write to radio svoboda pages in social networks on instagram telegram facebook twitter viber and two channels on youtube radio svoboda and radio svoboda ukraine where we publish promptly about everything that is happening in ukraine and the world, in particular against the background of full-scale russian authorization of radio svoboda correspondents working in every ukrainian region and outside ukraine until tomorrow cinema television sport music education free people have a choice choose what you want on megogo i am iryna koval mother wife host of espresso tv channel and also me

volunteer, our soldiers at the front need a lot of things every day, and that is why it is part of my life. today is helping the armed forces of ukraine, and i am very grateful to my colleagues for supporting me in this. the war caught me at home in irpen. the alarming suitcase was packed, but that did not reduce the excitement. explosions every minute . the gostomel airfield is on fire , russian fighter jets, i have a cold basement in my window, then i left irpen under shelling for a month after being abandoned by my relatives, and in the end i ended up in lviv, returned to the airwaves and started volunteering together with my colleagues, help for our military, it is now an integral part of life, we gather for drones and thermal imagers , we weave nets, and on weekends we gather vitamin teas for our defenders and defenders at the front, we all cut fruits together,

we clean berries, we whip everything and pack it, it is always very pleasing to think that in a few days this tea will warm the ukrainian soldiers , everyone of you can help even a small contribution to the support of the army saves the lives of our soldiers and brings our victory closer. i congratulate you , dear tv viewers, this is the program of the worldview of vasyl zimi. and we will start with you to work until approximately 1:00 p.m. and we will talk about very important things. moreover, today we, uh, well, our project is released for the first time , uh, in the new year 2023, we will talk about the thing that worries most of us, i won’t say what worries everyone, but most of us are worried about what this year will be like politically, socially , and militarily, regarding the situation at the front, first of all, for ukraine, for our enemy, the russian federation, which has already started a full-scale war against our country almost a year ago. so, will 2023 be the year social

an explosion in russia or there, in principle, such a phenomenon is now impossible. well, will the armed forces of ukraine go to crimea yesterday, general ben hodges of the united states of america, the former commander of nato forces in europe, said that by august, the armed forces of ukraine will be able to retake crimea from the russian army, so with what we enter this year, what kind of year can it be? what is the most important thing, what are the prerequisites for this, what , as they say, are the markers that we understood? subscribed to our e-channels on social networks e-e facebook telegram instagram instagram twitter look for espresso.tv there subscribe because there is always a lot of interesting and important information also subscribe to us on youtube like and like you can also join the support of the espresso tv channel there are certain rules if you want to help us work, develop and be

better, convey even more important information to us, of course, please join oleksandr musienko with us, director of the center for military legal research, oleksandr i congratulate you and we are also with us, oleksiy holobutskyi, a political technologist. oleksiy, i congratulate you . good day. well, let's start with such an introductory question, so to speak, what are the expectations in the year 2023. oleksiy, let's start with you. the achievement of peace, the freezing of the conflict, what are the expectations, based on what we are entering this year 2023 with, please, well, the expectations are different, of course, now i always say this when i am asked everything, i say you want to laugh, read the forecasts when and in general everyone

experts at the end of the 21st year for the 22nd year, then i don't want to just be among these people, it depends on how many factors, and you understand, the problem here is that we are in this very situation so that from the outside you can look then with er, when you are sitting there listening to the arrival of a drone or an explosion or something else, yes, of course, your image changes, you want to, you don’t want to believe, face the truth, you want my positivity that everything will soon be over, well, completely different, so to speak basic baseline data for analysis but if you are serious, well, the situation will certainly worsen economically, and this will have a strong impact on the mood of the population, i have no doubt about it, what we are seeing now in

sociology , well, it will last for a certain time. it's not like it was there at the beginning of autumn last year, when there were such victories there. well, before kherson, so to speak, people are faced with the fact that life is getting better. by the end of the year, we will take crimea and liberate the entire territory of ukraine. so, every period they will face the reality that will exist at that moment, once again, i say no one expected it, at least it was not such a direct picture . kharkiv oblast will be liberated

