with it, large strike groups so far. so far we do not see it, but he himself does not announce it. and despite the hysteria about the possible involvement of the belarusian army, so far in belarus there are literally up to 5 battalions on the borders. this is a little and the forces with which you attack per country er four times more than that a-a therefore, so far of course this is not visible here, one must understand that this war is still taking place in the conditions of er-e actually effective development of the aerospace assistant therefore if this is the way to separately get the rural out of hand i think it will it's kind of difficult, because realistically, any major operation needs appropriate preparations, and they don't have any appropriate preparations now. well, it's clear, eh. somehow, it's not really a question to do it, it 's very nice to concentrate troops somewhere there , i don't know, in hungary, to attack transcarpathia, well, that's

a little bit, not about our time, so far i do n't expect anything like that well, that's exactly when viktor was speaking. it was part of that map, which was presented to show how successfully wagner is trying to storm bakhmut, how unsuccessfully , in parallel, there are troops there near in kharkiv region were they regrouping or retreating or what were they doing eh well and eh, since we already talked about what is very strongly marked in this, it is precisely near bakhmut that the whole situation is noted, after all, the ratio of artillery, then probably also the ratio of artillery, well, at least parity would be artillery eh- ours with russian might have softened this situation. perhaps this is how you can say it to express this opinion because so far there is no well-worn artillery there, they are pulling more and more artillery. judging by all this,

the main idea in principle is to concentrate there more sertilleria to still be broken. that's the only way i see it. let's talk near melitopol because, well, ughledarska near ughledarska. apparently , the attempt to storm something there ended with the fact that they couldn't advance anywhere. even now, they are giving little by little. that the russian army managed to capture a pavlovka there. how is it there, but near melitopol, it’s interesting that there were strikes, uh, by different means, by ukrainians, and uh , a bridge was blown up that couldn’t. it is unlikely that two important bridges will be able to pass over it now. heavy equipment will soon pass, the russians are saying something that they will be able to set up some kind of crossing here in about two months or so, but

so far it looks like it could be and to what extent it can be, well, let's say so quick preparations, mr. petar, because it is similar, it is similar to the way the story began under kherson, in fact, you can’t ignore it, but to what extent it can develop, i will apply a little philosophy because i did not understand for a very long time the saying of the great chinese art of the ss that truly successful strategies are never repeated and they are actually after he has already carefully analyzed for himself at least a dozen successful ukrainian operations. they are not similar, each operation has its own characteristics, here is a unique logic, it is best to demonstrate this using the example of kharkiv and kherson, i would call kharkiv an assault and onslaught, strength and success, and kherson i would

named a method out of a clumsiness, so which of these hybrid methods will be played out or applied to me not a poplar because in fact it would be incredibly good if we managed to create a so-called operational wedge to melitopol because it is actually a very serious nodal transport corridor that connects and crimea and the south-east of ukraine, and if it was somehow possible to repulse it and cut off these two groups, then we could talk about a cascade collapse of the front. but at the same time, he was always a critical realist and the worst thing that can happen to us is when we stop correctly evaluating the enemy, the enemy cannot be underestimated, no matter how much we laugh at these bulls, but there are actually, i don't laugh at them, they still do their dirty work, they die in huge numbers, what do the

russians save prepared personnel, which is a millimeter 60 m per day, but it is still advancing, and in no way are these parameters to be neglected, or in a strategic sense. we felt all the pain points of breaking their munitions and control points and fuel and lubricants yes, but all the same in the moscow sausage steeleva i apologize for such a metaphor, it is actually still quite long emphasizes for quite a long time i do not have strategic optimism that everything will happen in the coming weeks , that is, a turning point in the front in my opinion for this, the prerequisites are made. but really, we will be able to raise a plan for optimism no sooner than the end of spring, the beginning of summer. of course, everything can happen in one day, but bet on god's phenomenon, would it suddenly be the height of

wisdom? well, what's more, the russians basically say that they expect an offensive near gulyaipol, uh, in ukrainian, and actually, well, probably having to somehow prepare for this, or do we see viktor preparing something there from the side russians in that area of ​​gulyaipol, there they constantly fall over, how do they prepare there, they are generally very afraid of the human area and do the right thing, because as a colleague objectively noted, in any nature in the kharkiv region, it can end on on the shores of the sea of ​​azov, and any gap in the communication between the occupied crimea and the occupied donbas poses or under the condition that, in addition to the family , it is still in a not completely quail state, it poses a very big parallel challenge already to the russian armed forces, and both from one and on the physical side, this is a very serious

damage to their logistics. if we manage to do it, it was really good, and the russians understand it absolutely, and what's more, they also give political weight and the corridor itself with soda corridor to the crimea, that's why they're doing everything now that it just didn't happen, that's why they just went to the zaporizhzhia region, they've

