now but nevertheless it is true. of course, the weather conditions are the same for everyone and they affect the russians and our armed forces in the same way, the difference is who, for example, will be better equipped for that moment with the same winter clothes and the same opportunities to warm themselves and in including the right to give an operation in the winter period, it is obvious that if you ordered a large survey there, for example, the efficiency of aviation falls, how can it be used at the same time, well, it is obvious that less when they feel the hand again depends on of a specific direction from a specific area on the front, that is, the conditions are definitely the same for individuals. the question is who can use it and who cannot, and i have great hope here. it is more likely that the ukrainians simply have a shorter supply and when it comes to the fact that people do not freeze it will be a little easier for us than with the russian chmobiks, again,

unfortunately, there are big problems and in our supply, even the same winter uniform is in question, it has already become a little key from here because for some reason, it is about what happens in ukraine winter was mentioned. somehow, much closer to the middle of autumn, there is such a problem in the ugledar region, because in the last week it has been such a well, a point that suddenly became a bit key in the offensive of the russians , respectively. by the russians in pavlovka, who suffered terrible losses, but you know, despite the fact that it seems like the russian 155th airborne division is there, it seems, or, in short, the division from primorye, which even complained

to the governor about the fact that they were thrown there is unknown why is it unknown that they are literally disposed of en masse there, and there, well, a huge one. in fact, there was such a scandal in russia. despite this, i would not say that it was a thoughtless operation in general, well , that is, there. there was a certain intention in all this and it continues. well, in principle to be here ivane - is it possible for you to tell in more detail what they are trying to do there in general, and what the enemy is trying to achieve in that place, i think it is worth starting here with the characteristics of this compound and the 155th marine brigade of the pacific fleet because it is not the first time in the history of the war that it affects here, well , let's start with the fact that this unit of the 155th marine brigade of the pacific fleet entered belarus at the beginning of february under the pretext of

these exercises, and this same brigade was well, all alone as part of the entered here and accordingly there in february, march and april received respectively heavy losses and let’s say so, then they were brought out born for performing, then this same brigade surfaced, as you know, the training ground for these, oh well, i was still there when the russians recruited people for the partial mobilization of the invited people , those volunteer battalions are in the background. well, it seems that on the basis of this 155th brigade, some volunteer battalions were formed there in the hm, well , in this primorsky krai, according to which, obviously, the russians or the russian military command placed certain hopes on this brigade that she still seems to have not lost some core of elitism, and accordingly, that is why this connection is possible as the most combat-capable, accordingly, it was chosen, but for an attack in this direction. well, but taking into account the fact that the same brigades as in other so-called elite units of the russian army have already

passed the third iteration of e personnel, including the so-called no, partially mobilized there, and this problem is certain. well, not only with the training of personnel there, but with e- let's say accordingly and discipline, because well, in some ways, this is really the first case when a supposedly elite unit of the russian army, but begins to publicly complain there, and to the regional leaders, that somehow he and they did not behave like that there as for their immediate plan , in fact, it was not to break through the defenses, they planned 100 times, this elite brigade means that this elite brigade will be able to move the positions of the armed forces of ukraine in a certain part of the front so that our artillery will not be able to reach part of this railway connection between donetsk and volnovakha further on respectively, to melitopol well, although, of course , here, if we proceed from such a logic, that the russians

are trying to move the positions of the bolt further so that we do not fire on the railway, they will have to do it on to the entire front line, because even in that story, which before our conversation, it was pointed out in particular that last week the armed forces of ukraine destroyed the ammunition warehouse in yasinova, but to begin with yasinova is one of the biggest principles of railway junctions on the judge of ukraine, according to how there there railway logistics of the company is built along the of the entire front line. it is quite possible that the russians will continue to try to speak . what will come of this? well, we'll see, because you know from the other side, in some ways, you can retrospectively mock the russian customers because they decided to break our positions by using bmp-3 armed units with a combat vehicle, which showed its miko speaking badly

