projectiles, and by the way, not only in these rockets that are now being sent to ukrainian cities, that is, in the control of a skander type missile, there are also calibers, but also the most ordinary shells, the most ordinary artillery is also worn out, that is, uh, very serious problems, here are weapons, uh, and me they say that winter is coming, that the russian military is completely unprepared, that is, there is no uniform, there is no idea how to continue this kind of fighting at sub-zero temperatures, so that at will, it seems to me a lot. it is concentrated on this, on the nearest tasks, they are on some kind of global strategy, here we are avoiding weapons, er, yesterday , i wrote an article that russia has enough missiles, as it seems to be preparing a reserve for a war with nato, american journalists say and in addition, according to the information of the sources i mentioned in the american newspaper, stockpiles of microcircuits

and other parts necessary for the production of rockets were made in russia, so are the rockets finished in russia or not? the sources of this publication do not coincide with what the independent russian expert with whom we spoke and the experts about the ukrainian and western experts with whom we spoke, that is, there is a certain consensus about the lack of rockets ground-based rockets, i practically have, i will introduce guided cruise missiles, well, ground-based rockets are almost completely absorbed, water-based is also very little, that is, there is a certain stock of air -based rockets, plus gta, probably someone has left tritsii from the general supply a-a plus a-a there is uh-uh what kind of things can such expensive complex

missiles that are there? it's very expensive and it's simply impossible to wear them every month. so, in fact , they are definitely creating a shortage of resources. well, they have a reality. it is possible to create new rockets . they give everything. they are not they won't be able to continue if iran doesn't start helping them, and this is definitely such a dangerous moment, we know that, well, that's how we 've already seen it. this will be a very serious problem , since it is impossible to shoot down such missiles against missile defense, and i am not sure that there is a desire of iran to participate in the fact that the negotiations are still proceeding with activity, we are sure we know that veran traveled personally, and experts say

that he most likely agreed on these missiles. and iran has its own problems, by the way , there are very serious internal problems there, and there is plenty of internal space from the country, and additional sanctions are completely unnecessary now. in order to agree there, for example, on the displacement of sanctions of some kind there, even indulgences, but it is clear that uh, collective leadership is played in iran, that is, there is no one crazy person like vladimir putin who can simply take everything and put everything on the map in this sense, we are no longer suggesting rationality and a capable agreement, plus i think that much more will depend in america on who will be the

next president, it is not yet clear, but the horizon planned here is two years, so i i think now it's already being looked at well, besides, it will remain about it at all now or not, this can also affect us a lot, but i would bet right now that there will be no deal and that at the moment it does not seem that iraq is ready to sign up for russia. in this situation, where well, there is clearly no prospect of victory in this war. why the losers of the former country is not clear. how do you assess the influence of the so-called partial mobilization on russian society? well, the main wave is over, but we see that it will be cut off. it can be continued on a smaller scale, and the main thing is that almost all educated or educated countries have left, this applies to all academic entrepreneurs, including all those who, in principle, could find a job in the west in some way they left the country. this means not only in the long term

that the country is left with a generation of some kind of creativity, but even in such a practical 7-minute plan, there are problems for the country because in idlyeconomy for the whole for all sectors this flow of people is very negative. well, plus, of course, we see that the legitimacy of the authorities has also had a great impact . until the economy ends , it will not move, but it is clear that there is no movement about this war, except for the kotgorsk crazy people, and no one wants its continuation, and this is such a non-dissolving factor. every month, we will see each other today. and tell me please, we see almost every

day a new video on which, uh, russian mobilized people, and how on the territory of the russian federation, and on the territory of ukraine , they complain, they complain, they complain about the officers, they complain about the conditions in which they have to live , and they complain about the weapons and so on and so on, we also have a video in which the relatives of these, er, the most mobilized in russia, turn to putin, then the governor, then someone else, that is, it is obvious that everything is organized well they say it's not ideal, but in your opinion, what is the potential of this discontent? can it turn into some sort of riot and so on, or is it not worth waiting for? well, we've already seen local riots, only one of them was armed when there were ten people died, were wounded, and at one of the training grounds, well, they mostly end simply by disbanding some separate units of conscripts, but it is necessary to understand that we only see mourning for uniforms and supplies there

