i had the opportunity to personally ask questions during the meeting of the minister of defense of nato countries on october 13. i asked him a question about this program of training ukrainian military interplexes. i said that the program will continue now, it is 10,000, and next year it may be 23:30 and all questions about military aid in ukraine depends on the ukrainian side, what will be the request from ukraine and then britain for winter aid. they are talking about re-equipment, about the need to modernize the challenger 3 tanks, that is, the british themselves. to be honest, of course, the basis of their army is heat. these are aircraft carriers, destroyers, and the ground army. well, it has been going on for the past 50 years and has been shrinking, and the operation

interflex program is an operation that this training started this year at a base on the territory of great britain, in which other countries participate - canada, the netherlands, scandinavian countries, finland, australia, new zealand, that is, all these countries instructors have been sent to britain and they are training there. that is, this is the basic training of the ukrainian military, and of course it is quite important that ukrainian soldiers from the front are already arriving there, they are training, they spend a certain amount of time there, they contain a little more, and then i return to ukraine already with new skills, of course that this is a mutual exchange, because for the british, the combat experience of the ukrainian military is invaluable. thank you, mr. yehor . that the map of ukraine is still red, stay in the

shelters in the lviv region, e.e., the air defense was working, the air defense forces are calling to stay out of the shelters, the head of the lviv regional military administration, maksym kozytskyi , in zhytomyr, they report that the electricity has also disappeared in khmelnytskyi , there are also problems with electricity in the kirovohrad region explosions in the transnistrian district of the chernivtsi region, a plane of the armed forces of ukraine shot down a missile , it fell into the lake, there were no damage to objects or buildings, the regional military reports the administration of chernivtsi, but also urges you to stay in shelters, and actually we are monitoring the whole situation that is happening in ukraine and we will inform you little by little in kovel, they say there are also hits in khmelnytskyi, i don’t know, i remember she said about khmelnytsky, the

electricity has also disappeared ukraine is holding on ukraine is resisting ukraine is beating moskal in the east and in the south well, the whole whole table all ukraine is from east to west today it is united again by our aggressor and united in that that we all uh now we care about safety, we are waiting for the end of the air alert and in fact, we do not stop thanking the air defense forces of ukraine, the ukrainian pilots and ukrainian pilots, as well as the air defense forces, who are now shooting down the entire russian language with those beautiful missiles. we are ivan uz, the chief consultant of the institute of strategic studies, candidates of economic sciences e-e p ivan good morning, we greet you, although we understand that the russians are spoiling this morning for us, look

, we are saying that things are already quite in russia bad, but it seems like their missiles are running out, but as we can see, there are a lot of those missiles, and they are releasing them in such incredible quantities recently in ukraine, when they are already getting sick, what is happening to their economy, good morning, good morning studio, dear tv viewers really a question. when will the russian economy finally be completely cracked, unfortunately? the main question is probably from the first day of the war. unfortunately, they hold on because they made certain reserves before the beginning wars and although somewhere there in february, march, april , they believed that they did not do them because they hoped that the war would be short, so far we see that there is still a resource, although even with closed statistics, russia definitely closes the

statistics of even a good life and because of the fact that there are certain problems, we see that there are certain things that they can no longer hide, for example. in september, the central bank of the russian federation issued another report on aspects of the economy, and despite the fact that everything is supposedly written, everything is fine but such phrases appear that, for example, the real unemployment there is 19 2/10 percent, that is, it is already almost 20% that they cannot export goods that you have not previously delivered to europe to asia because all the logistics are built. so they are needed supply to europe and when they make statements that we will then supply goods to china and other countries, it turns out that they cannot do it so easily, plus problems arise in certain regions where the entire economy was based on the export of certain products to the european union first of all, i mean kemerovo and

deprivation in general, because this region of russia focused on the fact that they mined the surplus that was supplied to the eu . here is such a problematic region and they still do not know how to solve this problem because there really may not be any money left there, plus , you know, it would all start in the last quarter of this year, and quite a few economists said that for it will be far from easy for russia, because the effect of the previous sanctions is already accumulating, the russian economy was built during the entire period of the war, and it was built on the principle that they took taxes in advance, promising to return them in this portal in the last quarter of this year, and something tells me that they will not return these taxes , therefore, i do not exclude the beginning of the 23rd year, not only if it is

