i cannot exist, but most of them all installed a generator for safety during construction. and those who did not install it are now installing it, it is clear that this can lead to a small increase in the price of pre-production by several percent, because the electricity from the generator is expensive enough, but these are temporary difficulties, eh, which it is better to survive now or have a whole life and this is definitely a disease, our boys are on er where hostilities are taking place, so there is no alienation, we need to move and everything will be fine, we are working everything for victory in the end why did chicken eggs go up in price? well, how can eggs be cheap in certain countries? i just wanted to say that such and such ukraine also has cheap eggs. this cannot be

the case. just collecting from the field, sonyakhi was in touch with us. and we are taking a step further, and the topic of the president of azerbaijan, ilha maliyev, and the prime minister of armenia, and niko kosheyan, were held in sochi today for negotiations with the participation of the president of russia, vladimir putin the day before, pashinyan said that he plans to conclude a peace treaty with azerbaijan by the end of 2022. he announced his readiness to extend the mandate of russian peacekeepers in nagorno-karabakh for 10-20 years. well, let me remind you that last week , an osce mission arrived in armenia to monitor the situation on the border of the two countries, which, according to baku does not have a corresponding mandate to patrol the border, the emission of civilian observers went to is in accordance with the decision adopted at the beginning of october in prague following the results of the meetings of the leaders of armenia azerbaijan, france and the european council, we are in touch with viktor shlinchak, chairman of the board of the institute of world politics, mr. viktor, congratulations , glory to ukraine, congratulations to my colleagues, to the heroes, glory in one

thing, however, to the settlement of the situation in the appropriate location, which is very, very far, as it seems to you now, what are the negotiations for the president of azerbaijan and the prime minister of armenia and whether they will be fruitful under the actual mediation of putin, well, let's start with putin, obviously it is very important for putin to keep this conflict how is the apple discord, which he can periodically put on his table. so you see that not only in azerbaijan or not only in armenia, but also some in some other countries, in particular, the former prime minister of italy berlusconi begins to call putin a peacemaker, and

it is very important for putin to have this the background of the so -called peacemaker and to claim, as usual, some kind of peace prize, according to the story that the whole world is watching regarding nagorno-karabakh, it has been going on for more than a decade. and putin, in fact , constantly demonstrates that this apple of discord has lie on his table, if i'm not mistaken, since 2006 , the agreement between the leaders of azerbaijan and armenia on a temporary truce was signed for the first time in the suburbs of moscow. actually , 16 years have passed since then, but de facto russia has been acting as such a mediator, having at the same time, his interests come first. once again, i want to repeat

that it is important for putin now that someone comes to him, that he acts as a referee, that he allegedly invites letters from other countries with good positions and with a good purpose, and that they are accepted invitation, but why am i interested in russia in resolving this conflict? no, i am not interested, and moreover, i think that russia is not interested here, also because the european union and turkey are taking over the initiative regarding this situation, and accordingly , it really needs to act now on the side of uh, well, conditionally. now let's tell armenia so that this conflict lasts as long as possible. dear mr. director, i would like to ask you about

erdogan's gambit. erdogan will implement the grain agreement, despite the fact that russia, on its part, it turns out, well, verdogano has the support of the international community, verdogano has a un mandate in russia, there is no such thing, but it is possible that russia will somehow dare to discredit erdogan in attempts to escort grain shipments. as you can see , the situation will have to unfold. russia is now in a state of de facto calling. uh, 12 or 16 large ships left our ports. i haven't looked at the latest statistics. it seems to me that 16 and uh, hitting these ships for russia would mean de facto declaring war on turkey because, first of all, these

the ships are just going under the supervision of turkish trailers, and secondly, it will be clear to the whole world that this will be an ordinary attack, and it will be clear that it looked like piracy - this is in the waters that de facto do not belong to russia, respectively. i think that if she does not strike, she will also show that she is weak. in this regard, they are now starting to snarl the russians and have even announced that drones were allegedly hiding under the grain, which were released on ships in crimea. i understand that this is the first they want a turn to explain for their inner consumer

information why they have come out allegedly came out of this grain hunting for your audience i will remind that the de facto grain agreement it is concluded between russia and the un turkey on one side and exactly the same is the same agreement which was concluded between ukraine and turkey, the un on the other hand, that is, to speak directly, there are two agreements, the signatory of one is ukraine , the signatory of the other, it is not the same on the russian side , it signed, then it did not sign, so nothing changes for ukraine, we are fulfilling our part of where and if russia withdraws from some agreement , it should then have to clarify relations with that party, part of the parties that were

signatories of this second agreement, accordingly, this will also contribute to the fact that the conflict between turkey and russia can flare up simply on the same place. well, but on the other hand, knowing the sublunature of the russian military, we understand that they can start extinguishing the odesa port and the corresponding infrastructure, so that is, as far as i understand, something similar should be expected, and maybe they are new mini-fields in the western part of the black sea. actually , antony, they did this. do you remember that even on the day of signing these agreements, the first flights were made to those warehouses that were in the port, and at that time ukraine turned to the united nations and pointed to these are the facts, and i was really hoping for a more drastic reaction. so far

