tv [untitled] November 20, 2022 4:00pm-4:31pm EET
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er, the purpose is yes or some kind of missiles, but judging by his behavior there between before north korea and other authoritarian regimes, this may well be the case. but nevertheless, i have one important fact : china, everyone, publicly and officially through their companies, and these companies, one way or another, their actions are approved by the chinese authorities, so they do not support this, and they understand very well that their foreign trade is an event. well, if i am not mistaken, up to 30% of their foreign trade is taken up by sanctions that can hit the americans really want all the sanctions to hit the chinese, we will have a great moment, this beehive is a threat to china itself, so i wouldn’t say that it was some kind of diversion from russia, but on the other hand, some kind of charm there or playing along is too great which would directly harm the interests of china, it’s their pity the economy, which is not the best at the moment, is experiencing ah, how about this repeatedly, we
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see all the answers of the analysts and the statistics. we also see from this that the chinese will not fall for it. thank you, mr. dmytro dmytro sharingovskyi, an expert on international issues of the projector of the ukrainian catholic university, was in touch with us now, will you give me 5 minutes to rest and then we will come back, let's talk about me here, they tell me that i opened the gate for five, they say no more than two well, two, yes, two what to do i'm here as an involuntary man after a pause of 2 minutes. anyway, we'll talk about abroad. let's see how people who suffer from rheumatism and arthritis live. they heard that the weather is changing, right? now let the dolgit cream relieve pain, reduce swelling and
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minutes drama how hard it is now to watch leo messi the world cup is still out of reach for the argentine new generation filia nom national hero of france watch the special project football format world cup on espresso tv channel from monday to saturday at 2 p.m. :40 and again on sunday at 11:10 good health, the world cup really starts today. well, somehow everyone started calling it the world cup. i still remember the world cup pele can you imagine there was a world cup in mexico i still remember well i was like that not not tall small and we return to our program now we will talk with er dear games the very hair the director of the center for middle eastern studies not only about relatives east, but maybe not very close, let's
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talk about good health, mr. igor, glad to see you and thank you for joining us on this sunday day off, it's great, well, let's start with middle eastern studies anyway, since research we will be in the middle east, then we can move on to the far east if there is such an opportunity, and the first question is how much can we hope for a neutral status in the near-eastern states regarding the russian-ukrainian war, considering the long question of how much russia is like a post-ussr. and the ussr has always had specific relations, or rather very friendly relations with various
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countries close to the east. maybe against the background of anti-israeli rhetoric and actions, i don’t know. tet, it is possible to imagine about ukraine, at least i say neutrality, for some reason i think that it is almost impossible to imagine a commitment, please, please speak to me well, i do not agree with the fact that it is only neutrality that can be expected from e middle eastern countries and if you pay attention to the voting in the general assembly on the key issues of territorial integrity , we can see that the lion's share of the arab countries, primarily the key countries of the persian gulf, vote for and support ukraine. yes, if we are talking about human rights, that is, the formulation of which democracy, then here we will rather see that these countries
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abstained from voting, if we monitored the last vote on uh, about russia paying us reparations for the war, then uh, there are also mainly those countries who voted and abstained from voting, but uh, the very fact of that that, well, there is a discussion around this, and ukrainians have recently been quite actively negotiating with the countries of the middle east. we have seen ukrainian delegations in these countries. well, in the end, there are real results in the same saudi arabia, which allocates us a lot of money for support, humanitarian aid, all this in general gives me reason to talk about positive
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neutrality, of course there are several countries that are clearly under the control of the russian federation, and syria itself, which in principle is a fell state, that is, this country does not exist. it is occupied by russia and iran, but if it is not, don't take into account, if you don't take into account algeria, which has very close relations now with russia and there is a confrontation with morocco, accordingly , this complex of problems affects them voting, in general, it can be said that the vast majority of the countries of the military east occupy a positive neutrality, and this and we can talk about that, too. ukraine's large
