on the glass pedestrian bridge in kyiv, it's a good idea, a lioness on this very figure of sorovykin, well , i personally have the impression that they have nothing to lose, because he is a war criminal for a long time, since the days of chechnya, and after syria, there is nothing there at all. now, after these things that he also seems to take upon himself, that is, he is the only one there, i don’t know, either shoot himself in case of a complete total defeat, or he will simply be handed over to a military court, or there in a humanitarian court some issues with the gas and so on it seems to me that there is such a nuance here that they expect him to apply what they did, or rather, what he did in north donetsk, when the front-line cities, you know

, are being destroyed. - is there any chance for him to use aviation, because he is also known for the fact that he is very willing to use aviation, mr. peter. what do you think, russian aviation will not enter ukrainian space at the moment, our ppu system has increased significantly, they already provide missile services from their aviation. they have a huge stock of aviation bombs, some of which are very heavy, such as garden 250 fab 500 fat 5,000, even they are super heavy mega bomb pub 9,000 so they can't use it because it falls freely or bombs and the aviation facility where these bombs are located must go into our airspace as soon as this happens, it will definitely be intercepted. but there is one detail that i would like to touch on, which we for some reason bypass in our analysis, paying attention to this mr. surovikin, in my opinion, the appointment of this person opens a very serious layer, namely

it is putin who has developed a serious distrust of shoigu and gerasimov. and the appointment of this general is a sign of the aggravation of a very serious struggle between two important towers. there will be a dance between these spiders - it's better for us well, in fact, it's really so, er, in fact, he was appointed already a month ago. more precisely, he reports directly to putin outside of er, well, the head of the general staff, gerasimov, outside of the minister of defense now and now he put in just such a situation, it will happen when he directly commands the troops of the invasion, and in principle there is no need even to

coordinate uh, what is his schedule, that is, it is really like this, you know. well, it’s like how such a derangement of the uh military command in russia is really well, i would say that this whole process is the fate of chaos, but there is one more interesting moment. now the russians, and it can be seen, are focusing their actions on the bakhmut direction. they are trying now, apparently since there is no longer an opportunity anywhere in particular to show some winner who is motivated, how realistic is it in general, and what can we expect there, viktor, what do you think? well, first of all, i want to comment on the previous questions that when you talk about what you have -e sorvati natoxic biography this is not quite yes, this is a standard biography for a russian general, seriously, but i just remember

panasapov , who we worked with in the 16th year. accepted the series, the russian general who commanded us with the first army corps was killed. here is the schedule, it was about as real as it is, well, it is a standard for russians, and as for bachmut, well, again , they have been loved there for a long time, and this is actually good news, because they break well -prepared positions, of course, ours hold them, of course, they have paid off well since the same 15-16 year, and in principle, can they theoretically push somewhere, they can, it’s the russian army . it can afford some local, but i don’t i seriously believe that they will take bakhmut, although they have certain advances in some small settlements around it, and the story is different , and again, it’s good when they press where we are prepared, it would be much worse if they

tried to rush there i'm sorry, we haven't dug through everything since 0.8 years ago, and this is again, we can't completely get the russians from advancing, war doesn't work like that, we can only force them to advance where we are better prepared and they suffer greater losses meanwhile to advance ourselves. in other directions, it is again a mutual process. that is why everything is not so that the flange should last until the last. this is why we destroyed the maximum amount of their manpower and equipment and forced them to go and hide where they get the biggest hits, and now this is exactly what is happening under on the side exactly under the bach mut, they simply break down as they conventionally rose and this is good news because they lose a lot in this direction and due to this they cannot provide effective defense in other places where they are advancing ukrainian troops instead of territory, so in this

regard, in my opinion, everything is optimistic with us, well, uh, in this overview, which we showed at the beginning of the program, by the way, it was said that the russians are trying to concentrate their forces somewhere in the area between the trinity matchmaker, they intend to somewhere that's why, mr. petar, what do you think about this direction , how dangerous it really is and, in principle, how the situation can develop there."

