it was completely organized and carried out in the kharkiv region, then we had a great operation to encircle and liberate the estuary, but you can’t always go at a gallop, you know, just go forward because the troops are getting tired somewhere, the equipment is damaged, so... there was still a certain break, and just during that time, well, they had time to prepare for the russian occupation forces, they had time to mine everything there, they had time to raise equipment and er reserves, but they also clearly understand that if the time comes and the crimena will be deoccupied by armed forces by the forces of ukraine then they are losing a really strategic population center, because rubizhnye severodonetsk and lysychansk are already ahead, and they have a very good chance

of holding it there even on the bahmut. so , such attacks as they are happening now are because their grouping can be it is divided into two parts in the same way and the direction to starobilsk is opened, and whoever controls starobilsk will control all the logistic roads of luhansk oblast with fire control. about the situation in the luhansk region thank you thank you very much mercenaries of the russian pvk wagner, the founder of which is close to the kremlin yevgeny prigozhin openly insulting the chief of the russian general staff valery gerasimov the corresponding video was published the day before by investigative journalist belinket krysto groziv, judging by all the discontent of the mercenary artillerymen is connected with the shortage of ammunition and the inability of the russian general staff to arrange logistics for their regular transport to the front, and we

sit here and help. we want shells we are here under fire against the all-ukrainian army, where are you? help us, finally, you are one word, this is a song. where are you? everything is like that, even with insults. this is not the first time , in fact, that the wagnerites criticize the so -called russian military elite. since the autumn, at least publicly, the leader commodore wagner yevgeny prigozhin actively criticizes the military leadership of russia, for example, in october, the washington post even wrote that prigozhin complained about the military personally. putin allegedly managed to get prigozhin, together with ramzan kadyrov, removed from the position of the commander of the russian group of troops - the center of colonel-general oleksandr lapin and it looks like the tension is also growing between prigoroshenko and gerasimov,

the chief of the general staff, and prigozhin and sergei shoigu, the minister of defense, what does this all mean, how does it affect the war, let's talk about it later with us live russian political technologist abaz galyamov good evening. hello, let's start this video. prigozhin probes the soil like this, or wagner mercenaries, they themselves can afford to turn on the camera and look at the chief of the general staff, no, well, the joke took it upon itself to answer the story, so it’s obvious that it’s not self -dealing at the bottom. recently, it seems even more that prigozhin is still acting on orders on putin's behalf, um, that is, putin still can't fire

gerasimov, but at the same time, he's mad at him. well, no. maybe not in the technical sense, in the technical sense, it can be fired in 5 minutes, i mean , well, the political whole is reasonable, after all, in this package, but he doesn't see it, it's still too obvious to admit that everything is not going as it should it is necessary, but this dismissal will be the chief of the general staff. yes, in the discussion of hostilities, he took into account the printing if everything is going according to plan, as you yourself say, eh , and then again, no, this is a one-time action . человека er and then through the local he will still be fired yes, uh, in principle, well, after that, if he did it the second time , then there will simply be a staffing process, ah, and how it will be perceived as hysterical, yes, forgive me, that is, you will be perceived as hysterical, so you have to do it alone once

well, at the right moment, when, well, it will be necessary to dump all the accumulated jambs on someone , but in particular, on the new gerasimo, it is obvious that there will still be problems ahead, then they will also need to be hanged on gerasimo. well, that is in general, putin thinks that he will be fired gerasima is still not unnecessarily unreasonable, but at the same time, he is very angry, in principle , about what is happening on the field, that is, he is not satisfied with the effectiveness of the russian army, he thinks that they are silent in essence, they were fooled, so when they told, there was no capability of the russian army. and that’s why he has these emotions , ah, well, that is, he naively says to listen to the blows on him from afar. eh what is called yes that is, er, i know second hand to situations, putin sometimes does this, well , hello. and they send it through whom, that is

