connection, but there is no news about the missing child . unfortunately, similar stories are not isolated , so i want to tell you again about seventeen-year-old elizaveta aloshina, who disappeared 6 months ago . before the war, the girl lived in kropyvnytskyi, but during distance learning, she moved to her grandmother in the city lyman is the kramatorsk district of the donetsk region. the first two months were more or less calm there, and elizaveta even regularly joined online broadcasts for training. she was last contacted on april 25 and that day, she told very disturbing news, she said that enemy shells started flying over their house, she was very scared, and the very next day she lost contact with the girl, and to this day there is no news from her. liman was occupied for several months , and they actively jammed the communication there, i am very i hoped that this is why elizaveta can't call or write to anyone, and when the city was liberated, there was no news

from the missing girl, so i am asking everyone who sees me now to look carefully at the photo of elizaveta alyosha vona she wears glasses she has dark eyes and short dark hair the girl is thin her height is about 160 cm if anyone has seen her after april 25 or anyone knows where she may be now do not delay dial the short number of the child tracing service magnolia 116 000 000 from any mobile operator calls to the hotline are free or write to the chat bots of child tracing services in telegram , any information is important, i will tell you only a few stories of missing children in general since the beginning of the war we have received more than a thousand requests about fortunately, most of the children have already been found, but the fate of many remains unknown and everyone can help find them. take a minute of your time to go

to the website of the magnolia children's search service, here you can view all the photos of the missing, maybe you will recognize someone and eventually help find them. greetings you dear tv viewers on the espresso tv channel, the program, the studio, the event, we will analyze the most important events of this week, and accordingly, we will try to predict the events of the following weeks our guests general waldemar from szybczyk, former commander of the ground forces of the republic of poland, as well as political scientist andriy piontkowski, who is in washington, our first guest is general valdemax szybczyk, former commander of the ground forces of the republic of poland, ex-deputy minister of defense of the republic of poland good afternoon, mr. generals, i sincerely welcome you to the studio espresso i congratulate you

ukrainians i congratulate all colleagues from ukraine with whom i was in iraq at one time we know what the situation is in belarus russia is increasing its military presence and begins to transfer military equipment there, we understand that this is only the beginning and within a few weeks they may be able to create some serious military unit, of course we understand for what purpose how do you assess the pace of formation of a military group of a military unit of russia in belarus? it seems to me that there the mobilization introduced by the russians called up about one million 200 thousand soldiers to the army, of course not all of them are suitable for the army, some of them were sent to the front, but another part. in my opinion, it is 250-300 thousand that form new military units and are restoring those that the ukrainians destroyed at the front in the summer of this year, some of those units got to belarus, where

forces are being formed, about a corps, according to my estimates, the russians will have about 40,000 soldiers there, and they use the means that they brought to belarus, as well as those that was taken from the belarusian army does not want to fight with you, they cannot convince the belarusians that they wanted to attack you , that is why the russians took some of the equipment from them for their army well, they partly have those belarusians who are mercenaries and for russian money want to fight with you within the bounds of those united forces of that international russian belarusian corps, the russians are rebuilding near bryansk on the training ground near voronezh, also behind kursk they are creating new military units and restoring the old dobryansk elements of the fourth tank division, that was once the division from the first guards tank army that you destroyed near kharkov this year, this division

is being restored and is already sending units to the front , it seems that russia does not want to restore it according to your powerful forces along the northern border, which, in my opinion , they will not use to strengthen the troops in the east, but can strike it from the north, so it seems to me that maybe they would like to strike along the dnieper on its eastern side in order to finally tear off a part of eastern ukraine, as they planned earlier. and about to unite with donbas, they are currently gathering large potential forces and it looks like they will be ready at the turn of january and february. they are preparing to be able to act by then, i estimate that there will be several dozen between 60 and 70 combat battalions of groups is a lot. russians have strategic freedom, why don't they have

to guard their northern borders and their southern borders with you, because they know that you will not cross borders, whether from kyiv or zhytomyr , you will not cross over to russia, they are convinced of that why do they create those forces with such freedom and a sense of security, meanwhile you have to keep troops from along the border from poland along the entire northern border on the front as far as kherson and this is more than 1200 km, so you have a huge potential at the front and guard the northern borders with that potential from where the attack could come, so i believe that you should also create forces in order to be ready to repel the attack for which the russians are probably preparing or will strike from belarus. in my opinion, no, because the operational distance between the eastern front and the border with poland is large, and

if they struck in that remote direction, you would advise yourself quickly, i hope, meanwhile, your problem is that you have to keep troops on the northern border so that something does not happen there the russians will constantly scare with that attack from the north and express exactly such intentions. well, they would charge me, and what am i talking about that they will attack in many directions and must be ready , i agree with you, we must be ready, it looks like russia can use such a tactical scheme that sounded b like the russian gliwice or the russian-belarusian fire dlyevets, that is, they could provoke us with artillery. belarusians see that, on the one hand, russian

