well, this is what you need to understand, that is, it is a question of national security, not corruption only, but national security is joining us now. the new head of the national anti-corruption bureau will be elected through a transparent and fair competition, and to what extent this will strengthen the position of nabu in ukraine. responsibilities well, now let's talk about a very interesting event, bloomberg wrote that the russian brand yurell has become er- traded less than $40, that is, it is significantly less than the limit that was set by the ceiling of this sanction, what does this mean for russia, therefore that we all understand that russia is going to carry out a major new mobilization to arm its

cannon fodder and in fact the main question is whether they have the money for it or are they able to continue this war and how do sanctions help, let's talk about it let's talk a little well, let's go then, let's sit down with you and let's start, well, look, let 's clarify a little so that she doesn't understand. this is an extremely low figure. i agree, but just don't remember that since december 5, after the introduction of baku on russian oil, the european northern

ports for russian oil have been closed. that the only consumers of russian oil today who buy it are india - the chinese, turkey, let's go - east asia - it's a little far, but at the same time, when we look at how much oil costs today in new russian, russian in the ports of the black sea , it costs $52, i.e. those $37.2, which is really boomer recorded in primorsk in the baltic sea, russian, this is exclusively hmm, the specifics of this regional market, but everything is equal even if we count 51- $52 that's extremely low why because look today uh a barrel of brand oil is quoted somewhere around $79 per barrel, and uti is an american mixture at $7,675 per barrel before

the start of the active phase of hostilities, the difference between a barrel of brand oil and a barrel of yurox oil, well, actually what the russians agree on, as a rule, was two- three dollars. well, approximately, it was prepared within the limits of vita american, now it is $30. well, count where 70 and 79 are almost 80 where $51. well, that is, the premium is extremely high, and the premium is actually for the toxicity of russian oil, politically toxicity, although let's be honest on today's buyers for russian oil are india, which has increased sevenfold in the 22nd year of foreign trade protection by the russian federation, and turkey, which buys oil for its natural plants, and china, so that in this situation, for now

there is oil in the russian budget at a price of about $52 per barrel , which is a direct loss, that is, the break-even point for russian oil is three or four dollars... -e do not feel in any way the pressure of sanctions restrictions. well, the only thing is the embargo on russian oil in european ports and the price of $60, which today is a profit cap that is limited. it is not about anything. the only point is to understand that this was actually done exclusively as a working out of the mechanism and we expect that within the month of january there will be a revision of the praskap, that is, it will be lowered. as far as i know, negotiations on this matter have already begun, uh, somewhere they mention

figures of the order of 52-50 three dollars, although i repeat it once again practically in the market, when this praskap was established, do you remember poles raised an offer so that the maximum price was at the level of 35 dollars, this would really be a serious blow, but so far, the europeans are very carefully looking for mechanisms, working them out. moreover, they are very heterogeneous. by the way, let's remember with you what the embargo on the european oil in europe only applies to transportation by tankers, the druzhba oil pipeline to hungary worked and continues to work, and there are no restrictions , so in this situation, europe is also very heterogeneous in each country there are very specific visions, especially when you and i are talking about the hungarians. nevertheless, the fact remains a factor why this is important today, why we pay so much

attention to oil, not gas, but oil is 35% of the russian budget's income, it is naftodor, not gas, namely naftodor gas there , in my opinion, the percentage is 80 petrodollars at the most, and actually this embargo, which has already been introduced, and this 30, well, count the 25-27 dollars of the premium that they are forced to pay in order to sell their oil to someone - this is a serious minus with the income of the russian budget which is already on today's moment and according to the results of the 22nd year, in the 23rd year, e-e is formed with a fairly serious loss at the level of two and a half 3% of gdp, so that's such and such a logic actually in these prices p mark what what can you add yes e- thank you, colleagues, for such a long discussion, so this is the first reason for the introduction of such sanctions, and the western countries of the usa and

europe were rightly afraid of political changes in their countries if the price of oil rises 160 is admissible, and that 's why they tried not to remove russian there is no foreigner, but the profit will be killed so that, on the one hand, russian oil is on the market, but on the other hand, so that russia does not earn money from it, and they perfectly understood that after they lead the business of the cp and a-a countries of europe, the main market of russia will voluntarily refuse to buy a-a russian oil, then a-a strange ones, er, russia will be reoritized, china, india, more than any other economy that can absorb such a volume simply does not exist, and actually speaking, so far, what we see this is exactly what happened, and there is russian oil on the market, and it escaped to india and china on the other hand, because india and china understand that there is simply no place to sell it to russia

