direct purchase - kupyansk is very important, in principle, it is a railway junction that is for them, i understand that it is very desirable to take it back, and how much if they seize it, try well, let's try. they will break in there again and try to seize it, how much for them it will matter at all how important it will be only then the item itself as methods the city itself does not weigh anything the node itself weighs the whole line well if you look at the map then the thread weighs, that is, it is necessary to take control not only of the pile-puki as a node railway station a must be taken under control and moved away from this railway track as much as possible in order to reduce the impact of artillery. let me remind you that standard artillery installations of large calibers of 122 152 mm are from 15 a. active-reactive projectiles in some cases 30-40 a. let's say such an installation as a pion can

inflict damage up to 50 km, then you yourself understand that pushing them back to such a distance a section of several tens or even up to a hundred kilometers well , in my opinion it does not seem possible at the moment but then again, war is an art deception, war is the ability to concentrate forces and means, and in my opinion, despite the fact that their military-industrial complex is moving and collapsing, they still have a certain margin of safety at the moment, they have up to 4,000 work tables, let the bad ones have up to 100 million kalashnikov assault rifles produced in general during the era of the soviet union and the cartridges for them, let them have one river or three or four, as many as they have there, and they also have a lot more in the warehouses of old armored vehicles, we would burn it all, but once again i emphasize time and resources, moreover, we must value life ours happens on zhukov that we have such a thing as they have is

unacceptable for us viktor what do you think how much is this direction really? well, they will storm in the direction of kupyansk right there. announced with a purely pr from a psychological point of view. it would be good for them to show that here we are back, we will save you again there, our dear russian people, the city will be bought, but it seems to me that it does not make much sense if the ukrainians advance a little more a little more i will follow in the direction of svato when this branch is simply cut. in other directions, well, it will have , except that piarif, as again, i don’t really think that they will take ukrainian here, i don’t think that they will have enough resources for us, so far they have been howling for years that their interior is further south, but all the same, the region

lacks resources for effective defense. well, let's see what viktor 's general picture looks like. with from the east to the south, it looks more like they are pulling up to the east for the very purpose of trying some kind of offensive . and in the south, they are building defense lines, isn’t that exactly the case, well, the action is really similar, but again , again, i don’t believe that they are in the east, they are effectively stabilizing something there again. i am really waiting for our people to reach the salad , after which it seems to me that the liberation of luhansk region has become rather a test of time, and well, in the northern

part . in principle, it looks like that so far it means that it is possible to effectively consider access in both directions. moreover, something has started to do there , that is, you are quietly hovering on zaporizhzhia. although i will take a look for now, i don’t know, in principle, it’s not bad . i don’t really understand why the russians will now be able to organize effective counterattacks if we talk about that why don't you strengthen this with mobilized people, well, it's cool, of course, but mobilized people are not a little bit, they are not the kind of people who you can immediately throw at you and achieve success, well, you can't throw to achieve success, mr. peter, eh, let's move on to the afternoon well, actually, the crimean bridge was shot down a little bit. well , there must be something there, well, let's say that the supply has become less. there is such a thing. well, hope, but still, we see that the advance in the south is going hard. well, there is still mine there. well,

there were already large concentrated forces of the russians, they continue to remain there , what else can be done, how can the situation still develop in order to, well, at least knock the russians out of the right bank of the dnieper from the exhaustion of the crimean bridge. let's call it that this phenomenon that happened will definitely significantly worsen the logistics of the entire southern group, i emphasize the entire southern group, i would like to remind you that the main equipment and main resources are actually transferred by military echelons, the echelons can have a weight of one wagon within 40 tons, so we imagine 30 wagons and all this in one day does not happen because the railway railway is damaged three lanes of four auto canvases were damaged

, only one thread remained, and to transport, let's say, heavy transport aircraft il-76 in the crimea, which have a maximum load of up to 40 t, and this is, by and large , one tank, well, that's all the same as melting the oven is really full of cash, they are dragging it out very seriously, but not so much that we can confidently say that in the foreseeable future of a few days or a few weeks we will move to a complex offensive, plus we have to remember that frontal attacks are unacceptable, they can not be in principle and essentially without considering which section of the front and such a large city as kherson , in my opinion, the only correct tactic is the siege tactic, plus one more detail that we also omitted from the analysis on it, it is necessary to emphasize this the weather at the moment weather conditions allow us and them exactly everything depends on the better

tactical operational skills to move on the ground in general as soon as heavy rains come the situation will be radically changed i robbed there weighs from 39 to 42 tons bmp within 12 t a heavy self-propelled artillery installation is also within 40 t , it will all be forced to the roads, we learned how to fight on the roads this is what it looks like what the russians have learned this lesson as soon as the rains start, in my opinion, along which line of demarcation it is difficult for me say where it will finally stop, everything will go into the big and long artillery doors, that’s besides the fact that this railway there is only one thread of the railway left, they are chasing something along it and they also have the intention of a pontoon there no, not because of that and these ferries are used for the transportation of precisely railway

