in ukraine, this is a huge dense forest and the so -called pripyat marshes, and everything that concerns the part of engineering barriers, i guarantee that they have already been raised to the highest possible level in terms of what lukashenko can or cannot do. lukashenko is politically dead, well , that's it . we have to realize that he has nowhere to run except to china and that we need to think about how to organize this operation qualitatively so that putin does not intercept him, he is actually figuring out how to stay alive , this is the most important moment for him, and with the rest in in short, i would like to remind belarus that there is a state of war with ukraine, heavy rocket attacks, including on my hometown in lviv, are carried out from the territory of belarus, and in recent days the martyrs of the 136th flew towards ukraine, also from the side of belarus. so they are at war with us, the question is whether will venture into the land component, i emphasize for the second time, the course of the war

will not be reversed, but our resources may happen, i wanted to hear about some destruction of bass on the territory of belarus because, uh, i don't see the point of holding back here, uh, in view of the general the situation that is happening, that is, they understand why they are holding back somewhere because they don't want direct intervention and this double blow, but i don't see that anything is planned from this, to be honest, that is, if we are talking about it, we should rather just get ahead of it the situation is like this. this is my personal opinion and it is obvious that we are far from the general staff, they know better what they are doing, but we only have a few minutes left, let's see what we can expect in the near future, it's interesting two nuances very briefly literally boasted, the first nuance. can we expect more accumulation of such missile forces and well,

as if in such a way, that is, the concentration of the strikes of some missiles is the concentration of the strike, that is, can we rather expect some kind of respect - revitalization at the front in terms of the attempts of the russian offensive, what do you think, victor, i was waiting for the ukrainian offensive, i would have expected the opposite in our development of events, uh, from our side. i believe that the initiative is now, after all, on the ukrainian side , so all the actions of the russians are more likely to be reactive actions, that is, the reaction to what the ukrainians are doing, that is why i am now waiting for the ukrainian actions, now i am waiting for the development of the offensive in the luhansk and kherson directions, and again, in this regard, i am a little optimistic about how the russians will react, well, again, so far, all their reactions are is rather aimed at internal use and to simply try to intimidate or

try to somehow show that they are capable of increasing rates, although in reality this is not the case. well, somewhere , most likely, it seems that way and they will continue we continue to try to intimidate, but we are now being intimidated somehow, and just now, what do you think, what to expect in the near future, two-thirds of the non-nuclear missile potential of the russian federation against ukraine has used this unprecedented phenomenon, which has no analogues in history, but the third is still there and can be ignored this phenomenon is not possible , that is, strikes, in my opinion, there will still be a question of their number and frequency in relation to the front line, since currently, in my opinion, the forces and means for really large counter-offensives program operations, let's say to a depth of 10-15 km, they don't have at the moment, but my opinion is that i personally do not have an evidentiary, thorough, serious analytical base for myself, let's say by the new

year we will be able to completely occupy the southeast of our country, in my opinion, the problem will live on until the beginning of spring, and then until next summer, well, look, mr. peter, the russians say very often that they hear it, at least in the thoughts of some experts there, that there is literally a month there and they will be ready for something, for which it is not clear to some kind of attempt there. apparently we are going to attack. they have until now, as if they will prepare the mobilized people, they will pull something up. how far do you see the plans for a month there, two, uh, well, how far can they be taken seriously? what do you think? i really don't like to expose any what time indicators are these actually very well, the next ones are the n- indicators because these are theirs and so are the applications, we have to understand another very serious point, the russians must work for the internal audience,

their tyrannical regime is maintained solely thanks propaganda to feed their livestock. because i can’t call them any other way, a certain informational slag, fodder that refused tomorrow, they say, tomorrow we will win, and so on and so on, they have to do it, but on the other hand, i belong to the category of politicians who do not easily weigh what the enemy says about them. israelis have a very good principle, if he is your enemy, he says that he wants to kill you , then this should be taken seriously. from all their media platforms, one narrative is heard today. ukrainians must be destroyed, destroyed. that's all. that's why it's not easy for you, again, despite the fact that everything is moving in them, catastrophes, mortally wounded, a viper before death emits the most terrible and the largest amount of poison, this is such a biological law, therefore, mortally wounded moscow imperialism is capable of quite serious things, or

can a bitch do anything else in in the military sense, without nuclear weapons, they cannot use everything they could, they used it, they did not break anything, i started, but not yet dead. we have run out of time. thank you, they were military expert petro chernyk viktor tregubov an officer of the armed forces of ukraine and we will meet in a week vietnamese balm star the first step in the treatment of colds a proven doctor type not a cosmetic mixture we will be healthy ask in pharmacies vietnamese trust only proven medicines good evening we are from ukraine vasyl's big air in winter two hours of air of time and my colleague will be with you until 21:00 for two hours of your time, we will talk about the most important two hours

