tv [untitled] November 11, 2022 10:30am-11:01am EET
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of the critical infrastructure facilities of the vinnytsia region, the head of the region reported that there were no victims at the site of the hit, rescue services are working, but this hit at this facility changed the electricity supply schedule as a result of another attack by the russians on the energy infrastructure facilities of ukraine on friday in kyiv emergency power outages in significant volumes this was announced by the director general yasno this is the structure of children serhiy kovalenko quote at night took place in new attacks on energy facilities of ukraine in kyiv today in particular because of this, emergency shutdowns are applied in significant volumes. that is, we will not be on schedule , wrote serhii kovalenko. well, as previously reported, i would like to remind you that the russians shelled the vinnytsia region, apparently hitting an energy infrastructure object. well, we will now communicate with gennady ryabtsev, an energy expert to the director of special projects of the center, mr. gennady, we congratulate you briefly,
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here is the hit, that is, even if the russians hit the infrastructure facilities in vinnytsia, this may affect the energy supply in the capital and restrictions power supply. how do you assess the current state of the power system? please, i would not directly connect these two events, since emergency shutdown schedules are used without any connection to one or another attack . they should continue for at least another week, that is, if there are no new massive shellings. perhaps you have not heard, but the head of the general director serhiy kovalenko clearly wrote that at night there were new attacks on energy facilities of ukraine, and more on vinnytsia only
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flew in and in kyiv today, emergency shutdowns are being applied in significant volumes, we will not be in the schedules, kovalenko said, not in the shutdown schedules, well, you need to ask mr. serhiy what he meant, how is the attack on critical infrastructure facilities in the vinnytsia region connected with emergency shutdowns in kyiv as a whole then evaluate the system so as far as i know the problem there is not at all in vinnytsia but the problem is that it is necessary to replace temporary connection schemes with permanent ones for this it is necessary the equipment of this equipment is in short supply and, unfortunately , supplies from the member states of the european union go to those that are directly needed by the energy industry
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. for example, it is not clear to me why they do not ask directly from those who are engaged in the restoration of the energy system about their needs and why there are those lists of equipment that are formed in to the ministry of foreign affairs of ukraine, they are in no way coordinated with the operator of e-e transmission systems, i.e. ukrenergo, operators of distribution systems, i.e. oblenergo, and generating companies after all, the aid that goes to ukraine from the european union must be directed directly to the energy industry and be determined by the needs of the energy industry, it is the ideas about what ukraine needs that exist in individual eu member states. in general, what should we prepare for the closest then in terms of light and energy supply. and why is there such a
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difference? by region, we included even our experts there from the front-line regions, for example , mykolaiv region or zaporizhzhia mykolaiv zaporizhzhia , which are constantly under fire, but there is almost no light there they do not turn off, but instead there are kyiv region and the capital, constant shutdowns, western ukraine there, transcarpathia , lviv, volyn, there are also no blackouts. that is, what does this show that it is the defeat and the main blow of the russians . now they are targeting kyiv and the region, i ask for your comment. the capital region is the largest consumer of electricity in ukraine at the same time, there are no large generating companies in the territory of kyiv and the region, and there is no damage that was caused by that facility, which all exist and work for the
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needs of kyiv and the kyiv region, they turned out to be sufficiently large damages and because of this we have precisely not only systematic planned alleys cooking shutdowns a very large number of consumers in the capital and the region and if you look at the scale of the whole of ukraine, then probably every eighth kilowatt of energy is consumed in ukraine, it is the capital, therefore it is very difficult to provide it is precisely the great needs of the capital, and because of this we have such emergency shutdowns, what is it, mr. gennadiya? i have another reason to talk to you, uh, you know , there wouldn’t be happiness and unhappiness, it helps, it’s interesting
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a publication in particular from reuters came out that oil prices fell literally on tuesday because fears about a recession and outbreaks of covid-19 in china caused uh and uh a decrease in demand for fuel and more precisely, fears about this decrease already in the near future that something strange is happening with oil prices and whether it will be an urgent issue to establish a ceiling on the price of russian oil, according to the price of russian oil, nothing is happening there, then fluctuations in quotations were 94, became 92, now again 95 ago well, no pay attention to this change in the price of oil, this is a change in the real price of oil due to the formation of a long-term downward trend on world exchanges. that is, if the quotation decreases for
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several weeks, this does not happen . for speculators, then for those who trade directly on these exchanges so that fools carry funds to forex and think that they will be able to earn a dollar there, the other is er on the same speculations in fact, nothing is happening on the world market, as there was a preponderance of supply over demand on this market, and so are the countries that are members of the organization of petroleum exporters, they are trying with all their might to hold on to that military premium, which now accounts for about a third of the quotations, in order to receive future excess profits
