to move a part of society there , including people who worked in the military-industrial complex before at a critical infrastructure enterprise in the same communal economy, that is , society is getting worse there, but due to this, the army is becoming bigger in the materials of a colleague, the ministry of defense of the russian federation it is noted that they intend to form about 15-18 new units, and if , conditionally speaking, for the convenience of calculations , 20 new divisions of 15,000 people will be formed this is the situation when 300,000 conscripts for mobilization fit perfectly into the logical context of the development of events, the training and material base of the russian armed forces of the russian federation allows training 120-130 thousand, taking into account, firstly, the

throughput capacity of educational facilities , and secondly, the availability instructors who can actually teach, that is, by forming 20 new divisions, the enemy has the opportunity to put on the battlefield approximately 90,100 fresh new battalion tactical groups, but the question of all these people is all these 300 000 should be worn in the sholt, it is desirable to give them modern equipment well, at least it is relatively modern means of ballistic protection unloading vests er unloading the same flasks in general, the complete set of combat equipment of a warrior in russia everyone has heard and seen units and here we need 300 of those or where are they there are no problems with getting a weapon from their sister, there is no problem with ammunition for it, there is also no further

questions. and where to get military equipment in warehouses in the bases, versions of the stock are quite large, but all this must be restored and it is desirable to modernize, the modernization of the t-62 wedding machines has been announced in order to provide them for the troops that will be formed. today, russia itself does not produce fire control stations, night sights, or night vision devices, all this was purchased in france. now, sanctions , you can’t buy anything for a tank t-62 night sight, there is no question that it should be modernized, evicted on the battlefield, that is , a car that is blind at night, well, it will probably happen by other means, such as airplanes, helicopters, means of communication first of all

secure communication without components that are under sanctions, well, this is more of a conversation than an opportunity to create something, the last, the last, funny story about the fact that manufacturers from abroad refused to transfer orders to the russian federation for their earlier baikal and elbrus processors, which were considered to be domestic development, but something domestic development were produced outside the russian federation, there are quite a lot of such nuances, you should not discount the gray schemes parallel to the imports of strange partners such as, for example, iran, which can do something provide and somehow help by pumping western radio microelectronics through shadow circuits into the

russian federation, but all this can only partially give some impetus to the russian pc to create something and somehow advance, so it can be concluded that the enemy's intentions to conduct another offensive strategic operation are human resources, but e- there are limited opportunities to provide the new group with combat equipment, how they will solve this problem is hard to say so far. well, of course, the question is when then they can to try to carry out this offensive operation because, you know, i remember well that , for example, about what uh, they want to strike uh, well, strike ukrainian infrastructure, namely, power plants and so on, they started talking. well, somewhere in in june and july, there was

such a figure that they now have to increase the concentration of calibers that can be produced up to 100 pieces in one launch. at the same time, there was another caliber of missiles. well, something like that, everything gathered there that they could, that is, this plan worked, uh, you see, in october, in such and such a time there was a lot of time from july, the beginning of july and until october, and here they seemed to be talking about it not so long ago that they are going to prepare this offensive operation and then when can we expect the offensive operation that began on february 24 of this year began to

be prepared at the beginning of the summer of the 21st year when the troops were withdrawn to field camps , in particular, on the territory of belarus and conducted a number of exercises of various levels were conducted, the troops were preparing for future actions, at the same time , the investigation conducted by the journalists of the mini york times was published, it seems on december 14, we see russian military documents that were collected here on the battlefields, the combat order of the commander of the 26th tank regiment e signed by e-e on february 23 readiness for action on february 23, 20 1:00 p.m. that is, until the very invasion e-e

