tv [untitled] January 13, 2023 11:00pm-11:31pm EET
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i don't know, but more and more people around will start to understand it, there are of course people who are just mentally ill, patroshevkavalchuk well, you're just a moron, to be honest, you read everything people say, but there are people who are not like that, and this also creates a certain atmosphere, so they will help us better and quantitatively as much as the russians will not understand this you just have to realize this thank you friends and see you tomorrow and now i wish you a good and generous evening congratulations good luck i wish you all victory in this festive evening day holiday evening day see what 's happening with the ether thank you it's good
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cinema television sports music education free people have a choice choose what you want on megogo when i found a working store in three letters the world is closed i'm not here please this bouquet is lucky we have it and it doesn't disappear yes he generator on the street is humming ukrainian veteran background money fund helps veteran enterprises i wonder what is needed for this but only fop and ubd this is for example how my husband and i have a family business up to 20 thousand hryvnias they give it i understand great thank you for a bouquet, support of ukrainian veteran
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business, get details now on the website or by phone. i am iryna koval , mother, wife, presenter of the espresso tv channel. and i am also a volunteer. our soldiers at the front need a lot of things every day, and that is why part of my life today is helping the armed forces of ukraine and i am very grateful to my colleagues that they support me in this, of course, for a tv presenter, the main job is to inform people as quickly as possible as truthfully as possible, now this is the most important information about the war, the war has come to life each of us and we want one victory, we strive for victory with all our might , we donate, we buy walkie-talkies, copters, pick-ups, bronics
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and fairy tales. and it also has paid nets, this is a special help. to help , even a small contribution to the support of the army saves the lives of our soldiers and brings our victory closer andriyanitsky with news of the economy on the espresso tv channel as usual on weekdays live on the air in the morning at eight o'clock, you and i are early we wake up and talk and the repeat is already recorded at 11:00 p.m. if you watch us on the internet, you can ask your questions in the comments to the
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video on youtube. on youtube and there you can also leave your comments, i watch and answer them send the link to the youtube channel of espresso to your friends and family so that they know the latest economic news with warming , you can count on the fact that the lights will turn off turn off ukrainians' homes, but this process will definitely not be instantaneous, the director of yasna company, serhiy kovalenko, said that at least the generation should be restored, which is currently under repair, he explained, but if the temperature starts to drop, it will not be possible to turn off the electricity, so people will have electricity, but still with with great restrictions. keep an eye on the weather. it depends on whether there will be light or not. more than 2,400,000 ukrainians live in
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housing damaged or completely destroyed by the occupiers . at least 316 applications for compensation have been submitted. 000 people, that is, even less than a fifth of all victims, and this is a far from complete list of victims, it is replenished every day, said the minister of infrastructure oleksandr kubrakov, a government official emphasized that the state plans to attract funds from seized russian assets to restore housing, and here is the first city from which such restoration will begin within the framework platforms for donations - united 24 will become the city of irpin in the kyiv region, taxes must still be paid by everyone the verkhovna rada canceled tax benefits for the gambling business which was introduced at the beginning of the full-scale invasion, eh, now the gambling business will not be able to work under the simplified taxation system , 303 deputies voted for this document
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. also its large companies later switched to such a scheme and the gambling business, why did the state fail to meet the budget with significant funds, the judicial reform was unlocked yesterday, everyone eight members of the supreme council of justice were finally elected by an extraordinary congress of judges according to quotas from the judicial community. this will allow the restoration of the work of the judicial self-government body and the continuation of a series of processes on the reform of the judicial system. of the countries of the group of seven, i would like to remind you that the formation of the supreme council of justice is one of the
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reforms on which ukraine's further movement towards the european union depends in general. well, now let's talk about the consequences of missile attacks of russians for the ukrainian economy, we are visiting oleksiy blinov, head of the analytical department of sensbank . i congratulate oleksiy, mr. andriy. i'm not mistaken, it's in english and on the forbes ukraine website in ukrainian in a slightly shortened version, and i was really interested in this research, we know that there were rocket attacks on our energy infrastructure and at the beginning economists once said that it will not have a very big impact, we will manage