to learn about the war , serhiy zgoretska joins our broadcast, military summaries of the day and what is he doing world what is there in the world? yuri the physicist will talk for two hours to stay up to date with economic news oleksandr marchenko. or is there another way that many people have become as if the weather may at least give us some optimism ms. natalka didenko will tell us and also the distinguished guest of the studio, we will have volodymyr orysko today if everything goes well well, the events of the day in two hours, vasyl's big broadcast in the winter, a project for smart and caring people in the evening , naespresso, good evening. we are from ukraine. every week, saturday's political club helps to understand the processes taking

place in ukraine and the world. events, you want to understand how our today will affect our tomorrow, watch the saturday political club that saturdays are not espresso all summer 2021 14 independent experts selected the three best books for the final very strong season, very strong authors, more than six and a half thousand teenagers from all over ukraine cast their votes for the favorite book of the espresso award, the choice of readers is very interesting interpretation of ukrainian mythology in such books.

the ancient journeys have already become better in the 5th anniversary season of the award, they were read in ukraine and abroad, these are the books: the cursed sword of volodymyr areniva, the traveling circus of the silver lady natalia longopol and windy mountain and not purple good. the glory of our prize reached ukrainians abroad, two libraries of the ukrainian diaspora joined us, and abroad it is the country of norway and the country of jordan. librarians even developed special instructions for voting for the favorite book. and their readers simply swept away polls from copies of voting was quite active. did our readers listen to our advice? we recommended them to them. they took them. the organizing committee received thousands of filled-in questionnaires from nomination readers. literature for teenagers there, they shared their

impressions of what they had read, criticized and admired the ukrainian book because of the invasion of the erection in ukraine, the organizing committee of the award decided to postpone the award ceremony. however, now the organizers are ready to announce the name of the winner, and i would like to inform you that in this nomination a book called wind mountain received the most votes, that's 38% of the votes, 2,000 almost 2,600 readers voted for you, so we congratulate you and finally, a statuette has arrived, a prize that we will definitely send you instead, the winner shared her impressions with us. thank you very much, it was such a pleasant surprise for me. it was really unexpected. i want to thank all my readers who voted for me. this is really a huge responsibility and a huge incentive

to write more because when the war started, we all started procrastinating a little. i know that my colleagues also complained that they do not write, meanwhile, the main prize of the book award is already on its way to our publishing house and to the author of the book - the winner , not the purple one, and the writer herself notes that will continue to write for teenagers abroad, where she is now, because nowadays young ukrainians are in great need of high-quality national literature. so, andriy yanitskyi with economic news on the espresso tv channel as usual on weekdays at eight o'clock live with a repeat at 11 o'clock in the evening and when it's convenient for you on youtube at the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, the russians turned off all six

power units of the plant, in particular, and the security system takes place at the expense of an overhead line, they managed to preserve the supply of electricity to the city energodar was informed in the main intelligence department that the russians are intensifying pressure on the employees of the station to the families of the staff, the occupiers are applying so-called filtering measures, in addition, they are demanding the registration of russian passports and the signing of contracts with the nuclear power plant in the ukrainian nuclear power plant, the occupiers can take employees hostage and not let them out of the station the russians are trying to organize winter barracks at the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, they are bringing in halls of power units by car beds, mattresses and boilers in the capital do not plan any changes regarding the start of the heating season, the mayor of kyiv, vitaliy klitschko, announced this. the kyiv

city state administration was reminded that on october 7, social institutions, hospitals, schools, kindergartens began to be connected to heat, and klitschko recommended that kyiv residents prepare for the cold on their own in particular, to insulate the windows in houses and entrances, to buy warm things, because the russian barbarians are trying to destroy the critical infrastructure of ukrainian cities and towns, he noted the mayor of kyiv continues the grain initiative yesterday , odesa pivdenny and chornomorsk left seven ships on board with 177.5 thousand tons of agricultural products for the countries of africa, asia and europe, among them bulker cirl a, which will deliver 30,000 tons of wheat to tunisia from the moment the first ship with ukrainian grain left more than 7 million tons of agricultural products have already been exported, a total of 316 ships left ukrainian ports with

food that was sent to the countries of asia , europe and africa . of the grain agreement and include the port of mykolaiv port university-node in the list for the notice of immigrants, the commission of the european union has launched a new online tool for job search, this is a platform that will help ukrainians to find work in the european union, by launching such a tool, the commission is determined to quickly and effectively integrate citizens of ukraine into the labor market, so refugees will be able to quickly adjust their lives, gain financial independence and retain their skills, the pilot project from the personnel reserve will implemented through the eus portal, it contains more than 3 million vacancies and 4,000 employers registered on this portal, after registration, applicants will be able to