, except for these countries, where they can push russia and demand even lower prices from it proysskoe they look at what proisskop 60 they don’t even buy at 55 or 54 they buy below a-a my colleague is right that a-a 38 price is the price in one of the ports we don’t know exactly a-a what is the price of all the oil sold at different prices supplies are different plus a-a one of the reasons a-a this is a-a one of the reasons for the sanctions will make delivery more difficult, that is, it will simply become more expensive. what will kill even more the marginality of russian oil a-a question a-a what will happen to the russian budget in the 23rd year and it is quite obvious that a-a deficit and which is not laid down for 23 hours will be much more than the scan, and i think that we are all interested in the question .

they will cut pensions or payments to state employees. well, they are loaded with potential problems, they understand this very well, and they would like to leave the huge costs of the war because it is important to them , and at the same time, they pay pensions at least at the level of they are now a-a and at the same time there a-a pays huge money for its guard, which will happen if there are any riots there , they will like them. where to find additional resources to close the deficit a-a they have unfortunately for 23 hours there are resources to do this a-a they have a rather wide a-a range of a-a policies that cannot be repaired there in order to they can find this money , they can raise taxes, they can borrow on the domestic market. unfortunately, russia is a country with a very low debt level, so they have, so to speak, a margin of safety in this regard, and they can print

money there on indeed a large number of politicians that they can there to estimate, that is, i would say that, unfortunately, they will not have enough money for 23 hours, despite the low price of russian oil a-a plus a-a about the cost of russian oil a-a it is not, well, one for all country and there are some deposits of which eh the price of oil is high most uh dear thanks cost deposits to stay in profits even by selling oil, uh, a comparison at a low price, such as

40-45 so much so that the life of the russians will be simply hellishly unbearable and this will somehow force them to do something, to take some action, because we hear about the fact that literally there in 6 days in russia another mobilization was announced again, but that somehow the russians there would fight back terribly from this and create some riots we see, well, look we are talking about the level of brainwashing at the moment, uh, the percentage of people watching tv is quite high when you and i are talking about when exactly the russians will uh, start losing real incomes. well, they are already losing, and already according to the data of the meltdown for the last year, they are real the income of a russian citizen decreased by 4%. that is, in reality, the drop in income is uh, there is, you know, such a purely conditional uh, let's say

about uh, counteraction . that first of all, the total population of the russian federation lives quite poor , that is, the overall level of income is extremely low, but in reality there is a huge difference between different incomes, for example, there are moscow , st. petersburg, several other large cities with millionaires and the average russian who lives somewhere in the russian hinterland between them, there is a huge gulf in income, so it is undeniable that, first of all, when you and i are talking about the average statistical russian, this is the person who lives in the russian hinterland and, in principle, lives quite poorly, therefore for her and yes. at the moment, the level of income that he has is decreasing for him. it is not critical because he lives so extremely poorly. those who , uh, have experienced independent politics

quickly, these are people with a high level of income, these are people with converted majors familiar with the english language, they quickly let 's be honest, let's look at the level of migration from the russian federation, migration is fantastic , especially when the so-called partial mobilization of up to 1 million people who left the territory of working age began of the russian federation, and these were primarily those who, er, have convertible specialties , those who can find themselves in other countries. by the way, sir, you know. there was a feeling that there was not much effort to restrain them. steamship in 1917, when the waves of emigration were allowed to take place. that is, they are there and there is another moment for today absolutely. it is necessary to say clearly about it in the russian federation today, the unemployment rate has fallen very much. moreover, in many russian

enterprises today have a fantastic fantastic shortage of qualified personnel today, the unemployment rate in the russian federation is 3.7%. despite the fact that in the summer there were 14 of them, a huge number of people left, actually those who created a really highly qualified product, so today it is a very big problem for them to find qualified personnel to work in highly qualified specialties and this problem will remain intensify because it is not even the mobilization itself, but its fear that leads to the fact that it continues to escalate the migration process is quite active, first of all, of people who, uh, really have convertible specialties in the world, uh, well, i’m literally. it seems to me that in principle, when we talk about some hypothetical uprising of russians, some of their political protests, we constantly uh, we

just run into with the fact that we may not understand well who the russians are because we are them we are trying just like them and they are trying to understand us because of their behavioral traces in the same way and it seems to us that if we had, for example, pomarancheva a revolution or a revolution of dignity, then it must happen, it is possible for them when they reach a point where their dignity will be under threat, or they will say the same as the orange maidan in response to yanukovych actually said we are not cattle, we are not goats well, but the truth may lie in because it may be that a critical mass of people have no dignity or there are no problems with the fact that they feel dignity is a threat or let's have problems with the fact that they are not hungry riots should start we will probably let oleg go. oleg penzin , an economist, was with us. thank you very much oleg for this. this is an inclusion for this conversation. well, we