, i live clean, purely because there the crew is literally sitting on 100 millimeter shells and any hit to a combat vehicle of this type, you know, literally unwinds it and turns the bmp-3 into a pile of scrap metal and ash well, yes, but on the other hand it seems that such a thing was and was used here, victor, they will continue to try there, despite all the failures . what do you think? the bridge will not be there until spring , that is, the problem remains for the russians. well, in fact, even if it were not, their tactics and in general, the directions do not change, in fact, they very slowly give up their intentions and almost do not change them in relation to the loss, so i do not think that something will change, well, if you can get to bakhmut in months, just losing the wave there due to the influx

of people. well, it means that they will have to get to the text of their time for months. they got to the donetsk airport in the end, but in the end they took it. but for what period, and what kind of budgets ? they like to attack simply with human waves where the ukrainians have done a good job of defense and there is an opportunity to destroy these minutes well, let's say again this is a war in the style of zhukov - this is the hope that the number of arenas it will simply turn into quality by itself and lead to some big changes, again, even self-mobilization, in principle, harms this very strategy when you just need to get meat. i met resistance, this resistance is to be bypassed, it is about simply breaking through this resistance, and this is especially true in the donetsk direction, it happens there

absolutely constantly, this is my question, i don’t think it is about the kherson direction, but why constantly hump in that chernobaivka but it was a key logistic point in the version they didn’t have and not human casualties they can’t consider the same story actually well, i understand that they are here even the question is not that they consider there they don’t consider it for them it is really very it's important in general well, just history because uh, even in better weather, you can transport something by pontoons well, because as it turned out after it was damaged, uh, it was just not just some kind of logistics chain there, no, it was the main artery in fact, the supply of the entire group is in the south and even in the east partially. and now they have no choice. in other words, they have to find a way to supply , and this supply cannot be especially by sea because the weather will be bad, pontoons or what are

they there, what are they going to bring there by barges there i don’t know, uh, with ferries, uh, you can’t really pull something, that is, in any case, they are literally restoring the railway on all this because of the wave that is coming, they are restoring this entire railway, they are trying to build it there literally, after they destroyed it, they built it again and pulled everything there, that is, they have no choice. they will be there anyway. it’s just that you can still wait for ivan, but now they not only went to pavlovka there, they were so necessary , it’s like manners what can happen next and the main thing is how these actions will affect our opportunities because it is clear that if there is an assault, well, it also distracts the forces from one side, from the other side , it is also not very good for us in principle. there is something to lose. up pauline

it turns out that all their railway logistics in the occupied donbass are essentially built along the front line, and accordingly, if it is assumed that they are fighting according to the zhovkiv strategy, that is, to attack the enemy's positions with waves of manpower, then it is obvious that they will try where they can it is similar to creating tactics there, but right away i suggest paying attention to the south, so to speak. they are trying to build a preventive, some kind of echeloned defense system there, to build concrete fortifications, dragon teeth, and the like and the like. let's put it this way, the russians here are not what they are directly expecting. how long will it take for our troops to break through to mariupol, but obviously they feel this certain vulnerability of theirs of all logistical glossies, even especially let's say mariupoli , which is still far away from the permission that even this city they are trying to build such a line of defense and, accordingly, preparing for our some

counteroffensive actions there, and accordingly, there may also be such a logistical route that they will lead let's say from krasnodar to mariupol and then unload the railways there and really introduce resources to volnovakha and further south there, so people specifically to the russians will try to break through our positions here, if we were to secure our railway, it is of course difficult to say from here, but we can only predict that this may take place at least until the beginning of the winter periods , and then the weather will determine what and how will happen even from this point of view, from the point of view of logistical routes, but now it is not known that in principle well, it is not entirely clear that they are building under kherson, because on the one hand , they took all the heavy equipment from there, even the cannons, from kherson on the right bank on the other hand, trenches are being built there, there are quite a lot of paratroopers, well, hmm, and paratroopers, and

in general, well, come, what is this? they are preparing for some uh, well, literally, i don’t know street battles, uh, or is this a slightly different story? well, actually, the loss kherson as it can for them to influence the possibility of obtaining a corridor to the crimea and in general, all this elastic path, what do you say viktor, well, there is such a suspicion that they want to leave a certain number of people in lviv just for the milk battles, but at the same time they have already actively moved artillery to the left bank of the kherson region and in this case, it was simply to interest the people, and the artillery was to strike, this is in principle. it could be logical , here we are talking about the fact that kherson will be left for them, but they will teach a great lesson in ukrainian there

