vasyl did not turn out to be the first to find out that the russian army cannot fight. and that is why, among other things, prigozhin was sued. he really is one of his own. this dude is one of the most effective units of the russian army, although what is he called? well done during fasting by zelenskiy, bakhmut, he generally frowned. on the other side of the front, he said that vladimir sanich, dear, we are coming to you, we are waiting. here we are now with marzyankoy, and he arranged some clown demonstrative shots in the direction of the ukrainians , that’s it. well, that’s all the cursing, so to speak.

well, that’s the firm’s signature piece. mm. of course, this war of russia against ukraine is not just criminal, it has a certain irrational dimension, as you rightly noted now, this irrationality is intensified by an inertial process, we understand that putin does not care about the death of his fellow citizens and he will surely be ready to throw and throw and throw in the style of marshal zhukov corpses you, as a sociologist, what you see now are the main trends, in particular, it is about support within the russian federation for the scenario of a great war, a long war, or the possibility of getting out of the war with the help of certain i

i don't know propaganda tricks, it means the first of totalitarian fascist regimes, such as putin's regime, which now in russia cannot have any sociological polls at all, here are the data of any sociological polls. reich or well in the stalinist ussr or in putin's russia they ask on the street or on the phone how do you feel about the politics of adolf hitler or eh and here are the established ones or vladimir putin well naturally the human being answers means that of course, it

's good. вопросы соцовых оченьяться answers and what value does the remaining five percent have there? it's dry , understandable because there's a question. what's in the minds of more than 90% of those who refused? i don't know about it, so let's forget about it. in mass polls there are indirect indicators that are quite convincing. sociology in russia is possible , but it is not straightforward. and this crimea was the st. george ribbon and i saw this ribbon in huge quantities in the subway

on backpacks, on er, so to speak, buttonholes, er, there in girls’ hair, that is, on briefcases, handbags and on cars in huge in quantities and it was really a symbol of support, this is our crimea, it was a massive epidemic, and as for this war , it is a symbol of it, this is a half- swastika z, i have not seen this half-swastika either in the subway or on cars, mainly on administrative buildings here, please , as many as you like, which means the same cars that i myself saw, like all the cars on which there was a rare single car, where was this half of the swastika on them, the windows were broken, eh, the wipers were broken. well and so on, that is, in fact, this is the kind of support to pay for crimea , and the second indicator is

the ratio of mobilized people and people who moved in the opposite direction. went abroad fleeing from mobilization, that is, the opposite side can be evaluated differently there, this is a separate story that in the chapters of those who fled from mobilization, there is reluctance to kill ukrainians or, to a greater degree, it is desirable to die in ukrainian chernozemakh, but in any case, this is artificially not support for the war, therefore, in general, such a ratio can be used in different ways to say that the ratio of support for the war and non-support is still in sklenets now. degrees in the direction of non-support, and the fact that in the public space now there is mostly hysterical

support for the war, and uh, mostly they squirm and make fun of it, and uh, so to speak, fall into a depression, uh, so the supporters of the war are just evidence of the fact that um public the space is completely monopolized by the state, the propaganda is monopolized by the information war, where exactly are its participants and figure it out, and we understand that just as putin was walking and gerasim, you are all this criminal gang, they hope that this inertial process will last as long as they need, a year, two, three. well, here is the moment. what on your opinion can become a certain moment of crystallization . we are talking about the withdrawal of the soviet interventionists from the republic of afghanistan, let's give one point

when uh-eh vyvodyl prikasov vyvode decisions political about vyvode uvolskie for afghanistan it is strange to compare gorbachev and putin . gorbachev did not accept me directly responsibility for the afghan war, and it was very organic for him . i can say with confidence that putin will not give the order to withdraw troops from the territory of ukraine, at least i don’t see such an opportunity, so it’s pretty unpleasant for me the news was that the russian public space, russian television, the russian government practically did not react to the liberation of kherson, i thought that this there will be a rather