will continue. convenient or will it be a really professional person on whom you can rely that at least the fight against corruption in our country is under control and is being conducted well? there is a reason no because nabu suddenly became better, or something like that because the head of sap appeared. and this person has quite large powers , and not only in this case. the fact is that this person is a former employee of nabu and has a large number of cases . they were already ready. they didn't wait for signatures and no one in sapene wanted to take on the responsibility to allow us to sign. suspicion of the former corner of the national bank , and kirill shevchenko, this is just a vivid example

of the same thing regarding the suspicion of the trukhin deputy , but he offered a bribe to to the police and so on, that is, er, klymenko did not conduct any investigation, everything will be ready, they did not wait for signatures, therefore, er, there is such a concern that the work there actually increased. the critical point was crossed by the signing of the suspicion of big people who are protected by the articles of association and so on. he can do it himself, and he is independent of the prosecutor general. that is , if the prosecutor general is allowed to prevent him from doing it, he cannot in any way . and look at the competition for sap, unfortunately he didn’t see what he was registered for. let’s say

yes, there were good moments and bad moments , but in the end we got a good candidate a-a there was a problem with his appointment a-a the president’s office is very strong a-a the appointment was delayed by 15 months, it was not appointed, even if it could be more, the chief prosecutor was not enough, regardless of what was obvious to everyone. it will pass better because it is a little bit better to design than a-a competition for glossap and there the internationalists have the deciding vote a-a for the competition a-a 74 people came in a flash if i am not mistaken and 20 did not pass a knowledge on the legislation that is a little funny because that, relatively speaking, we had to find out almost everything. and now we have 50 people, which is not enough. and who will pass a-a different

kinds of tests, and they will conduct various kinds of interviews, there are several stages, a-a, and here, conditionally speaking, when we will receive the last 20 and my colleagues from the anti-corruption center and other anti-corruption activists will talk to the bone about every candidate who has a potential chance to win the office of the president and our government of course, they inserted such a small one case, for some reason they decided that there would be three people in the final and it would be the cabinet of ministers that would choose one of them . like that and that's why i think so, because it's simple, but it doesn't make sense, well , the competition determines the winner, the winners of the lion, please appoint them, they don't have that one, that's the final three, and the cabinet of ministers will choose one of

these three. our task is to make sure that the winner is not good and for the three finalists to all be good, eh, the mood of the team in nabu makes me happy, and the guys say that if a person comes to us who doesn't want to work, we 'll just push him out of the structure, we won't let him work normally, ah, because they say we spent too much effort to make a normal law enforcement agency . we work hard here, we are under constant pressure . and that he succeeds smok they will do their business , so i, well, let's just say, i look at this with optimism, and of course i want this competition to end because, ah, the director of the nabu plays the role of a political account a-and to his wards, because it is necessary to understand that nabu detectives investigate from them of the richest influential people in ukraine, and of course they are not pressured because everyone knows the

director of nabu or the director of sap, then of course no one knows an ordinary prosecutor or an ordinary detective and it is much easier to put pressure on him, he says that we are there in the company of your relatives, we will constantly storm these wash you, we will not let you down. as soon as you leave the structure, we will hang a bunch of things on you, and this is absolutely real, the rice that these law enforcement officers and the director of the nabu are facing - this is exactly the person who protects in the first place, its employees from political pressure, another very important competition, well , we hope that everything will be fine, although the cabinet of ministers will choose this norm out of three only three participants, for example, uh, now, uh, uh , 50 contestants will be chosen

there . our favorites and all that, we will talk about it closer to the final a-a although the competition commission is, in principle, adequate for the time being, it behaves adequately but it’s just one of these elements that could not have been done, well, they did it for some reason well what's one more a very important competition will be held this week , mykhailo has already written about it already for someone eh de jure tomorrow you will start with judges at which the judicial community must elect eh eight members of the supreme council of justice for their quota and this is how this process will begin, in particular it is said about the european integration processes that are on the list, we will be in front of ukraine, let's talk a little about it, they said that it could be dangerous at this moment because it is the judges, that is, it is necessary to understand that the judges are for themselves well

