tv [untitled] December 15, 2022 3:00am-3:30am EET
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probably normal studies, everything is supposedly not bad, only it’s a curse, the habit of being late, what else, anu sports, as the coach says, there will be people from me, competitions, trips, there are those whom i love, whom i cherish, the people for whom i am, the army, the rules of a warm country, healthy care. thank you for regulating the heater and you monitor a sufficient temperature without spending money on the wind let's beat the winter together during a long
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power outage prepare products that can be stored for a long time without a refrigerator keep products from the refrigerator on the balcony if possible make enough supplies of hot water in thermoses for cooking fast food, get ready right now, let's defeat the darkness together, the informational marathon , the only news, continues. in the next three hours, ukraine will work for you in teams, i.e. we continue our work live. maria skyba and maksym sikora immediately let's get to the main news 18 billions of euros from the european union, today the members of the european parliament unanimously voted to allocate macro-financial assistance to the country, this money will allow the ukrainian government to finance
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the country's social needs for 2023, let us remind you that hungary blocked funds for ukraine just a week ago. why did budapest suddenly lift its veto? did the eu countries have to make concessions to orbán? and in general, how often will the funds come? and what ukraine does not have the right to spend these 18 billion euros on? olena chernikova epp of macro-financial assistance from the eu from promises and guarantees, we are now actively working so that we can provide the first amounts of funding at the beginning of january next year until the almost complete fiasco, we are not reached an agreement today, the fairy tale with money began back in october, he prepared the so-called plan a, that is, the allocation of 18 billion at the expense and guarantee of the common budget of the european union, this decision would show unity in europe, although even with the lack
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of preparation, hungary opposed this plan and during the visit to kyiv the executive vice-president of the european commission assured that despite everything macro-financial assistance will come, we aim to cover part of the financial deficit of ukraine with the help of our instrument, which we call macro-financial assistance plus as part of this assistance, up to 18 billion euros will be provided in the form of a loan, but on december 6, on the day of the vote, the decision was not adopted as expected. the minister of finance of hungary demonstratively used his right to veto. budapest, blocking 18 billion for ukraine, demanded the unfreezing of funds for hungary, which is temporarily did not pay out due to problems with the rule of law within the country, in connection with this issue, orban blocked the provision of ukraine's macrofinance. i don't think that this is such a linear logic. i think that everything
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are relatively more difficult, but the fact that these issues are also related speaks volumes for this and the fact that brussels unfroze part of the funds for hungary, albeit under the conditions that budapest must overcome corruption and bias in the courts, on the one hand, the victory in this fight for orban, but this nuance made it possible to remove the veto and ukraine will still receive the desired and much-needed 18 billion . which we adopted today means that ukraine can count on regular financial assistance from the eu throughout 2023. the minister of finance of the czech republic will, according to the conditions, direct it to
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social needs. this is mainly aid to internally displaced persons. funds will be spent on quick recovery projects up to 18 billion - this is a loan for 35 years, 10 of which this grace period is generally interest-free, another nuance rancho money will be allocated and guaranteed according to the plan, not from the common budget, but from the budgets of 26 member states of the union, that is, kyiv has concerns about unstable revenues in january, we are asking partners to provide 2.5 billion, that is, it is more than expected, we are convinced that this money will definitely come certain political circumstances may be promised here from the eu, the money of the world bank and the imf should cover almost 40 billion
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of the record deficit in the budget of ukraine, but our needs do not end there, plus 17 billion - this is a fact in december that the president of the navy spoke about for a quick recovery. i think that we will find the mechanisms for financing this money at the beginning of next year at the beginning of next year, but here the initiative is definitely coming from our partners to coordinate the descent, the ukrainian government proposes to create a financial rammstein actually work today is already underway, if you expect that it will be formalized, such a round table will be so , that is, a high political level is expected, i hope that we will see it already during in the first quarter of next year, the finance ministers of the j7 countries will become the financial ministers of international financial organizations. the main
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goal of international financial organizations is to find sources of financing for the recovery in ukraine. olena chernyakova. maksym khlopotov. this was stated by denys shmygel in paris at the forum of economic stability and reconstruction of our country, in addition, our delegation told the world how we are forced to live in the conditions power outages when there is only a few hours of light a day and all of this is negative outside the window, how do the europeans react, what do they agree to in order to warm and light ukraine, see where to get water, food, how to provide medical assistance, transport and avoid a blackout, more than 45 countries and 20 international organizations rallied in paris to find answers to these questions and to save you and me from the