, preparations continued, planning continued, judging by the fact that the order is written by hand a not even typed on a computer can say that at the very last moment something was revised, something was corrected, that is, really six months for the preparation of such measures is a rather limited time, taking into account the fact that the mobilization took place and the formation of military units only yesterday was declared in accordance with yesterday's days , it is worth adding 180 days, and this can be considered a more or less realistic term for the next actions, the enemy is also aware that if he does not take the next step first, the armed forces of ukraine will take such a step moreover, they will make this one the most convenient for the russian federation in the city, so they

should also speed up and carry out some operation with limited goals without taking care of waiting for the deadline when these six months pass, i think that the exacerbation may take place at the end of january at the beginning of february next year and accordingly, a larger-scale offensive operation can be prepared for the beginning of june next year . limited offensives, what could it be from belarus or will it still be donbas? what do you think? we are now seeing one in the direction of mariupol. the enemy has started building defensive lines along the dnieper. in

the territory of the kherson zaporizhzhia regions , a defensive line is being built that imagines itself is a system of defense areas connected by tactical fire links, that is, it is not about preparing for the next actions of the enemy that are taking place in donbas, well, this is just a paraphrase of the personnel of the armed forces of the russian federation in senseless attacks on the fortified positions of the armed forces of ukraine , it is unlikely that something serious and large-scale can be carried out there, especially if it is done covertly so that we do not see it and do not expect such an opportunity in luhansk oblast. to stop the advance of the defense forces of ukraine in the direction of the

flint-captured. that is, there is something very similar to an offensive in belarus. in belarus, the rifle division of the armed forces of the russian federation is in the second in five training grounds, the a-a group has approximately 12,000 people in order to carry out serious offensive actions, this is clearly not enough. belarus once again deviated from the topic of taking part in aggression against ukraine, although it refuses to contribute, provide territory, airfields, airspace, provide medical support, repair possibilities but this is not what the russian dictator expects. it seems to me that the troops that are currently accumulating in the russian federation in bryansk kursk of the belgorod region can amount to

this is a group that will try to make life difficult for us somewhere in slobozhanshchyna. that is, it could be kharkiv oblast or even sumyshchyna, yes sumyshchyna . in 2014, the formation of two divisions was started in shebekin valuyki, there is infrastructure, there are opportunities. although with the maintenance of means similar to himers and the creative system of milerest, the enemy pulled the troops away from the state border

beyond the range of our fire, well , look, er, rif insists that they are

concentrated, for them such an important goal there is the exit to the borders of the luhansk donetsk regions well, but beyond that, if you look at everything more carefully, it still seems that what is more important for the russians in general is the issue of control of the cock of ukraine, well, first of all, this land corridor covered well, which in principle provides them with a lot of resources and gives the opportunity to support all their groups, and here it is interesting what the prerequisites can be for some offensive actions, and from both sides from our side and from the russian side, that is, what can happen in general on this, er, in the south, that we can expect there by itself a land corridor from the territory of the russian federation to krym along the coast of the sea of ​​azov, then it

appears as the metal of the operation disappears, speaks about it infrequently, but the enemy’s actions speak for the fact that he is preparing to defend this territory, accordingly, holding a referendum on the accession of the kherson zaporozhye regions to the russian federation, well, you saw that circus, everyone laughed at it, give it the russians have some basis, they create some illusion of the need to defend the original russian territories that are part of the russian state. well, of course, in the kremlin's imagination, only everyone else knows whose agenda and activities are taking place now in the melitopol region, in the ecology region in in the area of ​​vasylivka, the construction of fortifications in the kherson region speaks for the fact that

it is preparing to defend and hold this territory against them, and not to advance in the northern or western direction. let 's try, you know, to talk in such a way. said such conditional categories regarding the plans and possibilities, that is, if we are talking and we are going to seriously liberate the entire territory of our country, then perhaps we need to understand what the prerequisites may be, for example , for the liberation of luhansk and donetsk, that is the key, long-captured territories, what should happen here in order for this goal to become real, we showed how it can be done in two ways. by conducting a counter offensive operation in the northern direction , more freely in the kyiv chernihiv region of the sumy

