well, when russia began to restore its status as a superpower like the soviet union, well, in general, they did it at the expense of the west, let's say at the expense of the west, they raised their economy, because their defense simply bought this oil at the market price they increased their defense budget in fact 20 times and with the same funds they began to buy the most developed technological technologies and samples of components for their new equipment so they thought that they would buy it in the west, but when i started the war in ukraine and when, in general, after a certain period, let's say an analysis, because it has been fully clarified what the reason is, the ceiling of technology and

funds has begun to decrease very seriously. and this is exactly what can very seriously affect the ability of the russian federation to wage war against ukraine, because the gas and oil that they give, especially oil, actually give uh-uh 50-60% of the revenues to the state budget of the russian federation, in such volumes as it was, it is no longer bought or supplied, ah, accordingly, well, these funds are not there in order to build weapons, maintain military personnel, and so on, and then technologies, spare parts are not supplied, new weapons are not produced, including missiles, perhaps some of the latest artillery ammunition, and so on, and so on. well, political

consolidation leads to the fact that it actually becomes a russian business. well, it cannot cooperate with global business. although i will say that the level of integration of russian business with the global business environment was much higher than even the ukrainian business environment, that is why these are all components these so-called dime diplomatic , informational, military, economic component, they have a very serious influence on russia due to its introduction of war in ukraine, and it is already very clearly possible to trace and the fact that it works, although well, it must be said that russia really prepared for this war, and therefore a lot what did it do to somehow stabilize its economy, and we were also able to see it,

but well, it has to work for a certain time , and in the conditions of systemic influence on russia in these four directions, even well, this is homework, it will not work anymore and the economy and military potential will fade, we can already see it, in fact now. thank you, andrei, for the conversation. this was andriy ryzhenko, an expert of the center for defense strategies, a captain of the first rank in the reserve , friends, we work live on the espresso tv channel and also in our social networks for those who are currently watching us on youtube and facebook, i suggest you like this video, subscribe to our pages on youtube and facebook, and on youtube you can find the sponsor button and become a sponsor of our youtube channel, any help we need and need it. thank you for this, and

read our news on the espresso tv website. we work 24 hours a day, seven days a week. the most up-to-date information from ukraine and the world is on our website. colonel of the reserve of the armed forces of ukraine mr. colonel good day and good health to you greetings i wish you good health roman so er, give er, let's start with the personnel reshuffles that began or rather continued in the russian federation because yesterday suroviken e-e went under gerasimov gerasimov became the commander of the combined forces on the territory of the ukrainian state, earlier we know that gerasimov was removed from this position after the e-kharkiv events after the ukrainian e-e ukrainian army expelled the

russian occupiers from the kharkiv region gerasimov surovikin took office on october 8, and on october 10, immediately after he took office , a massive missile strike was launched on the territory of the ukrainian state. this missile strike was directed at critical infrastructure facilities, but what made us remember surovikin is that under him the russians left kherson and stole our raccoon. well, of course, this is a joke about a raccoon , but that's what this surovikin is and will be remembered at least in our memory. what does it mean that in the army of the russian federation is quite short. the reserve bench is constantly changing beds in that house. i mean putin. what is this connected

with ? the management of the troops will not change at all the only thing is that there is a certain lag in time after the new commander or economic chief enters into office. there is about a month somewhere to perform certain actions. replacing the control system itself as such, therefore, during this month, the russian army will experience a certain lack of control . operative-tactical actions that can bring success are precisely related to

the lack of control during the translation of such a level of change . from their point of view of the right bank of kherson, the kherson region of kherson itself, an increase in certain types of attacks by cruise missiles on infrastructure facilities . of the people, that is, he took on a certain negativity and pushed him behind the closet. there are generals of

parquets, these are the ones we see now, that is, these are the people who mainly manage the papers, they are the troops as such, eh, already issuing orders, certain actions are already being carried out, therefore they pay a lot of attention to this kind of carpet and action on there is no sense in the parquet, but inside, the actions are mostly directed at internal consumption, that is, now russia , we need to show a definite command of the troops or a demand for the command of the troops, just in medina, in the field of the russian federation. the wars of the political leadership are performing this kind of action, that is, they can change the pieces on this chessboard, but they are directed once again for internal consumption, not more than that.