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military-industrial complex ukraine has a large amount of food products that north africa of the near east lacks. that is, it is like a mini-russia in the economic sense, but now we need them politically and diplomatically it would make sense if we became russia and ukraine, which will simply overcome the consequences of the soviet union, which were overcome at the time in 1991 by the russian federation. the question is a great question. a mistake on the ukrainian side, because yes , it turns out that ukraine and russia are competitors and they compete for positions in the soviet space for influence , and it has already turned out that way, and it turns out that we mirror these competitive relations on
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other parts of the world where they competed, however, neither russia nor ukraine is the former soviet union. and if in this context, it is clear that we do not extract, well, that is, we cannot provide the complex of services of money and er attention that can provide, well, as of now, russia yes or did provide recently, therefore, it seems to me that it is a wrong way to try to replace russia there, russia just needs to be squeezed out of there, well, it just has to lose and go from there, it happened already in 1991 and never come back, but this space will be filled with something. i think there are quite a few countries that compete for the middle eastern market and markets and ukraine is not the first and not the last here, it's just that we need to clearly understand that we have our own destiny of this market, we have our own
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interest and work hard precisely on this, these countries with this destiny there will be enough for everyone and the political influence of e- and economic influence, the only thing is that, well, for sure, we should not impose any rules of the game on someone there, scare someone or behave the way russia behaves, that is, practically proposing the formation of which political alliances we, well, this is not, our history is not, not, not our way in is positive examples of how other eastern european countries work, which have more , even much more resources than ukraine, how they work hard and carefully, taking into account the sensitive sensitive points of these or other countries, and all this gives a good positive result when, step by
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step, these countries are increasing their presence and their weight without annoying and without creating a feeling of competition with others. yes, i think that our path is in this direction, although of course the positions we have and which we had and historically had, well, it is obvious we must try to support here i am here here historically we have probably more than we can swallow mr. igor, and then the question arises simply as it was once said, now it will be as if by babushka i am quoting alexander the first russian tsar, that is, in the near east as simply as i want to understand who who who will enter there who will enter who will become there uh if the player is again in the united
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states it is france again and britain again, that is, these three players are definitely the european union as a whole, but if russia leaves, there is a void here it will be filled with who well, 10-15% of it will be ukraine, and the rest - these are simply old colonial or non-colonial countries that will return to themselves on some other , more democratic terms, and that will be the end of it, not a fact, yes, of course, such an option exists to return, relatively speaking eh, from eh country, eh, here are the former conditional speakers who had colonies or mandated territories there, it’s clear that the united states of america, which occupies such a difficult position between eh, let’s say the withdrawal of the military east and the need to support its allies, but i would suggested not to forget other countries too, namely india,
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the same china, saudi arabia, iran, israel , turkey, all of them are actively playing in this region , and each of these countries, competing with each other, claims quite high dividends from cooperation with the close sco and africa here and here, too, we should not forget that africa now plays an important role in this competition and maybe the next 10-15 years there will be mainly a struggle for africa and here i can say that ukrainians at least saw africa in it and that's it recently, the visit of kuleba to africa and the ukrainian delegation, work with african countries, positive votes of african countries at the
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assembly, well, they show that we at least do not graze our hindquarters and try authors to work in this market, igor, the last question it is very important, in my opinion, that we did not go anywhere with such people from the middle east, such people concentrated the stadium. i am pleased with iran, what is the fate, what is the situation in iran, because we see that there are quite violent events that do not stop there, and the guardian of islam is already under attack revolutions and this is by allah, and so on and so on, as long as there is a possibility of some changes, but there is such a good expression, it seems like i already forgot isla, an iranian analyst, and when he described the situation in iran, he says that the revolution and paradise is happening at an iranian pace that is, there is, i know, we can assess and know what the
