barrel, everything is here, everything is in place. of course, the consequences of what happened to yegor did not go away without a trace. he still does not sleep well and often remembers his life in the basement and shelling, so now psychologists are working with the boy. nothing can be said now that for yegor and his family all the bad things are behind him, he was found and finally returned to his mother, at the same time we should not forget that the fate of many children remains unknown and everyone can help find them take just a minute of your time, go to the website of the magnolia children's search service, here you can view all the photos of the missing, maybe you will recognize someone and eventually help to find them.

greetings dear viewers, on the air of the espresso tv channel, the program, the studio, the event, we will analyze the most important events of this week, accordingly, we will try to predict the events of the weeks our next guests are general-vel-de-mar from shipch, the former commander of the ground forces of the republic of poland, as well as political scientist andriy piontkovsky, who our first guest is in washington, general waldemax szybczyk, former commander of the ground forces of the republic of poland, ex-deputy minister of defense of the republic of poland. good afternoon, mr. generals. i sincerely welcome you to the espresso studio . we know what the situation is in belarus, russia is increasing its military presence and is starting to transfer military

equipment there, we understand that this is only the beginning and within a few weeks they may be able to create some a serious military unit, of course we understand for what purpose. how do you assess the pace of formation of a military group of a military unit of russia in belarus? it seems to me that the mobilization introduced by the russians called up about one million 200 thousand soldiers to the army, of course not all of them fit the army, some of them were sent to the front but another part. in my opinion, it is 250-300 thousand. they are forming new military units and restoring those that the ukrainians destroyed at the front in the summer of this year. some of those units got to belarus, where they are being formed . the forces are approximately corps, according to my estimates, the russians will have about 40,000 soldiers there, and they use the means that they took to belarus, as well as those that they took from the belarusian

army, they do not want to fight you, they cannot convince the belarusians that they wanted to attack you , that is why the russians they took some of the equipment for their army from them. well, in part they have those belarusians who are mercenaries and for russian money want to fight with you within the bounds of those united forces of that international russian belarusian corps, the russians are rebuilding near bryansk on the training ground near in voronezh, they are also creating new military units and restoring the old slavyansk elements of the fourth tank division, which was once a division from the first tank guard army, which you destroyed near kharkiv. this year, this division is being restored and is already sending units to the front , it looks like what the russians want restore a powerful force on your northern border which i think

they will not use to reinforce the troops in the east but can strike it from the north so i think they might want to strike along the dnieper on its eastern side in order to finally tear off a part of eastern ukraine, as they planned earlier, and unite it with donbass. they are currently gathering a large potential force and it looks like they will be ready at the turn of january and february. they are preparing to be able to act by then i estimate that it will be several dozen between 60 and 70 combat battalion groups - that's a lot, the russians have strategic freedom, why don't they have to guard their northern borders and their southern borders with you, because they know that you you will not cross the borders from kyiv or from zhytomyr, you will

not cross over to russia, they are convinced of this, that is why they are creating those forces with such freedom and a sense of security, meanwhile you must keep troops from along the border from poland along the entire northern border at the front all the way to kherson and this is more 1,200 km , so you have a huge potential at the front and guard the northern borders with that potential from where the attack could come, so i think that you should also create forces in order to be ready to repel the attack that the russians are probably preparing for they will strike from belarus. in my opinion, no, because the operational distance between the eastern front and the border with poland is large, and if such a strike were to be made in that remote direction, you would give yourself advice quickly, i hope, meanwhile, your problem is that

you have to keep troops on the northern border so that something does not happen there, the russians will constantly threaten with that attack from the north and express such intentions today we did not charge and what am i saying about the fact that they will attack in many directions and must be ready, i agree with you, we must be on the alert, it looks like russia could use such a tactical scheme that would sound like the russian gliwice or the russian-belarusian fire drill, that is, they could provoke us with artillery. that, on the one hand, russian mobilization is not hidden and continues very powerfully, on the other hand, we understand that they continue to try to recruit or mobilize residents of the occupied territories temporarily, of course, occupied and something similar

can be used in belarus as well. lukashenko is afraid that he will lose power and become even more dependent on putin, and therefore submits to putin, however , in general, belarusian society does not see ukrainians as enemies, only those mercenaries will go to war, and maybe the military is loyal to lukashenko, but there are only a handful of them left, because belarusians are in the majority absolutely against the war in ukraine, the russians are currently looking for mercenaries wherever they can, not only in belarus, but also in other republics, they are engaged in recruiting for money so that others want to fight not russians to be soldiers in the russian army, to want to go to the front to fight against ukraine, in my opinion, this is russian policy now, since russians are also gradually starting to radicalize their views and do not necessarily support

