organized extremely interesting stories understood the mysterious and strange death of the minister of foreign affairs of belarus makeya yes and the lack of, well, ambassadors in beijing anyway, i would think it would be good advice to appoint someone well, for now, we have unpleasant news, in particular, the volunteer environment, informs volunteer dana yarova in on friday, i wrote a post about the simply magical story of the cancellation of the decree of the 169th cabinet of ministers of ukraine dated february 28, 2022 on some issues of defense procurement from the excellent decree of the 169th e-e transferred the purchase the cabinet of ministers of ukraine transferred the purchase of weapons for the armed forces and in fact blocked it on the conditions of making purchases during the quarantine and this is the conclusion of agreements only for three months with an advance payment of only 30% says a message that

can be deciphered as follows in essence and the cabinet of ministers of ukraine now has to settle the issue of procurement of ammunition and weapons for the armed forces of ukraine, as currently all defense contracts are temporarily blocked, we hope, paid attention to this information and yuriy butusov i would like this problem to be communicated in a certain way and, well, if it is confirmed, then it is fixed. well, we will monitor and inform your dear tv viewers. well, the main intelligence department of our ukrainian informs that the information about the new offensive from belarus is fake in order to sow ms. koorja quoting andrii yusov, a representative of the main intelligence department of the ministry of defense, literally, we see different goals, that is, on the one hand, to sow panic among the population among ukrainians, including residents of border regions regions and regions and disorient the ukrainian

defense forces disperse the forces transfer the forces from other directions well and also the object and goals of this special psychological operation of information i myself belarus belarus that is, incitement to make it so that it sparks and after all draw belarus itself into a full-scale war what until this moment there was no yosaf, meanwhile, i emphasize that it is impossible to say that there is no threat from the lukashenko regime, since it helps russia with weapons, equipment and airspace, but according to data the main directorate of intelligence to say in the near future that a full-scale invasion of belarus will take place in the war is not possible. 3:31 p.m. andrian prokip express energy issues of the ukrainian institute of the future we will analyze now not simple scenarios of both our native energy system and systems with us connected glory to ukraine p. andriana

glory to the heroes good health mrs. khrystyna pantin well, we don't know what to expect from the enemy this week, because extremely serious warnings were received from on the part of extremely authorized persons, i.e. official representatives of various parties, we can expect a massive missile strike, which is not news, so it can be directed precisely at the objects of our energy infrastructure, on the other hand, our energy engineers are doing everything possible and impossible to ensure that the light is like this and our european partners report that various transformer substations are already on the way. maybe they have already arrived. please share your thoughts. regarding this extremely difficult pursuit. yes, we, on the one hand, are chasing time. so who will have time sooner? so, we will recover or hit the enemy and in general, what are the prospects now to avoid another blackout? well, the situation is really

a difficult situation, close to critical in the power system, but it is controlled and you correctly noted that the energy industry is doing not only the possible, but also the impossible because er understand that the energy system is er sub-system strikes from the air actually since the middle of september, i.e. already more than two months and we still have er although with power supply interruptions - it's a miracle which was certainly not expected by many in ukraine and in the west. probably in russia too, there are many factors that influence the course of the situation, therefore it is difficult to give any forecast because everything depends on the frequency of e- the enemies will be beaten, it all depends on how effectively our army can protect it from the air, and

this, in turn, from this help from air defense means from the west, the speed of repairs is determined and the possibility of repairs is determined not only by the frequency of these attacks, but also by this equipment which one for which we are waiting for spare parts, well, the only thing that i keep in my mind constantly when we talk about this assistance until october 10. we actively asked the west to help in some way to close the sky, that is , to provide us with the appropriate number of the necessary systems, but in fact the west took this step only after there were already serious strikes on the entire power system throughout the country. in other words, on october 10, ukraine was forced to stop exporting electricity, eh, and eh, eh, due to the fact that this aid was late, now the measure must to spend more money on our support and in addition

to giving us these air defense systems in any case we need to prepare for such a scenario that we actually experienced last week in some regions consumers did not have energy and water supply for three days internet communication, that's why, based on what capacities remained available in the power system, we can't consider such a scenario that happened last week and the previous attack on november 15th, which was and andrians are helping us now with the elimination of the consequences of the missile terror of the russian federation. as i understand it, we are talking about equipment that is also synchronized with our energy system. that is, it is some soviet post-soviet parts in italy or complexes of parts and so on. all this is a very comprehensive story and

