despite the war, ukrainian business finds a knife and develops, it opens even if it is possible, even in the conditions of such uh, partial blackouts , new stores open. food, age-old restaurants are turning into such islands, points of invincibility , co-working spaces, which, uh, are now expanding the opportunity not only for there, the opportunity to work in such conditions, which are equipped with a generator, i.e. uninterrupted power supply via the internet connection, but also the opportunity for citizens, there are many examples from the history of the great company from the outlet of others that provide such shelters, the opportunity to recharge in the most difficult times for ukrainians, and the number of such entrepreneurs who have closed down their activities is a preliminary assessment according to surveys conducted by

various represented polls conducted by various well-known large ukrainian business associations. well , the so-called synctank, that is, the analytical center of ukraine, previously, well, it is not possible, but now it is called this figure can be from 5 to 10% - it is not big enough, that is, again, we know that the state is now revising the gdp growth forecast in big will reduce the drop, of course, rocket fire and other additional analytical data , information about how much it affects it has a negative impact on the development of the economy, that is, it is clear that it has hit and it will be in the negative from the point of view of our economic potential. painless is understandable for those who lose business or lose income and profit and are forced to

reduce there, this concept is not completely painless, but given the scale of other problems, in general, the scale of the conditions in which we are, that is enough. the economy, even in spite of such er excoordinating circumstances, remains a resonable anti-ice and there are chances that we er will not simply come out of this situation with dignity, and zmensh will lose much less than previously expected we will get out of this situation, and finally, mr. andriy, how do you assess the state of ukrainian entrepreneurship, ukrainian business, you see, you also mentioned white business and shadow business, now we have positive developments in the fact that business works according to clear, transparent rules. at least in our post-war

future, which we all dream of without a doubt, and this is evidenced by the indicators of the so-called level of the shadow economy, which follow-up mine columns and not only. that is, it can talk about expert surveys data that during the last months, childization, if it was not wanted. someone did not want it, it happens even in conditions of war, and it is becoming more socially conscious, let's say, understanding that the rules of the game must be fundamentally changed if we want to hold the state to win to win this war is not just to win and we are thinking about restoring modernization and building a new social contract there according to which we should have a minimal share or ideally there should not be a shadow economy at all if it is possible but unfortunately during the war there are certain temptations and they try to take advantage of them, of course, war is to whom, as they say, mother is her own.

unfortunately, there are many corrupt ones, and this also applies to the public private sector and that mix of these sectors where, traditionally, they try to make money on this, and unfortunately therefore, this is a phenomenon that we have to fight now and will have to fight in the future, that is, unfortunately, we are not unique in this phenomenon of the shadow economy, and it is inherent in many developed countries, and their share there depends, well, in many countries quite high, starting from illegal employment and ending with banal criminal offenses, which are also related to the shadow economy. andriy zablovskyi, head of sex , volodymyr fesenko, a political scientist, is now in touch with us. we knew about one in three nobel peace prizes, to

whom it would be awarded, we knew that belarus could not receive it, that the memorial no longer existed in russia, despite the fact that it continues to work and do probably a lot of useful things for your society, but please tell me, one in three nations, now according to your opinion, what is this act about, well, it is a project of political correctness of traditional western political correctness, which has been criticized a lot before for various reasons, but now they have decided to do it in conditions of war, eh this is supposedly a gesture in support of the opposition in russia, in belarus, it is a gesture in support of the human rights movement in these countries, since they are under pressure from the dictatorships of putin and lukashenka, but when you know, he does such a thing

mix uh, mix uh, unite representatives of ukraine, russia, and belarus in the conditions of war. i'm not talking about what's going on in ukraine, and with all due respect to our human rights organization, which was awarded and which did a lot, but in my opinion, it was working there. well, i know it is possible to note that there would be several ukrainian spider protection organizations, and by the way , it would be separate, it would be correct because i will not name it now so that no one is offended to decide the countries and you say that this is political correctness but the executive director of the nobel center to the world, kyivska said no, we are handing over to specific organizations, it is not about the fact that we have united three countries, this trickery is again the same trickery that comes out for the minsk agreements and for its actions