upload their resumes and emphasize their professional skills, massive missile strikes on the ukrainian electrical energy infrastructure have caused significant damage to the energy system, and this is our main concern today topic : electricity blackouts began in ukraine in a few days, these problems will be solved, they will not linger on the moon, the head of the specialized committee of the verkhovna rada said about this andriy gerus, according to him, the authorities and energy companies have a clear plan on how to restore damaged facilities. gerus also warned that russia, as a terrorist country, will continue to attack ukrainian infrastructure, we should be ready to predict when things will become quite difficult and talk about something the consequences of missile attacks with two experts and two analysts at once, this is the associate expert

of the analytical center of the case of ukraine yevhen dubogres and the financial analyst of the icu group of companies mykhailo demkiv good morning good morning and mr. yevgeny, let's start with you on monday, tuesday, russia fired at ukrainian, er, ukrainian cities, about a hundred rockets were fired, half of them were shot down , but unfortunately, the other half still hit our critical infrastructure objects. well, er, we not only know what is the dead are the wounded hmm we still have an economic program, we will talk about the economic aspect of this problem, in particular, about the rockets hitting the power plant, what is the economic effect of such shelling today, yevgeny, please, well, there are three main consequences economic, the first is that we have already stopped exporting electricity, according to our expert

, it is not a very significant amount, but yes, it is a significant amount, we have stopped exporting electricity, and when we will resume it is not entirely clear. because it is precisely the infrastructure in the west of ukraine that has suffered very large losses. the second point is that this is the damage that the russians have caused us and that they will continue to cause. this requires additional expenses from the budget. therefore, it will require either greater attraction of funds on the domestic market or even the emission of a larger hryvnia, or simply local municipalities budgets should go into austerity mode, reduce spending on things that are not so necessary, because of course infrastructure restoration is the most important task, and the third moment is very important : these missile strikes, uh, they really

spoiled our negotiations on risk insurance, that's why that have already been well, as they say on the ointment, several agreements about risk insurance about the fact that any damage to ukrainian infrastructure, damage to ukrainian objects, damage to any assets in ukraine in general, they must in a certain way be insured and now these attacks are expected yes, but these attacks have spoiled these negotiations a little bit because it is not known where they will hit next, we see that in russia there are still enough missiles to fire at us and that is why this is the collateral market, the appraisal market, the insurance market, it is a little it will be slightly damaged, but on the other hand, all these shellings, all the damage to the infrastructure, they were already the main centers between them, and the same nbu is included in the macro forecasts, therefore, from the point of view of macroeconomics, from the point of view of the impact on gdp inflation

these things are actually already in the forecasts and they are taken into account unfortunately this is expected well yes about risk insurance i heard that the government planned to create a special insurance fund maybe it will still be created for business so that business can develop calmly invest in development and if the rocket will get, for example, to some farm to receive compensation quickly and without problems from the state budget e.p. mykhailo i, as an ordinary consumer, noticed such a thing that the financial system was working improperly yesterday, maybe the financial system was working properly, but the terminals in the stores were not working due to communication problems, and cash came in handy again. maybe you have noticed some things that you haven't mentioned yet, yevhen, please, well, in principle, the consequences

we will feel more of these attacks and possible future attacks in the future, first of all, what is the damage to the economy from these strikes , people sit in shelters for many hours, do not work, do not solve their affairs, the economy slows down , the energy sector is destroyed objects hard to imagine the modern economy is deprived of electricity, and blackouts also contribute to the slowdown of the economy. unfortunately, the destruction of infrastructure facilities that are responsible for heating our homes will again contribute to the fact that people are wondering if they do not want to go abroad, and perhaps to spend a hard winter there, these things are certainly negative and problematic for the ukrainian

economy. i am not sure that they should be fully included in the macroeconomic forecasts of the nbu, at least this winter, but from a positive point of view it can be said that ukrainians do not fall in love with ukrainians who even continue to joke on social networks in spite of these are the challenges that we have seen, moreover, where those businesses that were able to somehow adapt to these conditions won in a competitive competitive race literally yesterday i saw how some restaurants offered candlelit dinners in a very romantic way and they were full of people because people still continue to go to restaurants instead of sitting at home in the dark and those shops that they bought in advance diesel generators, they also won, there were literally queues for them, and i think that there were

more sales in them even on normal days when there was light in the city, i was just talking about the city of lviv . any ukrainian city, then let's move on to another topic regarding consumer inflation, here are the latest data for september and consumer inflation, that is , price growth accelerated accelerated to 24 and six tenths of percent from 23 and 80 percent in august, if about the monthly measurement say here are the prices increased by one and nine tenths of percent, what are the reasons for such growth, mr. mykhailo, what will happen next, how can we protect ourselves from inflation, are there any recipes? well , the value of inflation in september was even lower than the forecast of this national bank, which was by one percent point 25.6 above, but