region, by the method of cutting with salts, i.e. the deep wedges of the enemy along the main highways were gradually cut off and these groups were crushed until they completely lost their combat capability and in the end the enemy was forced to announce already with good will and withdraw from our territory, the enemy perfectly understood that to ensure the combat capability of the units that went deep into the enemy's territory by 300- 400 km and not to cover communications in any way is an absolutely unrealistic task, therefore , the second scheme for the liberation of the territory, which we showed the enemy, was born already with good will, is the rapid raiding of heavy brigades when the territorial defense brigade struck in one place, it seems the village

of shevchenko, the enemy decided that the direction of the main strike began to reorient itself to the holding of this particular settlement and immediately received a breakthrough, e.e. three brigades of the 92nd-93rd mechanized 25th airborne division which rapidly advanced all the way to kupyansk , destroying the operational stability of the enemy's defense, and he was forced to flee first from the raisin, then from the estuary and leave the territory of kharkiv oblast completely, that is, there are several options, several tactics, several operational methods, but it should be taken into account that donbas is an extremely difficult area for conducting offensive operations, because it is such a huge urban agglomeration and, masterchef , there is a mass of man-made objects, the terrain itself

in the donetsk ridge is not very conducive to rapid actions there, the general staff will have to strain to come up with something original . i think that such plans are being developed and there are corresponding ideas, especially since the general whispered, a member of debaltsev's defense, he knows the region very well and knows the secret corpses by which we will reach the ukrainian border in 1991, the liberation of crimea is no less so . i think it is a difficult situation and it is interesting here, first of all, it seems that it must be disabled because crimea is essentially a military base, but let's be honest now, crimea is mine and military base russia and what should be done so that it ceases to exist, what

should be done to disable it, how to make it so that they do not have the opportunity to resist here, i think that i need to bother what , it is not necessary to directly disable it recall general manstein, who is five divisions in crimea dispersed everyone and captured everything and did not think much about what should be destroyed if not necessary, we have already mentioned that first of all it is necessary to disable or extremely limit the possible use of carriers of winged years, this can be done and we have already tried to do it in sevastopol. i think that these tactics have been developed and they will not go anywhere and will be applied at the right moment. the second nuance is to disable the enemy ’s aircraft. to be restored if only there is

no nuclear strike on it from behind, accordingly damaged aircrafts are harmless and lose their meaning as uh carried military potential thirdly what needs to be done disable the air defense system or it will be a strike on radar stations i think it is not for nothing harm missiles were provided by the partners and they were very surprisingly and quickly integrated for use from our mig-29 aircraft, and that technologically, before the start of use, many people thought it was completely impossible, including me but we saw that it works and it can be like that, i think that in the southern direction we demonstrated the presence of such capabilities to the enemy for a reason. so, most likely, when it is necessary, our planes with such

missiles will show themselves as best as possible if we ensure our dominance in the air , the fight against groups of the enemy with its land units , it will not be a big problem to establish due to the limitation of the ability of the enemy to feed this group with the actual means of armed struggle , starting from the delivery of reinforcements and ending delivery of food and fuel, delivery by sea is difficult and expensive, delivery by air is even more expensive and, in the absence of air superiority, it is impossible .

the stabilization operation that will be carried out after the hostilities of the national guard and the ukrainian law enforcement agency will work there for years, if not decades, because it will be really difficult by the way, what do you think about that? well, i hear this all the time now. well, the desire of at least the russians to start using bomber aircraft in ukraine, they really want it, they want to use it. do you know that free fall is such a powerful bomb? this is already a war, well, for the destruction of ukraine as such, as far as they can before that, well, they want to use bomber aircraft and conventional gravity ammunition, those who themselves will never in their life under any circumstances find themselves in the cockpits of bomber pilots, bomber pilots once again they saw that 300

aircraft have already been lost, including uh, at least somewhere around 400 pilots are perfectly aware that flying into a suppressed air defense system, which action until the day is saturated with modern western equipment, it must be a communikadze and considering that the losses have increased, that on the pilots once again remained in the jet, the combat load will increase, because where two crews were flying, now we have to fly alone, it is physically very difficult. well, i think that they will quickly look for ways to, er, take sick leave, drop the bomb, you load somewhere closer to the border and pretend that the task has been completed, everyone will once again listen to general konoshenko about the fact that 100,500 targets were destroyed there in half a day and it

