it is currently in the process of evacuating the communication systems, the communication system is also a very important element of the artillery, because without them it is impossible to control the advanced units, that is, they are really preparing uh, let's say that escape routes are being prepared to flee from the right bank, but but they leave the least valuable resource, they leave the partially mobilized units that consist of 60-70% partially mobilized on my least valuable resource, which will not so much block the contour offensive of the armed forces of ukraine, but how much slowed down, but no more, one more important question. in my opinion, we just spoke with the east and maybe we will return with you, mr. serhiy shikun, a fighter of the armed forces of ukraine, says that the rains are heavy, heavy soils, you need to have cars,

well, some specific cars that can move , tanks they will be imprisoned and so on, if the situation is the same in the kherson region, then the question arises as to how it is possible to logistically unite crimea and kherson kherson region there one road i rested there every year one road will confirm covered, in fact, and if everything around is covered in mud in the swamps, that means that it is difficult to establish communication in general, to deliver something, to evacuate something there, i don’t know how to take out the wounded and so on , that is, how logistically kherson can be provided thanks to crimea, well, it’s bad. it’s very bad logistics there a- let's say the weather conditions

are a problem for our counterattack - this is one of the factors. and why the counteroffensive is not happening quickly enough. they have the same problems, and if we talk about the logistics of the right and left banks, then it is generally known that the antoniv bridges are not functional , e. are also under constant fire from the side of the armed forces of ukraine, and the logistics itself is not so well provided, not so effectively , precisely the level of transport. and how much a-a they do the emphasis is more on the railroad and the possibilities of the railway and the majority of ammunition is supplied

precisely at the expense of the railway. but it is precisely by road that there is already a problem with the efficiency of the delivery of ammunition to the advanced units of ammunition. in addition to the fact that they are limited in terms of logistics, they are also limited by weather conditions. or maybe this is just my assumption. although i am not a clauseist, maybe there is no need to advance if these conditions are such. well, just let them sit in the only thing is that the civilians of kherson are also under

siege , which is also not very acceptable for the ukrainian military and political leadership. as if surrounded, as far as i can imagine. it's not quite an environment. it's more likely. it's more correct that it's blocking, and because an environment is when there is no way out, and they still have an exit through the dnipro. so let's say it would be possible to block them like that, but if you don't push the front line, it will be impossible to free the right bank part completely . if you don't start pressing them, they won't go , and they will always be there to receive this limited e-e logistically, but still after all, the logistical and technical support of their units, and they can stay there for quite a long time, up to six months, even more . freed, it is then that we will be able to implement

a security buffer from the right bank to the left bank in terms of security, primarily due to the deployment of our artillery, and also to concentrate the attention of some part of the resources, and already in other directions in the zaporizhzhia region or in the luhansk region, the last thing the issue of kherson, then we will move there to the luhansk donetsk region, you said about the railway as the main resource, the logistical ukrainian fire potential exists in order to reduce these capabilities of the russian well, temporarily russian railways there are also not so many railways. as far as i understand there, the only question is whether we or the ukrainian army can from time to time disturb some of the main hub stations there, so we

can do it, for example, we constantly do it both in the left bank part of kherson region and in zaporozhye. -parts that are temporarily occupied, we use the m-142 himers resource, which has a striking distance of 80 kilometers or more, depending on the type of ammunition a, and in fact, this allows us to influence their composition transport nodes and so on, the most interesting thing would be if we had the opportunity to exert this influence directly on the territory of the already temporarily occupied crimea peninsula, because it should be considered as deep dust, namely in this deep rear, and i will say so uh, in the north, only in the north of the temporary patrol peninsula of crimea , up to 1,000 units of various equipment are placed, which is quite and compact, such as heavily armored

, lightly armored, and transport vehicles . reduction of a-a supply of equipment in front of the new units is less than on the left bank of the kherson region , and not even in zaporizhzhia, even in the format that today they are crimean bridges and use a-a reversibly e-e only one track, then the next question is to influence well, we remember we believe that there was a lot of smoking in dzhankoy, russian soldiers of ukraine have drone potential or something, so to speak , non-heimersian, to influence the north of the crimean peninsula and reduce the number of possibilities from 1000 units of heavy equipment up to five hundred, for example, well, it's very cool from a thousand to 50 to 500 exclusively due to drones