march e-e started a certain company under discreditation. the place of general survykina, well, the ac stands ominously. those with a negative attitude in british intelligence say that the change of the commander of the occupying forces of the russian federation in ukraine indicates the inconsistency of the russian campaign with the strategic goals set by the british predict that such a decision will cause dissatisfaction among the majority of russian ultra-nationalist and military bloggers, who are increasingly blaming the chief of the general staff, valerii gerasimov, for the bad introduction

of the war. the private company of wagner yevhen prigozhin he talks about exactly what gerasimos says publicly, and this parallelism in the russian army is to blame for the failure of most military companies it has existed for quite a long time when there are uh official commanders and there are commanders of private military companies who try to compete with the same shoigu gerasim or surovikin, which shows that putin specially makes these two different fields and launches the heads of these two different fields so that they compete between is this a common practice that also left the soviet union, where there was official politics and unofficial, where there was an official economy, where there was a shadow economy, where there was an official government and where there

was a people's power, a crisis with a criminal past who also created a parallel world and a parallel state divides its own, this is one of the slogans of any autocrat, because putin took himself as a tsar and performs such ugly tasks. his own weight, he begins to divide, divides the army itself according to tasks , according to directions, and according to management priorities, including eh brought and eh a private military company, so there is already wagner, or there are several more private companies, these are the children of even himself putin that is such an alternative reality to those military actions and certain military processes in the military plane that are now

taking place in the russian federation, gerasimul was given an impossible task, and therefore, in that situation, nothing i could do was impossible to accomplish the capture of a 40-million country by the means and forces that were given to gerasim to carry out this task, that is, this is the general who first had to refuse to carry out such a task. it was not completed, they dried up, and at least three times out of four the task was completed . it is impossible with almost no forces, especially with no forces and means, and even more so with means that the russian army simply

does not have enough manpower. nothing, somehow , collect, somehow, put it together. it is offensive even in defense and after we receive heavy weapons and it has already crushed this living force, they also will not be able to hold the same land corridor to the crimeans - this is all perfectly understood and gerasimo naturally perfectly understands it. therefore , i think that certain trainers inside, certain frictions and solutions to issues will begin again on the land corridor of the so-called zaporozhian front and the kherson front, including the kherson front, we will see it and i repeat once again there is a certain window opportunities and in order to solve our some operationally tactical tasks while this house is in control, we already know that poland promises to provide us with a company of

leopard-2 tanks. obviously, they hope that in a few weeks there will be a final decision by the anti-putin coalition, because it is clear that this decision not only the poles, but also the entire conventional west or, let's say, western europe and the united states of america, after these leopards enter the territory of the ukrainian state, how will the situation change on the eastern and southern fronts? and how fast are leopards, the second one is one of the best tanks in the world now - this is 4 tanks of the fourth generation in this row, there are such tanks, the same american abrams, the israeli merkova, the same k2, the south korean challenger, the second one is british, that is, it is a very good tank to this the tank will be given certain support machines and

combat infantry fighting vehicles of the same type as german or american marders of the same level. this is a tank that will carry out offensive operations actions in principle, especially now, that is, the situation in which the russian army found itself, when they lack equipment and they will close it with manpower. as soon as he will perform his tasks well, precisely the tasks of his exit. a company of tanks eh, well, it’s a small company, of course, that’s only the beginning, we understand it perfectly, that is, this is the first, this is only the beginning, eh, a certain amount of tanks of this

