by 20 times and for the same money. they began to buy the most developed technological e-e technologies and samples of components for their new equipment. so they thought that they would a-a buy it in the west, but when the war in ukraine started and when in general, after a certain period, let's say an analysis, because it has been fully clarified what is the reason for this, this, this , this flow of technology and funds, it began to decrease very seriously. a war against ukraine because gas and oil, which they give, especially oil, actually give uh-uh

50-60% of the revenues to the state budget of the russian federation, it is no longer bought or supplied in such volumes as it was weapons to keep military personnel and so on a-and then technologies, spare parts are not supplied, new weapons are not produced, including missiles, maybe some of the latest artillery ammunition, and so on, and so on. well, political consolidation leads to the fact that a-ah russian business actually becomes well, it cannot cooperate with world business . although i will say that the level of integration of russian business into the global business environment was much higher than even

the ukrainian business environment, that is why all the components of the so-called diplomatic, informational, military, and economic components are very serious . the war in ukraine affects its distance, and it is already possible to trace it very clearly. and the fact that it works, although well, it must be said that indeed russia was preparing for of this war, therefore, it did a lot to somehow stabilize its economy, and we were also able to see it, but well, it must work for a certain time and in the conditions of systemic influence on russia in these four directions , even well, this is homework. the economy and the military potential will also fade away, we can already see it, but actually now thank you, mr. andriy

, for the conversation. on the air of the espresso tv channel and also on our social networks for those who are currently watching us on youtube and facebook, i suggest you like this video and subscribe to our pages on youtube and facebook. well, on youtube you can find the sponsor button and become a sponsor of our youtube channel any what kind of help we need and need. thank you for that, and read our news on the espresso tv website. we work 24 hours a day, seven days a week. the most up-to-date information from ukraine and the world is on our website. andriy svitan, military expert, colonel of the reserve of the armed forces of ukraine, mr. colonel, good day and good health to you. i greet you. i wish you good health, roman. so, please,

let's start with the personnel reshuffling that began, or rather, continued in the russian federation, because yesterday was suroviken erasimov went under gerasimov. gerasimov became the commander of the combined forces on the territory of the ukrainian state. earlier, we know that gerasimov was removed from this position after the kharkiv events, after the ukrainian army expelled the ukrainians. of the russian occupiers from kharkiv oblast, gerasimov came to ukraine on october 8 and october 10. critical infrastructure projects, but

what made it memorable to us, surovikin, is that the russians left kherson and stole our raccoon during it what does it mean that in the army of the russian federation is quite short. the reserve bench is constantly changing beds. i mean putin. what is this connected with ? therefore, the command of the troops will not change at all, eh. the only thing is that there is a definite lag in time after the new commander or economic chief enters into office

, and there is about a month somewhere to complete certain actions for e-e exposing their people are permissible in a certain direction or to replace the control system itself as such, therefore during this month the russian army will experience a certain e-e control deficit certain offensive or operationally tactical actions that can bring success are precisely related to the lack of control during the transition of such a level of change, and he harshly increased it in principle, he advanced in order to take on all the negativity associated with certain actions, basically, this is the surrender from their point of view of the right bank of kherson, the kherson region of kherson itself,

and the increase of certain types of winged attacks rockets on infrastructure objects . and this is the genocide of the ukrainian people in its purest form, that is, he took on himself a certain negativity and pushed him behind the closet . they are working in the field, that is, there are generals in the fields, these are station wagons, these are kamrigs, there are generals suvs, these are the ones we see now, that is, these are the people who mainly manage the papers, they are the troops as such, eh, and issuing orders, certain actions are already being carried out, therefore, they are strongly manipulated attention to this kind of under carpets and action on the parquet makes no sense eh, but eh, inside, mostly, this kind of action is aimed at

domestic consumption, that is, now russia , we need to show eh certain something the control of troops or the demand for control of troops just in medina in the field of the russian military-political leadership performs this kind of action, that is , the pieces may change on this chessboard, but once again they are directed for internal consumption, not more than that, more so recently, some talking heads have challenged themselves as generals and marchers

of the wagner company yevgeny prigozhin. this parallelism, which has existed in the russian army for quite a long time, when there are official commanders and there are commanders of private

military companies who try to compete with the same shoigu gerasim or surovikin, what does this indicate, that is, putin specifically makes these two different fields and launches the leaders of these two different fields so that they compete with each other is this a common practice which also left from the soviet union where there was official politics and unofficial where there was an official economy where there was a shadow economy where there was an official government and where there was a government of crisis people with a criminal past who also created a parallel world and a parallel state that divides its own, this is one of the slogans of any autocrat, because putin took himself already as a tsarium and performs such tasks. in order for this plumb line not to be greater than his own weight, he begins to

divide the army itself according to tasks in directions a-a according to management priorities, including e-e privozhen and e-e private military company, maybe wagner or something else there are private companies these are children since putin himself, that is, such an alternative reality to those military actions and a certain military process in the military plane that are now taking place in the russian federation . could make it impossible to carry out the seizure of a country of 40 million people with the means and forces that were given to gerasim to carry out this task, that is , this is the general who was the first to refuse to carry out

