in the field near the village of gorbacha, ivanivka district, brest oblast, and there are already reports that the belarusian foreign ministry summoned the ambassador of ukraine, ihor kyzyla, and protested over an alleged ukrainian rocket that fell in belarus. we know that since february 24, belarus is a partner, i would say so in of the russian federation or co-responsible with the russian federation for the invasion of the russian army from the side of belarus into the territory of ukraine, now the belarusians are trying to squeeze out this situation by saying that the missile allegedly flew into the territory illegally to belarus, are the targets on the territory of belarus according to you, colonel, legitimate targets considering that belarus indirectly participates in russia's war against ukraine and supports the russian federation in this situation

and allows russian troops to be on its territory if the occupation regime belarusian lukashenko did not declare the occupation a-and belarus by russian troops means he owns his territory or here the territory that controls this regime handed over to the russians for good and health, so to speak, because he carries direct responsibility for any military action carried out by the russian army in the territory of the soviet union, therefore, for us, any military action on the entire territory of belarus is a legitimate military objective, it will be ground, if it is air or space. it is not important, that is, we have the right to execute it and even er preemptive strikes, we carry out certain operational-tactical actions on the territory of belarus, including later on , the movements of the belarusian mfa of the

belarusian occupation lukashenko regime are legal from a legal point of view at the most, this is a diplomatic small diplomatic scandal that, er, will descend to the level of a border incident and no more, can the belarusians, and in particular the same oleksandr lukashenko, the self-proclaimed president of the republic of belarus, use this fact and this reason to er, in the context of cooperation with the russian federation to advance its troops to the borders with ukraine and try in some way to attack or at least enter the territory of the northern territory of our state, well, based on the number of troops that the belarusians have they can declare war on us, surrender in the second time, no more than that, these 15,000 people are absolutely not a problem for us. it is unlikely that

lukashenko will use this kind of incident in order for -m in the information field to participate in the war . they are already participating in this way. they are preparing the russian army and providing their equipment. russian federation belarusian - no, no naruto, the belarusian copying regime of lukashenko, therefore, in order to fulfill some kind of political or, er, contractual relations, russia itself cannot, in principle, use anyone else, and this incident is far-fetched, that is, a case, they could come up with it at any moment. it is unlikely that this incident will be er, it is not beneficial for such fundamental belarusians, as everyone perfectly

understands that there is a war and such kind even if it is our rocket, i will say it again even because it is not a fact that it is ukrainian rocket even if this is also our rocket, it is absolutely not a legitimate reason for carrying out any military actions . at the moment, i do not see any signs of preparations for an invasion of kyiv or the northern regions by the belarusians. president lukashenko is taking these steps to prevent a disaster for his country. said that the situation on the border with the republic of belarus is under control and the grouping of russian troops on the territory of belarus is now twice as small as the group

that was involved in the attack on kyiv in february. less than the group that was involved in the attack on kyiv in february of this year, 22,000 against 45,500 occupiers, even in the event of the involvement of all combat belarusian military units from the composition of the ground troops and special operations forces of the aggressor's troop group will number about 30,000 people, which is still less than that which took part in a full-scale invasion; in addition, today russia has removed from the territory of belarus all the stocks of ammunition and artillery systems and rocket launcher systems that were created in the interests of the armed forces of the russian federation, on the eve of the attack on ukraine, minsk, in turn, has

limited opportunities to supply the offensive group of troops with ammunition from its territory, the prospect of involving the armed forces of belarus in the war in ukraine directly remains dependent on the ability of the armed forces of the russian federation to advance in the donetsk direction, as well as on the activity of the defense forces of ukraine, at the same time, the russian side is expanding control over the military airfields of the republic of belarus, work continues on additional equipment of airfields in the baranovichi luninets wetland and the adjacent infrastructure, at the same time, we heard that it is still planned to turn it into a key logistics hub for the needs of the armed forces of the russian federation, actually, colonel, now general gromov said that russia is expanding its capabilities in the use of airfields in the republic of belarus, military airfields