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from trading, but well, not always. i think that they will not succeed and the quotations will decrease, the only problem is that, after all, the financial swindlers will do everything to use 100% of that oil bargo, which will be introduced from december 5, and i think that just after the 5th day we will see an increase in oil prices, unfortunately, this will also lead to the fact that in ukraine, oil products will become more expensive over time, but the main thing is that we have enough of these oil products, because we now we import almost 100% of oil products, and we import them through the western border exclusively, and it is very important to conclude at least medium-term contracts between ukrainian companies and directly
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fuel producers in eastern europe in order to avoid it is in short supply throughout this heating season. after all, our generators are also working extra. well, you mentioned december 5. it was on december 5 that the minister of finance of ukraine, chisellen, previously agreed that the oil price restriction would come into effect on december 5th, for crude oil on february 5th. next year and for oil products, it is true that it is only a country of numbers, for example india, china, then seven does not enter and they continue to buy this oil . december, please, but directly on december 5 will not change it in any way because these changes take place during the months until december 5 and will continue after december 5. however, this is some kind
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of watershed . there will simply be nowhere to sell them, well, more precisely, from that half. well, maybe a quarter will be reoriented to the asian markets, and everything else. well, everything else will have to be thought of by the russians , how to push them there with the taliban, they have something there now it is going to deliver about a million barrels per er per year er of certain oil products. well, for sure , it might be possible to realize something in north korea. please, did you mention the rise in gasoline prices? your forecast for gasoline prices on the ukrainian
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retail market. i mean both gasoline and diesel , including until the end of the year. now it is about uah 50 per liter, what will be the dynamics? well, plus or minus, right now in the coming weeks, nothing is likely to happen then further after the oil coast, when there will be a shortage of petroleum products on the free european market, that is, there where there are spot contracts , that is, today, today, what is called the conclusion of ukrainian counterparties, these volumes will become less, if they become less, then the price er, it will crawl up a little bit, maybe even jump there somewhere, everything will depend on what the ratio between demand and supply will be, most likely there will be a lack of supply and an increase in demand due to the purchase of a large amount
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gasoline diesel generators and their active use due to power outages thank you mr. gennadiy gennadiy ryabtsev, energy expert, director of special projects of the psyche center, analyzed with us and for us the situation in the ukrainian energy industry and on the world oil market, there are several short messages concerning the development of events in the kherson region seems to be ending the series called chornobayivka, a multi -part blockbuster. and similarly ends the series called antoha antoniv bridge, which was used by the russians for a long time to cross from right to left to left and from left to right bank, good , good, reliable, it was a building beloved by many
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people of kherson and it seems that it is no longer suitable for use, at least in the near future, you know as they say, bridges are built, then they are destroyed, and then they are built again, but the ukrainian flag is eternal and it seems to return . the russians blew up the antonov bridge tonight, and that is why it was such a large-scale destruction of this bridge, because they were directly there, they laid it with explosives, and it is more convenient. here is the video, well, at least it was announced that this is the night video of the bridge being blown up , so it was signed on the internet today with it appeared at night. this is how it looked. it is possible that the nature of the destruction was caused by the wood and by the impact. well, these are completely different things, and it is important to understand this in view of the situation with the kakhov hpp . i hope that we will not have to talk about it. but the russians are the russians today they hit a critical infrastructure object in vinnytsia region on a call
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from the studio andriy geshko, a deputy of the vinnytsia regional council mr. andrii, we congratulate you glory to ukraine good day well, the head of the region, serhii borzov, said that it is possible to hit infrastructure objects tell me some details, because in kyiv already, well, at least the children say that today there will be emergency power outages that are not related to the schedule, outside the schedule, and are related specifically to the events in vinnytsia. is there really some connection? tell me, please, what there happened to you, please, i will not detail the location of the object because it is very dangerous from the point of view of military events, but what i would like to note is that the enemy very clearly understands where he is striking, because in the last three weeks on this object it is already this is the fifth or sixth attempt to destroy it, and that's why we understand that they were preparing and they worked out the place of impact in quite a lot of detail. thank god, in
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these three weeks, there has been no such serious damage to this object, it's really big, let's say so a substation that transmits electric energy not only to vinnytsia region. and in general, it connects a number of regions of ukraine in electric networks - these are high-voltage electric networks, therefore the object is really very, very important and once again i want to point out that even in social networks it is not very were distributed, it is important to get such a hunger for information, the object was not damaged during the night flights of the drones, three drones were sent , er, were shot down, two inflicted certain such small point hits, but they did not cause serious of the destruction, thank god everyone is alive, now there is ongoing rescue work on the property so that everything is connected, but i want to reassure everyone throughout ukraine that actually they are not connected to the dtek networks and to those power lines that are in road accidents even in vinnytsia, now after these grandchildren
