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tv   [untitled]    November 28, 2022 11:00pm-11:31pm EET

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they foresee partners at the table, we do n't have a partner we have an enemy that needs to be destroyed with the enemy, negotiations are conducted as the philosophers of earlier days wrote with the help of various types of weapons and the stronger the weapon, the better to negotiate with such an enemy, and then when the enemy is already he will understand that he will not be able to resist, but then the post -conflict settlement is coming. and here we are, i already spoke about the fact that starting to ask this question, that from the west, these calls are being heard more and more often, and the president of france, manuel macron, and the chancellor of germany, olafsholz, even said last week that they are continuing their
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conversations that seem unnecessary to anyone with putin and at the same time they say again that they will support us uh. but again, the negotiations that we have already negotiated are not touched, why macron and scholz continue to understand the futility of these conversations with putin they continue to talk to him. it seems to me that there are two reasons, the first is a traditional one in the era of any major conflicts. and now in europe, on the territory of ukraine, thanks to russian aggression, large conflicts are taking place with very serious future consequences. there has never been a shortage of those politicians. er, or let's just say people of specific views who would try to end the war in some
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agreed way. take any war in the past , including the great world war ii, which is closest in scale to ours today and there were enough attempts to find some opportunities to reach someone there in hitler's entourage in order to try some philosophy of the cessation of hostilities and to work out peace, nothing came of it, that's why, that's that, that's historical inertia, it, it, i think it works today, in addition, we should not forget what else is the inertia of thinking let's say the peaceful europe of the last 80 years europe is peaceful after living through two world wars
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for 30 years and then 80 years eh let's say the big conflicts such as the current one there was no great war of ukraine in europe, these regional conflicts were caused by the collapse of the soviet union and the warsaw bloc, there is yugoslavia, the caucasus, compared to what is happening now in ukraine, they are, well, let's say yes, not, not, not so powerful, according to our historical ones, and that's why europe has already entered into some kind of algorithm, you know what? yes, it is already close. but maybe it is still possible to come to an agreement a little bit. europe is beginning to understand that it is no longer possible to come to an agreement, and we hear it, we understand it, as the people of i really liked this
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diplomatic wording of yours, people with specific views, so who still want to negotiate. well , the real shit, i would say yes, let them try any, any, any, any movement in the direction of to convey some words of normality to the current moscow regime, it should in principle arise the question only that we ukrainians who know russians much better than the germans than the french than the english than anyone else i think that the best experts in the world from russia live right here in ukraine, and that is why we are dealing with them in this way now, they spoke to their western partner, a ukrainian, 20 years ago, there is no point in talking to the holy number when they don't
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understand you there, because what is done there does not fit into the algorithm of normal european life, of course, mr. ihor we have very little time, but i want to ask you one more question , because you will answer it. look, i was in warsaw, the capital of poland, at the osce general assembly. the ukrainian delegation boycotted together with two other baltic delegations. and did not participate in this general assembly . please tell me as a diplomat whether ukraine did the right thing by not participating in this session. was it still necessary to be there and speak? there are different points of view on this topic, i adhere to the point of view that is there today where is russia in international organizations, especially regional ones, such as those in ukraine, there is no need to participate for one simple reason: the devaluation of the meaning of international organizations, where russia exists today, it is so large that
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with the participation of ukraine itself, there we support the visible that everything is normal there . russia's presence in international organizations, including the un, is not normal. it is, above all, an abnormal issue today. this is exactly what we need to focus on today. russia should be expelled from any organization that considers itself a decent, normal international organization. it is clear, mr. igor. thank you because i personally for myself well, i seem to understand on the one hand, on the other hand i do not understand the presence of ukraine, but you explained. i thank you very much and that is correct . to the extraordinary and plenipotentiary of ukraine, as usual , for professional answers to my questions. well, because of the lack of time, today's program needs to be completed. well, it is, again, like the usual
