by invitation, you have questions, you will receive answers, so the question is how to understand the sports of september, every friday at 21:30 at espresso. across the field, through the grove , nikolai is hurrying in his bag, bringing us guests, tanks, javelins, planes and mines , guns and cartridges, rockets and drones, nikolai is in a hurry, tour the road will give the ukrainians a complete victory merry christmas and happy new year russian authorities have announced an army reform, as part of which the number of soldiers may increase by another half a million, why russia military

reform and how it will change the course of the war in ukraine zelenskyi's peace plan in february of next year, the ukrainian authorities plan to present a plan to end the war, how realistic is it to implement it if neither side is ready to make concessions, not even two weeks have passed the european commission expects that ukraine will change the law on the constitutional court in accordance with the conclusions of the venice commission, why is the ukrainian government taking risks ukraine's membership in the eu has passed what is known to be a controversial law, see svoboda life greetings to all veterans svoboda curse my name is vlasta lazur we are starting russia strives negotiations with ukraine not to end the war , but to gain time to prepare for a new offensive against ukraine. this was stated by nato secretary general jenn stoltenberg. russia hopes to freeze the war in order to have time to regroup

troops, rearm forces and try to renew the offensive. now there are no signs that putin really wants peace. stoltenberg in his column for the fainen scholl times stoltenberg also reminded that russia has mobilized about 200,000 people in recent months and the events on the battlefield show that the russian leadership does not count on losses in parallel with moscow is trying to agree on weapons and ammunition with other authoritarian allies , first of all with iran, despite the fact that vladimir putin himself said the day before that russia seeks to end the war in ukraine as soon as possible. by the way, that is how he used the word war, not a special military operation, and emphasized that russia does not abandon peaceful negotiations with ukraine will end the conflict, and on the contrary, it will end this

war . the discrediting of the russian army. and now, by the way, today one of the municipal deputies of st. petersburg demands to open a criminal case against putin, although the deputy himself is already outside the borders of russia. well, this is not about that now, despite the fact that putin publicly declares that he wants to end the war, the russian authorities on against the background of the war in ukraine announced a military reform, and within the framework of this reform in russia they plan to create two new military districts and several new divisions , as well as increase the total number of military personnel by at least 350,000 and with with such a proposal, defense minister serhii shoigu turned to putin and he said that he agreed, why russia's military reform in the midst of the war in ukraine, what are the chances that russia will be able to implement this plan quickly and, most importantly, how it can affect the course of the war in ukraine, more on this later on the air oleksandr musienko, the head of the center for military legal studies, joins in. good evening. good evening,

let's go to shoigu. they conceived a military reform literally in the middle of the war. what is it called? this shows that they see what is really happening. the russian army despite the fact that they puffed up their cheeks and talked about the fact that they are ready for war even to know with the united states with the whole world it turned out that due to factors of corruption factors of lack of proper training they have serious structural problems within the organizational character and also they have problems which are directly related to the conduct of military actions, this is also noticeable, that is why they decided to carry out the reform, in addition to why it is being done. in this way, putin is trying to divert direct responsibility from himself for those miscalculations that were made by him because

, after all, he made the decision to launch a full-scale invasion of ukraine in this way, he is now trying to divert attention and shift it to the army and say that it turns out that the army was not sufficiently prepared, he was deceived and the like and now we will actually prepare it quite seriously, but i will tell you that from what you could hear and from those directions that were announced, we can actually say that this is some kind of reform that would, let's say, take into account even the experience of nato, what are they up to things are said because in russia they talked about the fact that it is necessary to take into account nato's experience, take into account how they fight because they fight more effectively, and so on . no more, that is, if the

reform of the russian army were to ask about expectations and reality, then you would say that nothing will change, they will simply announce another wave of mobilization. it seems to me that there is no need to announce a decree to the president of russia effective from on september 21, about the mobilization, what putin said is that the mobilization is suspended. it seems to me that this is just public in order not to receive this wave of a certain disturbance inside russia, but in order to carry out this mobilization simply in smaller numbers and covertly, but in principle it continues here, the question is now others, what is the key in what in what is important. it seems to me that it is important here not even to focus on the number, because if the number was not there, russia would not gather , it must be understood. and on the resources, whether they will have the resources of capacity and whether they will hold their the economy, the opportunity to provide all these soldiers with equipment, to provide them with the same