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ukrainian revolution is like, how it happens, how it happens, the flow of non- violent actions, violent actions, the maidan and everything else , something similar is happening in iran, there are cycles, cycles have the 40-day period, that is, it is from the day of remembrance for the deceased, when on this day it is necessary to publicly show respect for the deceased person, and these forty-day periods will lead to a new mobilization of protesters, that is, will more people join the protests, that is, mobilization this is a huge resource of revolutionaries there. that is, it is already a revolution and it is obvious that it can lose, but the fact is that it is already a revolution, it is already obvious that the second point is that there is a combination
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violent and non-violent methods, that is, the vast majority of protests remain non-violent. that is, it is a demonstration of their disagreement with the government, and in parallel, there is an escalation of violence, and this is how we saw when the headquarters of guard basij buildings and other repressive e-e institutions and in general we are witnessing an escalation. that is , we can say that the scenario of the current iranian revolution is similar to the scenario that took place in 1978-1979, which means that the chances of the victory of the revolution are increasing. a lot will depend on the sanctions that will be
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imposed on iran due to its economic failure. and it is too early to ensure at least some kind of normal life for the majority of its population. and that, in turn, in the event of failure, will lead to the involvement of other layers of the population in protests, such as workers' bazaars and the like, that is in general, the situation is moving in a worse direction for the regime and the chances are increasing for the victory of the revolution . i would say from 10 to 15-20%. so far, these are small chances, but as the processes will progress it will be possible to increase the chances of the victory of the revolution, sir, they are talking about one more question, but again about iran, because everyone is interested in ukraine, because we definitely know who supplies russia with weapons and where the missiles that fly from kyiv to lviv and kharkiv and odesa and so on and so forth similar to and if the revolution
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wins, who will appear in front of nameiran? he will still be as shia-islamic, or will he be at least more liberal than shia, more liberal than islamic? about the last shah of pikhl, which i already understood a couple of times. yes, he explained to me that he forcibly followed the western path. and people wanted islamization, but now they say that they did n't want such islamization, they didn't want. and they wanted some kind of secular-muslim alliance, and it turned out to be muslim, shiite, muslim, and
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some kind of triple, which can be seen after the victory of the people. i think that the main motive of the year 89, despite all the shiite character and role the leader was moved by hamina, haha, to me, it was still justice, that is, which islamists sold the population, and actually proposed as the result of the revolution today, exactly. this principle of justice is completely undermined, and that is why the regime suffers from protests regarding the future, well , to say that there will be an islamic regime. no, there will not be an islamic regime there, because the protests are taking place exactly against the opposition regime, and here the question is only in two things, and this is a return to the monarchy, well, the constitutional monarchy, of course.
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the return of the scabbard to the position of the monarch, although quite a lot of people and republicanism are against this, that is, when this entire institution of the supreme leader and his control over resources is destroyed, the repressive system in the form of the guard corps and the basij is destroyed and a secular republic is returned. there are two options for each of these options are being discussed very interestingly i liked our conversation well as always what can i say i can't say here that they were bad and now suddenly good no they were always interesting at least i was i hope the audience will find it interesting, ihor semigolov , the director of the middle eastern studies center, was with us in the program. thank you, mr. ihor, and maybe we will
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talk exotically about the georgian-kazakhstan circumstances, because we are waiting. i don’t know if i will wait or not. they tell me, it means 10 shellings of the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, there is already fresh footage of 10 such shellings, and you are just now seeing the footage, what does this mean? i don't know, we need to ask the experts who would tell us and how dangerous it is, where it fell, what it affects, and so on and so on, but what we have is what we have and and and and and nothing more, we will not be able to inform, we inform you that gelevasad is a georgian political scientist who is currently in kazakhstan, i remind you in kazakhstan today presidential elections are important. i'm switching to
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russian because i see yelevasadze's face, who doesn't understand what i'm saying, so i'll speak in russian . they were not in kazakhstan, they did not go to watch the elections . okay, i will be ukrainian, you can do whatever you want , there are no questions. listen, everyone is interested in the fate of the ukrainian citizen mykhailo saakashvili . to what extent is this a disease and not a political disease oh unfortunately
