the further you turn the point on the map, the district of soledar, it is very far away from bakhmut to the northeast and pass the border, the same bakhmut, i didn’t, and they didn’t succeed . yes, it's important for the russian troops. what kind of southern direction, later, later, i think it 's just the area of ​​solidar and the north of bakhmut - this is a distracting maneuver, a distracting maneuver from the main strike, namely from the south of bakhmut in the area, yes, it's interesting. and victor, well, actually, from one on the other hand, it is alleged that this kind of information is spreading. what is there in the queue? gerasimov has set a red deadline for him to enter the borders of the donetsk region, and on the other hand, the fighting is going on, in fact, the

fighting has intensified all over the country. arcs from the ugledar through the audio house bakhmut eh well soledar himself further eh svatov kremena and here eh the question is the same and whether the russians succeed thanks to the assault of soledar and bakhmut well stop the actions of the ukrainian troops near the criminal svatov , do they succeed there eh somehow divert forces or can they solve this problem? no, it seems to me that this is still a person, for example, they are definitely withdrawing part of their forces, because rotation is needed, and the rotation is happening in the donetsk direction, but let's not say that it will be in 10 directions. it strongly affects the actions in luhansk. now is not the stage of winter exhaustion at which it would be relevant, but here it is rather the month of the century that you came back. we need some success of those enrolled, a kind

of internal competition has begun with more centers of power, so they want to show that here in donetsk region regarding the potential of our company. so they said that putin did not set a shield until february 24. i don't think this is an adequate task . labor australia doesn't know what it is, although we are because of the fact that no one can put it now, because the conditions have not blown , in fact, the language is already crossing the point of the slavyansk and it's so easy to set a task, but for you to take the donetsk region from kramatorsk slavyansk for me in a month was to me it seems that putin is still not so deep in what is inadequate if he will even make such demands, because everyone understands hares , no one knows, no one is not able to plan

for such a period for such a period of tasks, therefore, if such a task as it was set, even theoretically, this task can be laid down with only one, actually, one thought that it will not be visible and that the person who does not fulfill it will actually bear the responsibility for it to be fulfilled, except that in this format you see in the format it will be like hercules when the actual task we don't want to because it has been fulfilled , it should not be uh, look at the vector, if you have already talked about putin and his tasks, then today some kind of statement from putin is expected and well , it's like how he can announce another wave of mobilization. what about you do you think it could be this or, well, most likely something else, well, theoretically, it could be, but again, what is the difference to us, first of all, they and the first wave of mobilization collided, destroyed purely organizational problems, er, we can announce that i want everything for russia today you

we transfer the men's mobilization, but first of all, as it can be seen, and secondly, organizationally, we will be among them, again, the problem is not in the meat , they have a problem in other aspects, well , the problem is in their place here, the problem provides you, their problem is ambushes resources are not all that the commanders have at the tactical and operational level, they have a problem again with the banality of how you will put these in positions and ensure at least some control over this entire organization, so again when they tell me that there are some dogs or a piece of about 500,000 m-m mobilized very well, but i have to remind you that with these awards, in the initial phase of the operation, which was the largest, which was the best from the point of view of regional support, well, at least then they already had everything prepared directly

for ukraine. by the end of february, the invasion was here 100,000 people plus 50,000 people er neighbor - neighboring ukraine in the region and this was the peak of russian logistics capacity, even if they theophically lobby some new number of people, again, the logistics capacity does not grow this and their ability er to provide them with resources is the ability to trivially even understand them in such a way that they do not have to be placed in one place together with the composition of cyclists, as was already the case in makiivka. we all know the results , so the ministry decided to give it to me. a professional operation or even more like something like an internal er informational operation to write a russian that everything is serious what

really are the members born war and from a petty point of view well again what is the difference what is your whole weight if the weight what you can directly apply much less to ukraine, unless we are talking about permanent rotation, but again, what is the quality of permanent rotations, the evidence of mobilized neominative meat, i also cannot understand . in the soldiery, we saw such a story when five, six, seven attacks were going on around the clock, they were constantly going non-stop, because there are not close distances in the near east, but it's a little bit out of hand and in the end, we see the result is not very good for us comforting, well, that is, you know, as long as the russians will be exhausted in this way and everyone will die. well, we are also exhausted in this regard, so to say that additional mobilization does not affect anything, but it seems to me like this, you know