mobilization is not hidden and continues very powerfully , on the other hand, we understand that they will continue to try to recruit or mobilize residents of the occupied territories temporarily, of course, occupied and they can use something similar in belarus as well" from putin and therefore subordinate to putin however, in general, belarusian society does not see ukrainians as enemies, only those mercenaries will go to war, and maybe the military is loyal to lukashenko, but there are only a handful of them left, because belarusians are in the majority absolutely against the war in ukraine, the russians are currently looking for mercenaries wherever they can, not only in belarus, but also in other republics, they are recruiting for money so that other non- russians want to fight, to be soldiers in the russian army, to

want to go to the front to fight against ukraine, in my opinion now this is russian policy, since the russians are also gradually starting to radicalize their views and do not necessarily support putin's war, they probably will, but this is not the same as supporting the war and seeing russia is at war with ukraine, but for a new powerful russian attack, in addition to people, they also need equipment, in particular, tanks. how do you assess the russian military program that talks about the production of new tanks? as far as i understand now , their main equipment is the t- 72. and since the end of the war in october, they will gradually but slowly reach production capacity, you know what surprises me, what surprises me is that

new t-90 tanks are appearing at the front in large numbers. in my opinion, this there are no products from factories because the russians are not in a position to make tanks in such a short period. in my opinion, it comes down to export, what does this mean? and what probably those who previously bought those tanks from the russians are now either selling them and making money in russia or in some other way because the russians are withdrawing equipment that seemed to be older and 72, but those t-90 tanks are appearing - large quantities, that is, they have a different source than the military industry, and therefore, thinking about it, i would ask american intelligence where russia does not get such a number of those the newest tanks that only a few countries bought , we are not inciting a political war now, but the problem is that the russians have titans that they should not have t-72 that they have at the front in general

, they are repairing a lot of tanks, a lot of tanks that you destroyed, they took them out and repaired them at various factories they have built a repair network , they repaired them and in belarus this equipment will go to the front, but now it is in the hands of those who have already been mobilized and who were recruited into the army in october, those who already take it do not allow them to create those new military units which, as you said, can be used for a new powerful attack, the russians are gradually restoring their combat capabilities. in my opinion, not only with the strength of their industry, but also thanks to cooperation with others who supply them with equipment and machinery, we must ask now who is doing it, because if someone is doing it, and this one is probably doing it. so he is participating in the war against ukraine, we understand that part of that

equipment goes through the caspian sea, many iranian and not only ships go through the caspian they are bringing something, it is known that russia is preparing to bring a huge number of ballistic missiles from iran but maybe these are about tanks and not only and also about other armored vehicles, but for example, how many t-90 tanks would the russians need in order to make their belarusian connection powerful of the russian military industry, what they are able to produce, the needs they have are very large . in my opinion, they want to form about 40 battalion groups, that is in each such group. there will be 30 such tanks, so they must have 1,200 new tanks they are definitely not in a position to produce it. in my opinion , they collect them from everywhere they can, maybe

they are helping the former republic, i don't know oil, they sell oil at low prices, maybe there is some business-someone who has such tanks and helps russia, and we don't know about it despite the embargo, despite the sanctions, meanwhile, for now, the russians need 1,200 tanks of the t-72 class and category, t-72b and t-90, they are looking for and repairing them everywhere they can, and in my opinion, they will not have enough of them to start such an operation before february, but tanks they constantly don't know where the executioners are coming from. if so, how would you assess the possibility of a new attack on kyiv? we understand that kyiv, our capital, has a fairly powerful defense, but we still understand that this is a strategic issue for russia and we see that they use genocidal human-killing practices in particular and the so-called energy genocide, that is,

they continue to destroy our infrastructural facilities, of course, to cause a biblical exodus of people , and on the other hand, they are preparing for battles, possibly for total war, they do not know but they do not respect they only adhere to any convention without the right , meanwhile they want to create a humanitarian crisis in ukraine, destroy the infrastructure, want to expose this humanitarian crisis in ukraine, deprive you of heat, electricity and water, everything that will cause people to leave, especially from the eastern regions of ukraine, maybe they want eastern ukraine to remain without ukrainians to be able to seize power there more easily, but it only seems so to them, do you understand the kyiv direction? in my opinion, the russians have enough experience from under kyiv since the beginning of the war, so no will go to kyiv because they know that