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frost and cold, because every third ukrainian is without electricity, the president declares at least until the end of this heating season in ukraine. we need the supply of electricity from the countries of the european union to ukraine , the volume of up to 2 gb, such support with the supply of electricity can cost about 800 million euros, this is significant, but significantly less than what a blackout in ukraine can cost us all, this is the amount it concerns, which i will announce, it concerns imported electricity for the entire heating season to make it easier to winter france promises more than 150 generators from 125 million euros per light spain will give equipment for substations and canada lighting towers to repair power objects at night, half of the aid is a grant, other loans. well, the result is our result of the conference, about 500 million dollars of grant
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funds, completely new funds that were agreed upon at this conference, and about 500 million dollars more in goods, services and additional loans . for additional support of public sector enterprises economy, our government also concluded four agreements with international partners to patch the transformer and wires and agreed with the european bank for reconstruction and development on a loan of 300 million euros to it for the purchase of high-voltage equipment, a grant from the netherlands is another 70 million euros, in return, france undertook to support the technologies and infrastructure of ukraine, but for ukravtodor and ukrzaliznytsia cable-stayed bridges were calculated at 63 million euros 10 hryvnias now the first thing we must understand is that we need to help the ukrainian of the people to endure and survive this winter, we must make sure that our help is very operational, concrete and fast-acting myself and macro i want to show my position as a leader
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in the european union and declares that it seeks to unite all the powerful economies of europe in order to fight back against russian aggression in ukraine and to start the recovery of our state as soon as possible. by more than 30%, this is reported by state statistics, the price of eggs increased by 80%, fruits increased in price by 70%, and vegetables by 49%. almost half of the wall was taken up by her fish and fish products jumped by a third the price of sugar is close to these indicators, and bread and pasta have also become more expensive, meat, oil, cheese and milk are in direct contact with us now. roman sheremeta is a professor of economics at case western university, rector of the american university in kyiv.
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good night, mr. roman, congratulations. good night. congratulations ukraine, well, since all of us who live now in ukraine and are fighting against russian aggression are optimists and think optimistically, given that it has been more than nine months of this war, the government still somehow manages to contain the situation and inflation about 30%, it’s not what could have been, i’m generally optimistic about this topic. can we now give an assessment of where the ukrainian economy is now ? inflation today is observed in great britain and the united states of america, and it is not even completely connected with wine, because it is a dance that actually originates from world trends, and
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for example, in the united states, inflation is somewhere on level of 8%, and in ukraine, as you correctly said , inflation is now somewhere at the level of 29%. although i will even say yes, in the last place in november, comparatively, inflation even decreased, and this is really a big credit to the ukrainian and ukrainian national bank and the policy of the ministry of finance, so this is somewhat positive news, and to say the least, it is even more positive. the news is, in principle , recently such a focus and ceramics, this is precisely in spain, where there were large companies such as jp morgan nodi er fash rainings goldman sex and they actually evaluated er, they made a forecast for the future of ukraine , er, they estimated the initiation in the 23rd year at the level of 21%, i.e. again, inflation will continue to grow, but at the same time it will
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decrease at the rate of the 24th year, this indicator stands somewhere at the level of 10%. and by the way, this coincides quite closely with what the national bank of ukraine predicts, so we have something like this picture, well, it would be good if all these plans and those of our government and these previous forecasts were implemented. prices. it's clear in general , it is very difficult to maintain the economy at such a stable level during the war, what should you pay attention to, see first of all if you say why, after all, uh, well, the forecasts are more positive for the 23rd and 24th years, first of all, this is what we start with the research base, so that is, unfortunately, because of the war, our gdp, well
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, let's say that it has not been fully calculated, but we expect somewhere that the economy has decreased by 40 percent. no, there are some issues here. objectives, of course. and the reason why it turned out like that is for the next year, 23 already has an increase somewhere + on the 24th, even plus eight percent, although gp morgan predicts even a 10% plus in the next year. that is, we have a fairly low base from which we start, of course , we will move up. in addition, a big role is played in this case and international financing , you talked and watched the plot just for 18 billion allocated by the european union, in addition, the united states of america will still separate certain countries for their personal financial assistance, so this is international financing, it stabilizes stabilizes our prices stabilizes our market, including the exchange rate of the dollar to the hryvnia, by the
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way, something positive can be said about that, because we can keep the dollar at the same level today, well, let's say the national exchange rate , which is held today it's fictitious, and the nbu is there at the level of 37 hryvnias to the dollar, but if you take it in the money changers, it's at the level of 40. and by the way, the forecast of almost all these financial institutions for ukraine for the 23rd year is that the dollar the hryvnia will remain somewhere like this equal to about 40 hryvnias to $1, in 2023 and it is precisely in this regard that international financing plays a very important role, which will stabilize our economy. well, you can see that this financing is not quite enough. we have a deficit budget, which contains up to 5 billion and it forces and we
