stocks whereas ukraine as we know has strengthened has a stronger motivation because people understand what they are fighting for you get modern western equipment which has really changed the situation i think the stage that should have been reached is that russia is desperate to get a line to contain ukrainian counterattacks to strengthen human resources and try to achieve some progress in donetsk on our own, we know all this, but now it is combined with a rather brutal campaign to undermine the will of the ukrainian people by attacking your infrastructure in residential areas and so on and this is very reminiscent of the beginning of a full-scale invasion and you remember one thing well a-and now russia is being made more and more desperate by resorting to more extreme measures in an attempt to change the situation

, i don't think they will be able to achieve any success in any direction but again, it's not for me to tell you that they can still do a lot of damage, there was logic in what putin is doing now in ukraine, there is a certain logic here, the most logical thing would be to accept the fact that he will not be able to conquer ukraine because it is impossible for this to happen now, the ukrainian people and their willingness to resist are fair and very powerful, that is why putin is looking for a way out, but it is obvious that this is a big blow for him. no, he does not want to do this. i think that in the last month he threw everything into the war had

in addition to nuclear weapons. we must realize that nuclear weapons are putin's permission to do, namely, they gave him a certain impunity for all the actions he dared to do. there is a certain logic to this, the main one is based on the assumed intimidation can you force him to give up things that are important to him if hit hard enough this is what he is trying to keep doing do you think he will ever dare to push the nuclear button that the use of nuclear weapons we must realize that putin is already using nuclear weapons he is using them as a deterrent to nato so if it was not about what kind of nuclear weapons, if russia was not a nuclear state, then it could have been

cancer in 1991 when it invaded kuwait and the usa and their allies immediately came to the defense saudi arabia, intending to liberate the cities of ukraine with kuwait, did not do so because the countries of the west do not want a nuclear war. putin is using nuclear weapons in this way. he has done crazy things and may continue in the future. therefore, no one can state with certainty that nuclear weapons will not be used at this time. nuclear weapons are his coder, i think you understand that they give him a kind of cover while he follows some strategy to cause damage, nuclear weapons are not needed because they are actually enough it is difficult to use a boiler in the field. of course, there is

a risk, as with other russian equipment, that it will turn out to be faulty, that it may not explode, or that ukrainian forces will shoot down nuclear missiles and they will land in the wrong place, so i do not think that putin particularly cares about using nuclear weapons, but this is putin, so no one will say that he will definitely not do it. i hope that he will not do it. we hear, mr. friedman, about the concentration of russian and belarusian troops in belarus not far from the ukrainian border . an attack from belarus is possible at the moment russia is using belarus to distract the armed

forces of ukraine so that they are in position just in case this and this is going well for them i think that for belarus for president lukashenko it was very risky and unpopular among his people and also among of his army, if it rains in september, i understand why, again, putin continues to act in his usual style, namely, to throw everything possible to solve the problem, he may be tempted now, but like many other such steps, it can lead to very bad consequences, lukashenko knows that he is now in a rather vulnerable position, if he becomes even more attached to putin, this vulnerability

may increase, and yet the circumstances force the ukrainian forces to remain in combat readiness, mr. friedman, can putin now change the current world order, i think that the russians are very interested in that because everyone saw them as a great state and that they act like a great state, but it is not such a state anymore, they have nuclear weapons they have the right of veto in the security council the united nations, but now we see how much they have reduced themselves militarily, they have lost a lot of officers, this is their formidable reputation, so compared to china, which is now a great power, it creates real challenges for the west.

challenges then, in my opinion, turned russia into an isolated pariah. become increasingly weaker economically. so in this sense, the world order, which is undergoing changes because russia is rolling in on us, does diplomacy now have a chance to put an end to this war , it is necessary to make a lot of effort so that diplomacy worked, there are many people who talked about becoming a potential mediator, etc., but ukraine is clearly not going to cede its territory, and putin claims an area that he does not even territorially control, that is, if russian is spoken in the region and he should be automatically dismissed, there are issues that can be discussed.

