this is propaganda and attempts to somehow solve some political tasks or carry out some special information operations. thank you, mr. chairman , for your work and for participating in the live broadcast of the espresso tv channel oleksandr staru. the head of the zaporizhia military regional administration was working for you now. dear tv viewers, 15:00 at 29:00 it's already half past four , and now we will have vladyslav seleznyov , military expert, colonel of the armed forces of ukraine, mr. vladyslav, congratulations, glory to ukraine, glory to the heroes, nine months of war, the situation has turned out in principle a new phase, so the enemy is trying to capture what he has captured, he continues not, but he has no firmware here, at the same time there are certain signals that they are starting to form something in belarus, well, at least they drove several thousand of the mobilized soldiers there, so, and here the question is whether they will be able to

form a certain i don't know the concentrated firepower and human resources in order to start something. please describe the strategic situation in which we are now. friends, i'm sorry, i can't help it. do you remember how it all started? february 24, ukraine, what are we going to do on february 24, three days, ukraine cannot withstand full-scale russian aggression, nine months behind us, for the 10th month in a row , the russian-ukrainian war continues, full-scale , its component, which concerns the russian army that is currently on the territory the republic of belarus, just a few days ago, a high commission of military officials from moscow arrived there in order to check what the same scumbags were doing during the last six weeks on the territory of the educational centers and

races on the territory of the republic of belarus, most likely the same things were directed at other areas of the front, and most likely it will be the eastern face of the russian-ukrainian front in order to strengthen the defensive positions of the russian occupiers, who still do not lose hope of reaching the administrative border on the donetsk and luhansk regions have already put a bunch of russian people there, but they still can't do anything against you there, ah, regarding the attack from the north on our country, well , just the other day, a representative of the president's office, mr. arestovych said that the russians do not have the same resources and the opportunity to attack ukraine from the north, maybe they dream about it, but it 's one thing to dream or dream, but it's another thing to implement the same plan, so i think that in the near future, the same training centers on the territory of the republic of belarus bot will be used for the training of personnel of the armed forces of the russian federation, and then the

same resources, the russian army will use human resources, training, trained resources, they will be used in other parts of the front, anywhere, but not yet in the belarusian direction. and how quickly could they deploy the relevant contingents, so to speak, because as they say, the situation could change in a couple of days, and the user said this a couple of days ago, and as of today on the 25th , well, the situation could be slightly adjusted. well , in general, how much time does the enemy need in order to transfer some combat-ready units and does the enemy have them at all at the present moment? and let's remember modern history, history of the current russian-ukrainian confrontation, the same time when in march the russian occupying army from the territory of the north of the zhytomyr region, from the kyiv region, from the chernihiv region, from the sumy region, followed with their heels. then, during the month, they brought their own army into order, repaired something there, fixed it, only after that they joined in the

active part of the hostilities, the same thing happened in the kharkiv direction, that is, the remnants of the russian occupiers, who were covering their heels from the kharkiv region, but only after a month managed to do something already in other areas of the front, in particular, in our eastern flank of the russian-ukrainian front, as far as operational transfer and means are concerned, for at least a few weeks, it can be two weeks, three, or even four weeks before the russian army has the appropriate reserves, it is the reserves that have been transferred, for example to the north on the e-e to the northern face of the russian-ukrainian front on the territory of the republic of belarus in order to try to attack our positions, but if the russian occupation army currently has reserves, the question is it is very, very rhetorical, because some people to the ranks of the russian army, again, the assertion that only 242,000 were drafted instead of 300,000 arrestees is all they need, and apart from sufficiently

effective combat training and combat coordination, because sitting in tents is not combat training, you need something in the fields to teach the same officials something, so to talk about the fact that the russian-occupation game has some rather serious combat reserve, which it can direct into battle in order to win in that because no. for now, the russian army is only gaining capacity precisely at the expense of the very chmobikes , which k- the russian generals made a strategic mistake, they heard that from scratch they were to create e-e combat units from those chmobikes. and they should have sent the bulls to combat formations for to influence them, well, they were taught something there , but they decided, you as a military man, please explain. capacity but is it not more correct to determine

combat capability or non-combat capability in accordance with the tasks that these groups can hold? well, if their current grouping there is not enough for example for another campaign on kyiv or the occupation of chernihiv oblast, then if they are essentially tasked with stretching the front and diverting the sweat of the defense forces, then can't they deal with it? isn't this a danger? it's an absolutely valid remark, and that's why, seeing a certain potential threat from the north in the ukrainian the general staff is forced to maintain a fairly large contingent of the ukrainian defense forces, which should be deployed in case of a critical need to repel an invasion from the north, and again, our guys are not idle in the territory of at least four regions of our country, it is said and for volhynia, for rivne, for