, simply because, according to the law, it how can you complain? and it is impossible to speak out against the war itself for this main article, and in general , after the serious ones, so it would be a pity that they would somehow be channeled in the other direction, that is, people do not speak out against the war, but against the fact that the authorities themselves violate their own laws. and while you are walking, everything is along this path, but especially in the winter, it seems to me that there is a very high risk that because it will be on the road, it will be significantly greater. that is , i think that it is an order of magnitude greater because people simply hope for frostbite and so on. -and i think that this will be a rather explosive situation, and it is already affecting it. in fact, we see a large increase in the fact that people who were crushed into captivity are mostly just mobilized. ideas roman mobilized on the territory of the

luhansk region, not temporarily occupied, and a large number of kadyrovs are still observed there, as well as ramzan kadyrov, the head of chechnya, he strengthens his influence there and appoints those he needs people in a-a определённые довольсты a-a why is this all done why did kodyrova get so interested in eh donbas well kadyrov actually participated in the ukrainian war now in the 14th year a-a his fighters then also participated very actively and well for him, this is a way to show himself in front of the kremlin and show that he is very useful, and this is his main resource, that is, that he has some of his own security forces that are very loyal. and this is why they made him the head of chechnya well, plus to everything in general, not only in the context of wars in ukraine well, in general, at the end of all power

in russia, it is very important to show that he is the leader of an entire army, that he served the state, and that somehow, therefore, it is impossible to touch a strongman, he is such an inviolable figure, and he behaves exactly the same beautify yourself with your fighters, well, they are really useful on the front line, and wagner’s account is very dreamy, and in uh, and even more so in kadyrovtsev, their real ability to be sochi is compatible, because it is one thing to fight somewhere in syria against fighters and gills that, well, such basically, it's like that pirates are kind of bad, and they know how to handle weapons, and the second thing is an organized army with artillery, aviation, and everything else. here you need a second level of training organization, and nikodirovtsy are not prigozhins, and even more so all the prisoners they are now catching in prison, by the way. not only prigozhins, but and kadyrov, too, there are many examples when, or in chechnya, he arrests a

person for drunk driving and sends him to the front, in the same way, people who are definitely not able to fight , unmotivated, are immediately taken prisoner, so something больше такой пиар чем просмотреть боевые дадесь roman thank you roman dobrokhotov founder and editor-in-chief of the online publication the insider was with us on a direct video call, then we talk about the economy, food has become more expensive by a third in a year, and many people can no longer afford to eat normally 34% of women are 26% of men now say that they have serious financial difficulties, this is stated in one of the social surveys, why everything has become so expensive and what can be done to make food cheaper anastasia olinska will tell + 1000 hryvnias a month, natalina's family now spends on food, and this is what the woman also says, now they choose only those supermarkets that have always had lower prices separately , natalya says, they also looked at your diet down, already

noticed well, no, we don't eat fish as often as once a week, now maybe now fish twice, maybe even once a month, and maybe even once a month and a half, and elena's family is saving fish now, and elena's family is too closely monitoring what they put in the basket, the prices are usually high. now we all filter out a little, so we buy only what is available at the moment the most necessary things there once we could afford a little more food prices for the year increased by a third, according to the state statistics service, the highest value was added by fish +44% and fruits plus 63, vegetables plus 79 close the list of the top price increases expected eggs plus 8 1.5%, the increase in prices is connected, first of all, with logistics, which was destroyed by the war, and the enterprise itself is much more expensive; now they have

higher prices for light and gas, fuel and fertilizers. production was disrupted in the regions. this is the first factor. the second factor is to find hryvnias. accordingly , prices in hryvnias rose, and ukrainians, on the other hand, began to earn less because of that. experts say that these do not seem even bigger. if your population incomes have fallen significantly, then for this category of people whose incomes are low they only have enough for food, their e.e. inflation is based primarily on what they consume, what they are forced to spend their money on, and what the state is trying to sell to buyers it does not dictate what to sell to stores, instead it requires that some foods be sold almost at purchase prices. and they only took 10% from the top of the

regulated list of seven products wheat flour loaves wheat bread sunflower oil poultry chicken carcass and a quarter of eggs of category c1 and milk in two and a half percent of fat and necessarily in the film, these products are related to what is there. there are fats, there are carbohydrates, there are proteins, and the poorest person who came can buy these products and ensure their livelihood, however with this ban, where there are fines and sanctions, shops have to transfer to the state budget an indirect donation to the army from you and me and supermarkets, and it is impossible to regulate the prices of everything. if these chains are introduced for all products, we will simply apply, we will kill business for the same jamon that costs more 1000 hryvnias per kg and a person who consumes this jamon and buys it for 12