putin's war, they probably will, but this is not the same as supporting war and see russia in a war with ukraine, but for a new powerful russian attack, in addition to people, they also need equipment, in particular tanks. how do you evaluate the russian weapons program that talks about the production of new tanks, as far as i understand now , their main equipment is the t-72, it is about the transfer of russian industry from peaceful to wartime in october, therefore they will gradually but slowly reach production capacity, you know what surprises me, it surprises me that new tanks are appearing at the front -90 large quantities. in my opinion, these are not products from factories, since the russians are not able to make tanks in such a short period. in my

opinion , it comes down to export, what does this mean? tanks now either sell them and make money for russia or in some other way, because the russians charge equipment that seemed to be older than 72, but those t-90 tanks appear - large quantities, that is, they have a different source than the military industry, and therefore, thinking about it, i would ask american intelligence, where do the russians get so many of the latest tanks that only a few countries bought , we are not inciting a political war now, but the problem is that the russians have titans, which they should not have, t-72, which they have on the front in general they repair a lot of tanks, many tanks that you destroyed, they took them out and repaired them at various

factories they have a built repair network , they repaired them and in belarus this equipment will go to the front, but now it is getting into the hands of those who have already been mobilized and who were recruited into the army in october all who are alive should create those new military units which, as you said, can be used for a new powerful attack, the russians are gradually restoring their combat capabilities . in my opinion, not only by the forces of their industry but also thanks to cooperation with others who supply them with equipment and equipment, we must ask now who is doing it, because if someone is doing it, and such a person is probably doing it, then he is participating in the war against ukraine, we understand that part of that equipment goes through the caspian sea, a lot of iranian and not only ships go through helmets and bring something. it is known

that russia is preparing to bring a huge number of ballistic missiles from iran. but it is possible that we are talking about tanks and not only. t-90 tanks would be needed by the russians in order to make their belarusian connection a powerful russian military industry that they are able to produce, they have very large needs . in my opinion, they want to form about 40 battalion groups, that is in each group there will be 30 such tanks ago should have 1,200 new tanks . they are definitely not in a position to produce it. in my opinion , they charge them from everywhere, from where they can, maybe they help the former republic, i don’t know , even oil, oil is sold at low prices maybe there is some business-someone who has such tanks and is

helping russia, and we don’t know about it, despite the embargo, despite the sanctions, meanwhile, the russians currently need 1,200 tanks of the t-72 class and category, t-72b and t-90, look for and repair them everywhere they can and in my opinion, they will have enough of them to start such an operation not before february, but they don’t know where the tanks are constantly coming from, if this is the case, if you made the possibility of a new attack on kyiv, we understand that kyiv is our capital, we have a fairly powerful defense, but we still understand that this is a strategic issue for russia and we see that they are using the genocidal man-killing practice, in particular the so-called energy genocide, that is, they continue to destroy our infrastructural

facilities , of course, to cause a biblical exodus of people. they only follow any convention without the right, meanwhile they want to create a humanitarian crisis in ukraine, destroy the infrastructure, want to throw out this humanitarian crisis in ukraine, deprive you of the heat of the current and water of everything that will cause the departure of people, especially from the regions of eastern ukraine, maybe i want eastern ukraine to remain without ukrainians so that they can more easily seize power there, but it only seems so to them, now you are asking about the kyiv direction . in my opinion, the russians have enough experience of aids in kyiv since the beginning of the war therefore, they will not go to kyiv because they know that defeat and revenge will await them there. they will want to combine this operation, which is planned in the north, with the operations that are ongoing in the east, that is, in the luhansk and donetsk regions

then the main goal will be to combine these offensives from the north with those in the east in the direction of luhansk and donetsk, who think that this will help them win donbas, because that donbas is as important to you as silesia or the schlönd economic and industrial center is to you, so the russians are very they would like to wrest donbas, but i believe that they will not succeed. meanwhile , i rule out an attack on kyiv, because the russians have already been defeated by a cat near kyiv once . in the east, we understand that tanks are a tool for counterattack or offensive. well, actually, now we need tanks, but the famous abrams have not yet arrived in ukraine, thank god and the polish

government . to convince the americans to convince nato that you need tanks of such a generation as the abrams leopard cheek and two black panthers i think they are needed now the situation is that the russians are restoring their capabilities the power of the russian army it is recovering, it is growing, it is necessary to help increase aid for ukraine, it is necessary to give ukrainians more new technology, more new technology, perhaps its abrams, which will allow to fight effectively against the russian t-90, this is an urgent need and a decision should be made as soon as possible, because now it will be more difficult for you to defend yourself, because the russian army is recovering and growing, so we need to support you more and more to go forward again and the party, well, we are preparing for the