zhytomyr oblast, respectively, for kyiv oblast, during this time, starting from february, our guys have implemented a huge set of tasks aimed at strengthening engineering and fortification in the plan of our capabilities, a powerful network of defense structures has been built, which aims to slow down the potential movement of military equipment. it does not matter whether it will be the russian occupying forces or whether the belarusian army will join them. but in any case, the combined approach of mining the territories adjacent to the border is the creation of the corresponding er rears, there are all kinds of engineering facilities aimed at ensuring that on the one hand we have er serious opportunities for defense and on the other hand the enemy does not have the opportunity to move instantly in space, we are obvious that our guys have done a large volume of work, russian intelligence has done, i think to a certain extent it is understood what exactly we have done and it is absolutely adequate and irrational that they evaluate both their own

capabilities and the readiness of the ukrainian army to destroy the enemy, the commodity quantity, vladislav, one more very important question, extremely sensitive in my opinion now, in the mode of active hostilities, in the conditions, it is about specific decisions of the ukrainian political system of the ukrainian leadership regarding the provision of everything necessary for our servicemen in order for them to be do your job cabinet resolution 12.75 on simplifying the procedure for the purchase of military clothing from november 11 due to the fact that there are actually questions about some provisions in this resolution and already the consequence is that it is changing all procedures for the purchase of military equipment, including ammunition, pay attention to this resolution of the cabinet of ministers , yuriy butusov, actually, he notes that the idea is good, but perhaps not so perfectly written in the resolution itself, and unfortunately, this may lead

to the fact that we will not be able to hand over to our to the military, those tools so that they can destroy the enemy, while this must be given quickly and regularly on a permanent basis , what do you know about this resolution and there are still things that need improvement, our state no, we have relevant problems that need to be - certain clarifications and certain transformations, whether they should take place here now is normal. do you understand in the ukrainian ministry of defense that the delay in the supply of weapons, ammunition, other equipment , which is now extremely important for the needs of the ukrainian troops, it's so obvious. i'm constantly looking for messages from the assistant to the minister of defense mr. oleksiy kapetka, he also takes care of these issues and at least regularly informs the ukrainian society at

large about the provision of the ukrainian army with the necessary now it is verbal and often the mouth itself is carefully emphasized because not all our bureaucratic procedures are perfect and there are many problems of misunderstandings and delays. the reality of a new headquarters war, the consequences of which depend on whether the ukrainian nation will exist, whether ukraine as a state will exist or not, all specialists of the ministry of defense are working on this case, because i am convinced that our military officials , as well as ukrainian servicemen, are interested in therefore, in order to win two battles with the russian army, that is why there are problems, this problem is now highlighted by mr. butusov, of course, so that there will be appropriate reactions, i do not think that anyone in their right mind will be all sorts

to delay the delivery of weapons and ammunition, because the future depends on that, uh, our victory. it is obvious to me, colonel, in the end, i would like to ask you about the main characteristics of a possible winter campaign. since both from our side and from the side of the interveners, as far as we understand, certain pauses are not foreseen well, at least in the donetsk direction, they testify to this in this sense, there are two news, as usual, for good, not too good, why, not too good. general moroz, it is obvious that conducting military operations in difficult winter conditions is not an easy task, but there is good news. the fact is that the same general is also fighting against the russian occupation army in the cold, so it is very important to understand which of the two armies that are currently in armed conflict

is better prepared to perform combat tasks in winter conditions. it seems to me that the ukrainian army , including with the help of military and technical assistance from our western partners , prepared for that process as well as possible, unlike of their russian visas. of course, difficult weather conditions, when our lands turn into mud, it is difficult, it is a large number of armored vehicles, including tanks, but it is unlikely that one condition will prevent the ukrainian public from destroying time and time again russian equipment that it is obvious that the war will continue, you and i remember well the events of february, january, february 2015, then it would have happened on the debaltseve bridgehead over difficult weather conditions, nevertheless, the intensity of hostilities, the number of personnel the composition and defense equipment that was involved in those hostilities was simply unbelievable in terms of volume. therefore, it is obvious that this time the ukrainian counter-strike

will continue here, and its pace and, accordingly, the volume directly depends on the military-technical support of our partners. because we need weapons , we need rocket to mlrs himers and their analogues in order to be able to move forward to destroy the enemies and liberate our lands from the russian occupiers thank you, mr. colonel , for always clear, understandable and high-quality analytics vladyslav seleznyov, a military expert, a colonel of the armed forces of ukraine, a former representative of our general staff. yes, we are moving forward. prime minister of kalitva, henrida shimonite, told ukrainform that it is important that russia is not doing well on the battlefield thanks to the heroic actions

