hmm, we have not yet reached the moment when we can say that we have broken the enemy's neck and we will continue to move down the hill to our victory so far we are close but we have reached and it depends on what we have not achieved parity in weapons we have not achieved parity in ammunition well, that is, what could this break mean from your point of view, the search for parity in some types of weapons in the amount of ammunition is absolutely not indicative in the modern war in ukraine, there are no e-e planes, long-range bomber aircraft, but it struck the airfields of the wengeli for 700 km from the state border, vdiagelev regularly attacks targets in crimea, 500 km away, ships were attacked in berdyansk, sevastopol

, but we don’t seem to have the means for such actions, that is, the possibility of creative approaches and the awareness that asymmetric actions are david against goliath, an old saying allow those who lose in quantitative indicators to be effective, well, a completely modern one that allows us to achieve high results with limited resources, as for how to characterize the fracture when we we will feel that the enemy's command has finally lost interest in offensive actions, that's probably when it will be considered that the turning point has come. there were several meetings held with the general states by the general

staff of the russian federation in various places, there publicly, not publicly - different and, in principle, there was a lot of what was told to him and reported it can be seen that they are trying to build on the contrary and to increase the work of the anti-aircraft missile defense system and something, to somehow consolidate the army, to carry out some additional mobilizations, something else, well , that is, it is clear that the situation simply did not freeze that is, they still made some conclusions , they will do something, and this is precisely the assessment of the tyrant who gave in an interview for the economist when he said that in order for ukraine to be able to advance further, additional weapons are still needed, and he called numbers that are actually huge, there are 500 tanks, in my opinion, there are 7 tanks, 300-300, yes , that is, in fact, they are large, you better know this and this is in principle, well, it is commensurate with the armies of

two or three european countries, that is, how realistic are these expectations. and in general, if so say more broadly what they can be waiting for the received weapons for these possible actions of such active, well, in order to have an idea of ​​what resources we need to carry out further operations, we need to know what goal we want to achieve , what forces and means we need for that, that is, we know the need for resources the number of people is quite limited, i kind of think that this very need is brought to our allies and according to what we ask, they try to satisfy our request, but far from everything can be provided to us in the quantities we need and at the time we need, the armed forces

of the allied states well, it looks a bit like a supermarket option i need 300 tanks, please wrap it up well, firstly, not every country has that much of its own armed forces , and secondly, those tanks that are in storage are partly needed by the state to provide, first of all, and due to their own defense capability, their technical condition very often requires quite long restoration and modernization measures, therefore the timing of the start of our active actions should coincide with the timing when the allies can supply us with resources we need today we all saw that the president of the united states announced that in 2011 infantry fighting vehicles

and tanks could be supplied to ukraine by public efforts, in what terms what kind of machines, what kind of weapons samples were not said, but the very fact that the possibility is declared is already a lot, it is serious progress well, yes, there are new types of weapons that we didn’t even dream about before, well, we dreamed about them , but we were very careful about this patriot system. maybe there will be some more interesting ones. finally, in january there will be a new ramstein, but here of course it is interesting. do other players support this desire to give us already modern systems? this is, of course, a very serious question

. behind the scenes of rammstein, daily work is carried out to search for surplus weapons systems that can be transferred to ukraine . it is determined whether ukraine needs them at all, and what technical conditions, in what time frame it can be transferred. to be submitted to us and accordingly rammstein summarizes the supply opportunities with our needs and creates delivery mechanisms so to speak from the points of the point that in principle everything that happens there is nothing for us to want just the right set of wishes has the commander in chief of the armed forces i can share my personal vision in my opinion today, we need long-range firepower in order to eliminate the russian capabilities of shelling the territory

of ukraine with sea-based air-to-air cruise missiles . that is, we need a long the hand that will bury e-e strategic bombers of the russian federation and ships carrying cruise missiles, this will significantly facilitate our life, the life of civil society will provide an opportunity to restore the infrastructure to a level that will provide at least our minimum needs in the second place e-e i would determine the receipt of e-e combat vehicles infantry and armored personnel carriers so that the newly formed military units, the previously formed motorized infantry brigades, received the appropriate amount of means of mobility, if we want to fight quickly, energetically, we cannot to do this on foot, combat vehicles are needed, which , firstly, are capable of transporting personnel , and secondly, support its fire action, so