winter war, we understand that on the one hand, russia i would like to attack from the other side myself, we understand that our command, our general staff is preparing for obvious actions, we understand that we have a very good prospect of entering the occupied territories of the south of our country, which means that a powerful blow to the russian occupation positions in the south could completely change the situation in the end, we understand that the occupied crimea will also be under fire control, in general, the most convenient for you is the direction of zaporizhzhia melitopol or zaporizhzhia-berdyansk so that such an offensive would cut off russia from the land connection with crimea, this is very important and believes that it should be done. i even said that it should be done in august, september. when the russian army was at its weakest, now the russian army is not weak. it should not be borne in mind that they are building in the zaporozhye direction west of donetsk troops are gathering in the defense north of melitopol

troops are destroying the artillery there with hypercars but they gathered those troops there yesterday , you should be very prudent and know when to strike in order to break those troops and reach the sea of ​​azov to cut that land corridor russia crimea and then you can think about encircling the troops between the kakhov reservoir and kherson, defeating them there and approaching the crimea, i agree with you, but on the other hand, we understand that this is the most important goal . at this stage of operations for the russians, to hold the occupied territories, of course, we will not agree to this, but it looks like russia, in particular, putin , is hoping for a so-called long war, that is, it is not necessary that everything can end next year. of course, a long war neither you nor russia

necessary. putin will probably want it. but in my opinion, he hopes that you will be exhausted . putin really hopes that a long war will exhaust ukraine and destroy ukraine so that ukraine cannot be revived because it will be the end of the war and it will not be able to function normally, so the question arises for how long russia can be allowed to destroy ukraine. putin can be better. i believe that putin can and hopes for a long war, but a long war is unrealistic in the global world, given the fact that it causes crises all over the world. political and economic crises are very deep, and economic crises are a step towards deep social crises, so those countries that can express themselves in this matter will do everything, i hope, to force putin to stop the war and start talking with you on your terms, because i can't imagine that you would back down

from for some reason, your president says that there is no step back and this is how it should be, in the meantime it is about forcing putin to stop this war, so that he withdraws his troops and stops aggression, because that war is not good for the world, the world is sinking into a deep economic crisis the crisis and the crisis affects everyone, poland too, and therefore everything must be done to give you a chance, you won this war not necessarily on the battlefield, but also at the negotiating table, however, on ukrainian terms, the russians should leave ukraine. ukraine, in your opinion, what was for us now the most important thing is, of course, the military support from the west in order to force the russians to withdraw their interventionist groups. and this can be implemented after their specific, obvious military defeat. the first thing is whether you, as a country, have

the political will to carry out deep strikes in the art of war there is such a thing as the strategy of deep strikes, you showed it by hitting posaratova and the politicians at the airfield. in saratov, it looks like you definitely have the right to carry out deep strikes and, accordingly, you should have the right to dispose of such means that would allow the destruction of russian the reserves of the russian army in the depths of russia at airfields, their logistics bases, military warehouses, you must have such missiles that will fly, for example, 300 km, and you will sneeze like that you should have a lot of ammunition, because at this moment you need to gain the advantage of artillery by destroying all russian formations that are on your territory. and this can only be provided by a large number of artillery and rocket artillery from the barrel artillery, so you should strengthen the artillery so that you can

destroy the russian troops where they are are also placed in combat positions and in the areas of waiting for battles so that the russians lose their fighting ability, your partisans are working very well, destroying ammunition depots, fuel depots, and therefore weaken the ability of the russian army to restrain itself in positions, the key to that is long-range means and means of any reach that allow you to destroy russian troops in areas where they are preparing where they have ammunition depots where they have fuel depots where they have airfields so that they cannot attack ukraine by means of their territories , i agree, but for this we need political will on the part of certain countries of the west, of course we got himers, but there are not very many of them, although it is known that there are not too many himers in your opinion how would it be better for us to ask our western partners so that they well, 9 months of the new phase of the war have already passed, so there is really a lot

of powerful war with russia in full, on tuesday it will be 300 days of war. so, they believe that the united states and the head of nato with toltonberg, they must make such decisions that will force other countries to make efforts to strengthen you and support you with weapons and equipment, your army must take such political measures that will force putin to retreat, and force all those who help putin to stop this, and he will definitely someone is helping so this aid should be cut off putin can't have ammunition he can't have tanks because he's running out of it he gets ammunition from north korea and i don't know from where but he gets a lot of it it allows him to shoot at you so you have to take such political measures that will make it impossible for russia to get help from other countries also from china patriots what do you think about