will suit everyone, i do not think that the enemy will dare to use bomber aircraft today, because he has not done this for a long time - for a very long time, attack aircraft are used, attack helicopters are used, and strategic carriers of air-based cruise missiles are launched from the regional caspian sea, i.e. without entering the air defense zone of ukraine. i don't think that this can be a development of events. well , we literally have a couple of minutes left, let's sum up some such risk and sum up, if we say in general, what are the general goals that the ukrainian armed forces, the ukrainian defense complex should set for itself in 2023, the tasks before the armed forces

stand for the simple restoration of the territorial integrity of the state, the liberation of the captured territories. in what way, and in what terms, it will happen, well, i know better, the general staff, we still have no one to guess what concerns of the defense-industrial complex of ukraine, well, in their place. personally, i think it is worth turning on the tv and finding out that there is a war in the country. i hear every day that we demand from our partners to provide something to the armed forces of ukraine to continue the resistance, but here is something that has not been heard for a long time about the defense - of the industrial complex of ukraine produced something and handed it over to him. apparently, we need to wake up and start working, and as far as it is possible in these conditions, not at all, because we understand there, well, enterprises are collapsing and, in principle, it is problematic enough here, or is it

these possibilities. well, i am not asking you to specify in more detail, but from what you know, it is very difficult. the logistics of the energy sector are destroyed. the supply chain is destroyed. problems with components . there are a lot of things, but such matters how is it possible to modernize the infantry combat vehicles of tanks, e-e, to advance in the direction of the projects of the same thunder, neptune, alder, gorlitsa, sokol 300, e-e, to carry out certain volumes of work on the manufacture of an anti-tank missile complex stugna, who has shown himself very well, we can and it is probably worth doing. of course

, not everything will work out, all this will happen under the pressure of enemy air attacks, but doing nothing during the war is simple and, in principle, safe, but on the other hand, the state has a defense-industrial complex no, no, in order for him to rest during the hostilities , something really needs to be done, well, actually, you have already said enough, so many interesting forecasts, which i think we will be able to compare later and check what will be accurate, how accurate thank you, it was viktor kyvalyuk expert of the center of defense strategies and reserve colonel well, we will see each other

at the end of this extremely difficult year for our country and for each of us. there was very fierce fighting in the city since that time , nothing was known about the fate of this little boy. but fortunately, a long search yielded results and the child was found, it was possible to get in touch with his relatives, now the boy and his parents at the same time

survived dimi at the age of seven. unfortunately , a real horror happened, because once again it is not worth reminding what hell happened in mariupol in the spring, how civilians, in particular, small children , were forced to survive and save themselves in this situation. not about them without a trace, they may need psychological help and such cases in ukraine now due to the war, unfortunately, are very many. therefore, at the international children's fund, unicef, parents of children who received psychological trauma due to war is advised as follows: do not avoid talking to the child about his experiences, tell the child that you will definitely take care of his safety with younger children you can act out fairy tales about how the main character survived difficult times and what awaits him in the future if there is such an opportunity, of course be sure to seek help from a psychologist, we are very happy

that dima filonov has been found, and by the way, i thank you for the fact that you were interested in joining the search and, in particular, reposting and sharing videos and announcements about the search for dima on on your pages in social networks, your help is really extremely important, at the same time, we are still missing, there are still many children in ukraine, let me remind you that you can see their photos on the website of the child tracing service, please look at their faces, who knows, maybe your attentiveness will help find one of these a child, one of them - this is vanya malinovskyi, one of them, a boy missing in kherson since november, please help to find vanya, his mother, mrs. iryna, is begging him. i am looking for my son, ivan oleksandrovich malinovskyi, 14 year of birth, which disappeared in the cities of kherson at the beginning of november of the 22nd year, which means that the child lived completely with me until the 21st year