, to someone from the immediate environment, he gives an order to organize a counter-companion against someone from his environment, and yes, this must be done well, i know for sure, and in principle, it seems that this is the same uh story. yes, it’s simple. why don’t i believe that this is prigozhin’s amateurism? theoretically, it would be possible to admit that putin only weakened us, that prigozhin is so much raised so to say yes there that he is already in such a position games are games, but you know when everyone overplays he is already playing against himself, that is, he is too actively consolidating the elites against himself with this activity, and he is still not his own enemy and he is not so stupid as not to understand i think that ah he, er, with his radical approaches, this is the overturning of the established hierarchies in the country, he is consolidating the sense of self of the entire

elite. unites and consolidates and destroys it's cool how it used to be, for example , gatherings yes, as only stalin left, then all the others who, in principle, it was impossible to imagine the union on some other issues, yes, but on the issue of removing molotov, they managed to agree on the fact that they were all too afraid of him, and the parishioner is now consolidating the russian elite against everything so strongly that it is objectively not beneficial to him, and i think he is he understands that you are forcing him to do this. i think that this is putin's order after all. well, probably putin also understands that he should not have any competitors . he will get angry at prigozhin

so that no one suddenly thinks that he can be handsome, i don't know if he will be the next president . do you understand who prigozhin is? first of all, they are so discreet. second, he is not a competitor of putin. he is putin. with one click, you can remove him, that is , prigozhin has so much there, so he said so much, he did so much . well, the most important things are all the checks if there is a committee well, in general, all the bureaucratic verticals hate him of course now and uh, that's why, well , getting rid of the toilet for putin is not a question at all, that is, he does not face the task of discrediting prigozhina, because prigozhyn is a subject in his eyes just an executor, one of the multi-emotional executors of volya. yes, how does putin think it is more or less effective, that is,

compared to the perfect state machine, it is not effective. no special victory accounts no yes, but from putin's point of view well, at least they don't run because the official army means the exodus from kharkiv it is not necessary, therefore, there is something that putin himself is against, the interview is blocked, this is definitely not the case . well, how about you? ok, these same predictions that the supposedly senior gu- prigozhin can become the minister of defense, this is actually realistic hmm well , they also say that, you know. ah, after what happened on february 24, he is talking about something that is not real. well , it’s impossible at all. well, these people are basically e-capable of everything. well, they only

outwitted us. ah, that’s how much putin so much so that even the instinct of preservation itself has been lost reality that in principle as they say it will happen with them, that is, well, you can, it will be like that. yes, but for the time being, i don’t see any reason why to do this . with his aggressiveness, he will just blow things up there, ah, everything is grafted in. well, that is, from the army, there is something, eh, the general’s officers are being recruited en masse, yes, he just serves a criminal at the beginning, yes , criminals are still a-ah with desirable sexual inclinations, but a- ah so uh well, many people definitely won’t want to, that’s why. well, it’s just that she will finish off the army in prigozhyn and that’s it. well, she’s breathing. well, it’s not interesting to putin,

so i don’t know why putin needs to do this. ford well, it's good. in principle, they will accelerate the end of the regime in this way, so if they do it , i will speak to you. i was the former, we are a forecast of the inheritance of the political military rotation. here are some predictions or some reasons for this, you can see now. well, there will be a reason to assume that we will have the main personnel rotation. well, putin is doing well. that's why. why do you think so? well, it's just because i'm a polytechnic and i understand very well that putin will win and play in the company of the 24th year. well, there is literally an hour left, that is, in exactly an hour, the company will start officially, and it will be very difficult for you to win this company, and it will be

very difficult to falsify it. wars a in essence a lost war, but it is not yet known how the forces will behave, will they side with putin and will, so to speak, disperse the people, or will they do the opposite because they will come to the side of the people, it is impossible to fully include this in the history of russia, at least for the last 100 years twice it was 1917 and uh, 91st and that's why well, in general, uh, well, for putin, for the elite in general, uh, it means in the absence, in the absence of pobedy , they will try to re-elect well, it's too big a risk, so i don't include that ele speak for in order to preserve the system. they say that putin will persuade putin to leave, and putin, er, in fact, it is objectively in his interest, yes, he will have to leave the presidency, but he will at least leave it to someone who, er, means er, well, we will

give guarantees there yes, the security guarantee will be observed in principle and the obligation is simply yes. maybe he does not dismantle the system. the completeness of the system is self-proclaimed. yes, he does not dismantle the system. you know, he has it there lifetime means immunity and there is triple protection from the possibility of initiating criminal cases, so they heard that not 100% were forced to vote repeatedly and the state duma of their federation and the courts of the supreme court. well, that is very little realistic история yes, and that's why he has a chance if, er, it means well, conditional sobyanem, yes, someone from the er system will become the next president, and it will be easy for him to do it, he can really win the elections, and i, as a polytechnologist, understand that putin does not выиграет a a a a these guys win, i'm not