these are probably the most important priorities. in the third place, there should probably be a conversation about obtaining e-e planes, because any offensive actions require e- if there is air superiority at least in the key areas of the development of operations, there are probably three of my priorities, well, you know, the first priority is to get something for a long time, which would reach those planes and ships that are now bombarding ukraine, so i think that is up to you all 100% of the residents of ukraine will join this wish, what exactly is it, you know. if it could be placed under the christmas tree, it would probably be the greatest happiness for all of us

. even more happy, let's wish this to everyone, well, everyone's wishes. you know, such things are launched into space, well, they usually come true . let's talk about some, what can happen, about some such plans. especially since , uh, there are certain expectations. so, for example, uh- is the commander of the northern direction, the syrian direction, told the same economist in an interview that one should not underestimate the mobilization in russia, on the other hand, at these last meetings there, putin told him that the russian army would be increased to one and a half million military personnel there they want more than 600,000 to be contract workers and raise them, and they also intend to raise the conscription age from 21 to 30, that is, even those who now

thought that they would not fall under the crisis may well fall under it. point of view how do you think this mobilization in russia really affects their plans to gather a larger army on what is happening on the battlefield and the most important thing is how far can the military machine of the russian federation really equip these people and deliver them to the field if you look at it on the influence of mobilization on society as a whole, these are vessels that connect the armed forces and society, and between them there is a tube of mobilization, that is, if you want to increase the number of the armed forces, you must transfer a part of society there , including people who worked the military-industrial complex used to be a critical infrastructure enterprise in the same

communal economy, that is, there in society it is getting worse, but due to this the army is getting bigger in the materials of the colleague ministry of defense of the russian federation it is noted that they intend to form about 15-18 new compounds and if , conditionally speaking, for the convenience of calculations , 20 new divisions of 15,000 people will be formed. the logical context of the development of events , the russian training and material base of the armed forces of the russian federation allows training 120-130 thousand, taking into account, firstly, the throughput capacity of training facilities, and secondly, the availability of instructors who can actually teach, that is, by forming 20 new

divisions, the enemy has the opportunity put on the field both well, about 90,100 fresh new battalions of tactical groups, but the question of all these people is that all these 300,000 need to be dressed in something, it is desirable to be military, to be given modern equipment. well, at least it is relatively modern means of ballistic protection unloading vests e-e unloading the same flags in general about a set of combat equipment a warrior in russia everyone heard and saw units and here we need 300,000 people to take the sister weapons they have no problems with ammunition for it there is also no further questions begin a where to get military equipment in warehouses, bases, versions , the stocks are quite large, but all this must be

restored and preferably modernized, the modernization of the t-62 wedding machines has been announced in order to provide them for the troops who will to be formed russia today does not produce fire control stations, night sights, night vision devices, all this was purchased in france, now sanctions can not buy anything for the t-62 tank, night sights , there is no question that it should be modernized, it is displayed on the battlefield, that is, a machine that is blind at night well, it will probably happen by other means, such as airplanes, helicopters, means of communication, primarily secure communication without components that are under sanctions, well, this is more of a conversation than a possibility, something

create the last the last funny story about the fact that manufacturers from abroad refused to transfer to the russian federation the order they had previously ordered baikal and elbrus processors, which were considered to be a domestic development, but somehow the domestic development was made outside the russian federation. there are quite a lot of such nuances that should not be discounted. gray schemes are parallel to the imports of e-e strange partners such as iran and can provide something and help with something by pumping western radio microelectronics through the shadows schemes to the russian federation, but all that can only partially give some impetus to the russian pc hmm to create something and somehow

advance, therefore it can be concluded that the enemy's intentions to conduct another offensive strategic operation are human resources, but the possibilities are extremely limited to provide the new group with combat equipment as they will solve this problem so far it's hard to say well, of course the question is when they can try to do this offensive operation because you know i remember well that for example uh about what uh they want to strike, uh, well, to strike at the ukrainian infrastructure, these are the power plants, and so on, they started talking. well, somewhere in june and july, there was such a figure that they now have to increase the concentration of calibres that can be released in