. airfields in belarus and we have an air alert or a possible repeat when russian aircraft can attack i am not talking about crossing the border, namely russian aircraft can attack from the territory of the air territory of the republic of belarus strikes on ukraine, as it was in february 2022 , when the planes struck chernihiv, in a technical sense, they cannot do this, in a technical sense, they enter the airspace of belarus . territory and indeed from the side of belarus, bombers that will destroy chernihiv eh, now, at the moment, this kind of

action is precisely the approach of anti-aircraft aircraft approaching the border line it is practically impossible for our anti-aircraft defense system to maintain certain borders of the northern border by the way , the s300 missile can be, if it was our missile, that is, it is an indicator that we are working in the direction of belarus, that is , our air defense will not allow heavy bombers to enter let's say chernihiv, and in general, the attack of bomber aviation on our, at least, not occupied territory, they sometimes slipped into the occupied territories in the region of the yuholoscope of the country, still there are them the pro system that works and somehow supports them , and from the north, er, there is absolutely no option for exactly this kind of action, they can perform certain tasks, the rocket does not fit er to the operating

range of our systems , that is, up to 100 km for 100 km to the border er - of ukraine and belarus, but i think that the occupation regime of lukashenko will now oppose such actions, as he perfectly understands that, in principle, we can deliver both a preventive strike and a strike . on military objects which may turn out to be critically important for the republic of belarus itself, because it is lukashenko who will most likely not allow this kind of action, and plus, that is also not allowed in our law. thank you, mr. roman, for participating in the program. we work live on the espresso tv channel, as well as on our social networks, we are on youtube and facebook, for those who are currently watching us live on youtube and facebook,

please like this video subscribe to our pages on social networks well, for those who are currently watching us on youtube, you can become a sponsor of our youtube channel under this video, you can find the sponsor button well, actually there are quite simple actions in order to support our youtube channel well, what's next we are in touch with oleksandr musienko, the head of the center for military and legal research, oleksandr. good evening. good health. i am glad to see you on our broadcast. missile strikes and about 69 missiles were launched in the direction of ukraine from the waters of the caspian and black seas, we have results, very good results against air defense, but there is another fragment in this story

, this is the story that is now is developing literally in these minutes because the belarusian foreign ministry summoned our ambassador and handed over a protest over the fact that a ukrainian s300 missile allegedly landed on the territory of the republic of belarus in the bryansk region, how do you perceive this story because belarus is accomplice of russia in russia's aggression against ukraine, and sooner or later it was bound to happen anyway, if the belarusians prove that it was a ukrainian missile, then what possible development of events can we predict? whether this was supposed to happen later in general, we can be surprised that it did not happen, that earlier, when from the territory of

belarus, russian troops and russian aircraft actively bombarded the territory of ukraine and launched iskander missiles, it was at the end of february and sometime in april may, the month since then, russian aviation was actively used, then there were still some outbreaks , this is the first moment, secondly, if belarus provides its military infrastructure and, in principle , actually provides its military assistance in the war with russia, and not the other way around, it does not support ukraine and does not call on russia and the kremlin regime e- to stop this criminal aggression. so they are satisfied with this state of affairs. so we can conclude that they support the aggression and they are calm about the fact that now actually in a neighboring country and where the war is more moreover, they contributed to this war and provided in many respects both the territory from which the russian troops came and to this day the training of the russian military, the supply of

equipment and weapons, etc. now the next point regarding the missile well, even if we allow the scenario that it could have been a ukrainian missile that flew on the interception of the russian missile that intercepted the russian missile is the law of artists, so in principle it cannot be interpreted as ukraine wanted to fire at the territory of belarus. not at all apart from that, our s-300 ukrainian complexes which are used, they are not converted to use er, they are used for strikes against ground targets, absolutely and accordingly, such missiles, as a rule, if they do not hit the target, they must be destroyed in the air and, in principle, fall only fragments do not cause any significant destruction and damage, the following the point is that even if it is a ukrainian missile, no damage was actually caused there because it

fell in a field, it fell into banks there, in principle , there was no harm to people or material, it did not, in principle, cause is i.e. belarusian accusations against ukraine that it could be something special. is ukraine behind this or did we somehow try to hit the territory of belarus? they do not withstand any criticism at all. this is the next and most important moment in all of this . for sure, what kind of rocket it is, where it was launched from, and so on, so far we only have the testimony of the belarusian side, and under such conditions, we can only make assumptions that it could have been such an incident, but still in full to the extent referring exclusively to belarusian sources unfortunately for the authenticity of this event or rather not even events but facts that in