they have 30-40-50 wagons there, as if they somehow take these ferries to attack the number of wagons, uh, and while you correctly stated, mr. peter, as long as the weather is normal, they are allowed to drive these ferries , they will of course try to use them with ferries transfer, then the weather will get worse. and here it seems that how can they have a shortage of equipment, a lack of some kind of supplies, but you mentioned that there will also be a problem here and we have to attack because heavy equipment is not is it going to pass, well , is it actually so critical in order to stop the offensive on kherson? well, it ’s actually important to me because i think it’s important for everyone to understand whether kherson is... hmm, we can expect at least kherson to be there until the end of the year. i understand what it is. well, you know guesswork, but still let's think a little about this topic, what can

happen, because time frames matter, viktor , what do you think, well, on the one hand, the impossibility of fighting in the winter is a little exaggerated, i remember the language, the same 15-16 years, the same debaltsevo, the same car, that is, you can in principle, logistics are once again deteriorating, but not so much that it would be impossible to carry out military operations at all, and again this is a game for two. then the russians are much sharper and in principle in the case of kherson region it is more likely again these coefficients that will change let's say so effective wax again on our bones i am convinced plus again we remember the terrain of kherson region and we remember that kherson region - it's a steppe and in the steppe well, it's not so difficult there, in fact, if it were

somehow there, there are plantation forests and again, that's why i think about kherson here, it's rather not about what the weather will stop there, the climate will stop, but rather how actively we will be able to develop in the main offensive precisely because of the opposition of the enemy, that is why here i have rather optimistic expectations about other er-er moments of the regions. i don’t know. let’s see how both armies go to er-er to the cold weather to winter supply and who will start having big problems again. precisely because of the losses to me something seems to be the russians. maybe because i saw their first aid kits, let's see, mr. peter. you have already said that you expect that such artillery duels will turn into a state of artillery duels. and in the state of these artillery duels, it is possible. how do you think it will develop, the situation will be that

it will be in terms of the general quality of the artillery, we are beginning to achieve qualitative parity with them in terms of quantity, because the amount of artillery that they have and what we have has not yet been matched, but we have a global advantage what is called the whole setting and achievement of goals as such conditionally for 9-10 of their artillery volleys one is successful for 10 of our artillery volleys nine are successful but in terms of the total number of hits they still have an advantage more than that in we have a strategic advantage in terms of high-quality ammunition, let's say from our allies such as the m982 excalibur, let's say such as a bonus and others, but in this part we will definitely have a direct line, i also wanted to ask you. such

information is that ukraine has already been sent a few iris installations, it should arrive, uh, what are they changing these things for us, well, the appearance, let's say, of these things, it's anti-aircraft, it's most likely a defense, but none the less it gives well, i guess yes, mr. petra, first of all, tell me one of the best vtu systems, i apologize, it’s a little loud for me, then maybe victors. while you are so honest, you are an aspect specialist here in everything. it’s cold, just what did i expect based on the fact that russia is trying to increase its missile forces, ironically. what on at this stage of the war, when the weapons are already coming to us actively enough, it leads to new supplies, it leads

to the strengthening of the ukrainian military. that we will eventually have an advantage over the enemy, colleague , at the beginning of the program, we adequately noted that the russians are now simply afraid to enter ukrainian airspace, and therefore it will be very funny to read again some russian pseudo-analysts who talk about what is almost there fap to the house of every ukrainian officer there in lviv in kyiv. well, you are one of those from the first. if you are so smart, sit behind the wheel and show class. because in fact, they seem to be afraid of it at all above the demarcation line. a few tens of kilometers ago, in this regard, so far everything is relatively good with us, again, the russians can sleep with missiles at different points in different places, but their berkets are not unlimited if they want to spend them on uh, well, i don’t know about the same glass ones bridges and roads and roads that are being

repaired on one side. well, that's it again. that's the situation i was talking about . if it is ineffective, then everything is actually not bad content moreover, in reality, rockets, rockets, specifically rockets, can be hit with a limited amount of forces, and in terms of the fact that there are targets that are simply not hit by rockets, even in order to destroy a tight space, more than one rocket is needed, so to be serious, we have even seen it according to these strikes, which were er and er, returning to the question, mr. peter, please continue. here is an interesting nuance, it is precisely these installations, what they are aimed at, these are missiles, these are airplanes, what is this, we somehow understand more. explain the characteristics of these weapons in an average radius of 25 km at a height of 40 km