such a task how i will not fulfill it from the beginning and it was not fulfilled, they have dried up at least three times in four times in terms of completing the tasks . to the sea of ​​azov, this is impossible with almost no forces, especially with no forces and means, and even more with the means that the russian army simply does not have enough manpower. the formation is to be sent to complete baron tasks, well, not at all offensive, even in defense, and after we receive heavy weapons and already it will soften this manpower, they also will not be able to hold the same land corridor to the crimeans. it is natural to understand

well, and therefore i think that now certain coaches will begin in the interior, certain frictions and solutions to issues will begin again along the uh-uh overland corridor of the zaporizhia so-called front and the kherson uh-uh including the kherson front, we will see it , and i repeat once again there is a certain window of opportunity, and in order to solve some of our operationally tactical tasks while this house is in control, we already know that poland promises to provide us with a company of leopard-2 tanks. obviously, they hope for a few weeks if the decision of the anti-putin coalition will be final, because it is clear that this is a decision not only of the poles, but also of the entire contingent, or let's say that of western europe and the united states of america, after these leopards enter the territory the ukrainian state, how will the situation

change on the eastern and southern fronts , and how quickly will the leopards, the second, be one of the best tanks in the world - these are 4 tanks of the fourth generation, in this row there are tanks like the same american abrams, the israeli merkova the same k2 south korean challengers, the second british, that is, this is a very good tank, certain support machines and combat infantry infantry fighting vehicles of the same type of german or american marders will be added to this tank the level of е-е bradly е-е this is even better bmp, that is, it is in parez е-е with such support, it is е-e a tank that will perform mm offensive actions in principle, especially in sejja, that is, the

situation in which the russian army turned out when they don't have enough equipment and they will close it with manpower . as soon as it completes its tasks well, it is the tasks of the exit. we understand this very well, that is, this is the first time only at the beginning of this will be transferred a certain amount of tanks that we need of this level of heavy tanks, and after the transfer of at least 30 battalions and more tanks, that is, at least 30, and then these tanks will work together with bmps in pairs with bmps will work on our main at the moment direction of the same level, that is, they will solve the

problem of deoccupation. to cut through this corridor, for this , you need 10 times more intelligence, that is, up to 300 tanks of this kind 300 tanks up to 700 bmp armored vehicles, half a thousand red barrels, that is, this is the amount we need, the amount we need in order for the troops to execute and go to the azov coast to glue information about the provision of tanks to ukraine eh from the western states eh vladimir putin is trying to demonstrate to his subordinates that russia is going in the right direction he says that he will increase the eh

defense capability of the russian federation and the issue of providing the armed forces of the units involved in the eh war will be resolved on the territory of ukraine, we will see what putin said, we will increase our defense capabilities, we will definitely solve all the problems related to the provision of armed forces units involved in special military operations , while at the same time, we will continue the implementation of large-scale of the social and economic programs of the plans mr. colonel putin always repeats the same thing we will produce more tanks, we will produce more weapons and we will simply suppress everyone , but to what extent does what he says correspond to reality, taking into account the sanctions that are currently working against the russian federation and the fact that in principle, the capabilities of the military-industrial complex of the russian federation are now significantly limited, the sanctions

mainly affect the production of high-precision weapons and weapons that use certain technologies already the millennium and all that was produced in the last millennium by the soviet union, almost all of russia cannot, uh, can produce it, and tanks and uh, armored vehicles and weapons, including that is, to carry out the war of the past millennium, they have certain capacities, they just need to be launched about them, they are already trying to launch more than three dozen defense plants in three shifts , the russians have already started m.m. it was on e-e while it was on mestakraneniya e + e-e brought to the maximum m-th level of e-e production of shells now we

can see mykola 5,000 shells a day they can e-e use rovers to produce they use until 15-20 well, i thought that in the next one and a half to two months, they will come to zero on the last balance, and then they will work on wheels, that is, on 5,000 shells per day, and they will fully launch the russian defense industry system will be able to reach certain boundaries that they have set for themselves somewhere in the summer earlier, that is, the end of spring and summer, at this point, the russians will somehow be able to provide at least the technology and the demand of the last millennium, which is not planned, it recruits with the help of the mobilization system. -200,000 for three months, that is

, somewhere by the summer, they will be able to train exactly that number of people and train them and already put them on armor. a window of opportunity to carry out deoccupation our country to the borders of the 91st year, if we do not do this closer to the summer, then we will have to mess with the prepared russian troops that will be planted on the motorized infantry, that is, planted on armor, nothing will have to be messed with конца етого года может быть и в земедний, the russians have already said that they plan to increase the conscription age for men to 30. well, the plans for this year in the russian army are quite ambitious, they want to increase the army to one and a half million people, let me remind you that

now it's a million 150,000 literally literally in a year they increased by 150,000 people and are still planning for 350,000 people. does this mean that the ukrainian army should also go the way of increasing the mobilization resource and increasing the army in order to oppose this one and a half million mobilized people in the russian army, one and a half million, this is the roster of the russian armed forces, this is not an army that performs combat tasks , this is the entire russian army, which is spread over the territory of more than 7,000 km, and here is the amount troops that did not set the task of increasing from one million 150 people to one and a half million people, this is mainly due to the increase in the

