to work urgently, the car goes to the firing position, but almost immediately. repulse, now we have to wait for new data, but soon there are coordinates again for a few minutes and the rsv is at the firing position, then the matter of the equipment, first three close-range shots, then with the help of our drone, the coordinates are clarified and volleys, this time the military fired all 40 projectiles with which this rzzv was loaded seemed to be successful and glass equipment, and there is still a lot of it there. of paratroopers, it is systematically decreasing vitaliy bakumenko from krayansun from sts tv channel thank you congratulations to bakumenko for an interesting plot well, now let's talk about the economy ilya ne shkadovsky, the head of the analytical direction of the ms network, we have a direct connection i greet you mr. ilya good afternoon well, i am reading

our facebook summing up the results of the year, he noted the adaptability of the ukrainian economy to wartime conditions and readiness for new challenges in the 23rd year, which has already arrived in general. the prime minister noted that in the 22nd year, the government succeeded maintain control over economic and financial processes, he added that two -thirds of all budget funds are internal resources of the state, the head of government also noted the help of our partners, which provided financial support to ukraine in the amount of 31 billion 200 million dollars, of which 45% are grants, that is, which do not have to be given the eu, great britain, canada, and australia canceled visa duties for ukrainian exporters, according to the prime minister, they were also canceled . licenses, a single tax rate of 2% was established, and more than 700 enterprises were able to relocate to safe territories

of ukraine as part of the grain initiative in ukraine, it was possible to export 15 million tons of agricultural products through the danube river against another 10 million tons, and with what optimism do you look at the ukrainian economy this year, mr. ilya, and is everything as smooth as the ukrainian prime minister writes to himself on facebook, please, well, it's always in his style, so i'm not at all surprised, he very correctly stated about the efficiency of the ukrainian economy, but it's not the credit of our government and of course, the credit of our businessmen, the credit of our people, who very quickly searched, despite the lack of help from the state, for ways to supply themselves with raw materials for enterprises, ways to start their enterprise when they stopped when everything was quite uncertain in march in april months and, accordingly, they immediately adapted to the lack of electricity, even without benefits, they began to

import generators to provide the necessary electricity to their enterprises, to give jobs, to give wages yes of course, the war affected all of them, all of our businessmen, about the level of their adaptability, the level of survival, the level of struggle - of course, it was simply worthless . the fact that there was a very significant emigration abroad and in february people left and people including went to the front to fight and that they were destroyed without supplies and even some problems were created by the government itself regarding the implementation of calculations abroad that for the implementation of them operational activity, in particular, and the government's efforts to intervene in the regulation of gasoline prices, which led to its disappearance, and again, business learned to adapt. at the beginning,

the huge number of roadblocks that created obstacles to the movement of goods were completely unjustified, but business adapted to that. heroes of the past year in the economy there is our entrepreneur there is our business which despite all this with external and internal challenges he survived and he was able to work and he did not fall as, for example, it was predicted there is a merit the government has something that i can really point out, the grain deal is a huge plus for our economy, it balanced our economy very well. these are not the problems that they created and then solved accordingly, because if we talk directly, this is a problem that they actually they created it themselves and then tried to solve it and it is not very neat, the same applies to the issue of unemployment, for example, they claim about 30% of the unemployed, but i am surprised by the whole position

because the government itself refused, for example to pay social benefits for unemployment within the term defined by law, reducing it to three months and then creating a recovery army accordingly, where receiving such assistance depends on the fact whether there will be any work for you in the autoiv region or not, so i evaluate the government's activities again after all, nothing has changed, no conclusions were drawn from the way the government fought the coronavirus, what decisions it made the same way now, but looking at the year 2023, i still look with optimism that business has adapted very well quickly adapts very quickly makes decisions and it is he who will actually become the mover who will also attract his own investments very well you what to go to foreign markets to foreign companies to foreign suppliers to foreign sellers i.e. how

