now let's listen. but i wanted to make an announcement. no, let's do it without intrigue. in this direction, the enemy lost 11 tanks and 17 infantry fighting vehicles, including 4 us -made bradley infantry fighting vehicles. their delivery to ukraine is planned for the coming months, even they have not been trained to operate them, nothing, but they are already knocking them down, well done, and little by little, we are getting closer to there, news of the economy, now we will learn a little about what is going on there to the economic field that our andriyanitsky plows, thank you, thank you, colleagues, in fact , today we will talk about the consequences of russian missile attacks and how it all affected the ukrainian economy. andriy yanitskyi with

economic news on the espresso tv channel, as usual on weekdays, live on the air in the morning at 8:00, you and i wake up early and we are talking, and the repeat is already recorded at 11:00 p.m. if you watch us on the internet, you can ask your questions in the comments to the video on youtube. will appear as a separate video file on youtube and you can also leave your comments there, i watch and respond to them, send the link to the espresso youtube channel with your friends and family so that they know the latest economic news with warming, you can count on the fact that the lights will stop being turned off in houses ukrainians, but this process will definitely not be instantaneous, the

director of the yasna company, serhiy kovalenko, said that at least the generation should be restored, which is currently under repair, he explained, but if the temperature starts to drop, then without shutdowns electricity cannot be dispensed with, so people will have electricity, but still with great limitations. watch the weather. it depends on whether we will have light or not. more than two million, 400,000 ukrainians live in housing damaged or completely destroyed by the occupiers. at least 316,000 people have submitted applications for compensation, i.e. even less than a fifth of all victims , and this is far from an incomplete list of victims, it is updated every day, said the minister of infrastructure oleksandr kubrakov, the government official emphasized that for the restoration of housing, the state plans to attract funds from arrested russian assets, but the first place from which

such a recovery will begin within the framework of the united 24 donation platform will be the city of irpin in the kyiv region taxes must still be paid in all e-e the verkhovna rada canceled tax benefits for gambling businesses that were introduced on the beginning of a full-scale invasion, uh, now the gambling business will not be able to work under the simplified taxation system , 303 deputies voted for this document, i will remind you that on march 15, it was introduced for the period martial law, a simplified system of tax collection and such a single tax could be paid not only by natural persons-entrepreneurs, but also by its large companies, later the gambling business switched to such a scheme, as a result of which the state did not comply with the budget, the judicial reform was unlocked yesterday by all

eight members of the supreme council justice has finally elected an extraordinary congress of judges for quotas from the judicial community. this will allow to restore the work of the body of judicial self-government and continue a series of processes on the reform of the judicial system. this was reported in department for exactly such appointments in kyiv and our international partners and ambassadors of the countries of the group of the big seven were expecting, i would like to remind you that the formation of the supreme council of justice is one of the reforms on which the further movement of ukraine towards the european union depends in general. well, now let's talk about the consequences of russian missile attacks on the ukrainian economy we are visiting oleksiy blinov, the head of the analytical department of sensbank. i congratulate oleksiiv. greetings, mr. andriy, the owner, why did we turn to this topic , because i saw your large study, uh, with your colleague, i understand

so where are the other economists on the vox sens website, if i’m not mistaken, in english and on the forbes ukraine website in ukrainian in a slightly shortened version, and i was really interested in this research, we know that there were rocket attacks on our energy infrastructure, and at the beginning the economists somehow said that it was not will have a very big impact, we will manage, but later on, the more shelling there was, the sadder the comments were, and economist oleksandr batliy says that it can be considered that this is one of those macro events of last year that affected even there on gdp growth rate. how did you assess this impact? i understand that it is not easy to assess what your methodology was, well, look now this year because of the war and objective reasons why

state statistics do not work to their full extent, this applies not only to energy and many macroeconomic concepts and we, as the key consumers of macroeconomic statistics, had a lot of thoughts about how to close this and that shortcoming and remembered that, in principle, banks are the lifeblood of the economy and will be one of the largest banks. we understood that we can, let's say, look at large amounts of statistical information in a certain way and look for ways to transform them into statistics that are familiar to us, and we have already done this before in assessing the dynamics of salaries in ukraine and what is happening in general with workplaces with private consumption purely through bank payments and when this new problem has arisen, a really big problem for the economy in e-e blockades. and we mentioned that, in principle