of the ukrainian army, that is why they decided to fight with civilians and this fight against the civilian population is moving in the western direction, the risk of such incidents will increase because russia is targeting the energy infrastructure, including on the western borders of ukraine, well, about the energy infrastructure and about the competition in the energy sector, that is, who will recover faster, we with our energy facilities destroyed by the russians, whether they will restore their missile stocks, we will talk about this principle with the director of energy programs of the rumzkov center, volodymyr omelchenko glory to ukraine, volodymyr, glory to the heroes, we are glad to see you, and accordingly, the key question here is who is faster, will we repair quickly and will we receive the appropriate components from our western partners, or will the enemy continue to strike and disable our system? well, you know what i hope i hope that after all, we will be and

this means more effective for me, our enemy and the energy industry make it possible and impossible for it to be the same and it was already planned with the planned speeding up of supplies of the necessary equipment acceleration accelerated pass means the number and efficiency of air defense systems - on the one hand, on the other side of russia , the number of high-precision weapons decreases with each shelling, so we hope that this period of change fell between the waves of missile attacks by rockets on our infrastructure it will be in our favor, but again, i must also take into account those pacts that after 7 powerful waves, yes, our system

is bloodless, because it is bloodless, but it remains stable with each wave of these attacks, we are becoming even stronger from the point of view of the spirit of the ukrainian people and from the point of view of our energy system. well, we understand that in some places the enemy is hitting new objects, sometimes he tries to aim because literally yesterday our energy workers were restored, how long has it been like this regime, we can really provide the country with the most necessary things. they will beat the task set is very simple. the supply of electricity is primarily to the city of kyiv, and therefore it is necessary to give weight to those

high-voltage power lines and those high-voltage substations that distribute power from nuclear plants and thermal plants to the city of kyiv, and it is really, really, really necessary here to quickly cope with repairs and bring in more equipment and provide better financing for our energy workers, you know that, unfortunately, today we have such an existing model of the electric energy market, when the energy company and ukrenergo and distributor of the company. they have a huge shortage of financial resources for the purchase of equipment. well, here we need to change the financial model, more help from our partners and financially and materially, you know, there are so many risks, they are so diverse

that it is necessary to build here, but no expert can tell you and will not clearly determine what will happen to the energy system after another wave of attacks , here you probably need to connect special programs with software that calculate the risks of investing in these programs hundreds of thousands of different elements and only lay out different scenarios, only in this case you can have something more or less normal, because no expert is able to take into account these thousands and thousands of elements of risks that currently exist for ukraine, but in any case, i believe that no matter what we put

on our energy system. scenarios, well, at least we are talking about wet dreams of russian interventionists who deliberately hit certain energy nodes. so, a blackout in eastern ukraine, a blackout that would happen in general would cover our entire state and so on. well, the key question here is if a black out happens, that is, outline it, please be kind this is the scenario and prospects for exit speed. how quickly can you recover in the event of a complete blackout? well, it depends on the level of damage to the elements of the energy system, eh , because we see that in the seventh wave of eh attacks missile attacks. practically all elements of the distribution of

electric energy from nuclear power plants from thermal power plants to hydroelectric power plants were damaged because of this, and the repair work was much longer than before. what's up with the director? it seems to me that the last missile attack by mm differed from many other previous ones in that , according to the testimony of the ministry of energy, the attack on russia led to the temporary destabilization of all nuclear power plants of most thermal and hydroelectric power plants, and as far as antin and i have talked with experts on this issue in recent days , well, in fact, at least until today, the electricity that was still available to consumers is not the electricity that was generated by nuclear

power plants, and this is actually a big question for you opinion, how much time will it really take, purely technologically, in order for it to be normal, well , let's say, to ignite and start our nuclear power plants, most of which have been put into emergency shutdown mode, as we understand it. well, yes really well, imagine for a second what a nuclear unit - a candidate unit - is 1 gb of power, and this is approximately as much as the entire city of kyiv consumes, yes, that is, we only have 15 such units in ukraine. well, if we temporarily exclude the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, it is 9 9 units and that's why they are not flexible, they are not maneuverable, maneuverable, that's why thermal power plants are first started after a blackout, then

hydroelectric plants, and then nuclear units are gradually brought to power, and this can mean it may take a couple of days. well, i think that in this case in this case that on saturday and sunday these units will be fully brought to their nominal capacity and the situation will stabilize to a considerable extent . the european union commissioner for energy and the representatives of the american ministry of energy, they assured support, yes. this fact is recorded . and here the key issue is the pace. the same european or american bureaucracy can work, because it is about the

