tv [untitled] December 5, 2022 10:30am-11:01am EET
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there was a modern aggressor, but today the more we understand that victory can only be in the right and the truth requires justice and justice pulls today behind or in front of itself a great sacrifice made by the ukrainian people who make up specific sons in the family, but it changes history it does not in vain even today, the humble young community that you so generously support gives meaning , gives people, gives style, they are only talking about the slogan
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, it is not enough to say glory to jesus christ glory to ukraine glory to the heroes and the question is to live with us to suffer gloriously and to be married as martyrs do to live gloriously reaching out to the most needy to the outcasts to laugh gloriously when it hurts when it is cold when it is dark we are with you today restraint we are restrained and focused we look forward and we do not doubt god the truth
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will prevail i thank you for this stability , concentration, training. this good laugh is also for the certainty that together we will pass this test and become their members of the new europe, which is able not only to the needy, we are no longer pumpers, but we are a donor donors of content in the style of i really miss
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being with you, you know, walking next to you, hugging, shaking hands, but we will do it soon, i will be able to thank you from all of us in different countries and on different continents. meanwhile, here in america we are trying to do what we can, we are happy that our country has already appointed and handed over 50 billion here in ukraine, we will continue to work here and you work together, stick together and do not doubt god's truth of the winners glory to ukraine glory to the heroes glory to jesus
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christ forever thank god they listened to the metropolitan of the philadelphia archy of the ugcc party, boris gudziak , the president of ukus from the usa, he addressed the kyiv friends of uku and thanked for the support of the university at a charity dinner in support of ukus important words, let's repeat once more, let's remember victory can only be in the truth and the truth requires justice, i would say thank you for participation. well,
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the last information about the massacre, the russian aviation in the morning today, december 5, struck the civilian infrastructure of kupyansk with s-300 missiles, according to preliminary data, a civilian woman was killed. about this the head of the kharkiv region, oleg sinii gubov, said that after 4:00 a.m., the russians hit the civil infrastructure of kupyansk with an ms 300 missile, according to preliminary data from the law enforcement officers , a woman died as a result of the occupiers' strikes on kupyansk. detailed information is being clarified. in addition to kupyansk, the enemy fired artillery at populated areas of kharkiv's chuguyiv and izyum districts, we will report on the consequences of shelling well, today the oil embargo against the russian federation on the part of the european union, this new upper limit for exported russian oil cannot exceed $35 per barrel, and this is almost $50 below market
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prices, what will it change, how did these restrictions begin, what are the reactions, we will ask volodymyr omelchenko, director of the center's energy programs razumkov p. volodymyr good day good health i congratulate you too good health to you too eh in russia they are reacting saying that then we won't give oil like this please tell us about how it started limited, this embargo has begun. and what will be the effect of it? you need not to mix the barge and the price ceiling for i.e. the press. cap for oil because these are different things. now the ban on buying russian oil in general was announced by the countries of the european union, except for hungary, for hungary they made an exception, i.e. as a result of this embargo, russia will lose about
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120 million tons of oil exports per year or more than 50% of all oil exports in relation to the ceiling of $60, i.e. the kepa price for oil - this is another additional measure that should serve to e-e so in some way other markets also reacted to it. for this year, the colors of the european union, that is, in my opinion, the ceiling is 60 dollars. i agree with president volodymyr zelenskyi. for example, in the ports of the baltic sea at a price of $52-56 per barrel there, that is, less than the ceiling that has been established, so in principle, yes, such a measure
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will have little effect, but the main one. i would like to emphasize the positive for ukraine and for in general for the world, the fact that russia will not continue to receive tens of billions of dollars every month, probably even from the cargo for its oil on the oil and european union markets, and this will reduce the possibilities of financing armed aggression against ukraine, mr. volodymyr, why was it not possible to reduce this ceiling price price ceilings, because even here, in our script, it is written that at 60 and 35 dollars , it will be difficult to reach this mark. and 60 was on the way out because they were afraid, first of all, they were afraid that russia would not agree and would not will simply deliver oil at such prices and as a result of e-markets the oil market may lose
