a raid on a lapin is a raid on a whole group of the highest military command of the russian federation, that is, according to what this means, how events can develop. well, this is not only your thinking - it is a kdr and prigoralnaya. open hides. it is they who attack the enemy 's heras. the names mentioned could be all that is not only bright gerasim, well, such a plant in general, in no army of the world, it is impossible to imagine on foot than the field during the retreat , well, the event is developing, it seems to me by itself in a favorable way for the end of this conflict this year, with such conflicts within the higher political leadership and in russian society, i will repeat that i repeat several times, but now it is

becoming absolutely clear that the liberation of kherson will be a fatal blow and putin will not survive his ego, in any case, we see extremely powerful dynamics, it is in particular about the strikes of the armed forces of ukraine in this direction that you have outlined, the battles are going on beyond hell we understand that there are not many worthy ukrainian soldiers and officers. and soon the russian group may fall into a complete trap, it is from 20,000 people, but andrei andriyovich, after i choked on the attempts to annex and this whole thing was filmed in moscow. well, we see that really it's about inadequate people, do you remember all putin's anthrax that he performed with war criminals of various plans there, beekeepers and so on, on the stage, relatively

speaking, politically, well, this is really inadequacy he can interfere with direct command troops. this is a request for a factual grouping. he forbids 20,000 people under kherson. he forbade you from hayat. now even with all the chewing, he even received an order to retreat. there you go, uh, artillery of ukrainian missile systems, well, it seems to me that russia is approaching such a military and political catastrophe, you need to know the whole attitude of the russian military kadyrov, uh, they hated him always without kadyrov, six pieces putin lost when his war and he pays how the loser pays public tribute kadyrov also tells us all

with a handwritten statement that there is no such thing as the head of the federation subject, the lesson is the driver of the independent state, well, it is in a personal union with putin with the russian federation, that’s all what does the russian federation have to do with putin, and he is playing kadyrov now? the military they hate the coders they are not in agreement with this outcome of the war and when putin recognized the situation he began to pay tribute to him i will not attack him and he will have to defend again the independence of the sheep and tell him it is called chechen hooliganism so he emphasizes the independents and he works for the chechen audience that

here i am, how strong i am here, dictating to the russians. he is already there. let putin's russia, which will begin to fall, be the first to fall and be the first to own it . chechnya has never been a part of russia is sorry for the wars, it’s just like that kadyrov will reach a personal agreement with putin that will end so that this conflict is inevitable between the military on the one hand and the criminal er . army, but they have more faith in you, and it seems that this is their last resort to win back at kadyrov's beautiful beauties. putin, in vain, reconciles, so to speak, to the career of ivan the terrible, that is, ivan the terrible in the ukrainian transcriptions, that is, in the role of a collection of namalyuts from

kuratov, we see kadyrov prigozhin and so on. and we remember how he tore off two noses, how ivan the terrible chopped off heads, how he burned people alive, how this father, the good man, acquired a state in general in quasi, and the russian boyars licked their eyebrows ivan the terrible also went to the stake until he died, he created everything he could, he doesn't draw on ivan the terrible, no, it doesn't, that's what stalin is, they're on adolf hitler, he's a soft st. petersburg gopnyk, who now loses any support and support, the environment in the bunker, which i didn’t want to do all of this evacuation, do you remember his speech to the people three times, yes, it’s not long after that, after all, it was brought from tuesday to the next weapon, the last moment, i’m going to install it from this triple stupidity, and

the second, uh, i’ll repeat the russian one again the army doesn't matter to me, it covered me with shame in ukraine, both professionals and people who broke the code of the military man, but all the more, we, together and with pleasure, they want to fence off the new little skinner it is impossible that putin has exactly such a combination and idea, otherwise it is impossible to explain this action, but not here, again, i miscalculated, sorry, what difference does it make to us? what will happen if russia loses , in any case, it is obvious that it is going to lose the war. to another, losing a war always opens a long-term shelter in russia. this is the pen running. the trouble has already begun. in our eyes,