just here, here's something we have with the connection, the russian political technologist abaz galyavyv was on radio svoboda well, then the report of our colleague roman pagulych about how ukrainian tankers on modernized t-64 work on russian military and mercenaries groups of wagner under bachmut are firing from a closed firing position according to the coordinates from the drones, look at what they showed us in the video, it’s even very

good . day they did it very important as it prompts m. how can i explain to you, you see what you did as you already know that the same infantry helped and i myself would like it more and more after both the helicopter and the tankers worked on the horizon in one it's thick white smoke, it's a sign that something has been hit. and now we don't have such useless shooting with a drone. if they didn't shoot from closed positions, only one tank would do it, and there are two or three of them working, and that one is more than uh, right now they they do n't throw away any equipment here because they are very afraid of the live line and

these people, they stand still, they do not leave in a straight line, this one left. two tanks, but this one disrupted them, and since then they do not leave with any equipment in these directions, only infantry , infantry, artillery, aviation, they do not work, we have tanks constantly leaving the bmp are leaving, the tanks are working, we are all involved, what should happen, that you were going straight there, in danger in the tour and in portugal? well, when there are already a lot of them, not a small bunch, there are a lot of them, or their equipment is leaving, then we we leave and help the infantry who are standing in the front, then they tell us that when they removed the mountains at you, a triptych flew. well, they missed, either not with a range, or i only hear it when it's already shrapnel on the crow. well, god forbid that i only heard shrapnel and not a hit. everything

passes very quickly . here we are just approaching the position, literally all these 3-4 seconds, we have already fired everything, we have fired, we are rolling back to this time and it is just loading the projectile, it has turned over, we are moving back, shot, recoil, and so on, five or six shots were fired and recoil you themselves shoot home and roll back, but before you go to this position, you think about everything, how can it happen, how can something fly to a friend there, don't shoot something, friend, the car will stop and this is this, this is this battle that you are thinking about him and he is literally you are thinking there something will be very scary, and then when you arrive on fire and you just switch to

automatic , you already know your job. to her country in bulgaria, before her appointment to the position of ambassador, mrs. ilashchuk positioned herself as an expert in sexology and precious jewelry, and to summarize the position of the ministry of foreign affairs, the ministry of foreign affairs defended her appointment, according to the ministry's comment, olesya ilashchuk received a diploma with honors in the specialty ukrainian studies, department of international relations , faculty of history of political science and international relations,

yuriy fedkovich university of chernivtsi, and fluent in english language, the ministry of foreign affairs also added that after evaluating ilashchuk's candidacy, the bulgarian government allegedly gave her consent without delay, without having any reservations about her work in bulgaria. years, all non-staff diplomats demonstrate decent work results, however , the ministry of foreign affairs did not specify which staff diplomats' speech is about, the war will greatly affect the demographic situation of ukraine, but the majority of ukrainians are not ready for a quick peace with russia and will endure the war for as long as necessary , ella libanova, director of the institute of demography of social research of the national academy of sciences of ukraine, told about this in an interview with radio liberty. she also explained what will happen to volodymyr

zelenskyi's rating after the war and why we do not see mass and effective protests in the ukrainian authorities say to russia and belarus that the war will end when ukraine wins an absolute victory and reaches the state border in 1991, while at the same time some international leaders say that in ukraine needs a quick peace with russia, and as a sociologist i want to ask you how many people in ukraine are ready to support this second position about a quick peace with russia, or is there a critical mass of people in ukraine who agree with this, well, first of all, the position of restoring the borders of 1991 year, this is not the position of only ukraine. i apologize for this, the resolution is already a sip, it is much more serious than just the position of ukraine. i think that the dominant opinion is simply dominant, the dominant opinion is that we will tolerate

it, because we need so much and we will be from your side the answer turns out that european leaders do not fully understand what ukrainian is and why this is happening because even before february 24, when a large-scale offensive took place, ukraine was given three days, many in the west said that ukraine would hold out for three days. why don't you you know , first of all, they underestimated the army, this is the first thing, they underestimated our officers, they underestimated our command, they underestimated the completely unexpected position and behavior of the president. expected such and such behavior from our comrades, agree that people will put out fires practically with their bare hands what will they fight so desperately will