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up to three million barrels per day which can significantly increase the prices of petroleum products especially this applies to the united states now you know the democratic party will connect well has low enough ratings and if if this happens, then the ratings of the democrats will decrease even more, so they are not only looking at the situation with the war with uh, that means some global goals, but also looking at their own, first of all, political prospects of the democratic party, the position of president biden, and that is why they, so to speak, supported exactly $60, so that it would not be reflected in the price indicators of gas stations in the united states. this is
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the first reason . 30-35 us dollars as a barrier, as offered by the baltic countries and poland, such countries as greece stood in the first place, malta, cyprus, which are powerful russian carriers of russian oil here. they also thought , and not without reason, that they would lose huge revenues if this ceiling will be very low vladimir's rules you mentioned the losses of the russian economy from these restrictions and if these losses are transferred, you said half of the market, as oil exports, russia can lose, and in absolute financial terms, that is, in dollars or euros, how much is it, what about what is the amount? well, if you compare, for example, with 20. well, somewhere this
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year, they are expected to earn 240 billion dollars from oil exports, 240 billion dollars, so, in principle , they can lose somewhere around half of this amount . 100-120 billion dollars well, they will be able to replace something, uh, i think that they will be able to replace 20-30 percent of these losses on the european market, they will be able to displace china, the chinese market, the indian market, the singaporean indonesian market, uh, that is, somewhere you can calculate that the losses from from this decision , russia will have 80,100 million dollars a year, well, in addition, we need to expect the introduction of an imperial tax on petroleum products by the european union on russian petroleum products from february 5, and this is about 60% of all market exports
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of oil products of russia. all measures combined will lead to the fact that oil production in russia may decrease by 25-30% next year. this means that russia has to preserve a significant number of oil wells, there are about 180,000 of them in russia. that is, they will preserve at least 40,000 wells. and you know that if you preserve these wells, they will become paraffinized and then it will be almost impossible to restore them . this will affect prices in the future for energy resources eh, having on international markets this will affect eh well, it will affect. i think it will not affect very much . to be honest, i think that these are some very big
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fears that sh- prices will rise sharply, there will be a jump, the target there will be up to $ 150-200, that's it, well, it's not serious, but you know that such forecasts there were also bloomberg - he made such predictions in the summer, i don't think that this will be seriously reflected in the market because this move of the russian part of russian oil there is approximately two million barrels . in himself china and to vladimir regarding the leaders of oil production in the world in general. this week, well, last week i already read about the fact that the usa now produces more oil than, for example, some countries of the persian gulf, in particular saudi arabia. what does this indicate and what does the usa seek in this
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situation well, really, in the united states, in recent years, they have increased oil production, as well as natural gas production, eh, this was especially the case during the trump administration, which granted certain benefits to oilmen and bigwigs on the fishing line. that means they thawed the wells, and production began . the biden administration is pursuing a different policy. it is more green. it emphasizes the development of green energy. this is absolutely correct. that is why i do not expect anything to happen under the biden administration. on the contrary, they found an increase in oil production. i think that oil production in the united states will decrease somewhat, but it will at a more powerful pace and to develop such a modern trend as the development of energy in the century and in general green
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energy what is happening now with stabilization measures in ukraine in terms of energy what do you evaluate them in the oil sector and gas or light at all, so today, from the fifth of december, the children are finally returning to stabilization shutdowns, not unplanned allergic so-called in the kyiv dnipropetrovsk and donetsk and odesa regions , we are returning to the schedule of stabilization shutdowns, whether for a long time, please, i confirm this , yes, yes, yes, yes. the data is fair and correct why it happened because it was possible to restore the operation of the nuclear units - this is chernivtsi this is at the khmelnytskyi station here i am being called from another excuse me that means at the khmelnytskyi station at
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the units of the rivne station resumed operation and, in addition, repaired the repaired and made new schemes for the supply of electric energy on the 330 kv networks. the schedule of emergency shutdowns is good, i also wanted to ask about the zaporizhzhia station in conclusion, the russians are very actively spreading the information that they are ready to leave well, at least the russian military might be ready to withdraw from the zaporizhia nuclear plant in exchange for something there, well, for example, for the transportation of oil and gas from the territory of ukraine to europe and the return of control over the zaporizhia nuclear plant, it