can you adapt to this more because there are a lot of challenges but after all, these funds will come, there will be orders, there will be opportunities to grow, that's why i look optimistically. how could we expect plyam? is it possible to talk now about some kind of macroeconomic forecast for the ukrainian economy for this year regarding the growth or fall of gdp with separate ones regarding inflation according to the results of the year regarding the exchange rate of the ukrainian hryvnia regarding the level of unemployment at the end of the year is it possible to make any forecasts is that all that much now quantities that can not even be talked about at all, because they depend on the current situation at the front. i do not agree with those that cannot be talked about, it is simply necessary to understand that now it is a period of uncertainty a-a let's just say that there are fluctuations

very significant, that is, in other words, if you have a stable situation in general, you can predict the situation, then you have deviations in the amount of a few percent. and it is absolutely acceptable and considered such that the forecast took place while, for example, we have deviations, sorry, even 10%, they will be acceptable that is, we can achieve, for example , a slight drop there in the amount of 3%, and this will be an acceptable forecast. even if we achieve growth, it is still possible to forecast the growth of the economy in the amount of 10%, taking into account 10 the squatting that took place in our country this year is significant, so the forecast can be made, but with a very broad framework, which will really be absolutely objective, because how will the situation at the front develop, what will the enemy do, what will he be able to use there to cause some more damage to our economy. although, in my opinion , the reserves are already very much exhausted, and considering these sanctions that began

to take effect in december and will begin to take effect in february, the blow to their economy will be so powerful that they will think directly about how to solve their own problems and not how to create problems of the ukrainian economy, now according to other parameters, a macroeconomic parameter, well, we clearly see a significant inflow of currency 38 billion - this is compensation so far, respectively 28 billion if i am not mistaken, but i am convinced that the entire amount will be found in order to enter the state budget for repayment of the budget deficit of the investment, gradually, accordingly , some funds are received for restoration and so on, other funds that are received in ukraine in the form of financial assistance there, not in the form of technical assistance there, respectively, different organizations, this will mean that we will have a significant supply of currency and a small supply of demand, because, for example, you have postponed payments to our foreign affiliates, and this is a challenge directly for our currency, so that

all ukrainians understand that now there is a greater risk of strengthening the national currency than devaluation of the dollar at 80 - this is an absolutely unrealistic forecast of 50 or even an unrealistic forecast. i am convinced that it will either remain at the level of 37 or 38 uah if the actions of the national bank will be such, or let's say even serious that there will be a strengthening even up to 35 that is, it is supposedly good because it will affect prices, but it is bad for our production , because imported products will dominate inside ukraine, and directly our products that will be presented abroad will have less advantages because they will cost more than, for example, products that will be sold in these countries, so for us this is a challenge. it is very important that today the ministry of finance and the national bank of the economy agree on their positions to prevent a negative impact on economy according to unemployment, unemployment is high , very high unemployment, 30% many have no

work at the moment, it is completely grounded, saves us europe, which has accepted business, which gives jobs, people who work abroad, they send funds here, e.e., to ukraine, accordingly, people have funds for that in order to provide for yourself a little, it also helps that those who went to the front will receive money from vienna, they send it to their families, and the families also have money to live and finance, that is, it slightly offsets the negative social effect of unemployment, however, is the number one task demographics of unemployment is the number one task that the government should solve in the next year, think about what, how to return ukrainians, how to do for them, so that they only have houses here, so that they have jobs, so that they have social infrastructure, so that they had the opportunity to return calmly and the main safety is safety in the first place. that means that in this case we have a chance to recover quickly if the

ukrainians return slowly or do not return at all, then we will get a little bit of such a first victory why because inside the country there will not be the necessary potential for growth because there are fewer people, accordingly, less value, less domestic product, less demand, less opportunities to restore those places, which are currently the second number, this is what the government must decide first of all we still need to invite international corporations as much as possible , and now they should accordingly develop plans to enter ukraine, place their productions here, place their representative offices here, these negotiations should be it is not so much that we should go out as they should come in and come in not with their products but with their production facilities. this is the only one that i currently see as a potential for ukrainians to have a job. international corporations will come here, then we will have sufficiently high-