level of heavy tanks that we need will be transferred, and after the transfer at least 30 battalions and more tanks, that is, at least 30 tanks will work together with bmps in pairs with bmps, they will work in our main directions at the moment, so the level of the same saint, that is, they will solve the problem and the de-occupation of the swats can solve the issue of de-occupation of flint. these are the numbers said general zaluzhny when he invited last year, eh, just the amount to perform such a freak task, up to 300 tanks, up to 700 bmp armored vehicles, half a thousand ore barrels, that is, this is the amount

we need, the amount we need for that so that the troops will be deployed and go to the azov coast to glue information about the provision of tanks to ukraine from western countries... vladimir putin is trying to demonstrate to his subordinates that russia is going in the right direction. he says that he will increase the the defense capability of the russian federation and the issue of the provision of the armed forces of the units involved in the war on the territory of ukraine will be resolved. let's see what putin said. we will increase our defense capability. we will definitely solve all the problems related to the provision of the armed forces of the units involved in special military operations. at the same time, we will continue the implementation of large-scale social and economic programs of plans mr. colonel, putin always repeats the same thing

we will produce more tanks, we will produce more weapons and we will simply pressure, but to what extent what he says corresponds to reality, taking into account the sanctions that are currently working against the russian federation and the fact that, in principle, the capabilities of the military-industrial complex of the russian federation are now significantly limited, the sanctions mainly affect the production of high-precision weapons and weapons that are used certain technologies already in this millennium and everything that was produced in the last millennium by the soviet union practically and tanks and armored vehicles and guns, including that is, to carry out the war of the last millennium, they have certain capacities, they just need to be launched, they are already

trying to launch more than three dozen defense plants in three shifts, the russians have already launched m launched for the production of new equipment and for the restoration of the equipment that was produced in the soviet union and was on the ground until it was in storage we see mykolaiv 5,000 shells per day, they can uh use uh, he says they use 15-20 so far. well, i thought in the next one and a half to 2 months, they will reach uh, uh , zero on the last a-ah remainder, and then i will to work with wheels, that is, er, for 5,000 shells per day, and the russians will be able to fully launch the er system of the defense industry, and they will be able to reach the certain limits that they er , set for themselves, somewhere in the summer, not

earlier, that is the end of spring and summer , the russians will somehow be able to do this at this moment to provide at least the equipment and the last thousand-year-old teva iska who does not plan to recruit with the help of the mobilization system, the mobilization system they have is a bottleneck of no more than 200,150-200,000 per month, that is , somewhere by the summer, they will already be able to do exactly that such a number of people and uh, they are already putting on armor. well, by spring, by the end of spring, by the beginning of summer, we also have such a window of opportunity to carry out the deoccupation of our country until the borders of the 91st year. if we do not do this closer to the summer, then we will have to then they are already messing with eh with eh prepared russian troops that will be planted on

eh with motorized infantry, that is, planted on armor, nothing will have to be messed with until the end of this year, and next year the russians have already said that they plan to increase the conscription age the age for men is up to 30 years old. well, the russian army’s plans for this year are quite ambitious. they want to increase the army to one and a half million people. let me remind you that now it is a million and 150,000 literally . 000 people and are still planning for 350,000 people. does this mean that the ukrainian army should also go the way of increasing the mobilization resource and increasing the army in order to oppose these one and a half million mobilized

people in the russian army? forces of russia are not troops that carry out combat tasks , this is the entire russian army once spread over a territory of more than 7,000 km, and here is the number of troops that did not set the task of increasing from a million 150 to half a million people this is mainly due to the increase in the contractual component, they now have about 400,000 contract workers, they are trying to recruit them up to 700,000, that is, exactly the components of the contract workers - that is , the numbers 300,350,000 , they can recruit them and train them in the course of two three waves, eh, not faster, because i’m just talking about what exactly these 300-350 thousand somewhere for the summer, they will already be able to