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also understand that it is a forced step to resort to the emission of the hryvnia on the part of the national bank and then there according to certain schemes, we will not explain them now, how this is a mission, but it reaches from 10 and even in some months of 2022 year, even up to 30 billion per month, and of course , all of this, er, hmm, is reflected in the value of this hryvnia, and in this purchasing power, under normal conditions, we are very afraid of this expression . to reduce this er fuse, yes, don't saturate the ukrainian economy with so much hryvnias. see, you correctly noted that, that is, this mission is taking place. well, for objective reasons, there is a permanent deficit and it must be done er, so this is the one
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the period of time when there is a military state, and a state of war, when there is not enough international funding, this is the moment when it is really possible to justify such a step, because i, as an economist, do not like it very much, but as he says, it is justified most of all despite the fact that there is a deficit, a colossal budget deficit, look, i still look more optimistically at the 23rd year because a-and financial assistance is already more stable. that is, you see the european union is already planning these 18 billion in advance, the same thing is happening today in in the united states, aid to ukraine is included in the budget, the same is done at the level of individual countries, norway, switzerland, and so on, and even countries that did not help ukraine much, they already include in their budget aid for ukraine, and therefore the
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aid will be more predictable, and this will help to reduce this mission and by the way, this is also a prerequisite for why inflation will still not be as tough as it was this year ago. in principle, with these steps, i believe that the situation will be better than it was in the 23rd year, i'm sorry, in the 22nd year, we mentioned a little bit of the dollar, you know that the day before in the united states, they revised the discount rate again by half a percent, it was, well, it was increased, but it's actually somewhere cheap, yes, and this indicator is the lowest since 2007 year turned out to be the lowest discount rate there in the united states was 5%. all this means that we will have more dollars, yes, that is, i mean in the world and for ukraine, on the contrary, on the contrary, because when
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the discount rate rises, it means that people do not they want to borrow dollar racks because it is more expensive . now let's say the maximum limit that the federal reserve has now set is somewhere at the level of five whole one-tenths. if i'm not mistaken, the percentage is, of course, a fantastic percentage for ukraine, so take a loan at 5.1 %, but for america it is expensive today and accordingly we business receives let's say this loan is somewhere below this even 10 even sometimes 12%. eh again for ukraine it may sound like a good percentage for america it already is well the sky is already the ceiling there eh and that's why in principle it is expected that there will not be such a demand for the dollar. yes, we do not want to take such an expensive loan, and accordingly, this is due to the slowing inflation in the
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united states. well, the dollar is becoming more expensive for us, more scarce, and so on. well, it is a reserve currency, one of the reserves currencies in ukraine , that is, of course, it turns out that for ukraine, for ukraine , this is a positive thing, because if we have it in our hands, then this dollar will actually be more expensive as a gift. deputy chairman of the national bank of ukraine serhiy nikolaychuk said that in fact the level of gdp decline in ukraine this year will be significantly more than expected, this was at the beginning and even at the beginning of the war. it is clear from certain calculations by economists that the reasons named by eh, for example, economists also name panikolaichuk - this is what is happening in our energy sector, this is a significant reduction in exports, and of course, these certain the stoppage of transport, trade, and the processes that took place in our country in relation to gdp, is it possible to stabilize it in other ways, which you see here, the way out of this situation,
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gdp depending on which forecast we if we talk about the world bank, it predicted gdp at the level of, let's say, a 45% drop in gdp in ukraine. if we talk about the ministry of economy of ukraine, it predicted somewhere at the level of 35%. 40% i.e., the ministry of economy of ukraine was more optimistic, the world bank was more pessimistic, so the situation with the ministry of economy of ukraine is indeed a little worse, but with the world bank, the situation is a little better, so depending what to take as a basis, but in general, as i already said, in relation to gdp, we expect better results for the 23rd year, a lot will depend on how you correctly noted what will happen in the energy sector, eh. if we really
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can now agree to they gave us serious air defense , including the patriot system, which we have been fighting for here in the united states for a very long time. personally send a letter to the president and... if we really get a patriot in this system. and if we get french air defense systems and we can shoot down there, let's say not 70, not 80, but 95% of the soviet soy missiles. i apologize to russia. well, that's right . in principle, i think that the situation will be better, and that is why i am more optimistic about the year 2023, what an opportunity to transfer to transfer from the