, and in another month, vinnytsia- kherson will be the same, everything depends on how successful we are, the military will continue, that is, if this happens during our winter, there will be liberation of zaporozhye and kherson oblasts, for example and the interruption of this from the football club, the corridor that putin is creating for from russia to crimea, it will be one situation if this does not happen, it will be a completely different situation if there is a counteroffensive russia somewhere, which, well, they allegedly announce it, but it is allegedly not strong but again, we see, we constantly hear that they have already run out of missiles and they still fly, but they are mobilized there, they all do not know how to shoot, but we see that the situation is very difficult on the fronts, because, after all, the russians, well, en masse, simply crush them, throw them away, so to speak, and whether unknown unknown so much

there will still be enough. yes, because this is a country three times four times larger in terms of population, and if it happens in january or february , the new mobilization in russia means that there are so many factors that it is necessary to build a clear picture, so to speak, that we are waiting for you in the third year is very difficult. well, the most important thing is that it is clear that the 23rd year will be. i am sure that it will be more difficult in many parameters than the 22nd year. oleksandr, we will join you to see, but probably everyone just said that a lot depends on of course, we are all in the situation at the front follow the events at the front and live a normal life, even somewhere there in the distant villages of the transcarpathian region, or let's say lviv oblast or prykarpattia, it is still impossible and difficult for people because everyone is somehow tied to events at the front because the economy and social life and political life and the level of

income of people in principle depend on it. well, you know the state of mind, you cannot be calm even if nothing flies over your head, in principle nothing explodes because even the most remote village of zakarpattia time zone from time to time they still bring coffins with fallen heroes and this cannot help but affect the fact that they are affected at the front from it, well , our lives directly depend on it. and here we are entering the year 23 and we heard several important statements about what to expect in on the first front, general budanov said that the war had reached a dead end and that in order for us to move forward, we need help, the help of our partners, in particular, armed armored vehicles, artillery, fighter jets, what else did he say, well, yesterday a statement was made by hodges, who was the commander of nato forces in he said to europe that ukraine can take crimea by august, that is, from such a realistic picture that budanov painted to, well, such encouraging information will come in handy, although as my colleague serhiy said that the further people are from the front, the more optimistic

forecasts they have. be your opinion, please. well, the point is that i want both the general’s forecast and general budanov’s forecast, they are actually similar because, at the same time, he also said on the condition that ukraine receives the necessary weapons, in particular long-range missile attack missiles, other things that are necessary. that is it can be said that these statements and visions have in common what other similar forecasts are in the fact that, as with the rest and our commander-in-chief of the armed forces of ukraine, the general, they agree that we are ready to go further and are ready to develop success in terms of the de-occupation of ukrainian territory and in terms of inflicting defeat and losses in our enemy russia, on the condition that we receive in the required quantity and in an accelerated mode what we need for this , that is, the tools we need to achieve these goals, these forecasts, they in almost everything let's say yes, here is the

key point. of course, how quickly and in what amount we will receive the help we need to carry out this counteroffensive operation, first of all in the south, are obvious, but i will say this in a cautiously optimistic way. i think what are we going to receive, despite the statements that echo that we don't see missiles there or tanks, or germany refuses that you see leopards, uh, the water grinds the stone because, despite all this, information has appeared that it is possible that there will be no tanks now but bmps eh american bradley will be eh other types of weapons will be artillery and so on. germany refuses tanks but something says that they are ready to provide artillery and air defense means, that is, no matter what , support for weapons will be received,

the question of its quantity and ah and it will depend on the number. how quickly we will be able to advance, that is, for today, this is the key in this, as far as russia and their capabilities are concerned, you know... their calculation was primarily on missile terror, it caused us destruction, it caused damage, trouble, but it must be admitted that at least as of now , it is not working to the full extent, that is, after all, there was no man-made disaster there when ukrainians were without light , heat, or water for weeks what russia really wanted . let's put it this way, we understand that there were essentially no extremely tragic consequences, plus we see that even our minister of energy said that the energy industry adapted to work in crisis conditions and are already finding a solution how to