lost enough of you here, let's not lose. that's why now i zaporizhzhia region, they will hold on to the zaporizhzhia region with all parts of the body, look there we saw there very clearly visible on the map where it passes and this arm is one so-called road through berdyansk e-e and there to melitopol as well and what kind of weapons does ukraine have in order to get all this to this entire operational depth to the sea of ​​azov than we we can impress there, we can talk about it today our main working tools m142

himers and its more powerful brother mls m270 in that ammunition which is officially declared that we received it m-31a1 m31a2c 804 km emphasize 804 our modernized alder is nothing but bm-30 a tornado because in a special ammunition up to 90 km. well , of course, we have an old, slightly forgotten ustya point from the 70s, developed 9m70 9 with an operational range of up to 120 km, but we remember that the ammunition for these missiles was quite small. in fact, they are very valuable and are used only in special cases, it was with such a missile that their large landing ship sarat was sunk in the same berdyansk. well, of course, the barrel artillery is the most long-range, which are two serious installations, first of all, the f-1 turret with french and german

panzerhaus 2000, which are active rocket projectiles can work up to 40 km, that's what we have in the work package and it is used very competently, very, very carefully, why do we lose to the enemy, first of all, in artillery munitions of western models about 20 million ready-made shells of the russian federation or 15. there is a discussion about how many of them were not actually said, but i will remind you that at the beginning of this war, the americans had only 2.5 million of our 155 mm guns in stock, and the french honestly and frankly said that we there is no such amount that would be calculated somewhere in the thousands of ammunition, and only according to the results of the bukharevsky themselves, some of them just took place, they came to the right decision to fully launch a large european military assembly line, and it be sure to watch, but we understand that these are not days, not weeks, this is months, this is all time, and so we

endure this unique struggle. - these are the ukrainians who are winning and holding this line of defense solely due to accuracy and quality. and is there anything that we can say that it could break the situation for the benefit of ukraine, viktor, so that perhaps we would like to receive is there such a thing if we were given the same weapons even more far from our hands, which would allow us to precisely guarantee the harvest of communications around pugacheva, as we could repeat in our defense of the bridge, eh, with

considerable regularity, well, well, in principle, if we were there, and it is even possible to imagine in that region , we would fly a little more actively, it would be much better, it would be at least a much larger language for an active competition, eh, so here we theoretically have western partners may not be able to help weapons that will actually hit further than 100 km, and the conversation about this has been going on for a long time, they do not want it. unfortunately, there is such a problem here that it seems to me that we need to move on to the argument that we need to give a trucker because until the very west in of the attack itself, we began to run out of supplies. all the more short, because this is actually a problem. territory, so here we have to talk about what to

give well, we will abandon the strategy, i don't know, for some pseudo deterrence, it's like you'll give the ukrainians what ah-ah, the russians will rock, then the russians will teach, they encouraged everyone, i'll hope further on the grandmother, go, that's why it's already here the argument was moved to the last volume in order for us to actually win a minute, we need not just to reach this equilibrium. and this is for me to win the war in order to win it we need to free the territory for this we need the next project for this we need a long arm that will allow us to impress the eyes at least on this area, about which we are talking about all the way to the sea of ​​azov. it is clear. by the way, here is the announcement that ukraine began to produce 122-caliber projectiles there . how much this can now affect the course of hostilities in general, what is this still a prospect, mr.

petar, we have undertaken to produce, i have already confirmed the information, the two main, er, the two main scarce calibers are the 122, it is actually scarce, because it is primarily mobile, and the t-30 installation is a book- skidded and two s1 cloves, they were actually critically few and yet, despite the fact that out of 12 classes of artillery tables, the allies provided us at the moment, still the main workers remain 152 mm artillery installations, primarily two, primarily two s3 acacia and two c5 hz as well as 2s19 , their towed versions are useful, because that’s all. i switched it all on the crawler and to be honest, these projectiles are incredibly necessary. however, the conveyors have their own limited resources, and it is not about

hundreds of thousands of ammunition, and where it is about dozens that actually help us withstand the peretration. only in a minute, that is, i would generally help us to break modern aviation, i was and will remain a staunch liar of american aviation complexes such as the f-16 f15 although much cheaper and lighter such as, say, the swedish green or german tornadoes or so-french landing-asphalt would also suit us 100 million dollars for the training of ukrainian pilots, let me remind you, they were allocated back in june, i am 100% sure that sooner or later they will be implemented to the last dollar, but in fact when this aircraft will arrive well, for now it remains a mystery to me, i can't give an exact forecast when it will appear or will appear without

