tv [untitled] December 26, 2022 8:00am-8:31am EET
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the poles are really very passionate about the way we celebrate these holidays, and this cover was dedicated to the fact that there was a table, like an allusion to the christmas table at the christmas dinner, where a mother sits with two children, and somewhere in the trenches er, it's obvious, dad, er, well, who is one of this family who won't be able to celebrate christmas, so the russians took and cut off the upper part where it says b , they simply drew a letter in er, covered up this picture and wrote on their posts that the new hour is in one the picture is strong of course, hang in there heroes, and on the other hand, they also posted a poem dedicated to the new year, you said that they don't have christmas, they have their soviet soviet christmas, new year and a-a and we launch fireworks and we definitely believe in miracles, we are lucky that we are not we know how the sky darkens in smoke, but i still remember not dresses, gold
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, perfume, so that death would be starved, so that the trenches would be dry, and even their governor himself, someone in the far eastern kamchatka, or something else , even said that look at what a good picture it is, and then he did not understand what is this all the enemies of the people drew, well, in a word, they told him something. they always just steal everything in europe, and not only in europe, they also steal from us, and then and then they say that it is theirs. ready well, we'll be back after that andriy, give you a word, today we'll talk with serhiy of course traditionally on mondays, andriy yanitsky with economic news on the espresso tv channel as usual on weekdays live at
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eight in the morning with a repeat at 11:00 p.m. and when you can watch us on the espresso youtube channel at any time, and now you can also watch us on youtube in a live broadcast. leave your comments if the comments are related to the economy. i am ready to voice them to an expert. answer them yourself . 5 million euros is a start-up developed by ukrainians, the money will come from the european commission, these are funds for a unique project developed by our compatriots using a special technology in europe, a production line for pulp from fallen fibers will start operating in europe the fund of the european commission also agreed to invest additionally in the further scaling of the project. according to the approved development plan, relief paper will use the investment funds to
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create two more production lines in different countries. over the next five years, i would like to remind you that this is two and a half million euros from the european commission deutsche band sent ukrzaliznytsia a gift - these are 63 generators for establishing work in conditions of electricity shortage this is the first batch and already in january - the german carrier plans transfer another 325 smaller emergency installations they will provide electricity and heating railway stations and repair plants will also be used e light directly in the trains borscht set the so-called borscht set vegetables can become more expensive by up to 20 e-e percent during the winter among the reasons for such a price increase power outages about it said denys marchuk
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, deputy chairman of the all-ukrainian agrarian council , in the fall the situation on the market looked stable, but with the arrival of winter, warehouses began to suffer from new problems related to with the war, in particular, from the power outage, it will be possible to talk about price stabilization only in april 2023, when greenhouse vegetables will appear on the market, but now it is traditional serhii fursa and our banker, a representative of dragon capital, we are in touch with us to sum up the results year, mr. sergey, congratulations, so let's compare our expectations from this year, as of january, to a full-scale russian invasion, and now, what of what you planned then, if you can remember, came true. well, what happened to shkereberti? well, let's do everything about ukraine went to the scraper and i liked the phrase chosen by the washington post here about this
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year . with what we entered this year and with what we have well, it is simply physically impossible. in ukraine, everything has turned upside down in the world, in principle, in fact, this year lived up to expectations, despite the force majeure for the world economy due to putin, but what happened. it was quite expected, well, in general, all the forecasts given by economists mostly do not come true. if we remember the year 2008, no one or almost no one experienced such a large-scale mortgage crisis. if we talk about ukraine, then 2013-14 the revolution of dignity also well, few expected that everything would go like this, and accordingly, the
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russian invasion of crimea in the donbass was a surprise for many prognosticators . affected our trajectory of economic growth, we don't know at what level now compared to the previous ones, well, at what level, i don't know, somewhere around the 15th, probably uh, we are really executive, again, you came at the beginning of march, then we recovered, if you look in the third quarter, relative to the second, there was quite brisk growth, but then again the shelling of the energy infrastructure by the russians led to a slowdown in economic recovery, so to speak, to a deepening of the economic crisis and, in fact, to in the spring, we will be in such a bad situation because few people can work without electricity, and
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the real thing is that again, a new recovery is expected from april onwards. when it will be easier to activate economic activity, so at first it will be worse, then it will be easier. i hope that we already about next year, about expectations, about next year, let's talk. i encourage viewers who watch us on youtube to leave their comments. you have a unique chance to ask something directly to serhiy fursa, i will voice yours. the question is if it will apply to the economy. because now there is still a war there. i understand russian bots with ukrainian patriots. of course, i won't. let's sum up the results of the year and remember what was the most interesting. knight is so important. this year, i would i noted for myself the growing influence of the state on the economy, which is not surprising during the war and the decline of the influence of the ukrainian oligarchs . maybe you want to say something on this topic and maybe add some more
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observations of yours. no, just look at it. what can be observed during the war . the war was the main fact, in fact, for me, it is probably the best thing in this year that we passed it much better than could be expected in march, i already talked about it, the same ukrainian banking system still remains profitable on a large scale and the hryvnia is much more stable than we could have imagined. i was very pleased with the active support of our western partners, because ukraine was able to maintain the level of social standards at the level before the war. of such a large-scale war, the largest since the second world war, it looks like a real miracle , so first there was a tragedy, this invasion was full-scale, and then several miracles happened, and these miracles happened, including in the economy.