armed forces and then they will tell that it was the leader's tactical idea that we did it in order to capitalize on ukraine in the south. in principle, in theory, if ours were stupid, it would work. damn, but i don't think that ours will be that stupid. i don't think that ours will be so careless. to actually sign up for the same artillery again much depends on whether they will play along after all, then they will try to blow it up there and what will actually happen to the left bank in the kherson region, i mean the world physically and geographically, but the point is that this is exactly the plan, they really evacuated a number of, let's say , assets and liabilities, both economic , cultural and military, but they are really strengthening the whole of kherson very much, we will have a large network of street toilets in kherson, we were there

they actually installed a large number of concrete pseudotics on each group and it will be possible to make some mobs or other infrastructure objects with it later but but but for this you need to buy it all from the first deo no no and the main thing is ms. and the main thing is that they want to make the price for ukraine as high as possible. and we, accordingly, want it for us, so that all this goes painlessly for us. because we need to protect the troops, including for the liberation of the other coast of the kherson region and for further advancement. well, here they are by the way , the news arrived today that they finally destroyed the dariiv bridge, which is also one of those, they were moving. well, at least the troops could have moved from the right bank to the left bank. before that, the ukrainian army found out today that the russians are they finally blew it up, the local residents say that

well, i don’t know until there have been any official reports about this, that is, the impression is that they will receive their infantry units and the air force there, just as much as they can, roughly speaking, yes, that is, that’s good, but still the question remains if kherson is left and the russians, for example, will mostly remain on the left bank, their general assessment is that such a tactic is to destroy the ukrainian troops on the right bank by bombing. by infantry sorties eh but is it convenient for them from the point of view of obtaining a land corridor to ivana's crimea? well, as for the land corridor, they will have problems there. if we were to say , we would be on the verge of liberating the zaporizhzhia region, because here is the key to the land corridor melitopol, well, melitopol

railway, they have highways that connect the temporarily occupied territories of zaporozhye with the temporarily occupied territories of crimea, until the cutting of these logistical highways is not taking place, unfortunately , it is still too early to talk about the fact that, let's say, a threat to the russian land corridor may take place, moreover, it is worth mentioning here even the facts that were indicated here in the plot before our conversation so that the russians even reached such impudence to once again pull up the railway echelons in the kherson region, a refuge to the front line, and besides, on the left bank where our artillery is already covering them. well, what follows at least is that even in the railway on the other side of the kherson region and it is temporarily separate . unfortunately, i am still working in the interests of kherson, and accordingly, it is too early to talk about the violation of logistics

highways. satellite photos that show that the russians, let's say, in addition to the fact that they are sinking small river vessels today in kherson, they are more such large vessels, let's say, a certain sedimentation tank and maybe they will also use it for their supply or from the other from one bank to the other or along let's say the banks of the dnieper, it's too early . unfortunately, it's still too early to talk in principle about any problems with their logistics in that regard, that is, it doesn't even solve the question of what, for example , our artillery there will be able to move closer there to boryslav there well, in general, there on the right bank, that is, it will not give us the opportunity to get there further er closer to the same melitopol there, theoretically, it will still depend on how intense our artillery will be because that again, you know, this is such a certain surprise. that the russians started to pull helmets

up to the front line in principle, because until now, let's say, a week or two ago, there was a different reality inherent there, but the russians were delivering ammunition, let's say there, you know, to the admin border, let's say, the purchased territory of crimea with trains, shells, where they were unloaded and how far the logistical shoulder they carried to the trucks, and here they became insolent in principle and began to pull the court here, here again one of the essential lessons of the battle for kherson which should be taken into account. unfortunately, the russians, when they are subjected to let's say, an intense fire effect. they know how to find some let's say logistical countermeasures to get hmm stability of its supply there. we began to destroy bridges, unfortunately, the russians began to steal barges in order to create these hm crossings. we began to destroy bridge crossings and zbarazh, accordingly, the russians began to use barges specifically. optimism about the fact that they will be able to