with people, it can pick up almost any target, what makes them unique is the detection of the object itself, this object and the machine allows you to detect objects at a distance of up to 100 km and in real time transfer this information to other anti-aircraft missile systems, i.e. and why is it very good news that they have appeared in our country? i'm curious how s125 i did yesterday these are all soviet developments, let them be pumped according to modern technologies in the west. but nevertheless, the enemy knows how they are built and how to look for holes in them for the flight of their missiles, and with a pickaxe another philosophy of building gunpowder will not know

the algorithms of their work, which significantly improves for us in the first place the sequence of detection of aerial objects that have already entered our territory and the development of algorithms for restarting not only the missiles themselves that are on the installation and growth, but also on our heat system, this is the main detail that is needed understand and if we dream like this, we would need even more and razte or some other systems in order to maximally protect cities and indeed infrastructure from both missile attacks and drones, what would be a good combination of these anti-aircraft means, of course, the best combination would be a mim -104 patriot is an incredibly high-quality weapon, the american has an even better weapon called tempo, but one installation, i emphasize, not

a battery, not a division, but one installation of the tempo cost-tep system costs 2.5 billion dollars i was not mistaken 2.5 billion dollars, even for them, it will spread now . well, i think that such money, even with our ability to concentrate and collect funds for the necessary things, well, after all, the price is too high, and one patriot installation costs 170 million dollars, this is very serious money, or maybe some this can happen, however, it still seems more logical that ukraine will be saturated with anti-aircraft missile systems of medium and long range, these are airisti and these are already famous full lazy, i did not talk about the males, which are built on the basis of the a and m120 missiles, which is it or not the best in the class of air and modified under the modification of the land of air, they think these installations are already somewhere on the way to us or maybe she has already entered

combat training eh, let's know what we will talk about, after all, in recent days lukashenko has become more active here with various statements, first of all, he became more active with stories that russian troops will come, and he will station them in his territory, secondly, there are reports, well, you know, they are a little different, they even contradict each other, some of them are taking out equipment from belarus, others, about the fact that they import equipment from belarus, uh, viktor, what kind of statement is this? well, a beautiful statement of theirs seems to be the minister of defense, if i am not mistaken, about the fact that damned ukrainians mined all the crossings, all the roads. and we did not expect this, well, very strange the statement is actually very funny, as i think, it still seems to me that this is a pump-up, er, there is one problem when they asked me that in january i said that they would not

leave belarus because it would be just a suicide, this one turned out to be a suicide, but they drank now i want you to prove the same thing, it will be much more to the dog than what we saw in february, but on the contrary, maybe they don’t want to show the class of behavior like shahid again, i don’t know, well , it’s real here ukraine is much better prepared now for an attack from the north, much more less power means the possibility of this to attack again and even more so to attack in the winter on such a wide let's say so in the direction of us if in the comments well, it really will be some kind of joke, but again, god, they must maybe there, i don't know lukashenko was finally taken over, i won't say what was forgotten , and putin doesn't feel sorry for the belarusians, that's why they are now doing some kind of maneuver, but it

sounds so stupid . infusoria somehow, well, this is the statement of their minister regarding the mined people, it looked like, to me, it looked like, you know, some kind of excuse to the russians, what, look, well, what can we do here, well, the point is, you won’t do anything. and here is another statement of this lukashenka about the fact that we are russian enter it already to me, it looks more like you know such an explanation by the citizens of belarus that you will not fight. if you are russians , they are here. but nevertheless, peter, i know that you do not rule out anything. it can be like this way, some moment is needed when there will be a revival of actions on another front just to distract the ukrainian forces and how effective this distraction can

be. it is effective for the russians in order to distract ukrainian forces from other sides, not unequivocally. we have very seriously strengthened the northern front, not even the front line, which can become a fund point, plus we are actually helped here by nature itself, first of all in western ukraine - it is a huge dense density of forests and the so-called pripyat marshes, and all that as for the engineering barriers, i guarantee that they have already been raised to the highest possible level regarding what

lukashenko can or cannot do. this operation should be organized qualitatively so that putin does not intercept him, he is actually figuring out how to stay alive, this is the most important honey for him, and with the rest, in the long run, i will remind you that belarus is at war with ukraine, heavy missiles the strikes, including on my native lviv , are carried out from the territory of belarus, and in recent days the martyrs of the 136th flew towards ukraine, also from the side of belarus. therefore, they are with us in a state of war, the question is whether they will dare to use the land component. it can happen. of course, i would like to hear about some destruction of bass on tv in the territory of belarus, because i don't see the point of holding back here, given the situation that is happening in general, that is, they understand why. somewhere they are holding back because it seems they don't want