only, but also if we really can liberate the right bank part of kherson region in the near future, and here we may have such an opportunity because it is significantly less distance, but this means more opportunities to use such elements that a-a well, let's say that with professional use, it is quite difficult to notice not every radar can fix such an object if it is used professionally, and there we can carry out such influence, but if you see the map of the kherson region, zaporizhzhia and the north of crimea, and in such a variant as you described, the answers to my question, well, the front actually does not remain with the russians, it will peel off, or are you considering such a variant because well, i don’t see any options? yes, there is only one railway track from the east

there in the north there is a node, this is exactly dzhankoy if the ukrainians cross the dnipro. there they are fired at, everything is fired at absolutely easily, and it seems to make a serious defense of their lands by the russian troops impossible, so they really have there will be a rather serious problem in the south after they leave the right bank part of kherson oblast, but here is what it is, but they are now forming several lines of defense on the left bank, the positions are arranged in order to, let’s say , not command the possibilities of the armed forces of ukraine to force the dnieper, although in my opinion, the armed forces of ukraine will not force the dnieper, and if we are talking about the liberation

of the cock, then the liberation of the south will take place through the zaporizhia region of the zaporizhia region in the direction of the left-bank kherson region, this is also the south of the donetsk region and the exit directly to the administrative border beyond the temporarily occupied crimea peninsula, but the russians bypassed it. i am sure they understand what can be considered and this is the scenario that is more likely, but they cannot reduce their presence on the left bank, do not build these lines of defense and all the same, because if there are no defense alignments, then 100% of the armed forces of ukraine can force the dnipro , and the piquancy of this situation is that the left bank part of the kherson oblast. well, it is an even more open area than the right bank. that is, their positions today are like in the palm of your hand and they will be there, well, they will be like that. how is there such a

definition of tolerated in russia? and here they will be there as tolerated - tolerated. with regard to the zaporizhzhia region, in my opinion, the most interesting things will happen in terms of liberation precisely through it, and in principle, these are the three lines of defense that they built there, how powerful, strong, serious, how much it can hinder the advance of the troops of the ukrainian troops, that is, i myself. well, you know, honestly , i’m not a military person. but to be honest, i can imagine how difficult it is when you build something in the field. it ’s smooth . when it's all water and swamp and mud, even more so when you understand who

the russians are, they don't like to set things up so that everything is beautiful and reliable, then i have some doubts about these three lines , what do you say, mr. oleksandr really it's open square, they, again, how they provided artillery, high-precision, long-range artillery, which is currently used by the armed forces of ukraine on the right bank, for example, they will create a security buffer that is exactly on the left bank, a security buffer so that the russians cannot fully use their artillery, created or reactive, so that they could not use these fortifications , uh, again, for protection, so that they would be like a trap for them, even here is the area of ​​oleshki in oleshki. in general, they are there. well, i can’t even imagine why they they are setting up all the lines of defense there, if this is a training ground, it's our training ground, which well, in all the coordinates, he is shooting at the speaker, which

is called, well, illogically, irrationally, but informationally, they are allegedly creating such a wave, they are allegedly preparing impregnable falsification structures there . -e line in the plural of energy is still different and there is a threat of course they will use this bridgehead to shell kherson after the liberation, that is, even i do not exclude the fact that they are kherson after the liberation it will be under fire just like mykolayiv before that. but it is precisely the fact that the occupiers are in an open er in an open square, and he says that they will constantly be under our already angular influence. -th advantage, well, it is illogical, in my opinion, not rational, but did the russians ever do something

logical? well, i think so. when you told me about oleshki, i thought that there is a logistics hub there, and from crimea, from skadovsk, there is a road there and here. the road is big bridges and there, if possible, they count on just this one, that there are some pickups, a ride somewhere, something there, somehow, to have but again, how to cover it all yes, but it is a very difficult moment, yes. precisely because it is a node and the loss of this node. it can lead to the fact that the entire defense system is collapsing something i'm already some kind of specialist i don't like it for for specialist i have oleksandr kovalenko was more precisely i already thank him thanks a lot of the military-political council regarding the information resistance e was with us in contact we were just talking why i showed here such miracles in business, i repeat for the 145th time already that i rested there for many, many years,

drove those roads exactly kherson region exactly olezhki exactly skadovsk exactly kherson exactly the eyes of the dnieper are smooth and so on it is all very beautiful it is in unique places in general and i kept thinking of ostap vyshnya, who loved fishing there, and that is, i more or less know that. well, as an amateur and not as a specialist, i would just imagine it . with a hard coating is not solid coating and so on, if someone tells me if valery is a baker or not, then i will know what to do

