if they stop clinging to their, you know, these logistical routes, their logistics will fall apart because, well, let's just say that we all just celebrated in october the descent of the grace of the divine fire on the crimean bridges, somehow they would have forgotten what it was at all the event , that is, the decommissioning of the crimean bridge has a global significance in the analogies of the russian occupiers, because in general, according to the data that is publicly available, the crimean bridge was reworked there for a day or so by road and railway part somewhere there is 35,000 tons of cargo over there per day well, it would seem a little, we are about 25-30 full of such open railway echelons but you show that these 25-30 full-fledged logistics echelons they need not to drive along one highway for their occupying forces, but to try well, spray along the entire front line and now every road becomes important for them, for every road they will have to fight in the end, taking into account the fact that the russians are very much in the trees, they are forced

to take equipment for their why would they just they didn't get cold before that, let's go on the attack, well, there somewhere they are trying to order quilters in belarus, somewhere they are trying to show. we are trying to get a viranna, and they say, those bulletproof vests, you are there, that is already russian, iranian, there are boots, what quilters are they, they are trying to sew in north korea it turns out that our list of outcast countries that at least have some winter equipment to ask them has, but the railways to deliver to them still need to be protected here too. only in one direction on bakhmut and so it turns out that in fact the russians are forced to disperse their offensive forces essentially along the entire front line and in principle well, let's put it this way, in fact they are not talking about one direction, now we are talking about five directions of attack but they it's just that everyone is talking about bakhmut

, that there is ours, that's why they have such a coming victory of russian weapons, but nevertheless, where can we argue the opposite here, why don't they admit that they are now gnawing at these directions because they understand that if they don't get at least something, then they will get rained out and the crimean bridge will not be rebuilt later, purely because they will lose the war . i understand that everything already has an advantage in manpower, both in this direction and in other or several others, the quantity and advantage, fortunately, it does not grow into quality here, really. like yevhen, it is very apt from germany in terms of the fact that in terms of organization, we, you, we are fighting with the finished opponent because even the one that concerns well, there is a certain amount of chumobikes flowing there, but weapons and they can’t, and there was such a good example about non -bmp three that there somewhere, uh, medvedev went from the next inspection, it seems to the kurgan mashuzavod, he said

another ceremony in the style of nado i'm still thinking about increasing the russian world, and that's despite the fact that he came to distribute nuts to the factory that disrupted the contract production of the bmp-3. instead of nine months, they didn't manage it in 12. well, except for that. well, really, here we have to note that we really have the resources that allow us to draw the numerical superiority of the russians in manpower, and let's just say there was a lot of talk about 152 mm 52nd shells . time has run out, so thank you, it was ivan kyrychevskyi, a military expert, defect express, and i, like yevhen karas, urge you to subscribe to it, as well as yevhen karas, who added to our activism, well, let's meet in a week, i hope in a better situation well than than even now there are people here that suffering and arthrosis

are changing, right? i smeared dolgit in the morning. now let the dolgit cream relieve pain, reduce swelling and improve the mobility of the joints, because the joints are already broken, the only yellow cream for pain in the joints and back, ask at the pharmacies good day pharmacy and one social pharmacy dolgit cream 100 g with a 20% discount war has raised its head again in europe, reminding us of the darkest hours of our history franz 24 constantly covers events in ukraine, our team on the ground and in the studio will inform you about the dynamics events, look at the latest news from franz 24 in ukrainian on espresso war is going on and not only for

territories, it is also a war for umy russia is throwing millions of petrodollars to turn ukrainians into little russians ukraine will become russia analysis and analysis of information about ukraine by russian propagandists concrete facts and methods for with the help of which hostile propaganda turns people into obedient zombies of the historical vote residents of the ldr let's counter the information attacks of the russians in the project of the chronicle of the information war with olga leni tuesday thursday at 11:40 a.m. and friday at 1:00 p.m. on the espresso tv channel andriy yanitskyi with economic news on the espresso tv channel as usual at eight o'clock live on weekday evenings at 11:00 p.m. with a repeat and when it's

convenient for you on the internet by the way, leave your comments on the internet, if possible, i will answer your questions in the next editions of the program, so don't hesitate to write everything that bothers you. well, like it, send the link to your friends and family, subscribe to the youtube channel espresso, yes, we are dating, there are more people, dew there will not transfer megate control over zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant such a statement was made by the adviser to the general director of the concern, renat karchar. he says that the organization does not have a mandate to manage nuclear plants and notes that in principle it is impossible. they say that such procedures are not regulated either by the megate a charter or by other international legal documents. karchar specified that the international the agency for atomic energy has many mandates, but this organization should take care of