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the russians are even forced to dispel these fakes that after the energy sector they will bomb the banking system and this is very funny in fact, but there is simply nothing to say about this because the system is much more stable than everyone could discover, so this is a miracle and several other miracles from the point of view that even there, pensions and salaries do not fall, this is a miracle, taking into account the economic and military circumstances, let's say a cosmic or electrical miracle, because on christmas, they did not turn off the lights in many of my friends who already before that, they sat without electricity for 20-30 hours and everyone even learned, i don't know what to do when there is light or they say to sleep, it's a sin to be cheerful, to do something and not to turn off the light and not to turn it off in the same way or the same story in fact when i i live on oboloni, when those shaheds arrived last
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monday, it affected both of us that i no longer had very little light during the week, but somewhere i turned it on from friday evening, so they still don't turn it off and are already waiting for the whole floor, and it's not there yet, let's go back to of oligarchs and state influence. do you think that this balance will be maintained for a long time, that the state increased its influence and the oligarchs lost, or after our victory, it is still possible to return to the old rules of the game before oligopoly, when the oligarchs practically controlled the goals the economic sector well, it still depends on how we will go through the reforms, in fact, because the role of the state will definitely decrease after the war, because during the war it was simply too big, and then the question is whether the flag of victory will be intercepted by the oligarchs, conditionally speaking, or due to the reforms again after all, the key reforms within the framework of the imf program and within the framework of european integration are the rule of law and
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the fight against corruption. if these reforms are successful and a lot of foreign capital will come to us as part of the recovery, then it will simply dilute this influence of the oligarchs and business in general will determine the rules of the game , but the influence of each specific oligarch will be minimal if this can be done, if we have a significant influx of foreign investments , we lost this chance in 1991, when we carried out the necessary privatization. no, well, in short , they did everything wrong and created these oligarchs, and now where are the facts after the restoration war, if everything is done correctly, then the former influence of the oligarchs will never return, we have questions from the audience that they are watching the broadcast on youtube, uh, a viewer with the last name, uh, with the name irish, irish. i understand that, and mrs. iryna asks why the state so stubbornly ignores pensioners who receive
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minimum pensions because prices are rising and pensions are not keeping up with prices. well, look at this year, really, pensions they don't keep up with the prices, they won't keep up, but i wanted to remind ms. iryna that there is a war in the country and everyone. the entire welfare state in ukraine this year, if the allowance in ukraine next year is paid at the expense of our western partners, it's hard to imagine how zelenskyi or finance minister marchenko come to biden and say, joseph, you help us a lot, you give us billions, but we can't raise pensions. let's give us a little more money so that we can raise the social standard during the war. it's hard for me to imagine, so it won't happen. most likely indexation of pensions yes it is a problem yes it hurts but this is precisely the result of the war in fact and it is simply not possible to generate this money now if the state prints those funds because they can deny that the state is right
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let the national bank print, if the state prints, then there will be devaluation, significant inflation will eat up these funds, and devaluation inflation always suffers the most, that is, these poor pensioners, even if he raises the salary now from the pension account, i'm sorry, due to the printed funds, they will lose much more during year viewer maksym maksym with such a nickname, he denies. he does not deny, he says that the hryvnia did not fall only thanks to the fact that we were supported by our western partners, the americans poured money into ukraine - he writes in this way he devalues the work of our financial block, the ministry of finance, the national bank, or is it only because the americans poured money into ukraine? is the hryvnia stable, or is there some other factor, you know. in mathematics, there is a necessary and sufficient condition for the casting of western money, a necessary but not sufficient condition. that's all. because really, if
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this money were not there, there would be no stability now, the macroeconomic situation would be terrible . and it is difficult for me to imagine what would have happened in our economy if this money had not been poured in, because the deficits are due to large-scale super-scale support in our budget spends no less and even more every month than last year, it was difficult to expect from you before the start of the war, so yes, western aid is necessary, but at the same time, the national bank first carried out reforms in 15-16, which became a guarantee of financial stability now, therefore, the reform for which hey phone actually ensured financial stability now, and secondly, it was used from the very beginning, from the first day of the war, conditionally plan b they had an envelope, they prepared it, got it, opened it and started to introduce all these restrictions and it helped to hold the financial system , even if the national bank acted like the central bank of turkey, for example, even western aid would have helped, but
