration of the ukrainians or the use of certain forces and means of course he fights on the general strategic situation, but that's it it is unlikely that there will be any operational strategic sense of influence, but i will tell you, on the other hand , that belarus is actively participating in russian aggression, so let's say
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directly the use of troops belarusians , this will only be one of the elements, for example, they are quite actively supplying russia with ammunition of scarce calibers, weapons, military equipment of the main types, and they are quite actively recruiting through special bodies and recruitment points in private military company and directly in the russian army, so belarus is quite actively participating and the direct participation of the belarusian troops is only let's say the elevation and composition and a little one step higher, mr. kostiantyn, look, well, we can roughly imagine the military doctrine of russia, there is a nuclear strike in the case of an attack on the territory of russia,
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we studied it all, and somehow, with one eye, one with two, but let's imagine it, i propose a pure water speculation, this is me for the audience, this is just speculation, let's speculate, mr. kostiantyn well, the ukrainian army can cross the border of belarus , conditionally speaking, two or three to five of these tactical groups are approaching . more precisely, let's say that the current military-political leadership of ukraine will dare to transfer hostilities directly to the territory of belarus. by the way, they have repeatedly stated that well, that means no
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they want and do not see the need to carry out hostilities directly on the territory of belarus. the fact is that, er, a little bit, let's say it has changed, approaches have changed, if you er, understand from the territory of belarus, we are being attacked, and the armed forces of ukraine do not respond on the territory of belarus with the appropriate forces and means, that is, it is quite possible that at the moment, the current military-political leadership of ukraine is ready to raise, let's say, this level to the level of retaliating against hit long-range weapons on the territory of belarus, but it is unlikely that it is ready, uh, uh, to issue an order to operate the borders directly with ground
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troops. okay, the question is not so much a military one as a purely political one. and what is it? suddenly, the head of the federation council shouted, let's negotiate. let's sit down . everything yes, at least somehow they have it. well, we know that this happens in due time, but we believe that it is very difficult because putin also shouted to samarkand about negotiations and then ordered mobilization and so on, that is, what was it like by such a request is amazing on her part, moreover, such a request is wrapped in the ideology of putinism, yes, your internal affairs. we are ready to be a mediator. in short, everything we heard from putin, but now it is the same, but let's negotiate whether there really is some problem or what it is. military-political from a
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geopolitical point of view, after samarkand , the military-political leadership of the russian federation came to the conclusion that the situation hmm general with the war, in a strategic sense, received a sufficiently stable negative trend to the deterioration, er, well, of course, in this situation, er, a decision was made, by the way. they held a meeting of the security council, er, and came to the conclusion that it is necessary to change the strategy of waging war, er, to samarkand it was a frank strategy for a war of attrition , but now they need to change their strategy a little, they need to come up with something in order to survive because those
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allies in the foreign political arena who er hmm what were they counting on in china india er well let's just say that they were cool with the idea of ​​continuing this war for a long time because they are suffering losses there in china, for example, economic difficulties there started in india, there are problems with the energy structure. well, will putin still shake it up with his nuclear to try to define ukraine with heads or there? well, all the more so these losses of these two let's say allies in quotes of the kremlin well, what is there ms. matvienko, well, this level is the result of the decision of this security council of the
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city's political leaders - the leadership of russia, she conducts, well, these are basically puppets of the kremlin, and they carry out, well, they implement the decisions made at the security council, mr. konstantin, correct. i understand that putin went to samarkand in uzbekistan, he was told to stop the war, to end the war in a shorter time, and he came to power and made a decision that i will win the war as soon as possible. well, to be there by november, when it will be possible to meet and 20. to be there , i have already reported, i have already defeated everyone, everything is fine. the other third, the tenth, correctly, i understood that it was his activity, the decision on the initial mobilization is also connected with this, with this situation , their position on the
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world stage is deteriorating, and it is already becoming obvious, and well, in samarkand, they did not treat him harshly there there is a frame , there is a tip, there is two weeks or a month and the war was over, you could do what you want. well, let's say. so the chinese comrades and the indian comrades quite openly hinted, yes, yes, they hinted to him that it would be very desirable for us to finish it, of course russian immediately drew conclusions and policed ​​it on uh in the future because it is obvious that uh will achieve military success right away somewhere within a short period of time
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. they are urgently asking er not unequivocally they are asking to end this war well and here he came up with this mobilization partially immediately after the samokand a some kind of miracle may happen, that he will realize that he has nothing to do with ukraine, that something is not working out there and it is necessary to once again change some kind of strategy, tactics, operational efficiency, something like that is possible in principle to imagine right now right at the front and what
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are the russian troops busy with they are busy trying to hold on to er in the introduction. let's say that the first wave there is the first wave of these mobilized, she writes 90,000 er people whose training period is minimal there or do not need to prepare at all, this is essentially those er who recently served conscript service in the russian army and has combat experience. yes, in this sense, putin did not lie, and they are the first, the first, first of all . the front, therefore, the russian command now, with the available forces and the means it has, now solves the task of stabilizing the front in two operational directions and holding out until this massive replenishment of