first of all, ammunition for artillery and they really need to be shown, well, i want some dynamics of success or this dynamic of success for them will be more like no than yes, but in no way should you underestimate the enemy, after all, they started mobilization. to the exact opposite, in my opinion, 100-150-200,000. let the poorly armed, not fed even without uniforms, but the suicide bombers who will go to die will appear and we will have to grind all this meat. well, it's forces and resources and it doesn't happen like that that the army of the native in our country is attacking the cyborgs sorry for such a metaphor and only the natives die, not the cyborgs also bear losses i am talking about the fact that war is

difficult and a phenomenon and it is still too early for us to exhale, despite the strategic initiative, the cat is clearly on our hands, in my opinion, until the break let's not confuse a fracture and an initiative, these are two different things, well, mr. peter, i understand that the direction of kupyansk is very important, in principle, it is a railway junction for them. i understand that it is very desirable to take it back, if they capture it, try. well, let's try. they will break there again and try to capture it. how much will it matter to them at all , how important will it be? the city itself does not weigh anything . to take control not only of kupi-puk as a nodal railway station. and it is necessary to take control and push

us away from this railway bed as much as possible in order to lower the influence of artillery. i will remind you that standard artillery installations of large calibers of stops 122 152 mm - this is from 15, and actively with a rocket projectile in some cases 30-40, say. such an installation as a pion can inflict damage up to 50 km, then you yourself understand that pushing them back to such a distance an area of ​​​​several tens of cars even up to a hundred kilometers well, in my opinion it does not seem possible at the moment but again, war is the art of deception, war is the ability to concentrate forces and means, and in my opinion, despite the fact that their military-industrial complex is moving collapse, after all, they still have a certain margin of safety at the moment, they have up to four thousand work tables, let alone bad ones, they have up to 100 million

kalashnikov assault rifles produced in general during the era of the soviet union and cartridges for them. they will have, and they also have a lot more in the warehouses of old prometechniques, we would burn all the traffic, but once again i emphasize time and resources, moreover, we must value the life of our soldier zhukov, that we have something like theirs is unacceptable for us, viktor. what do you think, how much from this direction is really, well, that's where they will storm in the direction of kupyanska. is this? well, it could also be something distracting. well, they announced something like this from a purely pr, psychological point of view. it was not bad for them to show that here we are back, we will save you there, our dear ones russian people of the city of kupyatsk, but it seems to me that it does not make

much sense if the ukrainians advance. except for the piariff again, i really don’t think that they will take the ukrainians here, i don’t think that they will have enough resources there for their offensive, so far they are for years, find out that they have internal areas to the south, but still, in the same million, there are not enough resources for an effective well, let's see, but the general picture of viktor looks like that. well, if you look at the general, well , at this whole front, which is there from the east to the south, it looks more like the fact that they are pulling up to the east for precisely well, attempts of some kind of offensive and on the south is building defense lines, isn't that exactly the case ? well, uh, yes, uh, this similarity really works, but

again, again, again, i don't believe that they will effectively stabilize something there in the east, again, i'm really waiting for ours there, uh normal ones will reach the holy one, after which it seems to me that the liberation of luhansk region has become more of a test of time and well, in the northern part . then something started to happen there quietly hang out in zaporizhzhia although i don't know what i'm going to do for now, in principle it's not bad yet i don't really understand why the russians will now be able to organize effective counterattacks if we talk about the fact that you are not being strengthened by mobilized people, well, cool, of course, but the people who are mobilized today are a little bit wrong which you can immediately throw to you and succeed, well, you can throw, but you can’t, peter, let’s go

to the south, well, actually, the crimean bridge was knocked down a little bit, there must be something there, well, let’s say that’s how it happened there is less supply. well, nadiya, but still we see that in the south the offensive is going hard. well, there are mine there after all. well , the russian forces were already concentrated. they continue to stay there . what else? what else? can be done as the situation can still develop in order to at least knock out the russians from the right bank of the dnieper , the destruction of the crimean bridge, let's call this phenomenon that happened will significantly worsen the logistics of the entire southern group, i emphasize the entire southern group, i would like to remind you that

the main equipment and the main resources are actually transferred by military echelons, the echelons can have a weight of one wagon within 40 tons, so we imagine 30 wagons, and this is not enough in one day, because the railway railway is damaged, three lanes out of the four autocarpets are damaged, only one thread is left to transport, let's say, to the crimea by il-76 heavy transport planes, which have a maximum load of up to 40 t, and this is, by and large, one tank, well, it’s all the same as melting a stove with cash, it really drags on are being delayed very seriously, but not so much that we could confidently say that in a few days or a few weeks we will move to a complex offensive, plus we must remember that frontal attacks are unacceptable, they cannot

be in principle and in essence regardless of which area front, and such a big city as kherson, in my opinion, the only correct tactic is the siege tactic, plus one more detail that we also omitted from the analysis . for us, everything depends on the better tactical operational skills in general to move on the ground as soon as the big rains come, the situation will change dramatically, as i already said, it weighs from 39 to 42 tons, within 12 tons, a heavy self-propelled artillery installation is also within 40 tons, it is everything will be forced to move to the roads, we learned how to fight on the roads. this is what it looks like. what the russians have learned. this lesson, as soon as the rains begin, in my opinion, along which line is the demarcation line ?