towards russia, in my opinion, it is more honest, exactly honest in my opinion , the panshchinmayor did it responsibly. he was then the minister of foreign affairs in ukraine and was one of the architects of these developments in ukraine. although i used to criticize and condemn the actions of russia, i recognized the mistakes of the odnopil committee. there was criticism before, where others, in particular, as in the peace prize, but in this case, well, the logic is clear, but the logic is not quite right. we have the same events. yes, now it is necessary to support not just the human rights movement. i think that there were no problems at all if the human rights organizations supported the following year, but to support the ukrainian people, the

people who fight for peace, protect their country , their future, their homes, now the main peacemaker is the ukrainian people, yes, this is allegedly not quite in line with the traditions of the nobel prize to the committee, yes, they celebrate specific personalities, but i think it was more fair. let 's then look at their recent statements about peace through the eyes of russia in particular. piskov said that russia can end the war at least tomorrow, but there is a condition. you know the full statement. please comment on it and this again, simply imposing their own agenda, which no one accepts anymore, or whatever. well, first of all, it will become adequate, one thing, when they tried to impose their conditions on us in march, and there was the end of february, march, when the troops were near kiev a when they occupied a significant part of the ukrainian

territory. and now they were knocked out, they were knocked out from near kyiv, from the north of ukraine, from the kharkiv region, from kherson , and even after that they are trying to impose something on us because of its inadequacy, but on the other hand , even western observers admit that russia does not stop gives up his imperial ambitions does not want to give up his efforts to conquer ukrainian lands conquering ukraine and this is the problem - it is a challenge, by the way, it is a signal to western politicians to some western politicians because not all this is shared by those who want to negotiate peace with putin. if you want to, then you have to negotiate with putin and the people of piskov who want to preserve the occupation of ukrainian lands. this will not be peace for a while. then he will try

again to go against ukraine and against the west, but mr. volodymyr, i think you will agree with me, putin is still trying to kill two birds with one stone and still strengthen the support of his fellow citizens for the support of these goals that they announced it is possible in the future to mobilize and force the west into negotiations, although scholtz, in his last interview with e-e, the chancellor of germany said something that there will be no negotiations on the terms of the kremlin, they will only be if russia withdraws its troops and only then will it be possible to talk about some security limits and and security limits in the same european union, but not in ukraine, that is, when someone talks about

security limits, it is approximately the same as when president zelenskyi talks about international security guarantees for ukraine, in fact, it is um, a-a, what putin speaks and partly to the internal audience, although in fact other theses are used there, they want to connect the whole russian people by blood through blood through participation in the war through mass mobilization, then the intimidation from the semenians that even the kremlin janitor will be brought to responsibility. i think that she means herself by the kremlin janitor. well, she is afraid for herself. they will be held accountable for what, but they intimidate even simple people that russia will lose, but vladimir, judging by the way putin and piskov, they constantly change the goals of

this war and they announce them, and there you can already collect several dozen of these goals for these 10 months of a full-scale invasion, judging by everything and even defeat, they will find a way to justify it or, as in soviet times, they will say that the west won this is the enemy, that is, they still do not perceive this war as with ukraine. they still say that they are fighting a collective action on the territory of ukraine, well, putin is already doing it, he is trying to create a good image somehow a decent television picture with a very bad game with a very bad situation with this war, but i already mentioned well, in russia, they know about it the defeats in the kharkiv region, the defeat at kherson on and what happened earlier in the north of ukraine, and then he says everything is fine, everything is going according to plan a- and when you asked, you also correctly said that he already wants to conquer all of ukraine. he wants to conquer all of ukraine, and by the way, he wants to because when

he says that russia is the only one here, only russia can be the guarantor of ukrainian sovereignty. listen , this is such cynicism. a criminal country that attacked on us they are destroying our country, they occupied part of the country and they still say that only they can be an apparatus, but in fact he will not recognize the rest of ukraine, and if this does not work, then we will seize part of the ukrainian territory. and here he mentions peter the first, who allegedly peter and he called for a fight but forgot to say that peter lost, i don’t know, he doesn’t even know russian history well. well, because he lives in his invented alternative world in the history that he is trying to present now and together with his

henchman medvedeev a-a thank you, mr. volodymyr, for joining our broadcast and chatting. volodymyr fesenko, a political scientist, was live. well, we continue our broadcast, what about friends? we continue our broadcast at 5:43 already on the clock and further on the situation regarding air alarms, in particular the message that the alarm has already been set off in the mykolaiv region but at the same time odesa and luhansk region are still red more about what russia wants to achieve with missile terror with oleg ustenko and the adviser to the president of ukraine further oleg ustenko the adviser to the president of ukraine on economic issues joins our broadcast and marathon only news p olezhe, i am glad to see you. i congratulate you, and with your permission, at the beginning, i will voice some interesting information