cold for us, but it will be hot for russia, from the point of view of the protest moods of cool people who were promised to return the money and we returned it. mind the russian business. so what are we waiting for? well, in general, what can we say, as of the end of this year, they are still working, that is, the sanctions are not working while they are working. well, if you just ask, you know. i think that absolutely they have been working from almost the first day, the only thing that has just happened mass effect because the accumulative effect of these sanctions is important here, and it is actually because we somehow already forgot, but in the month of may, there are data about the fact that the production of cars in russia decreased there by 30 times or by 97%. i.e. russia practically loses an entire branch of the economy. and this branch unites other branches, there are also problems in the functioning of basic life support, for example. about a month or

two ago, there was information that the recommendation to russian pilots of civil aviation not to minimize the use of aircraft brakes. that is , there was please when you get down at the airport please don't press too hard on the brakes because there is a problem with this component of the plane and if something goes wrong with you then this plane will not be able to fly because there will be no brakes, we understand that sooner or later, and more likely anyway, it will lead to certain tragedies and not what happened in the army when a military plane crashed into a civilian building, but maybe something more significant when it crashed already a civilian plane and there will be the damage is much greater because it really all accumulates. it will not have the effect we expect so quickly, but it should be understood that russia was still one of the leading economies in the world in the 21st year, it was 11th after south korea just this year. things

i am not sure that they will be 20, that is, regarding the economic effect that this gives us. well, unfortunately, so far we have not received a repeat or what we expect, but personally, i still believe that at the beginning of next year there will already be more significant forms. well, i think that and analysts by the way of the american institute of war studies they say that putin is determined for a long war, but everyone understands that this winter is the key and what this winter will be like for the ukrainian economy . alarm why because such energy facilities that's how it was by the way a little positive during this alarm we already according to the statements of our head of the nikolaev city administration panakimov we shot down one plane that is our beer works and not

only shoot down missiles but planes money but here indeed, an attack on energy facilities creates risks, but what is important is that even before the start of these attacks , ukraine had a very strong increase in the export of electricity to the countries of the european union, that is, it increased so much that even in the end in three quarters of this year compared to last year, the export of fuel and energy goods from ukraine, and this is not only oil, gas, but also electricity from ukraine, was more than last year . reorient all electricity to the internal market, but this means that we have a fairly good reserve that will allow ukraine to pass this land. i hope so. bmw believes that the situation with gdp will stabilize from 2023 and there will even be an increase of 3.5%, which in the case of a fall of

35%, the truth is that it is not so strong and much, but nevertheless it is all good news and how we will feel next year, it is very difficult to make predictions because you understand how correct many analysts in the european union and the united states write that as the conflict continues, you understand that, unfortunately , our economy is being destroyed every day, including, first of all, people's lives, and people are dying, but the economy is also losing, so to say that next year there will be growth is you have to be sure it's in the next year, the war is like that, it's also quite optimistic for me that the war can end sometime in april, may, let's see, maybe it will be like that, because you know . at first, they already made so many statements about the fact that ukraine is coming and soon by the way, we have already broken through, however, you are not going to

continue, and i am not sure that we will be able to start growing right away, but the only thing is that if the flowers of may are here, we will be able to completely restore control over this territory and start reconstruction, but then it is possible that there will really be some growth because the effect of the base of comparison plus the terbioti ukraine project will work, that is, the restoration of ukraine's capacity, but it will also work only after the completion of the video, that is, a clear link to the fact that only when the mine is completed, the restoration of economic capacity begins, these blows on our infrastructure in the energy field, there may be gas and other objects as well, the next goal of which is not obvious, not what can be seen there, because something has been destroyed, but not obvious losses for the economy is given first of all, see also i said that ukraine before these attacks was a very powerful exporter of electricity to the west, that is, we received funds

for ukraine, this is very important because until september we had a constantly growing negative balance of our foreign trade, for example, in july the negative balance amounted to one billion 800 million dollars , that is, in the following month, the initiative worked and it was a little easier in september, in general, the zernovention of a miracle showed itself very well for us, the negative balance was already 510 million, that is, not a billion 800 for two months. then, in addition to grain, we received a lot of money due to the export of electricity. unfortunately, this article is discontinued. therefore , the country will receive less funds. therefore, it will be an additional pressure on the national currency, which is quite significant. any problems in electricity or many enterprises can stop, that is, not only physical people will be named, but the fact that production will not be able to engage in its

direct activities and vinegar is the main risk which i now see it like this. perhaps i am more than sure that an alternative strategy is already being developed, but the question is that they should really be launched, because it is one thing to develop these strategies, others to materialize their lives, and which industries will suffer the most. maybe we will even lose some industries after this war in your opinion, it may not make sense to even restore it, but let's look at the big issue of the metallurgical industry, because to a large extent it still exists in our country. there was a rather old soviet one that consumed a lot of electricity and if not modernizing all the productions that we have left, so our main enterprises are unfortunately lost , that is, the city of mariupol, and zastal illichan, but for example, zaporizhstal remains in eurorestal, that is, we still have certain enterprises. another issue is that without modernization, they will not be