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the light so far, everything is going according to the schedules that were published earlier, and so we have evening blackouts in vinnytsia region in the very place in vinnytsia and the surrounding villages and in other regions of vinnytsia region. and even today we expect again, just scheduled outages well, nevertheless , the object is connected precisely with energy, do you understand correctly what is actually and what is the situation in general, in vinnytsia, it is connected with outages, you say they exist, how does the business of the company work in the conditions of a regular schedule of electricity disconnections there please, since this is not the first day we are working under such conditions, a lot of businesses have switched to night mode of operation, especially those enterprises that are export-oriented , we understand how important it is for people to be on work and taxes were paid, so i know a number of large enterprises that started producing products at night. it is more
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stable for them from the point of view of providing electricity during this period. the period is the most critical it is really for households for private houses for multi-apartment buildings because some - these are electric stoves for cooking well and of course that in this period there and the elevators don't work and so on, during the period when people return home, and later there, it's seven to eight in the evening, it depends on the schedules, do such problems exist for everyday life, or is there street lighting in one center in vinnytsia in the dark? well and we have already started to talk about the new year in kyiv, the discussion about the christmas tree says to put it up. the mayor said that it will probably be put up on sofiyivskyi maidan . instead, the head of the region oleksiy kuleba said that no, no illumination in the region until the best times for the new year, for the next new
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year, we will leave it as in vinnytsia with this. with lighting and with new year's plans, i ask that lighting in the city is almost absent for about 90%, well, if there is walking lighting in the evening, literally on some central streets, it is at night, finally it turns off uh, at first there were certain discussions why there is one in the center on the periphery, people understand that this is due to the fact that lighting is sometimes connected to them and the same transformers where critical infrastructure facilities are located for example, hospitals that carry out surgical interventions around the clock. therefore, they already discussed it a little in social networks, but they understood that if there is a hospital or some other such serious object nearby, night lighting and funny traffic lights can really work there, although it is really a certain discomfort the number of such non-serious accidents has increased a little. nevertheless, there is an
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increase in traffic accidents in the evening when the traffic lights are turned off . vinnytsia is being discussed, there is no decision yet by the vinnytsia city council. and now this discussion has moved to social networks, a lot of vinnytsia residents are talking about not installing additional illuminations there, not installing a christmas tree, but that will be a little later, where it has been decided. andriy yuda, if possible, i would like to ask you one more question to ask about the event on july 14, when the big first rocket landed in vinnytsia and then 27 people died and 202 were injured, eight people disappeared, what about the consequences of this strike, what about these wounded now people and we went missing, with the investigation , has it been completed, or do you possibly know any details, i am asking many families who are being
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treated abroad, about 20 people, because there were really very big burns, serious burns where more or a large part of the people's bodies were damaged, then poland responded on the fact that such families accepted beauty for treatment in poland and some of them are still there undergoing rehabilitation after such serious burns, and the rest have already returned to, well, let's say so, to ordinary life, although morally and psychologically this the family is very, very difficult, sometimes you communicate with such families, uh, they still have such psychological problems, they react very sharply to every siren, they generally have such an anxious state , they keep it inside in their souls, the building is still being examined, because so far, no one is talking about the restoration of the building can't say no, there are two buildings that were seriously damaged, the office building, the other one is actually the ministry of defense. what is the ministry of defense now? the commission will probably
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make a decision about its dismantling from the foundation to the foundation. because it had wooden floors, but the commission is still working there, and the other building is concrete and glass , uh , the first floor was more damaged there. inclusion and for your work in vinnytsia region andriy geshko, a deputy of the vinnytsia regional council, was a guest of our studio, of course, online, and then we move on to a conversation with oleg ustenko, adviser to the president of ukraine on economic issues, olezhe we congratulate you glory to ukraine glory to the heroes congratulations the enemy has damaged or destroyed about 40% of the ukrainian power system of our capacity er let's say transport - transport it to the end consumer to er the civilian population and to industry in the same way we will no longer be able to
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afford the export of certain electricity at the same time, we are aware that power outages and attacks on civil infrastructure by the russian federation may continue and this will affect the whole and business activities, including in to our country in washington, minister of economy yuliya svirydenko stated that russian attacks and violent power outages could lead to an even greater reduction in ukraine's gdp than the projected 35% in 2022. well, let's make predictions right now, it's probably not a very good thing because everything is changing very quickly in vinnytsia today again flew over the energy facility, nevertheless, p olezhe, what are the ways to at least somehow lay a straw for oneself in this situation about how one can protect one's gross domestic product, which indeed, this year it drops to an incredible 35%
