and wars, how it can affect us, we understand. so, the so -called short war has turned into a long and protracted one, and now we are gradually seeing it move into the mode of total war with planned genocide. on the other hand, we understand very well that the kremlin does not have any resources, such as financial resources, human resources, and technical resources. how will it develop and where? this is indeed a negotiation process to which ukraine will never agree to the conditions of capitulation , and the second is a war of attrition, but ok, so ukraine must receive the appropriate weapons , these are adequate to those that moscow has missile technology. i do not know there are drones that allow to destroy the russian infrastructure to the same degree the question will definitely be resolved

because, well, ukraine itself has problems with it, because the industrial production and military production are useless if the west to provide weapons, that is, from my personal point of view, it will play the role of a deterrent factor. that is, at least the critical infrastructure of ukraine that has been attacked will be covered because it will also begin to destroy the critical structure of moscow, and this is how the kremlin is definitely not ready to risk itself, they are definitely not we are ready to our people, please ukrainian people , as many as you like, but not by ourselves. and the drone, i'm sorry, he doesn't choose, you can fly for rubles. you understand the big one, that’s why i still think that i ’ll have to choose. he’s tormented, tormented for these elections. you see, he’s tormented . give it, don’t give. instead of reaching an agreement, he is hitting on this civilian object, it seems like

you look stupidly ugly because you are trying to negotiate with such a subject of these negotiations. the sea view will lead to the defeat of moscow in the future because no one is changing the offensive of the exile and it is probably how the reserve is being prepared and probably accumulating, i think so in the zaporozhye direction. here is either an introduction to the negotiations, but i repeat, muscovites speak correctly , zelensky is not going to talk. and where are her conversations? partners like iran, but what they will agree to is what they will agree to compromise. yes, with us, you withdraw the territories, find out, and introduce what is easier. here you are in kherson, you see from the left bank, you will liberate part

of the donbass, you have already begun to slowly withdraw the military from crimea and start negotiations for this , the prerequisites appear yes, well, we are liberating now, let’s do something, but the grain corridor somehow managed to break through, and it was flown to istanbul, and they signed a very cunning formula. they like it in moscow, they don't like it, because they don't give them any benefits, they want, for example , to sell fertilizers to russia a lot. and this ammonia is a lot of things, and they don't have any problems here, they collect everything, solve the pain there, they wanted to pay in this grain deal, part of the sanction is removed, this is also not what happened. the third thing they wanted was that they wanted the istanbul format with the participation of the kuznetsov deal, or it ended separately with russia separately with ukraine, so that it became some kind of way to conclude a truce, although would go to the south, yes, to leave the territory of the same

crimea, armor. how is odessa, there is no, eh, they go to court , surrender somehow, in general, no concessions are made, it didn’t work, and it annoys putin very much. he publicly impressed us many times. they cheated how i was cheated, here they go here, they carry grain, everything is normal, yes, eh, the main products are purchased in turkey, she has them, they say , i will listen to 25% of all these courts because of this fraction, and so on, because of all these impossibilities that provide the strait, ah, true, i don’t know. that's what they write. but how is it actually better for a specialist to comment, but in any case, moscow did not achieve what it was trying to achieve. that is why the conditions here are that moscow needs to be looked for, and it is looking for a new format by agreement and through america through other partners in order to convince kiev, er, enter the negotiation process. i think there is no prospect of this, my personal opinion

, er, but it does not know that moscow will not leave them, and you will find them, including er, shelling the territory of ukraine with missiles. етуму но пока как удимым ответы обратный at one time, when you remember, certain predictions were made about what would happen in russia after the russians were knocked out of kherson, it happened, but we still felt that we somewhat overestimated this formula. so i don't know about the russian external and domestic politics can crumble or fall like the slavic wardrobe, now extremely serious stories can unfold, in particular, it is about fire control over the temporarily occupied crimean peninsula. well, i think that's the way it is, because in fact, he says they could use mobilization, they are coming that they have 325,000 mobilized, if they were for it, since september 21, it continues in our yard, november is already ending, that is, they will

change two months already minutes. that is, bakhmut, please, solidar there for ugledar, there were demands for svatov, there were demands, it ’s a move, it’s nothing. and where is the result? uh, compared to the army of ukraine, they use the tool as an instrument of military terror against the population of ukraine. as for everything else, you know, i already said what i see , so that most likely, you will be preparing this speech even more, and the political reason for this is what are the pressures about the negotiations, it will decrease significantly. and you can disappear if there is a battle on the field and they will succeed. why negotiate if we allow the left bank? well, we will talk through the direction of tokmak, melitopol and further there to the isthmus to the suitcase, eh, it will be occupied by military