that, again, was provided by the national bank of ukraine, but we will talk mainly about sanctions against the russian federation and we will partially touch on the topic of our economic situation in relation to what the national bank said. the attack of the russian federation on energy infrastructure facilities worsened the forecasts of the fall economy for this year and growth rates for next year but again, there are three basic three scenarios and under which it can happen a-- the best scenario is, of course, the prompt restoration of the energy infrastructure quite successful protection of the air space oh and energy infrastructure objects a this scenario is defined by the national bank as a basic one before we start talking about the sanctions policy and discuss in particular the ninth package of sanctions of the european union which is being discussed now, i would like to ask you to give an assessment of the last

massive missile shelling of ukraine to what extent it worsened our economic situation. i would say that the last shellings, what were they really, were the ones that were aimed at our energy infrastructure, because the last one, by the way, that took place we destroyed almost 90% of the rockets that were directed at us there, as i understand it, but with regard to the previous attacks that started on the 10th of october, these attacks were really so significant they i would say took away from us well approximately one two percent of our gdp in terms of our er drop already this year well additionally i would say 1-2%, er added to the drop this year 1-2% - that means

if we say with you, well, in such an absolute measure, we are talking about an amount of up to two billion dollars, and this is only when we are talking with you only about a drop in gdp instead of 30-32%, did you see that the forecast is a drop for this year was revised to 30 almost to 35%, but everything that concerns e next year and again this the last attack on us from the side of russia proved that our air and anti-missile defense functions effectively enough, which means that the possibilities for destruction, such as they were there even a few weeks later, the russian federation simply do not have, not because they do not have something has changed there, something has changed in us, in us, uh , our defense has improved, this means that we can

claim that for the next year, from the point of view of our economic growth, the forecast that was given earlier was already laid later in the state budget with respect to three or four percent growth for the next year, i would still leave it as a basic forecast, moreover, our economy is adapting, well, even despite all the difficulties, it is adapting to the situation that exists and can to work, well, even for such an emergency oral, if you want to make fun of the regime, i asked you a few days ago, the european barrage on russian oil began to operate, mr. lutsenko , can russia find ways to compensate for these losses , blumber wrote directly and about how much russia has already lost the fact that it cannot transport gas, but in the meantime, this country is getting away with it, although it is clear that in smaller volumes, no, all that russia is saying for this now is that they

will try to compensate for the losses that in they are going in the direction of oil, precisely in the direction of oil. they will not be able to compensate them, they will not be able to compensate them for several reasons, first of all, the $60, er, ceiling that has already been established basically reduces the income of their budget, plus er, all those who even try, as it were, not adhere to this styles they still follow it, that is, de jure no, but in fact they follow it, and we are talking about china and india, and they all buy russian cars at a colossal discount, which means that the revenues of the state budget of the russian federation are beginning to fall. i would say that this is the end of the russian economy as such, i have already said it many times, but just in case, i congratulate our viewers on the fact that any

additional escalation that will take place on the part of russia on our territory will mean that the price under this ceiling it will be reduced, it will be reviewed and will be reduced and i would not be surprised if we saw a fairly quick decrease of this style by 5-10 dollars eh from the first such escalation that the russians will try to do and you know our position was that oil should be traded at the level of production costs, but we will bring russia to these production cases quickly enough, and there is no time to make it, and about the statement of the chief economist of the state department, emily blancher, she generally said that stable and gloomy prospects for the russian economy and already for now, especially in the automotive sector a-a question how do you feel about the ninth package

of sanctions, which includes including aircraft engines and laptop hard drives, that is, pressure on russia continues pressure on russia continues, it is significant that i would pay attention in this ninth package of sanctions to the fact that their economy will be hit hard enough, everything that concerns again access to technology and to high-tech goods, without them they will not be able to function in the modern world if in in principle, you do not have access to technology, you can simply forget about your economic development forever, this is what awaits russia, moreover, in the 10th package of sanctions it is quite clearly stated that even those goods that have dual use, that is, they are not intended for the army in the first place and the army - it's just that they can be used even these goods will be blocked for export to the russian federation, there are several hundred people who will be sanctioned there, there are again banks