the patriot systems the americans promise us one petriv system which is not much but better than nothing how do you evaluate this game of politics instead of to act, they are debating whether to give the patriots or not to give the german patriots or which sometimes we waste time and you don’t have time, you need patriots, you can’t wait and when you get them you will be able to destroy ballistic missiles or those that shoot from planes over the caspian sea, so i think this is a good move and the sooner the better. you will give yourself the advice from petriv. and we will receive it right away, because ukrainian soldiers are already prepared to perform tasks and shoot down russian ballistic missiles. i will ask you for a brief summary. how do you evaluate, for example surovikins, the russian plan of operation for the next two to three months and changes in the russian army have corrected the quality of the command i

do not know personally and do not know anything about this person but in the meantime, the russians began to act more effectively maybe it is because of the suroviks even because they changed the command, they switched to the command system similar to the ukrainian one, because they made sure that your system is more effective, that is, there is a decentralization of command, you have been doing it very well from the beginning, the russians did it badly, but now it seems that they are learning a lot from you you give them lessons on how to conduct a war, they learn from you, but that comes at a high price, of course, what is the prospect, mainly at this moment, the russians are conducting a strategic defense operation, they will want to take bakhmut at any cost, because bakhmut will reach the gates of the donbass to slavyansk and kramatorsk will do everything to break through bakhmut and go deep under kramatorsk, near slavyansk, they will have to defend themselves in

that direction, finally, in the northern kharkiv and southern kherson directions, there will be so-called bending of the front, that is, they will fight in your direction defensive positions, engaging your troops so that you cannot use them in other directions. thank you for your excellent analysis and i wish you good health and warm christmas holidays. well, i want to remind our tv viewers that general waldemar, a violinist and ex-commander, worked for them on the espresso tv channel of the ground forces of the republic of poland - former deputy minister of defense of the republic of poland glory to ukraine glory to the heroes, and now on the air of the espresso tv channel andriy piontkovsky , a political scientist who is in washington glory to ukraine andriy andriyovych, i am glad to see you on our broadcast. glory to the heroes. good evening. well, the g7 has done, so

to speak, everything in order to formalize the final and irreversible solution to the putin issue, in particular , it is about the fact that he and his publicists will be brought, as far as we understand, regardless of when it will be forced to go to the negotiations, this is not the first statement about it, by the way, i noticed a long time ago that about myself in our eyes , it turns into a big eight, i am your previous meeting on october 12, 2 days later, after starting this barbaric компании мыщего жили ukrainian infrastructures there were very important moments of the reported statements , it says about the military, there is such an attack on the infrastructure of ukrainians, a military crime and envy of all the major powers, aimed at attracting responsible punishment, that's the statement, which

in the same old one was mt-2 days ago already individually putin is called putin , a war criminal, and we firmly declare that we will not be held responsible for the important step , the main one, which was already said in the first declaration of the big seven or the big eight. and once again why so recently that all the chapters are already in agreement with the plan of the big seven and once zelensky, that is, it is no longer a plan of zelensky , i am also a categorical requirement. the desire is understood separately, the second point of the security guarantee of ukraine after the war , this is the volume that he would still form to formulate

on october 14. but here she can wait historically the meeting of foreign ministers in bucharest, he was called a practical single guarantee, said that it will be accepted after the victory, he will consume this form after the victory of ukraine, i will bring the country, there is no need for the third point - this is a resolution that there is a country, i am resisting that member of the operation , drug news of russian responsibilities , all this is already a firm position of the west, and it is implemented simultaneously with the meeting in berlin , the minister of justice of the big seven, at which is developing mechanisms for the creation of what is required of the main war criminals, but there is one moment to get this boar who is trying to

do everything not to fall into the hands of world justice. the opinion is that in the current situation, a turning point or a key moment will occur, which will allow us to apply, so to speak, all the levers of influence in order to simply destroy the management vertical well, now political this was announced for the same meeting in berlin, so your question would be taken 29 июня меня уставка германы hanna mnogo and how will the flow of non-adherents delivered to me by bad weather have us есть очень решетиль well, first of all, he said if this is a criminal and it seems to be in the territory where is the opacity of the stable, then you were just uh, they will release a review prepared, they will move on

further. well, after the victory of ukraine, or after a peace agreement with russia, the future russian authorities must be released as criminals international justice here what is the famous batach as well as in the statements of sosalma and let there be an owl on me victory of ukraine is coming in such a trivial context as a reality that does not cause doubts on the battlefield. remind me of one more formula, that there is such a thing.