to buy, partially mobilized by the resource that came to them, but they will not be able to hold back completely, viktor, it was there literally last week . retreat of the russians, and after that there was such a well, just a terrible dispute between the beautiful kadyrov, on the one hand, and actually the army forces, when they blamed each other for this retreat, what actually consists of the russian forces and what means all this dispute between these forces there uh time dispute means that it was coded to remove general lapin from the fires it seems this is svatovo

here this is a criminal it was all his area of ​​responsibility it's just that it didn't have a military-political dimension they just changed one general on your own circumstances, you are not just . they simply mixed in a military element there . the problem was not that we did not particularly satisfy them there. the swan, moreover, was that they had to put their own person in the car. well, because their offensive there, therefore, it can be said bluntly, was not very successful, and why should they to take on themselves and now all the responsibility for what can happen there, how it works, anyway, it never falls on them, because in them, uh, in fact, they position their units as the only ones capable of combat, and their units are not actually there. well, that is, that the general with

their gender - it's still not they who will be responsible, their units are in the direction of bahur, there is some very, very slow but unified advance, and also somewhere, that's why they are still in the houses. prigozhin built this line , prigozhin didn't force you at all, it's a little further south and not at all on weekdays, this question is somehow passed by lysichansky, it's a very strange place for a line of defense. it should be evaluated from the point of view of the redistribution of criminal flows and economic flows, rather than from the military point of view, if we are talking about this particular dispute, of course, absolutely of course, he pooped for that, but on the other hand, he still could not do it, well, taking into account the current state of affairs well at that moment, what

kind of strength did they have at that moment? well, it seems to me that no and not yet. i am sure that this situation will be repeated more than once and in more than one direction . they will knock on the table again and say all this because the generals are morons, give us more power, give us more money, and let us decide how we will place him in key places, but this is more of a conversation about a meeting, he is about human russia . there was no such thing before and about that what will happen to russia after putin, not about what exactly? not ukrainian language, yes, oh, oh, oh, oleksandr, what is this , oh, oh, what exactly is the difference between the situation near the matchmaker and the situation near the criminal, the difference in russian forces, the difference between them, actually, there tactics or not in general, in principle let's put it this way, crime reminds me even more of raisin of

two months ago than of svatovo today , and because in fact svatovo is an area that can be cut through r66 from there it is actually possible in them there will be a retreat exclusively to starobilsk, if they try to use this resource in the luhansk region . is more logistical support of their portables of the advanced units there, let's say so conditionally, only conditionally, it's more out of the question for today's defense, it's still profitable for them if they really will do it professionally, but we see how in general

they rebuild any line of defense, it doesn't end well, let's put it mildly speaking effectively, and the next month and a half, i can say that the opportunities in this location will be reduced, besides, there is now a very interesting situation happening near beligorovka, why is it interesting because it it reminds me a lot of the balaklei district, and the balaklei district , when the russian occupiers tried to use all the means they had at their disposal , they tried to expand their bridgehead in the direction of the husarivka, this is belogorivka - this is already such a local local district in eh codelomeration of lysichansk-severodonetsk and which

in fact reminds balaklei in that they are trying to eh attack belogorivka in particular. in the future, it is already obvious. and there is a bridgehead that will play the main role for contour offensive actions already in the direction of the chernivtsi agglomeration and precisely around the location. this is the role of this connection, the borderline of severodonetsk and lysychansk, it can be considered exclusively as such a line of defense that may not allow armed forces of ukraine if this line of defense on the part of the russian official troops was professional and prepared , these defensive actions are planned. and it is possible to hold these offensive controls for a long time

let's put it this way. that is, it may be beneficial for them, but in fact they are trying instead of going into the meadow defense . the restoration of combat capability was conditional restoration of capabilities because in the units they restored combat capability exclusively at the expense of personnel and not at the expense of equipment and in fact and this is only e situational and some such their situational use in assault actions. and when it is necessary to use them in defense, this resource will no longer be there, so this house of cards will be destroyed very quickly, just as it happened in the area of ​​viktor's balakley. well , maybe this is the point. now they have

used part of the mobilized for some strange movements in order to distract the ukrainian defense forces, maybe for something else . lines of defense that will receive longer time . maybe this is the idea. well, it looks obvious there. well, this line of defense was pumped up with something, and in this, too, there is now a strategy for us for another day, a simple donor to hold on, since they are no longer trying to win the war . in fact they are trying and they are trying to lose it on their own terms er. that is why they have now gone on the defensive. that is why now they want to get what they already have and wait for possible geopolitical changes until the re-elections in the united states, after which there may be support for ukraine, well, at least it's not that it's a