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somehow affects the stability of the energy system in general in to the country or not, please mean well, i think that the zaporizhzhia station is the key object of our energy industry, it provides 25% of all energy e-e supplies of electricity. in principle, it can provide in the case of work and this is really very important at this point, unfortunately, the connection with volodymyr omelchenko was interrupted. thank you for including the center's programs. razumkova joined. thank you, we are moving on . olga we congratulate you now we will hear you, we hope
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for grain well and food security in general, even energy security, let's talk with you later, this is such a very interesting figure, er, bloomberg - it was written by they refer to the program on food security of agriculture that russia has already stolen at least a billion dollars worth of grain from ukraine. is this an objective figure? olga and your assessment. yes, thank you very much, the topic is really big. community, and not only experts, but in general there was everyone who takes care of security issues. and if we talk about the actual figure, our ukrainian e-e experts, including myself, consider it to be understated, although here i think we are really talking about about only the stolen wheat from the occupied territories . if we talk about, in general, the stolen grain
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from the territory, including those that have already been de-occupied, the same part of the kherson region, and so on, then i think that these losses can be safely estimated at a minimum of 2 billion dollars i think that our experts, including those from the kyiv school of economics from specialized institutions, are still counting a little more accurately, but today i think that a billion dollars is even a low figure . grains in ukraine, how do they renew their losses , after all, 1 billion dollars well, this is a significant number, especially in war conditions, please yes to this . by the way, the same one is not bulon, by the way, and so on, these are large companies that are also engaged in production, and by the way, this is also
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the loss of small farmers, including yes, because under occupation or on these temporarily occupied territories are located in different ways the size of the producers, how do they recover from the losses? we don't know yet. the situation for our farmers is generally quite difficult today, and that's all we really are, if we're talking about grain theft, and everything we've been talking about since the very beginning and our profiles , including the farmers' association, prove this information, and the profiles of the ministry of agrarian policy also constantly say that record any weasel, record, photograph where possible, and your information about what you have it was clear that when you are directly in the scientific territory and there is something to do research, it is unlikely that you can do it right here today day in and day out. but nevertheless,
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pasha, your farm, if it is registered, we know something there, you have some kind of economic activity and yes next this is what is happening there today. this is the situation, all the same, it is necessary to fix everything . the investigation is actually at least the third such a large international investigation that tells not just how much grain was stolen, but which very uh, thanks to modern technologies, very clearly shows, and by which ships, by which routes, russia - this grain and where did it try to export it and therefore, in fact, there is more than enough evidence. i believe and i am absolutely sure that not only russia will be responsible. and it companies, by the way, are state-owned, among them there are russian e-traders who participate in this.
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it has not been done yet, if someone stole it, it means there is someone who stole it, someone who bought it is stolen, in principle, they are two people who are conditionally conditional criminals, are there any facts of punishment for trading and buying stolen grain, after all, the theft started in the spring, time has already passed enough please, well, you know it according to our and yours according to our and your estimates enough and we have, as we see with you, how international justice works, unfortunately, it is not such a quick matter and the main thing for today is once again yes the main thing is to at least really fix these cases and a-a hmm warn or prejudge i would say yes yes the attempts of some of our trading partners there really were situations to buy this grain back in the summer er what i think our viewers remember when there were the first certain messages about turkey and we, from the ministry of foreign affairs, including the general prosecutor's office,
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worked very actively with our turkish colleagues on these issues, yes, to warn them against buying stolen goods, but there are countries, let's say, like syria or iran which are not very or by the way, north korea, which i might not buy there with my own money, but i fell in love with russia, and now i’m bartering, for example, for some, i don’t know. there is some hesitation, this seed will be taken, and accordingly, let's say so , everything will still be in the works, we can see once again from the examples of those investigations in the previous ones. will it take time ? the investigation is mostly this journalistic work, what are the legal consequences? are