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here is the totality of these things and the right steps on the part of the national bank both now and during the last for many years, it is most important to understand that we entered this crisis in good financial shape, if the 14th year, relatively speaking . a very deep devaluation, so now you have faced a crisis in a bad state. and now we have come to a crisis in a good financial state, fortunately, our economy is already on the horizon, but all of these were overshadowed. as a result, there was a competent macro-financial policy, high reserves and low debt with which led to the crisis, and as a result, all of this together ensured the financial stability that we saw. in fact, we assessed the work of the contrabank in the past and this year, what it
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did . about the economic bloc of the government, how did it work this year? let's give an assessment, no, in fact, what concerns the economy, all more or less norms worked here, you just have to understand that they could not create a miracle, especially that the situation remained stable, that's already a miracle , there was a mess with these tax benefits given in march and at the beginning of the war, as it turned out, it was actually a mistake and it did not help much with the disappearing budget, and if someone worked, it was because taxes were reduced or canceled, and we always give benefits it is easier than to remove them later, because it is a popular decision to give benefits, but then the deputies are already hesitating. they still remain politicians and think about the elections , although the elections are still close, it is not clear when they will be, but they are afraid to vote for such realistic laws. yes, unfortunately, they think a lot about the elections and they think that the elections were
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very soon, eh, the same example with these euroblakhs, the latest ones, when they brought the bank here , there was a different movement that was not going for the front, but was going to simply avoid taxation, and people bought here, including expensive cars without taxation is a very demonstrative example and still remains this tax level of two percent, which is used by many big businesses of systemic business without paying de facto taxes and this is not a very pleasant story. therefore, it can certainly be called the only mistake that was made, but to be blamed for it now it is very difficult because in fact at the time it looked like a quite logical step. moreover, again, no one expected that the situation would be so good, and when we thought at the end of february and the beginning of march, what would happen to the economy with every business, so our viewers became animated, broke off, they ask additional questions, but mrs. iryna clarifies her questions . we will not
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delve into the indexation of e-e pensions now, because we have a limited airtime for one question. odesa has also had light for the last few days, i understand , and he is happy about it, the armed forces of ukraine, he says glory to the armed forces of ukraine who protect well, and to the energy workers, also to our glory and we still have time to talk about next year what well, we expect from next year whether it will be better or worse, here are the forecasts that after the economic decline as a result of the full-scale invasion, next year there will be growth, albeit small, but there are assumptions in all forecasts. economy minister yulia svirdenko says that if the war ends we expect next year we expect growth of 3%. that is, it turns out that if the war does not end, the decline will continue. well, for example, our capital forecast
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predicts that even if the war ends next year, it will mathematically the fall or the first quarter will be very negative due to power outages. in fact, all these forecasts are really a kind of thing now because everything depends on the armed forces of ukraine on what will happen on the battlefield and uh, to predict something uh seriously, well, it is very difficult in such conditions, because it all depends not on the economists, not on the economy, and it is very difficult to predict when we will elect the muscovites well, it is simply physically very difficult to say when all this will happen and how much effort it will take to do so about ukraine now, well, we have a forecast, yes. this forecast foresees a slight economic decline in 2023 , which is included in this forecast, and the decline of the first quarter and then the recovery of economic growth, and against the background of the end of the
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war, against the background of the fact that the energy sector will be better , but now it is like a finger in the sky. well, still after all, there is some glimmer of hope that the economic situation will improve in the spring. thank you , sergey, this is the last time we will speak this year. next year, the first week of january the program will be on vacation, and from the second week of january ours of traditional economic news mr. serhiy thank you serhii fursa, our investment banker from the dragon capital company, they talked about summarizing the results of the year and gave out evaluations on the work of the national bank. -th morning live on the air together we will win christmas
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time when ordinary things acquire miraculous properties time to gather together to celebrate and we will decorate our christmas trees even in times of war our christmas trees will become places of strength, we will meet christmas together with our military , all together we will become even stronger, and as in carols, light defeats darkness, so in life, ukrainians will defeat the moscow zays . this one glorified in the eternal ages, merry christmas, on february 24, russia attacked ukraine, ukrainians began to defend their homeland, part of
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the espresso tv channel team joined the ranks of the armed forces of ukraine from the first days, journalists, directors, editors defend ukraine with weapons in their hands, others every day they inform ukrainians about the most important things in ukraine and the world, the struggle continues on the informational front and the real front until our complete victory espresso ukrainian point of view that ukrainians should not think about that they should not talk in the first place anyway war war and our victory seven days a week from monday on sundays, seven different spheres of human activity, sports, culture, politics, eight presenters, espresso, journalists, experts , opinion leaders in real time about the most current events through the prism of war every day author's projects on the war in ukraine, the main topic for ukrainians, victories and losses, analysis and