how can you explain the extremely strange statement or initiative of aunt vali matvienko? do you understand ? a native of ukraine who collaborates with the regime that is destroying or, more precisely, trying to destroy her historical homeland, she began to talk about the prospects of holding some kind of consultations at the parliamentary level, so to speak, after president zelensky openly sent putin and the entire negotiation process , so to speak, is tied to putin we include poroshenko of ukraine, matvienko and all the people in the bunkers, they understood that the war is a war and they are the same russians, they hate ukraine, we would destroy it with a court of law now they see that it is impossible to live even longer, and they have a second, more important task for them, how to preserve the government as competent, this is the same time

and in the face of defeat in the country. here they are already turning, as if through putin's head, to the west that here, let's help save us all of us are here eh ready how would this be hints that in that part there are russian officials who really want to come to an agreement and in general you are ready to hand over putin because putin now has too many horns to hold on to power and that's all, or this is who wants peace matvyenko she they just sent it, express yourself, it’s a military situation, it’s just not what someone says that i’m putin, he deliberately put his ego in the military, he didn’t post it.

there were some people to some degree poisoned by propaganda. well, they were ready to mobilize, as they were told, to save the country, but when all this was revealed to them , there would be no slavery in the army. the generals of the army leadership were completely unprepared and willing to sacrifice seven for plugging holes i think that this is competent explosive material, perhaps this is the most dangerous problem, and how for putin, how for the entire russian masonry class. well, i agree with you that public whipping of generals is an extremely serious challenge. but putin attacked him from the other side, we we understand that putin, if he is really going to get out of the war against ukraine alive and retain power. he wants it very much, then he will be forced to take some steps

. his surroundings suggest the soft removal of putin from power. it was discussed even with him, and he was almost ready to hand over samarkand to the ezda, but there he became convinced that such a fall of his position in the international arena could lead to not only we saw what was happening to arkadinov and the people from the bunker saw it and he was afraid that he was afraid that i didn’t have you so much to offer the west, let’s go we free you from putin and you help us force ukraine to offer something like more lenient conditions of capitulation and that is why the first one to make an excavation at once 4 mm at a time by

magic and go in the same direction and the only thing that will save his life is to agree with his environment. about the fact that they send him to some center of ancient chinese medicine for treatment and announce that comrade putin made a number of serious mistakes in ukrainian issues. now we ask everyone to correct this the only chance for the ego to live, but this is, so to speak , in perspective, until putin has been tied to the tails of some bay stallions or to some wheel or bumper of kadyrov's tachanka and rolled, so to speak, across the entire middle russian highlands, this is in the plans here we have another extremely specific case, it is about an application from the ukrainian, it is interesting about the accelerated entry into the

euro-atlantic community. and let's hope that there will be no one except orban who could try to block such a direction. i think this autumn is a true and important step by zelensky and watch already half of the nato members will express themselves in half because i believe that the fair will list one of the parties eh, the last days will be added to them, this closest will not be announced yet, of course, bulgaria and slovenia, and besides, i believe in it is already the first day when you become a member of nato, this application is supported in finland by sweden, and together it will already be 15 of the 30 nato countries. what can i show you ? you have to fuck what is the task of protecting nato, this is the first priority, these are the

15 countries from the attacks of russia, those are the countries that actually perform this function on their territories, and the army is located, there was only a rope, they are all ready to accept it was a few more two months ago, the abstraction that someone had already formed with meat became a practical goal . a very important point was emphasized by zelensky that we are asking, he said we are already de facto members of nato , you know, he turned around and it is completely changed. four with a plus will stand, this is the country that is the only one that performs the function of

nato, it is fighting with russia on the side of paradise precisely for the sake of protecting european civilization from the russians . остался с американый until the end and it is not clear to me. i will share my opinion as i see it from the transmission of missiles, the range of it, from it . the heimerson missile, with a range of 300 and 500 km, here the americans are now answering, not answering the question, not confirming and not checking. how are they not presented ? - this is a missile already in a certain amount in front of ukraine .

to the line for the destruction of the ukrainian infrastructure, then we will transfer missiles in very large quantities, and with them we have our own limitations, our wishes that we currently express to the ukrainians not to use them to attack the russian territory itself. we also noticed that the process is going in this direction yesterday or forever the pentagon announced that they removed these restrictions that were in relation to crimea. crimea, the ukrainian territory, confirmed that in crimea it is possible to buy any missiles. it is very necessary just like the liberated crimea, that is, it is in this direction, the actual thing that is needed in ukraine as a member of nato, we do not expect american german soldiers . would be comforted