do as much as possible, even with damage, so that there are no blockades and the enemy does not achieve its goals, our air defense capabilities are growing, despite the fact that the enemy is changing tactics, despite the fact that they are thinking of exhausting our anti-aircraft defense by launching shakeds there, changing them, and so on. well, so far that at least it does not work accordingly, it is not extrapolated to the mood in the rear, well , at least so far it is not visible that someone here was shouting and talking about the fact that everything should be stopped because there is no light or something else that was also a reserve for the russian calculation, therefore, even in spite of the mobilization that they are going to carry out, they must or have already carried out and are going to carry out the next round, it is necessary to understand that the number of these people that they plan to throw into battle they need only in order to hold what they control now first of all, to hold the occupied south and to get uh, let's say to

hold this so-called corridor to the crimea and to expand as much as possible to actually capture the donetsk region, a full-fledged luhansk region, and maybe try exits to zaporizhzhia there but the task, in principle, which is worth the minimum, is to get what is there and in order to prevent the ukrainian forces from consolidating forces for an offensive and a strike group in the southern direction in order to liberate these territories , russia will create groups in other directions in the northeast, for example in our in the east, it is possible that the auxiliary is from the south, only so that our troops are deployed there, so that the struggle goes on in these directions, in order to maintain this control over the rooster, which, in principle, because they understand the loss of these territories, this practically a defeat at this stage let's say so the war now we will continue i just know i want to say on the one hand of course

mobilization it er can increase the capabilities of the enemy on the front line at least with much larger forces they will go to ukrainian positions on the other side er the capabilities of the ukrainian army are also growing , and even more so with the support of partisans and our soldiers working behind enemy lines, we see what happened in makiivka according to various estimates , more than 400 e-e russian servicemen were destroyed in one blow well, plus there is also ammunition, they are of course very smart people, they put both sets together with, well, in the same room from the barracks, and that is why everything exploded, and if vidhamerasa had lost, say, 50 people there, then the ammunition eh completed this picture and, in principle, the whole building fell on the ground at such an even level is a layer of this brick. well, yesterday in luhansk region there was information that the enemies there had also said for a long time that the ammunition was transported, transported, transported, assembled, well, with one hit, this entire kit was, as they say, reduced to zero here in our country right now in the chat on youtube they are discussing this

video that we will show in moscow now they danced, well they write under not dead yet it's not yet not dead it's just verka serdyuchka in her song of the famous reveler there are words that ukraine is not dead yet we will show how russia danced like that so to speak, ordinary russia, what songs and how it celebrated this new year, and then we will show the kremlin elder who gave a completely different picture of the future, a completely different picture of the new year and the expectations of russians well, now let's watch a video from moscow, i could be wrong is it arbat or not arbat you in in any case, this is moscow and how were the russians when there was no police, who on new year's eve then, by the way, took away many russians just like that for prevention and how they were and what songs they danced to. let's watch ukrainian songs!

well, here's a celebration party to serdyuchka's song , and let's see a completely different picture, uh, well, that is, we understand that russians are people who live in a country that is a country that we are , in any case, people. well, like all people, more or less there - they are sane, they want some kind of holiday in principle prospects and a vision of a normal life without war well, what kind of future, what kind of prospect did putin offer in his address to such a very strange one in 2020, on the night of the 23rd, you are watching . it was an hour that stood out in many

places, clearly separated courage and heroism from betrayal and showed the youth that there is no higher power than love for one's relatives, loyalty to friends and comrades-in-arms преданность к всего отечеству well, uh, putin hinted at what will happen next, mr. oleksiy, yes. which russia can win. the one who walks and wants a different life in principle. he wants her to be in the background of the previously filmed er-er fsushniks disguised soldiers with a mournful expression on their faces with the need to fight on for the sake of some mythical sovereignty of russia, please yes, it's really not arabat, it's nikolska street i'm just me already i saw yes, because i first watched it from another year, i was there many times in my time, yes, yes