paying and technologically efficient jobs that will ensure the necessary high standard of living for ukrainians, and this will accordingly attract them to return abroad, here are the two main ones these are the areas that i believe the government should focus on in this year's panel. well, in your opinion , what is the role of the so-called old ukrainian oligarchy in this restoration of the ukrainian economy? well, the names of the richest ukrainians are known to everyone there, the same viktor pinchuk, the same dmytro firtash, the same igor kolomoisky is the same rinat akhmetov and what is their role in the new ukraine and in the new ukrainian economy, on the eve of the start of a large-scale full-scale war, the parliament passed a law on oligarchs, to which all these people were supposed to fall. so far, real, well, real. i would say that only one ukrainian

oligarch was really affected by this story. well, one of the richest, let's say, ukrainian businessmen is konstantin zhivago, who was detained in france just before the new year and is now waiting to be extradited to ukraine and there is such a complex criminal case, when i read it all there i fully understand what is being said about the poltava mining and beneficiation plant, for which ihor kolomoiskyi has been claiming for a long time, for which there are claims all over the world visitor well, according to my information, it is possible to be wrong, but there is no claim against him in ukraine, and the fight against him has already reached the level of interpol, and there are extraditions or not extraditions from europe of some people who are currently the owners of this mining and prospecting plant, such as kostyantyn alive, all the showdowns of the oligarchs and the pressure of ukrainian justice on those who are not quite

so to speak in the context of the main movement of the ukrainian oligarchy. regarding his cooperation with the ukrainian authorities, how will it all happen in the new year, let me tell you a little bit about the oligarchs, they exploited those resources, those assets that were built earlier . in order not to create something new, but in fact what was created by the previous generation by generations, the owners tour, they are not able to create because of the exclusion of water, they are not able to create something new, they knock them out of this game, that is, continue playing that is, this all happened as a result of the fact that now they simply fall out of influence on political life, even if we look at the list of fors 20, we will see that there are those people

who, it is true, do not take an active part in political life, but there are a lot of those people who already new ones who have earned their capital in a completely different way. here we must bet on them and it is they who will accordingly make the emphasis, that is, the people who will create new productions, we are fully convinced that the entire economic, accordingly, our the field will be plowed because many have, let's take for example the same akhmetov , two of the largest factories were destroyed, he has the largest losses, respectively, in terms of his assets. he built there and so on. and so on. that is, he has serious challenges. these relate in a different way to many destroyed factories. accordingly, their businesses are quite seriously affected by their fall. therefore, in this context, there will already be the aspect of who will create something new is the first

point, and the second is a serious risk, as far as i am concerned, it is not the oligarchs that should be thought of, but the new cohort that will, taking into account the amount of funds that will be released as reparations, that will want to suck in these funds, this is a risk for ukraine because they will do everything in order to get political power so that part of this stream or from that line their pockets, this is the risk of the oligarchs . there are problems for ukraine, it is very important now to ensure that no one is assigned, that there are no structures, neither in the office of the president nor in the cabinet of ministers, nor anyone else, nor in the local administrations. what would be created today? here are some additional firms, additional companies, or additionally some gaskets or simply

received funds for giving some kind of permits, disposal of opportunities, and so on and so on, this is the biggest risk for oligarchs today are no longer a risk for ukraine, they should not be a political fire because they are in fact remnants well, but it seems to you that , after all, among the richest ukrainians , the approach to power, well, some of them, well, for example, kolomoiskyi, still gives certain preferences at the current moment in the judiciary, for example, regarding the winning of various courts, and this in a certain way affects the general vicinity of the whole country. they will not trust, in particular, our judiciary , they can not long ago provide assistance or provide, but not to the full extent, after the victory for the restoration of the country, the fact that we have the judiciary is the number one task

because without the judiciary, even cleaning up any in which spheres of life it is simply impossible. if the vessels work, if the courts can be bought, if the decision, accordingly, is in favor of the authorities or in favor of a particular person , it is unjust, then in this case, we cannot talk about the courts, of course, number one regarding the influence of the relevant oligarchs, then we will see that it has significantly decreased well, it has simply decreased and now after the war i am convinced that this will be the mood of society plus another big plus is that the head of the specialized and anti-corruption prosecutor's office has been appointed why because we see the results of their work, we see that they they are absolutely calmly starting to check this government and these crimes that they committed there, they are starting to investigate accordingly. this is very good, this is exactly what we need. we needed an independent, powerful law enforcement system