serious blow to the russian television, the russian public authorities have withstood it quite easily, the question is how serious is it the pudinsky regime will not be able to withstand the blow so easily because, after all, crimea is an absolutely iconic phenomenon and, in general, it will so easily swallow the liberation of crimea. how did they invite the liberation of kherson? most likely, the regime will not be able to. i see two special scenarios. here is the difference between these scenarios, it is conditional, but that’s why i see two scenarios. the first scenario is putin, after all, after the defeat, he will not withdraw troops . the circumstances it will happen, it means the end of the military

part, i wanted to say the first scenario that the ukrainian army will expel russian troops from the border there in 1991, so that the absolute right does not mean that if putin preserves his regime at the same time and in his power - this does not mean the end wars the war will change. it will just be the front line of the russian-ukrainian border. this is huge . the whole front line will be at the russian-ukrainian border and this war can last very long. rumors about the russian-ukrainian border are coming to an end. the resources are unjustified rumors and, in my opinion, they are harmful and naive because they are, that is, such a cap of a zakydaisky character. no, it will not end in russia, there is a sufficiently large mobilization resource, officially

, it is 25 million. like one and a half 2 million. well, it’s still a big resource , and putin can, moreover, it’s a renewable resource. and that’s why, uh, i think that the war in such conditions can last quite a long time, it will change its character, but it will be a long, protracted war. option - this is still a total defeat and where is the occupation of crimea and donbass - this is a total defeat for putin will lead to the collapse of the putin regime due, first of all, to indignation in the army, that is, in fact, that's it, here you are mentioned afghanistan, i will say that there was an afghan syndrome, and everyone who lived in the soviet union at that time knows what that is, uh, when very badly traumatized people came from afghanistan who did not understand what was done to them, why they died there,

why they uh, so to speak, uh, they lay in to the guts of their own a-a and their own and eh their comrades-in-arms why are they there that's why what happened to them with them why did they leave then that is, these people are poisoned by the war, traumatized, they came to russia, they made up, including who some of them became professional killers, some of them got drunk, uh, hung out there, uh, drugs , etc. and the ukrainian syndrome that threatens russia will be many times more destructive for russia, the people who will come from the front, uh, that means the remaining alive, who will not lie in ukrainian black soil, these people will be combustible material for the civil war, for trouble, this is about the same as millions of russian soldiers climbed out of the german trenches during the first world war, came to st. petersburg, to

moscow, and arranged to participate in this october coup and then they arranged what became the curse of our country in 74 the minister of war of the tsarist government sukhomlinov and the chiefs of the respective headquarters there were colossal problems because it was about losses at the level of millions, we are talking about the dead, wounded, deserters and those who surrendered. hitler's plans, in particular, or hitler's or stalin's plans regarding the general mobilization in russia. here, the key moment is probably the so -called level of absorption of corpses, that is, a

category that can determine the negative sharply a negative reaction on the part of the population regarding the war and the specific introduction of hostilities means that russia is the first to have russia, not only the state, not only putin, but also russia, how the population is absolutely immune to the number of dead, more than that in russia today by the way, this is fundamentally different from soviet russia , because in russia a different anthropological type was formed in russia russia's territory is like an imperial state - it's a de facto state that serves mainly for protection, this is a huge territory, and russians are proud of their territory, their territory is huge, and they are

ready to make sacrifices in this territory. there will be no reaction, there will be a reaction to the loss of territory, and the loss of territory may well lead to the fact that the same is true of the armed forces of the beehive structures, despite the fact that from the very beginning, whose generalship did not support this war they understood that this is stupidity. putin broke everything at the knee. he accepted a single personal decision . the war, so to speak, turning into purple, the current table war, where will the front lines of the russian-ukrainian border be, international recognition, i emphasize, the border could not have been

the front line, but the second one, not the line of confrontation, as eight years old, yes какзать была and the international recognized border will be the front line, the second option is the collapse of russia in confusion, and this is remember the possible option that threatens and inevitably leads to the decline of russia, this is the third historical stage called the russian empire , this is the natural current of the existence of the russian project in history and i, well, as a sociologist, as a researcher of russia, i claim that in the end, this scenario will be implemented, maybe not immediately, maybe after some period of this protracted general war, but i think that the disintegration of the russian empire did not escape the deadlines irresponsibly, it is not the subject of accurate forecasts, so to speak, but what