supply and installation of rather complex equipment, well , a story can always appear here, that something is not in the warehouses or there are grenades. do you remember the wrong system, how it was formed at the time? well, accordingly, the question pace how quickly can they work, well, they are trying to do it as quickly as possible , but again, unfortunately, we are again observing a picture when actions take place not proactively, but reactively, that is, already in fact, that is, still in the summer and in the spring, even i spoke to another specialist, who said that it is necessary to supply air defense systems, and it is necessary to create an emergency reserve as large as possible, but unfortunately, our international partners did not respond very quickly to this, and their bureaucracy did not respond to this very quickly. and that is why we have a situation when it already

means that we have to repair the system and from - we have to solve these problems with material and technical resources during practically shelling, this is the main problem for us in our interaction with international partners that we we work with them, not at the expense of the plan, not at the expense of the forecasts that the analysts say. that is, we are constantly lagging behind. we can't overcome uga well, and mr. romanchenko, i hope that you will professionally comment on what the states of

the european union and the group of seven cannot achieve. the fact is that literally on the 23rd, we all had to find out the mark price cep, that is, the maximum price for russian oil, the ceiling of this price is whatever you like, but the discussion reached a kind of dead end. the fact is that the mark of $65-70 per barrel is being discussed, but some countries of the european union believe that this price is too high. some believes that , on the contrary, due to the low e-e, the price limit for russian oil should come into effect on the fifth of december, instead, e-e, there were discussions regarding russian gas and the volume of its supplies to the countries of the european union. they are delayed a bit because the ministers plan to meet on december 13, the minister of industry of the czech republic, józef er, sikelet, informed about this again. this country

is now the chairman of the european union, we see that the discussion continues, why do you think a specific mark has not yet been worked out, er, in principle all these months, as we understand, the countries that were dependent on the russian federation for energy were engaged in the diversification of sources of supply, everyone was looking for suitable options and many eventually found they still can't why, volodymyr omelchenko, the director of energy programs of the razumkova center, is in touch with us , let's hope that the connection will be restored now, well, we understand the situation our guests are in online. we understand the maximum volume of russian gas

, the ministers of energy of the countries of the european union literally yesterday, on thursday, could not agree on gas price restrictions, their emergency meeting in brussels took place under the sign of deep disagreements over the proposal of the european commission regarding the mechanism of gas price regulation, and again, the participants are planning a meeting on december 13, well, the participants of the meeting still managed to agree on some other measures, including half-year joint gas purchases at the level of the european union. solidarity of countries in gas supply issues and speeding up the issuance of permits for the use of renewable energy sources well, the discussion with oil is still ongoing well, in the meantime, lviv railway informs about important events in the life of our country the lviv railway has changed the schedule of suburban trains due to repair works, so from november 26, the ivano-frankivsk vorokhta-ivano-frankivsk

connection will not run, and on november 27, there will be no trains on the kolomyia connection ivano-frankivsk-kolomia on november 28, there will be no trains on the kolomyia business kolomyia 29 th, there will be no train connecting kolomyia chernivtsi-kolomyia connecting chernivtsi vadal sirid chernivtsi well, on 28-29 there will not be trains connecting ternopil to high ternopil 29-30 no trains will run on the ivano-frankivsk-kolomia route from november dear tv viewers, always carefully check the traffic schedule not only between city but also suburban trains so we understand what is being done in our energy industry. mr. volodymyr, i hope you roughly heard the question i asked , the agreement on the maximum price for oil has not yet been reached and there are still ongoing discussions regarding gas supplies to the countries of the european union, why on

what is your opinion now, this process is taking so long, and what will happen if it should work from december 5 and there will not be a concrete ceiling until this moment, well, look first, where should i say what is the most important thing , the most important thing is that the embargo will be imposed on the countries of the european union, except for hungary, and this the biggest blow will be to the russian federation, everything else, everything else is already details, it will not have such a strong impact on the situation, it means that even with regard to natural gas, they did not agree on limited prices well, i think that this is not a critical issue because russia itself, with the explosions of the northern streams one and two there, restrictions and blackmail, the country of the european union imposes a barn on itself because that is why the question of fargo prices for gas is not significant there

half plus or minus a few percent it will not play any significant role as far as oil that has not come to a conclusion there is $60 in some some say that it is necessary to put a price ceiling, others say 65 others say that it is a lot 30 or 40 is that in different countries in different interests they ca n't and probably won't come to some single one point of view, but in any case, the market of the european union will be closed from december 5, panafti from february 5 for petroleum products, and this will be an extremely powerful blow to the russian federation , to the economy, to the armed forces, this is very positive , and god forbid, as they say, sir volodymyr, thank you for the always high-quality analysis volodymyr omelchenko d