helicopters, this is also about the reform of the army, what does he say about the need for more military helicopters, well, the same ones need to be produced for this, we need funds for this, we need technologies, in particular, western ones and now sanctions and therefore now it seems to me that the key issue is resources, and that is why the bear went to beijing. that is why he met with sisinpinium , because russia needs money for all these maintenance of a large army and for the continuation of the war , this is quite serious money and resources, and despite the fact that russia has accumulated shells and ammunition in warehouses since soviet times, it is not unlimited, it is not a sign of infinity. they also have the ability to run out. well, it looks like they have somewhere to take resources, at least iran is ready to lend a helping hand. korea also wrote at least the media is talking about this. well, i am convinced that the ukrainian tel in this case should still be stronger and stronger than the iranian north korea, and

we will still cope with these challenges, but if china joins in this, if indeed it makes such a decision, of course they receive more serious support, because despite what iran or north korea can give, it can certainly pose threats, but it is not the scale that we can talk about in this regard. it seems to me that the ukrainian tel. the rammstein format looks stronger. well, if we talk about the increase in the number of the russian army. for example, at least british intelligence says that they are planning to increase the russian army to one and a half million people, you say people. they will find everything they will gather, mobilize, what kind of challenges does this pose for ukraine, and most importantly, do you know in what time frame. this could very well happen. the question is exactly what i wanted to say about the time frame. this is not a short-

term issue, it is a more medium -term issue. for 3-5 years, they usually want to do it earlier, because it is not just about increasing the number of mobilized people, but about increasing the number of the contract component, that is, the contract workers who are needed to find those who have to sign contracts one way or another and undergo training as russia declares, well, at least they declare it, so this is definitely a question of a non-short -term perspective, and it seems to me that it poses more distant threats than those that i am just now directly with the mobilized or for the main challenge for us is what is happening here and now, and this is the mobilization and this transfer of these newly mobilized people in the area of ​​active hostilities, and this is the reform and increase in numbers .

ukraine is a challenge for the west and for nato, because it is a signal to them that russia despite, let's say , despite all the factors that testify against it , putin continues to be in this stubborn madness that escalates in one way or another confrontation with the west. he aspires, and that is why this signal is also to them. well, if you mentioned about the short-term perspective about the mobilized. we remember that in september, plus or minus, russia mobilized 300,000, at least that is how it was reported, more or less a part of them, to be precise, had already been sent to the front the other half is more incredible now undergoing training and preparing to enter the war, do you have any assumptions or even forecasts of assumptions from which side and from which direction and maybe when these remaining 200,000 or 150 are already prepared can enter the territory

of ukraine eh for russia now the key is to keep the south, the territories they occupy, which they illegally seized, because there is a perfect understanding that if the south is lost, it will practically be equal to a loss in one way or another. at this stage of the war, yes and this is clearly the reason for a full-scale invasion. for this purpose, the russian troops, the russian command will try to stretch our forces, allow us to consolidate our groups, for example, in order to strike a powerful force in the southern direction and where to occupy it, and therefore they will create certain such sources of instability. in the east and in the north, in the south, everything is now being done to prevent them from creating this, because there may also be a zaporizhia direction from there, but the effective strikes of the ukrainian troops do not allow them there to consolidate efforts, so i think that the emphasis can be placed on the belgorod region from being

deformed, plus an auxiliary group of some kind in belarus, which is also still for the spring. it may form there and establish certain problems. well , of course, they will try the east in this way . on february 24, he showed that they, too, when their forces are overstretched, they are not very good at coordination, but it is important for them to preserve the south . all efforts to try to stretch our forces center of military and legal research we talked about the reform in the russian army and how it can affect the war in ukraine thank you thank you in occupied mariupol the russian occupiers are demolishing the drama theater according to the adviser of mariupol petro andryushchenko the occupation authorities are demolishing the rear he intends to leave the central part of the building and the front part as a

basis for the so-called reconstruction as a result of the bombing of the drama theater in mariupol on march 16, i remind you that about 300 civilians died residents and in the osce and human rights organizations of the international community called this event a war crime, this is mariupol, they said that it would be stopped. well, i don’t understand anything . exactly where the scene was, i'm probably a little shocked, but half of it will be demolished, yes, now everything will be filled, probably everything will come, no. there, people are standing there watching how they are

demolishing that one, and this one is going to be restored , because it is not in an emergency state, it can be restored. вместная тут да был актив він такой 90 h.h. in february 2023, the ukrainian authorities plan to present a peace plan to end the war , the wall street journal reports, the publication writes that volodymyr zelenskyi discussed the peace formula during his visit to washington and even earlier in in november, the ukrainian president presented a 10-point peace plan at the g20 summit. this plan, among other things, provides for the coordination of international efforts to establish radiation, nuclear