i am convinced that there will come a moment when the russian military will feel completely incompetent, i would support the strategy of encouraging military negotiations to agree on a ceasefire, of course, does not mean an immediate ceasefire that left russian troops on ukrainian territory, but a ceasefire. would be to offer russia, let's say, acts

of economic sanctions, but instead they should solve such issues as embezzlement, war crimes, kidnapping, guarantees of neutrality and security demarcation of all borders so that they are again properly agreed in legal language all these things are very difficult issues especially if you try to solve them all at the same time the war will continue so it will take a long time to implement all these issues so first you need to withdraw russian troops from ukraine for you can propose a cease-fire. i believe that the most definite actions will be taken on the battlefield. the crimean issue is even more acute. i know the ukrainian position and i fully support it, and i think that if russia will not be able to make a serious proposal to end the war, ukraine will have all the incentives to

win back crimea in practice, the americans and others will be very worried because of too much pressure in the military plan, everything is much more difficult. i think that it will be crimea's turn, but i very well understand why to encourage this opinion right now, friedman putin is trying to act in ukraine in various ways, is this his strategy? or does he have no strategy at all? i think his strategy includes attracting all possible resources to solve problems, name something and he will do it at any cost, now he has declared martial law, introduced mobilization, he is threatening nuclear

weapons, he is attacking your infrastructure, and as a civilian, they are pushing six as many people as possible, killing as many people as possible to stop the advance of the ukrainians , they are just trying to do everything immediately and there comes a moment when all this simply does not work and there we can . capitulation and a good strategy will be crowned with success , the whole question is when he will realize what awaits him

about you that the people around him can eliminate him at any moment this is what we are especially waiting for will there be a place for putin in russia after ukraine wins this war to say i think that putin took a big risk, the damage he caused to russia is exactly the same damage he caused to ukraine, it is a colossal country, russia was not attacked on its territory, but it lost tens of thousands of people and the economy will only worsen, as will the economy of ukraine, but ukraine will have a chance to recover thanks to foreign

aid, who is not going to help russia in particular, and while putin is an international outcast , it will be very difficult to establish relations and eventually the world, so we can hope that he will go with many russian experts, and none of them have a clear scenario of how this can happen and how can it be done in our countries if you make such mistakes resignations e to with e-e dictatorship putin controls the security forces so we will see what happens next i think there may be a lot of fire for russia issues that have been kept quiet for the past

decade can be revealed if putin is vigilant. and this is another reason why he will be under a lot of pressure to get out if the current measures do not bring him results, and my last question to you today is who is putin in essence he's a spy, it's clear that he wouldn't have done it. people who follow a military strategy espionage view that you can manipulate how people perceive reality that you can lie and everyone knows that you're lying. he knows that people know that he

lies but feels that he can get away with it now he is quite ideologically oriented i don't want to say that this is somehow connected with the national issue, in particular with what he says about ukraine and its ties with russia, there are none and according to some ultra-nationalist program which is also reinforced by people from the fsb who surround him, this is a very dangerous ideology, and now it is connected with the conviction that he can always achieve his goal if his will always prevails, so that he is shocked that there is a country that he doesn't obey that's why i think he's trying to find natives smart people declared victory and

left he doesn't know how to do it i hope he won't find a way out of the situation he 's in. thank you very much, mr. friedman, for the conversation and your sincere answers. thank you for your opinion. i wish everyone the best, and for our viewers . i spoke with a very important person, an emeritus professor of the king's college london,

