together with his subordinates, it is moreover that at one time his units, which took part in international exercises and joint elites , was recognized as one of the best in communication management, coordination of deployment activities and in the skills of tactical medicine, you know the war was an inevitable process because i in 1998, i had the opportunity to work in the verkhovna rada, i was the assistant to the chairman of the committee on foreign affairs and cis countries in relations with the leaders of the cis . the historical first - it was the approval by the verkhovna rada of the constitution of the autonomous republic of crimea , and if we read the preamble, we can find it in the sources in the constitution of the autonomous republic of crimea, it was proclaimed in the name and interest of the residents of crimea, and when we

asked the then deputies of the verkhovna rada in 1998 what interests are residents of crimea, when the source of power is the ukrainian people, no one could answer us, and the huge analytical reference that we wrote in our time under the leadership of oleksandr viktorovych zadorozhnyi, professor who died and who wrote a large work of research on the actual international legal aspects of the annexation of crimea, none of the deputies could answer us, and the risks that we described , including social, economic and military, took place and they happened. i remember the chairman of the verkhovna rada, tkachenko, who closed in his own office, he did not want to sign the authorization of the parliamentary delegation of the verkhovna rada to the nato assembly in ireland, and then the understanding came that we are moving in some wrong direction, is

n't that the way we are moving, they are leading us and already in 2016, when we started, we can talk about it. it is already open. we started training many people at the base of the 95th brigade. military personnel in zhytomyr organized training courses for interested ukrainians because at one time, when the 95th brigade was in the area of ​​a special operation on donbas took active and effective actions in donbas, then zhirynovsky appeared on the screens and said that the russians will come from the zheto in zhytomyr, they will start hanging zhytomyrs from the balcony, and then these soldiers organized courses for everyone who wanted to learn, i want you to say that in 2021, about 30 training and staff exercises were held in ukraine a few hours before the start of the aggression , a significant number of servicemen, equipment and pilot crews were withdrawn from their

deployments, and everything that had to be done by the army in terms of preventive measures measures training if you look at the statistics, in 2014, at the time of the annexation of crimea in ukraine thanks to yanukovych, there were only two artillery brigades and two artillery regiments as of february 22 there were already 10 artillery brigades and the latest weapons, which of course were not fully equipped, but they still existed, and the ukrainian army based on the principle that true patriotism is sincere and quiet, it did its job, it does its job and the army will to stand to the end so that ukraine, from the subjectivity of every citizen who took up arms and defends it personally, became a subject in the international, international-political plan, and

we could within the limits of that declared by us territory and ensure the well-being and development of our society. praise to ukrainian soldiers. praise to ordinary ukrainian citizens. praise to those who remained unconcerned and we are the armed forces. to our studio virtually oleksiy rostovych, adviser to the office of the president of ukraine p. oleksiy good evening, glory to ukraine, we tell you, i will not ask you today about the operational situation, our broadcast is about the results 2022, and we have talked more than once in this studio about the fact that, on the one hand, this is an incredibly difficult year, and this is a year when tens of hundreds of thousands of ukrainians gave their lives for ukraine to exist, on the one hand, and on the

other hand, this a year when ukraine became stronger every month, every week, at the same time, the russian federation spent its military resources and became weaker with each place. let's assume that we myths rule the world, then we destroyed several very important myths during the war, which ultimately determine the course of this war and further development, the most important thing is what will happen after the war, the first place that was hit by russian propaganda, which was that ukrainians are organically incapable will become capable of self-government and they should be divided according to the conditions between europe and russia or given to russia so that they organize these unionless ukrainians, this myth is gone now . everyone, the whole world knows that ukraine and what is ukraine and what are ukrainians, who are ukrainians, many of

us take an example, many are inspired by me, and many say that in a certain sense the spirit of ukraine is what made the west believe in itself again, especially europe by certain indicators, well, at least the rhetoric and actions in relation to the putin regime, how are we deprived of the dramatic changes that took place in germany, france, which arranged and is arranging a special tribunal, the french, who were putin's friends even before this war, i don't know much i watched during and worked in the tripartite contact group or the norman format to almost finally calm down in europe, but the miracle of the transformation of the west, the defense found itself again and the west again began to conduct a policy of values ​​and political morals, this is the greatest achievement . about the second army of the world about the fact that they are rational