break something there in the end. look well, this is also important, and what else can they use to create this situation in kherson, for example, today, for example, there was such a thing, again, with the russians it, it, it, the russians are spreading it about the fact that the ukrainians have started some more offensive actions, viktor, how should we treat this in general, because it is leaking one way or another into the ukrainian space, some kind of speculation is starting around this and what can you say about that why is it speeding up and in general? well, how much is it , well, is it worth bothering with? my suspicion is that they are now just trying to create some informational chaos, as before, i don’t really see it, but now, in the last few weeks, they own and carry their soldiers in that that they are not propaganda of some big strategic

plan, it seems to me rather a tactical response somewhere and which is already beginning to break down because, for example, the same barks are starting to talk about failures, which volume was better to keep silent about some of them changed from tv channels earlier than from ukrainian ones, because one of them starts whining and the other starts to tell him that you are actually a scumbag. that's why it's very interesting. well, watching it doesn't seem to me that they are doing something strategic in this regard now, they don't it seems that they have some clearly defined plan, but the same applies to the immediate situation on the battlefield and in the information space, well, that is, there is a general strategy . situational oh yes, they just show the same concrete structures oh that's why it's good for me it seems to me that it rather helps just even well

you know for me it's a son of yours that they started to practice about the system and the darkness by inertia once the subscriber begins to start this song about his andrishy when, which was actually outdated, in fact, for this war, this is it. rather, a transition to some old concepts, just according to the soviet one, at the stage, well, this means that people are simply already working, even unhook people, just already they are working just to be able to show the leadership and say, i will do it, because what is all good for, given that these 300 are there even less than three hundred thousand mobilized are not able to change any situation at the front for the russians, given that they well, some basic points have been determined that will be relevant now. it is still possible. well, a couple of weeks, maybe more. you already said that they are trying to increase the price of kherson for ukraine

, that is, they are trying to create some kind of situation there, where ukraine would rely on the fact that it will be easy to destroy the manpower uh, they are absolutely not going to, as i understand it, in no way uh, to store there kherson uh or there, that’s all that is happening on the right bank. that is, it will be shelled and destroyed. that is, it is the russians, it is absolutely clear that this is happening, they are building these lines fortifications on the right on the left bank, that's what we saw. it was, by the way, even on kherson. it was gola prystan, which is actually on the left bank. even there, this is what they put out, that is, what they are cooking. it is difficult to say what is being prepared from there, then... is it is clear that since this small number of mobilized people allows, well, at most it is to carry out some actions in the area of ​​ugledara, to carry out some actions in the area of ​​bakhmut, to try, let's say, to defend ourselves in the area

of ​​svatovo krysnaya and now we are entering such and such a state, that is, what can be done here, what can be affected here a change in the weather, what can be globally affected here, in general, this is the general situation, what other er-er can it be possible er-er means will the russians use well, because it looks like this so far, i.e. along this line with an attempt to win something there a little bit in the area of ​​bahmut e in the ugledar what else ivan how and what else can we expect well here really you know what we can expect will depend on such subjective factors you know rather even in such an information space well, what are we in advance , well, now we are not quite able to calculate. well, for example, what concept will the russians come up with to justify their next act of goodwill from

kherson, because on the one hand, the russians there can remember their old creaking there the myth of the second world war, and mention there that the economy of the soviet union was rebuilt on trophies from germany, and accordingly, there is something in the style of the fact that they became nazis, telling that they, like nazis, took a lot from the kherson region because, well you know, for some reason, the russians are now actively looting kherson, they are breaking their previous propagandist concept in that kherson is a lot of caviar, the accession of which enriches the russian federation, it turns out that they break and somehow so really, as mr. victor noted , they act very much so situationally, on the other hand , here again it will depend on what line so uh, the pupation of this dissatisfaction among the partially mobilized is chosen by the kremlin propagandists, because so far what they can offer there is the maximum that's what. and what are you and what have you done for the motherland well, that's what solovyov sang for today, for example, although it would seem that in