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ukrainian people. well, also speeding up and receiving weapons, that is, write another letter, we will all be grateful. thank you. thank you very much for your comments. yours thank you roman sheremeta was in touch with us, he is a professor of economics and a university in case westerns, the rector of the american university in kyiv prepare for the winter without light, heating and gas, the residents of gorenka have to survive because their house was destroyed by the russians in march and people continue to live there or more there is nothing, it was warm, it is installed in the houses of the peasants, they freeze it in irpin, in irpichan, their apartments there , the air temperature is only 10°, the extreme conditions in which people live, daria saw a guinea fowl, so smoke left this is how we heat so as not to freeze in the apartment when the thermometer drops almost to zero tetyana reznichenko sets about lighting the stove this is now a common and almost routine task for a woman in just a few
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minutes she first dries the firewood and only then throws it inside to such extreme conditions of survival, whether you want it or not, but you had to get used to it , the processes go on, life goes on. unfortunately, there is currently no light in the house, in the house without any fleas of civilizations, how is the light, gas and heating, people survive at the beginning of the war, back in march, the house they were crushed by russian soldiers, they were hit by a rocket, and after that it seemed to split into two parts, a dozen apartments ended up above the abyss on the entire 5th floor, only tatiana's apartment survived, the blast wave blew out all the windows, reglazed everything in the summer, foreign volunteers helped so that we wouldn't drown, it would have been minus, if the windows had not been installed, it would also be a minus, but tatiana had to prepare for the onset of cold weather, she
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understood that this winter without heating will be difficult for them, we bought such a miracle, a miracle bularian with a stove on the surface, we heat the food here in the evening in order to save a little on gas. she cooks food on a gas cylinder. we bought a large one so that it would last for a long time under these conditions. well, with gas. in the summer, i remember the same cylinder was in my grandmother's house, and every time i unscrewed this valve, i remember grandma zemnaya in the apartments of the irpin residents, irina and her son walk home dressed in winter clothes, the temperature was 10, so it became 11, but the light will be turned off now in an hour and a half and 30 minutes it will be
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cold again, the child is in the locker in the clothes, uh, what kind of fleece you have to walk on the street, in fact, we 're saving ourselves, but in marina's apartment, black mold has started to appear from the cold, it's everywhere on the walls and even the furniture, that's all wet, wet, and you can see that the plinth is blooming because of such an undesirable neighborhood, to live in an apartment. maryna had to temporarily move from here to a rented apartment, go to live with her relatives in a nearby town, musila and olena svetlytska, because her young children began to get sick from the cold and mold, and they had a chronic runny nose. chronic cough and the pediatrician told us that yes and yes, if you want your children to get better, you must leave, it is very dangerous, it can lead to asthma, to endure the lack of light, people are ready to do this, they do not argue with it, but they cannot live without heating, that is why they ask local authorities to install a powerful generator at their boiler room is almost impossible to live in such conditions. if there is
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a generator, then it is at the boiler room, then it ensures the constant operation of the boiler room, that is, at home, even if there is no light, there will be constant heat sometimes the city hall says that the matter is almost resolved , generators will be delivered during the next week, the supplier promises to provide us with generators for all our centralized boiler houses by the end of december, somewhere around the 25th, but here we are in gorynka, waiting for them to be relocated to a modular town which was built very close by and almost finished with internal communications, in the spring they will start rebuilding the destroyed daria tsesaruk oleksandr reshetnikov and mykhailo golovnenko we ukraine marathon unified news the most effective protection of freedom of rights man and the rule of law - this is bringing to justice all those who started the war, the president of ukraine spoke about this at the sakharov award ceremony, the sakharov tribunal for the russian leadership, the
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war crimes of the aggressor country and the courageous resistance of ukrainians, we will hear about all this from volodymyr zelensky, dear friends, i congratulate you from on behalf of all our people, it is a great honor and i congratulate you on behalf of all those who fight and work for the sake of ukraine and for the sake of freedom for the sake of which it is impossible to imagine all of us the life of europe it is impossible to imagine without ukraine and without freedom and not only because it will be simply untrue, but also because any attempt to deprive europe of ukraine and freedom is always a crime and we see such a crime now, the terrorist war of russia against ukraine and europe, it was also in the
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past when there were conflicts tried to subjugate the ukrainians to deprive all europeans of their freedom, but when we win now, ukrainians and all europeans, we will win just like this so that there will never again be attempts to deprive europe of ukraine and freedom we will win so that there will not even be any attempts apply genocidal policy again against our people, both in ukraine and throughout europe, we must and will provide a new effective security architecture for global freedom and international legal order, consider this part of our moral duty with you, look at how the russian army is advancing, the invaders are burning everything in front of them valery and
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rockets, bombs, and drones, mines, ammunition that did not explode and remain in our land, the occupiers are destroying cities and villages, all vital infrastructure, that was the case in mariupol and all of you we saw it like that in volnovas, this is another city completely destroyed after the russian mood , more than 20,000 people lived there before this war, now there are complete ruins, the russian army is doing the same to bakhmut, another city in donbass, from which russian strikes leave broken stones
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