nuclear safety and not manage a nuclear power plant, previously the general director of megater rafael grossi expressed hope that the situation around the zaporizhzhia npp will be resolved by the end of the year. i will remind you that the nuclear power plant in energodar, zaporizhzhia region, has been occupied by russian troops since march 4. the other day, entrepreneurs and restaurateurs united in berdychev and held a charity fair in order to raise money for a generator for our military correspondents saw how this event took place before the war svitlana was a housewife, and with the beginning of a full-scale invasion, a woman helps ukrainian defenders on the first day, when she did everything at home, baked bread, pies, baked everything and gave my boyfriend to the teroboron, and when i received a question whether i

could join this event. yes, i joined the borscht. it was yesterday sausages buckwheat dumplings jello pastries were made in advance not for sale money in hand no one takes money here people choose what they want to taste and put bills in boxes right there on grills and in cauldrons borscht is being prepared kulish and meat here the armed forces support that since the very beginning of the war we have been helping each and every one of us. mackerel kebab from the grill, the initiator of the event, a local restaurateur, before the war, a woman says that her

restaurant was open now, not because of her business, only a shop in the village is open, but she is convinced that it does not interfere with helping the military, you know, if i were younger, i would cook food for the boys there today the idea of ​​a charity fair is not just about placing boxes and announcing a collection for the army, together with like-minded people, we wanted to organize a gastronomic cultural event for the people, the guys are freezing in front there today as they cook food on fire pits, that's how we cook today. we want people to feel that atmosphere in the cold, without light, without heat . our boys are fighting.

to be comrades in this work of ours, the photo exhibition showed the consequences of the war in ukraine berdichev residents willingly joined the fair to support the military for us not to intimidate with any blackouts or shelling despite everything we will unite and we will be together we will go out on the square we will collect donations armed forces of ukraine and help our armed forces and immigrants and residents of the occupied territories . the unit of which collected funds oleksandr from berdichev just came home for a few days' vacation, the guy is bound by organization and a sincere desire to support from his compatriots. i think that now , during the total war of destruction that the russian federation is waging against us, this is the best such reason to meet and gather to support our

army and in general to see each other not just to celebrate there while the blood is flowing on the fronts, but to really do it with some benefit for our army and for the people as a whole, nowadays he and his brothers lack diesel the most generator for military personnel, in total, almost a hundred thousand hryvnias were collected from zhytomyr oblast yuliya synelnikova vitaly synelnikov espresso tv channel well, there is the reaction of our viewers immediately under the stream on youtube in the chat i see what maryana hudakova writes that ukrainians are well done shrek dobryak, well, this is such a nickname, i love ukrainians the girls will be fed and warmed with a warm word. glory to the nation, says larisa chuprova, indeed, glory to heroes and death to enemies . and now we will have guest economists with us.

associate expert e-e analytical center case ukraine evgeny dubogres and financial analyst of the icu group of companies mykhailo demkiv congratulations good morning good morning and the topic of our conversation today is also dictated by the request of our viewers who wrote to me and said that if you go to the store you will leave everything there you get paid, there is nothing in that package. there is nothing to eat. why are the prices so high? let's talk about it. i have a sign from the state statistics committee where i can see the prices of products as of october increased in price by 32%, um, and seven tenths, and in particular , uh, if we take some specific categories, eggs increased the most by 63%, fruits and vegetables

also increased by 50 and 80%, respectively well, mr. yevgeny, let's talk with you about why this is what is happening, why exactly are food products becoming more expensive so quickly, why are these items, how do they calculate inflation at all, it is getting more expensive now, there are even more numbers if you take the manual measurement of inflation it is already 26.6, it was 26 and 6% in october, well, they will continue to grow, why so, if you take it that way very briefly but how to get the three main reasons in the world, they are as follows: firstly, inflation is developing in the world, it is more expensive and everything, the inflation in developed countries, the same eurozone, has already exceeded 8%, in neighboring poland , it is generally 17%. the second point is that due to the war in ukraine and the war in europe, world money

is fleeing to the united states, and this leads to an appreciation, including, first of all, of the american dollar, and we have a lot of imports, a lot of prices are tied to the dollar, and that is why it is still imported inflation and the third moment are key. of course, this is what we have war and war is, first of all, growth, and secondly , there is very high uncertainty, and when there is this uncertainty, the business does not know what to plan next. there is a conspiracy, and because simply in conditions of uncertainty, business - it also has to survive, has to raise prices for what is going on, so-called cost inflation is going on, that is, costs are increasing throughout the chain, costs are increasing to produce something , to deliver something to people, and therefore prices are increasing, and unfortunately yes, let's be honest until the end of the year, at least for example and at the beginning of next year,

inflation will increase even further, forecasts are now somewhere at the level of 30-33% inflation until the end of the year and only well, somewhere from the second quarter or even the second half of next year, it will decrease well , i can partly agree with regard to imported inflation , there really are such things as household appliances, they are also household appliances, we know that we mostly buy imported ones, and they have become more expensive by a third, by 30 and 9/10%, but here are household items by a total of 25%, furniture became more expensive by 23%, mr. mykhailo, how does it happen that, uh, different positions become more expensive at different distances and we see different percentages for different positions, but somehow it all averages out, and at the end of the year, mr. yevhen says, it will be