principle preceded this event and took place as a result of the occurrence of this event. of course, bakhmut , deputy chief of the main operational department of the general staff of the armed forces of ukraine, brigadier general oleksiy romov, spoke at a briefing about the heavy fighting around bakhmut, where defenders of ukraine hold back up to 20 attacks of the enemy who are trying to take bakhmut at any cost, let's hear and see brigadier general gromov, the main effort of the enemy was concentrated in the direction of bakhmut around bakhmut, the defenders of ukraine are holding back up to 20 attacks of the enemy every day, who , under the cover of artillery fire, are aggressively advancing on the positions of our troops to concentrate artillery fire around bakhmut, the enemy deliberately reduced in recent weeks the number of shelling of the positions of our

troops in the kherson and zaporizhzhia directions, while the ammunition was more than 40% of the enemy's artillery fire along the contact line from kupyansk and maryinka fell on the bakhmut and lyman directions, the enemy is trying to capture bakhmut at any cost, despite the numerous losses in personnel, deputy minister of defense of ukraine hanna the painter says that the occupiers face an important task by the end of the year, the military-political leadership in the kremlin ordered by the end of 2022 to go to the administrative border of the donetsk region well, actually, we already we are under these orders to go to the administrative border of the donetsk region. it seems to me that it has been 8 months already. so exactly when, starting from may or april, the russian federation tried to go to the administrative border of the donetsk region, the fact that the russians can

not do this, what does this indicate, well, first of all , about russia. well, you you know, first of all, i have to say what to really implement. now there are plans to go to the administration of almost donetsk region, the aggressor's troops will not succeed, it is clear , secondly, i think that they are deliberately using this information for the purpose of such throwing and disinformation into the information space. that is, it is an informational psychological operation of our enemy, because the strategic goal, it seems to me, is set by the russian troops, the enemy troops, it is not just to capture bakhmut himself, this is one of the goals, of course, but strategic, the metal insists that our forces as much as possible to pull more in that direction so that the ukrainian troops could not concentrate, consolidate their forces and move with full force to create a strike group and launch counteroffensive actions on other

directions, for example, in the south to melitopol , or from more to hit the meadow in a different direction, and so on. and it happened quite actively after that. in general, the battles there have been going on for several months, but they switched quite actively. russia there is even more active in attacking it after they lost kherson how they retreated from kherson and from the right bank of the kherson region. they started. they were afraid that the ukrainian troops would go to melitopol and the loss of the south is almost equal to the defeat for the lviv aggressor in this war, at this stage opposition is why they so intensively defend the south. and the goal of defending the south in other directions is precisely bakhmut, where our forces are deployed . mariupol to berdyansk to

melitopol, and they are also pulling the district flint in the luhansk direction. so , despite the strategic plans to withdraw our forces, they see that it cannot be fully implemented and there are risks for them that the ukrainian defense forces will be able to successfully advance in other directions , for example, in the direction of criminal e and the next moment, you know, the trend is quite interesting, lately it can be traced in the area of ​​bakhmut, there, too, a large number of wagners, this, in particular, is concentrated in private military campaigns, and here are these. as you can see, even mr. gromov said that 40% is about 40% occurs, and earlier the number of such and such artillery strikes was even greater, that is, the tendency is that they also transfer their artillery to the luhansk direction and the avdiyiv direction, where they are trying and can be

so that prigozhina is the head of the wagnerites and the construction of the russian army can be skazhem, yes, we know that they have hostile relations , they are publicly clarifying them, we are prigozhina, constant claims, and we may have a situation in our hands that, in the sense that it is possible now, the russian command in the person of gerasimova, the puck will not be left beautiful, let's say on your own, with your own strength, for so bahmut, they say, show what a great commander and commander-in-chief you are, if you criticize us and they can prepare strikes in other directions in particular, in the direction of the matchmaker and further to kupyansk, from where russia planned its counterattacks even earlier, or it is possible to plan some offensive actions in the south, that is, this is the situation today, uh, in the east, in the area of ​​bakhmut, there are really serious battles, but we

see that on to another in other directions in the east, the enemy is becoming somewhat more active and there is even more now reinforcements are arriving from the district flint knife even near bakhmut. we have operational information from bakhmut from servicemen of the armed forces of ukraine with the call sign witch. what's happening there now let's see congratulations with bakhmut today december 29 i'll show you what the clean-ups are doing to make it a city proper you can find such surprises on the road in all areas of the city russians are fighting with our infrastructure, fighting with our enterprises and fighting with our people, but i must note what they fail to do is that they planned offensive plans,