plan, it's more of a hope. well, because hm, well, he writes, there's nothing special to count on. isn't this the only optimistic scenario that you don't see , that's why they're working on it, so really they they do not hide the fact that they are saturating, or actually why, the territory precisely in order to create conditions there under which the ukrainians simply will not pass. so we already see that in fact they are even more fortifying the territories in the north of luhansk or in the in the west of kherson, on the contrary, it is already occupied by more such huts, but if you do something - it is logical on their part - in principle, it goes with the strategy that they are now allowed to do, well, in parallel with the terror of ukrainian civilian objects by soviet missiles and drones, that's why we i think that we will also use this strategy precisely based on that, and i also see that now there are

much more casualties on the russian side, much more losses on the russian side, and this is actually a very clear evidence of their transition to the final transition from the quality to the quantity, yes, officials die , uh, it’s just on an industrial scale, ours joke that almost a thousand people die in one day, it’s because the day is an hour longer, uh, but that’s the way it is, they just understand for these why bulls for a long time class class from the lookout over and which stretches from bakhmut and straight there to the ughledar , it is clear that they are trying to storm under bakhmut and all this has been going on for a long time and there was

such an advance. there was a little bit of russian, then the ukrainian defense forces repelled it, that is like that a dynamic story, but this attempt is under the eye of the viewer to do something like that, what is this possible, this is such an understanding. well, it didn't work out. it doesn't work out. let's show some success. let's depict something like this in another place. well, what is not happening there, please, oleksandr, describe this front line, it is quite quite large . well, actually, under the ruler, these are very interesting events, especially near pavlivka, and why are they interesting because when did these intense... -e active actions let's say stormy, they declared about the fact that this is some kind of exit to the information space, these were statements that this is some kind

of well-prepared plan, such a scenario for which the armed forces of ukraine were not but ready well, what is it, i don't know, it will be a phenomenon, some phenomenal offensive, but we see what actually happened, they used the resources of the units of the fifth combined arms army, they used the resources of two army corps, and these are the first and second army corps a-a-a and and e-e from today near pavlivka a-a they did not reach of any real result and actually using if quantitatively it was the forces and means of approximately 4-5 battalions of tactical groups well, if such forces and means were used during the offensive actions in the direction of such a settlement as pavlivka ah, for example

, the armed forces of ukraine, well, the question would be solved in 48 hours at the most. i think that it would be even much faster, but ah, again, they did not overestimate the defense positions that are currently located, namely in this location to moreover, the enemy understands that the very placement of this e-e on this bridgehead of the armed forces of ukraine may in the future be e-e used for, for example , a counter offensive in the direction of volnovakha and dokuchaevsk, this is their movement e-e he was exactly e-e in my opinion, their goal was to increase the safety buffer for volnovakha dokuchaevska in the short-term, then the medium-term, but they could not implement it because

everything looks very good in words. we were preparing and we will now show them, but in fact, e weather conditions to them interfered or something else, but they actually happened in the defensive position of the armed forces of ukraine, so in my opinion they are trying not so much to advance towards the ugledar as a-a. they are now interested in expanding the security buffer because they understand that the counteroffensive of the armed forces of ukraine really if will happen, then it will happen, that means not more powerfully, and there are a few very important for them, the population centers, and they are in the risk zone. well, as we see, they actually failed to do this well, you know, this reminds me a

little bit about strengthening opportunities, because in the last two months, i see a very strong desire, well, not even russian troops, but rather russian propaganda and how to show and at least some positive thing for our population that at least we are achieving some local successes somewhere at first these local successes were painted near avdiivka, there were some desks, they tried to show such stories literally went non-stop like 60 people are heroically fighting there, er, this is sparta in general , and how they achieve success, then it turned out that there is no success, somehow, there is not even sand, then there is no such thing, then it started to cheer up and it went on for so long, it went on now, it was like, let's show ugledatsk something . and i'm interested. victor mentioned that they are trying to solve something with these scumbags, and i wonder where they will throw them. well, they already