fail, the question of the school well, so far , unfortunately, there is no mention of this in the near future, but let's talk then about what about what it is said in the near future, as if there were reports that the united states is ready to provide ukraine with patriot complexes, so far this is a leak in the press, but it is interesting nonetheless. to help and how quickly can it be if, for example, this decision can already be made there this week, as the press is talking about it, what do you say, viktor, very simply, they can help work, some of the key ones were primarily in the capital, in the first place, they can to help the work of kyiv's infrastructure and russian affairs and it was really not bad it was really a great helper so far the russians are actually attacking kyiv as if to eat their

central hand precisely because they really hope to designate it as an infrastructure and after all a big megapolis and even with taking into account the evacuation there now, we will not remember it, it will be typed precisely in order to cover it and in order to make the russian terrorist tactical shelling and structure final it could make it ineffective for us, this is a petal, it is necessary to understand that here both sides are manipulating the finite resource of the russians, not an unlimited number, they are doing it with us, there should be a value of the number of missiles for the paper volume, strengthening ukrainian law, and the graying of western-style weapons, eh, making passports for which you can to receive e-e from the same nato countries - well, it will just wind up officially extremely

effectively, of course you need to understand that this is only to cover individual umbrellas, it is not the only thing about what now, in general, russian missiles will not fly over ukraine, what we are talking about is very simple, ukraine is great, ukraine is great against it, it is impossible. but it is possible to cover the same kyiv with a battery of patriots, it is possible, uh, no , there will be a certain effectiveness in this, so it is definitely for the better, you just need to understand that, well, this not better does not mean that we will win everything. then he redirects the question also to mr. peter, actually, if indeed this decision will be taken. complex complex there must be very complex training well, let's assume that this week they will make a decision after all and when we can see them so if we try to predict it is actually a very difficult issue and especially it is

difficult in the technological part really mim 104 is not the best machine which is in its class, it can lift agrodynamic bodies, i.e. airplanes, helicopters, and for us the most dangerous are cruise missiles up to 100 km, and ballistic bodies that are very difficult to lift, but the patriot was designed and developed for this purpose at a range of up to 60 km, but there are two nuances the first is actually a very expensive machine, one installation costs 170 million dollars, so we need at least one battery - that's four or six machines, but how do they combine with each other, one missile is 3 million dollars well, in order to have a full ammunition set, that's it at least 100 missiles to only one battery, and to be honest, integrating this machine into our anti -reception complex will be quite difficult for sams and hulk - the 23rd is significantly better and more flexible in order to integrate it into ours, which still prevails in the old one

the kpo system based on the с-300 s200 is 9k-37 letters and so on, how quickly will this happen, well, the ukrainians have demonstrated miracles of the speed of assimilation of new technology, they have the same farmers in mind, but still, the patriot is significantly more complicated, is it possible, but again after all, i am not optimistic that it will happen at a fast pace within a few weeks, in the best case it is a few months conditionally conditionally very conditionally according to the forecast it is a very ungrateful matter, namely in such a very delicate matter as air defense if such an integration of at least one battery it will take place somewhere in the middle of winter, that is, january february, then it will be a success. of course, on the other hand, it would also be good, but it is clear that in the near future we will have to find ways to shoot down everything that flies at us somehow on our own, well, we have

literally seven minutes left, let's do everything - let's discuss what victor has already started talking about, these are the forecasts that have now been heard from various sides, and it's official dmytro kuleba announced that in january-february, we can expect an attempt at a russian offensive. come on, each of you literally for a couple of minutes he says what he thinks about this matter, how likely it is that this offensive is taking place, we can wait for it. the most important thing is, come on, viktor, you already started talking, just finish your opinion . er, for some reason we were very surprised, er, when this one is being prepared in our country, we will notice it and we know in which direction it should go. but again, i don't really believe in its effectiveness. let's say it's simply because of what is needed for it certain reflux

first of all, human resources, because as a result, you need actually more experienced people than just chumps who can do it in russia, there are certain problems with personnel, both with experienced personnel and with lower-ranking officers in russia, there are also problems with logistics, first of all, this concerns rocking technique, therefore, of course, the russians can try me, in principle, these are purebred lemmings that are capable of very sophisticated suicides. but nevertheless , i do not think that it will be effective, although it really will create we have certain problems, peter, your forecast, you already said that the russians are preparing, the russians are still gathering forces, but to what extent they can do it, well, they are confident enough to try again. so repeat their winter offensives. last