, too, to a certain degree of self-satisfaction, somewhere to to a certain extent well, it’s just that if the russians actually plan to have more people than there were even before the war, the population of each one separately, but the main point is that if you don’t want to put more people in this settlement than the gold of the war in it, then in principle, is let them do it like that, there is nothing wrong with it for us, because in the end it's just that their opportunities will end sooner and i mean, again, not related, i knew, i mean weapons and remnants of motivation, including if they want so much it is not efficient to spend your resources and you will simply go there with a wave of illness, then you need to understand that it will not be the first to finish, or the first will not finish again, it will finish again, it will actually finish, even the unfortunate ones who do not need to drag you with the same ammunition and now others

stations were displayed, and when all this is over, because they will have questions, they must have , er, several hundred thousand mobilized to the horses, without fuel, without ammunition, without anything , so again, the army does not go like that, it is not just a large number of people, it is a large the number of organized people, provided people are needed on the spot, the right time ago, it doesn't seem to me to be exactly the use of it. i just don't understand how they organize this meat system of fines and for a hail of tribes. god, is there anything new, e p roman , so look. well, returning to and to equipment and to in general, it is criminalizing, er, a russian tank breakthrough, it was destroyed literally so recently near novoselivka in luhansk region, at the beginning of the war, there were 20 of them, as far as i remember , now we are talking about 10 of them, there are 10 left . well, in luhansk region, does it indicate something new

, or a new situation, or not ? the point is that not one tank, not a company of tanks, is in the bottom . and there are no these ten tanks, that is, er, this just says what you have the russians lack new equipment , they can’t supply bald tanks, that is, well, it’s bald, it’s a shameless thing, he says so later. real er real power and real problems because the number of tanks

as such, especially of such a level this is a tank quite good targets in this sense without the iron fist from several positions, eh, there will be no point, so i don't think that this is any problem at all, that is, eh, our guys who are engaged in tanks , that is, anti-tank, perform anti-tank tasks, they even sometimes they don’t understand how subtle it is, they destroyed it , so it’s not a problem at all. is there a situation on the field now? how do they do it? forces can we talk about the fact that they have now started some fundamentally new offensive actions,

uh, it is necessary to carefully listen to the leadership of the political russian war, it sometimes says real, that is, true things, because it then hangs certain informational messages on what it is talking about своего потребления for internal consumption is practically more than 90% of what they say and do, eh, the russian and political and military leadership is sent to the battlefield precisely for this reason, eh that's what we recently hear from the same putin that the task is to take donbass in these points of view, this is the main task of russia, that is, all the efforts that russia is currently undertaking to mobilize, to pump in troops, they are visible precisely for in order to take the donbas point of view and hold that front line on the rest of the

front. they moved from the right bank to the left because they drew this line for themselves, the line of demarcation in the toilet of the dnieper and the kakhovsky reservoir, they are trying to hold the zaporozhian front later it is pumped to increase the density of zaporozhye and they are getting ready to move, if they already answer you, they are getting ready to move , mainly syuga, understanding that in the north , in the bakhmut area, they still can’t do it with bakhmut. here is a small one, that is, in the area of ​​marinka, south of marinka, to ugledar , tugledar, to novoselka, this is part of the donetsk region. the side of pokrovsk in order to enter our donetsk group's rear, they will try to cut the rocket roads that are asking e-e

from the center of ukraine, our donetsk arm, as well as this kind of movement, they can try to carry out even more in the area of ​​ulya hives, that is, slightly west from gulyaipole in the direction of pavlograd again to the north, again with the same task of cutting the supply lines, because the southern part, er, the eastern part of the zaporozhye front, here is somewhere from the hive of a bullet to the ugledar to the maryinka, here she is now being fed, i think in the nearest this is where the main stream of problems for the ukrainian troops will be. in the area of ​​​​the russian currency , that is, they are preparing for our movement to break through the front in the area of ​​st. kremennaya, such a

red, old woman will gather and will and plan to strike from the flank from the left flank this is in the area of ​​​​smoluet on kupyansk, on troitskoe, on svatovo, in order to either somehow stop our movement of troops with a flank attack from the left, or let's somehow take the operational environment, then tea if the wax that will go to the breakthrough is that it is starobelskoe and eh happiness есть п roman, how do you generally evaluate this phrase that you can often hear from the russians now that they have some kind of window of opportunity because some weapon has not yet arrived there or some weather has settled there? what do you think about these windows ? they calculate correctly she is a mathematician всё прочищается understands that we don't have uh means of forces есть there are no means to carry out offensive powers of offensive tasks a-and they understand when this technique

will come somewhere. with the help of their manpower, since they don't have enough of all this, as we have techniques , they don't have so much. how they would like it. but they already have enough manpower, because they have already brought 100,000 to our front. southeast and another 100,000 ready-made events are not practical every day, two or three battalions of two or three battalions of tactical groups come in. like in makeevka, for example. this is the number of two or three of them per day. they come, because of the number, they can try to advance some directions. the southern thing we were talking about now , and that's exactly the window of opportunity. after we get the equipment and the heavy equipment , naturally we will start to move and fight with meat against iron .