threw 80,000, and there are still 200,000 there, 10, that is, theoretically, they can send them somewhere, somewhere out of all the locations sooner than all i what and what can we expect victors please 162 actually a-ah well the situation is the following uh-uh their logistical ability uh-uh is also limited what they have why bulls is great but the fact is that when they start to catch up to ukraine more than 120,000 people in them are experiencing interruptions with and also not supply, well, theoretically they can be, but in practice, it will be simply terrible efficiency, so it is rather a matter of the fact that these, no matter why it is supplied, will be thrown into rotation. er, and so to them. they, too

they did not initially plan to throw all 300,000 of them into ukraine at once, they never announced it, they plan to simply replace them, and this is a completely ecological strategy of action in this case. well, they also run out and there is no point in overloading the logistics of one at the same time, throwing them all there at the same time that you just threw them on there and hey, and then there was no one there, there were no cosmetics , so we can just wait for what we will bring, uh, this meat and those batches. yes, such a kind of suhpiyki on legs, that's all. and in what location, well it most likely it will be in kharkiv oblast, it will be the south, it will still be there, some bakhmut avdiivka vugledar is there. where do you think it could be, or will it be so entertaining, somehow they don't have much left, there will be six nubs to throw in, well,

logically, what is there ? in fact, there will be a breakthrough of the ukrainians, that is, i already believe that they would rather leave, and not an audit of an area that they have already morally resigned to, although some here will go to luhansk region to kherson region, but the majority will rather saturate the same the region of bahmutu bo they are simply actively using them as living waves again, they are again simply trying to create a maximum quantitative advantage in a separate direction in the only place where they are now more or less successfully trying to advance , so i would rather expect that they would now throw them under bakhmut although again, there is a lot of meat, they will scatter it, er, and they will try to somehow hold back our advancements, good luck to them in this, god, we will need it in this, all the cadres managed to change the local there

the general command that and they actually have such a person now eh well sirovyken, in principle, you can consider them their partners as a partner well, you can probably expect eh these mobilized precisely eh in the places of deployment where prigozhin and kadyrov’s units will be, you know that for physical reinforcement, because the formula that appears here is that prigozhinsky and kadyrov will be er, well, as such, what kind of squad, and the eyes are mobilized as a way to identify points as a way, well, to storm, or simply with physical force, but i think that this is exactly what we can expect what do you think, gentlemen, what do you say , oleksandr, about such tactics of the russians, well, first of all, they are partially mobilized, they are used now in order to compensate for the losses and restore the combat effectiveness

of the units, because if we take this total number of russian occupier units that are present in the zone today of combat operations, for example , the donbas bridgehead is a little more than 80 battalions of tactical groups, that's right, this is the number of units in the units is more than 60%, they already need to restore combat capability, what is this restoration of combat capability is when the unit suffers quite serious losses and in terms of personnel in equipment it must be withdrawn from the combat zone and for restoration there will be capabilities, i.e. replenishment of personnel, replenishment of equipment and so on, and they restore them at the expense of partially mobilized ones. taking them out of the combat zone, they bring them , in fact, they bring them to the frontline,

replenishing the personnel, that is, they restore this very position, but on the other hand, they have quite serious problems with the equipment, they cannot to compensate for losses in equipment and in fact, these are all incompletely equipped and not completely effective units, that is, their efficiency is much lower than required if fully restored, and the ability would be restored, that is, in fact, on every bridgehead, e.g., kherson region, zaporizhzhia, and the donban bridgehead, it is necessary to restore this combat capability there so they will constantly appear, it will not necessarily be er-e replenishment of a-a cadres somehow or will have a relationship with the replenishment of cadres or a-a pretty pretty pretty pretty mercenary units and because well it is known that the kadyrov people looked at it, they

do not expect anything from themselves, but prigozhin has his own formation of mercenaries of his contingent and it is prigozhyn's units that they carry out. assault actions and here it is precisely the units of the first and second army a-a corps that are mobilized which in the temporarily occupied territories of the so-called lpr and dn and they were very often precisely used also a-a to identify the positions of the e-e armed forces e-e i.e. and used them as bait, so they will also be partially mobilized. that's how it's used 100%. they do not value this resource. even now in kherson region we can say that they have sent more than mobs to reinforce units on the right bank part. at the same time,

they are now engaged in the withdrawal of some units that can be considered professional units, and airborne units - this is artillery and so on, that is, what is happening, why will the abyks deter the counter-offensive of the armed forces of the forces of ukraine, so it is really on them that this is being done, and how it will be done. so when the counteroffensive begins, they will be on the main lines of defense and the lines of contact, because this is jesus, he is valuable, he will be used, uh, precisely in order to maximally slow down the armed forces of ukraine, but how do we we understand, er, this will not have any global large-scale effect, and the counteroffensive will continue, well, you have already touched on kherson oblast a little bit.