not all of our people have this story. partners at pa- partners at warehouses, relatively speaking, when this stock will be exhausted, what do we come to the need here and now not just to patch holes on the go, but perhaps to reform our energy system, well, to rebuild the energy system in a very short term, and especially during the war, it is unreal, we have some special types of equipment that are used in a very small number of countries, including countries that were once part of the soviet union and some western and asian countries uh, i won't name any specific equipment, but when these discussions were often held before the invasion, uh, should we leave this equipment, or should we rebuild it, anyway, well, based on the economic point of view,

from the logic of the economic uh- came to a conclusion that well, the system has already been designed , it should not be re-engineered. now, of course, the situation can be different, considering the losses the energy system has suffered. union, but well, we have already seen the statement of the head of ukrenergo pdrytskyi that ukraine should rebuild its energy system in the direction of decentralization, that is, in fact, we should go to the point where the majority of households are equipped with solar panels, maybe someone will have the opportunity and private wind turbines, but it’s all a matter of time and thinking about some kind of reconstruction of the power system from

wheels during active military operations, well, it’s impossible , so first you have to hold on, hold on, of course, any technically, any system can be destroyed, because the number of critical components in them is finite, a lot of responsible people are now talking about the fact that the enemy is running out, the stock of precision missiles is running out well, i personally don't know if it's true or not, but if it's true, then can we hope for it in the conditions of the fact that equipment assistance is finite and the possibilities of quick repairs are also limited. well, mr. andriani, such a short question. and why did such a massive power outage occur in moldova

at the same time as the blackout? well, the victim and the moldovans, well, and then after that, i hope we will move on to the analysis of the gas situation. well, the situation came out of moldova taking into account that we from moldova have synchronized energy systems, and the ukrainian energy system is significantly larger. taking into account the fact that there was a significant difference in us, this essentially affected the ability to balance the energy system of moldova and maintain the frequency, that is, due to the fact that we are very there is a large energy system, and in moldova it is significantly smaller, and due to the fact that in our country, the ability to cover the demand has sharply decreased, that is, the ability to cover the demand has actually decreased by 10 times. how so very simplifying, a stronger system dragged the problem no longer moldavian ukrainian electricity no we

just simply work in a synchronous mode exactly the same as we work with the countries of the european union, we went through this path together with moldova that is , we disconnected on february 24th and therefore, in march, together with moldova, we became uh already integrated into the european network of operators. well, it’s like in the united vessels in one of them there was a hole green, it’s so conditional uh, the other vessel is less on it, it’s noticeable european with the neighboring european countries of the european union, in fact, at the time of this emergency, we had a disconnection. well , due to the fact that we are significantly larger than the system, we have some transfers from moldova and balance transfers, so they had this problem when at some point they were also unable to balance uh demand with production uh well, uh, in a cascading fashion, they had

uh, such an uh, emergency situation, mr. andriana gas . i want to believe that we are we are going through the heating season on the gas that is in our gas storages and so on, but on the other hand, we understand that the situation may be a little different when we finish the heating season, in particular, march april. what direction do you think our gas system is moving in now? usually the most difficult period is actually the beginning of march because, on average, somewhere in the middle of the second half of march is the period when our internal consumption becomes less than our own production, and this period of the beginning of march if the cold weather is coming and there are not enough gas reserves in the warehouses, they limit the possibility of raising

a sufficient amount of gas, and do you remember when , in march of 2017, the stockholm arbitration obliged gazprom to, well, it obliged ukraine to buy a certain volume from e-e gazprom ukraine made a prepayment for gas, and gazprom refused to provide this gas and returned the advance payment, appealing to the fact that no additional document was signed and we had difficulties covering demand, and we had this promotion announced, screw it up in an emergency mode, we carried out the purchase and import of gas, in particular, it was through the polish er terminal of pricing er, this is this period, well enough, which is potentially difficult, and i think that it is potentially difficult not only for ukraine, but also for the countries of the european union, therefore that we cannot rule out such a development of the scenario when russia shuts down, which means that it will temporarily stop the supply

of gas to the european union on the territory of ukraine. if we proceed from their logic of gas blackmail , it makes no sense to do it now, because now the gas storages of the eu countries are completely full, and if they see such an active step of blackmail, they will even more actively prepare to contract supplies for the following months, and in the event that, for example, the european storage will be filled by less than 25% of energy, according to the estimates of the international energy agency, this will already mean a deficit of energy on the gas market in the european union and this is the moment to provoke a deep energy crisis what is russia trying to achieve, because let's look at russia's behavior, they have not gained anything from their actions so far, but they have wasted