всегда проехал ugu viktorovych see the commander-in-chief of zaluzhny met for the first time in person with the head of the joint chiefs of staff mark mille e. he went to zaluzhny, this means the meeting of the nato military leaders, and this is actually the participation of zaluzhny in it, is this evidence any new opportunities that might open up for the ukrainian army, er, well, precisely in the supply of weapons, in the supply of some er, such, well, in principle, some such new weapons that we did not have, what do you think, what else is he, write, we will find out only according to the results, but if you haven't already given me, they tell me about patriotic issues - for me it's just a matter of checking everything, i remember very well, even maybe you don't remember how we thought about the netherlands in the 15th year and how we worked in this direction as there was a

referendum relevant and it was really very painful. it was a country where it was very difficult for them to change the public opinion about their own small there were not very powerful and not even pro-russian rather university tendencies - this country somehow did not pay much attention to our conflict, but i get we see that it has already changed, if it has changed in how it is the public mood, including in the countries of central and western europe itself, which were the most problematic, the same netherlands, germany, including. so this means that so that we can already, in principle , count on some new the level of support , especially since europe is now a little behind the united states, is measured and causes a certain irritation within nato, but the question is, with which specific question, for example , will we come? why are these the same requests that actually together already formulated in his material, i'm sorry, this program material in which he simply told what he needed

for defense, will there be any separate chips , separate directions that may have already appeared since that period and new ideas may have appeared, but we will do the rest we see that the structure has already started to change, it is already about supply, not only, actually, you are from those relatively modest positions that were before that , but now the same brands are going, but now they are going , or on average, very good gates personal varius therefore ugh-ugh and that in this regard is normal, but again, it is still a big problem for us that the place of people , in the first place, it is precisely the united states that are afraid of further excavation, and so far for us the issue of both aviation and the question in general is before the choice of years, give the question of

what the shorter you are, they are 300 km and further, but for now it is the most problematic for us, well, as for what you said last, we will return today. zelenskyi's statement that ukraine should receive from of different countries, three batteries of anti-aircraft missile systems, patriots, it’s actually interesting, victors, and uh, well, let’s say so, uh, what is this enough for, that is, what are these three batteries, what is this relative to the battlefield, relative to the defense of cities, how to understand what this is, how big is it power this is where i'm afraid to say because i'm not a paper specialist at all, as far as i remember one battery includes either something or

eight complexes. from four to eight launchers installations that perform certain tasks but it is necessary to understand that even with one air defense battery, the p-triot is already connected to the button of the information system, detection, tracking, guidance, to which nato military satellites go, and the same avax system is also connected, that is, they are already connected by iskovax, which are included in long-range detection aircraft, that is, there is even one battery, it already pulls this kind of information support to us, at least they can use the rest of our systems anti-aircraft defense well, three batteries, even if this is not a full complex, a full complex is somewhere around 8-9 batteries, then it is possible

to cover half of our country with a full complex, as a menu, two such complexes for such a price from ukraine, by the way, two the complexes in poland are closing the patriot later, well, in each complex, i will repeat 8-9 batteries until the disaster began, uh, now there are already three batteries, at least confirmed ones. it's just not necessary in the informational one, it's just like that if, after all, we still need at least three more batteries, we will be able to cover at least half of the country, and with the help of the patriot batteries themselves, plus information through the information bullet for the rest of the complexes, and in the mode of m- m operational transmission of information is the same on the same with the same patriot even line 16 and they are connected through the line 16 system of transmission

of optical data they are connected to each other, it is possible to say that the so- called dome is already being created behind the course of even one the batteries are already running out of the nato dome, by the way, and the start of that nuflyzon no- fly zone that we asked for last year, eh, but for nato to cover us, so it turns out, we ourselves, eh, will create this new lazon, but only with already connecting and to nato systems will detect and about the no-fly zone that we talked about earlier. what do you think, well, it is from the side of nato, after all, it is not worth talking. that is, we rather went with such a path that we will close here , in principle, on the one hand, we went the right way it is we ourselves who will close our airspace before we join nato . well, after nato forced us, it

will already be integrated into society, that is, it will work until we do it, but don't talk about it after we do it. i think because he will say. to the fact that you started talking about the long arm , uh, last saturday, this blow uh, which even kyiv did not have time to react to it, whether it was s300 or s400, it is not there until the end. it is clear whether it is from the territory of belarus or there and what to do with this question, because eh well, if we recall that article about which you also said a little, the main idea in it was that as long as the war does not cross over into the territory of russia, well, in fact, it is not worth talking about such a serious break in the war, and we came to this point if three people are shooting at us from the territory of russia. well, let