beings about the fact that they are people who, let's say so, generally have the right to be in a common family, a people in a family of peoples yes, and in the world division of labor and now all the matches are obvious practically everyone in the west in the civilized world believes that russia is the main black, such a montenegrin that does not allow civilization to develop and poses the greatest threat to these poles and determined the volume of aid to ukraine and the future that will be determined on ukrainian terms, not a single russian soldier, reparations, removal war criminals, not a single putin as the leader of russia, the world accepted these conditions and you and i, all ukrainians, have done it from time to time during this time, and if there are questions, we will of course give the floor to our guests recently you are in one on the air, they said that russia will

seek revenge even if it loses this war, that is, even after years, and what should be done about it. the main function of the army and the state is not in the field of security, it is the center of warfare, but the prevention of war. did not manage to prevent war, we must be so strong that any adversary, first of all, the russian federation, did not even consider the option of military action against ukraine, knowing that these actions will not be successful, i will prove its defeat in the second, third, and fourth and so on, for this we need to start rebuilding the state on our we cannot unconditionally bi-nationalize it this is a dangerous path but we have to be a strong open and democratic social well but at the same time very strong powerful states when the enemy 3 or twice five times thought whether it is worth to threaten ukraine at all with armed force,

diplomatic, economic, informational, we will fight special services, but no use of military force, even if we do not consider, for this, it is necessary to completely rebuild during post-war reconstruction to rebuild the national security system of the defense industry something like the israeli version of a powerful reserve army of long-range weapons that eliminate the main drawback of this war is that they take us to 2,000 km and we are only 110 and many, many other things will be presented to us by a huge the reconstruction of society, starting with our psychology, relation to what is happening, and ending with the material means of waging war, is a huge challenge . in my opinion, after the military construction, there will be a much more difficult international task is to create a new ukraine capable of coping with the challenges traditionally of our studio such a status for discussion people's deputy of ukraine homeland mr. tsymbalyuk i understand that i have a reply to the question hm. good evening mr.

oleksiy, but i want to say that in fact in the first days of a large-scale war in e- you were one of the few who went live on the air , spoke frankly those things that others did not dare to say, but then new experts appeared and somewhere you got lost, maybe not in an insult, but in one from the interview with dmytro dmytro gordon, you said that you have not ruled out that if president zelensky does not run in the upcoming elections, you can, as they say, run for office, have you changed your mind now? thank you for your answer . but now i want to emphasize that i try not to support such conversations, why. because today, during the war, all our efforts must be focused on winning the war, this is not the time for personal pr, this is even the time for

repeating certain jokes, we have to focus full support on the supreme command even beyond his last name is not important what is his last name at all now the main thing is that he is the supreme commander and all together unite and win this war then politics then jokes political jokes no jokes dreams and all this then now the whole attention to the one who is the current president, because he is both symbolically and in many ways meaningfully the leader of ukraine , whom the whole world is proud of, whom the world wants to imitate, whether we like it or not, different people treat him differently is a symbol of our defense. and this is the focus on which it is built and we have to keep order keep order. we have a lot of black council, this is our main architecture. the closer they are to russia, the absorption of russia, and then we know buch, the holodomor

is always the same scenario, now we have a unique chance simply unique not to do this, that is why i propose that all my actions are personally aimed at uniting even unite with these people who personally scold me and hate yakir always if you are against putin and for ukraine i have enough in me you can dislike me you can scold me we are not enough to pull your hand and win the war and it will be seen later but still about presidential ambitions you have repeatedly stated that jokes are not jokes here, but such statements were made in the continuation, i will simply ask, and the party of the arrestee will be after the victory. the fact is that i am extremely political, i did not think about only this, i myself am quite a person if even i did not stay in politics, then i will sound a happy life, i will teach how to travel the world and so on and so on, let's win relatively first, let's see oleg synyutka thank you oleksiy for such an exquisite sense of humor