the predictability of their status as a supplier of energy resources to europe and, in general, the largest energy expert in the world, they risk losing this status and considering that they did not gain anything but lost a lot, it should not be ruled out that they will continue to escalate to some very serious steps in an attempt to break the positions of the european union and their unity with regard to ukraine, and the situation with moldova and the blackmail of not supplying gas to this country, our territory, this can be called preparation for a similar scenario. said that the supply to this country was under question. but after there they changed their minds. on this account, we even saw the reverse effect of natural gas prices in europe decreased, this is

today's information. yes, at first there was a surge such a traditional reaction is a fairy tale of gazprom that ukraine is stealing gas, it is trying so hard, it is so stuck that it is surprising that they can not come up with anything new, since this body has never proven these facts, but they always tried to use - this is a myth in order to undermine the trust in ukraine as a gas partner of european countries, moldovan officials said that this is blackmail, well, in fact, moldova now has the opportunity to receive gas from europe, in particular, and in transit through the territory of ukraine, that's why here moldova is in a slightly easier position now than it used to be, for example, there a few years ago, eh, eh, eh, but eh, let's remember, that is, now i have the impression that the cream of gazprom is testing their reactions to such

statements. let's remember that a few months ago there was a demand for ukraine abandon e-e 's arbitration claim regarding the fact that ukraine demands to pay for e-e's transit in accordance with the e-e contract in may gazprom reduced the volume of transit payments after ukraine declared force majeure to e-e due to the impossibility to control the transit through the gas measuring station sokhranivka and russia demanded that ukraine er renounce this arbitration, otherwise they said we will impose sanctions on you, there will be no transit and you will have no er revenues from this transit, but if russia then did it, then in fact taking into account the accidents on the northern streams, they would only have the turkish stream, since sanctions have also been imposed on yamal europe. well, this is significant because it has limited the supply of russian gas to

europe and revenues, that is, now they are they may test some model of behavior that they will demonstrate in the coming months, but we understand how it will end, but how will it be organized, what will the arguments be, for sure now. restrictions on russian oil, but the question of escape is still open, as we understand it, the countries of the european union cannot agree on this marginal steel price, we see that poland and ukraine insist on the number 30, but there are certain the caveats of ukraine that they actually transport russian oil and they say that 65-70 would be optimal a-a let's say this is the value in your opinion hmm more precisely, what will happen if this limit number is not determined and from the fifth of december

it should actually work for us mechanism, are there any contradictions in this? well, since december 5, sanctions on sea oil supplies to the russian european union have actually come into force, and in principle we can see as of last week that these supplies have already dropped significantly, that is, this process is going on it is clear that russia does not have sufficient capacity of the tanker fleet, and third countries that are ready to help russia cannot help it either. that is, there will be problems, and of course the western countries are a little worried about this statement that russia threatens not to supply oil to the countries who use these prague apps ah, of course, most likely we will see some price surge after december 5, but

the position of other large consumers of russian oil, in particular india, china, is very important, will they agree? they will not agree to this prescap mechanism, there are reasons to believe that they will agree, since it will allow india, in particular, to buy russian oil at a depreciating price, without the risk of falling under any secondary sanctions of the transition, china is also going through not the best times in its economy and its expert is significantly dependent on the european union from the united states therefore well, of course, it is quite a complicated issue and the intrigue will persist, but i suspect that the first two months of the oil bomb's action are crude oil the market will behave quite capriciously, but no one probably does not fully understand how exactly, but the price of $60-$65 is fine. well, it does not look like

it could strongly restrain russia, and i will continue, and russia would continue to earn quite good revenues, thank you to you with an extremely interesting analysis, an expert on the issue of energy workers of the ukrainian institute of the future, we are now undertaking to analyze the situation at the front and the situation with the supply of high-precision weapons to us and new, so to speak, samples of them valery ryabykh a representative of defense express, we congratulate you, mr. valery, glory to ukraine to the heroes of the words i congratulate you, well , analysts assume that in the coming weeks, after the ground freezes, there will be an

intensification of fighting from the other side. activation from the belarusian direction, that is, our grushniks say that it was a fake and an information operation, on the other hand, we understand that the situation remains quite dynamic. so, your vision of the processes of intensification of the war after the great frosts well, of course, weather factors are very important, and at the moment, it is precisely the stabilization that we see on the front. it is primarily related to the complication of weather conditions and the abundant rains that made impassable both in the south of the country and in the northern direction , in particular in the kharkiv region, well, here the same