. because this is not about aggression, but about collective security, yes, and in particular, nuclear facilities and the zaporizhzhia nuclear power station, you need, first of all, weapons of increasing scale, 10 uah, and in this sense, you are already nato. you are already members of nato. that is it already, and i am sure that you will receive a formal checkerboard after taking kherson . there will be a forced capitulation to russia. and this statement of zelensky is very important intermediate step in this management. thank you very much andrii andriyovich for this honest and at the same time optimistic conversation on the espresso tv channel .

iconic political scientist andriy piankovsky, our program time has run out, stay tuned to tv channels with the press my colleagues will inform you about the most important things, take care of yourself and your loved ones see you on the air vasyl zima's big broadcast my name is taras zima two hours of air time and my colleagues are with you until 9:00 p.m. for two hours of your time, we will talk about the most important thing, two hours to learn about the war, our broadcast will be serhiy zhoretska's military summaries of the day and how the world lives what is there in the world, yuri the physicist will tell for two hours to keep abreast of the economic news of radio broadcasters oleksandr frowns he talks about the economy during the war and new sports evgeny pastukhov is ready to talk about sports for 2 hours in the company of his favorite presenters about culture during the war lena is ready to talk or something else that has

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mirrors, our battlefield is to convey the deep you in the enemy is our goal - victory glory to the military intelligence of ukraine i welcome you to the espresso channel russian president vladimir putin and his henchmen have declared and hinted that they are ready to use nuclear weapons against ukraine, including to protect the territories annexed and declared by russia , whether it is the us president's turn or not not yesterday stated that since kennedy and the cuban missile crisis, we have not come so close to the prospect of armageddon and baddin believes that putin can go very far due to the threat of losing power not for this reason, some people assume that the more successes our armed forces have on the battlefield and the closer to the liberation of the same crimea, the greater the

probability that the enemy will use weapons of mass destruction in order to restrain our progress and frighten the west and the united states into keeping their weapons aid to ukraine, to what extent such assumptions are true and whether everything will be exactly the opposite, that the use of nuclear weapons by the russian army will be a fatal end for the russian army and the leaders of the aggressor country, we are talking about all this let's talk in the next edition of our military program. my name is serhii zgorets. i am the director of the information consulting company defense express, which currently works in tandem with the team of the espresso channel. my interlocutor today is oleksiy ezhyak, an expert at the national institute of strategic studies, who has been working for a long time and is actually working both the issues of nuclear deterrence and other aspects of international security. i congratulate you, oleksiy. i congratulate you,

mr. sergey. you have considerable experience in analysis the concept of nuclear deterrence, about that, ordinary citizens usually do not want to delve into such deep needs, all of them, and it is necessary to start with simple things, for sure, so when it is said now about the probability of using nuclear weapons in the format of the ukrainian-russian conflict, on what scale from one to ten would you rate such the probability at the current stage well the current stage i would say probably the current stage is meant during this phase of the war well my current estimate is 3%, er in general and if we are talking about such things and you they said that citizens of the intersection are not interested in this, but there is no need for them to be interested in this, here i have to say right away that when we talk about such

hypothetical things as a nuclear war, it is almost the same as talking about a tsunami, an earthquake, the fall of a tungusic meteorite on the territory of ukraine with the difference that here we still see a process that is partially controlled by the political will or a group of people or a certain specific person who is currently sitting there in a bunker as it is believed that the process is hepatic on the one hand, on the other hand there is there are certain risks and since the cold war there has been such and such a rule and everything related to nuclear weapons is taken seriously and here there are two approaches, there is such an approach of covering these er events that should be ignored at all because er it is very similar to the information operations of the kremlin and indeed, there is a lot of information operations here, another approach that i

follow is that certain things need to be said in order to create an inoculation against this horror of nuclear weapons in general before such a prospect of using any kind of weapon because this the horror that arises in mars citizens is the agent that allows the kremlin to influence the situation. if this agent does not have this agent in the form of fear, then there will not be such an effect, they will be forced to give up rather . i'm wrong and we shouldn't talk about it at all, we shouldn't talk about it, and consider it such an informational thing to say, it's an informational informational operation, an informational special informational operation, but still, once we say it, i think it's necessary to talk about it, and i repeat from my point of view during this war e- is