, banks are an extensive system of atm branches throughout ukraine, and they are in principle can give a very accurate timing of such arrivals, how long the power outage actually lasted, and we took very detailed data of all our uh, 500 atms throughout the uh, regions of ukraine. chronomontage for all the months of autumn, this is from september to november, and accordingly moved it to a percentage of what we call productive time from eight in the morning to eight in the evening yes, when most of the economic activity in the country takes place and we counted how much because of the power outage, this productive time was lost in ukraine and in different

regions, because the situation with the regions is very different, as the research showed. that is, it turns out that you were based on such big data, as they call it, big numbers, you had access to this information e- er because of this because of the fact that your bank seems to be the largest among private banks in ukraine and an extensive system throughout the er all over the country in every region there are your atms here you are er in automatic mode this is all recorded as when atms are connected to the network, when they are disconnected, and you can see it directly hourly by second, this is a big thank you to our it colleagues, they really have these deputies and primary information . transformed into accurate data, of course, when we talk about their transfer to the country, there are certain drawbacks, we

understand that banks are more present in cities, and i think that these disconnection statistics tell us little about the situation in the countryside or for example, about the situation for the agrarian sector, but still the lion's share of business activity, because atms are usually office centers, well, of course, bank branches are, and various trading points are large enterprises where people have salaries for projects, receive salaries, that is, they are quite, very well, you know scattered two are differentiated according to the economy to reflect the sphere of services in a certain way, the sphere of production, what conclusions, what conclusions did you come to, well, as a whole, across the country, i understand that there are some regional features, which regions are possible more affected by the power cut, which less. well, let's start with the general situation, uh, in principle, this whole

problem grew very exponentially. yes, not linearly . we were in surplus, yes, due to the presence of e-e nuclear power plants, which at that time provided the system with all the power, and due to the reduction in demand, we had the opposite statement of electricity, the situation changed in september from on september 7, we began to date our research to find what was happening there. on september 11, as we remember, the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant was disconnected from the ukrainian system due to shelling of the fence. the enemy began to target our

energy infrastructure, it all started from the east of ukraine, from the kharkiv region, where at the same time as the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant was almost shut down, the local thermal power industry, namely the means of delivery , was fired upon of electricity to consumers, and this is the surge in power outages in september, it was more regional and concerned primarily kharkiv oblast and neighboring oblasts, and if we look at september and october, we recorded a fairly weak loss of electricity for businesses in ukraine. there they count only one or two percent of the truth, some economists told her at this very moment that we do not see a significant impact on the economy, the shelling may continue and it is being handled and business is handling it and what happened next after the appeal then in

unfortunately for us, november took place in the country, we understand that these damaged infrastructures are accumulating and if in the first wave of these shellings, our energy companies firstly found some spare power there, and we have a lot of them in principle, the system is quite flexible when there were opportunities to reconnect consumers. the more damage there was, the more difficult it was to do, and we all know this in principle from personal experience and personal experience, and even tougher than business experience, since household consumers they are, let's say, the last in line to connect, i'm the first to disconnect because it 's very easy to save money when you disconnect the neighborhood, yes, and in november, unfortunately, when there was a very large mass wave aimed specifically at the electric power industry, it happened on november 23, everything changed in the next day

, november 24, according to our estimates, 55% of ukrainian business and 55% of the time throughout ukraine were without electricity. it was really a nationwide blackout, and in certain regions this indicator was approaching 100% , this is terrible, but in general, for the year, i understand the figure came out to be 12 percent of the loss of productive time, that is, in fact, one minute out of every 12% - that's how much, one minute out of every ten minutes the business did not work, it could have worked, but it didn't work, but nevertheless, the business also adapted and the citizens adapted and is it visible from the data you received from the atms eh, it is possible hm bank branches also connected generators and eh connected these

atms eh at points where you can withdraw currency hm what can be said about this, of course we are observing this text and in in any case well to things there about the final numbers and really if we talk about uh november, the average loss, well , in general, for a month, it is productively 12%, but there after the shelling on the 23rd, that is, if we take the last week of november, it is still 23%, and somewhere that's with 22%. we entered the chest. yes. we are currently studying the data in january, and here we can say that there is a problem, as we already know and we all feel. it has turned from being tied to shelling into a chronic one. became like this regular, predictable, unpredictable phenomenon yes, we all remember these schedules

and, in principle, how they were executed, but again, when everyone understood already in november, and so, that is, from the stage of deviation, the problem passed to the stage of perception and business and population, we see that, well, at least our bank has 80 branches already. they work all over the country as anonymous points, and you know that there is an initiative of the national bank that in general 1,000 branches in ukraine should work like this now, it is called powerb-banking, as far as i can remember, the name is very apt, banking. that is, the idea is that even if there is no electricity in the city , banking services should be available there, well, again. there are many nuances here, with the fact that we are again already after covid saw the benefits of e-e online banking and