direct intervention and this double blow, but i don't see that anything is planned from this, but to be honest, that is, if we talk about it , it's better to get ahead of the situation there this is my personal opinion and it is obvious that we are far from the general staff, they know better what they are doing, but we only have a few minutes left, let's see what we can expect in the near future. two nuances are interesting. can we we are still waiting for the accumulation of such and such missile forces and well, as if in such a way, that is, a concentration strike, some kind of missile concentration strike, that is, can we rather wait for some kind of revival on the front, in the plan, there will be attempts at a russian offensive , uh, what do you think, viktor, i was waiting for an invention of a ukrainian offensive. on the contrary, i would wait for the development of events

from our side. i believe that the initiatives are now still on the ukrainian side, therefore all the actions of the russians are more likely to be reactive actions, that is, to react to what the ukrainians are doing, so i now i am waiting for the ukrainian actions, now i am waiting for the development of the offensive in the luhansk and kherson directions, and again, in this regard, i am a little optimistic about how the russians will react, well, again, so far, all their reactions are rather aimed at internal use and simply trying to intimidate or try to somehow show that they are capable of increasing the rates, although it is correct that it is not so. simply, mr. peter, what do you think, what to expect in the near future, two-thirds of the missile potential

is not nuclear. the russian federation used this unprecedented phenomenon against ukraine, which has no analogues in history, but there is still a third, and this phenomenon cannot be ignored, that is, strikes, in my opinion, will still be a matter of their number and frequencies in relation to the front line, as currently, in my opinion, the forces and means for really large counter-offensive program operations, say to a depth of 10-15 km, are not available at the moment, however my point of view i personally do not have an evidentiary , thorough, serious analytical base for myself, let's say by the new year we will be able to completely occupy the southeast of our country, in my opinion , the problem will live on until the beginning of spring, and even until next summer, well, look, mr. peter e- the russians say very often that they hear it, at least in the thoughts of some experts there, that it’s

literally a month and they will be ready for something, which is not clear, for some kind of attempt . we must be on the offensive. they have until now, as if how will they prepare the mobilized people, will they pull something up ? to what extent do you see plans for a month or two? well, to what extent can they be taken seriously? what do you think? i really don't like to lay out any time indicators. these are actually very good indicators because they are like that. here are the applications, we have to understand one more very serious point, the russians must work for the internal audience, their tyrannical regime must be maintained solely thanks to propaganda to feed their cattle, because i cannot call them a certain informational slag fodder that they say no, we will spend tomorrow, they say we will win tomorrow, and so on and so forth, they have to do it , but on the other hand, i belong to the category of leaders

who do not easily weigh what the enemy says, you israelis have a very good principle, if he is your enemy, he says that he wants to kill you, it means to this should be taken seriously from all their media platforms, one narrative is heard today, ukrainians must be destroyed that's all therefore, it is not easy for you, again, despite the fact that everything is moving in them, the disasters are deadly, oh, the viper is wounded before death emits the most terrible and the largest amount of poison, this is such a biological law, that is why the mortally wounded moscow imperialism is still capable of quite serious things, can they do anything else to a bitch in the military sense, without nuclear weapons, they can’t do everything they could apply, they applied, they didn’t break anything, no, i started, but not yet death, we have run out of time. thank you, they were military expert petro chernyk, viktor tregubov, an officer of the armed forces of ukraine, and we will meet in a week ten-year-old pasha

derevyanka, who disappeared in september in the kharkiv region i managed to find it, i talked to the boy's father and he told a terrible story without exaggeration. so, at the end of september, pasha and his mother, fleeing from the hostilities, tried to evacuate the village of kupyansk, knotty, but the motorcade in which they were traveling came under artillery fire. here is the actual video from the spot, the picture is really scary and here in zhiguly, little pasha was traveling with his mother and uncle. unfortunately, the boy's mother died on the spot. pasha's father, who did not evacuate with his family and remained in kupyansk, said that after all this happened, at first nothing was known about the fate of his son, and he was considered missing, and then they sent him a video in which he recognized pasha, they gave me a link, they sent me a link to

was where there was a story that told about the column being shot, and there i recognized my son, here are fragments from this video, it is really pasha derevyanko, here he is in one of the hospitals of occupied luhansk, the most important thing is of course that the boy is alive, but unfortunately he received a shrapnel wound in his hand and the worst thing is that pasha is watching they killed his mother, and you alone, with whom you were traveling alone with your uncle , mother killed, well, the children were depraved here, i don't know whether it was time or not, mother died on the spot, it feels like from one side, i'm glad that he's alive , and that's the most important thing, but his condition is clear i can imagine how

when a child was killed in front of my mother and maybe my uncle, about 40, to make sure that pasha was really in luhansk, his father asked his friends who live there to come to this hospital and find out if his son was there... but they didn't give me the opportunity with him to communicate, they simply conveyed greetings from the father and grandmother to the cabin, unfortunately, during the evacuation, all the boy’s documents were lost, and now the father is primarily trying to