we all be able to preserve this unity after the victory, it is impossible and let's understand this , we should not expect from people what they they can't provide unconditionally, division will begin and there will be claims. well, you see now, well, walking through kyiv that neighbors are one on one, yes, because of the light, you understand that these are, well, these are inevitable things, but i think that division it will not turn into a split. the main thing is that the division should keep its ties, but with regard to the future support of president zelensky, to what extent will he be able to maintain this unprecedented level? yes , the level that is now impossible, it will decrease as much as possible. it can be predicted. i think that it will seriously decrease. it's not like that, you understand it perfectly today, everyone is clenching their teeth, the political

conference is just not the time to fuss now we are the only ones, we have to overcome the enemy, we have to restore normal life in ukraine and then we will already make claims, this is a normal position, absolutely, and the political parties will remember everything about it, we will not get away from this . well, there is nothing to worry about. i just want to say that in the entire history of observations, this is the only case when, for so long, the majority of the population of ukraine believes that the country is moving in the right direction, the only one before the war, it wasn’t even close, you say that the ukrainians were significantly changed by this war in the good sense of the word, and with regard to the russians , does this war affect them in general and if it has an effect, then i don’t know. i really don’t know. i don’t believe in the data of their sociological surveys , not because sociology is qualified, no, it’s not about that, people are not always ready to

answer sincerely. well, it’s a difficult situation, we perfectly understand all this and admit that that something is being done. it is not so difficult and psychologically and dangerous, but sometimes you have to hear the opinion that only putin and the military-political aggressor are to blame for the war against ukraine. the responsibility should be borne by the funds, why then do some western leaders adhere to exactly this position, it turns out that they and the russians understand to the end no, this is not the issue, they believe that if we replace the elite, at least the top, it will be possible to achieve peace faster and they definitely want peace, well, we are like that we want it as soon as possible. and do the russians themselves realize their guilty involvement in this

war? i think not, i think not, you know, uh, there is no such thing, first of all, there is such a thing as imperialism and the whole world copes with it very hard. well as far as i understand, the british managed to do it best, but the entire elite there was very purposeful in this direction, they worked what they left in india. well, you understand that there are many complaints against them, but less, but they tried to overcome this feeling of imperialism, and in russia this feeling is not easy did not try to overcome it, but cultivated it , that is, the chances of the russians admitting their guilt in this war are minimal or not, i think they are minimal, firstly and secondly, i don’t know when it will be, you know

, very often now they draw an analogy with by the germans this is a wrong analogy. it is not complete . at least i think it cannot be fully carried out . first of all, the germans lost the war, they were occupied in russia . we don't need it. and on the other hand, that is, they will not fully understand that they lost this war on the domestic market . any defeat can be sold as a victory quite simply. secondly, the germans first repented and then everything changed, only

then i am not here. see no signs it's simple none although the germans in 1945 also said that they did not know anything about concentration camps , you can say anything you want, i think that the majority knew and understood, but simply human consciousness, it is quite simple to manipulate it, as it turns out, if we talk about such theses of the ukrainian the officials and public figures who have been hearing more and more recently that russia may soon fall apart, do you see this trend before these events, if russians even defend their own rights and do not come out very actively first of all, this question is not for me at all, there are enough political scientists like that, you know what, but if in march there are public sentiments, i don't see it, maybe the caucasus will break away, maybe

this is the only one who seems to me, after all, in russia, disintegration can only appear as a response to the behavior of the elites, if the elites start to rock this ship, then it is possible that in addition to russia , belarus also participates in the military aggression against ukraine, and despite the hopes of many ukrainians that the belarusians will now unite and come out against the lukashenko regime, we do not see this of course. what do you think? you can imagine it, there is so much of the russian army there. that is, this is the main deterrent factor, they cannot, they are actually occupied , and to be honest, i perfectly understand all the complaints we have against lukashenka, but the fact that he is not moving the troops yet, this is that , well done and why during the previous

presidential elections in belarus, the belarusians did not manage to complete this process, it is not enough, well, not everyone can leave, remember the last maidan, when they actually marched with wooden shields under bullets. genes, they haven't gone anywhere, they are and at the moment they are ready to fight for ukraine, that is, in the near future we will not see any protests from belarusians, or maybe they will appear if troops come here from belarusian territory, if there are belarusians among those troops, if we drive them out and respond strikes on the territory of belarus. maybe then radio

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