arrive under sanctions, well, this is more of a conversation than an opportunity to create something, the last, the last, funny story about the fact that manufacturers from abroad refused to hand over to the russian federation the order they had earlier for the baikal and elbrus processors, which were considered to be domestic development, but somehow the domestic development was made outside the russian federation there are quite a lot of such nuances in the federation, one should not discount e-e gray schemes parallel imports e-e strange partners such as, for example, iran, which can provide something and help in some way by pumping western radio microelectronics through shadow schemes to the russian federation, but all that can only partially give some impetus to the

russian pc hmm to create something and somehow move forward, therefore it can be concluded that the enemy's intentions to conduct another offensive strategic operation are human resources are limited the ability to provide the new group with combat equipment, how they will solve this problem is difficult to say so far. i remember well that, for example, they want to strike, well, strike ukrainian infrastructure, that's what power plant and so on, they started talking. well, somewhere in june and july, there was such a figure that they now have to increase

the concentration of calibers that can be produced in one launch up to 100 pieces. 100 pieces, they really increased the possibility of simultaneously launching other missiles there. well, something like that, everything gathered that they could, that is, this plan worked . well, not so long ago they talked about the fact that they are going to prepare this offensive operation and then, when can we expect, that is, the offensive operation that began on february 24 of this year began to be prepared at the beginning of the summer of the 21st

year, when the troops were withdrawn to field camps, in particular, on the territory of belarus and carried out a number of different equations were carried out, the troops were preparing for future actions, despite all that, the investigation conducted by the journalists of the new york times, it was published, it seems on december 14, we see russian military documents that were here gathered on the battlefields, defeated, the combat order of the commander of the 26th tank regiment was signed on february 23, readiness for action on february 23, 9 p.m. that is, until the invasion itself , preparation for long planning continued, judging by the fact that the order was written by hand and not even typed on the computer

can talk about the fact that at the very last moment, something was revised, something was corrected , that is, in reality, six months for the preparation of such events is a rather limited time, taking into account the fact that the mobilization took place and the formation of military units was only yesterday declared accordingly from yesterday, it is worth adding 180 days, and this can be considered a more or less realistic deadline for the next actions, the enemy is also aware that if he does not take the next step first, the armed forces of ukraine will take such a step, and they will make this one the most convenient for the russian federation in the city, therefore, they should also speed up and conduct some operation with limited goals without taking care

of nu- waiting for the deadline when these six months pass, i think that the aggravation can to take place at the end of january at the beginning of february next year, and accordingly a larger-scale offensive operation can be prepared for the beginning of june next year well, if we have already talked about limited limited this well, as if attempts of such somehow limited offensives, then what could it be from belarus or all- it will still be donbas . what do you think? what do you think? we are now seeing such a picture. in the direction of mariupol, the enemy has started to build defensive lines along the dnieper. on the territory of the kherson zaporozhye regions, a defensive line is being built . border, which represents a system of

defense areas connected by tactical fire links, that is, it is not about preparing for the next actions of the enemy that are taking place in donbas, well, this is just a paraphrase of the front joint of the armed forces of the russian federation in senseless attacks on the fortified positions of the armed forces of ukraine, hardly something serious and large-scale can be carried out there, especially to do it covertly so that we do not see it and do not expect such an opportunity in luhansk region. the enemy has it, but he cannot give advice to carry out some adequate measures in order to stop the advancement of the united defense forces of ukraine in the direction of criminalization. that is , there is something very similar to an offensive

regarding belarus. in belarus, the rifle division of the armed forces of the russian federation is in the second and five ranges of the a-a group somewhere around 12,000 people in order to carry out serious offensive actions , this is clearly not enough. belarus has once again left the topic of taking part in aggression against ukraine . provide space, provide medical support, repair opportunities, but this is not what the russian dictator expects. it seems to me that the troops that are currently accumulating in the russian federation in bryansk kursk , belgorod region, may constitute such a group that will try to make life difficult for us somewhere in slobozhanshchyna. that is, it could be