defeat and revenge will await them there. they will want to combine this operation, which they are planning in the north, with the operations that are ongoing in the east, that is, in the luhansk and donetsk regions, then the main goal will be to combine these offensives from the north with those that in the east, in the direction of luhansk and donetsk, they think that this will help them win donbas, because that donbas is as important for you as silesia or the shlyonski economic and industrial center is for poland, so the russians would very much like to wrest donbas, but i believe that it is not for them in the meantime, the attack on kyiv will be successful. i rule it out, because the russians have already been defeated once near kyiv by a cat, they will not go for this a second time in order to be defeated again, so they will make attempts to increase

their capabilities in the east. we need tanks, but pork, but the famous abrams have not yet reached ukraine, thank god and the polish government. convince nato that you need tanks of such a generation as abrams the leopard two black panthers are necessary i believe that they are necessary now the situation is that the russians are restoring their capabilities the power of the russian army is being restored and is growing it is necessary to help increase aid for ukraine more and more new technologies should be given to the ukrainians possibly abrams equipment that will allow you to fight effectively against russian t-90s, this is an urgent need and you should make a decision as soon as possible, because now it will be more difficult for you

to defend yourself because the russian army is being restored and growing, so you need more and more support, well, we are preparing for the winter war, we understand that on the one hand, russia would like to attack on its own, on the other hand, we understand that our command, our general staff is preparing for obvious actions, we understand that we have a very good prospect log in to the occupied territories of the south of our country , which means that a powerful blow to the russian occupation positions in the south could completely change the situation; in the end, we understand that the occupied crimea will also be under fire control, in general, the direction zaporizhzhia melitopol or zaporizhzhia-berdyansk is most convenient for you, so that such an offensive would cut off russia from the land connection with crimea, it is very important and he believes that it should be done, he even said that it should be

done in august september when the russian army was the weakest russian army is not weak at the moment, it should be borne in mind that they are in the zaporozhye direction west of donetsk, they are building defenses north of melitopol, they are gathering troops, troops are destroying artillery there with hammers but they are gathering those troops there yesterday, more intelligent and knowing when to strike in order to break those troops and reach the sea of ​​azov, so that the land corridor russia crimea is cut and then you can think about surrounding the troops between the kakhov reservoir and kherson, defeating them there and coming under crimea, i agree with you, but on the other hand, we understand that this is the most important goal . at this stage of the operation, for the russians to hold the occupied territories, of course, we will not agree to this, but it seems that russia, in particular, putin

they hope for a so-called long war, that is, it is not necessary that everything can end next year. of course, russia does not need a long war. putin will probably want it. but in my opinion, he hopes that you will be exhausted . putin really hopes that a long war will exhaust ukraine. will destroy ukraine so that ukraine cannot be revived because it will be in a state of war all the time and will not be able to function normally, therefore the question arises as to how long russia can be allowed to destroy ukraine and putin can be better on the second i i believe that putin can and hopes for a long war, but a long war is unrealistic in the global world, given that it causes crises all over the world, political crises, a very deep economic crisis, and economic crises are a step towards deep social crises, so those countries that can

express themselves in everything will be done to this matter, i hope, to force putin to stop the war and start talking with you on your terms, because i can't imagine that you will back down from something, your president says that there is no step back and that's how it should be sometimes it is about forcing putin to stop this war so that he withdraws his troops and stops the aggression , because that war is not good for the world, the world is plunged into a deep economic crisis, and the crisis affects everyone , poland too, and therefore everything must be done to give you a chance to win this war is not necessarily on the battlefield, but also at the negotiating table, however, on ukrainian terms, the russians should leave ukraine . ukraine, in your opinion, what would be most important for us now? the russians will withdraw their interventionist group. and

this can be implemented after their concrete, obvious military defeat. the first thing is whether you, as a country, have the political will to carry out deep strikes. in the art of war, there is such a thing as the strategy of deep strikes. we showed this by hitting saratov and politicians on at the airfield in saratov, it looks like you definitely have the right to carry out depth strikes and, accordingly, you should have the right to dispose of such means that would allow the destruction of russian reserves in russian the army in the depths of russia at the airfields, their logistics bases, military warehouses, you must have such missiles that will fly, for example, 300 km , and we will sneeze like this. you must have a lot of ammunition, because at this moment you need to gain the advantage of artillery by destroying all russian formations that are on your territory. and this can

provide only a large amount of artillery and rockets from the barrel, which means that the artillery is already more capable, therefore the artillery should be strengthened so that you can destroy the russian troops where they are located and in combat positions and in the areas waiting for the battles so that the russians lose their fighting ability, your partisans work very well, destroying ammunition depots, fuel depots, and therefore weakening the ability of the russian army to hold its positions, the key to this is long-range and long-range means that allow you to destroy russian troops in areas where they are preparing where they have ammunition depots where they have fuel depots where they have airfields so that they cannot attack ukraine with means from their territory i agree but for this we need that political will on the part of certain countries of the west, of course we got himers but there are not very many of them, although