, hmm, you understand, well, to be honest, when it’s me, i watch it all, for me, these russians are, of course, different from ukrainians, yes, but not so much that i remember i'm in the 14th year or well , until the 14th, i don't even say the 14th year, when you're sitting in some restaurant or there, god forbid, karaoke and there's an officer officer song yes, is there something else moscow bells well here in this plan yes well, it's you, it's in the same way. that is, i'm not, i'm not criticizing people it's just that they don't make any such ideological sense. well, over there, the ukrainians would be shot, they danced to whether or not ukraine died. they said. that is, we are exaggerating it too much, so to speak . only to give the opportunity to dance and drink like that, that's why you can't draw any conclusions from this

, and then he demobilized russian society during his entire reign so that this society would not resist so that there would be no protests in order for it to be so, live for yourself like this , according to your own life, the deal was like this, i will do anything, in principle, only on your own policy, and you will more or less be allowed there, well, again, this is all a fact, which is absolutely reliable, russians, yes, yes they have not lived well for their entire history, so to speak, for their entire history. well, what do they consider to be the state ’s history? and this is for zero about zero-zero years, so to speak, that is, this russian bureaucracy, it shared certain oil and gas profits with the population. and more or less such existed with each other then there was a swamp, the middle class, this

creative class, as they call it, wanted more rights, political rights, and putin realized that something had to be done, and that’s how all this crimean consensus began, then i understand that after all. widespread, yes, about the fact that he simply cannot live without ukraine, just ukraine for luke, a convenient way to solve internal problems in russia is now an ideal situation for putin, just an ideal situation, blocked, isolated, the country in which he wants to live now already begins to play such and such an attempt was made for the new year, and to play such a military leader , that is, he personifies, will personify in himself this one, that is, this one, that is, it is a closed

country, surrounded by only enemies, the existence of the russian people is in question, and there are guests who so to speak fights with all opponents, as the russians say , that is, it is ideal, how do they think it will work? another question is that it is difficult to make predictions here, because really society is not, well , after all, it is clear that the sociology that is russian well, you can't trust an authoritarian system. the capital survey is a stupid thing and for many reasons, according to how many people left russia as soon as the mobilization began, and from the number of volunteers who went to the front. so this indicates that society does not want that is, it is internally not ready for war and putin, in principle, is at the last eye of the last statement, as he says, yes, there will be no mobilization of the economy, not even any military

things, we will not go over, and that's all well, in principle, yes the population says what will happen. everything needs to be strained a little bit, we will take it away. but it will not be the majority, it is a very low , small percentage of the population that needs to be thrown into the furnace of war . is it like that in china or someone else? and that’s how we will live. well, it’s more or less normal, but we live the way we russians want, that is, without ltp, without, i don’t know, without something else, well, that is, they have such unclear ideological criteria. that is exactly what putin is proposing to the russians it's bad in the world from which he pulls russia out and tries to build some kind of sovereign sovereign state with conservative values. well, how are they, so to speak

, that is, there is such a thing, there is an ideal, of course, this is also what dugin writes. there are no technologies in particular, and everyone lives in peace there and in agreement, and i think about god and something like that. of course, for the population to believe in it, it takes time, it takes time, and that is why i am afraid that peace talks peace and everything else - this is our starting point exclusively from his military defeat, and not starting from the fact that we need war as a state and as a condition for maintaining power in russia itself, mr. oleksandr, we are now moving on to the fact that well, now i will ask you to comment on the military as well the economic and social possibilities of russia, see that all the experts with whom i communicate