, a little bit yes, and there is a so-called the ethical council of justice does not check the candidates, are they sufficiently honest or not? and this is a check. well, no, i wouldn't say that it is super detailed, but at least there is some kind of a. and during this check, the activists try very hard speaks publicly about the most scandalous candidates so that they do not pass this sieve, you can say so, and a-a as a candidate that will be passed by the ethical council of justice and will not be considered a-a and these are the congress of judges and from them they will choose those candidates who will enter by quota a-a with riding judges in the vrp vrp is the supreme council of justice i think that it is necessary to explain to people what is the supreme council of justice - this is a-a such

a body that... - but let's allow the famous a-a judge pavel vovk from uazka when the case was opened against him and his colleagues. and we wanted him to be arrested, but unfortunately, since he is a judge, he cannot be arrested, he has no immunity so that it is still possible to draw it, but in certain ways the procedure means that the general prosecutor's office must sign a special document on behalf of the council of justice that they believe that it is necessary to suspend his immunity in order to detain him. eh makes his decision according to whether or not according to him, they remove his immunity from him , and of course , the council of justice has not yet considered it necessary to remove neither him nor his colleagues a-a

but this is not surprising in principle because on the wiretaps, uh, lasko, who published the nabu, and it was clearly visible how pavel lov spoke about his candidates of the vrp, who were sitting right there and naturally voted against. we are waiting now, there is a status of a suspect, ah, we are a democratic ax. at this moment, on this day, we were doing an action, ah, there were 100 people, ah, and of course , we asked to put pressure on it so that ah, such people were possible, unfortunately. this is not what happened is that the vrp is the very body that can do this, moreover, it can consider uh disciplinary complaints against judges, and in the end, its task is to clean the judicial system of tainted judges , that is, relatively speaking, film film film were published, it is already enough to write a complaint, let's say for pavlo vovka, and the supreme council of justice will say everything, we

think that these judges should leave the system , so it will work, that's why it 's natural to select good candidates vrp is critically important for the student system, uh , what are the chances that the judges won't push through some very dirty people? well, maybe they won't have a russian passport there, like here with bohdan lviv, but just people who will be part of this sufficiently corrupt corporation. and the judicial system has not yet been cleaned, but these people must choose candidates, and say unequivocally yes, yes, let's say that there will be normal people. the middle is probably a but you need to understand that public pressure works in my understanding , that is, conditionally speaking, if there is some kind of scandal, then people will look

at these candidates, they are not, they do not occupy the entire vrp, they vote only for 8 people out of 22, it seems like a- and their quota is a-a in the entire vrp, and you need to understand that if other members of the vrp are like that, that ’s how the moselka is allowed to be virtuous a-a, people a-a will actively advocate that we allow some odious judge to leave a-a the status of judges, then and other members they can join this decision under the pressure of the public and some member of the gdp who will actively advocate for it, but i think that they realistically expect such a scenario, and to say that everyone will be honest there, of course, this is not the case because the congress of judges still consists of judges. well, it says that everything is absolutely a judge directly, everything is terrible, this is also not true, but because some judges come to nabu and hand over those people who bring bribes there. and this fact that's why i don't know

we will see how their people will be chosen and, accordingly, we will make a conclusion, we will tell a post about these people , and our partners, that is, our allies from the european union from the united states of america , will also make these conclusions. the first time when the vrp gathers. yes, that is, the vrps was played even under the previous government. unfortunately, it was gathered. we already know how the kents and vovka were there. that he put his people in the vrp and, accordingly, no one can fire him. what is the truth, that is, he put himself in such a strong position that it was impossible to even arrest you, and that is what our western partners were clearly doing in this case. well, not that that we are not satisfied, a huge amount of time and money is spent on doing this, and it is necessary to understand that

instead of starting the vrp update process, in any case, this requires a huge amount of political will and time. we'll do it, we'll just throw ourselves back a certain amount of years, and the question is, why do it while we 're fighting? in the year so and so so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so and so, and with a certain result, is the first one in ukraine for the first time, and for the first time, ukraine won the nobel prize , and oleksandr matviychuk, she will be a scalawag who is a bit of a pick-me-up. well, you know, i don't want to say that, but it looks like this a little caliph for an hour, you know, oh, they gave an a-a-atom prize, did they give the belarusians, of

course, who knows who knows better, they were admired there and speeches and so on and so on, for example, at the end of the year, she writes a very good article about why reforms, in particular, the exercise of law, er, judicial reforms should not stop during the war. yes, and it remains almost unnoticed, this article is programmatic, it is very important and very strong . and that is good. first of all, because the war is absolutely true . unfortunately, some reforms are very complicated, and in order for ordinary citizens to understand, they need to be explained for a very long time. because, conditionally speaking, one ether will not be able to do it, but it is necessary