means, then, if the irpin teroborona enters dzhankoy, for example, these are two points of view, they are numb to when and not veronika attacks the continuation, they are preparing what can moscow, moscow can really announce a new mobilization, but the composition is mobilized, you are correct they said, we see it, not what it is. the secret power that wasn't there, they call it, they saw kuzmychi, now now a new meme kuzmychi wrote it, here's one of the cow warriors, that's a finished perfect person but nevertheless, they started this method for me, which the professionals couldn't. but there is a russian man who will reach berlin , so he will return, so to speak, without experiencing any problems. you know, bakhmut is dying, there are people, you know, they are lying, you know, they are there in the morning, and there are 20,100,000, that is, the senselessness of this massacre, it should remain obvious even to a simple man, because where is he going, what kind of

preparation here i like that here these women do that, they talk about the fact that their husbands and sons are sent to war there, they are not well prepared. 78% of the dead - this is a long-distance war, from the shelling of artillery rocket mortars and so on, they don't understand, that is, moscow. that's what you said, it sold no victory, well, it's okay, it sold where the occupation was removed from the right bank of the dnieper, but they did it correctly, although putin himself notices it - he does not comment on it. peshkov said that all the questions are about him and we are not commenting on everything we are doing on defense. well, this is already funny .

for example, i expected that from the loss of kherson there would be some cognitive dissonance among those who were protonists and supported the war. and this is because he did not understand what he was fighting for in order to kill as much as possible the peaceful population of ukrainian civilians . well, this contradicts even your ideology. you kill ordinary citizens, that is, they live in it while it is somehow used. those who fight in the trenches, that is, their motivation must be high, why are they sitting under a bachmut or there, i don’t know, under a solidar or were they married to flint, why are they dying, yes . until they die , i don’t understand anything. i arrived and didn’t manage to do anything, so i looked again this is generally a teacher, some teacher is on twitter, eh, in the feed , in the chat, a 30-year-old boy

taught social science, so that there is history somewhere in some province. будет произвать от когда это дождейт домой mobilizatsiya probably so we have to wait for some kind of reaction, but for now everything is happening as it is, unfortunately i have to end our conversation dear mark. thank you very much to our tv viewers. on the air of the espresso tv channel, mark fagin, a former member of the state duma, a blogger, a millionaire figure in the russian opposition in exile, thank you for contacting us now, david gendelman, an israeli military expert with whom we will analyze both the operational situation on our fronts and, in general, the deployment of the so -called much wider scenarios. congratulations dear david, on the espresso tv channel, the issue of iran from the middle east has turned into our national

issue, in particular, it is about the iranian ballistic program, we understand that things have been very difficult negotiations and at the moment, as far as i understand, there is a feeling that russia can still receive a load of ballistic missiles that we they are going to destroy our civilian infrastructure statements you said this is probably the internet that for some reason was spread by others, the head of the national security council from hollata told the conference in bahrain that if and if you don't stop, then the next step after the transfer of iranian neutrons to russia can be the use of iranian high-precision missiles of russia in ukraine. understood how, if the general hands over missiles to russia , israel will hand over packages to ukraine in return. nothing like that was said. it’s strange that someone understood how it

was. and then it’s understood. everyone laughs. they spread the word, that is, in principle, there was no statement, that’s why it says there is no actual transfer or transfers. angel rockets, as we know, there have already been talks about this in the press for at least two months, so far, so-and-so transmissions, such as this is not and, moreover, of course, we have not yet seen such an application, we see a different discussion of parts of this brossy что можно иранцы что части go for the patent, maybe i won't give missiles from the other side, let's take it if there is no curtain and everything has already been agreed and soon the missiles will pass and we will gut it, too , not just like that, you flew early, maybe there were also discussions about the problems of the production of iranian free missiles in russia, yes, and perhaps the same question of rockets, love, the case of the package, this is all at the level of discussion of the fact of the transfer of the

rockets of repentance. a problem for ukraine, of course, as the talkers are talking about what kind of benefit specifically for themselves and can you really get this deal, many people are pressed at once, they go to the topmost insert in me , technology for nuclear weapons means that no factor russia, even in the state in which it is now, it will go in order to precisely create a nuclear state from early on, it is not a fact that even now it looks like russia, but theoretically it is pressing, everything can be maybe, well, hope, as the classics said, this is not a plan, in any case, we understand that israel also takes the iranian nuclear program extremely seriously, but we in ukraine are currently going through an extremely difficult story with acts of genocide against the civilian population, i say this without exaggeration, in particular, we are talking about the tactics of massive missile strikes on our civilian