at work here are economic, and the columnist who follows this story and includes guests in the conversation, of course, all say that of course the economic situation will already be in russia in the spring much worse in view of the impact of sanctions, i.e. the situation will worsen or it will have a significant impact on russians, it is difficult to say. moreover, i am currently watching on the internet when bloggers go somewhere in the cities of russia. well, not moscow, relatively speaking, but somewhere a little further from moscow, and they ask what you are they wished putin and here are a bunch of people who wish him death well, they somehow usually describe it descriptively, not directly, but they want so many people say that they are under stress so that they do not want war that they are tired of it that there is no new year's mood there is no feeling, that is, russians who are a little further from moscow, who are not afraid to say something on camera. they are not happy with, as they say, special military operations and want putin to go somewhere. nato's ian stoltenberg

said that russia has thrown everything into this war and therefore nato will continue to give everything so that ukraine survives this war. there was also a statement. do you remember the official of the european union, the politician of the european union who said that the destruction of the victory of russia determined the reservation of the order that actually existed in the world after the second world war . this cannot be allowed. that is, we understand that russia is ready for anything. well, but the european union, nato, our partners in the united states of america also understand that here we have to stand to the end, well, the only problem for us is that between this and the other , ukraine is standing to the end, it is between these two, so to speak, with its forces and directly with its people, its resources, its e-e, its infrastructure, its everything that it has is she m- we pay, that is, fortunately, not houses in warsaw are exploding, in paris, houses are exploding in ukraine, people are dying in ukraine and the ukrainian army is dying. well, of course, what are the volunteers who came to fight against russia from different countries of ours, from different countries of europe and the world

, so how would you rate these wishes? putin's expectations of putin and is this explosion possible in russia or is this russia incapable because, let's say, if we take the 17th year, at least there was a bunch of people prepared by the bolsheviks who were ready for some actions, there was an opposition now in in russia, in principle, such a phenomenon does not exist, please. well, why are they mobilized, only from them some element capable of some kind of rebellion can grow, these are people with weapons. to some kind of civil war and confrontation in russia itself, or simply to a change of power and the arrival of figures such as prigozhin or others who are ready to lead this revolt. i think this is the only revolutionary mass that can be who might not be bored and they will

return the weapons er in the other direction, besides, you see what putin putin does, in principle, instead of condemning terrorist groups, there are different paramilitary formations, he glorifies them, in principle , this has rarely happened in russian history when putin comes out of the highest echelon of the kremlin, the president comes out and awards givi or motorola for their merits, that is, terrorists who were engaged in murder by banditry and terror in the occupied territories. even if it is in the interests of russia, but in the end it is not regular military units there, people of dubious biography, and so on, he does it, they use weapons and various groups that, uh, receive weapons in large numbers, but just on the screen , you can see similar groups there, various people are concentrated, who, uh, have certain ambitions of their own, this could be the let's say an element for a riot, not even for a protest, for some kind

of riot, and for some more serious things , even for such a confrontation. ok, well, you understand, if some regions even want more freedom there for themselves, i will remember that they are subjects of the federation, anyway, for this they need to have some kind of power component, obviously, it could also be elements from some kind of power block, that's it for me it seems doubtful, although again, you understand, these are things like revolutions, riots, protests, which are quite difficult to predict and plan and predict them , because sometimes there may not be any situation that discussed what is for this prerequisites, and in a week it will suddenly appear and it will be a completely different situation,

for example, relatively speaking, it is not even connected with mobilization, i am connected with something else, that is, that is why it is difficult to predict here, to say that 100% no, it is also not possible to 100% it is also difficult to say that it will be there in the near future . although i think that there are certain dissatisfactions among the russian military, they are brewing , one way or another, these showdowns that are coming out into the public plane between pucka gerasimov on the one hand kadyrov and others there, khodakovsky, on the other hand, they talk about what they have. let 's say that not everything is so smooth, we will now move on to the question of what will happen in ukraine in 2023, of course we hear about the financial support that will be provided to ukraine. in the words of fondelaien speaking on the phone with president volodymyr zelenskyi, they said that europe will continue to support ukraine and is expected to