hryvnias, buys it for 1.4 hryvnias, nothing will happen, but for a poor person, two hryvnias is money, an alternative is ready-made cards that the state can issue directly to those who have a small income, however experts say that the prices for all customers in supermarkets will definitely not decrease and it is unlikely that they will ever creep down at all. we just have to wait for a victory and the experts are sure that it will push the economy to develop and our salaries will rise, then the prices in stores will not be so scary. if our victory is in the first half of the 23rd year, then already the second half of the 23rd year, the 24th year will be the growth of the economy and, accordingly, the income of the population. the income of the population in the dollar equivalent has fallen, so already in the 20th year, our income in dollars

has become the highest in the history of ukraine, the main thing we have to suffer at the moment is victories for our country, we just need to understand why we save the joy of donations for that to mean for ukraine that's what glory to ukraine anastasia olinsky yevgenia olinsky we ukraine marathon the only news i have is the economy does not rule out revising the macro forecast due to strikes on energy facilities, the first vice-prime minister of the economy of ukraine yulia said this svyridenko, according to her, as a result of shelling from russia, the ukrainian economy has already fallen by 30% , so at the moment there is an acute issue after the war reconstruction, not only at the expense of international partners and donors, but also for the payment of reparations from the aggressor country. after the war, we have to count on the fact that we we can use funds from frozen russian assets, and we must involve our international partners in reconstruction. but the most important task for all of us, we

understand this, is to stabilize the economy itself understand that we have international partners e-e we are very grateful for the help this year and next year we expect less than 38 billion of the state budget deficit to be covered at the expense of e-e macro e-e aid at the expense of the e-e imf program which we expect and but the most important thing for us is the task for ours it really is to stabilize the economy of the country internally the economy of ukraine so how difficult is the situation here now and are there any grounds for optimism at all, at least a small one ? i thought there were grounds for optimism and the quotes yuliy anatoliivna that you cited are actually optimistic because, er,

the main er, is our pro-forecast the main one, what was the main fall, the main thing is that 30% of the lion's share of it happened in the spring, the first months of the war, and it is necessary, perhaps, the need to review it in connection with the shelling. -is the economy has stabilized, and now the negative trends can be connected only and exclusively with the massive shelling that is taking place and the destruction of our electrical network, and in other parameters we see that ukrainian business retains optimism and faith in the future, the quality of consumers from the video that was shown about prices and, accordingly, we have a lot of energy

related to the fact that there is a lot of energy in business regarding the reconstruction, we see the interest of ukrainian companies and western companies, we see that the ukrainian market is more interesting details, the main thing is to win in war and we see that the desire to destroy the economy failed in russia, it is obvious that thanks to the enthusiasm and energy of business, all economic, banking , electrical, and communication systems are working in our country, and that is why, in spite of all the terrible numbers, we have a drop of 30% or more gdp, we actually have a lot of such business optimism, which allows me to look quickly, and indeed, in those forecasts that were prepared for the next year, even in the conditions of the introduction of the war,

we already had such a modest growth and recovery then we will see what will happen because it is obvious that the news on the front on the attacks by russia continue and their targeting of critical infrastructure is definitely a blow to the economy and also to mr. duck . now we have a forecast of plus or minus 30%, and how much it can be adjusted well, i think that in fact no one there is talking about your end of the year, in fact, and that is, we are in the middle of november. therefore, it is obvious that here the forecasts are already no no no no play a big game role, but it is obvious that in the worst cases it can be even in the very case of a complete blackout there, an additional

five or six percentage points are possible, mr. taras, did they calculate exactly how? and power outages affect the economy because many enterprises they moved, some started working at night, some bought generators, many bought generators and are trying to work, what exactly is the damage to the economy in terms of percentages in money? the task is how much to model how much to allow all of us to work as much as possible. in the current conditions and uh, it was important for us to simplify access to generators to general equipment that allows autonomous operation, you know that we exempted from payment of duties uh, import and own generators as for legal entities

and for individual use, as well as in components for the production of generators, because there are factories in ukraine that make these products, so for us now the number one priority - this is to ensure the maximum energy efficiency, the maximum opportunity to work in the current conditions, to plan the activities of large enterprises in such a way that they work efficiently, this is the most important thing for us. that is, we understand that in this case, we need a direct macro forecast, rather, it is needed for budgetary, some things for our daily work, and and as a reaction to these shellings for the economy, the main thing for us is to ensure that all enterprises can work as fully as possible and further and i think that we need this in a certain way the measure succeeds thanks to the heroic work of ukrenergo and