they were thwarted, the ukrainian defense is standing, the ukrainian defense is holding on and will hold on because, as one wise man said, if we have almost two soldiers of education, our opponents have three convictions for two soldiers, bakhmut, what is he like, hold on, we will hold on, we will hold our defense a little longer, and i think that this war will end. in our favor, glory to ukraine. this is the situation in bakhmut. er, those forecasts that are given and written in the western press about military experts, well, in particular, the german press has been writing for several days about the fact that er, russia will resume

a major offensive in the month of april, and obviously er, one of the objects will be where it will be or the directions where will the russian army go, will it be kyiv, although general budanov says that there are no signs of a new great russian offensive at the beginning of next year on kyiv, we will hear more from budanov, this option has always existed and exists now and, unfortunately, will exist for quite a long time even after the end of the war, however, as of now, there is no information or any real signs of the preparation of a new invasion of the city of kyiv, i mean the capital or in general the northern direction is absent, you as sir oleksandr, how do you assess the prospects of the resumption of the offensive by the russians in the north from the north

of ukraine from the south and belarus and from the russian federation, how will events develop in your area over the next few months ? it is obvious that the russian troops that are currently being prepared are mobilized . they will try to implement it now, a part of the mobilized, which in general, why did the situation arise in belarus, do you remember it, by the way, it was the same with the submission of the main intelligence department the ministry of defense talked about the fact that now a large part of the mobilized forces, no less than 20,000, will be concentrated in belarus. therefore, there will be an increase and a possible offensive from there, but the situation now from the belarusian direction is that the vast majority of these

mobilized russians are studying. belarus is now a large educational and training base for the russian military, they study there and spend time in the area of ​​active hostilities in the east of ukraine, that is, they do not stay and do not concentrate near them according to various estimates, to date , it is precisely russian servicemen who are on the territory of belarus, but it is clear that the situation is constantly in flux, because the mobilization in russia is, in principle, ongoing , but in fact it has not ended. and of course these troops can potentially stay in a month or two and accordingly concentrate on the territory of belarus for several months and create something like a strike group there, but on today, the concentration of large forces and means of the enemy in the luhansk direction can also be traced, and there is also a

probability of concentration in the belgorod, kursk regions of the territory of russia. that is , respectively, the northern skid from the territory of ukraine, starting from luhansk region, kharkiv region and sumy region, they can concentrate there, and in principle, they are today are concentrated in the east, since it seems to me that one of the possible scenarios for the creation of a strike group of russian troops is the northeast and possibly the occupied southern region melitopol well, in this way, in order to try to really move to the meeting in the plans of the russians from the north to the south, to make the surrounded on the left bank, but even for the implementation of such tasks and such plans, for today, in principle, as of today, there is no concentration of the power of means and such efforts that would have given russia the opportunity to carry out such offensive actions, they

will obviously not repeat the offensive as it was on february 24, they will try to focus on one, most likely, the main and the second auxiliary direction, this is what they are on today they can concentrate their efforts if they managed to collect even more. maybe they would do two main directions and one auxiliary one , but today the enemy does not have such forces either, despite all their warehouses, despite their arsenals with ammunition and shells, eh, this is not a question of infinity, and they too have such a feature that they run out, they need to be replenished. and today, the russian military industry does not have time to replenish what the russian army intensively spends in battles. general budanov says that the leadership of the russian federation says receives distorted information about affairs at the front despite the fact that officials are trying to get rid of personal responsibility that

the russian army intensively spends in battles general budanov says that the leadership of the russian federation allegedly receives distorted information about affairs at the front despite the fact that officials are trying to get rid of personal responsibility do you agree with by this statement, are they just in the kremlin? they are just stupid . oleksandr, we had technical problems, you are still with us, unfortunately, unfortunately, we have technical problems problems have arisen, dear viewers, eh, oleksandr, thank you for participating in the program. it was oleksandr

musienko , a military expert. who is watching us live now on social networks you can like this video and also subscribe to our social networks we work on all social networks on telegram on facebook on youtube e.e. on instagram you can find us well besides you can read our news on the espresso tv website - this is our website, we work for you 24 hours a day, 7 days a week . you can find the most up-to-date information about what is happening in ukraine and the world on our website . in order to provide a complete picture of what is happening on the eastern

fronts of ukraine, we are talking about the heroes of ukraine who are fighting on the russian-ukrainian front, and we are also providing information about what is happening, what is happening during the day on two lines of the front in the south and in the east, friends, this is the end of it. thank you all for your attention. thank you for being with us. i wish you good health. i congratulate you on the upcoming new year holidays. take care of yourself and your relatives. goodbye