the possibilities let's say it so simply there on the phone's battery to do all the necessary operations that we saw from such key things, well , first of all, in november, there is still an impact on the economy. we are not only looking at atm data yes and we draw conclusions from this, we also see certain payment processes in the economy, accordingly, we can talk about what is happening with the consumption of a-a with economic activity, there are certain pieces of information that are public, there are statistics operationally about the economy of a-a in november in principle of a significant effect there is no economy, that is, if we look at certain large branches of industry, if we look even at a-a payments of retail trade despite the fact that households it was another shock and significant changes there

the volumes were not recorded, the only thing that was really observed was, first of all, a partial transition of payments to cash, yes, that is, any incomprehensible situations, all the same, people there are trying to somehow support themselves for a few days . moreover, there is uncertainty, yes, whether there will be access to electricity , and we will be supported by cash we can see that part of the payments in supermarkets has again gone to the cash option, this is about less than 10%. and the behavior of actual buyers changed. as far as i understand, people began to come less often supermarkets, but to buy more and well, what do you understand, because you rush to the supermarket while there is evidence that the number of purchases has decreased, that is, people stopped there, let's say if on average before that they dug in there for three days, then they started to shop for 4-5 or it is obvious

because, well you need to invent to see when the supermarket is open when it is convenient to go and this is a coincidence, it became less than when there was always light, mr. oleksii remains we only have time for forecasts of literally one and a half minutes for 2023, of course about energy it's interesting, the company is clear, that's why it says that everything depends on the weather, if the winter will continue to be warm, then it is possible to avoid major blackouts, if there is a cold weather, blackouts can not be avoided, of course we do not take new missile strikes in this calculation if they will it is difficult to predict here. and what do you see from your side as a banking analyst? well, we are actually not pessimists, we understand and take into account the factor of these losses eh from eh power outages currently

they are concentrated primarily in industrial sector because, well, there are many enterprises with such a production cycle that cannot be turned on and off all the time and they need to be stopped completely, and if we look, for example , at the mining and metallurgical complex in december, it is very clear that the losses associated with with a lack of electricity in the country, but, nevertheless, we still see positive trends in private consumption, which, for example, during the covid-crisis, pleasantly surprised economists in ukraine, and now they are not as bad as it may seem there because of the general situation and we keep the forecast well, we reduced it a little because of the shelling, but we keep it brings economic growth by 5.5% this year, it is very active, although it is clear that the latter is in the background

, in the background of the fall. thank you, mr. oleksiy blinov , the head of the analytical department of sensbank was with us they talked about his work with the assessment of the economic impact of russian missile attacks on the ukrainian energy system, oleksiy remains an optimist, i think that our energy system well, you and i will adapt and we will overcome this andriy yanitsky, economic news presenter on the espresso tv channel, we will see you on monday at eight in the morning live together we will win cinema, television

, sport, music, education, free people have a choice, choose what you want on megogo, mykola veresen, vitaly portnikov and the main topics of the week if god forbid really tactical nuclear weapons are used against ukraine, it will definitely change the world history, problems, analysis and personalities, we are waiting for john gerbs, the former ambassador of the united states to ukraine thanks for invitation, you have questions, you will get answers that fridays at 21:30 on espresso, i am iryna koval , mother, wife, host of the espresso tv channel, and i am also a volunteer, our soldiers at the front

need a lot of things every day, and that is why it is part of my life . the author and presenter of television projects that i will have to understand such things as thermal imagers , generators, quadcopters, could i, a mother of three children, imagine that just like knowing the principle of operation of a diaper, i will understand the difference between an active and passive night vision device, did my wife know that i would buy my husband not shirts for work but bertie and tactical glasses, but since 2014 i had to become a volunteer because our relatives were on the front lines and they needed our help. even a small contribution to the support of the army can help you, it saves the lives of our soldiers and brings

our victory closer. good morning, friends, we are returning to avatar. andriy saichuk and lesya vakulyuk eh, we are glad to see you among our viewers, eh. by the way, eh, by the way today friday the 13th but not easy friday the 13th is not easy today what the ukrainians call malanky generous evening vasyl old new year how many channels will we welcome tomorrow today we congratulate all the uh lightnings by the way now with those calendar transfers i understand that 31 december, in principle, malanka should be and on january 1, vasyl, how will it be later with all those uh permutations, but i would like the tradition of driving a goat, driving malanka, when the boys changed into girls, and that was malanka, and the girls changed into guys and then there was vasyl, and they went out to have fun , to carol, to give generously because, er, i