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program . the question he asked on youtube, well, he didn't do much, but all because youtube, as i said at the beginning of the program, banned us because he doesn't like it when we tell the truth about the war, the russian war in ukraine but nevertheless, there were guests. i asked them the questions i wanted to ask and received professional answers. for that, i thank all of them, and thank you for watching. i will meet with you. next week, obviously, there will be new topics, but it will be just as interesting because with professional guests are always interesting so see you but we are canceling this ad we just want to give you discounts of up to 50% on megogo so that in the future you can afford to relax sometimes i have a choice and discounts to choose choose what you want on megogo the war has raised its head again in europe
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reminding of the darkest hour in our history , franz24 constantly covers the events in ukraine, our team on the ground and in the studio will inform you about the dynamics of the event. see the latest from franz24 in ukrainian on espresso. mykolaiv teenagers from the junior dream public association, together with the espresso tv channel, announced a fundraiser for the purchase of 200 silencers for weapons for ukrainian fighters, in turn, our polish friends from the fonstropol enterprise have volunteered to invest 50% of this project for
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every hryvnia you send, they will give their mufflers and fire extinguishers will be handed over to the frontline soldiers who defend ukraine on the first line of fire, let's get closer to victory together glory to ukraine andriyanitskyi with economic news on the espresso tv channel on weekdays at 8 a.m. live with a repeat at 11:00 p.m. so when it's convenient for you on youtube on the internet , if you watch us now on the internet, please comment on this video, like it send the link to your friends and if you are not yet subscribed to our youtube channel, be sure to subscribe. the russians destroyed 32,000 civilian objects in ukraine, this figure was named by the deputy minister of internal affairs of ukraine, yevgeny yenin
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; 700 objects of critical infrastructure were also damaged as a result of russian attacks, in particular and electrical substations, oil depots, airfields and bridges, at the same time, only 3% of the number of recorded shellings were on military facilities. the attackers primarily targeted private apartment buildings of civilians, he said yenin also remains under threat, energy facilities remain in danger, electricity producers in ukraine shut down 80% of the needs of ukrainians, however, due to the cold weather, its consumption increases and, according to ukrenergo, only 10% is spent on critical infrastructure . therefore, oblenergo has the ability to evenly alternate consumer restrictions and independently apply emergency or planned shutdowns. therefore, savings will allow less
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apply restrictions aimed at preventing accidents, save electricity in order to overcome this deficit, ukraine is considering the issue of importing electricity from europe, although this requires a special mechanism, which is currently only being developed, said the chairman of the board of ukrenergo volodymyr kudrytskyi, the european union's energy system is able to help ukraine in a critical moment, the commercial supply of electricity technically perhaps in the amount of 500 or even 600 mw, however, the price on the eu market is higher than in ukraine after the missile attacks in in many cities of ukraine, points of invincibility have been created where people can recharge their gadgets, get warm and use other services, but in the town of bila tserkva in the kyiv region there is still no clear list of such points, let's see how the residents of bila tserkva survive in
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such difficult conditions. light every day and while some invent life hacks to survive a long blackout , the condominium on akademika linnyka street has prepared in advance for all possible challenges of this difficult winter, as the head of the board of the building volodymyr tells us, in the summer the residents of the high-rise building rallied together and purchased an 8.5 kw generator at their own expense, this generator can provide in common areas, so we can heat food in a microwave oven , it has enough power to charge flashlights and phones and also boil tea to buy a pleasure generator not from the cheap 45,000 for the device itself and 17,000 for its connection,
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instead the house is 100% equipped with light as both outside and inside, but the residents did not stop only at the purchase of a generator, they installed a real heating point in the warehouse, there can be more than a hundred people here, emphasizes the head of the board of the shelter, they did the best because it has as many as four exits. there is also a microwave oven, an electric kettle, lights, a toilet and even sofas where you can sleep . in the future, they are also planning to provide water supply. some of the residents even set up their own storage rooms in the basement. i also did this so that i would have a bed for myself here and i would have something to see. so they are starting to do the same thing here and there , i had sofas, i brought them there and there, where people are now sitting on sofas, the same thing is necessary for people, and no one wants to do it anymore, money
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for it, too, no one is the same, that’s all the residents of bilotserki did it on their own with their own funds and resources without help from the city authorities. our film crew decided to paint the shelter when we expected it, and we were shocked, the terrible stench of the wet floor and rat poison in every corner , it is simply impossible to stay there for more than 20 minutes, because there is no ventilation, the residents complain that sometimes even homeless women sleep here on the facades, there is a heater. we won't go there right away, there is no one who will respond to the peasant , the peasant.