kharkiv oblast or even sumyshchyna yes sumyshchyna i don't think so, but the administrative border of the kharkiv luhansk oblasts can become the following terrains. especially since with on the russian side, before 2014, the formation of two divisions in shebekinoi valuyki was started . there is infrastructure there, there are opportunities. although with the maintenance of means similar to himers and creative systems , the enemy pulled the troops from the state border beyond the range of our fire. look at the russian federation insists that they are focused on such an important goal for them, there is an exit to the borders of the luhansk donetsk regions well, but the positive is, if you look

at everything more carefully, it still seems that it is more important in general for the russians have a question of controlling the cock of ukraine, well, first of all, they covered this land corridor , which in principle provides them with quite a lot of resources and gives them the opportunity to support all their groups, and here it is interesting what the prerequisites could be for some offensive actions, and from both sides with from ours and from the russian, that is, what can happen in general in this, er, in the south, what can we expect there, by itself, a land corridor from the territory of the russian federation to krym along the coast of the sea of ​​azov it appears as the metal of the operation, then it disappears , it is not often said, but the actions of the enemy indicate that he is preparing to defend this

territory, accordingly, holding a referendum on the accession of the kherson zaporizhzhia regions to the russian federation. the illusion of the need to defend the originally russian territories that are part of the russian state well, of course, in the kremlin's imagination, only everyone else knows whether it is summer or not and what measures are happening now in the area of ​​melitopol, in the area of ​​ecology, in the area of ​​vasylivka , the construction of fortifications in the kherson region speaks for the fact that it is preparing to defend and hold this territory against them, and not to advance in the northern or western direction, but let's try to talk in such a very i would say to such

conditional categories regarding plans and opportunities, that is, if we are talking and we are going to seriously liberate the entire territory of our country, then we must understand what the prerequisites may be, for example, for the liberation of luhansk and donetsk is the key, the territories that have been captured for a long time, what would have to happen here in order for this goal to become real, we showed how it can be done in two ways . cutting salt, i.e., the enemy’s deep wedges along the main highways were gradually cut off and these

groups were crushed until they completely lost their fighting capacity, in the end the enemy was forced to declare a sacrifice of will and withdraw of our territory, the enemy perfectly understood that ensuring the combat capability of the units that went deep into the enemy's territory for 300-400 km and not to cover communications in any way is an absolutely unrealistic task, therefore, the second scheme for liberating the territory, which we showed the enemy, was rapid raiding operations of heavy brigades when the brigade territorial defense struck in one place, it seems, the village of shevchenkove , the enemy decided that the direction of the main blow began to reorient itself to holding this particular settlement and immediately received

in the breakthrough, three brigades of the 92nd-93rd mechanized 25th airborne division, which rapidly advanced all the way to kupyansk, destroying the operational stability of the enemy's defense, and the enemy was forced to flee first from the raisin, then from the estuary, and leave the territory of kharkiv oblast completely , that is, there are several there are several options for dances, several operational techniques, but it should be taken into account that donbas is an extremely difficult territory for conducting offensive operations, because it is such a huge urban agglomeration and masterchef a mass of man-made objects itself the terrain there in the donetsk ridge is not very conducive to rapid actions there, the general staff will have to strain to come up with

something original. i think that such plans are being developed and there are relevant ideas, especially since the general whispered, a member of the debaltseva defense, he knows the region very well and knows secret corpses according to which we will reach the ukrainian border in 1991, well, the liberation of crimea is no less so . i think it's a complicated situation and it's interesting here, but first of all, it seems that it must be disabled, because there, in essence, crimea is a military base, let's be honest, now crimea is a russian military base. and what to do with it so that it ceases to exist . it is necessary to bother, here it is to put it out of order, it is not necessary to put it out of order,

remember general manstein, who with five divisions dispersed everyone in the crimea and captured everything and did not think much about what should be destroyed, if it is not necessary, we have already mentioned that first of all it is necessary to put it out of order or at the very least limit the possible use of cruise missile carriers, this can be done and we have already tried to do it in sevastopol. i think that these tactics have been worked out and they will not go anywhere and will be applied at the right moment. the second nuance is to disable the enemy's aviation, not airfields, namely aviation, because the airfield is enough quickly in modern conditions can be restored if only there is no nuclear strike on it from behind, correspondingly damaged aircraft, they are harmless and lose their