objects, in particular objects of critical energy infrastructure public opinion this type of official ukrainian pressure is still not heard the problem is that even if in fact, this will not incline ukraine to negotiations , everything that this already creates and huge problems, such as its own or energy, is financial, all the rest are primarily a problem of resources, because even if some of these problems can be solved somehow with additional heating and sources electricity, all generators and so on, problems that this is all necessary , such a huge amount of resources that could be of much greater use. sorry, even such simple things as the same eh burghers, which citizens used to buy for soldiers at the front, now they buy money for themselves, they don’t have rubber, the same applies at the state level to larger problems

of objects, such as transformers and so on. these generators well, these are all huge resources, apparently already at the level of billions of dollars, which could be used more usefully at the front, now they are not used at the front, and this in itself, i include then the situation for ukraine, not to mention about the humanitarian aspects itself, the winter begins, there is no heating, there is no everything, and so on, this is all understood . at one time, no matter how much the nazis bombed kovel three or london, they could not achieve anything militarily, but the question of resources - this is an extremely important story, and i would like to you shared your thoughts, that is, the kremlin is

trying to take an operational pause. well, maybe there for a couple of months in order to regroup, or is it actually suffering from a lack of missile resources because, as far as i understand, it has managed to resume its missile production now, and when we counted there in the spring that in they are running out of high-precision missiles, it turned out that a certain number of them have a specific missile manifest, the initial estimate of the missiles of the journalists was correct, it is possible that they had more than expected and plus what they said производить всё еще продолжение, perhaps part of the components have already been prohibited more than they thought, and further supplies, including through the schemes of the second third country, the possibility of using the iranian experience, which makes such things, smuggling any military components

through 2-3 countries, dozens of magazines online, it is possible russian at work because, in principle, a partial sanction was imposed on russia back in 2014. that is, you are at least a partial mechanism for the supply of prohibited materials remarks in any case, we see that he repented of going. hopes that the rocket will soon run out in russia are still untrue . precisely with the infrastructure in that the blows on it do not have a cumulative effect, that is, when the electricity is restored, you do not mean that indeed all the objects are restored, it was simply possible to transfer an additional races from the other е-е generalizing е- е мушности of the emergency branch and so on, nevertheless, objects one after the other, even more and more goes away and we see the structure, including the official statement of the ukrainian government, passed under 30%

, 40% say 50 % it is clear that the purely mathematical ones will continue further in the country, or later there will be a collapse and even really close to this humanitarian catastrophe, this is not yet, oh, russia has not finished yet and while it still has a missile , it will develop in the same way of course, there was no forecast, the operational situation in the south of our country changed to a great extent after the russians were thrown out of kherson and from the right bank of the dnieper, i would like to ask you now to analyze the situation in the south of our country, in particular, the change in the operational situation . only operationally, but in principle it is possible to say that the strategic situation and the southern front on the front as a whole have changed over time, a

significant force has been withdrawn from its side, as specifically on this section of the dnieper, this massive forcing of history from the other side is unlikely russia, it is clear now they won’t do it otherwise it’s as if they just didn’t leave the right bank give an owl in principle it’s not theoretically impossible but unlikely because even if it’s allowed i’ll cut enough to throw you all over specifically, the participation on the left bank will be a problem to supply them, that is, in principle, a mirror situation was created that the russians were on the right without now, not even those vostok which were therefore more likely to continue on this site the same hostilities - this is already the format of these we see now, that is, about artillery duels, air raids and action are sabotaged on the game, as we see, too, kangaroo russia, and so on, we see the action of long-range ukrainian artillery rpzo almost all the way to the crimea, the same airfield of the army aviation in

chaplinky , etc. theoretically, the most attractive, let’s put it this way, the option for the ukrainian army, of course, it would be an attack from the zaporozhian direction on melitopol, the scene of the cutting of the land corridor krym. in that the russian team does not understand it too, so anatoly transfers his forces and anatoly zaporizhskoe direction conducts certification work in the melitopol area and so on, that is, the problem in that the most theoretically advantageous direction is understood by the parties, if they will transfer forces there, then the question of who pays more will be enough to whistle to accept for the offensive

. uh right bank 10, again, it is necessary to always do the slide, the rest of the front remains, together with the message that part of the removed from the right of the door of the whole has probably already been transferred to donetsk luhansk region, therefore, it is not a fact that they can focus on the southern direction. well, again, defense usually requires less force than for an offensive. defenses on this zaporozhian administration, all the rest of the administration remains, too, with the delicacy of the direction of bakhmut eh and visionary ideals, you understand, if the ukrainian army had enough reserves to throw almost the direction how minimov to stop this slow

however, the pro-russians are already talking about it, it’s a question of how much now, not so much the russian army, so much the ukrainian army is already ready to use the forces, including the ones withdrawn from the er -er exercise, and plus, as we know, it is constantly being prepared, additional reserves are created, new connections are message about creating another airborne brigade another mechanized brigade is already being created by the army corps, the problem is, at what pace is the ukrainian team watching me prepare and plus constantly the defining question is the rate of western arms deliveries. of the same kharkiv