next. control over the black sea , respectively, and over crimea. and i don't think that there is such a big struggle and that it can be a problem that ukraine will inevitably face sooner or later . now you don't even ask the crimean tatars about this about this question, but sooner or later the question will arise about the fact that crimea must have or the widest crimean tatar autonomy, for which i am always you. i believe that if ukraine has the right to self-determination even now and it is on the fronts for this right, the crimean tatar people also have

the right to self-determination when it happens in 50 years or 70. i don't know, but it's not tomorrow but if there are crimean tatars there, well, in short, although the ideal option is for the black sea to be a sea of ​​peace and it will clearly be so when the russians leave there, the black sea fleet will leave georgia, bulgaria, romania, turkey, ukraine, i hope that russia will not be its own russian there. it will be possible to have peace on the sea of ​​peace, we know with you since yesterday. if anyone listened yesterday, there is no turkish navy in the black sea. there is only one strong nukvazi already strong fleet. it is russian. therefore, it should be borne in mind that peace in the sentence now well we can observe

so now valeriy baker publicist teacher of the kievomaryan business school is in touch with us good health mr. valeriy glad to see you good health mrs. kola good good day now we will talk here means eh allegedly , the washington post seems to me to be saying that they are privately persuading ukrainian leaders to let it be known that they are not against some kind of negotiation process with russia. the position that e.e. takes today. practically the entire ukrainian society. negotiations with russia can only be about one thing: the complete withdrawal of russian troops from ukrainian territory. in fact, it will mean that ukrainian

citizens who are in the occupied territories are actually leaving them in trouble . god forbid, they can be, well, besides, russia is terrible right now. we need such a small pause of rest. because uh, they need to sort out their forces, they need to understand where to get equipment from, they need to raise some reserves, uh, now the armed forces of ukraine are determining uh the pace and direction of action is a strategic initiative right on our side and it was not like that in the first months of the war, on the contrary, there is such a simple strategic rule about negotiations and a break is asked by the one who is in a worse condition, if there were on those there were no ukrainians in the territory, uh, in principle, it would be possible to talk about something. but

what can putin offer to ukrainian society today? look, i think we are making such a mistake . well, not a strategic one, but at least a tactical one. valerians to me mr. mykola no one calls from africa, from latin america, from the middle east, but to blinkin, who transmits the ba- baids, they also call about the fact that the prices of energy carriers may rise again, and that there is no grain, and that there may be famine, and they they are putting pressure on america, listen, let's do something well, let's have some kind of temporary truce, let's do something, that is, i don't rule it out and accordingly they have to react, we are focused on ourselves in the war, we have our own problems, the world is bigger and there are different, different engravings, maybe it's obvious, but let's now let's see how the temporary truce will be able to curb inflation in america how the temporary

truce will be able to feed those people who today have problems with food in north africa. only the complete and final end of hostilities will help, the longer the war drags on , the more consumers suffer, american consumers, european consumers, african consumers, etc. exist in order to somehow reduce this military’s military agony , even putin’s, the same, if you were in blinky’s place on chebeiden, you would think about only one thing right now, about the mid-term elections in the u.s. the congress that will take place very soon and

the truce with russia cannot in any way contribute to the fact that the democrats in these elections are getting more votes because the american consumer is certainly not satisfied with the high bill and prices, but the american consumer is yes eh and eh will be very surprised eh and biden voters will be very surprised democrat voters will talk we will be very surprised if the position of the american administration suddenly changes okay not me i just always tell myself that in politics we should leave many different options are open, and i believe that this statement, when it was clearly stated that we will never go to negotiations, it closes one option, no one says that we should go to formal negotiations, but we cannot say that we will never go. bonda, it is obvious that

any war, even the hundred years' war, ends with negotiations. it is obvious that this war will also end with negotiations. the question is, what is the topic of these negotiations ? today, the russian side shows readiness for such negotiations, of course, it does not demonstrate er, the russian side er shows readiness for negotiations in order to accumulate more forces for the next strike on ukraine, and this is not in the interests of a, neither ukraine, nor europe or the united states of america a no countries eh from southeast asia or south or north africa eh which are otherwise tied in the logistics chain well, but agree with the fact that the game of ukrainian diplomacy by the military-political leadership is very subtle must be very cunning, because on the one hand there is something to put pressure on ukraine despite the ukrainian mood