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it's interesting to me 8 7 hours, well, i'm still cheerful, i can still go out, i can still go there, it's permissible . that's all that they came up with. in what frame do the communal workers explain their inactivity by pointing arrows at people, according to the head of zhek number six, yuriy koshlyak, the residents themselves are to blame for the fact that the basements are not well-maintained , and rat poison is an annual preventive measure against rodents, people refused what they could do, simple , the simplest shelters, heat points, uh, which are now a snack of the city budget, should be done all over the city, the whole house said that we don't need it because we will have homeless people, we will have others
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come in, we don't want to refuse it, so that there they poured and knocked down the normal ones in the basement of the hood, there will be commissions, there is uh, well, the department of capital construction and many more specialists who are uh, designing all this and everything before well, for it to be normal, there will be no such thing as someone in the chat, of course, pipes will be taken out, the white church residents themselves believe that if they pay funds to zhek, then he is obliged to maintain the house, so it is possible. in this room, there is a place for elderly people, there is nothing for people who are 85 and 86 years old and 70 years old, the same thing, even young people как можно простоят 3-4 hours in
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this room currently, in cities such as lviv and kyiv, the city authorities have decided to return 50 and 75% of the corresponding cost of generators that will be purchased by residents of high-rise buildings. city ​​budgets for these hits the government allocates millions of hryvnias instead in bila tserkva the officials do not even think about introducing such support for the population love gerashchenko oleksandr kruga espresso bila tserkva there is still much to work on in the kyiv region as we can see and now we will talk about the great international economy with our traditional guest sergey fursa investment banker representative of dragon capital company mr. serhiev greetings, the topic of today's conversation is the oil embargo and the price ceiling for oil for
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russia, but let's first understand what importance oil has for the russian budget in general for its ability to wage war, let's say even before the start of the war, the late mccain said that russia is a gas station country, so oil has always been very important for russia. and now even more so . oil revenues , because the sanction processed many other revenues, import taxes, they limited themselves to gas and the revenues immediately almost zeroed in the budget from gas exports, so it remains exclusively oil and oil are now here through a needle, which is kashcheev's death. yes, i even saw such a caricature cover or that magazine music of the icon magazine, then it turned out that it was not real, but there exactly russia was drawn in the form of such an abandoned
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gas station, after all, this analogy works, and now europe and the developed countries of the world have decided to close this gas station from december 5. it is planned to introduce a nato embargo, but it does not apply to all countries. who is ready to give up russian oil at all, well, from december 5, really the civilized world, the conventional western world, is europe, the united states, canada, australia, japan , that is, our friends, standard partners of ukraine and standard countries that share the same values ​​for which ukraine is fighting. that is, it turns out that the other world is not so developed. it can not live without russian oil. maybe it leaves the possibility of supplying oil, what can be done about it ? this is the price ceiling that they are talking about. was it invented for them or for some other third countries that i am talking about? well, they cannot live they don't particularly want visa-free considering the fact that
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at the beginning of the war, russia sells its oil at a discount and this is a big way out for itself, india bought china and other countries, and that's why it's really for third countries, that is, there is russia, there are western countries that impose sanctions, and there are third countries that provide alya on - do not add to the sanctions and it was decided well that russia can really redirect part of the volume of oil to those markets because oil is not gas here, the infrastructure is not so important, the tanker can sail anywhere, but if it redirects, then let the oil be on it is all beneficial to the market, the main thing is to understand that countries measures are also very sensitive to oil prices, especially the united states is very sensitive, and therefore it is plus or minus good for them that russian oil remains on the market and the russian budget receives much less money, so that this limits the possibilities, including waging war and that is why the idea was that oil remains or there is a ceiling somewhere, that is, the threshold after which, well
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, that is, below and at a price above which russia cannot sell us, it seemed that how could the united states, for example, tell india at what price to buy russian theoretically, they cannot name it, but they found such a mechanism, because there is an element of insurance, every tanker that goes must be insured, and they insure, somehow , it happened in a western country, that is, companies from western countries and mostly british companies. and now there is a resolution, that is, an element of sanctions that which insurance companies of the civilized world do not have the right to insure russian tankers if the price of oil there in the contracts is higher than a certain level that has not been discussed yet and theoretically it can work, we have already seen the statement of ertogan who said that, for example, no tankers that are not properly insured will pass through the bosphorus, but novorossiysk is a very important oil port, where the pipes converge from russia, where they are poured into tanks, that is, a very
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large part of russian oil has to pass through the bosphorus, misha, a large part is russian oil and goes through the baltic sea, and there is denmark and the straits, the danes, they will most likely or definitely require insurance. well, i already see some weak points in this scheme. well, first of all, you are right in saying that the price can rise and, accordingly, russia is enough will sell less oil but get a larger , larger type and for those deliveries where they can bypass this insurance, and secondly, it is possible that they can insure the tankers themselves, give them some state guarantees of their own or create new insurance companies, not british, but chinese, indian. and what will happen to do with this well , first of all, let's say that any sanctions can be circumvented precisely in order to prevent russia's benefit from the price increase, a ceiling time outside the