there are no special reasons for joy here, real inflation turned out to be lower than predicted due to a slightly better situation on the fuel market, it is more saturated, accordingly, the prices are lower than they were set for other product groups in general prices are rising because of the currency component, because this inflation that we are looking at is in the annual measure and now the exchange rate is completely different from the one that was in september of the 21st year. accordingly, a lot of goods that we import abroad have grown, first of all at the expense of the exchange rate , there is a plus, some goods of the group were affected by military actions, for example, it is very painful now, the price of eggs is felt, what happened, the experts say that at some

point, just in the chaos of the first weeks of the war, enterprises did not were able to replace the laying hen eggs for a new one because in the production process part of the chickens are released. as they say, from production and new ones appear, this did not happen, and accordingly, now we are experiencing a shortage of chickens , a shortage of eggs, and we will have to wait probably several months until january and february, when the newly introduced in the process, the hens will come to the production line and start laying eggs and again the market will be saturated and in principle next week there will be a meeting of the nbu to review the rate already under the leadership of the national bank, i do not expect any sharp movements most likely the rate will be left unchanged but in its press releases the national bank is not positive to me as always conservative and says that the

situation with inflation may worsen and you see i also wanted to talk about eggs it really hurts 60 hryvnias this is the minimum that i found for a dozen, we see on the video of our viewers such a nostalgic archive video with valuable 34 to 35 hryvnias, take your time, run to the stores, this archive video should not be considered that the prices have already fallen, unfortunately, they have not yet fallen, and i still promise that it is possible will fall in november at the ministry of agricultural policy yevgeny , but inflation is not a purely ukrainian story, inflation is unfolding all over the world and even in those countries where there is no war, what is the reason? well, if brothers in countries where there is no war, one of the reasons and the main reason is that mass printing of money

, the quantity is not softened, which the contrabanks of all countries gave in response to covid-19, large sums were printed, thrown into the market, people were compensated for the losses from that, that, from the lockouts, uh, the wind is idle, and that's why now it starts they say to catch up. by the way, it is a very good lesson for us that those printed hryvnias that were printed in our country this year are already 340 billion hryvnias. they are still late in the morning and will have an impact on inflation there, that's why all economists, including the nbu, say that inflation is high, this is history not only this year, but at least the next one or 2024, and let's be honest, the prices will continue to rise, the fact that we now have inflation below forecasts - this is not a reason for optimism, on the contrary, it is a reason to think about what stage it is at after all, it will accelerate and reach the 33% that

the nbu says about, well, they predict this inflation next year, the situation will not be better, optimistic well, of course, such a comment was in quotation marks, but mr. yevgeny, this is what the national bank announced that it will gradually withdraw paper banknotes from circulation in denominations of 5-10-20 and 100 hryvnias of the 2003-2007 models, and instead of these banknotes, coins and bills of the new model will enter circulation. 502 is completely the second factor is because the national bank of ukraine has long warned that it will withdraw uah 5-10 banknotes for more than 1.5 years. the national bank does not print new such banknotes, it replaces them completely with coins, and the replacement of uah 20 and uah 100 bills is just a planned

process . because the bill still wears out over time, that's why it's not here, there's no operational component here, it's just there. as they say, the family actions of the national bank, which in any case were done by p. mykhailyna. what do you think, why should we stimulate this cash circulation at all? it seems to me that we are already headed for a completely cashless e-e cashless payments well, the only thing is that these rocket attacks made me remember where i have my wallet and where 100 uah are lying there are lying because you usually pay with your smartphone and that's convenient and why is there such attention to cash again money well, in fact, the national bank does not stimulate cash circulation, if you look at the structure of its structure, it has been more than 10 years, the number

of banknotes in circulation has remained unchanged, a little less than three billion pieces, and it changes, unfortunately, only denominations of uah 1,000 were introduced into circulation not so long ago, and smaller denominations are being replaced by coins whose life is longer. smaller banknotes are more often in circulation and very quickly . in some years, more than half of all fifty 50 hryvnia banknotes in circulation per year were withdrawn due to the fact that they simply became unfit for further circulation, and the national bank of ukraine spends a large amount of money on this actual printing of physical replacement money some banknotes on others in the 15th year, er, every third hryvnia in

physical circulation was replaced last year, the 21st, every eighth hryvnia, and we ukrainians obviously do not like the one 10 hryvnia coins because of their design and the fact that they are heavy, and psychologically, having 10 banknotes per 10 hryvnias and hard coins of 10 hryvnias, well , in the second case, it feels as if you are later, although in fact it is the same amount of money p mykhailo thank you, we are forced to finish already thank you dear experts for your comments mykhailo demkiv is a financial analyst of the group companies icu and yevhen dubogres, associate expert of the analytical center case ukraine, i am the presenter andriy yanitskyi with economic news on espresso , together we can prevent ukrainians from thinking about and talking about