removal and if you have already started let's then tell us a little alexander it is very interesting because if everything is going according to plan, if everything is going so well. why are you expanding, expanding the evacuation zone on the left bank? and what can we observe today, the russian occupiers? well, first of all, they import from the left bank. it is important from the right bank, it is very important. by the way , their medical personnel, that is, they take their

doctors from the right banks. and a large number of e-e drugs and so on and so on. that is, we see now that they are emptying medical facilities for what and for that. well, of course, everything is taken to the left bank . a large number of and when the counter-offensive of the armed forces of ukraine on the right bank will begin, the removal of artillery also says a lot, and because the russians, in fact, they cannot either advance or conduct defensive actions if they do not have a full supply of artillery, cover for artillery, and there is no artillery, there is no firing shaft, you cannot advance. you can't conduct a defense, so they are taken to the left bank precisely in order to a-a er-er-er there to set up positions for artillery and one way or another but fire from what they consider to be a safer distance

on the right bank, but our artillery is more long-range, it is more accurate, that's why these reflections are, well, they are of rather dubious quality. in addition, they are now setting up a line of defense on the left bank and the bank. why, because they are afraid of the fact that they are armed the forces of ukraine have really started forcing the dnipro, and they are setting up mini-blockades there, they are setting up fortifications there, and so on . the effect is because the zone itself is 15 km along a from the e-e line of the e-e coast a-a it is located exactly in the zone of impression of our artillery, they will be there in the open e-e well in the open square on the palm of the hand and therefore we we can say that

this very left-bank er-er is their er-er adventure, so it will be the same er-er in some sense er -suicide plan, which is currently the suicide plan of their military personnel who they er-er will leave one hundred percent on the right bank, in general, their presence was already a suicidal stalemate this is the plan, but as we see it, they are still trying to stick to it, viktor. tell me, please. well, uh, uh, uh, well, understand that just like that, there won't be any gesture of goodwill, so let's just say that it's purely for propaganda reasons, i would say that is this will not happen. and then what will actually happen ? what can the russians do? they can start urban battles in kherson. or will they just fire

only artillery? because it is after all there will be a retreat from kherson. but it will be, well, not like that . they came out and everything is fine. well, it seems to me that they will immediately take everything that is valuable to them from there , starting with uh, collaborators and ending with qualified personnel, then uh, put some conditional speaking of the charge of the squad with the volume of concrete visions, i don’t know how much they will catch up with the people here and will simply actually arrange something there at one time in the soviet command set up near sevastopol when avakov’s most valuable cadres were evacuated and others simply get there in swimming trunks, it will most likely be like that somewhere, but then they will be sold as a great tragedy and great heroism, then they will say what about this

study who were driven there to die, the fascists were great heroes of ukrainians, so they will make a heroic defense page out of it, well it just seems to me that they are already preparing for this, both informationally and for the 100-city one, i could be wrong, well , that is, they will try to cause maximum damage to ukraine until they die, but i am absolutely sure that the russians are not interested in for years, ukrainians got into a large amount of equipment, so you also create equipment, they will be read or otherwise pulled closer to the direct current, so it seems to me that such a big trap is being prepared here for their own people in the first place. well, at the same time , in order to actually sell this territory as the most expensive in terms of the life of ukrainians, but it seems to me that everything has already been more or less resolved there, i keep saying again that the matter is not even in kherson, it is rather in boryslav, because when ours actually go to other chalk dams, the supply

finally, from a small e-e it will drop to almost none and it will even be possible to drag people away from there except by ferries and most likely those who will remain there at that moment and the technology that will remain there at that moment will remain in most of their and other ways the needs of ukrainians in kherson, everything is bad for them, in principle there is only one hope that they can have there, now the weather conditions are preventing us from coming in a little bit, if maybe they hope that they will somehow make it to winter and there will be an attack lonely at home so ours simply will not be able to that's all, it's already got here and it's being held, although, to be honest, there's not much hope for it, and first of all, he knows somehow it's not planned, and it's also already strict and, most likely, they're not reaching it, well, look, from this from this point of view, the issue of reducing our losses and civilian losses is also relevant for us