it is known that there are not too many himers, in your opinion , how would it be better for us to ask our western partners so that they well, 9 months of the new phase of the war have already passed, so really a very powerful war with russia will be in full swing on tuesday there will be 300 days of war. therefore, they believe that the united states and the head of nato from toltonberg have a leading role here, they should make such decisions that will force other countries to make efforts to strengthen you and support you with weapons and equipment the military must take such political measures that will force putin to back down or force all those who help putin to stop it and someone is definitely helping him, so this aid must be cut off putin can't have ammunition he can't have tanks because he's running out of all this he gets ammunition from north korea and i don’t know from where yet, but he gets a lot of it, it allows him to shoot at

you, so it is necessary to take such political measures that will make it impossible for russia to receive aid from other countries, including from china, patriots, what do you think about patriot systems americans promise us one patriot system which is not much but better than nothing how do you rate this game of politics instead of acting they debate to give patriots or not to give patriots german or which sometimes we lose time and you don't have time you need patriots you can't wait and when you get them you will be able to destroy ballistic missiles that are fired from planes over the caspian sea, so i think this is a good move and the sooner the better. are already prepared to perform tasks and shoot down russian ballistic missiles, i would like to ask you for a brief summary. how do you assess, for example

, surovikin and the russian plan of operation for the next two to three months, and changes in the russian army have improved the quality of command. i do not know personally and do not know anything about this person , but because sometimes the russians began to act more effectively . maybe it’s because of the syrovics. even because they changed their command, they switched to a command system similar to the ukrainian one, because they were convinced that your system is more effective, that is, it is decentralization of command, you have been doing it from the beginning very well, the russians did it badly, but now it seems that they are learning a lot from you , you are giving them lessons on how to conduct a war, they are learning from you, but it comes at a high price, of course, what is the main perspective that the russians are leading at the moment a strategic defensive operation, they will

want to take bakhmut at any cost, because bakhmut is the gateway to the donbass to sloviansk and kramatorsk, they will do everything to break through bakhmut and go deep under kramatorsk, near sloviansk, try to defend themselves in therefore, finally, the directions in the northern kharkiv region and the southern kherson region will be the so-called bending of the front, that is, they will hit your defensive positions, engaging your troops so that you cannot use them in other directions. thank you for your excellent analysis and i wish you good health and warm christmas holidays well, i want to remind our tv viewers that general waldemar skripchak, ex-commander of the ground forces of the republic of poland - former deputy minister of defense of poland, worked for them on the espresso tv channel glory to the republic of ukraine glory to the heroes well, now on

the air of the espresso tv channel andriy piontkovsky , a political scientist who is in washington glory to ukraine andriy andriyovich, i am glad to see you on our air glory to the heroes good evening well, the g7 did, so to speak, everything in order to formalize the final and irreversible solution to putin's the question in particular is about the fact that he and his henchmen will be arrested, as far as we understand, regardless of when he will be forced to go to negotiations, this is not the first statement about i noticed that the local in our eyes is turning into a big eight, i'm your previous meeting on october 12, 2 days later, after 2 days, he started barbaric companies, they attacked ukrainian structures, there were very important moments of the expected statements, it said about the military, that's an attack on the infrastructure

as a military crime, and that's all - all the major powers declared to their america to be held responsible for punishment, that is the statement that was in the same composition of mt-2 a day ago, already individually called putin, putin, a war criminal and we we firmly declare that we will not be held responsible, this is a very important step, the main step was already stated in the first statement of the big seven or the big eight, because you want it, and once again, why so recently that all the chapters are already in the big seven agreeing with the plan, and zelensky’s time, that is, it is already not a bad time zelensky and you are already categorical demands with an ultimatum if you want and filled the civilized world it consists of more points of the victory of ukraine full of exposition

the nearest is not a separate understanding of the second point of the guarantee of the security of ukraine after the war, its own, that is what he was still to form , to formulate on october 14. well, she can say , historically, to the meeting of the ministers of foreign affairs in bucharest, he was one of the actual guarantees of the single guarantee, he said that it will be accepted after the victory, he consumes the formula after pobedy ukrainy to accept nato in ukraine, the third point is the resolution of the chamber of ukraine. the responsibility

of the main war criminals of russia, this is already a firm position of the west, and it is being implemented simultaneously with the meeting in berlin. the hands of world justice, we understand that this applies not only to putin, but also to the rest of the war criminals who are sitting in the kremlin, and here the key moment is when in your opinion now a turning point or a key moment will occur in the current situation, which will allow us to apply, so to speak, all the levers of influence in order to simply destroy the management vertical. well, first of all, your question would be a knot 29 июня меня всех германы hanna много and how will you be, i am not the criminals brought to the hall tribunova is disgusted by such a thing