lawrence friedman, he is engaged in. he is an expert in military research, so it is quite logical that we talked with him about the war that is currently going on in ukraine and how we will win this war, and then, of course, it will win and will fade into oblivion well, that's all i have. my name is yuriy fizer. see you soon. well, i'm from valevska. we can only thank laurence friedman and our colleague yuriy fizr for this extremely interesting interview. nine o'clock 46 a minute, let's move on, the informational and analytical day of the espresso tv channel on holy sunday. in the midst of good morning, let's talk about china and the fact that the communist party is there, too. on october 23, it confirmed that all ding-ping - their leader

remains hmm and the head of china is their leader on p seven years and about the third term of the government. by the way, our president has already been asked if he is ready to go for a third term like everyone else, what he answered, we will tell you later, but for now we are watching the story about the third term in office general secretary of the communist party of china xixingpina is the imperial leader of china after the 20th congress of the communist party. he was the first among chinese leaders after 1982 to be re-elected for a third term. when during the decisive meeting of the congress and the halls they brought out the ex-honsek of the fuzintau company, who apparently got sick during

the ten-year administration of the juice, china has changed a lot, the country is increasingly isolated from the world why does the coronavirus pandemic help? the west is increasingly hostile to china and does not allow chinese capital to enter the high-tech sector . a trade war between washington and beijing has begun. countries is becoming more and more aggressive, in particular xi does not agree with the status quo that has been formed around taiwan over the past decades, which we have never promise to refrain from the use of force and we reserve the opportunity to take all necessary measures, this may be a response to the intervention of external forces and a very small number of

supporters of the independence of taiwan, and not the overwhelming majority of the taiwanese people, on the eve of a full-scale russian invasion of ukraine , everyone and tough putin declared friendship without borders however the warnings of the president of the united states biden forced beijing to refrain from direct military support to moscow, however neutral it is difficult to name the position of china, because according to many observers, russian aggression is beneficial for beijing, no matter how it ends, the west will lose, the hated soviet union will disappear, the american-centric world order will lose, russia will intensify chinese expansion into the far east and siberia. the chinese is not only a story about, so to speak, the third attempt of all zimps to realize all their dictatorial fantasies, and this is how

we understand that the chinese are already part of the world system which directly affects a lot of different processes, in particular, the russian-ukrainian war , we will talk about this and others with yuriy poita , head of the section of the asia-pacific region in the center of research on the army of conversion and disarmament, as well as the ukrainian association of china studies , mr. yuriy also has a relevant position. glory to ukraine yuriy, we welcome you on the air of the espresso tv channel. glory to the heroes. i welcome you to the ukrainian association of chinese studies. i am not related to it. unfortunately, it is right for us. yuriy, such a complex and topic please help us figure out what this friendship without borders means, which putin and sidney apparently agreed upon. in fact, everything can be viewed in different ways, so if we analyze the documents

that were signed, for example, about a year ago between the russian federation and the people's republic of china, then of course we can see a significant deepening, firstly, a significant deepening of mutual trust between the leadership of these countries and, in general, between these countries, we see a deepening of relations in the strategic sphere regarding er, regarding military, political, er, economic interaction, and so on. of course, this does not fully correspond to the state of affairs in the current state of affairs, because, after all, this friendship without borders has clearly defined borders at the moment, and these borders are determined by the fact that the people's republic of china so far at the moment it does not help the russian federation militarily or military-technically or does not help the russian federation on a large scale to circumvent the sanctions imposed on russia, but still we see a strengthening of relations with these countries and i think that in in the short- and medium-term perspective

, this trend will remain, and still relations will deepen, and china will support the russian federation and its economy, including by providing its markets to support the political regime that currently exists in russia, and what about the sanctions of the chinese deputies, who is wary of sanctions and he e-e interacts in such a way as not to be affected by the sanctions of the united states of america or the european union, he trades in energy in energy the people's republic of china says that the european union has begun to reduce its trade with the russian federation, but so far a fairly significant percentage of this trade remains. and the chinese say that if the europeans are trading, why can't we do it, that's why china will naturally limit