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, never in our recent economic history . we have not seen such data and everyone understands why there is such an economic decline, such an economic decline occurs because there is an enemy on our territory or the enemy is shooting at our territories where it is not there, and when we get to vinnytsia, for example, today, if we are talking about energy infrastructure, then it is clear what gross domestic product is, conditionally, how much do you and i produce in a year, all together in the previous year before war we have produced the maximum in our newest economic 200 billion dollars this year we are falling by 35% respectively will be on that figure and less produce our gross domestic product or can it be deeper the fall can be deeper than 35% no matter what it can be deeper, if the enemy continues to destroy
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not only our electrical infrastructure, but also our enterprises, which did this before, or hit our e-e infrastructure along our logistics corridors, can it affect can be influenced by anything and the factor of unknowns, which is now the factor of military unknowns, namely the behavior of our enemy who is insidious and who can do anything else critical for us, this is an additional drop at the end of the year or a lot this will change the indicator of the drop in 35% it can change, it can change there, let's say by plus two or three percentage points, will it completely change the picture no, it will not change, is it possible to protect yourself from such a development of the situation, you can save yourself and it all depends then not only and as much as it depends on all of us as it depends on our army and our armed forces and it depends
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on how quickly we will receive how quickly we will receive e-e defense systems e-e air defense defense systems that our country will receive the more of us the less such a plan will be possible for the enemy to destroy our entire critical infrastructure, including the electrical infrastructure , for the next year, why did they set a forecast of 4% growth in our state budget, because part of the territory is already occupied. it is predicted and other parts of the territory will be additionally de- occupied, part of our e-e enterprises were moved to those territories that are under constant enemy fire in front of the e-e country, which are more protected and less under
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enemy fire in, say, western ukraine, the relocations were quite active all this makes it possible to believe that the economy will grow by 4%, but when you look at the forecast originally issued by the ministry of economy and ukraine, you will see that there are discrepancies even in the previous the forecast that should have been used by e to draw up our state budget had a difference of 05%, i.e. a drop of 05%. to the growth of 15,500 in the budget and used 4 3 4 qualitatively at the beginning there was a discussion, then 4% set the growth for next year such er-e seem to be conservative very pessimistically conservative embedded in the
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state budget why it was done it was done because there are factors indeterminate joint as soon as possible from us will end as soon as we get our victory and from there it will be possible to say that there will be a complete change in all macroeconomic indicators, including in relation to economic growth, only today the mission of the international monetary fund began work in ukraine in the online mode, the press service of the fund, the mission of the imf , informed about this led by david gray began a discussion with representatives of ukraine in the context of continuing the discussion of the request regarding the monitors of the new program and the involvement of the board and executive directors of the imf will operate on the results of the meeting that was held last month in vienna, austria, work in the city will take place online, stepan, the representative of the imf in
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ukraine , said in the gram. dollars in the near future from the imf well, now it is true that kyrylo shevchenko himself is wanted, he is suspected of credit-stealing state money even when he was not the head of the national bank at all well, are we counting on these 20 € in billions, as much as possible, in what time frame, and how does the imf treat this criminal history with the search for the head of the national bank, who is now being sought, i do not know where he is, please, as for the program of cooperation with the international monetary fund, we were in constant consultations, technical consultations with the international monetary fund fund starting there from the first day of the war, on february 24, there were constant consultations periodically, there were meetings, do you remember that washington went to the minister of finance and, by the way the head of the national bank for the last meeting, which
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was in the autumn - this is a meeting of the so-called meeting of the international monetary fund, yes, a few minutes. i am still asking for the program. there is a request for the program. i will not comment on the amount of this program. there were additional meetings in vienna . about a large program of support for ukraine, a program like this, they call it the extender tank silica , programs of extended financing, this is what we are talking about, there was a phone call. do you remember a few months later, the president of ukraine, which was stalin's georgy of the executive director of the international monetary fund , the understanding was quite successful, then there was a meeting in washington between the new head of the national bank and
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the minister of finance, and now these meetings continue. we hope that the program will be open , is it critical for us yes, it is critical for us, remember do you know that we have such a state budget for next year of 38 billion when it needs to be financed and the agreement is already a confirmation of the agreement from the european union we ourselves expect support from the united states of america on the part of our other allies. to his adventure in the national bank of ukraine. as i understand it, thank you. that's right, mr. oleg kostenko, the adviser to the president of ukraine on economic issues was in direct contact with us in this studio, honestly, you are on the espresso tv channel, iryna kovalik now will present circles
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