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forecasts, politics and geopolitics, all this will be talked about by serhiy rudenko and the guests of his program, people who have information and shape public opinion, people who defend ukraine and create the future right now , the main and interesting thing in program verdict by serhiy rudenko monday through thursday at 5:10 p.m. repeat at 9:30 p.m. good morning we wake up espresso marathon continues andriy savchuk and lesya vakulyuk this morning we are working together to make your
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day, your week was good. well, at least we are trying very hard, it all depends on these neighbors of ours in quotation marks who are in the middle of nowhere, because it is a week before the new year, i think they will definitely arrange something to to spoil our holidays as in principle they have been spoiling our lives for 306 days as in principle they have been spoiling our lives since 2014 who in principle have been doing this for several centuries a little bit of new details about the situation at the russian military airfield in the saratov region known as engels god i do not was more or less a normal person the fact that he held that drone around his neck, marx, who did nothing but write his capital and all kinds of other nonsense, and
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he had to take care of his neck, that is, he fed marx and his wife, marsa, had something like 20 or so many children. well, a little less, well, he was he was terribly prolific in all these respects, so to speak, in short , he fed maxim 's whole family, that's all. of a normal person, this friedrich engels. that 's what they called the military airfield from which they kill civilians, they called him engels, and he turns into a rough place there, he turns into a rough place, but now he turns over not by himself. three russian soldiers were added there today, who shot down ukrainians at the airfield drones, as they claim , were shot down by the russian ministry of defense very successfully, so only three people died and now a fire of 120 m² is ongoing, well, something, well, a very big
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fire is currently ongoing, says the ministry of defense russia that not a single plane was damaged and that three four-armed top were killed there, that it doesn't count, it's not a problem at all, they shot down something, the battle and if the drone hadn't been shot down, i think that there would have been at least 1,000 deaths at once, here's the thing with the downed drone and there were four wounded. and when they avoid that no one was hurt there, it means that everything was definitely damaged there, probably a couple of bombers were also burned. well, after all, there is just a little bit of good news and you know for them to feel a little bit, at least that or whether there is in they are the body that is responsible for sensations and the analysis of those sensations, there is hardly anything atrophied there oksana korchynska volunteer military medic joins our conversation ms. oksana good morning, was christ born or did you really have a holiday weekend these two days after all, you had a
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lot of hard and difficult work, let's praise him uh well, i'll tell you that well, i'm very pleased because our community of the orthodox church of ukraine is celebrating the year on the 25th for the third year. i was pleased that it's really more half of my brothers and sisters at the front already celebrated on the 25th. for us, it is important to join the whole civilized world, and that's why, unfortunately, of course, the enemy did not leave his ... not many wounded but there were several rows of seriously wounded everyone survived thanks to the work of our military doctors because they work around the clock our e-e hospitalists work around the clock our international partners also organize the evacuation moas and sapivtsi pdmsh and that's why no one is injured
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, because there is no one left, our system is already working, there was a small fake, i hope it's a fake. organizations, i hope that this is fake because our sector is not confirmed, so i hope that it is a system that was put together in nine months and people who help and are very professional in providing medical care that all of them of course, they will work together with military doctors, military medics, this is extremely important for us and we have overcome more because we are in command. by the way, i want to thank you for the wisdom of the command. yesterday i saw my brothers whom i had not seen for nine months. the 72nd brigade yesterday taira saw igor lutsenko yesterday, we
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celebrated together we saw a big holiday yesterday organized by the sergeant of the armed forces and people's artist of ukraine taras kompanichenko and it brought tears to my eyes because when we sat and listened to taras kompanichenko, you know, another 9 months that's why it still seemed to us that by christmas we would at least not live to see how many of our outstanding fellow heroes who gave their lives for ukraine and ukraine should remember to pray for them, pray for their families, and pray for those who are now under fire er for those who are er captured. we have no right to forget about any of our soldiers, about any of our civilians who are in captivity, our goal is to free everyone, and that's why yesterday was like me until a very festive christmas when we were able to gather with many half-sisters
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and had the honor of listening to taras kompanichenko - he is the pride of ukraine - he is a treasure of ukraine, he is a person who restored and is restoring ukrainian heritage yesterday he performed a lot of unknown works by skovoroda these are extremely modern works and we were simply surprised how relevant it is now, how many centuries have passed and it is relevant, it says that our war has been going on for 350 years, and modern ukraine has been going on for 9 years, and some 305 days ago, the orcs invaded, and i have no doubt that we we will win, but it will be difficult for us. it will be difficult for us.
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