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, but later on, the more shelling there was, the sadder the comments were, and economist oleksandr baklii says that it can be considered that this is one of those macro events of last year that affected the growth rates even there gdp how did you assess this impact? i understand that it is not easy to assess what the methodology was, see now this year because of the war and objective reasons why state statistics do not work to their full extent, this applies not only energy industry and many macroeconomic concepts, and we, as key consumers of macroeconomic statistics, had a lot of thoughts about how to close this shortcoming, and we remembered that, in principle, banks are the lifeblood of the economy and will be one of the largest banks. we realized that we ourselves can let
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's say that we look at large volumes of statistical information in a certain way and look for ways to transform them into statistics that are familiar to us, and we have already done this before with estimates and dynamics of salaries in ukraine and what is happening in general with workplaces with private consumption purely through bank payments, and when this new problem arose, a big problem is indeed for the economy in e-e blockades. and we mentioned that, in principle, banks are an extensive system of atm branches throughout ukraine, and they can, in principle, give very accurate such the timing of the arrival, how long did it actually last and the blackout, and we took the data, very accurate data of all the other 500 atms throughout the er regions of ukraine well, of course, except for the temporarily occupied er and er, we counted
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accurate chronology for all the months of autumn, that is , from september to november, and accordingly moved it to a percentage of what we call productive time. from eight in the morning to eight in the evening, when most of the economic activity in the country takes place, and we calculated how much of this productive time was lost precisely because of the blackout in ukraine and in different regions, because the situation with the regions is very different, as the research showed. that is, it turns out that you were based on such big data, as they call it, big numbers, you had access to this of information because of this. because your bank seems to be the largest among private banks in ukraine and has an extensive system throughout the whole country in every region, there are your atms, here you are in automatic mode , everything is fixed so that when atms are
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connected to the network when they are disconnected and you can see it directly hourly by second, this is a big thank you to our mighty colleagues, they really have these deputies and the primary information. transformed into accurate data, of course these data, when we talk about their transfer to the country, there are certain drawbacks, we understand that banks are more present in cities, and i think that these disconnection statistics tell us little about the situation in the countryside or, for example, about the situation in the agricultural sector but still the lion's share of business activity because atms are usually office centers well, of course , bank branches are and various trading points are large enterprises where people have salaries for projects and receive salaries, that is
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they are quite, very well, you know, scattered two classified by economy to reflect the sphere of services in a certain way the sphere of production which conclusions what conclusions did you come to, well, in the country as a whole, i understand that there are some regional peculiarities, which regions may have been more affected by the power outage, which are less well let's start with the general situation, er, in principle, this whole problem grew very exponentially, not linearly. the volumes of electricity consumption and demand for it fell significantly, and we were in surplus, yes, due to the presence of e-e nuclear power plants, which at that time provided the system with all the power, and due to the reduction in demand, we had, on the contrary, the statement of electricity, the situation changed in september
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, precisely in september we started and dated yes, our research is still like this. on september 11, as we remember, it was disconnected from the ukrainian system due to shelling of the fence of the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, and we immediately from such a system surplus to deficit, and at the same time the enemy began to target our energy infrastructure, it all started in the east of ukraine, from the kharkiv region, where at the same time as the zaporizhzhia npp was practically shut down, the local thermal power industry was targeted, namely the means of delivering electricity to consumers, and this is the surge outages in september, it was more so regional and actually applied to all of kharkiv oblast and neighboring oblasts, and if we look at september and october, we
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recorded rather weak losses of electricity for business in ukraine, they charge only one or two percent depending on a certain at this very moment, economists said that we do not see a significant impact on the economy, the shelling may continue and is being managed and business is managing so what happened next after the new then we have unfortunately , november took place in the country, we understand that these damaged infrastructures are accumulating , and if in the first wave of these shellings, our energy companies first found some spare capacity there, and what kind of power do we have in principle many of the system is flexible enough to find opportunities to reconnect consumers. the more damage there was, the more difficult it was to do, and we all know this in principle from personal experience, and personal
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experience is even tougher than business experience, since they are household consumers. let's say we are the last in line to be connected i am the first to turn off the power because it is very easy to save money when you turn off the neighborhood, yes, and in november. unfortunately, when there was a very large mass wave directed specifically at the electricity industry, it happened on november 23 everything changed the next day , november 24, according to our estimates, 55% of ukrainian business was without electricity 55% of the time throughout ukraine. it was really a nationwide blackout, and in certain regions this indicator was approaching 100% , this is terrible, but in general for the year, as i understand it , the figure was 12 percent loss of productive time, that is, in fact, uh, 1 minute out of every 12% - that's how much, one