a fascinating period russia is, how about that historical project within the technical boundaries that we see today will cease to exist. as a rule, it is special for empires, like the russian empire, they always die suddenly, there are also certain extremely painful moments for the russian regime, in particular, the mysterious explosions at the airfields of the strategic aviation of our time, we remember kazu from the pilot matiasarust who landed on red square well, and accordingly, what happened now that putin and the russian air defense thought should not have happened. drones flew, so to speak, to strategic airfields. one of the first important successes of ukraine was the destruction of the flagship cruiser moscow, and it was destroyed with ukrainian

weapons, with this sea rocket of ukrainian production, what is important here is the same thing. these ukrainian drones destroyed, well, and extremely damaged, well, two heavy bomber at the airport not far from saratov, it is important, well, the airport is a military airfield called engels-2, eh, this is a fundamental thing, eh, at the moment, it is obvious that ukraine has the resources that allow the destruction of military objects in the depths of russia, and that now it is military military planes, well, in the sense of the bombs , only the strategic ones have been moved, if i go to the airport in murmansk, it changes significantly, that is, there are much more difficult logistics, at least they are more difficult to use, including for strikes then already kiev, although in general these strikes are continuing, they are all effective, but this

is mostly due to iranian aid. wars on the territory of russia. i would like to remind the tv viewers that the ex-deputy of the state duma of the russian federation from the opposition party, an apple, a sociologist, a journalist, ihor yakovenko, is currently working for them. the airtime of our program has run out. stay tuned to the espresso tv channel - my brilliant colleagues work for you non-stop. take care of yourself and your loved ones. learn about the most important things. see you in on the air of happy holidays

, let's listen to people suffering from rheumatism . but arthritic, it's impossible to get used to it, it doesn't allow you to move. i've tried everything. and at the pharmacy, i bought yellow cream dolgit, it saves relieves me from rheumatism pain reduces swelling and improves joint mobility for joint and back pain christmas is a time when ordinary things acquire miraculous properties a time to gather together to celebrate and we will decorate our christmas trees even in times of war our christmas trees will become places of strength we will meet christmas with our together with the military, we will become even stronger, and just as

light defeats darkness in carols, so in life ukrainians will defeat the moscow zays, look with a sincere eye at the son of god, on our land , on ukraine, a gift came down from heaven to bring this glorified forever vicky merry christmas so that ukrainians don't think about so that they don't speak first place still comes out war war and our victory seven days a week from monday to sunday seven different spheres of human activity sports culture politics eight presenters expresso journalists experts opinion leaders in real time about the most relevant events through the prism of war every day author's projects on espresso

let's listen to people suffering from rheumatism but arthritic it is impossible to get used to it it does not allow to move i tried everything a in pharmacy i bought a yellow dolgit cream, it is used for rheumatism. dolgit relieves pain, reduces swelling and improves the mobility of joints. dolgit is the only yellow cream for pain in the joints and back. congratulations on a good, large-scale invasion . it is obvious that not many ukrainians knew the name of one of the most famous russian director kirill serebrynykov

learned more about him already after the full-scale invasion, in particular after his press conference at the kaniv film festival , where he called for sympathy for the russian military because they are the same victims as he called on the ukrainian military as ukrainians to also help the families of the fallen russian soldiers in ukraine and to remove sanctions from abramovich's novel. roman abramovich started sponsoring films and kirill serebrennikov because of that. this desire to protect the sponsor is absolutely understandable. well, now ukrainians are discussing another point because serennikov is in germany made the production a blizzard, but of course there is not much from gogol, there again it is about the russian military, in particular, which are so bad, which attacked another country, but which also you need to understand them, well, in general, ukrainians were indignant, and the fact that ukrainians took part in this production, in particular , playwright ben-bohdan ponrukhin and actor