thanks to the fact that the market is saturated with products for autonomous autonomous operation, you can see for yourself that e enterprises, especially small ones, continue to work with generators or batteries of large capacity that allow them to support work in large offices. if we talk about the restoration of which you have already partially mentioned the restoration of the ukrainian economy, under what conditions are foreign investors ready to invest in ukraine today , this situation is far from ordinary. that we are glad that foreign investors are interested in working in ukraine and it's not just that the political brigade is there, it's really a great interest in ukraine because our experience is against the fact that nine months

of war and we have a working economy. the focus of enterprises on quick recovery after the end of the war is also an attractive factor for foreign investors , at the same time the very fact of the introduction of the war actually makes investments impossible now because military risks, they cross out any calculations, and that is why now for us the number one priority for the ministry, for the government, for the president is to provide war risk insurance in such a way that the investor of ukraine can be sure that if his enterprise is destroyed due to the war, it can be insured by such and such an insurance instrument war risks worked worked for

quite a long time was popular there until the mid-90s after that time there was a relatively peaceful time globally and therefore such tools are not very was actively used, but now we, in cooperation with our e-e partners and with institutions from our partner states, are resuming the use of such a tool as war risk insurance , a pilot project is currently being implemented with an organization called mia, a multilateral, non- autolateral investment guarantee agency that works in the mode in the world bank system. we are also conducting such a dialogue with an american organization that deals with the actual insurance of risks of investments abroad in including the military can also do with ukeexport finance with other similar institutions that work in

each state, members of the european union in the countries of jessiven and nexia in japan. therefore, it is obvious that having introduced such and such insurance of military risks, we are in the possible implementation of those investment projects in practice, we say no while waiting for the end of the war, the minister said that they will try to launch at least several investment projects by the end of the year with coverage of military risks. what exactly are these investment projects? can you explain in more detail, i actually, due to the fact that we are very careful about these projects, it is very important to us that the question is not even what these projects are, the question is that they are implemented because such a truly international financial environment is already used to working with war risk insurance as he said that this

tool was popular until the mid-90s and such work, for example, was carried out there in 2014, but it was not successful due to the fact that many of our partners perceived it as a request will introduce new tools that are unknown to the financial market, but this time we are taking a much more pragmatic approach and we are using the existing tools, we will just say that we are blowing off the dust in order to clean and apply them in new realities . the projects have been implemented, so i will be happy to announce when they will actually be signed, i think there will be a lot of news about this and indeed i

confirm that what yuri antonov says that now we are piloting several projects, and daily negotiations are practical regarding the evaluation of these projects, the determination of the cost of net insurance for us. it is important that this happens in practice, because it will give a sign, even one project, it will let the entire investment community know that there is no need to be afraid war risks, in case of which they can be insured, mr. duck, well, this is in the future, i hope everything will work out, and i am here to deny you that this is not the future, this is really plans for the next 1.5-2-3 months. that is, it is real. for us, it is simple it is important to emphasize that this is not done in order to make investments there within the next year or at the end of next year, but in order to make them possible here and now, so that economic life in the country does not stop even in the

guide. i am talking about an urgent problem, that is i mean that it will be in me- in some foreseeable future, near or far, there is an urgent problem called poverty, but we literally communicated before we showed the plot before communicating with you, but how much the prices have increased, but here and without a plot, i thought and we and i and you and and victoria we all know very well and every ukrainian who is watching us now what is happening to prices and what is happening to the incomes of citizens, the world bank predicted back in april that the share of ukrainians who live on less than p one and a half dollars per day will increase to 19.8% in 2022. a fifth of the population compared to 1.8% in 2021, of course, the war, there are objective factors that do not allow us to help everyone quickly, but nevertheless , at least there is a vision of what to do with this poverty, which brought a war to our home, our country. well, first of all, the indicator of $5.5 a day is not

an indicator of poverty in such a double suffocating poverty as people who work they actually need some kind of super social support there, but this is a separate discussion because we really began to save because prices are rising and they are obviously rising due to all possible facts, primarily due to the war, and i think that you and i also understand that on at the beginning of the war there in march, she made predictions about the rise in prices acquired much blacker and worse than we have the reality, plus it is necessary to add to this the

global other or food here. worked but nevertheless, speaking of what is being done, the first and main goal for the government was and remains, unfortunately, to ensure the normal supply of products to all possible regions. now we can see it on an example kherson, where kherson is occupied, and we must restore the normal normal supply of all products as soon as possible, and we are working with networks so that they resume their work as soon as possible and have a full range of products, and i think that thanks to ukrainian business and assistance from the government, we were able to -e to ensure that in the skin