the anti-corruption and law enforcement system that is beginning to clean it up. therefore, i still emphasize that it will work, that it will be if arrests and property seizures and arrests of specific people are needed, respectively, the organization of the perpetrators of all these crimes, so again, i am more optimistic the vision, of course, we need to support so that these processes do not stop and are not somehow distorted there in favor of some specific, respectively, persons in power, this is normal, but still more positive, but what i am really afraid of, it is still so a large amount of money that will enter ukraine is clearly a risk for the authorities to receive their funds with it, i still have to think about the funds, there will be so much money, i really ask that everyone think about what is better and earn. you will earn more honestly, forget about the old schemes,

just compete honestly. you will have so many orders that you simply will not be able to fulfill them, you will not need to buy them, you will have to compete honestly, you will have a lot of winter funds, there will be a lot of money, the world wants to help ukraine you have never seen such money think about how important honesty is now honesty is very important forget about the past it will be completely different that's why it's better now earn better now compete honestly work to fulfill these contracts so that they have the opportunity to show the world that ukraine is responsible ukraine is ready not just in words to go to the west to values , and she herself is taking concrete steps. she has changed, the war has changed us, and accordingly, we are already different, we can present a completely different ukraine to the world, so think about those amounts of money, you don't need to think about how to distribute them, you will be able to calmly earn huge amounts of money, you can earn if you

show yourself to the world that you are the kind that can be trusted, you, yulia, you say i'm not, of course, a little smile appears when i listen to you, that is in other words, paraphrasing your words, please don't steal well, please don't steal, you can still earn this money, please, only don't steal, then they will give us more money, you will be able to earn more . in words, but this is exactly what i want to say, because there is a lot of support. i just see people coming back to us. anna gapo, who communicates all over the world , speaks frankly. we want more and better because we haven't won yet, but they are ready to help with financial support, thank you ilya ne skadovsky , the head of the analytical direction of the ns network, which in english means ants

thank you for the inclusion and vasyl furman. we are already waiting for a doctor of economic sciences. we congratulate you , vasyl. good day. will you steal in the event of, well, after our victory, in the event of providing us with great economic assistance, which is already being prepared, please express your point of view, because i worked a lot and communicated and communicate with businessmen and i can clearly tell you about that this is not enough for the e-e system to work effectively so that they do not steal, because i remember examples after the revolution of the 14th year . i have an acquaintance. he works in his own company, a private company with state monopolies. he says that i decided not to give any bribes . and will start losing tenders one by one, losing er orders,

well, even transparently losing. by the way, a-a. that's why we need her in order for everything to be fair , er, to have less corruption, by the way, she will always be there, and in america she is. there is also in other golden countries of the world, but we need to minimize it. second, we need state statutes for law enforcement and anti-corruption to work across europe. c2 well , and thirdly, for the judicial system to be the same for everyone, for an ordinary citizen and for a top official, and if you stole, then you just sit down and see if it all works, then we can really minimize the corruption component in our country and then ensure the effective use of funds from international financial assistance to the maximum extent possible the budget will simply be used more effectively. well, it is clear that there will also be questions about business. in other words, we need to carry out a lot of reforms in order to withdraw

the priceless, because as of today, we are again taking money even before the war, because now it is even difficult to say how many percent of business is in the shadows before the war, the indicators of his business there were more than 30% of our state, this is according to the minimum estimates, there are even more estimates, so i think that uh, we will be able to reform, we will be able to uh, talk about corruption, we are already today, by the way we can see how effectively sap has worked , the specialized prosecutor's office has been included in connection with the election of a new manager. i think that by the way, if we are talking about a new manager , he should also be selected through a transparent competition. and we have signed a new monitoring agreement the program of cooperation with the international monetary fund and it is provided as one of the structural beacons - this is the new head of the national bureau, if we are talking

about the bodies that will fight corruption at the highest levels of our state i will remind you that with on april 16, it will be very soon a year since we have had no head of the battle, in principle, no one has died, so to speak, no one has been born , the economy, so to speak, has not been significantly affected, let's say, just discussing with you. well, no one has died and so on . here i fundamentally disagree with the fact that if we don't have a manager for a year, then that's normal, it's not normal, because even if he was, we would have, let's see. for example, we were there a little more than six months ago to choose a new manager of the garden of the specialized anti-corruption prosecutor's office do you see the number of cases today, or suspicions have been announced against various managers or ex-managers, it’s just that these things need to be continued in our state, that’s why each of the officials today has