regarding the presidential campaign because, to be honest, i did not immediately think that you are such an elegant person i hope you are not joking now when you say about the unification around the supreme commander-in-chief, this is a very serious matter because it is a matter that really should unite the whole society and i am here absolutely frank and once again i want to emphasize that the thing that united everyone today actually gave us the opportunity to confront the enemy and this is very important, and i wanted to ask you about what, when you called the end of the war, do you remember a few weeks, then autumn, then autumn, what this will all last a long time, like when you were joking, when you were talking seriously, and how do you really see the development of events regarding the military operations in ukraine today, that the military operations will end

with our victory and de-occupation, this is clear , no one has any doubts here, i would like to i really want to hear your predictions. i want to even increase, let's say expand, the offer to unite not only around such a commander, but we all need to unite around victory, that's the main thing, the main thing that concerns the two or three weeks that i myself made a meme, it was said once in the middle in march, when i was asked how long russia, for example, is holding out around kyiv, i also said 2:3 weeks. on april 3, they left. how long will it be after that? it's just a tug of war. when i saw it, i followed the old army principle that if you can't mess around, you can't. you can stop it, you have to manage it, i started it, i made it myself, we started using it in everything that concerns forecasts, it’s arbitrary, it ’s like us, the situation changes there twice a month, then twice a month there will be new forecasts, there will be anyone, not just me, well,

no one should have predicted for example, to start except for lisa or not lindisova of western aid in the month of april. if rammstein's first meeting took place 15 injuries when the armed forces of ukraine and the defense forces interrupted not the best times, let's say so, we were very, very it is difficult 60,000 outfits what to do 41:10 in the directions of the main attack on our infantry troops for 15 hours under strikes the west did not manage to hold a single meeting then these are some forecasts then the beginning of aid everything else forecasts before the russian mobilization - these are days forecasts after the russian mobilization this is the third forecasts and they will constantly change, this does not mean that we are the ones who forecast, i am not even talking about myself, we are not able to forecast, some are capable if we recall the video of the 19th of the 19th of the 17th of the year 2008 about the capture of crimea, but we will not show finger, but if the situation changes radically, then the forecast changes radically,

now the main intrigue is what the russians will do with the thousands of them that they accumulate there, where and how they use them. 200-300 thousand troops, the third time we destroy these 200, and this means at least until july. it will probably be very hot for all of us here, because the wine does not run out immediately after the hot wine, so sooner after all, my current forecast, which has probably been changed once again during this time, so that the standards do not change. well, it may be earlier in the fall of next year, maybe not even about the end of the war, but cautiously predicting a decrease in the traditionality of hostilities or something like that, that is, it is very difficult to say now because there is a lot circumstances decrease from changes that every month every day sometimes but they warned that they would be and

tell me, were these shellings that were planned before the new year by the russians or will it be another wave, well at least there what are your your thoughts, your data. maybe you can tell the audience something. there is no difference between the assessment of the possibility and the assessment of intentions regarding the possibility - these are analytical numbers. they can be calculated mathematically, for example, this morning the russians took the e the information, in particular, goes to the partners in relation to themselves, and they themselves, what exactly will 124 be released, well, they are released, that’s why i said more than 100 approximately, because i, as a person who understands something about military affairs, understand a little bit that 124 is never launched if announced 124, there are always interferences, technical problems, and so on, that is, it does not happen 100%. but the fact that they launched 69 was very surprising to me

, and not even 69 winged ones, there were 6, two were sold, medium-range anti-popov missiles , they fired at ours. well, what does this indicate that they can start saving , as for whether there will be a new shelling? well, for sure they will be. when they will be, they don't know. this is a very subjective factor. you can not try . take up the bombers and ships that were put up today and there tomorrow or the day after tomorrow again there are more casualties there in other words maybe they will pass by themselves that's how they go yes he there 10-11 days to prepare for evaluation results for obtaining new data on korex to search for new flight paths of winged rakes because they are trying to deceive our ppu. yes, it's not that simple, nobody knows, i'm practically here. i'm personally oleksiyovych. i'm sure i'll be further along in the coming days, especially on new year's eve i don't know when the cruise missiles will come again,