of ukrainian society, that is why ukrainian factories do not produce chessmen, but american ones do , and therefore i would say that the game is played by the ukrainian ministry of defense and the ministry of foreign affairs and several other state organizations - he participated in this game. i would say that this is the highest level of skill for today. these are the two ministries that today demonstrate the highest level of skill in the formation of the anti- putian coalition and in helping ukraine. only military equipment, weapons. let's be honest, first of all, financial aid , because today our bills for the war are paid by the americans and europeans, it's true. now let's look at russia, if you don't mind, because it's been the last month, one and a half or two, i notice that my no one wants to answer the question about russia. and i think that i am right. come on, i like to talk about

russia . let's talk. elites of russia, are there any strata among the population and elites who are ready to follow the european path in a calm and balanced way and it is encouraging for the world around them because, like yeltsin, they are a little bit on the european path and then turn to the middle ages, this is possible. let me start by saying that i have never particularly he marched along the european path, we remember what exactly this is, he started the first chechen war. we remember that it was yeltsin who fired at the russian parliament and could not solve this problem in any other way, except by force it was yeltsin's team on august 27, 1991, three days after ukraine's declaration of

independence, began to put forward the first territorial claims of ukraine and so on . yeltsin de yeltsin is simply asking him to give part of europe and part of asia to the zone of influence. so here yeltsin is the same imperialist as all his predecessors. you should not think that he was a great democrat. but how i like to talk about russia and let me talk a little now. and you, uh , uh, so that i could express myself, we conducted a scenario of the development of the situation in russia, even unlikely ones , fully analyzed what is called the scenario space, the space of solutions, the space of opportunities for various russian uh, forces and what we saw there were more than 15 different scenarios, but in order to tell them briefly on television, they can all be combined into three different groups

. intensify or putin is doing this kind of screwing the nuts and such as stalinization or ironization, but i want to remember the day of the oppressor sorokin, which can become a true story, or, perhaps, putin is being replaced by some other hawk or it could be a dove that was disguised to show which event in order to remove sanctions and restore the capabilities of the russian military-industrial complex for free, there are quite a lot of different options for the whole scenario, almost a dozen, all of them are somehow related to the continuation of the war or immediately to the continuation of the war now or from a break the west gives an opportunity to recover then the empire returns like in star wars strikes back we all remember very well what happened between the first and second chechen war when russia suffered a crushing defeat and signed essentially capitalization and savior agreements and then came back and started the second chechen war with actually destroying uh-uh

completely uh-uh chechen republic of the skin is uh or uh it can be an even longer period like the interper between the first and the second world when one way or another infected with revanchism, sentiments, an insult to everyone, a desire for revenge, the society essentially brings the nazis to power, if we now analyze the mood of the russian outback, we will see a request for nazi policy, and russian sociologists say this openly. this is the first group of scenarios , the group of consolidation of power means continuation of the war immediately, but god after the respite, it is not in the interests of ukraine, it is not in the interests of europe, it is not in the interests of america, and to be honest, it is not in the interests of russia, because the war is as murderous as it is and to russia, it should be noted that putin had to destroy his own country in order to start destroying ukraine, and the second group of scenarios is a scenario of turmoil, turmoil, chaos, civil war, er, great violence, when er, these are all power

groups, we see now as many as a dozen of these there are large private armies in russia. they have heavy weapons. they will all find out who is the main one. i want to emphasize that in the soviet union you are good at it. mykola, do you remember that there was a mechanism of legal succession? politb bureau died e.e. brezhnev gathered, the road appointed andropova died andropa was appointed chernenko and so on. now there is no mechanism of legal succession, now the only way to find out. if now, for example, putin dies in the morning, the only way to find out who is the boss is a force clash of e.e. representatives all these structures are among themselves and this means that the violence can be deep, capture a significant part of the russian territory, last a long time, and it is not good for ukraine and europe, why and for america of course, i will explain why, because first of all, it is me, now the weapons are falling into the hands, it is not known who i want now, one putin is somewhat unpredictable, but he is alone, and

so there will be 10 unforeseeable little putins , and secondly, this is a terrible refugee crisis that will affect both ukraine and europe such stories also do not go anywhere, and now the third group of scenarios is a scenario that is a controlled reconstruction of the russian post-imperial space in order to become a reform country, russia must become a modern state, that is, give up its colonies, none and could not become modern until it reached the stage of decolonization, and there is no need to say here what the british said, the french, the dutch, and so on, that the spaniards seized their colonies by force, and they say that means russian territories are gathered in as a result of voluntary entry, you remember very well, and the brutal capture of kazan began 450 and a half years ago.