, as the previous expert said, simply that yes, you have to work honestly, yes, you will work honestly. but you will work honestly only when you clearly understand that if you stole, you will sit down and it should work. well, i don't know within 100%. then you work honestly. by the way, if you work honestly, you should also receive a decent salary, or if you have a minimum wage and you drive there in a mercedes or they are vacationing somewhere in the maldives, then somehow it does not work out there, excuse me, i’m just a preliminary manager, i will get artem sytnyk from us, how long is the term of office because in 7 years i'm not wrong and how many big thieves we have all in seven years you can just write books about these thieves what forces but ukraine is not theirs in this matter what do we really want right now we want to win tomorrow we want the russian economy to collapse. tomorrow we just need the right time for this. i remember how it happened only in

romania. there is no one there and so on. it has worked effectively almost 10 years after its foundation. we have followed this path twice as fast as because in two years it will be 10 years since we will exist in two years. that is, we are not an exception, everything is in this matter, but the fact that this body is needed is needed. vasyl, let us talk about our macroeconomic forecasts, in particular about inflation and about the official course to you of finance. what do you think, what should we expect in the 23rd year based on these indicators, in particular, i ask you a question. well, i believe that the 22nd year was the most difficult year for each of us, for the state, for business, for ordinary citizens. the 22nd year simply, if we are talking about the 23rd year and, for example, we are talking about the exchange rate of the ukrainian hryvnia, then we have, well, as of today, the exchange rate policy of the national

bank is that we have a fixed rate of 36.6 for non-cash transactions, and the bank has repeatedly stated that that he did not see to date, there are reasons for it to change. this rate, if we are talking about the cash market, is slightly larger than the cashless market and fluctuates within 10% of the non-cash rate, but let's say so, if you look at it from one side, see the national bank provides forecasts for a- and the cash rate, but if you look at the forecasts of leading international financial situations of domestic financial institutions and domestic financial experts, they all say that the hryvnia exchange rate in the short-term perspective of 3-6 months if they will fluctuate slightly from the values ​​that we have today and what factors have a more or less positive influence on such forecasts. well, first of all, i would like to mention here that such a professional policy of the central

bank of our country, that is, the first days of the war, we saw those decisions that you already have at the bank, then he constantly improved them, canceled something, accepted something, but in principle we preserved the macro-financial stability of our state, secondly, we also need to talk about the fact that today we took a whole series of measures that we could stabilized exchange rate, well, they allowed ukrainians to buy there a non-cash dollar, for example, which does not differ significantly from the fixed exchange rate there, in various variations, it can be done today for ordinary ukrainians, third. it should also be said that we receive considerable international financial assistance from our international partners. more well, close let's say 31 billion dollars last year and this year we have a deficit of -38 and in principle there are agreements that we will be able to cover such a budget, the budget deficit is the only thing i would like here

to say that this aid was rhythmic, it is clear that a lot of work still needs to be done in order to receive aid so that it is rhythmic, but a lot of hard work, what good hard work. well, for example, there is s18 of the usa somewhere in the billions of dollars, and hopefully there will be a new program, the situation with the international monetary fund background about the great cooperation well, we don't know the amount of funding, but we really wanted it to be there, it was significant, so much support that we will receive precisely during the war, important factors, for example, which words for the hryvnia exchange rate - this is our reserve of 28 billion dollars, and at the beginning of december, which we had, that is, the national bank reserves, well, at the beginning of the place where they always talk about the size, that is, they were today, i think, a little more than as of february 24, when the war began it is also necessary to say that the ministry of finance will make the new corridor work