but it seems to me that it will still be a concern for some time tomorrow, although i don't know, it's impossible to say exactly what they keep there today, a discussion between experts survived . 16 only 16 cruise missiles of the x101 type with a meter of air at one time 10 pasikah er covered and six drums of which planes they have two, that is, they 32 two planes went up 32 missiles were allowed, well, it’s a lot of factors, it’s hard to say i i am sure that they will try to pay us on new year's eve or next year, i will somehow, somehow, from what number we will look at the meaning, we are all here as experts, your forecasts have gathered in me, too, i also remembered one of your forecasts, now i will share it eh well, there are many spokespeople in the state they are talking about the fact that the 23rd year will still be a turning point and maybe

even the final one in this war, well, at least in the hot phase of the war, it will succeed or not, that 's another question, what efforts will be spent? another question is whether this situation will satisfy is it to satisfy russia with the end of this hot phase, whatever it will be, or is it to satisfy ukraine, and you predicted that in the next 15-20 years, if i am not mistaken, we are expecting somewhere on the order of 2-3 or four hot phases of the war or a repetition of the war situation in i have a question for you, superimposing on this your forecast for such a large given territory at the present time. if putin does not suddenly die in the 23rd year or he will not be removed, well, forecasting for 10-15 years ahead, well, it is obvious that putin will not rule russia, what is waiting for russia in this the situation in this model of development of relations with ukraine schedule, what are you more inclined to schedule or cement it as an

ultra-terrorist totalitarian country on the example of the northern region but with a nuclear bomb which it can show off endlessly and sometimes it can throw sooner or later and what awaits ukraine in this endless parking and can there be such a long-term confrontation from the point of view of your forecast. have you not changed it ? in general, in general, because according to aristotle , the same form will produce the same consequences, it is necessary to change the form of the russian essence, but the state that puts such things as the holodomor as a system policy, many states in history, many many states have covered things up, but they shun this, they they made it a state policy and putin made the 64th guards brigade the rear guard from on the rowan trees like this and i don't believe in russians just go away and i don't believe in either liberals or

totalitarians, of course the chuchet regime which there are those that have been established, they want to release power at any price and they will try to go with putin or without putin to arrange something . hunger is like uh, there as a basis of management in socialism, let's say so, the consequences for the people who are starving, which we know well even at the level of families, but i don't believe liberal russia. i remind you that the first attempt to take crimea away began the year 93-96 is between the kopchi in crimea, the same passports, the same russian military pensioners, the president of crimea, mutual naming of training ships, the actions of our su-25s at the headquarters of the chernobyl fleet, in the end they were divided, but then tuzla, five five energy wars, putin's munich speech, but and even under the liberal yeltsin, we had the shooting of the parliament in the russian federation, we had the war in chechnya, we

had er, falsified elections, it was done by the liberal yeltsin and the minister of foreign affairs of the goats, who was not so much about the west that in the west you will not find such a person who is so pro-western what is russia and the russian empire is turning into a totalitarian one from a liberal one in 15 seconds ago i do not believe in mass nor in all good people i ordered for example latynina yesterday and so on and so on the same form will be give birth to the same people even with the best wishes who will return crimea to us, they will pay us the real thing, the liberals will pay us separations , they will pay reparations, when they become the head of the russian federation, they will immediately invent the same things as the russian federation there are no natural borders in the southwestern direction, what are the interests that we are competitors of the ukrainian communist party in the agro-industrial complex, in metals, in many things and will begin to compete, and where there is competition, plus historical trauma and sentiment after the loss of this war, we have a thunderous cocktail that will constantly threaten

ukraine and even if we create a system that will not allow the english way to invite, we will not break up with the russian federation without a conference, any good-soviet relations are impossible. in the 14th year we fell asleep in europe pretended to be in israel and we have to live for several dozen years, i want us to be an open democratic society and at the same time so strong that the russians do not think at least liberals or totalitarian north koreans or kyists or professor ngu - they are the same in essence so that that geography dictates strategy - this is geography, you can put a super liberal, but strategy transforms energy, geography transforms it into strategy, who thinks about how to put ukraine in its place in the most delicate therefore, we have to become strong enough in the world to avoid this option, just to avoid it, there are other things that can be done, but at least at this level, there should be