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minute out of every ten minutes, the business didn't work, so it could work, but it didn't work, but still, the business also adapted and the citizens adapted and is it noticeable from the data you received from the atms eh, it is possible hm bank branches also switched generators and eh connected these atms eh at points where you can withdraw currency hm what can be done about it to say definitely , we are observing this text in any case. well, by the way, there are final figures and really. if we talk about november, the average loss, well , in general, for a month of working time, it is productively 12%, but there after the shelling on the 23rd, that is, if we take the last week of november it is still 23%, and somewhere around 20
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% we entered december and we are currently studying the data of january and here we can say that there is a problem, as we already know and we all feel. it has turned from being tied to shelling chronically yes and in december, in principle, disconnections have already become such a regular, predictable, unpredictable phenomenon yes, we all remember these schedules and, in principle, how they were carried out, but again, when everyone understood already in november, and yes, that is, from the stage e-e deviations of the problem went to the stage of its perception and business and the population we see that, well, at least for our bank there are 80 branches already now they work all over the country as unbreakable points and you know that there is an initiative of the national bank that in general 1000 branches in ukraine should
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work like this it's already called power banking , as far as i remember, it's a very apt name, power banking. that is, the idea is that even if there is no electricity in the city , banking services should be available. well , again, there are many nuances here with the fact that we once again, after covid, i saw the benefits of online banking and the possibility , let's just say, to do all the necessary operations on the phone battery, what did we see from such key things, well, first of all , in november, there is still an impact on the economy not only do we look at the data from atms, and we draw conclusions from this, we also see certain payment processes in the economy, accordingly we can talk about what is happening with the consumption of economic activity, there are
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certain pieces of information that are public, there are statistics operationally about the economy in in november, in principle , there is no significant effect on the economy, that is, if we look at certain large branches of industry, if we look even at a-a retail trade payments, despite the fact that for households it was another significant shock and there were no changes in volumes, the only thing that was really observed was ah, first of all, a partial transition of payments to cash, yes, that is, any unclear situations, people are still trying to somehow recharge for a few days, especially since there is uncertainty, yes, whether there will be access to energy to recharge in cash and we can see that part of the payments in the supermarket again went to the cash
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option, this is about less than 10%. and the actual behavior of buyers has changed. as far as i understand, people began to go to supermarkets not so often, but to buy more and, well, what do you understand, because you hurry to the supermarket while there is light, the number of purchases decreased, that is, people stopped there, let's say if, on average, before that, they buried themselves there for three days then they began to buy 4-5 that this is obvious because you need to invent to see when it works there supermarket, when you actually go, this is a coincidence, it became less than when there was always light, mr. oleksiy , we only have time for forecasts , literally one and a half minutes for 2023, of course , it is interesting about energy, eh, the company clearly says that everything depends on the weather, if if the warm winter continues, then it will be possible to avoid
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major blackouts if there will be a cooling-off, then we cannot avoid blackouts, of course we do not include new missile strikes in this calculation, if they will be here it is difficult to predict. and what you see from your side as a banking analyst well, we are actually not pessimists, we understand and take into account the factor of these losses er from er power outages, currently they are concentrated primarily in the industrial sector because there are many enterprises with such a production cycle which cannot be constantly turned on and off and they must be stopped completely and uh, if we look, for example, at the mining and metallurgical complex in december, this is a very obvious loss, which is also connected with the lack of electricity in the country ah, but however we are everything we can see positive trends because private
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consumption, which even during the covid-crisis pleasantly surprised economists in ukraine , and now they are not as bad as it may seem due to the general situation there, and we maintain the forecast well, we reduced it a little due to the shelling, but we maintain the economic growth of 5.5% this year, it is very convenient, although it is clear that the last ones are in the background , in the background of the fall . the assessment of the economic impact of russian missile attacks on the ukrainian energy system remains p. oleksiy, i believe that our energy system is an optimist. well, you and i will adapt and, er, we will defeat this