contract component, they now have about 400,000 contractors, they are trying to recruit them to 700,000, that is, the components of the contractors - these are the numbers 300,350,000, they can recruit and train them within two or three weeks , not faster, because i’m talking about exactly what these 300-350 thousand are, somewhere in the summer, they will already be able to prepare such an opportunity exists in the mobilization system naturally, we are monitoring this and we will take measures. well, the question of what kind of plan that is, at the moment, the ukrainian army has uh those troops that can carry out its combat tasks, as many as a million people, according to the information of uh, our military-political leadership. there is no need to increase the number of personnel

because, uh, we probably have even more problems than my russians are self-supporting by the soviets, we do not have enough equipment, that is , personnel we have there is no technique, therefore the optimal option is an excellent team that is now available, it increases its professional ability, our partners help us with this, our partners take our personnel for training, and we already use certain european structures as training grounds; it is enough for us to carry out certain tasks, well, if there is a question about admissible rotation, and it can arise, the personnel of our troops has already been fighting for almost an hour. it is necessary to rotate the optimal version of the rotation, this is a rotation with civil servants, we have about millions of hours of service, it is starting to get hundreds of policemen

from the ministry of internal affairs, there are a lot of certain active in security systems e state security systems, that is, there are about a million people serving, they are motivated, these people know how to handle weapons, that is, the best option is to conduct such a freak rotation of people who fought, practically, this is what is needed to be transferred to the civil service for the service in eh within the country, and a guest of the employees who or not that year performed state tasks, well, three countries to send to the front, of course , because of the professional preparation, it is very important. people, that is , people who, for the past few years, have received monetary support from the state, they will fight for the state, they will

perform certain tasks, especially since most of them already know how to handle any weapon a cadet of the e-e legal or e-customs police e-e academy he perfectly knows how to handle small arms as well as the secretary of the us security and defense council oleksiy danilov stated that 2:3 of the next month will be almost decisive in the war very briefly do you agree with such a forecast of the secretary of the national security and defense council, that is exactly what i am talking about, that is, we have very little time to complete the maximum task, these two or three months until spring, until the russian ready-made units, already equipped, arrive. we need to complete two or three a-a maximum tasks, that is , to go to the border, to go to the azov coast, eh, it means entering the crimea and eh, they will begin the decolonization of donbass with an exit to the border in 1991 , this will be completed in the course

of two or three months. well the maximum is by the end of spring. thank you, mr. roman. it was a novel. the colonel of the armed forces of ukraine is a reserve military expert. friends, we work live on the espresso tv channel, as well as on our social networks. for those who are now watching us live on youtube and facebook, please also a lot what information coming from the eastern and southern fronts , everything you need to understand what is happening in ukraine, you will find on the espresso tv website, friends, i say goodbye to you until monday, on monday at 1:00 p.m., we will meet live on the espresso tv channel. i wish you well good health and take care of yourself and your loved ones. goodbye, cinema, television,

port, music, education, free people have a choice, choose what you want on megogo, you have found a working store in three letters, it is closed, there is no light, please, here is this bouquet we are lucky it doesn’t go away yes, the generator on the street is humming ukrainian veterans background money fund helps veteran enterprises i wonder what is needed for this but only fop and ubd this is for example how my husband and i have a family business up to 20 thousand hryvnias they give it i understand great thank you for the bouquet support of the ukrainian veteran business, find out the details on the website or by calling the phone number,

art in the country of war, a series of documentary films, each of which will tell about one of the ukrainian artists, artists who did not leave for border and continue their creative path. in ukraine, i have the impression that history just entered now, yes, in some such uh, this moment where everything just gathered in it as linearly, so what happened there that we remember back then, there was some kind of drag. as if it is now all at one moment and we see that well, everything is repeating itself, but how the place and meaning of the artist and his work change. in a country at war, see in the new television series from the docnotfield studio, babylon 13 has become an association, art in a country at war since january 16 on weekdays from monday to friday at 11:10 a.m. on espresso about

what ukrainians don't think about, no matter what they talk about, the first place is still war, war and our victory, seven days a week from monday to sunday, seven different spheres of human activity, sports, culture, politics, eight presenters, espresso, journalists experts opinion leaders in real time about the most relevant events through the prism of war every day author 's projects nayspresso every week the saturday political club helps to understand the processes taking place in ukraine and the world vitaly portnikov host espresso and invitation experts based on facts give their assessment and forecast the development of events, want to understand how our today will affect our tomorrow, watch the saturday political club, what saturdays are on espresso, join the community with a ukrainian view of the world, become a

sponsor of the youtube channel espresso and this is access to exclusive personal content thanks pinned comments special icons and the possibility of personal communication with the espresso team click sponsor and become part of the community with a ukrainian perspective 19 o'clock and time of news on espresso in this edition about operational information from the general staff and the laws passed by the verkhovna rada today, ulyana panasyuk will tell all this. good evening .