the contract for an artillery duel er well, in fact, the russians are now also saying that in addition to er, they also have this railway there is only one thread of the railway left, they are chasing something along it and they also have the intention of a pontoon there no, not a sunken and this er ferries should be used for the transportation of railway wagons there, they have 30-40-50 of them, as if they are somewhere, these ferries take the number of wagons on the attack, and while you correctly indicated, mr. peter, as long as the weather is normal, they are allowed to drive these ferries, they will of course use them try to transfer by ferries, then the weather will deteriorate, and here it seems that how can they have a lack of equipment , a lack of some kind of supplies there, but you mentioned that there will also be a problem here, and we have to advance because heavy equipment is not is it going to pass, well, is it actually so critical in

order to stop the offensive on kherson? well, it ’s actually important to me because i think it’s important for everyone to understand whether kherson is... hmm, we can expect at least kherson to be there until the end of the year. i understand what it is. well, you know guesswork, but still let's think a little about this topic, what could be, because the time frame is important, viktor, what do you think, well, on the one hand, the impossibility of fighting, the assessment is a little exaggerated, let's remember the same 15-16 years, the same debaltsevo, the same car, this therefore, in principle, it is possible, logistics deteriorates again, but not so much that it is impossible to carry out military operations at all, and again, this is a game for two. in winter form, the russians are much

sharper, and in principle, in the case of the kherson region, it is more likely, again, these coefficients that will change, let's say, the effectiveness of the troops, again, on our corps. and in the steppe well, it's not so difficult there, in fact, if it were some kind of plantation forests, and again, that's why it seems to me that in relation to kherson here , it's more likely not about what will stop the weather, the climate will stop there, but rather, how effectively mainly we will be able to develop the offensive. it is precisely because of the opposition of the enemy that is why here i have rather optimistic expectations about other uh there moments of the regions i don’t know let’s see how both armies go to uh it is because of the losses that

it seems to me that the russians. maybe because i saw their first-aid kits. let 's see. you have already said that you expect such artillery duels to happen. and in the state of these artillery duels, it may open your mind a bit. how do you think it will develop? the situation will be that it will be in terms of the overall quality of the artillery. we are beginning to achieve qualitative parity with them in terms of quantity. we are still far from achieving the quantity of artillery that they have and that we have is still not comparable, but we we have a global advantage, what is called the goal -setting and achievement of goals. as such, conditionally, for 9-10 of their artillery volleys, one is successful, for 10 of our artillery volleys, nine are successful , but in terms of the total number of volleys, they are still have an advantage, moreover, we have a strategic

advantage in terms of the quality of ammunition, let's say with those from our allies, such as the m982 excalibur, let's say such as a bonus and others, but in this part, we will definitely have a direct question, maybe not about what you just said, but actually today with there was information that they have already sent to ukraine a few sams installations, they should arrive, what are they changing these things for us, well, let's say the appearance of these things is anti-aircraft, it is most likely a defense, but not less that it gives well, probably yes mr. peter, first of all, tell me one of the best vtu systems, i apologize, i sound a bit loud , then they can. to be honest, i am

not a specialist here in all aspects. war. when weapons are already coming to us actively enough, it leads to new supplies, it leads to the strengthening of ukrainian air defense . of course, this does not mean that you will cover every place, but it means that in the end we will have an advantage over you are an enemy, colleague, at the beginning of the program we adequately noted that actually the russians are now simply afraid to enter ukrainian airspace and therefore it will be very funny to read again some russian pseudo-analysts who talk about the fact that there is almost a fap at the house of every ukrainian officer there in lviv in kyiv well, you are from the first, if you are so smart, sit down and show class because in fact they seem to scare it

in general over the demarcation line, the detail is a few tens of kilometers ago in this plan in so far, everything is relatively good for us, again, the russians can shoot missiles at different points in different places, but their rockets are dangerous if they want to spend them on uh, i don't know, on the same glass bridges and roads that are being repaired from one well, well, that's it again, that's the situation that i was talking about when , uh, it's not that they're not that we can stop them from hitting in general, but when they're hitting where it's ineffective, it's actually not bad content all the more so that actually rockets - you can specifically hit a limited number of targets with missiles there, in that there are targets that are simply not hit by missiles, even in order to destroy a narrow one, more than one missile is needed, so if we

are to be serious, we saw this even from these strikes that were uh and here, returning to the question, mr. peter, please continue. here is an interesting nuance, namely, these installations, what they are aimed at, these are missiles, these are airplanes, what is more, it is somehow clear to us. explain the characteristics of these weapons in an average radius of 25 km above range with up to 40 people can pick up practically any target, what makes them unique is the detection of the object itself, this object and the machine allows you to detect objects at a distance of up to 100 km and transmit this information to other anti-aircraft missile systems in real time i.e. and why is it very good news that they have appeared in our country, let's remind you that the main anti-aircraft missile systems we have in service are the s200 s300 wasp in a square and even such as, well, such are quite interesting, like the s125 yesterday