30-33 inflation and how is this figure formed, what is the methodology, every time i go to the supermarket, it seems as if i buy the same products, and the total amount is different because, well, i bought more such products, more vegetables , in order to have some -e permanent set eh a set of products, services, etc. the state statistics service, which calculates inflation, has a list of a huge number of food, alcohol, cigarettes, etc., services such as haircuts, trips to restaurants, etc., which have a certain weight and by tracking how the prices of these products change, it forms the consumer basket of a ukrainian which is definitely not the same for every ukrainian, well, definitely no one buys

furniture every month in the same pregnancy, but it allows you to calculate how much the real price has changed, the price of goods has changed, if it does not change, then how much do we buy in order to be able to calculate objectively and consumer-wise, the basket of ukrainians corresponds to plus or minus how we live, and more than half of it is actually food, because let's be honest , ukraine is not a super rich country and accordingly , for the average ukrainian, the main article of products is food and other products, which is the most expensive now, the price of which is the most acute , because a lot of people have become tight and this consumer basket for them is not at all relevant now, because that they buy less furniture there, some products that are not needed at the moment, but actually

products, and here are eggs, other items that have increased in price the most now, cross and they hit the pockets of ukrainians very painfully, that is, there are such families who keep home accounting enter all their expenses in a table and or a special program, there are now many applications for smartphones that allow you to do this. and if you do it for a long time and record all your expenses, then you can compare your expenses in october with your expenses in in november and so on, accordingly calculate your personal inflation for your own as statistics and households say, they operate with such a term well, it is easier for me to say family so uh and in this way we can see our personal inflation in whom it will be higher it will be higher in a wealthy family which can afford to buy cars and maybe change it more than once a year, or in

the average income of such a family that lives well, and can afford to buy, for example, household appliances, in principle, there is enough money for food for everything other e p mykhailo, let's continue e, is there a difference in how prices rise for such families and how they feel this increase on themselves? i think that if we calculate as you say, then in principle the amount will grow by a greater e-e no more indicator than inflation that uh, assuming that people 's well-being increases over time, they start to buy some slightly better goods, slightly more expensive goods , respectively, their total expenses will be more, i think that inflation for wealthier families will definitely be a higher indicator, because on the mm it is assumed that they buy more imported goods, the prices of which have risen faster, but due to

the fact that the percentage of spending on financing products in wealthy families is much lower than that of poorer ones, they do not feel this growth so acutely, they only have a lot of money left on others on other things and if the share of products increases little by little well, what about a poor person who spends almost all of his money on food, these price increases mean buying less food, eating less, i.e. more wealthy families may just reduce the percentage they save or invest, that is, savings, but it will not be reflected in everyday life. well, maybe they will change one restaurant to another, but they will definitely not stop eating and , uh, they will not save on food. noted that inflation is increasing all over the world in

ukraine, i understand that there is a reason for this, there is a war, there are problems with logistics and broken well, for example , the capture of occupied poultry farms is what made eggs more expensive, and what is happening in other it seems like everything should be fine in countries there why are prices rising there look if very short and very simplified yes how they say for all of us to explain uh during confession a lot of money was printed by the government of developed countries just to help their taxpayers to help their residents and this turned out to include high inflation, because sooner or later this money ends up on the market and people simply begin to consume more, begin to raise prices, begin to raise salaries, and this all results in if you know, it's very simplified, plus in some countries there are, as economists say, uh, that's

a euphemism, certain miscalculations in the monitoring policy of central banks, that is, sometimes central banks start printing much more money than they actually need, a classic example is turkey, where there is manipulation of the interest rate accounting manipulation with the friend of money, manipulation of the exchange rate, they referred to the fact that already 84% of inflation is a decisive dimension in our country. it is the same in some other countries, but even in developed countries, we must understand that inflation is now increasing if, er, the usa, europe, as they say, they are now preparing and i.e. putting these inflations somewhere in the region of two percent plus or minus 01%, that is, it is currently growing by 7-8%. it is because of this large printing of money and in general that the world is currently experiencing, you know, as they say, a redistribution of cash flows, investors do not really know where else to go in what securities besides dollar ones, and therefore this uncertainty also