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unfortunately this is not a political disease at all unfortunately this is a very tragic story, i will tell you honestly that i thought about it for a long time why did mykhailo saakashvili suddenly leave for georgia well, i told you i will say so, if after now it’s on the forum of ukraine, er, devoted to ukraine, and we talked at them, they were gathering until the 20th year, and we became respected. special operations of the russian special services, who got sick because, well, prepare yourself for one second, such a situation is coming two february 24 in ukraine, where he is at the front after that, already at his front, he would not have licked it off
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i would remove myself from washington, from all european capitals , and i would just say a simple thing, i warned you. explained, but no. i have never had such opportunities. i repeat again. this is my version of the number that works enough. what do we want? i want to advertise people . congresses against ukraine and the following is happening: he really has a very strong gift of health, a very strong gift of health is in the hospital, but the doctors told his son that he has
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a lot of diseases, a whole bunch of diseases came out, uh, doctors can’t deal with them, and in the conditions of the prison, even in hospital well, in fact, i will tell you. so, unfortunately, if mykhailo saakashvili is not treated correctly abroad , why is it necessary when they say that they would send him to ukraine? to really go to germany or to the states, that is , where you can get them out, then this story will end very little today. and why is it the georgian government, what does it get out of it? well , he is sitting, or he will be killed, as a result, he will die. well, so what? and that the georgian government will be clapping their hands. what is the georgian government? we must define ourselves now. the georgian government is one and only one person. it is personal to the offended, they are
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just personal. what is personal? and if it wasn't enough for me, saakashvili would have been there a long time ago. a specialized clinic somewhere near berlin or in the states well, well, well, ivanishvili will get his way. it's just some kind of emotion, there's no calculation here, there's no head, here's how else, there's no calculation here, there's no calculation here , and i'll tell you what ivan came here akashvili also perfectly understands that this is the moment when akashvili will let go. this will be a very big dissatisfaction. calling on that person who was very afraid of this support is not even a person sitting in a moscow church or in a bunker. you are taking yourself personally to vladimir putin. that’s what it will be about.
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it is illogical because we all see, we are watching putin become smaller central asian countries already treat him like that yes but no world leaders say well yes we remember you were once strong and now you are nothing and here is the georgian leader well not an unofficial leader and you than willy, everyone who continues to be afraid of putin, who is already less and less afraid, i apologize i apologize i apologize first of all to you and to the whole of asia i mean as for that, it's the same way about us, no one should bury us for the caucasians e- eh reshka she u nas order er, so here it is. as for putin,
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it became less, and the roads became less, but they are still afraid, and it is absolutely obvious that this is visible in the behavior of our subsidies. armenia, azerbaijan, this is visible in the behavior of the central asian countries. i think that georgia has two central countries with which it is necessary to have very close relations, well, it is clear that we have fair relations with our own 4 ukraine, and the second country, which is also ukraine, is also very good. kazakhstan and that's what you understand. what 's the matter? when, um, i'm already upset. when the resolution of the drug is out of favor, it's a bad definition, but i use it in a special way because
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it's necessary to choose sasha so that you don't get called that when countries like armenia and kazakhstan, azerbaijan, or there, well, they’re going to smoke . at this moment, i’m more, but i was very upset when the resolution on the crimea of kazakhstan went away. due to the fact that my youtube channel is designed specifically for those who are interested in this in general, they don't even watch news from the caucasus, i'm trying to explain, but putin's guys don't need to be afraid of putin anymore. there is a side of evil to fight in black and there is then good there is a light side and the dark side it is very difficult to stay with the gray and then it will be impossible no longer you can’t be
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cheese beautiful words thank you very much gela garden zagugyna political scientist we talked about what this is happening so that i don't make mistakes in central asia and the caucasus, because it's all me, i correct mistakes. i apologize for everything. thank you, mr. delo. thank you. glory to ukraine. glory to the heroes. well, i 'm starting to answer various questions . writes writes writes and now we will read more and more often they say that the so -called russian troops who were in the kherson region are transferred to the east, then why should the armed forces of ukraine not liberate the entire kherson region if combat-ready units of the russian federations here i want to switch to russian every day
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