theory the motherland is doing everything it can there. so you give out orders for quilts to the belarusians and to the northern koreans may also have ordered quilts for partially mobilized people, so the russians couldn’t even package this reality and present it, so to speak. look , the situation there is not as bad as everyone imagines. again, why am i talking now about such certain propagandist factors that can distort the actions of the russians on the battlefield. well, what a colleague has already noted, if it turns out, the russians are now very situationally acting in terms of information delivery. and here it turns out that it's a big deal that russia didn't invent a non-existent offensive by our armed forces, so they are entering a kind of non- existent offensive, they blew up three bridges that primarily work for them, it will make it difficult for them to transport shells to their positions overcome the water crossings, but it turns out that the russians blew up these three bridges today in the kherson region will

complicate further actions, and it turns out that they have committed an act that is difficult for him to clean, perhaps because of the propaganda list that is happening somewhere there the offensive of the armed forces of ukraine, therefore, in fact, there are a lot of such informational factors that we cannot read in advance in any way, it is purely because, for every one you know, it is possible that the russians can invent stupidity that does not lend itself to rational explanation, well, in general, this looting in kherson you know, it has already become so big that local collaborators like strimusov complain about it, who say that they steal literally everything and they can't do anything about it because, well, what are those i'll help if they steal fsbshniks like that, but, nevertheless, you are clearly visible, first of all, it is clear that this inability to take any actions is also related to the fact that the russians really lacked

equipment, well, techniques, in fact, i'm like now , the son is happening because, for a long time, they had such an advantage, advantage, advantage in archie. and now it looks like it's not an advantage, is it some kind of priority? in fact, it probably depends on the direction, but here the question is not the arches themselves, but its in first of all, ammunition and the gift of the possibility of actual system maintenance of ukraine, here we have our own problems, a really huge park is completely different, and the arteries are not always effectively compatible with each other in different situations . it's hard for me to say, it seems that the eagles have become noticeably

smaller, so in principle, in part, this is the fact that the ukrainians have their own effective long arm and their more or less active beer, it partially broke the connection between the horde and the eagles. russians of shell hunger, especially when the warehouses started exploding. they also led to a certain leveling of the situation, and really there is no such imbalance, but again, eh, the trojans somehow do not change their tactics because of this, they do not start to behave somehow differently , they simply behave in the same way, but under worse conditions, that is why i am not optimistic here that we are acting more efficiently, this can be seen simply by the summaries of the general staff, simply by the number of dead russians, or significant tanks per day, but regarding the fact that they because of that, they are changing, will they change something, or will they start to behave in a bigger way? well, here i can't

even evaluate it as optimism or pessimism, here i am rather skeptical, they are unlikely to do it, they were, or continue. during this war, this is not changing. well, this is the lack of, uh, well, some kind of new equipment and the installation of some kind of, well , let's say this, at least the lack of superiority in artillery at the front, to some extent, the russians are trying to compensate for it. it seems to me that these strikes on the ukrainian infrastructure, that is, nothing can be done at the front, let's do something in the rear, and that's interesting. look at this week, somehow it seems that there have been fewer of them, well, the attempt, yes, ivan, how much is it, er, let's say that we have already exhausted well, i will not say what has been exhausted everything has not been exhausted, but to what extent there will be something. well, to what extent do the russians have the opportunity to supply something more from cancer from north

korea, where else can they bring it from and how can we counteract this, what do we have in this regard, can you expand it somehow, describe everything wait here. well, here you know, there is a theoretical plane and a practical plane in this matter, the theoretical plane is already there, there were several reports about the fact that it is already there. it seems that russia should start using iranian political missiles in november, these same 110 isolfgakars were repeated reports that russia is apparently negotiating with north korea, including not only the supply of artillery ammunition, but also the supply of what the american media called short-range missiles. well, maybe they meant, including the north korean pokin 23 well, which is very suspiciously similar to the russian ballistic iskander well, but strict practice shows that in addition to the possibility of russia getting something there well, they are not so wide purely because russia also tries when it bargains with someone