its relations with russia regarding the transfer of military technologies regarding the transfer some technologies that are related, including to the energy sector, but trade will continue and we are currently observing an increase in its volume. the kremlin, in particular, is talking about a statement about the existence of a bipolar world. yes, we remember that putin repeatedly repeated phrases about a multipolar, multipolar world, etc. and so on, hinting at his own would be extremely what a great position the russian federation should occupy in international politics. the chinese somewhat curtailed putin's fantasies by talking about a

bipolar world, i.e. as far as i understand, it is about planning the development of the strategic hegemony of china and the united states . it is absolutely true that they are playing outside the sanctioned limits, but as far as the binocular world is concerned, this is actually quite an old story, because it is quite for a long time, china was just passing this initiative. moreover, at the level of its political discussion, at the level of its statements , at the level of documents, and so on. it is currently not implemented by the people's republics, and the united states, let's say, did not accept this concept from the people's

republic of china, therefore, in principle, the construction of a bipolar world or the mutual solution of such global world problems in the world than together with china and the united states of america, at the moment, this is still a continuation of the old trend. as for the russian federation , i honestly do not see hysteria on the part of the chinese side . the authorities are affiliated with the special services of russia, so i think that the strengthening of china is currently beneficial to the russian federation, because it provides an opportunity to support china, after all, it supports russia economically at the level and ideologically at the level diplomacy, for example, it is currently impossible to exclude russia from the g20, because china is against, and china is also against the exclusion of the russian federation for the

sake of the security of the united nations organization. terrorism by the state is wrong because russia is one of the leading countries fighting international terrorism and so on, so at the level of rhetoric we are also asking quite seriously interaction with russia supports it. therefore, for the time being, the rise of the people's republic of china is beneficial for russian registration in the long-term perspective. of course, it will be a risk, and even for money, well, supporting , i also use my specifics here, we understand . yes, there are specifics in relation to the un security council as well because we understand in which years during the second world war the euro-atlantic charter was adopted as uh the euro- atlantic charter attacks were distributed so to speak roles in the radbezion what is the radbezion we also understand that is this institution which is directly tied to the so-called key

players, and the departure of one of the key players changes the geometry and mechanics of the international deterrence system in general, and so on . what will it change - there are too many different, uh, different influences, but i interrupted in my usual good habit, our president said when he was asked if he would be able to run for a third term like everyone else, he says that too much i wouldn't be able to do that what does the third term of xi jinping mean in china and will their policies change further or will they take a course to isolate china in fact the re-election for a third term is actually one of the key results of this 20th congress of the communist party of china and xi jinping started to this should not be prepared now, a year ago, not even a few years ago. for this, he actually prepared after the beginning of his appointment in 2012,

and he did it consistently at the level of documents, he strengthened his positions and, let's say, documented in the normative and legal framework, appropriate changes are being made to the e-e to the statute of the communist party of china and so on. in addition to this, as was already noted, sisinping carried out large-scale work to reduce the influence of some a centers of power, including if we look at the anti-corruption struggle that was started just for the entire land it is called the fight against tigers and flies, we see that during this period, approximately more high-ranking officials from the level of deputy minister were arrested and higher than in the entire history of the people's republic of china, that's why we see that this re-election was prepared in advance, and this third term is not just an extension of the second term, it

indicates a change in the configuration, a change in the approach of the people's republic of china, what changes can these be? firstly, we see that all the rules that were in place before are being abolished, including our own and unspoken rules, and approaches are changing, and secondly, we see that the balance of power in the leadership of china is changing, and before that, after all, it was the leadership in a balanced way, this also applied to the politburo and the central committee, representatives of various forces of various groups were present in it. at the moment, the government is this system of checks and balances , it has actually been destroyed and the government has passed under the e-e , let's say, into the hands of all zimpin and those close to and very loyal to number of persons, this means that authoritarian tendencies will most likely increase both in domestic politics and in foreign policy. in addition, we see an increase in securitization . performance of sizingin therefore we see that the amount