's say it's otse shchebekina and so on, we answer there, but there are more distant targets and belarus, and what to do with belarus , planes take off from there, they seem to be firing from all over kyiv. well, what about belarus? the problem is that it is shortened in ukrainian capabilities, and they are desirable escalation of the conflict, it already seems to me that from the side of our western partners, theoretically , it seems to me that at some point it is already just the terror of the russians from the belarusian side, he will transfer all those threats, some can theoretically create a belarusian army, therefore, in principle, in principle at some point, it seems to me that simply destroying the very facilities from which they are hitting us with the stereotyping of belarus, it will be beneficial for the military plan, even on the condition that

there and if the belarusian army thus a the question on the top is of a political nature, the question i decided is that such a step does not gain the glory of our era. it seems to me, first of all, that you understand in the comments that all this belarus. it was now here the ministry of internal affairs, well , work on our on our objects. they too were on their own, and moreover, if ukraine had set the task of simply overthrowing the e-e regime through programming and economically itself among belarus and, in fact, had sent a gift according to the instructions, it would be possible, it would be possible for real, because well, just look. where are the same brains we are that's it the plant itself, which provides on the one hand, uh, they found part of the belarusian expert revenue, on the other hand, the supply of russian troops in the region, uh, that's the end of the enterprise for him. just there, 14 will arrive

, so the situation is exactly that, now it's a political decision and these decisions are political, which it is not accepted and you are creating for everything, it will not be oriented at all, it is very hypocritical. now it is precisely in belarus, on the one hand, actually we, to the point that we do not recognize it, write it. let us decide, we have a piece. this is the situation when the government does not recognize us, but we do not whether we try or not, the relationship is preserved and in principle there is an argument for this - it is logical, but now we have left it in such a hybrid format when the game is in one goal and lukashenko talks about the fact that the ukrainian border guards arrange vacancies, and the lengths, again, about this miracle taking into account the fact that the analysis of the investigation into the population of 10 rockets and back in february the russians entered the warrant with an attempt at genocidal war, these are similar provocations against the ukrainian border guards. this is the situation,

it needs a political solution, but it there will be an excess of not only ukrainians, but ukrainians, er, combinations with our western partners. it seems to me that right now the scheme is in place. well, you know, i have such an unpleasant impression that in general, er. this is the question of what will happen sooner, what lukashenko will dare or there if the russians start another offensive from the side north of ukraine, or if there is another shelling from the territory of belarus, they will be so impressive in the event that after that it will be impossible not to give some kind of answer, and unfortunately, both in that and in another case it will be well, you know, to a certain extent, we will not own the initiative of all this well, this is the case, mr. romany, what do you think about how likely it is, uh, hmm, good

? that viktor and i began to discuss your assessment of opportunities and capabilities and the political decision itself, well, on the part of belarus, the last months, probably more than half a year, nothing has arrived in ukraine yet , what went to kiev, this is more likely all the same s400 eh and eh in terms of range, most likely this is the district of the bryansk region, this is klimova klintsi, this is the old airfield of klimova - this is somewhere, i flew mine there, and from this year, the cadet received 250 km at klimova itself to kiev, this is exactly the working distance for the s-400 missile. when it works in ground mode, therefore, the approach was precisely the s-400 and not from the

territory of belarus. this is more likely from this part of the bryansk region and russia later. at the moment, he is still talking about some responsible people actions in belarus, but lukashenko knows very well that any action of this kind by belarus in ukraine will immediately cause a reaction, it will be at least a tornado package that will come to the factory, not the currently working plant, since it is a legitimate military target since the armed forces of belarus and russia are asking for fuel. but the loss of the mozola oil processing plant is a complete crackdown on the economy of belarus and belarus itself. but it is almost impossible to intercept the death of the death, and even more so

if it is not one package, uh, because so far, i don't see a big problem from the belarusian side , precisely from the belarusian troops and the direction of belarusian ukraine, and the only problem that remains is connected with this, well, mainly russian aviation, they really can use the airspace of belarus with their planes, or when they flew to belarus to produce a narrow one, let’s say the same racket 59, which they have been asking for a dozen years ago will hit uh-uh ukrainian targets but from the side of belarus, they can go deep there is a kh-59 mk2 missile, it has a range of about 280 km, that is, in principle, they can reach the warsaw route , and there is already a problem here, but the problem is mainly about our which will decide our terms of air defense zenit turned to eskotsionirov and in principle i think all the more let