oleksandr yetsenko, well, this has been discussed for a long time, but you know, it's difficult to talk about the play which we haven't seen. yes, we all have. i haven't seen her personally either. that's why i decided to talk to a person who saw this production. this is kateryna . point of view towards the germans, in particular, they held an action before this performance by kyryll serynkov, so it is interesting to talk with kateryna a in general about this case and how the germans react to it. he is there some kind of performance, what can it affect, in general, it’s cool, actually, uh, a lot of

things. because we have to understand that this is the only one inside that they have a lot of such silversmiths of various types in various spheres of culture who little by little all these years spread some such dubious theses to the european community and one of the countries most susceptible to these theses. this is germany. of course, historical ties also play a role here, and how historical memory settled in germany during the division of germany into east and west and after, well, that is, all these moments played their role in how the germans treat the russians, how they consider the russians to be the only victims of nazi germany on the eastern front .

russia is governed by something, we know these good russians , because again, there is this moment, you know what, when we are told that the germans worked out their mistakes very well, it is not entirely true, as far as we understand that germany was divided and the eastern part of germany immediately when there the soviet union came, he began to call them all victims as well. that is, they had to convince all the residents of east germany that they were not germans, but soviet people, and this is it. that is, the politics of memory did not exist there at all in the context that they were denazified or something else, and there were still many very different moments. this is, of course, a very long conversation, but the very fact that everything is not so smooth in this awareness of one's guilt and very often there are still moments of justification

of oneself and one's family and you know it as if they look at the russians now and think like that well, my family didn't do anything bad back then, you know, and they start looking for excuses for themselves in the russians. well , their parents, uh, grandfathers and grandmothers. pencils, they are in russian culture , the same story happens when they realize that after the second world war, if ken salted german culture, it does not suit us, and they draw parallels with russian culture in the same way. inside whom not to talk in a very general way. and when we are from there and the hamburg organizations made a protest before the premiere of the play to prove that, first of all, serebnynikov is not

a dissident, he is a person who received money from of the russian federation directly from putin , well, since he is the head of almost every department of culture and cinema in particular , at one time silver money was also allocated, roughly speaking, from putin himself. next, he called for abramovich to take the dances off, he called to feel sorry for the poor russian soldiers directly already during the large-scale invasion, well, that is, it is all indicated that he is not a dissident and that there is no such good russian, and at the same time we are doing this demonstration. in our country, no one asks our positions, yes, we are being watched about this, and then, uh, the theater superintendent, this is an interview with a very famous german radio, he compares srebydnynikov with tomos man and says that this is a very popular story right now. she will make a very

strong statement. the so-called good germans who also at one time left for other countries and continued to do something, to which we respond. of course, thomas mann was not financed by hitler, so thomas mann was not a friend from gobal, we know that the silversmith is sorkova, so, that is, there are such things that the two positions are very clearly different , and secondly, look for something good. of course, there are always good people in the world. we understand that there can’t be something like 3 million, well, roughly speaking, without something good, but the point is that this application of optics is not in that direction, and this is exactly what people like sernikov are doing, and that is why it is very important to respond to these performances or some film screenings

or readings of literature that good russians are now arranging and they are helped in this by sympathetic germans, because they just blur the focus between who is who is the aggressor i am a victim, we know what the russians are doing and i have proven it inside, they come and complain about how bad they live, what a terrible country they have, in terms of what it is, putin is to blame that all the poor people there are unhappy and they had no other choice than to start this war and they had no choice but to go to war , and all these theses are very harmful for us , for the ukrainian community abroad , for us, as ukrainians and ukrainian women, who are trying to win this war. because the more people the event will be considered that well, the poor russians are unhappy too. all the more

likely that later they will begin to uh-uh extinguish these peace talks and say well, look, everyone is suffering, you are suffering, the russians are suffering , let's stop everything so so so what do you think here here is the main thing, well, again, it is very important to the play srebynnikov for us in that, firstly, the work of a ukrainian writer is used, and secondly, there are ukrainians involved, at least a playwright and an actor