meaning as er socks of military potential the third thing that needs to be done is to disable the air defense system or it will be a strike on radar stations. i think that it is not for nothing that the partners provided harm missiles and they were very strangely and quickly integrated for use from our mig-29 aircraft. nothing technologically before the start of use seemed to many impossible at all, especially for me, but we saw that it works and it can be like that, i think that in the southern direction we demonstrated the presence of such possibilities to the enemy for a reason whenever necessary, our planes with such missiles will show here in the best possible way if we ensure air dominance, the fight against the enemy's groups with its ground

units will not be a big problem due to the limitation of the enemy's ability to feed this group with the actual means of armed struggle, starting with the delivery of supplies and ending with the delivery delivery of food and fuel by sea is difficult and expensive; delivery by air is even more expensive and impossible in the absence of air control the crimean bridge is far from being able to withstand everything. well, we have shown that we can also reach it. the crimean operation only seems difficult from a military point of view, much more difficult will be the stabilization operation, which will be carried out after the hostilities of the national guard and the ukrainian law enforcement agency work there on years, if not decades, because it

will be really difficult. by the way, what do you think about that? in ukraine, they want this very much, they want to use these, you know, free-falling such powerful bombs, well, this is in fact already a war. such, well , the destruction of ukraine as such, as much as they can before that, well, they want to do this, they want to use bomber aircraft and conventional gravity munitions, those who themselves have never in their lives not for under what conditions will they find themselves in the cockpits of the bombers, the bomber pilots once again saw that 300 aircraft have already been lost, including the joining of about 400 pilots, who are perfectly aware that flying in a suppressed

the anti-aircraft defense system, which operation until the day is saturated with modern western equipment, it must be a communicadze and considering that the losses have increased, that the pilot once again remained in the jet, the combat load will increase, because where two crews flew, now we have to fly alone, it is physically very difficult. well, i think that they will quickly look for ways to take sick leave, drop the bomb somewhere closer to the border and pretend that the task is completed, everyone will once again listen to general konoshenkov about what is there 100,500 the targets were destroyed in half a day, and it will suit everyone, i don’t think that the enemy will dare to use bomber aircraft today, because he has not been doing this for a very, very long time, attack helicopters are used, attack helicopters are used and

strategic carriers of air-based cruise missiles that launch from the area in the caspian sea, that is, without entering the zone of damage of the air defense of ukraine, so i do not think that this can be the development of events. well , we are literally there for a couple of minutes let's summarize such a risk and sum up, if we say in general, what are the common goals that the ukrainian armed forces should set for themselves, the ukrainian defense complex in fact in 2023, the tasks before the armed forces are simple restoration of the territorial integrity of the state, the liberation of captured territories what by what terms

will this happen, well, the general staff knows better, we still have no one to guess what concerns the defense-industrial complex of ukraine, well, in their place, i personally think it is worth turning on the tv and to find out that there is a war going on in the country. i hear every day that we are demanding something from our partners to provide something to the armed forces of ukraine to continue the resistance, but here is something that has not been heard for a long time about the fact that the defense and industrial complex of ukraine produced something and handed it over. it seems that we need to wake up and start working and as far as it is possible in these conditions, not at all because we understand there, well, enterprises are collapsing and, in principle, it is quite problematic here, are there any possibilities? you know of course it is very difficult

, the logistics of the destroyed energy , the destroyed supply chain, problems with the components of the world, the global logistics crisis, the microchip crisis, that is, there are a lot of difficulties, but such matters how can the modernization of combat vehicles, infantry, tanks , e. thunder neptune alder gorlytsia sokol 300 e-e to carry out certain volumes of work on the manufacture of the stugna anti-tank missile complex, which has shown itself very well, we can and it is probably worth doing yes, of course everything will not work out, all this will happen under the pressure of enemy air attacks, but doing nothing during the war is simple and in principle safe, but on the other hand, the state has a