one launch up to 100 pieces. well, caliber , caliber, but precisely for these, let's say, the expected and sought-after 100 pieces, they really increased the possibility of simultaneously releasing there other caliber missiles . such was the rush of time from july, the beginning of july and until october, and here, as if not so long ago, they talked about the fact that they were going to prepare this offensive operation, and then when can we expect the offensive operation, which began on february 24 of this year, began to prepare for at the beginning of the summer of the 21st year, when the troops were withdrawn to field camps

, in particular, on the territory of belarus, and a number of exercises of various levels were conducted, the troops were preparing for future actions, at the same time , the investigation conducted by journalists mini yorktant it was published it seems on december 14, we see russian military documents that were collected here on the fields of the defeated combat order of the commander of the 26th tank regiment e-e signed on february 23 readiness for action on february 23, 20 one o'clock in the evening that is, until the invasion itself, preparations continued for a long time planning, judging by the fact that the order was written by hand and not even typed on a computer, it can be said that at the very

last moment, something was revised, something was corrected, that is, really six months on the preparation of such measures is a rather limited time, taking into account the fact that the mobilization took place and the formation of military units was declared only yesterday, accordingly, from yesterday, 180 days should be added, and this can be considered a more or less realistic deadline for the next actions, the enemy is also aware that if he does not as the first step in the next step, the armed forces of ukraine will take such a step, and they will make it the most convenient for the russian federation in the city, so they should also speed up and to carry out some operation with limited goals without looking after or waiting for the deadline

when these six months pass, i think that the escalation may take place at the end of january at the beginning of february next year and, accordingly, a larger-scale offensive operation can be prepared for the beginning of june next year. well, if they talked about a limited limited one. well, it seems that there are attempts of such limited offensives , so what could it be from belarus, or will it still be donbas? what do you think? what do you think? we are now seeing such a picture. mariupol, the enemy has started the construction of defensive lines along the dnieper, not in the territory of the kherson zaporizhzhia regions, a defensive line is being built, which is a system of defense areas connected by tactical

fire links, that is, it is not about preparing for the next actions of the enemy that take place in the donbas, well, this is just a paraphrase of the personal joint of the armed forces of the russian federation in senseless attacks on the fortified positions of the armed forces of ukraine , it is unlikely that something serious and large-scale can be carried out there, especially to do it covertly in order to we did not see this and did not expect such an opportunity in luhansk region. the enemy has it, but he cannot advise us to take any adequate measures to stop the advance of the united defense force of ukraine in the direction of the flintlock. that is, there is something there. no , it is very similar to an offensive that concerns belarus in belarus is in the second and the rifle

division of the armed forces of the russian federation on five training grounds of the e-e group somewhere around 12,000 people in order to carry out serious offensive actions, this is clearly not enough. belarus has once again left topics to take part in the aggression against ukraine although he refuses to contribute to the provision of territory, airfields, airspace, provide medical support, repair opportunities, but this is not what the russian dictator expects. this is a group that will try to make life difficult for us somewhere in slobozhanshchyna. that is, it could be kharkiv oblast or even sumyshchyna and

sumyshchyna. i don't think so, but it's administrative the border of the kharkiv luhansk oblasts can become the following terrains. moreover, on the russian side, before 2014, the formation of two divisions in shebekinoi valuyki was started. there is infrastructure there, there are opportunities. of the state border was pulled out of the range of our fire, well, look, eh, ro- rif insists that they are focused on such an important goal for them, there is an exit to the borders of the luhansk donetsk regions well, but the positive eh, if you look so, looking more closely at everything, it still seems that