that will be under sanctions in this for the ninth package, the circle around it is simply shrinking so much that the economy will not be able to exit and all this bravado that is heard will scramble not only only this is the only bluff and bravado that we have seen before and see now and even all these efforts let us sell our grain or let us have the opportunity to sell our chemical products, but or give us the opportunity to sell at least something, which means that, in principle, there are not enough funds. that the army will not be financed, they will try to finance it in any way. they will not, they have already approved and in the budget, the expenses are increasing, despite the fact that they are a quarter of the budget this year for the war, but this means that they

will reduce expenses quickly enough for their entire social sector, the war will cost them not only problems in such a long period of time, i mean for ten years, exactly such problems they caused themselves after february 24, but this means that it will be quickly to impoverish the russian population, which was definitely not fattening before this. another question is whether they will continue to support the government, as they currently support it, well, that is the question, and now and then they do not raise their heads, then they have nothing left if they have swallowed this partial mobilization. that is - when the tsar tells the country to stand by the machine , they will stand by the machine, that is, if the country will return to these military rails, and here i would like to make one remark about the laptops of the same laptops, if it is, we will simplify with of the european union and sanctions on them, but

china is nearby, not all laptops come from the european union , but there are others. by the way, when will it be accepted by the european union? throughout the circle of our allies and no one will want to rush into the so-called secondary sanctions. and i would also add to what you said about their budgets. well, they will increase even this forecast. even what was approved in them budget for several years in advance, you can see how quickly the funds and expenses for their repressive apparatus are growing there, that is, on the opposite side, but there the expenses are growing fast enough, because if the king is the way he is, and everyone sees that he is the one who is bloodthirsty and not organized enough, then this is means that to maintain his

power, he should reduce spending on social welfare, but increase spending not so much on the army as on his own repressive apparatus in order to keep everyone everywhere, this is what they will try to do. and this, unfortunately, is such a flip side of any totalitarian regime, but it is also true. where did you and i start? one of the main reasons for the collapse of the soviet union from the point of view of the economy was not only that it was not competitive , its economy was simply that the energy supplies to of the state budget of the soviet union this is what awaits the russian federation and the end of the soviet union, we know how it was a complete collapse, but from the point of view of russia, this may also mean that they will simply be able to repeat that grandiose

the experience that was in 1991 from the point of view of the soviet union is nothing more than what happened five years ago, it is still being repeated. that is, it means that they were conserved in that world. and actually, for them, nothing has changed and the enemy for them is the same where in coons camera e thank you mr. olezhe oleg kostenko, adviser to the president of ukraine on economic issues, joined the marathon, the only news, we are moving on, ukraine seeks to change the status of a candidate for the eu to the status of a member of the european union, this was emphasized by the first deputy chairman oleksandr kornienko, according to him, the verkhovna rada of ukraine has already shown an example that the way to implement the recommendations of the european commission

is possible, as is the issue of implementing the recommendations. legislative support in general for the entire process of its integration, but we studied the experience of colleagues from the balkan countries from the baltic countries and came to the conclusion that the government should have such a leading role in this, that's all, have a good morning and afternoon, colleagues from ictv are picking up his ideas, our weapon is 300 years since the birth of grigory skovoroda, we studied for a long time to become who we are, we improved our skills and when the time came, we became for the defense of our country

, we apply our knowledge and skills to confront the enemy to bring our victory closer and return to our work we want to build and create, fix and construct but we are ready for resistance if you ask me who am i for sure ordinary i'm studying, working, what free time. but honestly

, i feel that it's not mine. of course, there are those whom i love, whom i cherish, the people for whom i am, the army, the rules of a warm country. kitchen. thank you for boiling only the necessary amount of water. your care warms better than a cup at least of stronger tea , we will overcome the winter together during a long-term power outage, prepare for yourself and your loved ones records of drinking technical water, warm clothes, food, charged batteries, find out in advance and save the contacts

of medical institutions and the addresses of emergency services with official sites or reference services of the administration of your settlement, get ready for us, we will defeat the darkness together, our weapon is the truth in the channel studio, council we continue the single moment , we will continue to work on information together, we are the only force, the only news in the center of events, we will strengthen the borders of ukraine with drones, join the gathering of the border guard