effective, and unfortunately, ukraine may lose this 10 years ago, metallurgy was the leading branch of the ukrainian economy, and now there is a risk. but again, a lot will depend on the extent to which the owners of these of enterprises, they will be ready to go precisely for deep modernization. by the way, this war is among other things, if you try to look for it. this can be a very good motivating fact for carrying out precisely the depth of modernization that enterprises could not go for during peacetime, because it meant a waste of time in production now, when the forced waste of time is just right. you can think about how to change the approaches to this production. it will be interesting to see how many industries the russian federation will lose after this war, which industry it has already lost. this is how tourism in they were even closed by the ministry, accordingly, it is immediately clear that, in principle, there will be no tourist tourists anymore

, now they are issued summonses, these are such, uh, these tickets to ukraine, a one-way ticket, the traffic there says you can not return somehow, yes, how do they equip them, and it’s only themselves i have to dress myself, this is such a thing, because it is very difficult with tourism, because there may be a situation where you get on a plane, and at that moment they come from the military for the pilot of your plane and take him to the war, and no plane flies anywhere anymore do you think of such a precedent, and then this pilot already a few days later over the mykolaiv region, and then our uh-uh, uh-uh, who is this , the situation is already reported about him, yes, yes, you will be born and die with russians in russia, not be born in uh-uh россии умереть в украине this is theirs, i see the main meaning of life now. well, thank you very much, mr. ivan. ivan

, the title of the main consultant of the constitution of the study of candidates of economic sciences. a big deep hole to try to get out of it, but this anxiety will end and i will be there for half an hour to an hour , i think so. well, two hours will be over and that will be gone. ukrainians will disassemble and repair , europeans will help. this is our way, that's how we live. what's wrong with the russians? they just keep dying. sooner or later, it ended in a complete collapse for them . what is there in belarus? the legion is in touch with us p serhii good day to you dad the morning is still going on already with those worries i forget

what time it is the time of day mr. serhii something we have already confused with this er-e lukashenko yes that is he has confused everyone so he is already at war that's what he says do as i tell you, now he said that there will be no war, he makes a lot of contradictory, different, uh, statements that what he really wants, he is still afraid of this war, they are putting pressure on him, what will happen to ukraine posle odkaetsya russian objects on belarusian territory it will understand that when i just give you the president modernization and send the belarusian to fight ukraine a concert that actively does not want to fight if we leave it there yes prepares they did not go

because if the strategy is so simple they have information four well critical critical the army does not want to fight you understand ukraine, i want, well, if there was a medical specialist in the tractor, i didn’t want to put anything on the roofs, i was afraid of the event of a collective event from europe, what else would i leave the brains of the belarusians? takiye no one knows what they gave and takaya seikay ih said, uh , the mobilization of the second party has been announced, we are learning from the russian countries, it is a matter of skills, this is not belarusian, this is from the ministry of defense, about the fact that 9,000 rubles are coming, so that next time i will not only improve, but how many people will be brought , can you now, if no one understands

what is called autochology, how is february raging in the year when the next one started in ukraine, that is why it was confirmed that ukraine is already ready, ukraine is already such a surprise in the form of such an airfield ecostanel look, let's not be sunday, how to see that ukraine can make its territory now a plantain, you will make people like this already, in principle, i will carry them in the next uh-uh for suicide. asphalto 6 well, this is good enough from the usual for the ukrainian art of 2015. 20 ukrainians are waiting, as it were, to ask now, or

at least for those who come forward, it is necessary to delay really the skill of the conditions three to four times the fate and 3.5 so that no one in ukraine understands friends. here, our general staff of the armed forces says that what is noted is not this, i am quoting it like this, there are not isolated cases of conflicts against the background of national affiliation and the defiant attitude of russians towards belarusians, and those servicemen who were brought here to be in belarus that's how they created it together, as if this was a military group, there they showed official footage that here it's like a bonfire, that is, a loaf of bread, salt, that's how they meet those fat russian generals or colonels. what is the situation? and belarusians actually. well, such ordinary people always looked away in russia, and ukrainians, too, part of the ukrainians, too,

you know, with this kind of affection in our country until the 14th and until the 20th year. in our country, lukashenka's father was quite a popular politician among ukrainians to ordinary ukrainians to ordinary voters, that is, only when they saw the pictures of what is happening in minsk , all the crackdowns on demonstrations, this brutality, did many begin to realize that in fact lukashenko is not such a smiling collective farm worker and such a good-natured uncle who pays everyone good pensions, by the way, were there stories about the fact that there were mass russians located there, russian soldiers are stationed in belarus, that there are also many cases that they simply cling to the locals, there were many cases of rape of the locals for example, girls. that is, have