defense-industrial complex that is absolutely useless in order for it to rest during hostilities, of course something must be done well, actually, you have already said enough, so many interesting forecasts, which i think we will be able to compare later and check what will be accurate, how accurate thank you, it was viktor kyvalyuk, an expert of the center for defense strategies and a reserve colonel we'll see each other again cinema television sports music education free people have a choice choose what you want on megogo no matter what

ukrainians think about, no matter what they talk about the first place is still war war and our victory seven days a week from monday monday seven different spheres of activity people sports culture politics eight presenters expresso journalists experts opinion leaders in real time about the most relevant events through the prism of war every day author 's projects naisspresso weltrum battery stations designed specifically for the military needs, sealed shock-proof work in difficult weather conditions, these stations will significantly increase the combat capability of our defenders , the espresso tv channel, together with the forpo tua charity fund, launched a new fundraising

for the purchase of powerful portable battery stations with solar panels for our fighters, we will transfer the first five stations to the 406th separate artillery brigade named after general oleksiy almazov, join the gathering, let's get closer to victory together . glory to ukraine at the end of this extremely difficult for our country and every year we received very joyful news that we managed to find seven-year-old dima filonov, whom we had been looking for for more than six months. let me remind you that dima disappeared on march 21 in mariupol , just when very fierce fighting was going on in the city. since then, nothing was known about the fate of this little boy. but fortunately, long searches yielded

results and the child was found, it was possible to get in touch with his relatives, now the boy and his parents at the same time survived dimi at the age of seven. happened in mariupol in the spring, how in this situation were civilians forced to survive and save themselves, especially small children, it is possible that what these boys and girls experienced will not pass without a trace for them, they may need psychological help, and there are unfortunately many such cases in ukraine now because of the war. so in the international the unicef children's fund advises parents of children who have suffered psychological trauma due to the war to the following: do not avoid talking to the child about his experiences; tell the child that you will definitely take care of his safety with younger children can act out fairy tales about how the main character survived difficult times and what awaits him in the future. if there is such

an opportunity, of course, be sure to seek help from a psychologist. we are very happy that dima filonov was found, and i would like to thank you for that you were interested in joining the search and, in particular, reposting and sharing videos and announcements about the search for dima on your pages in social networks, so your help is actually extremely important, at the same time, we are still missing in ukraine there are many children left, i remind you that you can see their photos on the website of the child tracing service, please look at their faces . who knows, maybe your attentiveness will help find one of these children. one of them is vanya malinovskyi, a boy from them who was missing in kherson back in november help find vanya , his mother mrs. iryna begs, i am looking for my son malinovsky ivan oleksandrovich, 14 years old , who disappeared from the city of kherson at

the beginning of november 22, which means that the child lived with me until the 21st year completely until the summer from the summer of the 21st year, the child found more in his father because i was working. the boy's mother said that during the occupation, vanya and his father stayed in kherson, the woman herself was in the territory controlled by ukraine and could not get to her son, and already after the occupation, mrs. iryna, of course , immediately came to kherson with nadiya to see vanya as soon as possible, but the boy and his father were not at home, the child went missing , vanya's mother misses the fact that her son and his father could have been evacuated to russia or kazakhstan because they have relatives living there, but for now this is only an assumption, in fact, vanya malinovskyi is now unknown, i am asking everyone who has any cell phone, who has seen or heard anything, please contact and provide information to the police or the

child tracing service 116 000 is our phone number hotline, all calls are free, please. if you know any information about vanya malinovsky, let us know immediately. i really hope for your concern and attention. and the story of dima filonov, about whom i told of the beginning, this is a clear evidence that with joint efforts, a child can really be found even in a very difficult situation, when i found a working store in three letters, the light is closed, i don't have it

, please, this bouquet is lucky. the fund helps veteran enterprises, it is interesting and what is needed for this, but only fop and ubd, for example , my husband and i have a family business up to 20 thousand hryvnias, they give it, i understand. thank you very much for the bouquet of support for ukrainian veteran business already now, find out the details on the website or by phone number. i am iryna koval , mother, wife, presenter of the espresso tv channel. and i am also a volunteer. our soldiers at the front need a lot of things every day, and that is why part of my life today is the help of weapons