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russian invasion, er, andriy yanitskyi, economic news presenter on the espresso tv channel, was with you. see you in monday at eight o'clock in the morning live on the air together we will win, serviceman vladyslav personally chooses an ambulance for his unit, these 6 volunteers pass the list to various combat units for the hottest in the directions of the front. and if we have several wounded servicemen and their condition may be different. that is, we can put the heavy ones who need more evacuation, where we can put them faster. these new year's days, it is the opportunity to hand over the necessary items to the military that is a real holiday for
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volunteers. our holiday is because we found these cars, that we were able to buy them, that we were able to deliver them, and you know i don't care. even if it had to be transferred at night, then we would transfer it. tatiana admits that with each request it is more and more difficult to find new cars, if in the spring it was still possible to go, for example, only to poland or only to germany or any city in europe and immediately buy the necessary the amount of e-e , i think you yourself see the scale of how the ukrainians and the whole world have risen, it seems to me that we have already bought everything that could be bought in general since february 24. well, we have already exceeded 100 units of various equipment, these were armored cars and a special car for our ritualists are such pick-up jeeps fund
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revive soulders ukraine revival of the defenders of ukraine before the full-scale invasion specialized in the treatment and prosthetics of servicemen with very serious injuries our fund was founded by iryna vashchuk, daughter of irpen, who has been living in america for many years and in fact the war began in her country in 14- despite the fact that she lived for herself and lived beautifully in a completely different country across the ocean from the 14th year, iryna began to help. in the 15th year, she founded a foundation in 2019 in irpen near kyiv the rehabilitation center nextstep ukraine, which is engaged in the free rehabilitation of military personnel and has unique equipment that does not have analogues in our country, has become operational, however, after the full-scale invasion, the fund expanded the areas of assistance, the more necessary things are needed, starting
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from tourniquets, hemostatics, and ending with fast drones. the more we give, the more likely it is to save someone's life and at the beginning of the full-scale war, the soldrasti ukraine handed over almost 7 million dollars in aid, these are fast pickups, jeeps, quadcopters walkie-talkie generators, satellite phones, tablets, medicines, medical equipment, etc., one of these ambulances will go to the luhansk direction, where the fierce fighting is going on, the direction in which we are located, the situation is no better than in bakhmut . we see that the enemy is trying to advance us by all means and methods, but nothing succeeds. so, step by step, we are moving forward, they are constantly trying to
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attack in other directions, so the ukrainian the defenders state that it is still too early to relax, of course it is clear that they have run out of equipment there, older models are appearing, but let's say that they have run out of everything there, it is hard to understand that the russian federation is too big a terrorist country, they have a lot of resources, they have a lot of sanctions at work very slowly, that is, they switch to military rails, they have a lot of canned food and it all works little by little, they also carry out mobilization, carry out personnel training, somewhere, of course, they shut up the girls with purely mobilized ones, but that’s all after all, they have a large mobilization potential , let's say so, on the slow meat of untrained people mobilized there, in
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order to cover the more educated and there and the equipment, that is, for example, they let in people and then let in the equipment, that is, usually these mobilized people do not go the other way around the equipment that supports the infantry to save as much as possible important new technological means are urgently needed currently, these are drones, drones are also consumables, they save the lives of our personnel on the battlefield because that we can detect the enemy in a timely manner, complain about artillery fire and inflict maximum losses on him, volunteers and soldiers point out that with such intensity of battles and drones and cars, there will never be enough cars, such as thermal imagers, such as copters, drones, these are all consumables, because war is hard, war is scary and today you can
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hand over five drones, but in a few days they may not be there despite the hard battles and accumulated fatigue ukrainian defenders believe that the new year should be the year of our victory should be victorious well, this must eventually end and the russian federation and all those who take part on that side should already leave our country and, as the president says, free our border as of 1991. however, this victory is impossible without our support, because the defense of the country is ours a common duty, we cannot relax now we cannot get tired if it were not difficult for us, we have to hold on we have no other way but victory tetyana litvinova oleksandr burlevych specially for expresso when i found
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a working store in three letters the world closed i don’t have it, please, this bouquet is lucky . it doesn’t disappear in our country. that’s how the generator on the street hums . 20,000 hryvnias is given, i understand. thank you very much for the bouquet of support for the ukrainian veteran business . find out the details on the website or by phone number. events, the most important events , events that are happening right now and affect the
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