you also heard about those stories that the russian military , uh, well, behave, let’s say, not very well in belarus in the first wave, which began in february, there, if the charm had fallen, uh, they were the conference was ours, you will be able to meet belarusians, and you will be left with colleagues, they will have drunk nothing there, but the wounded person was brought here before, how is it, how can you give it, this is private, it will cause outrage in russian on the outline of mass rape, well, give me the project. to practice that a little bit of a fight like between er-er shakame and ours, as if so special, no er-er, at the same time, as if there were cases when conflicts arose

between belarusians and russians, the belarusian police zamela, after all, god, they let their own people out, and the russians could still do it as a practical matter, just give them the good ones and they will throw the ball somewhere. well, which one. now, what is the attitude of belarusians towards russians? well, let's be real, belarusians live in the russian information space, politicians tried to me so that in 14th year they asked for the same thing and lobbied for what the kp could do, the hoods introduced ukrainian television to the belarusian territory, as it was, poroshenko even offered rest about the previous tv channel, but then nothing happened, after all , the belarusians were afraid for them of the word maidan, which

is associated with ukraine. bendyrov is everyone there, the poor residents of the dnr resler, as if they were compiled in gogol, then in ladan, the laws and what are there, the states teach us to manage and sold their ownership there. it naturally does not affect, but, well, the sow is a big secret. well, the viewer still has the tv set for them to go to the country. this information is perceived by the union, and when the same thing happens, i don’t hear it for several years in the park, but they start to spy on it if they believe it. it's 2020 and the crackdown on the protest is over and it's

over. let's say that with the growth of anti-russian attitudes. now those who hoped for a good putin and the fact that putin will help democracy in the future will remove lukashenko and allow someone to be there. to the second attitude, there is a chicken in the hannovsky sebarik or and to someone else, that was not all, and the belarusian oguls when putin openly supported lukashenko and said that to hold on until the end of the ato, for some people, this shot was as good as everything for putin, and he also threw it away for them they understand the repeating, this is the growth, that the russians set up and repulsive at the end of the 20th year, and he is absolutely not poured out all this russian propaganda, they brought several of their own ideologues, and they included the belarusian television in the staff of the belarusian television. it is constantly pouring out one thing and another, and the damage is being poured, poured, poured, then the people begin to

believe it. it’s true. well, you probably understand the activities of the kastus kolenovsky regiment. they are fighting in ukraine for the independence of ukraine and probably not only ukraine, well, you understand here, there are unequivocal ones parked here. here she has a pirotsenka, as it were, from the side of ukraine. the narrowing of such a let's say so collection field because the price is at the knee of a popular orphan let's say a few percent per member because belarus for all the latter is well, that is, it is unknown that this is a threat to them, because lukashenko and in general i am 2 mouths bursting in all

of them managed to damage the meeting, only the leadership of the ministry of defense mentioned the same thing again, the threat from the side that we are silent , this is the knee of pogon , and how can they not be called an extremist white religious association? no, just with the eyes. well, here is a branch of him, and the last one is boasting, first of all, we are all together for them, this is a storm. the checkpoint was a bridgehead and then the ukrainian army found it, which is a literal john. 10 years ago, there was hysteria when ukraine was actually on the verge of making a decision, after all, uh

, refuse, as it were. rockets were constantly flying in both ukraine and he really had this information, so you really had hysterics, you understand the risk to the body, kissing the training together , uh , amon, together with the army special forces. approves the masurian oil refining plant so that the swarm of god's calots in the ukrainian or populations right there is one founder of his eh if so one of the main wells i say funding for that if the hysteria is constant and how is he still depicted well let him worried but we, on the other hand, are calm and believe in the armed forces of ukraine and we thank those belarusians who join the ukrainian armed resistance and hope that we will see a free belarus eh and not so and not in such a distant perspective

thank you very much for a few words or public figure leader of the white legion. thank you to our viewers for this, uh, our marathon is taking a little break, we didn't give any water at all, it never stops, it just goes like an express, it's so northern - it's only when , only for this 12 we'll be back with you 14 i for- now there will be e-e. now there will be news with a new melnyk, so stay with the press. the defeated cities of ukraine are cozy kherson. the pearl of the protected territories of ukraine. the city played a significant role in the formation of statehood. it became the southern center of the ukrainian revival during the great terror . the nkvdists shot them for nationalism . cherso