, food, energy security of ukraine and as well as the release of all prisoners and deportees, the withdrawal of russian troops and the cessation of hostilities, according to european and ukrainian diplomats quoted by the wall street journal, zelenskyi’s team is currently concretizing this plan and will finally present it on the first anniversary of the full-scale russian invasion . any negotiations where ukraine is likely to demand significant concessions from moscow will depend on its position on the battlefield, and that is why kyiv wants to prepare to potential peace negotiations through the achievement of military victories, it is said in the publication about zelenskyi's peace plan, we asked the adviser to the head of the office of the ukrainian president mykhailo podolyak, story journal, with reference to european and ukrainian diplomats, wrote that zelenskyi's team is likely to present the peace plan already in february, how it will differ from the

peace formula, which was previously talked about with 10 points , nothing, because the president is very consistent in his intentions regarding how the war should end, this is very important. by the way, i would like to to fix everyone's attention to this, we have a very consistent position of the president of ukraine, he clearly says that there is only one scenario for the end of the war, there are no other fair scenarios for us - this is the liberation of all territories, including the crimean peninsula, this is very important. yes, so that there are no populations there, but the formula myra - this is simply a strategic vision, and it will be necessary to finalize the logistical steps that follow one after the other, so i think that in general this plan will be based on the peace formula, and some more will simply be added the sequence of steps, because, for example, the withdrawal of troops, but after that, well, the russian ones are meant with our territory, if they withdraw right away, it is important that there are different scenarios , either they will withdraw themselves or they will be forced to flee, that’s the same, the other parameters will already be correct, one thing is to have a

conversation about peace as such when, for example, russia withdraws its troops, and when we simply destroy them en masse and they flee there, the remnants flee, this will be a different disposition of ours within the framework of the negotiation process, for example what concessions would ukraine be willing to make in order to achieve this plan? there are no concessions today that ukraine would be willing to make. there are realities in which a very large number of civilians have died in ukraine and a very large number of our infrastructure has been destroyed. and what concessions will this mean, not the loss of the russian federations. i want everyone to record this, any concession agreement and so on. this will mean that russia has not lost, which means that russia will not go through yura procedures, compensatory procedures, she will sweat how she does it. the russian federation will always look for an opportunity to say well, that's not right, we're going there,

but here. no, we don't need it, because then we won't end this war, so it will stop for a certain time. but we won't, even if we liberate part of the territory, but this will not end the war because the war is much deeper russia must lose precisely in order to go through certain procedures, i believe that the russian federation will not transform into a democracy, there is no need for illusions , it will always be authoritarian in one form or another, there may be a certain short interval time as it was in the early 90s, somewhere until the end of the 90s, russia imitated democracy but russia will not be a democracy but we need to record the defeat of russia because it is a certain number in the kremlin who do not know about the peace plan of the president of ukraine volodymyr zelenskyi said this today at the same time, putin's spokesman dmytro piskov said that the peaceful

options previously proposed by the ukrainian president do not take into account the current situation. there were words about a potential readiness to listen to russia's concerns, and yet what can volodymyr zelenskyi's peace plan mean, who will be ready to sign up to this peace plan and, most importantly, how realistic is it to implement if neither russia nor ukraine is ready to advance, a senior researcher joins our broadcast atlantik kautsel anderson good evening well, today, i wrote about the fact that, among other things , vladimir zelensky's peace plan provides for the coordination of international efforts to establish a nuclear food security and what is most important is the release of all captives, the deportees, the withdrawal of russian troops, the cessation of fire, this sounds very idealistic , at least for today . how to implement

it? but without specifics, the possibility of this means that it is a ukrainian victory, and i think that president zelensky is very correct, many times he said that we absolutely need victory, but it is interesting that president paydn did not say so kindly, he supported in ukraine for all uh-purposes, that means for mattresses for freedom, we help in ukraine since uh-uh need well, they didn’t say victory didn’t say how it ends with you, it doesn’t seem like it’s great that president zelensky proposed this is the plan, well, the main one here it is, finally, that ukraine will receive full control, the territory of the