a general national code, and then maybe there will be no war until the 35th year, several phases, although i remind the arabs that before they became convinced that the jews could not be defeated by the israelis by military means, it took six air conditioning troops, then they gave way a little. there is a book by andrii baumeister, a trip to the land of philosophy or to the flow of thought. please tell me if you recommend any books to your colleagues from the office, including these. i am one of the few people in the office who always tells the whole truth in the office, sometimes not choosing words and that's all - they all know that i don't have any inhibitions to say no, it's not pleasant, the truth doesn't exist, if you really knew what i said to this office, what i'm saying to the office here . one and a half from the office

i didn't have an office there for a month, it has many shortcomings, but now the office is a body that ensures the activities of the president, as he was carrying out the command that he can be criticized . the president immediately said that he will not preserve the state of society . the question is what is at stake, do we have to ensure that criticism does not become actions against the country in the information sphere, we must be very careful to pass the forces bread yes and i am here i am personally in the public space, some are allowed much less than internal communications i always proceed from the principle of sick leave, war does not harm, please oleksiy, thank you very much for your analysis, but please tell me if you do not see historical contradictions in the fact that the russian empire was actually created by ukrainians, one of them was fan

prokopovych, who carried out an administrative reform with the other was oleksandr bezborodko, who was the author of a huge number of international treaties with the help of which russia as an empire strengthened itself on the international arena, we know the history of kochubey who was the minister of internal affairs and actually created the internal organization of the police state in russia, for me personally it is nonsense that engels airport, the airfield from which strategic bombers are launched, was called pokrovska sloboda and was founded in ukrainian by these cossacks who transported salt and now from the ukrainian settlement that was formed and based on the volga, planes that were transferred from ukraine on the basis of an international agreement, which is not such because the budapest memorandum for me as a lawyer , take off on the volga internationalism is a shameful act of a more

political nature than an international legal one, and they are shooting at us directly with the missiles that we handed over to them, and what will happen, and the planes that we handed over and the missiles that we handed over, moreover, those missiles contain components that ukraine supplied until 2011, i think russia even bypasses all the regulations of the export control service, so shouldn't ukraine make more radical conclusions regarding cooperation with the russian federation and with all other partners, because we clearly understand and we see that, in principle, we owe our victory today to the ukrainian people and the ukrainian army, and the conclusions we should draw for the future should consist of a deep analysis of the past, what should be the form of cooperation with russia, because we need to communicate, we cannot avoid forming

an agenda which is aimed at the future , in what form, methods, and regulations, in your opinion, should we maintain contacts with the russian federation or in whatever form it was organized, it did not exist in the future thank you, after the victory, we don't understand what you mean, it depends very much on who is there, according to which scenario, if civil war is one thing, if there is north korea, everything else, if so-called liberal russia is the third, if uh, disintegration , then this another, but we have to fiercely defend our national interests very strongly and it comes from a correct assessment of the past, that is, if, as you say, how deeply do you support this opinion of yours and on the professional analysis of the future, it is necessary to create an institute of russia, i would create an institute very, very one research institute of the soviet union that everything that exists and the soviet project everything that still prevails even in ukraine because we look at least in the

geopolitical issues in the school of the soviet union soviet and political in the school there are many times i encountered that a lot of people who sincerely worry about ukraine and speak and think only in the ukrainian language reflect in the council in the soviet paradeism of the world it is necessary to etch it to create a national school of the western school but it is necessary to study in our country there is no professional academic study of the main the enemy is a huge drawback, there must be an institution of russia, we must know russia better than the russians, then it will go into scientific analysis, and then the main thing will happen, we will not only evaluate the correct possibilities, but we will begin to guess at least once the intentions of the russian federation, whether they want a trade agreement with us invest or military, some things there or their policy in relation to china, belarus, to donat, and so on. a request for western analytics was wrong three times in six months