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its departmental units of the units of the first waves, but there are still about 100,000 e-e, which they recruited, well, this is a friend of a friend, and whom they are now moving around this rear, their training center, there, the training ground , the forest, where they are, there is this video on the internet, where they are, we are hiding in some they live in the ditches, this is the second wave. according to the idea, it should leave after the first. well, what about your question, these 90,000 that you said are dangerous. what does this mean for the ukrainian army? does this mean that now we will defend and they will advance? it it doesn't mean that it will die somewhere , well, we have something, something is accepted,
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they believe that if it means that these mobilized people will appear on the front line, that is, it must necessarily mean something for nothing. this will not mean that the nature of hostilities is determined by a number of parameters, among which the level of staffing of some units is only one. well, i can say that putin has no rear gears well, if you compare their military-political leadership with a car, then they don't have a reverse gear. you asked if he can understand that he can and understand, but he
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won't be able to reverse, but if he can't give reverse and at the same time, he can't win so what will he do? i think he will try to go to the end, but to the specified limits. the fact is that he can not make decisions alone, well, there the prices are such a conglomerate. and especially in the case of the introduction of war i mean the forms of methods, i.e. strategies. it is quite possible for him to determine the strategy and he would like to single- handedly determine the strategy, but he cannot because he is afraid of responsibility, in short there is no answer as i understand it, in our world and we and you do not have an answer because it is really absolutely correct
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vitaly says well, okay, he can't win and he doesn't have a rear gear and well, this is the most important question. the point is that the rear gear is will mean his e politically, and then physical death, and he will not go for it, we, i agree with this, but the question arises why he cannot go forward, it is impossible to hold on, it can be something forward, the troops are being defeated, they are being expelled from the occupied territories, what is putin with the external political it will look like an evil complete breakdown, not only of the kremlin's foreign policy, let's say, but also of the leadership system in general. i think that the situation will change putin, not putin, the situation. yeah. that is, there will be someone who
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will turn on the reverse gear, maybe such and such people will destroy or instead of it, they will turn it on or or as they like to say at our front, ukrainian fighters are all of us, we beat all of them. okay, thank you, maybe yes, let 's finish here with us. it's as if we've figured it all out , konstantina, the coordinator of the information resistance group, was with us. thank you. mr. kostiantyn, for the fact that you stayed with us on friday evening to talk. well, this is also really a question of what and what can happen , no one knows, i will begin. of russia will use nuclear weapons yes and what and what they should answer there were several games in 2016 there was a game the leaders of the game participants voted for the answers with
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a nuclear strike if russia with its adrenalin on however not against russia but against belarus in order not to hit russia but it was connected what will happen if russia launches a nuclear attack on a nato member country, and if not, in 2019 there was another war game with russian nuclear weapons in the direction of ukraine , and the results are absolutely classified, no one knows what they are. well, as one of the participants of this said the exercises are at the level of the white house and the pantheon , there were no specific results, you did not manage to answer this question, if not only, but what, well, i, for example, well, everyone has their own point of view, my point of view is that i am not convinced that putin will dare. moreover, i am convinced who will not dare, but who and how will be able to stop this whole
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story . this is an open question. to do very minimal, but if some riots start there, then putin will need an army inside, not outside, not in ukraine, but near moscow or in moscow. or somewhere or somewhere or somewhere somewhere, but for this we need some kind of unrest in the russian federation volodymyr hryshka minister of foreign affairs of ukraine in 2007-9, the head of the wall research center is already on the phone, mr. volodymyr. well, what do you think putin will dare to do if he loses the war, obviously not the use of nuclear weapons in one way or another in the form of greetings to vitaliy congratulations to mykola uh, well, you know, we usually analyze people who are adequate uh, and we proceed precisely from the fact that adequate people think logically and act accordingly,
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to say that putin uh, acts adequately and logically, well it would be a great creative exaggeration, it happened er, well, actually from the beginning of all that er from the very beginning but if he acts logically and would simply corrupt ukraine , as he knows how to do it very well, and here the question is only in the example of ukraine, but the whole of europe, then he would calmly corrupt to such a level that one yanukovych would replace another and that was the end of it, but he acts simply irrationally and uh, we saw it all over uh, including on february 24,
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when i think that on the basis of an absolutely necessary idea of ​​what ukraine is, the ukrainian people , he decided to play all-in, although he i think just uh, absolutely sincerely hoped that he he will win, so to say that he can use this weapon is to talk about what can actually happen, but here, sir, i think you asked the question very correctly, what can help prevent him from doing this, and this is what i am actually talking about now mr. biden and mr. scholz and mr. macron and mr. macron and mrs. tras, in one word, this is what it seems to me now that it is being discussed in the form of brainstorming at all levels, both
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political and military, and i think that those uh, the signals that uh-uh have already proved to putin must still be even his e-e on well overexerted brain to stop, because in fact it will be a fatal and finally and actually the final mistake of putin personally and for russia, including mr. vladimir, but you know, our russian friends have such a beautiful proverb don't remember i know where you are stupid, stupid, but you have a cute nose, that's why i think he has some kind of flash . well, for example, i was completely surprised when he left kyiv, and i'm sitting, i'll prove it. he's sober. military
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there in the east, but if he was. if he washed her, then he moved me away from kyiv. i just sit and think that i have the impression that he is like that there , relatively speaking, one day a week, he has an epiphany, something happens in his head , and then 6 days it means we are together again, but there are some cracks where he does some logical things, i don't know and they are not frequent, but there are exactly that one day that you are talking about eh, mainly those who still have the opportunity to say something to him eh work with him openly and in the eyes and it is possible it is precisely this guarantee that, after all, in detention for 6 days, he will more or less eavesdrop on what he

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