this phase of the war has a value of 3%. that is, it is a symbolic number, it says there is something, but still no. but if we want to dispel this fear about how nuclear weapons function and how they can be used, then everyone usually mentions enough hiroshima and nagasaki, although in your materials you have repeatedly said that in fact, that experience is not one that should be taken into account from the point of view of the loss of population there, because it was actually about the fact that these cities actually burned down and were not destroyed, so what are the conclusions from the history there well, ancient times regarding against the use of weapons against hiroshima nagasaki are adaptive to the current situation and which should not be taken into account at all well, it is necessary to take a lot into account to prove that then it was a new effect such before such an effect

during the second world war it was created mass bombing, well, at least for several days, bombers flew continuously, well, in germany , there were such mass bombings there, too. it is very similar . the consequences were destruction, but in one minute, it happened. well, the city really won there longer, but such an effect when uh very quickly , secondly, then there was uh, radiation sickness, it was because people simply did not know that the main effect of radiation is created by this dust that people inhale, if they knew this, it would not be possible how many victims are there from the application? well, of course, this flash , which is on the near sea at a close distance, caused these fires in a city that was not made of wood, in general, now all these effects are more or less known

, but we can see them now on the footage. this is such an underwater explosion, but the ship stops and there is nothing there it happens, that is, it's not a miracle, weapons, of course , you don't hear weapons, but weapons are very destructive. so, if we now see, this is all that is happening around nuclear weapons, we already remember that, in addition to hiroshima and nagasaki, there were tests at the nato test site, known soviet tests in in the 1950s, when the troops passed through the epicenter, there were a series of tests in the united states, also with the use of troops, they did not pass through the epicenter to the epicenter, but they came close , they did create almost markets, then we remember ah, you even know and we don't remember that there were two nuclear explosions on the territory of ukraine, they were underground, they were not related to the actual

military theme, there was one time they tried to increase coal production in yenakievo, and the second time they tried to extinguish the well with gas-condensate under a high current, but in the end it was extinguished by other means because it did not work. in the kharkiv region, no one even knows. well, there were explosions there, one was as long as latona and the other was longer than kaletone. -e 15 conventionally speaking eh kileton but if we talk about such small, low-power, unequal nuclear artillery, then we still remember the explosion that happened in the 20th year, it was not nuclear, but according to the power, saltpetre, which was stored in the port and there, exploded two kilotons, in principle, you can estimate this explosion. did you see what happened? well, it was a big destruction

, but there was no special tragedy, so we, and if we see mariupol with a beating . create a very quickly with the help of nuclear weapons, but this is certainly not something beyond our imagination, as it was during the strikes on hiroshima, nagasaki, when there was a great psychological effect, now i can no longer have such a psychological effect. were there on september 14, there was also an air detonation of 40 kt ammunition. and actually a strike was practiced on the platoon battalion defense area. that is, one and a half kilometers away, so it turned out that

they placed equipment there at certain distances from the epicenter and the conclusions such trucks at a distance of up to 800 m from the epicenter burned completely evaporated, equipment that was placed at a distance of up to a thousand meters from the epicenter was pressed into the ground and floated up to 1800 m were in the equipment was destroyed and at the greatest distances from 2 km and beyond there was no damage to the military equipment, that is, in fact 2 km and beyond relatively speaking this equipment well , you can use this equipment literally in two hours it was already possible to cross the area of ​​the explosion in e by units, given that the above- mentioned radiation in the air disappeared quickly. these were the results of these tests. if we talk about

it, there were still dugouts there, even less destruction, even closer. there were also animals, and they were quite close to the epicenter. they used, of course, they already there were no residents, but they survived, well, here we must also take into account to be frank that at that time technology was not yet so electronic and now we probably have to talk about the fact that this is radiation, hard radiation, electromagnetic gamma radiation, it will probably disable it, i don’t think it will be drastic, but there will be a failure because of that. well, military equipment, electronics on military equipment, at least before it was protected from e-e additional from the impact, that is, even now we do not know whether it will go