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there already or just in the process? yes . proof, please, everything is transparent, everything will turn out yes, yes, it’s really not clear that this is really so, but then the lawyers start telling us, well, no, unfortunately, it doesn’t work like that, you really need to prove it yes, that this grain is from ukraine, but what about when russia says but no, well, i'm a ukrainian zno and this is ours. please. how can you prove that it is ukrainian? that's why we worked and continue to work with international organizations. for example, they can conduct an analysis, take samples . from ukraine and not from russian sources. but
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you know here russia resorts to basically the same tricks, let’s call it the little criminal, such a terrorist series, and they are like berries with oil, for example, yes, that is, these attempts to mix and so on, to make it more difficult to celebrate, this is what they do, uh, they always do and try to do with grain, and that's why there is still work going on now. believe me, it's not easy once again. unfortunately, but nevertheless, we are really collecting evidence very well carefully, and our farmers and traders, and the magazines help us a lot, and the investigators, accordingly, i am absolutely sure that the evidence base will be enough to hold them accountable and pay out and compensate for the losses caused to our agricultural workers. schoolgirls in a word, what do the lawyers you consult with each other say, what is the probability of proving, and
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what can be the compensations paid by russia for this crime, well, at least compensations , if we say yes, the same value of the stolen goods, definitely plus there are definitely some percentages and the like, that is, i will honestly say that there are no specific amounts currently being discussed, but mechanisms are also being discussed regarding the assessment by lawyers, well, lawyers, you know. they are usually such people, very meticulous and er, familiarly valuable, so there yes skeptics with large-scale transport are always there. rather, they say less than that. but nevertheless, they evaluate it as quite enough, let’s say yes, positively. but what can be done to really hold russia accountable, that is, no one says, oh, and no, it’s a hopeless case at all . on the contrary, once again, we always appeal to the farmers to please take pictures, fix it
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and do everything possible there. so that there are some documents left, there are still some confirmations that this is real. these are the types of thefts that were carried out so that we could celebrate the whole chain from the actual yes there from the silo or from the field and that e that ship there or the syrian porterno tried to conduct about the ethiopian port to the relay it is called as part of the humanitarian program grain from ukraine i.e. grain from ukraine the first is still in 25 000 t of ukrainian wheat for the residents of ethiopia arrived at the port before the relay. did they play it right ? the participation of our russian partners well, they are partners in our grain business, the russians ask correctly, these are the partners of cherkasy region, no, no, it does not come back from
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which to call ah, this is how the grain corridor works, not as fast as we would like. of ships and this was caused by two a-a factors , in fact, one objective one is that the weather conditions were not so optimal, therefore, accordingly, fewer ships went through the grain corridor during the day than planned, and on the other hand, we still see these attempts on the part of russia are of course not to block, but what is to block the work of the grain corridor of the grain agreement, and attempts to slow down, let's say, the movement of 20 vessels. because they are not our partners in this sense, but they are , unfortunately, participants, yes of this agreement, and accordingly, representatives of russia also work in inspection groups in the coordination center in istanbul. well, accordingly, of course , the speed of the grain corridor’s work, which is so normal today, depends on them and on their work.
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could be better but nevertheless the corridor works and it is good because well, it is extremely important to us yes , we have already talked about this that it is really very important for ukrainian farmers and the very fact that grain is exported that we have this opportunity to sell grain on foreign markets to earn and funds for the budget and for our farmers to also receive funds for their products. if we talk about the grain from ukraine program, then this is another additional element that was initiated by president zelensky, which on the one hand allows, let's say so to break this er informational propaganda narrative of russia that and you see that grain does not go to er needy countries through this grain corridor, that's exactly what ukraine's granddron is aimed at so that thanks to our partner countries, the countries of the european union in canada, the united states, which have already joined this program and
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export grain to such hot spots as you mentioned ethiopia. and now we are also talking about the sudanese and just small and other such countries where the situation is really quite difficult with security. that is why it is there is also such an additional very good factor that will allow, let's say yes, hmm, to expand the work of this grain corridor by not much , by 1-2 ships per month, i think so . of grain from our farmers, this is for such e-programs yuliya and the last question just of a private nature, what is written on your t-shirt or do we see only you from our borscht wide red red thank you
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