prepare what plan that is, at the moment, the ukrainian army has uh those troops that can carry out its combat tasks, as many as a million people, according to the information of uh, our military-political leadership, because of that, there is no need to increase the number of personnel, as uh- well, we probably have even more problems than my russians with the provision of funds, we do not have enough equipment, that is , personnel. professional ability helps us in this, our partners take our personnel for training, and we use certain european structures as polygons, we already use american ones, canadian polygons are used, that is, it is possible to say that this is a screen saver that was enough to perform

certain tasks he may appear in the personnel of our troops already eh for almost an hour rotations are rotations with civil servants, we have about a million hourly employees, it starts with hundreds of thousands of police officers from the ministry of internal affairs, there are certain active in security systems , there are a lot of state security systems, that is, about a million people per hour they are motivated, these people know how to handle weapons, that is, the optimal option is to conduct such a freak rotation of people who fought practically , it is necessary to transfer his service to the civil service in the country, and the guest of the servants who are in

this year, they were performing a state task within the country to send to the front, of course , because of professional preparation, it is very important. they will fight for the state, they will perform certain tasks, the more so most of them already know how to handle weapons of any insurrection eh legal or eh there already police eh academy he knows very well the secretary of the security and defense council of the united states, oleksiy danilov, stated that the next two or three months will be almost decisive in the war. we have very little time to complete the maximum task, these two or three months until the

spring, until the russian ready parts are ready and equipped. er, it means it is entering krym and er, they will begin the decoupation of donbass with access to the borders of the 91st year, it would be better if it was completed within two or three months. well, at the most, it will be by the end of spring. thank you, mr. roman. military expert, friends, we are working live on the espresso tv channel, as well as on our social networks, for those who are currently watching us live on youtube and facebook, please like this video so that it can be promoted on youtube trends. well , subscribe to our social channels networks we are practically in all social networks and read our news on the espresso tv website, we work for you 24 hours a

day, seven days a week, the most prompt information from ukraine and the world, there is also a lot of information coming from the eastern and southern fronts, everything you need you can find it on the espresso tv website for an understanding of what is happening in ukraine. friends, i say goodbye to you until monday, on monday at 1:00 p.m. we will meet live on the espresso tv channel. i wish you good health and take care of yourself and your loved ones. to dating movies television sports music education free people have a choice choose

what you want on megogo watch this week in the program judicial control with tatyana shustrava political proteges why the reform of the constitutional court was on the verge of explosion under the guise of reform depending on the constitutional court and the direct path to authoritarianism will ukraine succeed to maintain the status of a candidate for the eu, the parliament passed a law that contradicts the recommendations of the venice commission and what happened to the judges of the constitutional court who were dismissed before the new year, see thursday 12 january at 4:40 p.m. the program under judicial control with tetyana shustrova on the espresso tv channel. i am iryna koval, mother, wife, presenter of the espresso tv channel. and i am also a volunteer. our soldiers at the front need a lot of things every day, and that is

why part of my life today is to help the armed forces of ukraine and i i am very grateful to my colleagues for supporting me in this, the war found me at home in irpen, the alarming suitcase was packed, but that did not reduce the excitement, explosions every minute, the gostomel airfield is on fire, russian fighters. in my window is a cold basement, then an exit under shelling from irpen, a month of abandonment by my relatives , and eventually i ended up in lviv. i returned to the airwaves and started volunteering together with my colleagues. helping our military is now an integral part of life. to the defenders at the front, we all cut the fruits together, we clean the berries, we beat everything and pack it is always very gratifying to think that in

a few days this tea will warm the ukrainian soldiers, each of you can help even a small contribution to support the army saves the lives of our soldiers and brings our victory closer 323 day of war almost 2 p.m. on the clock and time of news on the espresso tv channel i will tell about them ulyana panasyuk i congratulate the battles for soledar and the preparation for a new missile attack on ukraine representatives of the security and defense forces talked about the operational situation on the front and the security of the situation in our country, so what is happening on the front line now, and what to expect in the future with it, our correspondent valeriya pashko