analysts of the institute for the study of war are talking about the fact that in a week, when frosts will come to the east of our country froze and hostilities may intensify, this is the only possible thing. of course, for the ground to freeze, it takes a little more time for heavy equipment to actively operate on it, but at the moment, we see that the armed forces of ukraine are performing the tasks that they can in these conditions, in particular, they deliver powerful blows from a long distance to the bases and supply warehouses along the supply routes and also directly to the contact line and to the areas where the enemy troops are concentrated in the depth

of the defense, so we see that of the general staff, which are submitted daily, that every day, at least one battalion group of the enemy is eliminated only by being killed, and another two or three similar battalions of the group are sent to medical institutions, so in essence, the actions continue. and of course, the general staff taking into account the weather conditions and other factors, he plans the necessary actions to prevent the enemy from inflicting irreparable losses on him, and in fact, the weather is only one of the factors that can affect it, but they adapt to it and they are also used because the enemy is also affected by this influence, see mr. valery, another factor that definitely affects the course of

hostilities is the factor of the availability and skill of using weapons in the hands of each side, the new york times published a publication about that russia and ukraine are using weapons and ammunition at a rate not seen since the second world war, the allies are looking for attempts to replenish supplies for ukraine, and it is the availability of weapons that can be decisive in the current war. well, let's put it this way, the capabilities of the russian federation are large-scale in the context of installations and projectiles, when we talk about all this equipment, and the barrage of fire that they use, on the other hand, the tactics chosen by our defense forces are also quite effective and a little less expensive. in the context of munitions, for example, what prospects do we have in general on this account, or do our

allies really need to now, uh, look to launch their defenses at insane power in order to provide as much as possible, because the question will be precisely about the quantity and not the quality of the application, well, the article at the university has the right to exist, and it is, of course, such an expert view, which says that it is necessary to create and expand ammunition production, and this is indeed true, but it should be noted that above this problem in the same nato and at the meetings of the rammstein group, they were thinking about it in the summer sometime in june, and in essence, they discussed the task of the industry in relation to starting to strengthen production capabilities ammunition and well, we know from the same indirect data that the main leading western companies

have increased their capabilities by attracting pensioners to the workplaces and by expanding the staff and by expanding production and in that among ammunition , we also heard that the state concert of ukroboronprom reported to us that an ammunition production facility was created in ukraine for the primary production of kolibri postrazhdansky 122 152 mm ammunition, which is very appropriate because at the same time, it is possible to include in the use of the post-soviet artillery that we have, and in fact it is a matter of heaps with the use of ukrainian modern technological solutions that allow to improve the quality and accuracy of fire, they

can be quite effective on the battlefield and have already shown their efficiency, so the bottom line is, look. well, this is an extremely important signal , that is, if a similar article is published in the new york times, it is someone from certain circles hinting that they may have one or another problem. we believe that healthy forces in the west will win, so those who want to support us in our righteous self-defense on our land, on the other hand, we understand that there are problems with high-tech nato weapons, in particular with the same possibly additional ammunition we are still soviet or neo-soviet under the calibers you indicated. but perhaps it would be worthwhile not to stamp the corresponding projectiles in

the countries of the west, but to switch completely to nato caliber, so to speak. well, if we analyze the possibilities, then we will always say reservation, it plays a bigger role. and of course , if it is about the same nato calibers , then it is not necessary to note that this whole period of ukraine’s military aid from the united states of america alone, 924,000 150 mm caliber ammunition was delivered and another 4 1/2 thousand high-precision excalibur type, this is only from the united states another 180,000 105 mm ammunition and this is what we know well and our guys are right

used if new about new products e supposedly there is some kind of proposal from a well-known company to supply ukraine with cheap high-precision rocket projectiles with compact aerial bombs glsdb probably this is the correct pronunciation and they can supposedly allow the ukrainian side to work deeper into the enemy's rear the pentagon seems to be considering this proposal that they they give very briefly, well, this article is very similar to the request that it is necessary to produce and the pentagon is now working with a large number of representatives who offer various options and cheapening and increasing , let's say, the possibility of supplying ukraine with new ammunition. and this is to say that the gls db is a grav noch resin, the diameter of the bomb is a new development that is built on the basis of the missile m