had read so far about this holiday while we had a er, er break here, and while i was working, andriy yanitsky was talking about the economic news, about the fact that this tradition of driving lightning and driving a goat was all over to ukraine, even the part that was under the russian empire, but unfortunately the secular union made the traditions partially disappear but maybe we will restore them all the more all the more when even arnold schwarzenegger himself is generous and together with the bandwagon they are they filmed a new clip because today is the time to be generous with the time today to actually sing the shchedryka, another one of our most famous christmas carols, the shchedryka, which the whole world knows, but does not know what it actually is. on january 14 , they sow on january 14, now they have to sow with the word on january 1, we will have to rearrange our

traditions a little, but eh, let's return to schwarzenegger with the word schwarzenegger starred in the video clip of the kalush orchestra, the kalush orchestra shot the video, recorded the song, and also based on ukrainian motifs generously, i offer a piece to listen to and watch the evening to good people for health generous evening good evening to good people for health generous to good people for health and schwarzenegger schwarzenegger was not shown he was there at the end bushwarzenegger's words said generous evening believe me if you don't believe it, you can go to youtube and find the same clip and find the generous schwarzenegger, i 'll just reveal the secret in the hardware

room, they spilled coffee all over the hardware room, everything on the remote control is stuck to them, they press these buttons with their fingers but nothing is working at this moment, thank you very much for the explanation, finally. well, you understand not just well, but who now just continues to fight for ukraine, in fact, the italians have a wonderful holiday, for example, the thread of the witch befana befana - it is from their ancient tradition of pagan or pagan mythology and it comes on the night from the fifth to the sixth of january and they kept this holiday and in them, for example, it also moved to new year's eve because it is closer because christmas would come on the 25th now on january 1 and on the fifth of the sixth, that is, they have preserved this tradition of theirs, which for some reason is similar to our lightning. many peoples of europe have this tradition,

but asian peoples do not have it, for example, in the village there is no lightning bolt goat and basil, and on december 31, january 1 and january 13 and january 14, because we had a moment when these traditions were simply cut out of our history and now we will to catch up with all that was lost well, but now it’s not about tradition, it’s about our warm holidays that are still going on, who are they going on, who are they ending with oleksiy orzhev, minister of energy and environmental protection 2019 , let’s talk in 2020, mr. oleksiy, good morning to you, but no god, i’m sorry because i'm running - i'm in a hurry to live serhiy nikitenko, i'm sorry, mr. serhiy, i looked at that hour, i already live at nine, and now it's eight o'clock, i saw the clip of the kalush orchestra from schwarzenegger, i saw this fragment, what year are you celebrating, old, new

is the new new one according to which calendar, unfortunately, there is no time to celebrate anymore, unfortunately, we will celebrate next year after the victory, it is clear that, well, the old new year is generally some kind of strange holiday, probably the only country, well, let's say the only thing is several countries in the world that celebrate it, it's interesting in our country somehow it's with those calendars and everything like ukraine was then under the russian empire, and part of it was under the austro-hungarian empire, then it was under the soviet empire, now we're getting rid of that empire . at the high price of everything they left us , sergei, tell us which the current situation in kherson, how is the city alive, are the russians still

shelling it? the villages above the dnipro are being shelled from rocket artillery. well, they must have seen that kherson was shelled even with an s-300 missile that fell right in the middle of the courtyard of a five-story building. there is constant shelling, of course. they answer very decently, but anyway, it’s about sowing to the russians, who are constantly moving their equipment and shelling kherson and everything about being careful, well, it’s very difficult. by the way, ukrzaliznytsia is launching the lviv-kherson train, and i think it will also be useful for those kherson residents who decide to move this winter, for example, to lviv or to other cities of western ukraine. probably, this is not such a bad idea. although of

course. well, it hurts to say all this now after the release, eh, for the euphoria that we all experienced after the successful ukrainian i will come forward, nevertheless, is this really the idea that is better to stick to now? sergey, what is your opinion ? of course, what is going to leave now is one of the best . he told me, showed me a table, yes , they know where people are leaving, they are trying to help them. khmelnytskyi is now very actively accepting kherson people, well, i follow every day they report on the number of evacuees, it is semyon, it is even less clear, but people are leaving it is clear that this is a very small number