direction, according to the message, quite a lot of the whole problem with bolsho and except for the creation of the ukrainian shock fist for that too to the east and to bakhmut, in short, to mobilize the forces , which, in principle, are not so much because the reserves are not yet fully ready, but now we are in principle in the phase when the other side is still in the process of moving forces and reorganizing the front, just a benefit on the right, take care, all these movements are not over yet, and with you, after some time, the situation will be much better . ready to attack the grouping, how quickly will russia be able to prepare new units , and will they be able to use them and quickly deploy them also in the northern direction, you, dear david, extremely correctly noted the question that

they would like to stretch our resources in different directions and, accordingly, it is possible with with such a goal, and perhaps indeed with real preparation for the opening of a new front, they would now try to deploy there, but the question of technology and the question of the time of technology, understandably, each one hurts simply taking it to the internet will not come, we see a message that the actual equipment of all echoes of techno-technologies is more frequent than the mobilized package, but in principle, the mobilized ones are still mostly used to replenish the already existing units, that is, they are, in principle, poured into the existing unit how do we know that many battalions before the mobilization began? was it up to 5,000%, or even less in some places, so they just pour in here and there? additional special units are unnecessary. but if now

we are talking about actually forming new e-e parts or a possible new connection as e-e we are talking about what is possible except for the third army e-e corps they will want the fourth and fifth so far there are no such messages, but for now, in principle, on the other hand, i am looking for these mobilized according to reports in the militant zone, if so far it is already a maximum of 100,000 people, that is, you are not yet all 300,000 mobilized, perhaps in the next week we will see additional replenishment, not a fact that this will really happen some unfolded new seats may not be like that and they will simply throw up additional marching battalions marching against how bakhmut standing directs when you just slowly add slowly push the defense for a few tens of meters without actually forming according to classical military science first with er bolshoi udarny kulaky then conducts a really large-scale

offensive, not the fact that the opportunities of the next month will be held by the end of december when additional mobilized completed training is possible, they will download it, well , quite alarming news is coming from the belarusian direction, so our officials report. so, it is possible to use this bridgehead, but here the question is not only putin’s desire to search for us from the north, so to speak, but also the question of the real combat capability of these of the freshly glued parts, you understand completely all the abilities of the irritants of taras from the cherry juice mobilizer on the problem for the russian side in that there is no choice between the good and the bad, and there is nothing at all between the bad. now the second cadre army is the only thing that they cannot use the motorized one. ideally, you understand. they must dilute the mobilized units

, which still have cadre units. let’s say that without it, of course, the use is effective , but in any case, it is better. than nothing. we are in this war, we see that mass still matters. even if it is high, mass is better than nothing. even in terms of mass, there are not yet such a quantity that it is possible to actually create some real groupings a few belarusians of the russian servicemen so that they present themselves as a threat, perhaps they will continue to transfer here further after some time, it will not really be created there, some offensive will be formed, but we are not there yet покаятся на устану i would like to ask you about fire control over the crimean isthmus as

far as this story is a preschool for the russian interventionists well, accordingly, how can the situation change after the liberation and our control over the kinburn spit, i am interested in you, the control zone of action is already approaching the crimea itself, the isthmus is not yet in principle, it approached even chaplinka, this can already be said practically and decide if there are more or less решаем in any case, everything levobere is now being reorganized by companies . defeats by ukrainian means

are pleasant . including radio-electronic, ideally, of course, it would be beneficial for ukraine, grab us your braid, the question is to what extent it can be done precisely by means of small roads, because there is a large-scale landing there, even if it is carried out in principle, then again the problems of its supply differ, well, in any case, without such a thing as we see, they are constantly taking place there , then it will probably lead to something larger , in any case, even if the ukrainian army does not manage to gain a full foothold there, at least it will not allow a peaceful russian life there it is already beneficial for the ukrainian side because it is from there for the russian army when they are looking to introduce all their activities, which in principle will return here, everything must be carried out in a

complex with all the other actions of the left bank , so it is possible to direct the action at the same time from two , it is directed here , possibly a smaller diversionary field, there is a possible large-scale field, in general, it will be set up in this way, they, um, they can come down from somewhere in the crimean reshuffle, on the other hand , we are not there yet. we will see how it will be very thank you, dear david, for the excellent conversation, and i want to remind our tv viewers that the israeli military expert david handelman was working for them now. the time of our program has run out. stay tuned to espresso tv channels. my colleagues work for you non-stop. take care of yourself and your loved ones. see you on the air.