the issue of controlling the cock of ukraine is more important in general for the russians, well, first of all, it is this land corridor that has been covered , for which, in principle, it provides them with a very large amount of resources and gives them the opportunity to support all their groups, etc. it is interesting here what the prerequisites could be for some offensive actions, and from both sides from our side and from the russian side, that is, what can happen in general in the south, that we can expect a land corridor from the territory of russia federation in krym along the coast of the sea of ​​azov, it appears as a metal operation, then disappears , it is not often said, but the actions of the enemy indicate that he is preparing to defend this territory in accordance with the holding of a referendum

on the accession of the kherson zaporozhye regions to the russian federation, well, they saw that circus, everyone laughed at it, give russians have some grounds that create an illusion of the need to defend originally russian territories that are part of the russian state. well, of course, in the kremlin's imagination, only everyone else knows whose that terendu and the measures that are taking place now in the area of ​​melitopol, in the area of ​​the colony, in the area of ​​vasylkivka, the construction of fortifications in the kherson region speaks for the fact that it is preparing to defend and hold this territory against them, and not to advance in the northern or western direction let's try, you know , to talk in such very, i would say, such conditional categories regarding plans and

opportunities, that is, if we are talking and we are going to seriously liberate the entire territory of our country, then we must understand what there may be prerequisites, for example, for the liberation of luhansk and donetsk, this is the key, long-captured territories, what would have to happen here in order for this goal to become real, we showed how it can be done in two ways. er, by the method of slicing salami, that is, the enemy’s deep wedges along the main road works were gradually cut off and these groups were crushed until they completely lost their

fighting capacity, in the end the enemy was forced to announce already with good will and get out of our territory, the enemy perfectly understood that to ensure the combat capability of the units that went deep into the enemy's territory for 300-400 km and not to cover communications in any way is an absolutely unrealistic task, therefore , the second scheme for the liberation of the territory that we showed was born already with good will to the enemy, this is the rapid raiding of heavy brigades, when the territorial defense brigade struck in one place, the village of shevchenko, the enemy decided that this was the direction of the main attack, and began to reorient maintenance of this particular settlement and immediately received a breakthrough in the breakthrough of three brigades of the 92nd and 93rd mechanized 25th airborne division

, which rapidly advanced all the way to kupyansk , destroying the operational stability of the enemy's defense, and he was forced to flee first from raisin then from the estuary and leave the territory of the kharkiv region completely, that is, there are several options, several tactics, and several operational methods, but it should be taken into account that the donbas is an extremely difficult territory for conducting offensive operations, because it is such a huge urban agglomeration and masterchef mass of man-made objects, the terrain itself there in the donetsk ridge is not very conducive to rapid actions there, the general staff will have to strain to come up with something original. i think that such plans are being developed and there are relevant ideas, especially since

the general whispered, a member of the debaltseva defense, he knows the region very well and knows the secret corpses by which we will reach the ukrainian border in 1991, well, the liberation of crimea is no less so . okay, because crimea is essentially a military base, let's be honest, crimea is mine and russia's military base, and what should be done to make it cease to exist, what should be done to disable it, how to make it so that they we didn't have the opportunity to resist here, i think you don't need to bother. you don't need to disable this directly. remember general manstein, who

dispersed everyone in crimea with five divisions and captured everything, and didn't think much about what needs to be destroyed. if not, we have already mentioned that first of all, it is necessary to disable or severely limit the possible use of cruise missile carriers, this can be done and we have already tried to do it in sevastopol. i think that these tactics have been developed and they will not go anywhere and will be used at the right moment. the second nuance is to disable the enemy’s aircraft. no airfields, namely aviation, because the airfield can be restored quite quickly in modern conditions, if only there is not always a nuclear strike on it, correspondingly damaged aircraft, they are harmless and lose the meaning of the carriers of the military potential, the third thing, what should be done to disable the

air defense system, whether it will be a strike on radar stations, i think that it is not for nothing that the partners provided the harm missiles and they were very surprisingly and quickly integrated for use from our planes, mig- 29 and that technologically, before the start of application , it seemed to many to be completely impossible, including to me in particular, but we saw that it works and it can be so, i think that in the southern direction we demonstrated to the enemy for a reason the presence of such capabilities. most likely, when necessary, our aircraft with such missiles will show themselves as best as possible if we ensure our dominance in the air, the fight against enemy groups with our ground units