year, maybe not on such a scale, but in some very important locations for them, i dried up for the second time during our conversation. in fact, the philosophical teacher has a very good saying for this case: the closer the collapse of the empire, the crazier its actions, the putin regime and the moscow nedo-empire is in the state of his mortal agony and in what way is this agony can i express myself i really don’t know i would underestimate the barbarians these are barbarians arm another 100,000 people even with sapper shovels i apologize for such primitivism and throw them to the slaughter they can dare their military history is known by more than one not two, but dozens of such cases, and when this rat finally realizes that he is cornered in order to reflect and, in their understanding, try to find some point, some kind of truce, due to this massed great pressure of and ways to gain time, they can do it

or succeed, in fact, this is guesswork on the coffee grounds, or do they have such primarily administrative potential, that is, i would not want to make such a decision, mr. peter, that is as far as you see well, also in a general philosophical plan, as far as would the russians like to have a protracted conflict or would they still like to, for example, in the winter somehow make some moves in order to reach some sort of agreement? what would you like to see in the future more quickly ? it doesn't even seem to me, i carefully follow their trail behind their information field, i force myself to watch all this, all this shame, but it's not my point of view , there are very serious reflections, they reflect very strongly and very purposefully in the part that it is necessary to sit down for negotiations and let's not be reminded and erdoğan reflected on this

part and the same macron also said that putin needs to save face in some way, that is, the work continues, but then a very interesting and useful moment for us reflects on the truce side which is in a worse position, i emphasize in another position and in my opinion, in my opinion, no matter how difficult it is for us now, and it is so difficult for us, it is not worth giving the enemy this respite, and in the end, once again, ending somewhere on a philosophical note, we all remember the war without exception even as long as the punic one, 118 years, even as long as the centenary, 116 years. they always end with some kind of document, the only question is who is the winner, who is the vanquished . a strategic global defeat to our eternal enemy, and we must take advantage of this historical moment, because it is not known what will happen next

, viktor, you also think that it is not about russia being ready for a protracted war, well, it is technically not ready for it, it is not ready for it, first of all, i am calling it and the economy and human resources are another question, how ready are ukraine and nato for the long-term equation, but the fact is that russia has actually trapped itself in a trap from which it is now looking for a way out. this is true, this is really how it happens. we can just see it from the connections of equipment that will now be found at the front and that they are now using, well, it is absolutely logical that they somehow did not expect it, they were studying for it and i did not count on it, so every next month for them these are your and your plans from e.e. equipment to logistics, therefore it will be absolutely obvious that at some stage they will try to negotiate the terms and conditions, certain procedures

will stand ukrainian troops at this moment and this is very good, this is what will be negotiated it depends on whether the defense forces of ukraine will be able to successfully hold bakhmut, avdiyivkurakhove, vugledar, and at the same time launch an offensive in some directions, either there or there, in svatov, or even better, if it is melitopol. as a result, will actually depend on all the conditions that we are talking about here thank you, it was a military expert petro chirnyk viktor tregubov, an officer of the armed forces of ukraine i am olga leni well, we will meet in a week thank you, we are looking for seven-year-old daryna chechkanova, whose fate has been unknown for almost 7 months, and there is no information about her disappearance. also, i am lying. i only know that the last girl was seen in the luhansk region, in the town of

novodruzhensk, which is only 10 km from lysychansk. the territory is occupied, so there is no there, and the situation in the region remains quite restless but i hope that everything is okay with the child, so i am asking especially the residents of the north donets district of luhansk region, who may see me now on social networks, look carefully at the photo of the girl, she has light hair and dark eyes, darina looks plus or minus seven years old. if anyone has seen her or knows where she might be, don't delay and call us on the magnolia children's hotline at the short number 116,000. calls from any mobile operator are free if there is no way to call, write in telegram to the chatbot of the child search service, i have another story in the search for a child, which i have already told about in previous programs and now i want to share very pleasant

news, it is about seven-year-old yehor rudenko, who disappeared back in april in the ukrainian-controlled territory of donetsk region. it just so happened that when the war started, he was with his grandmother in the village of keramik, which is very close to avdiyivka. so there, what is there there? this conversation with yehor's mother was recorded back in june , that's when the woman turned to the child tracing service and said that when the war started, she was in mirnograd, which is 50 kilometers from the village of keramika, and the woman decided that she needed to run away from donetsk region and before leaving, of course, she tried to take her son away from the dangerous territory. we moved, they just started bombing and we came here

. when we left, we came to pick up my son. we received information that the child together with the grandmother could go somewhere to a safer place and where exactly no one knew, how did the police turn to you, i understood thanks to you and i also have yehora очень вам большое it turns out that yehor moved with his grandmother to the village of mykolaivka, which is also located in donetsk region, the situation there is not as critical as in ceramics , but it is also very restless. uh, practically nothing works, that is, there is a store there, well, poor people live there, thank god, yegor is now with us here in the kyiv region. thanks, he was found once and now he lives with his mother in bila tserkva the boy has already been accepted to a local school and he will return with great joy