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ceiling is introduced and they can't sell so much and we can already see it now before the fifth of december already sales of russian oil have decreased, and the countries of northern europe have already refused, and even there, china has suspended certain purchases and in order to figure out what will happen there after the fifth of december, because there will be anything, this is the best task for game theory professors because in addition to everything else, there is also the reaction of russia, which is currently unpredictable, because russia has already shown on the gas market that it can shoot itself in the foot, and theoretically we can hope that russia will keep its word literally, because now they say that if the desert will be introduced, those countries that support the ceiling will not receive oil, and some others say that they will not fulfill any contracts that are tied to the ceiling, so the question is important to understand what they will do, because if they say in principle that we will not insure according to your rules, then this will repeat the situation on
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the gas market and russia itself will stop the supply of gas , e.e. oil, how did it stop with gas, and this will significantly affect the income of the russian budget, maybe this income is not so important to them, they have funds there they accumulated funds, accumulated and they can play such poker and make a poker face to say that they don't really need this money and somehow survive there for half a year and a year without these oil revenues on their old reserves. meanwhile, what will happen in europe without oil or does it have there is some alternative well, look at the alternative in the usa, there is indeed an alternative if russia completely stops supplies, this will lead to an increase in prices, but now there is a very positive story on the oil market, whether or not they are falling, for example , there on friday, when i was leaving the office, the price was 86 having decreased there from 100 plus in the last month, is it
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because of the re-war recession or due to the next covid restrictions in china and so on and so on, but the price is now falling, so theoretically it cannot grow significantly russia ukraine gas station but not the only country without a mirror in the world e- the arabs will wait until the price rises by 100. if suddenly there is an increase in the price and then they will simply supply more oil to them. this story is beneficial, but it is also not necessary to unbalance the market too much, and russia cannot survive without oil of income, there are indeed funds, they can print money, but this will already have an irreversible economic effect , e.e., these incomes are not such that the previous periods will be enough. moreover, a large part of these incomes is frozen when you start printing funds for the real money that enters the country. this is already way vadym, the end plus it is necessary to understand that the heaviness of the effect of sanctions against russia was due to the fact that they have a trade deficit surplus due to the
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sale of oil, and therefore a lot of dollars entered the country, which did not leave because there are no imports now if these dollars stop coming in and at the same time everything in russia starts printing rubles, then this will actually cause the ruble to collapse and will already lead to more catastrophic consequences in the economy, well, that is, a repeat of the 90s and hyperinflation, as you say about it. yes, in that including about this, we talked about this price ceiling, but never once did we name the figures, which price restrictions are offered, which countries offer larger ones, smaller ones, and whether there is already a consensus on this issue within europe, there is a country that, again, i hope that if the ceiling will be at a decent level, then russia will continue to supply oil, this is a country that is engaged in transportation, that is, greece and malta, they own a
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tanker, well, the companies of these countries are young and so ceramic, and they hope that russia will not get on the horn and after receiving this ceiling on this the prices there are 60-70 dollars , plus or minus on that ditch, they are already selling oil now that they will not withdraw and continue the supply, this is their rate - this is their hope . the baltic countries who just want to hurt russia as much as possible and they are talking about $30. but the plus-minus ceiling is realistically discussed, the ceiling there is $60 plus $30, which is below the cost price. as far as i understand, that is, it is actually here. amber suggests that the cost price there is much higher than $30 in fact. especially since the cost price is calculated in rubles. and if it is 30, then the ruble devaluation will take place and everything will be settled, well, the last question is probably such a
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worldview. we remember how we fell apart the soviet union was also changed in the global oil market, and there is a theory that this was one of the reasons for the publicity of the ussr. could such a change in oil prices in the world destroy russia this time? well, for now that the price does not fall, as the price fell during the collapse of the soviet union, plus you have to understand that this is not the only reason, the reason that there was nothing to eat, and the ussr was so crazy that it imported food, and in fact, in the 88-89 years, it was already in default because of this constant trade deficit because the economy was super inefficient no there was a normal agricultural market and we had to feed ourselves with what could be bought in canada and so on. now it doesn’t work very well because russia is now as big as ukraine. by the way, it is a big
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exporter of agricultural products, so it won’t be easy right away serhii understood there is no time to talk further but the idea is clear while we still have to try and introduce new sanctions against russia serhiy fursa, investment banker, representative of the dragon capital company was on our air, they talked about barvy oil and the ceiling price for russian oil emberga will be introduced from december 5 and i'm andrienitskyi with economic news on espresso together we will win the war is going on and not only for territories it's also a war for umy russia is throwing millions of naftodors to turn ukrainians into little russians ukraine will become russia analysis and analysis of information about ukraine by russian propagandists specific facts and methods by which hostile propaganda turns people into obedient zombies to counter it
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information attacks of the russians in the project of the chronicle of the information war with olga leni tuesday thursday at 11:40 a.m. and fridays at 1:00 p.m. on the espresso tv channel, every week on saturdays, the political club helps to understand the processes taking place in ukraine and the world. vitaly portnikov, the host of espresso and invitations, experts based on facts give their assessment and forecast of the development of events. do you want to understand how ours will affect today? for our tomorrow, look at saturday's political club, that saturdays are not espresso, let's talk about the defender well, listen, the defender of ukraine sees in the dark as if during the day, hears his brothers for kilometers around, you can move quickly in any area

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