creates rising prices, rising asset prices, rising salaries somewhere expenses and therefore it is confidence, it also affects what they say global inflation and the worst thing so far, people don't really know how to deal with it effectively and quickly, they understand that this story is not for one year. apparently , mr. mykhailo, is there anything to add to the words of mr. yevgeny, where are the prices rising the most right now? and why are they rising? your analysis, please, well, in fact, in countries like turkey and much less wealthy countries, high inflation is not something extraordinary , it was and has been for many years in the past. but in the eurozone of the united states, they already have high inflation, people have long forgotten it of the past it was probably once in the 70s, but even low inflation, uh, in the eurozone, for example, for the previous 20

years, it amounted to approximately 2% per year, and for what years it was zero there, but due to the fact that this inflation accumulates year after year per year, in this small period of time, 20 years, prices have increased by half a euro in europe, so what can we say. already about countries with much weaker currencies, inflation is a problem, it is evil. and the fact that it has accelerated and i see a lot of forecasts it is about the fact that in the developed world it is not a fact in the coming years, it will definitely decrease a lot. it will affect the living world very much. it will add a lot of problems to politicians. now politicians in the world have tried to find some ways

to make life easier for people. excise taxes on fuel, all at the expense of taxpayers, of course, in order to redistribute funds in this way and make life somewhere for the least affluent sections of the population, who most acutely react to price increases it’s easier to do it somewhere, and that’s if it weren’t for this terrible war, uh, inflation problems, it would be number one throughout the entire 22nd year, but russia pushed them to the background. here are the economists. strange people. i heard that when they didn’t grow, they didn’t grow quickly, on the contrary there were zero in the eurozone, then they also said that it was bad. now you say that it is not the rise in prices - it is still bad, let's decide if prices do not rise at all. well, i understand that it is probably good for an ordinary person. andriy, the story is that

the best inflation is, firstly, low, and secondly, stable low inflation means that it is somewhere not higher than 5%. it helps economic agents to raise prices a little, you know, this kind of psychological effect that if a person, if a person's salary is constantly raised a little, if a business raises prices a little, he feels confident that this means low and stable, that it does not jump, it does not change from year to year this is the best inflation, what exactly is the level to consider low, well, the national bank has a term that level is such an interesting person does not notice changes during the year does not include visible changes in its consumer basket, that is, in our country it is somewhere around five percent in the eurozone it is about 2%, but the main thing is that it should be stable inflation at 0% it is bad because it has a bad effect on consumer sentiment it has a bad effect, especially on the mood and

business, the business is trying to earn more, but it cannot because prices do not rise and it simply suppresses economic activity, so inflation must be low and stable, this is what she and mr. mykhailo demand from you, the last questions for you well, of course, this is not such a period now, but someday it will start again and people will start saying again that it seems that inhalation is slowing down, this is what the data of the national bank shows on television, they say that price growth is slowing down and i don't notice this when i go to the store, why is this effect maybe i don't have a complaint about the methodology here, rather the terms themselves. they mislead somewhere because when we hear the news that inflation has decreased, it does not mean that prices have become lower, it means that prices and so on continue to grow, but their rate of growth

is lower than it was before, but let's take this year, we talked about a forecast of 30%. this is a lot if inflation somehow changes to 10% next year. this does not mean that they will not be smaller, it means that in two years the prices will increase even by 40%, and by 43% due to compound interest, and for a person who, as recently as two years ago, remembered one price a now she has almost half the price, uh, it's higher for her, she doesn't feel this growth, but according to the methodology, inflation has slowed down and this is a positive , that is, we will expect this positive even if you do not feel in your wallet that the prices are decreasing, they are not decreasing, but their growth may even out, that is, the prices will increase more slowly, but they will still increase, mr.

mykhailo, thank you, sir yevgeny, and thank you, we were with us yevhen dubagrace urea expert of analytical center case ukraine mykhailo demkiv financial analyst of invest group icu and i andriy yanitskyi host of the program economics on espresso together we will win, join the community with a ukrainian view of the world, become a sponsor of the espresso youtube channel, and this is access to exclusive content, personal thanks, fixed comments , special icons and the possibility of personal communication with the espresso team, click sponsor and become part of the community with a ukrainian view, i am iryna koval, mother, wife, tv channel host espresso and i'm also a volunteer, our

soldiers at the front need a lot of things every day and that's why it's part of my life today - it's help to the armed forces of ukraine and i'm very grateful to my colleagues that they support me in this, the war has become a part of each of us, i try to find the strength in myself not to despair and continue to help our soldiers, in the end, the strength to wake up every morning is given by the tireless work of volunteers, my favorite work and the closest people are near, but the most inspiring to live are our defenders i thank our defenders for the opportunity to feel alive and support them financially, each of you