real ukraine, this is the first condition, the basics that you remember, let's say the floor stage, or um, you also need to receive reparations from russia it's good to remember about that iraq, after its defeat with cuba, is paying for 502 billion dollars in kuwait, and the sata of the fact that it is necessary to play the game, too, so crying one of the points is the reserves of the central bank of russia, which are located in the west of 300 billion dollars. well, what other conditions are definitely necessary. well, here you are, you

drew attention to what was not in the rhetoric of president biden during the meeting with zelenskaya here is the rhetoric that would tell us that the usa is absolutely definitely interested in a quick victory of ukraine on by the way, they drew attention not only to the conclusion . i read the washington post column by the famous american journalist and writer david ingatius, and he says that zelensky’s visit to the usa revealed that the views of washington and kyiv are very different. and if vladimir zelensky 11 once he mentioned the word victory, or is there absolute victory, then, for example , biden was killed by a different rhetoric, and this can be explained by the fact that - the washington post writes that biden, until now, uh, well, he is such that he denies the rhetoric about absolute victory, that's why well, i think that this is also a diplomatic reason for germany, france, they still don’t want it

, and they are very much looking to find countries so that inside and in washington, there are many energies. and this field is very useful to him because zelensky spoke so beautifully here and explained beautifully why pobeda is not eh this is also in the interior of eh america that eh ukraine is standing but helps eh very effectively when it fights eh it's from russia that i think that it will be the same thing that will be the same time, more about the orange weapon, it’s a tank station, and the long-lasting rockets, and the fact that the usa

is shrinking so that ukraine can use american weapons to attack the russian bases from which the russians are attacking ukraine you think you think that obtaining ukraine and tanks and aviation is a question of time , this will definitely come. i think the voices are especially the former generals who offer it all the time . we can speak because you yourself said that in order to implement zelensky's plan, an absolute victory on the battlefield is absolutely necessary victory on the battlefield

depends very much on western weapons, including those that ukraine receives, and when ukraine can get such weapons when in the west or in washington, they will count the water here and now. the time has come now. and we are also interested, interested in the total victory of ukraine. then there is another aspect, eh, putin, and what they will not do now to win, this means that it will be more dangerous, god, this means that now ukraine has its own opportunities, if we attack this time, then eh, it

will be much more expensive, they will all ukraine is special, of course. well, the west. and if the west, after having given so many resources to ukraine, does not win, when it will cost ukraine, and it will cost ukraine to these politicians, ukraina, i think that in the west now, er, we will be and not less more support for ukraine, and it receives weapons from the west not in order to win, but simply so that the west has not yet decided what to do, just to hold on, and this is not my words, this is even very recently, he told me about this he is the head of the permanent delegation of ukraine to

the nato parliamentary assembly, people's deputy egor chernev, do you agree with such a wording ? russia will not win. well, they don't know what they want . in addition, it is necessary to have exact goals. тоже очень понравилось and let me go back to the tanks and aircraft once again, about which we are already with you, about which we have already talked with you, and still, from your point of view, um, what kind of time frame, when, when, when, ukraine can get this the necessary weapon and who does it depend on except biden

expert well, let's say that it would be very obvious that the germans will give leopard tanks and they exist in 13 countries... ebrance is such a good blessing in ukrainian conditions, i don’t know, i don’t understand it. well, that’s what her experts say that tanks have many actions , and there are many possibilities. they understand the topics they occupy there is simply full

the confusion is not innate, there is simply no possibility of strategic thinking. what is it not ? it does not lie flat. there are military experts, this is a political question in the first place . as far as i understand, they are military. it is silent. this is a russian bass. well, of course, this is a secret conversation, it is not clear. you are welcome, senior researcher of the atlantic council unders asland, we talked about volodymyr zelenskyi's peace formula and how it can be implemented thank you thank you

ukrainian defense forces managed to liberate almost the entire territory of the mykolaiv region, the last occupied part of the region remains the kinburn spit, a few kilometers from it, the defense is held by border guards who fix on oblique military, what kind of weapons are used there by the russian troops, see in the material of the military journalist of our former colleague levko stack, which currently serves the state border service at positions in the area of ​​the kinburn spit, it is actually the last piece of mykolaiv region that is still under the occupation of russian troops. and although the ukrainian advance in the kherson direction eliminated