, we have not seen any reaction from the un side . cargoes of grain, they have not yet been recalled , that is, de facto - they participate in ensuring that the grain can somehow be transported . colleagues of yuri fizer with professor emeritus of the king's college london , military research expert sir lawrenson friedman, we are listening and watching. greetings. my name is

yuri fizer, and today i will be my guest. to discuss a very important topic, how can the war develop, which he then started in ukraine on february 24 of this year, what can he be ready for? also, will he press the nuclear button, what everyone is warning about, about this and other things, i will talk with my very distinguished guest, this is sir lowrance friedman a professor at king's college london, an expert in military research, he is the one who will be able to answer the questions i prepared for him selourenc greetings and thank you for joining me today i am very pleased to go to the sources so my first the question will be as follows: was it possible to avoid the invasion of russia in ukraine the russian invasion in ukraine in irreversible i do not think that the invasion was inevitable, since these were decisions that

had to be made, in particular, taking into account what it could all turn into. maybe if russia thought about actively realized that much greater difficulties await them than they could have imagined. i think that the problem is that it is difficult for putin to perceive ukraine as an independent state with its own identity and a strong government and a strong a society that will not fall apart from one post office, and the problem obviously originates in 1991, stretching from the collapse of the soviet union to the color revolution, from then until 2014, and i think that when russia seized crimea, it seemed to get away with it, it probably thought that it could return this again in the future but i believe that part of

the problem was the alarming state of affairs in donetsk and luhansk. they thought that everything was fine with the russians, but putin seems to have decided to move on and say goodbye to him once and for all. arrogance on the part of russia in how they viewed ukraine and the ability of ukraine to resist which is key, combined with the disappointment that putin failed to get his way in eastern ukraine in 14-15 putin made many mistakes in ukraine starting in february of this year and he has had many failures if he does learn the right lessons what could

the battlefield look like in the coming weeks or months i think the main problem for putin and russia is that they have lost the chance to win a conventional war on on the battlefield with the help of various tactics to have such gains in the first weeks of the war, but they tried to bite off a large piece that they could not swallow. in the summer, there are a lot of technical people in the donetsk direction, and there are not enough of such people, in fact, mobilization provides only limited help in this, and they have to use old stock while ukraine as we know has strengthened has a stronger motivation because people understand what they are fighting for you get modern western equipment which really changed the situation i think

that the stage we have reached is that russia is desperate to get a line to contain the ukrainian counterattack, to strengthen human resources and to try to make some progress on its own in donetsk, we know all this, but now it is combined with a rather brutal campaign to undermine the will of the ukrainian people by attacking your infrastructure in residential areas, and this is very reminiscent of the beginning of a full-scale invasion, which you all well remember, which russia is now carrying out more and more desperately, resorting to more extreme measures trying to change the situation , i don't think they will be able to achieve any success in any direction but again, it's not for me to tell you that they can still do a lot , do you see at least some logic in what

putin is doing now in ukraine there is a certain logic here, the most logical thing would be to come to terms with the fact that he will not be able to conquer ukraine, because it is impossible for this not to happen now. this is a big blow for him. no, he doesn't want to do it. i think that in the last month he threw everything he had into the war except for nuclear weapons. we must realize that nuclear weapons allowed putin to do, namely, they gave him a certain impunity for all the actions that he dared to do there is a certain

logic in this, the main one is based on the assumed intimidation that everyone can be forced to give up things that are important to him if hit hard enough, this is what he is trying to continue doing, do you think he will ever dare to press the nuclear button regarding the use of nuclear weapons we must realize that putin is already using nuclear weapons he is using them as a deterrent for nato so if it were not about what nuclear weapons, if russia was not a nuclear state, then it could have been cancer in 1991 when he invaded kuwait and the usa and their allies immediately came to the defense of saudi arabia with the intention of liberating kuwait and

lives with ukraine, this did not happen because the countries of the west do not want a nuclear war, thus using nuclear weapons he made crazy actions and may continue in the future, therefore no one can state with certainty that nuclear weapons will not be used at the moment, nuclear weapons are his kozar, i think you understand that they give him a kind of cover while he follows some kind of strategy, in the end, you don't need nuclear weapons to cause damage, because in fact there are enough of them difficult to use in the field, i'm afraid. of course, as with other russian equipment, there is a risk that it will turn out to be defective, that it may explode, or that ukrainian forces will shoot down nuclear missiles and they will land not in the right place, so i don't think that putin particularly

cares to use nuclear weapons, but that's putin, so no one will say that he definitely won't do it, i hope he won't do it we hear mr. friedman about the concentration of russian and belarusian troops in belarus near the ukrainian border, do you think an attack from belarus is possible at the moment, but i would be very surprised. i think that russia is using belarus to distract the armed forces of ukraine so that they are in position just in case. this is good for them i think that for belarus and for president lukashenka it was very risky and unpopular

among his people and also among his army, if it rains in september, i understand why, again , putin continues to act in his usual style, namely, throwing everything he can to solve the problem, he may be tempted and now but like many other such steps, this can lead to very bad consequences. lukashenko knows that he is now in a rather vulnerable position, if he becomes even more attached to putin, this vulnerability may increase and yet the circumstances force the ukrainian forces to remain on alert, mr. friedman, can putin now change the current world order?