, these are all soviet developments let them be pumped for modern technologies in the west, but nevertheless the enemy knows how they are built and how to look for slits in them for the flight of their missiles, and with a pickaxe, another philosophy of the construction of gunpowder will not know the algorithm of their work, which significantly improves for us , first of all, the detection of aerial objects that are already came to our territory and developed algorithms for restarting not only the missiles themselves that are on the installation and away, but also on our systems x heat, this is the main detail that must be understood and if you know well, what would we dream about it was more needed even more and razste or some other systems in order to maximally protect the cities and indeed the infrastructure from both

missile attacks and drones, so what would be a good combination of these anti-air weapons, of course the best combination would be the nim-104 patriot, it is incredible high-quality weapons, the american has an even better weapon called the tert, but one installation emphasizes not the battery, not the division, but one installation of the kosh-tep type system costs 2.5 billion dollars. i was not mistaken, 2.5 billion dollars is even for them now it is russian. well, i think that such money even with our ability to concentrate and raise funds for the necessary things, well, after all, the name is too high, and one patriot installation costs 170 million dollars. this is very serious money. however, it still seems more logical that ukraine will be saturated with anti-aircraft missile complexes of medium and

long range, these are the airisti and these are already famous full of lazy ones. the air class and modified under the modification of the land of the air, they think those installations are already somewhere on the way to us. or maybe they have already entered combat training, let's know what we will talk about. lukashenko has become more active with us in recent days with various statements. first of all, he became more active with stories about the fact that russian troops will come, he will station them on his territory, and secondly, there are reports, well, you know , they are a little different, they even contradict each other, and some say that they are taking equipment from belarus others about the fact that they are importing equipment from belarus, eh, viktor, what kind of statement is this? well, theirs is a beautiful statement, it seems to be the minister of defense, if i am not mistaken, about

the fact that the damned ukrainians mined all the crossings, all the roads were waiting, well, a very strange statement is actually very funny as i think, again, it seems to me that it is a duck, er, there is one problem, when they asked me that in january, i said that they would not leave belarus, because it would be a simple suicide, this one turned out to be a suicide, but they did, now i want to prove the same to you it will be exactly like this the dog is much faster than what we saw in february, but on the contrary, maybe they don’t want to show the class of shahid-type behavior again, i don’t know, well , really, well, now ukraine is much better prepared for an attack from the north, and there is much more power, much less opportunities for re- still to attack and even more so to attack in winter on such a

wide let's say so in the direction of us if in the comments well it's realistic how it will be but then again maybe they are long maybe there i don't know lukashenko was finally taken for i won't say what kind of mustache and a putin doesn't feel bad for belarus, that's why they're doing these maneuvers now, but it sounds so stupid. to be honest, once again, we have to assume that the enemy is some kind of infusoria. it looked like you know some kind of excuse to the russians. well , look, what can we do here, well, the point is, you won't do anything. and here is another statement by lukashenka, that we russians enter, it already looks to me rather like you know such an explanation of our own citizens of belarus about the fact that you will not fight . if you are russians, they are here.

but nevertheless, peter, i know that you do not rule out anything. when there will be an intensification of actions on another front just to distract the ukrainian forces and how effective this distraction can be. let's do it. it's just clear that it can be done, for example, but how effective such and such activity in the north will be for the russians in order to distract ukrainian forces from other sides, he will not unequivocally break it, it will not break it, it will create problems for us, it will create it, because we will have to temporarily divert forces and means there . a line that can become a front, a plus point, we are actually helped here by nature itself, first of all in western ukraine - it is a huge dense density

of forests and the so-called pripyat marshes, and everything that concerns the part of engineering barriers i guarantee that it has already been raised to the highest possible level regarding what lukashenko can or cannot do. lukashenko is politically dead. well, we have to realize that he has nowhere to run except to china, and that we need to think about how to organize this operation qualitatively so that he putin did not intercept, he is actually figuring out how to stay alive, this is the most important moment for him, and with the rest, in the dry end, i will remind belarus of the penultimate war with ukraine, heavy missile strikes, including on my native lviv are inflicted from the territory of belarus, and in recent days the martyrs of the 136th flew towards ukraine, also from the side of belarus. so they are in a state of war with us, the question is whether the ground component of the support will dare