i think that the russians are very interested in the fact that everyone saw them as a great state and that they act like a great state, but it is already such a state it's not like that they have nuclear weapons they have veto power in the security council of the united nations but now we see how much they have reduced themselves militarily their army they have lost a lot of officers a-a so compared to china which is now a great power creates real challenges for the west challenges putin in my opinion has turned russia into an isolated pariah it will

become increasingly weaker economically so in this sense the world order which is undergoing changes because russia is sliding down does diplomacy now have a chance to end this war is necessary make a lot of effort to make diplomacy work, there are many people who talked about becoming a potential mediator, etc. so ukraine is clearly not going to cede its territory, and putin claims to an area that he does not even territorially control , that is, if russian is spoken in the region and he must be released automatically, there are issues that can be discussed. i am convinced that a moment will come when the russian military will feel completely incapable of doing what it wants. i would stick

to the strategy of encouraging military negotiations to agree on an end fire, of course, does not mean an immediate cease-fire that left russian troops on ukrainian territory, but a cease-fire when ukraine says that it is stopping fire during the withdrawal of russian troops, and therefore there are still so many issues that will need to be considered, for example, during a real peace conference at which russia could be offered, say, but instead they must solve such issues as preparations, war crimes , kidnapping, guarantees of neutrality and security, demarcation of all borders so that they are again

properly agreed in legal language all these things it was these are very difficult issues especially if you try to solve them all at the same time war will continue. therefore, it will take a long time to implement all these issues. so, first you need to withdraw russian troops from ukraine, for this you can propose a ceasefire. i believe that the most definite actions will be taken on the battlefield, the crimea issue will become even more acute, i know the ukrainian position and i am completely in favor of it i support and think that if russia cannot make a serious proposal to end the war, ukraine will have all the incentives to win back crimea in practice, the americans and others will be very worried because of too much pressure in

from a military point of view, everything is much more difficult. i think that it will be crimea's turn, but i understand very well why this opinion should be encouraged right now. includes bringing in all possible resources to solve problems name something and he will do it at any cost now he has declared martial law he has mobilized he is threatening nuclear weapons he is attacking your infrastructure and how the civilian population write, they are pushing as many people as possible to kill in order to stop the advance of the ukrainians

, they are just trying to do everything at once and there comes a moment when all this simply does not work, i agree, like you all, with what can be done with this person, but i do not think that this is part of the strategy of victory about this, dreams do not really lead ukraine to capitulation, a good strategy will be crowned with success , so when he realizes that failure awaits him, the people around him can

eliminate him at any moment. this is what we are especially waiting for. it will be a place for putin in russia after ukraine wins this war to say i think that putin took a big risk the damage he caused to russia is exactly the damage he caused to ukraine it is a colossal theater russia was not attacked on its territory but it lost tens of thousands of people and the economy it will only worsen, as will the economy of ukraine, but ukraine will have a chance to recover thanks to foreign aid, who is not going to help russia in particular, and as long as putin is an international pariah

, it will be very difficult to establish relations and in the end the world, so we can hope that he is the leader of many russian experts and none of them have a clear scenario of how this can happen and how can it be done in our countries if you make such mistakes props eh to iz eh dictatorship putin controls the security force so we'll see what will happen next ? i think that there may be a fire for russia. exit in case the current measures do not bring

him results and my last question to you for today is who is putin, in essence he is a spy, of course not a military man; they would never do. people who adhere to a military strategy, a spy view that you can manipulate how people perceive reality. i do not want to say that it is somehow connected with the national

issues, in particular with what he says about ukraine and its relations with russia, there is no action in accordance with some ultra-nationalist program, which is also reinforced by people from the fsb who surround him, this is a very dangerous ideology, and now it is connected with the conviction that he can always achieve his goal if his will will always take him up he is shocked that there is a country that does not obey him that is why i think he is trying to find a way out in his place smart people declared victory and left he does not know how to do it he is a person who has lived for quite a long time in the world that he

created is a fictional world that does not exactly reflect reality but in this world putin goes his own way i hope he will not find a way out of the situation in which he now finds himself thank you very much mr. friedman for the conversation and your sincere answers thank you for your opinion, i wish all the best to all ukrainians, and for our viewers, i want to repeat and remind you that today i spoke with a very important person, honorary professor of the king 's college london, sir lawrence friedman, he he is an expert in military research , so it is quite logical that he and i talked about the war that is currently going on